Memphis at East Carolina Game Matchup
Memphis logo Memphis Tigers at East Carolina PiratesEast Carolina logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium - Greenville, NC  (American Athletic)

 
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (41 - 21)
Avg Score : 36 - 24 (34 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
ECU 2nd straight Home Game
MEM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Memphis -7   (SP+ MEM -8.5)
Projected Score: MEM: 35 - ECU: 28 (60)
MEM Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
MEM Travel: 711 miles, 1 hrs behind
Pirates (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (4 - 1)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (36 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#78)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
 
Memphis's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Memphis vs Chattanooga-25.5
Sat 9/6 Memphis at Georgia State-16
Sat 9/13 Memphis at Troy-4
Sat 9/20 Memphis vs Arkansas+5
Sat 9/27 Memphis at Florida Atlantic-13.5
Sat 10/4 Memphis vs Tulsa-22
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Memphis at UAB-14
Sat 10/25 Memphis vs South Florida-4
Fri 10/31 Memphis at Rice-16
Fri 11/7 Memphis vs Tulane-1
Sat 11/15 Memphis at East Carolina-7
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Memphis vs Navy-9.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
East Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 East Carolina at NC State+12.50.0
Sat 9/6 East Carolina vs Campbell-16
Sat 9/13 East Carolina at Coastal Carolina-1.5
Sat 9/20 East Carolina vs BYU+15.5
Thu 9/25 East Carolina vs Army+1.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 East Carolina at Tulane+13.5
Thu 10/16 East Carolina vs Tulsa-12.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 East Carolina at Temple-8.5
Sat 11/8 East Carolina vs Charlotte-15.5
Sat 11/15 East Carolina vs Memphis+7
Sat 11/22 East Carolina at UTSA+10.5
Sat 11/29 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic-4

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)35.746% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)23.840% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)3244% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)27.337% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Offense1335.733.543.7%4.660.6234461752705.146%54%46%41%12%.27
ECU Defense1327.32139.5%3.851.6 - - - - - 54%46%37%43%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Defense1323.83440%4.051.9 - - - - - 43%56%40%40%20%.19
ECU Offense13323643.3%3.792.2204001472534.452%48%44%43%15%.22

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Memphis1333:1423.146%52%5.3480.61.95.81.9032.3
East Carolina1323:0820.142%53%7.3612.21.66.51.3430.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Offense1346% (99)46% (40)34.2175.15.133 (12).22 (26)3.27 (31)69% (93)7% (17)1.06 (38)
ECU Defense1354% (109)37% (11) - - - - .03 (22)2.57 (14)57% (3)11% (48)1.02 (84)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Defense1343% (5)40% (45) - - - - .09 (50)2.64 (20)64% (22)12% (20)1.13 (120)
ECU Offense1352% (63)44% (71)33.2147.34.420 (67).17 (47)3.07 (57)79% (27)8% (42)1.02 (48)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Offense1354% (33)41% (71)23.836.8270.57.311.325 (31)6 (10).31 (42)1.6 (47)30% (44)34% (40).47 (16)5% (32)2.1 (61)
ECU Defense1346% (28)43% (86) - - - - - - 13 (31).32 (105)1.7 (98)33% (51)35% (117).46 (122)5% (104)2.1 (78)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Defense1356% (130)40% (62) - - - - - - 11 (52).28 (90)1.7 (93)34% (40)30% (70).43 (112)8% (13)2.4 (134)
ECU Offense1348% (72)43% (54)18.530.7252.78.213.726 (26)21 (134).28 (54)1.7 (24)30% (37)34% (33).51 (8)7% (92)2.3 (7)

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 2.03 #60
Memphis's Offense Rating: 17.51 #46
Memphis's Defense Rating: 15.48 #73
2025 Talent Rating: 714.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #44
Memphis's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Memphis's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #53
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #23
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #94

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 2.03   East Carolina: -4.92

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 2.1   East Carolina: -6.6




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -4.92 #88
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 12.37 #79
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 20.61 #100
2025 Talent Rating: 606.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
East Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
East Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #90
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #106

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Memphis Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Memphis's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 35
East Carolina 28

Projected Total Points: 60
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

East Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/15East Carolina47Memphis45East CarolinaEast Carolina -5.5Memphis62.5Over
202111/13Memphis29East Carolina30East CarolinaMemphis -4East Carolina58.5Over
201811/03East Carolina41Memphis59MemphisMemphis -11Memphis66.5Over
201711/25Memphis70East Carolina13MemphisMemphis -29.5Memphis81.0Over
201210/13East Carolina41Memphis7East Carolina
201110/15Memphis17East Carolina35East Carolina
201009/11East Carolina49Memphis27East Carolina
200910/27Memphis19East Carolina38East Carolina
200810/18East Carolina30Memphis10East Carolina
200711/03Memphis40East Carolina56East Carolina
200609/16East Carolina35Memphis20East Carolina
200510/22Memphis27East Carolina24Memphis
200411/20East Carolina35Memphis38Memphis
200311/01Memphis41East Carolina24Memphis
200110/20East Carolina32Memphis11East Carolina
200010/06Memphis17East Carolina10Memphis
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina1014 Overs
Memphis630 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 61 - 31 - 20 - 1
Road Teams6 - 103 - 11 - 02 - 1

(#60) Memphis Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.03 #60
Offense Rating: 17.51 #46
Defense Rating: 15.48 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #53
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #23
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #94
Talent Rating: 714.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #44
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Memphis Notes
(5/23) Memphis was 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) 61% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/12) RB looks very thin. No portals after Amos left
(4/8) OL 2/5 back, 6 portals. X. Hill (OT) left in spring
(3/22) WR rebuild. 3 portals, watch Caldwell (FCS)
(3/22) Def replacing most, 17 portals added, 8 DBs
(3/22) Near last in return prod, over 50% roster new
(3/22) QB Lewis a real weapon (Nev), huge add
Memphis     Ratings Matchup     East Carolina
Power #60
#88
Off #46
#79
Def #73
#100
Talent #69
#82
SP+ #53
#90
SP+ Off #23
#65
SP+ Def #94
#106

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Memphis in 2022 (47-45)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MEM | ECU
Depth Chart: MEM | ECU
Rosters: MEM | ECU
(#88) East Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.92 #88
Offense Rating: 12.37 #79
Defense Rating: 20.61 #100
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #106
Talent Rating: 606.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


East Carolina Notes
(3/23) QB battle, both Garcia & Houser starting exp.
(3/23) New RB1, Montgomery/Gunn have exp
(3/23) WR Smith returns, Smith exp. 3 P4 portal adds
(3/23) OL 4/5 back, avg LY. 2 portals. Better TY
(3/23) Def awful LY, rebuild. 4 DL/4 DB portal adds
(3/23) New DC Aldridge 1st time. Exp w/ Aub/Lib
(3/23) HC Harrell won job w/ 4-1 finish LY.


  
Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendon Lewis (Tr)21131268%22901677.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brendon Lewis (Tr)15777584.967
Gregory DeRosiers3122837.446
Makari Bodiford1510617.140
Jamari Hawkins43107.810
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gregory DeRosiers2117548.325
Marcello Bussey10147114.736
Brady Kluse590018.034
Jadon Thompson (Tr)688214.733

View Memphis's Full Roster
Memphis's DC Jordon Hankins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)758341
Drue Watts (Tr)655103
Sam Brumfield (Tr)613201
Cam Burden (Tr)573002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
William Whitlow Jr.248531
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)758341
Isaiah Green (Tr)283240
Sam Brumfield (Tr)613201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chauncey Logan (Tr)232003
Drue Watts (Tr)655103
Chris Bracy (Tr)180002

East Carolina's OC John David Baker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser14924561%200618118.2
Jake Garcia10918160%14268127.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery7135925.148
Marlon Gunn6122433.720
Katin Houser4917043.535
Mike Wright (Tr)178214.820
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith41799619.564
Yannick Smith25434317.452
Jaquaize Pettaway (Tr)587017.446
Desirrio Riles883210.432

View East Carolina's Full Roster
East Carolina's DC Josh Aldridge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
Rasheed Reason (Tr)502004
Ryheem Craig496210
Samuel Dankah347312
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Dankah347312
Kendrick DuJour (Tr)234310
Ryheem Craig496210
J.D. Lampley255260
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
Rasheed Reason (Tr)502004
Samuel Dankah347312