Army at East Carolina - 2025 Matchup Preview
Army logo Army Black Knights at East Carolina PiratesEast Carolina logo
Thursday, September 25th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
East Carolina -3.5 (52.5) (-175)  Open: -2.5
East Carolina 28 - Army: 6  (American Athletic)

 
Black Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (81 - 57)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (21 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.3 - 6.7 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
ECU 2nd straight Home Game
ECU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: East Carolina -14.5  (SP+ ECU -10)

Projected Score: ARMY: 19 - ECU: 33 (52)
ECU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ARMY Travel: 440 miles
Pirates (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Blake Harrell (4 - 1)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
 
Army's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Army vs Tarleton State-14.547.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 9/6 Army at Kansas State+17.048.5W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Army vs North Texas+2.550.5L 38 - 45ON
Thu 9/25 Army at East Carolina+3.552.5L 6 - 28UN
Sat 10/4 Army at UAB-6.555.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 10/11 Army vs Charlotte-17.545.5W 24 - 7UN
Sat 10/18 Army at Tulane+10.044.5L 17 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Army at Air Force-1.548.5W 20 - 17UY
Sat 11/8 Army vs Temple-7.545.5W 14 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Army vs Tulsa-10.043.5L 25 - 26ON
Sat 11/29 Army at UTSA+8.550.5W 27 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Army vs Navy+6.038.0L 16 - 17UY
Sat 12/27 Army vs UConn-5.541.5W 41 - 16OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 5, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Army's Schedule
East Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 East Carolina at NC State+12.558.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 9/6 East Carolina vs Campbell-30.056.0W 56 - 3OY
Sat 9/13 East Carolina at Coastal Carolina-7.058.0W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/20 East Carolina vs BYU+6.549.5L 13 - 34UN
Thu 9/25 East Carolina vs Army-3.552.5W 28 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 East Carolina at Tulane+7.053.5L 19 - 26UY
Thu 10/16 East Carolina vs Tulsa-16.554.5W 41 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 East Carolina at Temple-5.558.5W 45 - 14OY
Sat 11/8 East Carolina vs Charlotte-29.556.5W 48 - 22ON
Sat 11/15 East Carolina vs Memphis-3.056.5W 31 - 27OY
Sat 11/22 East Carolina at UTSA-2.062.5L 24 - 58ON
Sat 11/29 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic-6.566.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 12/27 East Carolina vs Pittsburgh+13.551.5W 23 - 17UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 6, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY#56 (.19)42% (70)23.843% (79)3.06 (46)22738% (106)733.7 (68)#75 (.18)44% (106)21.645% (98)45% (113)3.76 (74)21.90.81.2
ECU#34 (.22)46% (25)32.745% (51)3.04 (53)17149% (14)2593.76 (63)#35 (.09)38% (29)20.138% (20)39% (44)3.05 (21)58.411.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)52% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)45% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Offense1323.820.842.2%3.70.817299227734.384%15%43%38%8%.19
ECU Defense1320.119.838.3%3.051.5 - - - - - 46%52%38%39%19%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Defense1321.621.244.4%3.761.2 - - - - - 54%45%45%45%13%.18
ECU Offense1332.736.246.5%3.761224301712594.352%46%45%49%13%.22

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Army1331:481739%70%2.621.90.81.23.21130.3
East Carolina1326:1522.550%45%6.858.411.57.22131.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Offense1384% (1)43% (79)53.2226.74.326 (23).15 (51)3.06 (46)78% (27)7% (13)0.96 (70)
ECU Defense1346% (28)38% (20) - - - - .02 (25)2.5 (12)49% (1)14% (5)1.09 (121)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Defense1354% (110)45% (98) - - - - .1 (68)3.13 (107)75% (96)8% (123)0.87 (21)
ECU Offense1352% (44)45% (51)39.8170.84.331 (30).12 (67)3.04 (53)69% (93)8% (32)0.84 (121)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Offense1315% (136)38% (106)4.7972.58.115.55 (134)5 (20).47 (10)2.4 (1)27% (16)29% (81).25 (92)1% (1)1.7 (133)
ECU Defense1352% (114)39% (44) - - - - - - 9 (100).17 (36)1.4 (24)36% (13)28% (48).18 (26)6% (81)1.8 (22)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Defense1345% (24)45% (113) - - - - - - 8 (75).29 (90)1.5 (38)29% (109)30% (73).24 (53)5% (98)1.9 (35)
ECU Offense1346% (90)49% (14)21.332.5259.1812.220 (61)6 (34).37 (32)1.5 (72)26% (11)37% (12).49 (13)5% (30)1.8 (115)

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: -3.41  #84
Army's Offense Rating: 8.60  #69
Army's Defense Rating: 12.01  #94
2025 Talent Rating: 146.00  #135
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Army's 2025 Expected Record: 6.3 - 6.7
Army's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9  #80
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1  #100
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #55

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Army: -3.41   East Carolina: 11.73

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Army: -1.9   East Carolina: 8.1




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 11.73  #40
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 15.08  #40
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 4.72  #45
2025 Talent Rating: 690.00  #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
East Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
East Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1  #40
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #33
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.9  #53

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Army Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Army's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 33
Army 19


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
East Carolina 29
Army 22

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
East Carolina 28
Army 21

Total Points: 49
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

East Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/25East Carolina28Army6East Carolina -3.5East Carolina52.5Under
202410/19Army45East Carolina28Army -17.5East Carolina54.0Over
200410/30East Carolina38Army28
200310/18Army32East Carolina38
200210/05East Carolina59Army24
200110/13Army26East Carolina49
200010/13East Carolina42Army21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina621 Overs
Army101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 21 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 51 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#84) ARMY at (#40) ECU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARMYECU
Power RatePwr #84 #40
SP+SP+ #80 #40
Perf GradeGrade #73 #73
OffenseOff #32 #61
DefenseDef #117 #87
Spec TeamsST #75 #78
TalentTal #135 #78
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
Army Notes
(11/29) Great win at UTSA to get bowl eligible. Navy game left
(8/30) Off decent, Def meh, mistakes in bad L vs Tar St
(8/24) QB1 D Coleman starter after E Washington inj
(5/19) QB Coleman, Hellums or Washington?
(5/17) Def returns a lot, but offense replacing most
(3/24) QB rebuild, Coleman some exp
(3/24) RB rebuild, Udoh gone (ASU). Have options
(3/24) WR rebuild, 3 career Rec. return.
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, depth some exp. Great LY
(3/24) Def was great LY, returns a lot. DL some size
(3/24) HC Monken incredible, 12 wins, AAC champs LY
Army Injury Report
East Carolina Notes
(12/17) Hired OC Jordan Davis (N Tex). Incredible hire
(8/29) QB Houser baller vs NC St, Pass Def bad in L
(7/25) WR duo A Smith & Y Smith good, 3 good portals
(7/12) QB Houser starting exp, beat Garcia (fo to Mich)
(7/12) RBs v strong, Montgomery/Gunn exp'd & deep
(3/23) OL 4/5 back, avg LY. 2 portals. Better TY
(3/23) Def awful LY, rebuild. 4 DL/4 DB portal adds
(3/23) New DC Aldridge 1st time. Exp w/ Aub/Lib
(3/23) HC Harrell won job w/ 4-1 finish LY.
East Carolina Injury Report
Army on Offense
Option Offense 85%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat
ARMY OffECU Def
Perf GradePerf #32 #87
SuccessSuc #70 #29
ExplosiveExp #122 #88
PPAPPA #56 #35
PowerPwr #69 #45
SP+SP+ #100 #53
Pts POPPO #68 #21
HavocHav #1 #13
Army Run Game
Option Offense 85%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat
ARMY OffECU Def
Run GameRun #112 #77
Run SuccessRSuc #79 #20
Run ExplRExp #70 #121
PPAExp #51 #25
Run BlockR Blk #4 -
OL YdsOLY #46 #12
Stuff RateStuff #5 #3
TackleTak -  #133
Army Pass Game
Option Offense 85%, Pass: 14%
CategoryCat
ARMY OffECU Def
Pass GamePass #53 #73
Pass SuccessPSuc #106 #44
Pass ExplPExl #1 #24
PPAExp #10 #36
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #102 #92
F7 HavocF7 #13 #5
DB HavocDB #1 #81
East Carolina on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatECU OffARMY Def
Perf GradePerf #61 #117
SuccessSuc #25 #106
ExplosiveExp #108 #11
PPAPPA #34 #75
PowerPwr #40 #94
SP+SP+ #33 #55
Pts POPPO #63 #74
HavocHav #27 #121
East Carolina Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ECU OffARMY Def
Run GameRun #34 #124
Run SuccessRSuc #51 #98
Run ExplRExp #121 #21
PPAExp #67 #68
Run BlockR Blk #116 -
OL YdsOLY #53 #107
Stuff RateStuff #14 #112
TackleTak -  #73
East Carolina Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatECU OffARMY Def
Pass GamePass #18 #92
Pass SuccessPSuc #14 #113
Pass ExplPExl #72 #38
PPAExp #32 #90
Pass Block/RushP Blk #105 #132
F7 HavocF7 #32 #123
DB HavocDB #30 #98
Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

ARMY 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 86° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 5
East Carolina -3.5 (52.5)
East Carolina won vs Army this year (28-6)

Previous Matchups
Army beat East Carolina last year (45-28)

  
ARMY's OC Cody Worley (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cale Hellums478754%694438.0
Dewayne Coleman193653%273227.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cale Hellums3051215184.050
Noah Short9857115.881
Hayden Reed7433534.537
Dewayne Coleman8529733.526
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Short32438213.744
Bradyn Anderson14381227.268
Samari Howard11133112.141
Parker Poloskey454113.526

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andon Thomas1124135
Kalib Fortner838280
Collin Matteson792027
Casey Larkin693013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric Ford528572
Jack Bousum287451
Cole Searight234201
Kalib Fortner838280
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Matteson792027
Andon Thomas1124135
Casey Larkin693013

ECU's OC John David Baker (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser26940866%33001968.1
Chaston Ditta122450%215309.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery15674274.851
Marlon Gunn11258265.250
TJ Engleman5930615.223
Parker Jenkins (Tr)7525623.417
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith641053716.572
Yannick Smith44583513.359
Brock Spalding42554313.255
Desirrio Riles28362212.942

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Josh Aldridge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle704006
DJ Johnson Jr.605120
Samuel Dankah587213
Dameon Wilson548121
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zion Wilson4210641
Jasiyah Robinson257530
Kendrick DuJour (Tr)115411
Rion Roseborough (Tr)166310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle704006
Teagan Wilk (Tr)542014
Jordy Lowery (Tr)272004