Charlotte at East Carolina Game Matchup
Charlotte logo Charlotte 49ers at East Carolina PiratesEast Carolina logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium - Greenville, NC  (American Athletic)

 
49ers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (23 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.5 - 9.5 (#134)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 7)
CHAR coming off BYE
Our Line: East Carolina -15.5   (SP+ ECU -13)

Projected Score: CHAR: 22 - ECU: 37 (60)
ECU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
CHAR Travel: 191 miles
Pirates (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (4 - 1)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (36 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#78)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
 
Charlotte's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Charlotte vs App State+8.50.0
Sat 9/6 Charlotte vs North Carolina+19.5
Sat 9/13 Charlotte vs Monmouth-3
Thu 9/18 Charlotte vs Rice+1
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 Charlotte at South Florida+23.5
Sat 10/11 Charlotte at Army+19.5
Sat 10/18 Charlotte vs Temple-0.5
Fri 10/24 Charlotte vs North Texas+10
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Charlotte at East Carolina+15.5
Sat 11/15 Charlotte vs UTSA+18.5
Sat 11/22 Charlotte at Georgia+50.5
Sat 11/29 Charlotte at Tulane+26.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule
East Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 East Carolina at NC State+12.50.0
Sat 9/6 East Carolina vs Campbell-16
Sat 9/13 East Carolina at Coastal Carolina-1.5
Sat 9/20 East Carolina vs BYU+15.5
Thu 9/25 East Carolina vs Army+1.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 East Carolina at Tulane+13.5
Thu 10/16 East Carolina vs Tulsa-12.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 East Carolina at Temple-8.5
Sat 11/8 East Carolina vs Charlotte-15.5
Sat 11/15 East Carolina vs Memphis+7
Sat 11/22 East Carolina at UTSA+10.5
Sat 11/29 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic-4

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAR#116 (.1)37% (122)23.739% (110)2.75 (113)11935% (120)2243.9 (70)#113 (.25)45% (107)35.148% (111)42% (83)3.87 (81)65.31.81
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)3244% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)27.337% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAR Offense1223.723.237.1%3.91.8173431192243.747%52%39%35%17%.1
ECU Defense1327.32139.5%3.851.6 - - - - - 54%46%37%43%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAR Defense1235.136.845.3%3.871 - - - - - 56%44%48%42%15%.25
ECU Offense13323643.3%3.792.2204001472534.452%48%44%43%15%.22

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Charlotte1228:3717.330%42%7.865.31.814.91.2126.1
East Carolina1323:0820.142%53%7.3612.21.66.51.3430.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAR Offense1247% (88)39% (110)32.3118.73.716 (90).09 (93)2.75 (113)68% (105)11% (106)1.1 (24)
ECU Defense1354% (109)37% (11) - - - - .03 (22)2.57 (14)57% (3)11% (48)1.02 (84)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAR Defense1256% (118)48% (111) - - - - .19 (104)3.27 (106)68% (35)8% (114)0.96 (57)
ECU Offense1352% (63)44% (71)33.2147.34.420 (67).17 (47)3.07 (57)79% (27)8% (42)1.02 (48)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAR Offense1252% (46)35% (120)14.829.4224.17.615.216 (87)14 (115).12 (120)1.9 (6)35% (123)29% (96).23 (103)6% (57)2.3 (3)
ECU Defense1346% (28)43% (86) - - - - - - 13 (31).32 (105)1.7 (98)33% (51)35% (117).46 (122)5% (104)2.1 (78)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAR Defense1244% (18)42% (83) - - - - - - 10 (66).34 (112)1.8 (122)31% (92)33% (107).57 (132)6% (51)2.4 (133)
ECU Offense1348% (72)43% (54)18.530.7252.78.213.726 (26)21 (134).28 (54)1.7 (24)30% (37)34% (33).51 (8)7% (92)2.3 (7)

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -21.18 #129
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 1.99 #130
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 23.17 #110
2025 Talent Rating: 454.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #62
Charlotte's 2025 Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5
Charlotte's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.4 #133
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #120
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #128

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -21.18   East Carolina: -4.92

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -19.4   East Carolina: -6.6




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -4.92 #88
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 12.37 #79
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 20.61 #100
2025 Talent Rating: 606.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
East Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
East Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #90
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #106

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.8

Charlotte's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 37
Charlotte 22


Projected Total Points: 60
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

East Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Charlotte55East Carolina24CharlotteEast Carolina -9.5Charlotte47.5Over
202310/21East Carolina7Charlotte10CharlotteEast Carolina -6Charlotte39.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina001 Overs
Charlotte221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#129) Charlotte Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -21.18 #129
Offense Rating: 1.99 #130
Defense Rating: 23.17 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.4 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #128
Talent Rating: 454.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #62
Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.9 PPO
Poor Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Charlotte Notes
(3/24) QB Connor Harrell (NC) or G Loftis (Duke)
(3/24) RB rebuild. Chaney (Lou) added, depth?
(3/24) WR complete rebuild. 5 portals.
(3/24) OL rebuild 1/5 back. Only 1 portal add?
Charlotte     Ratings Matchup     East Carolina
Power #129
#88
Off #130
#79
Def #110
#100
Talent #117
#82
SP+ #133
#90
SP+ Off #120
#65
SP+ Def #128
#106

Previous Matchups
Charlotte beat East Carolina last year (55-24)
Charlotte beat East Carolina in 2023 (10-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CHAR | ECU
Depth Chart: CHAR | ECU
Rosters: CHAR | ECU
(#88) East Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.92 #88
Offense Rating: 12.37 #79
Defense Rating: 20.61 #100
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #106
Talent Rating: 606.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


East Carolina Notes
(3/23) QB battle, both Garcia & Houser starting exp.
(3/23) New RB1, Montgomery/Gunn have exp
(3/23) WR Smith returns, Smith exp. 3 P4 portal adds
(3/23) OL 4/5 back, avg LY. 2 portals. Better TY
(3/23) Def awful LY, rebuild. 4 DL/4 DB portal adds
(3/23) New DC Aldridge 1st time. Exp w/ Aub/Lib
(3/23) HC Harrell won job w/ 4-1 finish LY.


  
Charlotte's OC Todd Fitch
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Conner Harrell (Tr)213757%282217.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Donald Chaney Jr. (Tr)5017833.627
Henry Rutledge117206.533
Conner Harrell (Tr)165513.416
Rod Gainey Jr.103403.411
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Henry Rutledge108218.228
Miles Burris264032.048
Donald Chaney Jr. (Tr)76208.919
Justin Olson235017.525

View Charlotte's Full Roster
Charlotte's DC Nate Faanes
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shay Taylor (Tr)7411434
Reid Williford746222
Al-Ma'Hi Ali451037
Treyveon McGee332001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shay Taylor (Tr)7411434
Reid Williford746222
Donovan Spellman32100
Ja'Qurious Conley262110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Al-Ma'Hi Ali451037
Shay Taylor (Tr)7411434
Thailand Baldwin (Tr)233003

East Carolina's OC John David Baker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser14924561%200618118.2
Jake Garcia10918160%14268127.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery7135925.148
Marlon Gunn6122433.720
Katin Houser4917043.535
Mike Wright (Tr)178214.820
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith41799619.564
Yannick Smith25434317.452
Jaquaize Pettaway (Tr)587017.446
Desirrio Riles883210.432

View East Carolina's Full Roster
East Carolina's DC Josh Aldridge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
Rasheed Reason (Tr)502004
Ryheem Craig496210
Samuel Dankah347312
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Dankah347312
Kendrick DuJour (Tr)234310
Ryheem Craig496210
J.D. Lampley255260
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
Rasheed Reason (Tr)502004
Samuel Dankah347312