Memphis at East Carolina - 2025 Matchup Preview
Memphis logo Memphis Tigers at East Carolina PiratesEast Carolina logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium - Greenville, NC  (American Athletic)

 
Tigers (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (41 - 21)
Avg Score : 37 - 11 (33 - 12 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 1 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
ECU 2nd straight Home Game
MEM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Memphis -11   (SP+ MEM -11.5)

Projected Score: MEM: 31 - ECU: 20 (50)
MEM Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
MEM Travel: 711 miles, 1 hrs behind
Pirates (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (4 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 9 (56 - 3 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
 
Memphis's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Memphis vs Chattanooga-30.555.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/6 Memphis at Georgia State-14.557.5W 38 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 Memphis at Troy-4.551.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Memphis vs Arkansas+7.063.5
Sat 9/27 Memphis at Florida Atlantic-21.5
Sat 10/4 Memphis vs Tulsa-29
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Memphis at UAB-27
Sat 10/25 Memphis vs South Florida-14
Fri 10/31 Memphis at Rice-23
Fri 11/7 Memphis vs Tulane-13.5
Sat 11/15 Memphis at East Carolina-11
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Memphis vs Navy-16

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
East Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 East Carolina at NC State+12.558.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 9/6 East Carolina vs Campbell-30.056.0W 56 - 3OY
Sat 9/13 East Carolina at Coastal Carolina-7.058.0W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/20 East Carolina vs BYU+7.549.5
Thu 9/25 East Carolina vs Army-10.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 East Carolina at Tulane+5.5
Thu 10/16 East Carolina vs Tulsa-15.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 East Carolina at Temple-0.5
Sat 11/8 East Carolina vs Charlotte-21
Sat 11/15 East Carolina vs Memphis+11
Sat 11/22 East Carolina at UTSA+1
Sat 11/29 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic-7.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM#47 (.28)49% (37)3750% (39)3.8 (9)21847% (44)2035.12 (27)#21 (-.03)34% (31)1131% (15)37% (50)1.89 (12)550.71.3
ECU#53 (.24)43% (73)3730% (132)2.2 (126)13553% (23)3464.04 (66)#44 (.06)35% (34)936% (44)34% (39)2.22 (20)73.30.32.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Offense3373348.6%5.120.7224212182035.659%40%50%47%12%.28
ECU Defense39334.9%2.222.7 - - - - - 41%59%36%34%25%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Defense31111.534.3%1.891.3 - - - - - 43%56%31%37%24%-.03
ECU Offense3375642.9%4.040.3254821353463.542%58%30%53%10%.24

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Memphis331:4022.347%75%5.7550.71.39.33228.4
East Carolina329:5024.757%25%8.773.30.32.79.32.7036.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Offense359% (21)50% (39)39.3218.35.611 (8).3 (31)3.8 (9)83% (28)9% (80)1.09 (41)
ECU Defense341% (15)36% (44) - - - - .03 (57)2.1 (15)60% (34)18% (3)1.14 (103)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Defense343% (24)31% (15) - - - - -.18 (10)2.21 (22)44% (15)16% (7)0.96 (74)
ECU Offense342% (116)30% (132)38.3135.33.59 (17)-.08 (127)2.2 (126)50% (124)5% (14)1.01 (55)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Offense340% (117)47% (44)18.325202.78.111.12 (102)1 (23).35 (60)1.5 (65)27% (35)31% (69).25 (89)3% (16)2.2 (38)
ECU Defense359% (125)34% (39) - - - - - - 3 (28).07 (31)1.5 (54)41% (4)28% (63).15 (43)7% (38)1.8 (45)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Defense356% (115)37% (50) - - - - - - 4 (12).11 (39)1.6 (84)40% (10)29% (71).34 (88)7% (38)2.2 (106)
ECU Offense358% (19)53% (23)3042346.38.311.56 (34)1 (23).48 (25)1.5 (77)29% (58)43% (20).81 (9)4% (45)2.3 (30)

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 18.72 #32
Memphis's Offense Rating: 19.59 #34
Memphis's Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
2025 Talent Rating: 776.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Memphis's 2025 Expected Record: 11.0 - 1.0
Memphis's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #29
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #55

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 18.72   East Carolina: 4.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 11.9   East Carolina: 0.4




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 4.21 #73
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.15 #73
2025 Talent Rating: 690.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
East Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
East Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #65
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #74

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Memphis Scoring
Offense: 37 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 11 PPG
Defense on Road: 11.5

Memphis's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 31
East Carolina 20


Total Points: 50

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 37 PPG
Offense at Home: 56
Defense: 9 PPG
Defense at Home: 3

East Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/15East Carolina47Memphis45East CarolinaEast Carolina -5.5Memphis62.5Over
202111/13Memphis29East Carolina30East CarolinaMemphis -4East Carolina58.5Over
201811/03East Carolina41Memphis59MemphisMemphis -11Memphis66.5Over
201711/25Memphis70East Carolina13MemphisMemphis -29.5Memphis81.0Over
201210/13East Carolina41Memphis7East Carolina
201110/15Memphis17East Carolina35East Carolina
201009/11East Carolina49Memphis27East Carolina
200910/27Memphis19East Carolina38East Carolina
200810/18East Carolina30Memphis10East Carolina
200711/03Memphis40East Carolina56East Carolina
200609/16East Carolina35Memphis20East Carolina
200510/22Memphis27East Carolina24Memphis
200411/20East Carolina35Memphis38Memphis
200311/01Memphis41East Carolina24Memphis
200110/20East Carolina32Memphis11East Carolina
200010/06Memphis17East Carolina10Memphis
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina1014 Overs
Memphis630 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 61 - 31 - 20 - 1
Road Teams6 - 103 - 11 - 02 - 1

(#32) Memphis Info
Power Rating: 18.72 #32
Offense Rating: 19.59 #34
Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #55
Talent Rating: 776.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Expected Record: 11.0 - 1.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 49%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.12 PPO
Good Run Success 50%
Good Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 34%
Great in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Great Run Def Success 31%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Memphis has lost 7 straight
Memphis has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Memphis Notes
(8/13) Real $$, biggest NIL spender in the G5
(8/13) QB Lewis a weapon (Nev), wins QB1 job in fall
(6/17) 4* QB AJ Hill was the only blue chip QB to G5
(5/23) Memphis was 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) 61% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/12) RB looks very thin. No portals after Amos left
(4/8) OL 2/5 back, 6 portals. X. Hill (OT) left in spring
(3/22) WR rebuild. 3 portals, watch Caldwell (FCS)
(3/22) Def replacing most, 17 portals added, 8 DBs
(3/22) Near last in return prod, over 50% roster new

Memphis Highlights
Memphis is Undefeated vs Spread
Memphis in Undefeated

Memphis has Really Good Running Game (#20)
Memphis has a top Offensive Line (#9)
Memphis offense is good in red zone (#27)
Memphis offense is good on 3rd downs
Memphis does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#14)

Memphis Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Memphis defense is really good in red zone (#12)
Memphis has a good run defense (#15)
Memphis Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#11)
Memphis Defensive Line is very good (#22)
Memphis Front 7 is disruptive (#7)
Memphis has a great TO Margin (#28)
Memphis defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Memphis Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatECUMEM
OverallOver#46#33
OffenseOff#57#38
DefenseDef#40#39
Special TeamsST#46#78
PassingPass#18#24
RushingRush#73#72
Run BlockRBLK#101#28
Pass BlockPBLK#85#36
Route RunningWR Rt#34#51
TacklingTkl#111#116
Run DefenseR Def#28#23
Pass Rush DefPRush#56#66
Coverage DefCov#29#38

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Memphis in 2022 (47-45)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MEM | ECU
Depth Chart: MEM | ECU
Rosters: MEM | ECU
(#73) East Carolina Info
Power Rating: 4.21 #73
Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Defense Rating: 8.15 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #74
Talent Rating: 690.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Awful Run Success 30%
Good Pass Success 53%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Great in Scoring Position 2.22 PPO
Good Run Def Success 36%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

East Carolina has lost 6 straight
East Carolina has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

East Carolina Notes
(8/29) QB Houser baller vs NC St, Pass Def bad in L
(7/25) WR duo A Smith & Y Smith good, 3 good portals
(7/12) QB Houser starting exp, beat Garcia (fo to Mich)
(7/12) RBs v strong, Montgomery/Gunn exp'd & deep
(3/23) OL 4/5 back, avg LY. 2 portals. Better TY
(3/23) Def awful LY, rebuild. 4 DL/4 DB portal adds
(3/23) New DC Aldridge 1st time. Exp w/ Aub/Lib
(3/23) HC Harrell won job w/ 4-1 finish LY.

East Carolina Highlights
East Carolina is Undefeated vs Spread
East Carolina is Undefeated at Home
East Carolina is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

East Carolina offense is good on 3rd downs
East Carolina defense is really good in red zone (#20)
East Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#5)
East Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#15)
East Carolina Front 7 is disruptive (#3)
East Carolina has a great TO Margin (#11)
East Carolina defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

East Carolina Deficiencies
East Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#127)
East Carolina run game is really bad (#132)


  
Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendon Lewis (Tr)557573%608218.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sutton Smith4124746.050
Brendon Lewis (Tr)3219025.922
Frank Peasant (Tr)1611617.318
Makari Bodiford216333.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamari Hawkins9176019.650
Cortez Braham9153117.030
Sutton Smith75207.439
Jadon Thompson (Tr)246023.040

View Memphis's Full Roster
Memphis's DC Jordon Hankins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Brumfield (Tr)174310
William Whitlow Jr.153120
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)155212
Demarco Ward (Tr)140010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Brumfield (Tr)174310
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)155212
Jalen Bell (Tr)113210
Drue Watts (Tr)142142
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Omarion Cooper (Tr)90003
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)155212
Drue Watts (Tr)142142

East Carolina's OC John David Baker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser8311672%973518.4
Mike Wright (Tr)3560%13002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery3010823.610
Parker Jenkins (Tr)237823.417
TJ Engleman116716.118
Mike Wright (Tr)85016.318
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith23241010.531
Brock Spalding13221117.055
Jayvontay Conner7162123.179
Yannick Smith1413629.725

View East Carolina's Full Roster
East Carolina's DC Josh Aldridge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle140003
Samuel Dankah122011
Ryheem Craig101111
Teagan Wilk (Tr)91000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jasiyah Robinson42210
Kendrick DuJour (Tr)72201
J.D. Lampley53111
Preston Carr82100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle140003
Kevon Merrell31012
Chance Graves (Tr)10001