Charlotte at East Carolina - 2025 Matchup Preview
Charlotte logo Charlotte 49ers at East Carolina PiratesEast Carolina logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (3:00 PM EST)
East Carolina -29.5 (56.5) (-10000)  Open: -26.5 | 55.5
East Carolina 48 - Charlotte: 22  (American Athletic)

 
49ers (1 - 11) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (12 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#133)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
CHAR coming off BYE
Our Line: East Carolina -32  (SP+ ECU -35)

Projected Score: CHAR: 11 - ECU: 43 (54)
ECU Win prob: 99% | Cover: 51%
CHAR Travel: 191 miles
Pirates (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Blake Harrell (4 - 1)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Charlotte's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Charlotte vs App State+8.553.5L 11 - 34UN
Sat 9/6 Charlotte vs North Carolina+16.549.5L 3 - 20UN
Sat 9/13 Charlotte vs Monmouth-3.066.5W 42 - 35OY
Thu 9/18 Charlotte vs Rice+1.541.5L 17 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 Charlotte at South Florida+28.554.5L 26 - 54OY
Sat 10/11 Charlotte at Army+17.545.5L 7 - 24UY
Sat 10/18 Charlotte vs Temple+10.047.5L 14 - 49ON
Fri 10/24 Charlotte vs North Texas+25.560.5L 20 - 54ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Charlotte at East Carolina+29.556.5L 22 - 48OY
Sat 11/15 Charlotte vs UTSA+16.557.5L 7 - 28UN
Sat 11/22 Charlotte at Georgia+42.553.5L 3 - 35UY
Sat 11/29 Charlotte at Tulane+31.552.5L 0 - 27UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 3

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule
East Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 East Carolina at NC State+12.558.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 9/6 East Carolina vs Campbell-30.056.0W 56 - 3OY
Sat 9/13 East Carolina at Coastal Carolina-7.058.0W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/20 East Carolina vs BYU+6.549.5L 13 - 34UN
Thu 9/25 East Carolina vs Army-3.552.5W 28 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 East Carolina at Tulane+7.053.5L 19 - 26UY
Thu 10/16 East Carolina vs Tulsa-16.554.5W 41 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 East Carolina at Temple-5.558.5W 45 - 14OY
Sat 11/8 East Carolina vs Charlotte-29.556.5W 48 - 22ON
Sat 11/15 East Carolina vs Memphis-3.056.5W 31 - 27OY
Sat 11/22 East Carolina at UTSA-2.062.5L 24 - 58ON
Sat 11/29 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic-6.566.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 12/27 East Carolina vs Pittsburgh+13.551.5W 23 - 17UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAR#116 (.1)37% (122)14.339% (110)2.75 (113)11935% (120)2243.9 (70)#113 (.25)45% (107)36.348% (111)42% (83)3.87 (81)65.31.81
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)32.744% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)20.137% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAR Offense1214.311.637.1%3.91.8173431192243.747%52%39%35%17%.1
ECU Defense1320.119.839.5%3.851.6 - - - - - 54%46%37%43%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAR Defense1236.337.645.3%3.871 - - - - - 56%44%48%42%15%.25
ECU Offense1332.736.243.3%3.792.2204001472534.452%48%44%43%15%.22

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Charlotte1228:3717.330%42%7.865.31.814.91.2126.1
East Carolina1323:0820.142%53%7.3612.21.66.51.3430.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAR Offense1247% (88)39% (110)32.3118.73.716 (90).09 (93)2.75 (113)68% (105)11% (106)1.1 (24)
ECU Defense1354% (109)37% (11) - - - - .03 (22)2.57 (14)57% (3)11% (48)1.02 (84)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAR Defense1256% (118)48% (111) - - - - .19 (104)3.27 (106)68% (35)8% (114)0.96 (57)
ECU Offense1352% (63)44% (71)33.2147.34.420 (67).17 (47)3.07 (57)79% (27)8% (42)1.02 (48)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAR Offense1252% (46)35% (120)14.829.4224.17.615.216 (87)14 (115).12 (120)1.9 (6)35% (123)29% (96).23 (103)6% (57)2.3 (3)
ECU Defense1346% (28)43% (86) - - - - - - 13 (31).32 (105)1.7 (98)33% (51)35% (117).46 (122)5% (104)2.1 (78)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAR Defense1244% (18)42% (83) - - - - - - 10 (66).34 (112)1.8 (122)31% (92)33% (107).57 (132)6% (51)2.4 (133)
ECU Offense1348% (72)43% (54)18.530.7252.78.213.726 (26)21 (134).28 (54)1.7 (24)30% (37)34% (33).51 (8)7% (92)2.3 (7)

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -25.40  #134
Charlotte's Offense Rating: -0.08  #133
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 25.32  #131
2025 Talent Rating: 588.00  #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #65
Charlotte's 2025 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Charlotte's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.7  #134
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.5  #132
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8  #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -25.40   East Carolina: 5.98

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -26.7   East Carolina: 8.0




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 5.98  #69
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 14.81  #58
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 15.85  #86
2025 Talent Rating: 690.00  #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
East Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
East Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0  #38
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #33
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #51

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.6

Charlotte's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 43
Charlotte 11


Projected Total Points: 54
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

East Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08East Carolina48Charlotte22East Carolina -29.5Charlotte56.5Over
202410/05Charlotte55East Carolina24East Carolina -9.5Charlotte47.5Over
202310/21East Carolina7Charlotte10East Carolina -6Charlotte39.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina102 Overs
Charlotte231 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 20 - 21 - 0
Road Teams1 - 22 - 10 - 12 - 0

(#134) CHAR at (#69) ECU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCHARECU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #134 #69
SP+SP+ #134 #38
Perf GradeGrade #129 #69
OffenseOff #113 #67
DefenseDef #132 #66
Spec TeamsST #129 #69
TalentTal #97 #78
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #101
Charlotte Notes
(10/19) Team is awful, Off is bad but Def is worse.
(10/4) QB1 is now Zach Wilcke, played OK in USF blowout
(10/4) Off is still really bad, can't run. 3 QBs thru wk 6
(10/2) QB1 Connor Harrell out for season (knee), Loftis QB1
(9/18) WR E. Jai Mason a baller to watch. QB meh
(9/18) Run Off awful, Run Def bad. Not much hope
(9/18) Tim Albin very good coach but roster is bad
(8/30) QB Harrell bad, Run game putrid vs App St
(8/30) Def torched for 580+ vs App St, Pass D worse?
(3/24) QB Connor Harrell (NC) or G Loftis (Duke)
(3/24) RB rebuild. Chaney (Lou) added, depth?
(3/24) WR complete rebuild. 5 portals.
Charlotte Injury Report
East Carolina Notes
(12/17) Hired OC Jordan Davis (N Tex). Incredible hire
(8/29) QB Houser baller vs NC St, Pass Def bad in L
(7/25) WR duo A Smith & Y Smith good, 3 good portals
(7/12) QB Houser starting exp, beat Garcia (fo to Mich)
(7/12) RBs v strong, Montgomery/Gunn exp'd & deep
(3/23) OL 4/5 back, avg LY. 2 portals. Better TY
(3/23) Def awful LY, rebuild. 4 DL/4 DB portal adds
(3/23) New DC Aldridge 1st time. Exp w/ Aub/Lib
(3/23) HC Harrell won job w/ 4-1 finish LY.
East Carolina Injury Report
Charlotte on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
CHAR OffECU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #113 #66
SuccessSuc #122 #40
ExplosiveExp #2 #100
PPAPPA #116 #64
PowerPwr #133 #86
SP+SP+ #132 #51
Pts POPPO #70 #76
HavocHav #92 #69
Charlotte Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
CHAR OffECU Def
Run GameRun #136 #52
Run SuccessRSuc #110 #11
Run ExplRExp #24 #84
PPAExp #93 #22
Run BlockR Blk #104 -
OL YdsOLY #113 #14
Stuff RateStuff #109 #11
TackleTak -  #127
Charlotte Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
CHAR OffECU Def
Pass GamePass #77 #57
Pass SuccessPSuc #120 #86
Pass ExplPExl #6 #98
PPAExp #120 #105
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #126 #90
F7 HavocF7 #106 #48
DB HavocDB #57 #104
East Carolina on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatECU OffCHAR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #67 #132
SuccessSuc #62 #107
ExplosiveExp #18 #85
PPAPPA #49 #113
PowerPwr #58 #131
SP+SP+ #33 #132
Pts POPPO #83 #81
HavocHav #50 #87
East Carolina Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffCHAR Def
Run GameRun #37 #130
Run SuccessRSuc #71 #111
Run ExplRExp #48 #57
PPAExp #47 #104
Run BlockR Blk #124 -
OL YdsOLY #57 #106
Stuff RateStuff #65 #100
TackleTak -  #129
East Carolina Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatECU OffCHAR Def
Pass GamePass #18 #122
Pass SuccessPSuc #54 #83
Pass ExplPExl #24 #122
PPAExp #54 #112
Pass Block/RushP Blk #101 #121
F7 HavocF7 #42 #114
DB HavocDB #92 #51
Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

CHAR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 73°
Rematch from Week 11
East Carolina -29.5 (56.5)
East Carolina won vs Charlotte this year (48-22)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Charlotte last year (48-22)
Charlotte beat East Carolina in 2024 (55-24)
Charlotte beat East Carolina in 2023 (10-7)

  
CHAR's OC Todd Fitch (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Grayson Loftis (Tr)12823255%1415886.1
Conner Harrell (Tr)649667%737427.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rod Gainey Jr.7426013.537
Cameren Smith (Tr)6222003.513
Jariel Cobb (Tr)5119003.721
C.J. Stokes4814913.121
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javen Nicholas (Tr)60740512.364
Sean Brown36508114.146
E. Jai Mason31423413.662
Miles Burris1413409.618

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Nate Faanes (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reid Williford746420
Kadin Schmitz (Tr)651032
Ja'Qurious Conley640002
Shay Taylor (Tr)626260
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reid Williford746420
Curtis Simpson (Tr)315341
Shay Taylor (Tr)626260
Yamil Talib284251
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thailand Baldwin (Tr)200004
Ja'Qurious Conley640002
Derrick Edwards191002

ECU's OC John David Baker (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser26940866%33001968.1
Chaston Ditta122450%215309.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery15674274.851
Marlon Gunn11258265.250
TJ Engleman5930615.223
Parker Jenkins (Tr)7525623.417
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith641053716.572
Yannick Smith44583513.359
Brock Spalding42554313.255
Desirrio Riles28362212.942

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Josh Aldridge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle704006
DJ Johnson Jr.605120
Samuel Dankah587213
Teagan Wilk (Tr)542014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zion Wilson4210641
Jasiyah Robinson267530
Kendrick DuJour (Tr)115411
Rion Roseborough (Tr)166310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle704006
Teagan Wilk (Tr)542014
Jordy Lowery (Tr)272004