Charlotte at East Carolina - 2025 Matchup Preview
Charlotte logo Charlotte 49ers at East Carolina PiratesEast Carolina logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium - Greenville, NC  (American Athletic)

 
49ers (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 30 (19 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.3 - 9.7 (#133)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)
CHAR coming off BYE
Our Line: East Carolina -21   (SP+ ECU -18)

Projected Score: CHAR: 15 - ECU: 36 (50)
ECU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
CHAR Travel: 191 miles
Pirates (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (4 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 9 (56 - 3 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
 
Charlotte's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Charlotte vs App State+8.553.5L 11 - 34UN
Sat 9/6 Charlotte vs North Carolina+16.549.5L 3 - 20UN
Sat 9/13 Charlotte vs Monmouth-3.066.5W 42 - 35OY
Thu 9/18 Charlotte vs Rice+2.542.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 Charlotte at South Florida+23
Sat 10/11 Charlotte at Army+13
Sat 10/18 Charlotte vs Temple+13
Fri 10/24 Charlotte vs North Texas+19
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Charlotte at East Carolina+21
Sat 11/15 Charlotte vs UTSA+14.5
Sat 11/22 Charlotte at Georgia+46
Sat 11/29 Charlotte at Tulane+24

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 6, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule
East Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 East Carolina at NC State+12.558.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 9/6 East Carolina vs Campbell-30.056.0W 56 - 3OY
Sat 9/13 East Carolina at Coastal Carolina-7.058.0W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/20 East Carolina vs BYU+7.549.5
Thu 9/25 East Carolina vs Army-10.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 East Carolina at Tulane+5.5
Thu 10/16 East Carolina vs Tulsa-15.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 East Carolina at Temple-0.5
Sat 11/8 East Carolina vs Charlotte-21
Sat 11/15 East Carolina vs Memphis+11
Sat 11/22 East Carolina at UTSA+1
Sat 11/29 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic-7.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAR#89 (.14)44% (65)18.741% (91)1.92 (132)9447% (42)2583.24 (108)#110 (.24)50% (127)29.752% (126)49% (119)4.32 (99)66.72.30.3
ECU#53 (.24)43% (73)3730% (132)2.2 (126)13553% (23)3464.04 (66)#44 (.06)35% (34)936% (44)34% (39)2.22 (20)73.30.32.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAR#116 (.1)37% (122)39% (110)2.75 (113)11935% (120)2243.9 (70)#113 (.25)45% (107)48% (111)42% (83)3.87 (81)65.31.81
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAR Offense318.718.743.9%3.242.322352942582.949%50%41%47%16%.14
ECU Defense39334.9%2.222.7 - - - - - 41%59%36%34%25%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAR Defense329.729.750.2%4.320.3 - - - - - 40%60%52%49%10%.24
ECU Offense3375642.9%4.040.3254821353463.542%58%30%53%10%.24

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Charlotte329:5021.745%60%7.766.72.30.351.7027.8
East Carolina329:5024.757%25%8.773.30.32.79.32.7036.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAR Offense349% (78)41% (91)32.793.72.93 (95)-.06 (121)1.92 (132)77% (45)9% (73)0.77 (118)
ECU Defense341% (15)36% (44) - - - - .03 (57)2.1 (15)60% (34)18% (3)1.14 (103)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAR Defense340% (13)52% (126) - - - - .11 (93)3.08 (102)73% (77)7% (106)0.71 (19)
ECU Offense342% (116)30% (132)38.3135.33.59 (17)-.08 (127)2.2 (126)50% (124)5% (14)1.01 (55)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAR Offense350% (61)47% (42)21.3322588.112.14 (72)4 (121).36 (56)1.6 (40)32% (83)35% (49).33 (71)8% (118)1.7 (109)
ECU Defense359% (125)34% (39) - - - - - - 3 (28).07 (31)1.5 (54)41% (4)28% (63).15 (43)7% (38)1.8 (45)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAR Defense360% (128)49% (119) - - - - - - 0.32 (105)1.4 (47)31% (89)33% (95).25 (65)3% (125)1.8 (48)
ECU Offense358% (19)53% (23)3042346.38.311.56 (34)1 (23).48 (25)1.5 (77)29% (58)43% (20).81 (9)4% (45)2.3 (30)

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -16.29 #120
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 3.08 #113
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 19.37 #116
2025 Talent Rating: 588.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Charlotte's 2025 Expected Record: 2.3 - 9.7
Charlotte's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.3 #124
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #118
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #123

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -16.29   East Carolina: 4.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -17.3   East Carolina: 0.4




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 4.21 #73
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.15 #73
2025 Talent Rating: 690.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
East Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
East Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #65
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #74

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 18.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.7
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.7

Charlotte's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 36
Charlotte 15


Total Points: 50

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 37 PPG
Offense at Home: 56
Defense: 9 PPG
Defense at Home: 3

East Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Charlotte55East Carolina24CharlotteEast Carolina -9.5Charlotte47.5Over
202310/21East Carolina7Charlotte10CharlotteEast Carolina -6Charlotte39.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina001 Overs
Charlotte221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#120) Charlotte Info
Power Rating: -16.29 #120
Offense Rating: 3.08 #113
Defense Rating: 19.37 #116
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.3 #124
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #123
Talent Rating: 588.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 2.3 - 9.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.24 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 47%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.32 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Charlotte has lost 5 straight
Charlotte has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Charlotte Notes
(8/30) QB Harrell bad, Run game putrid vs App St
(8/30) Def torched for 580+ vs App St, Pass D worse?
(3/24) QB Connor Harrell (NC) or G Loftis (Duke)
(3/24) RB rebuild. Chaney (Lou) added, depth?
(3/24) WR complete rebuild. 5 portals.
(3/24) OL rebuild 1/5 back. Only 1 portal add?

Charlotte Highlights
Charlotte offense is good on 3rd downs
Charlotte defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Charlotte Deficiencies
Charlotte has a really bad Offense
Charlotte has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Charlotte Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Charlotte Can Not Run the Ball (#124)
Charlotte Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Charlotte throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Charlotte Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#104)
Charlotte offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#108)
Charlotte has a bad defense (#127)
Charlotte Does Not Stuff Runs (#118)
Charlotte has a bad defensive line (#102)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatECUCHAR
OverallOver#46#92
OffenseOff#57#74
DefenseDef#40#104
Special TeamsST#46#63
PassingPass#18#37
RushingRush#73#94
Run BlockRBLK#101#87
Pass BlockPBLK#85#107
Route RunningWR Rt#34#28
TacklingTkl#111#49
Run DefenseR Def#28#100
Pass Rush DefPRush#56#92
Coverage DefCov#29#100

Previous Matchups
Charlotte beat East Carolina last year (55-24)
Charlotte beat East Carolina in 2023 (10-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CHAR | ECU
Depth Chart: CHAR | ECU
Rosters: CHAR | ECU
(#73) East Carolina Info
Power Rating: 4.21 #73
Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Defense Rating: 8.15 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #74
Talent Rating: 690.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Awful Run Success 30%
Good Pass Success 53%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Great in Scoring Position 2.22 PPO
Good Run Def Success 36%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

East Carolina has lost 5 straight
East Carolina has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

East Carolina Notes
(8/29) QB Houser baller vs NC St, Pass Def bad in L
(7/25) WR duo A Smith & Y Smith good, 3 good portals
(7/12) QB Houser starting exp, beat Garcia (fo to Mich)
(7/12) RBs v strong, Montgomery/Gunn exp'd & deep
(3/23) OL 4/5 back, avg LY. 2 portals. Better TY
(3/23) Def awful LY, rebuild. 4 DL/4 DB portal adds
(3/23) New DC Aldridge 1st time. Exp w/ Aub/Lib
(3/23) HC Harrell won job w/ 4-1 finish LY.

East Carolina Highlights
East Carolina is Undefeated vs Spread
East Carolina is Undefeated at Home
East Carolina is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

East Carolina offense is good on 3rd downs
East Carolina defense is really good in red zone (#20)
East Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#5)
East Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#15)
East Carolina Front 7 is disruptive (#3)
East Carolina has a great TO Margin (#11)
East Carolina defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

East Carolina Deficiencies
East Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#127)
East Carolina run game is really bad (#132)


  
Charlotte's OC Todd Fitch
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Conner Harrell (Tr)568368%664428.0
Grayson Loftis (Tr)81362%110028.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
C.J. Stokes329603.016
Rod Gainey Jr.239414.111
Conner Harrell (Tr)254521.817
Cameren Smith (Tr)142902.19
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
E. Jai Mason16284317.862
Javen Nicholas (Tr)17177010.428
Miles Burris672012.017
Justin Olson256028.047

View Charlotte's Full Roster
Charlotte's DC Nate Faanes
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Qurious Conley200000
Shay Taylor (Tr)192110
Jamarrion Solomon (Tr)142010
Collin Gill (Tr)131000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reid Williford113200
Curtis Simpson (Tr)102220
Macyo Williams (Tr)41100
Shay Taylor (Tr)192110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dwight Bootle II (Tr)70001
Braden Mullen (Tr)10001
Gavin Willis (Tr)50001

East Carolina's OC John David Baker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser8311672%973518.4
Mike Wright (Tr)3560%13002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery3010823.610
Parker Jenkins (Tr)237823.417
TJ Engleman116716.118
Mike Wright (Tr)85016.318
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith23241010.531
Brock Spalding13221117.055
Jayvontay Conner7162123.179
Yannick Smith1413629.725

View East Carolina's Full Roster
East Carolina's DC Josh Aldridge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle140003
Samuel Dankah122011
Ryheem Craig101111
Teagan Wilk (Tr)91000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jasiyah Robinson42210
Kendrick DuJour (Tr)72201
J.D. Lampley53111
Preston Carr82100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle140003
Kevon Merrell31012
Chance Graves (Tr)10001