Florida International at UTSA - 2025 Matchup Preview
Florida International logo Florida International Golden Panthers vs UTSA RoadrunnersUTSA logo
Friday, December 26th 2025 (8:00 PM EST)
UTSA -7 (62.5) (-265)  Open: 0.0
UTSA 57 - Florida International: 20  (SERVPRO First Responder Bowl)

 
Golden Panthers (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Willie Simmons (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (22 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: UTSA -7.5  (SP+ UTSA -9)

Projected Score: FIU: 28 - UTSA: 36 (64)
UTSA Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
FIU Travel: 1136 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Roadrunners (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (45 - 20)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (46 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#71)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Florida International's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Florida International vs Bethune-Cookman-26.554.5W 42 - 9UY
Sat 9/6 Florida International at Penn State+42.053.5L 0 - 34UY
Sat 9/13 Florida International vs Florida Atlantic-2.056.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 9/20 Florida International vs Delaware-4.054.5L 16 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Florida International at UConn+7.052.5L 10 - 51ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Florida International at Western Kentucky+9.555.5W 25 - 6UY
Tue 10/21 Florida International vs Kennesaw State+3.048.5L 26 - 45ON
Wed 10/29 Florida International at Missouri State+3.050.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/8 Florida International at Middle Tennessee+1.550.5W 56 - 30OY
Sat 11/15 Florida International vs Liberty+2.551.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 11/22 Florida International vs Jacksonville State-2.555.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 11/29 Florida International vs Sam Houston-10.550.5W 56 - 16OY
Fri 12/26 Florida International vs UTSA+7.062.5L 20 - 57ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
UTSA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UTSA at Texas A&M+21.556.5L 24 - 42OY
Sat 9/6 UTSA vs Texas State-4.564.5L 36 - 43ON
Sat 9/13 UTSA vs Incarnate Word-21.062.5W 48 - 20OY
Sat 9/20 UTSA at Colorado State-4.558.5W 17 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UTSA at Temple-6.558.5L 21 - 27UN
Sat 10/11 UTSA vs Rice-8.548.5W 61 - 13OY
Sat 10/18 UTSA at North Texas+4.064.5L 17 - 55ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 UTSA vs Tulane+5.554.5W 48 - 26OY
Thu 11/6 UTSA at South Florida+14.066.5L 23 - 55ON
Sat 11/15 UTSA at Charlotte-16.557.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 11/22 UTSA vs East Carolina+2.062.5W 58 - 24OY
Sat 11/29 UTSA vs Army-8.550.5L 24 - 27ON
Fri 12/26 UTSA vs Florida International-7.062.5W 57 - 20OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#81 (.16)41% (94)28.539% (110)2.84 (83)17643% (54)2024.04 (38)#70 (.16)43% (81)3046% (109)41% (62)3.65 (67)53.21.51.6
UTSA#33 (.23)45% (35)35.545% (49)2.81 (97)16047% (23)2254.23 (29)#82 (.18)40% (46)28.840% (44)40% (49)4.09 (108)58.50.91.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)37% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)44% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Offense1328.522.440.7%4.041.519377176202549%49%39%43%17%.16
UTSA Defense1328.825.539.6%4.091.2 - - - - - 50%49%40%40%19%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Defense133029.842.5%3.651.6 - - - - - 46%51%46%41%16%.16
UTSA Offense1335.545.845.4%4.230.9203841602255.146%52%45%47%16%.23

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida International1329:2418.936%62%6.253.21.51.64.92.1030.1
UTSA1329:2819.840%42%6.558.50.91.25.31.6231.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Offense1349% (66)39% (110)35.1175.5526 (49).15 (52)2.84 (83)74% (57)10% (74)1.19 (4)
UTSA Defense1350% (66)40% (44) - - - - .12 (83)2.86 (62)64% (21)11% (24)0.97 (72)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Defense1346% (21)46% (109) - - - - .12 (84)3.21 (118)75% (96)10% (68)0.94 (56)
UTSA Offense1346% (102)45% (49)31.1159.85.117 (49).19 (36)2.81 (97)73% (63)10% (102)1.17 (6)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Offense1349% (72)43% (54)18.229.2201.86.911.118 (134)11 (88).21 (90)1.4 (127)33% (90)27% (101).23 (96)7% (116)1.9 (94)
UTSA Defense1349% (78)40% (49) - - - - - - 9 (75).29 (87)1.8 (131)35% (18)28% (49).3 (70)7% (20)2.2 (122)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Defense1351% (102)41% (62) - - - - - - 12 (31).26 (79)1.6 (99)31% (75)28% (55).29 (68)7% (31)2.2 (119)
UTSA Offense1352% (38)47% (23)21.532224.5710.431 (33)7 (34).33 (42)1.5 (95)30% (46)36% (20).45 (20)6% (59)2.2 (12)

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -8.08  #99
Florida International's Offense Rating: 4.06  #101
Florida International's Defense Rating: 12.14  #95
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Florida International's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Florida International's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.3  #94
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #69
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #114

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -8.08   UTSA: -0.335

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -7.3   UTSA: 1.6




UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: -0.335  #78
UTSA's Offense Rating: 12.57  #49
UTSA's Defense Rating: 14.84  #110
2025 Talent Rating: 648.00  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 7  #46
UTSA's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 6.3
UTSA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.6  #65
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #39
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.0  #95

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Florida International's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 36
Florida International 28


Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida International 38
UTSA 32

Total Points: 70

Based on Entire Season
UTSA 35
Florida International 27

Total Points: 62
UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

UTSA's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202512/26UTSA57Florida International20UTSA -7UTSA62.5Over
202210/14Florida International10UTSA30UT San Antonio -33.0Florida International64.0Under
201811/10UTSA7Florida International45Florida International -10.5Florida International46.5Over
201711/04Florida International14UTSA7UT San Antonio -6.5Florida International51.5Under
201410/11UTSA16Florida International13UT San Antonio -13.5Florida International0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTSA312 Overs
Florida International242 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 23 - 21 - 12 - 1
Road Teams2 - 32 - 31 - 21 - 1

Florida International Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025Responder Bowl Florida International vs UTSA+7.062.5L 20 - 57
2019Camellia Bowl Florida International vs Arkansas State-1.560.0L 26 - 34
UTSA Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025Responder Bowl UTSA vs Florida International-7.062.5W 57 - 20
2024Beach Bowl UTSA vs Coastal Carolina-12.556.5W 44 - 15
2023Frisco Bowl UTSA vs Marshall-7.047.0W 35 - 17
2022Cure Bowl UTSA vs Troy+2.055.5L 12 - 18
2021Frisco Bowl UTSA vs San Diego State+3.048.0L 24 - 38
2020Responder Bowl UTSA vs Louisiana+14.054.5L 24 - 31
  
(#99) FIU at (#78) UTSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFIUUTSA
Power RatePwr #99 #78
SP+SP+ #94 #65
Perf GradeGrade #64 #105
OffenseOff #57 #70
DefenseDef #71 #120
Spec TeamsST #89 #121
TalentTal #107 #85
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #46
Florida International Notes
(11/22) 3 straight W's, beat Jax St to get to bowl eligible
(11/22) 3-5 to 6-5 is a great turnaround. Bravo Simmons
(10/29) QB Jenkins inj in Mizzu St, QB2 Pesansky OK
(10/22) Killed by KSU, even yds but 9 flags, 6-17 3rd/4th D
(10/22) Off is functional but mistake prone, Def awful vs KSU
(10/14) DB health is key, depth cannot play FBS ball
(10/14) Huge W @ WKU, rushed for 220+, Def great all night
(9/20) Bad L - killed by Delaware, flags, TO's... woof
(9/17) Def better at all 3 levels, good red zone Def
(9/17) QB Jenkins, RB Owens an upgrade for Off
(9/6) Def is fighting hard, impressed w/ new staff
(8/30) Jenkins OK, run off good vs Beth. Cook, DB?
Florida International Injury Report
UTSA Notes
(11/29) Wild season ends w/ loss to Army. 6-6 feels meh
(11/22) Killed ECU to get bowl eligible. Odd year 4 Meeps
(10/31) McCown was 31/33 for 370, 4 TD in Tulane rout
(10/5) Def is poor & Off isn't enough, danger of bowl miss
(9/24) Off good, RB Henry great, Def is really bad
(9/24) QB McCown & Pass Def awful vs CSU, lucky W
(7/28) Offense should be lethal, up to Def portals/dev
(7/20) RB Emery Jr (5*, LSU) fun add if healthy
(7/6) WR good/deep, 4/6 back. TE Thomas a weapon
(7/6) Proj #1 WR Clark will not play in 2025, NFL
(7/4) Def bad LY, 12 portal adds, 3 DL & 6 DBs
(6/25) Sched opp no Mem/Navy, Tul/Army/ECU home
UTSA Injury Report
Florida International on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FIU OffUTSA Def
Perf GradePerf #57 #120
SuccessSuc #94 #46
ExplosiveExp #34 #126
PPAPPA #81 #82
PowerPwr #101 #110
SP+SP+ #69 #95
Pts POPPO #38 #108
HavocHav #101 #18
Florida International Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FIU OffUTSA Def
Run GameRun #89 #114
Run SuccessRSuc #110 #44
Run ExplRExp #4 #72
PPAExp #52 #83
Run BlockR Blk #35 -
OL YdsOLY #83 #62
Stuff RateStuff #120 #77
TackleTak -  #117
Florida International Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FIU OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePass #70 #116
Pass SuccessPSuc #54 #49
Pass ExplPExl #127 #131
PPAExp #90 #87
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #110 #75
F7 HavocF7 #74 #24
DB HavocDB #116 #20
UTSA on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatUTSA OffFIU Def
Perf GradePerf #70 #71
SuccessSuc #35 #81
ExplosiveExp #24 #80
PPAPPA #33 #70
PowerPwr #49 #95
SP+SP+ #39 #114
Pts POPPO #29 #67
HavocHav #79 #55
UTSA Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
UTSA OffFIU Def
Run GameRun #51 #126
Run SuccessRSuc #49 #109
Run ExplRExp #6 #56
PPAExp #36 #84
Run BlockR Blk #102 -
OL YdsOLY #97 #118
Stuff RateStuff #107 #115
TackleTak -  #62
UTSA Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatUTSA OffFIU Def
Pass GamePass #54 #16
Pass SuccessPSuc #23 #62
Pass ExplPExl #95 #99
PPAExp #42 #79
Pass Block/RushP Blk #112 #95
F7 HavocF7 #102 #68
DB HavocDB #59 #31
Program Comparison
UTSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

FIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 77° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 1
UTSA -7.0 (62.5)
UTSA won vs Florida International this year (57-20)

Previous Matchups
UTSA beat Florida International in 2022 (30-10)

  
FIU's OC Nick Coleman (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins16426362%1742966.6
Joe Pesansky (Tr)8915956%10211176.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kejon Owens2131334116.384
Anthony Carrie (Tr)10346954.653
Devonte Lyons3714213.835
Sterling Joseph7123217.661
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Alex Perry (Tr)56840915.064
Kyle Mcneal31310110.030
Dallas Payne (Tr)27293410.942
Maguire Anderson25280111.246

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Chaney Jr1078311
Josiah Taylor717122
Jessiah Mcgrew670004
Shamir Sterlin623014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenton Simmons259782
Keegan Davis296650
Johnny Chaney Jr1078311
Dante Anderson (Tr)145320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mister Clark5770013
Brian Blades260005
Jessiah Mcgrew670004

UTSA's OC Justin Burke (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown27640968%29903077.3
Brandon Tennison203459%199205.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Henry151104596.976
Will Henderson III12586666.959
A'Marion Peterson (Tr)4917733.614
Bryson Donnell208414.228
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mccuin65726811.252
AJ Wilson (Tr)30523417.477
David Amador4544349.845
Houston Thomas34347210.232

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shadrach Banks938222
Jimmy Wyrick621008
Tyan Milton513013
Kendrick Blackshire441101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nnanna Anyanwu217541
Kenny Ozowalu166331
Chidera Otutu283300
Jonathan Jones158324
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jimmy Wyrick621008
KK Meier (Tr)250005
Jakevian Rodgers232004