Army at East Carolina Game Matchup
Army logo Army Black Knights at East Carolina PiratesEast Carolina logo
Thursday, September 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium - Greenville, NC  (American Athletic)

 
Black Knights (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (81 - 57)
Avg Score : 31 - 16 (32 - 8 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#46)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
ECU 2nd straight Home Game
ECU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Army -1.5   (SP+ ARMY -6)

Projected Score: ARMY: 26 - ECU: 25 (53)
ARMY Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
ARMY Travel: 440 miles
Pirates (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (4 - 1)
Avg Score : 32 - 27 (36 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#78)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
 
Army's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Army vs Tarleton State-20
Sat 9/6 Army at Kansas State+21
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Army vs North Texas-7
Thu 9/25 Army at East Carolina-1.5
Sat 10/4 Army at UAB-8.5
Sat 10/11 Army vs Charlotte-19.5
Sat 10/18 Army at Tulane+9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Army at Air Force-6
Sat 11/8 Army vs Temple-17.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Army vs Tulsa-17
Fri 11/28 Army at UTSA+6.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Army vs Navy+1

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Army's Schedule
East Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 East Carolina at NC State+12.50.0
Sat 9/6 East Carolina vs Campbell-16
Sat 9/13 East Carolina at Coastal Carolina-1.5
Sat 9/20 East Carolina vs BYU+15.5
Thu 9/25 East Carolina vs Army+1.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 East Carolina at Tulane+13.5
Thu 10/16 East Carolina vs Tulsa-12.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 East Carolina at Temple-8.5
Sat 11/8 East Carolina vs Charlotte-15.5
Sat 11/15 East Carolina vs Memphis+7
Sat 11/22 East Carolina at UTSA+10.5
Sat 11/29 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic-4

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)31.152% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)15.545% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)3244% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)27.337% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Offense1431.132.350.7%4.470.619354278765.686%14%52%43%8%.32
ECU Defense1327.32139.5%3.851.6 - - - - - 54%46%37%43%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Defense1415.57.843.4%2.571.4 - - - - - 47%52%45%43%14%.12
ECU Offense13323643.3%3.792.2204001472534.452%48%44%43%15%.22

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Army1432:4619.149%77%3.130.50.61.43.91.4029.4
East Carolina1323:0820.142%53%7.3612.21.66.51.3430.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Offense1486% (1)52% (7)49.9277.85.644 (2).3 (9)3.57 (5)86% (3)6% (2)0.98 (60)
ECU Defense1354% (109)37% (11) - - - - .03 (22)2.57 (14)57% (3)11% (48)1.02 (84)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Defense1447% (32)45% (87) - - - - .14 (79)3.22 (100)67% (29)9% (92)0.94 (46)
ECU Offense1352% (63)44% (71)33.2147.34.420 (67).17 (47)3.07 (57)79% (27)8% (42)1.02 (48)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Offense1414% (134)43% (52)4.68.175.99.416.610 (127)4 (1).43 (8)1.9 (4)23% (1)32% (56).31 (80)2% (1)1.7 (134)
ECU Defense1346% (28)43% (86) - - - - - - 13 (31).32 (105)1.7 (98)33% (51)35% (117).46 (122)5% (104)2.1 (78)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Defense1452% (99)43% (88) - - - - - - 17 (5).15 (30)1.5 (25)32% (68)30% (57).29 (60)5% (96)2.1 (91)
ECU Offense1348% (72)43% (54)18.530.7252.78.213.726 (26)21 (134).28 (54)1.7 (24)30% (37)34% (33).51 (8)7% (92)2.3 (7)

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: -6.03 #84
Army's Offense Rating: 12.00 #81
Army's Defense Rating: 18.03 #89
2025 Talent Rating: 172.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Army's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Army's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6 #67
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #46

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Army: -6.03   East Carolina: -4.92

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Army: -0.6   East Carolina: -6.6




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -4.92 #88
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 12.37 #79
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 20.61 #100
2025 Talent Rating: 606.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
East Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
East Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #90
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #106

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Army Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.3
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 7.8

Army's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Army 26
East Carolina 25


Projected Total Points: 53
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

East Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Army45East Carolina28ArmyArmy -17.5East Carolina54.0Over
200410/30East Carolina38Army28East Carolina
200310/18Army32East Carolina38East Carolina
200210/05East Carolina59Army24East Carolina
200110/13Army26East Carolina49East Carolina
200010/13East Carolina42Army21East Carolina
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina511 Overs
Army100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 41 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#84) Army Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.03 #84
Offense Rating: 12.00 #81
Defense Rating: 18.03 #89
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6 #67
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #46
Talent Rating: 172.00 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Option Offense 86%, Pass: 14%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.47 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Great in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Army Notes
(5/19) QB Coleman, Hellums or Washington?
(5/17) Def returns a lot, but offense replacing most
(3/24) QB rebuild, Coleman some exp
(3/24) RB rebuild, Udoh gone (ASU). Have options
(3/24) WR rebuild, 3 career Rec. return.
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, depth some exp. Great LY
(3/24) Def was great LY, returns a lot. DL some size
(3/24) HC Monken incredible, 12 wins, AAC champs LY
Army     Ratings Matchup     East Carolina
Power #84
#88
Off #81
#79
Def #89
#100
Talent #134
#82
SP+ #67
#90
SP+ Off #88
#65
SP+ Def #46
#106

Previous Matchups
Army beat East Carolina last year (45-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ARMY | ECU
Depth Chart: ARMY | ECU
Rosters: ARMY | ECU
(#88) East Carolina Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.92 #88
Offense Rating: 12.37 #79
Defense Rating: 20.61 #100
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #106
Talent Rating: 606.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 37%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


East Carolina Notes
(3/23) QB battle, both Garcia & Houser starting exp.
(3/23) New RB1, Montgomery/Gunn have exp
(3/23) WR Smith returns, Smith exp. 3 P4 portal adds
(3/23) OL 4/5 back, avg LY. 2 portals. Better TY
(3/23) Def awful LY, rebuild. 4 DL/4 DB portal adds
(3/23) New DC Aldridge 1st time. Exp w/ Aub/Lib
(3/23) HC Harrell won job w/ 4-1 finish LY.


  
Army's OC Cody Worley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dewayne Coleman111669%121107.6
James Wagenseller11100%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Short7556927.661
Hayden Reed4020715.215
Dewayne Coleman3813613.615
Samari Howard2312805.621
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Short17318318.758
Hayden Reed663110.523
Liam Fortner128028.028
Samari Howard21105.57

View Army's Full Roster
Army's DC Nate Woody
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andon Thomas853012
Kalib Fortner7610343
Casey Larkin456002
Justin Weaver333000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kalib Fortner7610343
Eric Ford213201
Kody Harris-Miller305210
Jacob Tuioti81100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gavin Shields101004
Jaydan Mayes273003
Kalib Fortner7610343

East Carolina's OC John David Baker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser14924561%200618118.2
Jake Garcia10918160%14268127.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery7135925.148
Marlon Gunn6122433.720
Katin Houser4917043.535
Mike Wright (Tr)178214.820
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith41799619.564
Yannick Smith25434317.452
Jaquaize Pettaway (Tr)587017.446
Desirrio Riles883210.432

View East Carolina's Full Roster
East Carolina's DC Josh Aldridge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
Rasheed Reason (Tr)502004
Ryheem Craig496210
Samuel Dankah347312
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Dankah347312
Kendrick DuJour (Tr)234310
Ryheem Craig496210
J.D. Lampley255260
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle634004
Rasheed Reason (Tr)502004
Samuel Dankah347312