Army at East Carolina - 2025 Matchup Preview
Army logo Army Black Knights at East Carolina PiratesEast Carolina logo
Thursday, September 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium - Greenville, NC  (American Athletic)

 
Black Knights (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (81 - 57)
Avg Score : 26 - 26 (24 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 6.4 (#87)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 5)
ECU 2nd straight Home Game
ECU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: East Carolina -10.5   (SP+ ARMY -0.5)

Projected Score: ARMY: 20 - ECU: 30 (50)
ECU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
ARMY Travel: 440 miles
Pirates (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Blake Harrell (4 - 1)
Avg Score : 37 - 9 (56 - 3 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
 
Army's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Army vs Tarleton State-14.547.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 9/6 Army at Kansas State+17.048.5W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Army vs North Texas+1.552.5
Thu 9/25 Army at East Carolina+10.5
Sat 10/4 Army at UAB-5
Sat 10/11 Army vs Charlotte-13
Sat 10/18 Army at Tulane+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Army at Air Force-3.5
Sat 11/8 Army vs Temple+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Army vs Tulsa-7
Fri 11/28 Army at UTSA+9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Army vs Navy+10.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 6, Bad 1, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Army's Schedule
East Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 East Carolina at NC State+12.558.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 9/6 East Carolina vs Campbell-30.056.0W 56 - 3OY
Sat 9/13 East Carolina at Coastal Carolina-7.058.0W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/20 East Carolina vs BYU+7.549.5
Thu 9/25 East Carolina vs Army-10.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 East Carolina at Tulane+5.5
Thu 10/16 East Carolina vs Tulsa-15.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 East Carolina at Temple-0.5
Sat 11/8 East Carolina vs Charlotte-21
Sat 11/15 East Carolina vs Memphis+11
Sat 11/22 East Carolina at UTSA+1
Sat 11/29 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic-7.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY#92 (.13)40% (99)25.539% (102)2.54 (107)25942% (77)1133.73 (83)#93 (.18)36% (39)25.531% (17)40% (66)4.63 (111)22.51.50.5
ECU#53 (.24)43% (73)3730% (132)2.2 (126)13553% (23)3464.04 (66)#44 (.06)35% (34)936% (44)34% (39)2.22 (20)73.30.32.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)52% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)45% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Offense225.52439.9%3.731.5223722591133.884%16%39%42%12%.13
ECU Defense39334.9%2.222.7 - - - - - 41%59%36%34%25%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Defense225.52135.6%4.630.5 - - - - - 49%51%31%40%20%.18
ECU Offense3375642.9%4.040.3254821353463.542%58%30%53%10%.24

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Army238:312242%78%3.522.51.50.54.51030.8
East Carolina329:5024.757%25%8.773.30.32.79.32.7036.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Offense284% (1)39% (102)68258.53.85 (62).03 (102)2.54 (107)80% (36)10% (82)0.9 (86)
ECU Defense341% (15)36% (44) - - - - .03 (57)2.1 (15)60% (34)18% (3)1.14 (103)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Defense249% (62)31% (17) - - - - .08 (78)2.53 (46)75% (80)11% (58)1.18 (109)
ECU Offense342% (116)30% (132)38.3135.33.59 (17)-.08 (127)2.2 (126)50% (124)5% (14)1.01 (55)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Offense216% (136)42% (77)8141138.114.11 (123)2 (60).64 (11)2.5 (2)31% (73)31% (73).36 (61)3% (14)1.9 (79)
ECU Defense359% (125)34% (39) - - - - - - 3 (28).07 (31)1.5 (54)41% (4)28% (63).15 (43)7% (38)1.8 (45)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Defense251% (78)40% (66) - - - - - - 1 (87).28 (92)1.5 (74)38% (16)28% (58).37 (93)10% (10)2.4 (117)
ECU Offense358% (19)53% (23)3042346.38.311.56 (34)1 (23).48 (25)1.5 (77)29% (58)43% (20).81 (9)4% (45)2.3 (30)

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: -13.90 #113
Army's Offense Rating: 3.07 #114
Army's Defense Rating: 16.97 #106
2025 Talent Rating: 146.00 #135
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Army's 2025 Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4
Army's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #68
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #50

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Army: -13.90   East Carolina: 4.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Army: 0.9   East Carolina: 0.4




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 4.21 #73
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 8.15 #73
2025 Talent Rating: 690.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
East Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
East Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #65
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #74

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Army Scoring
Offense: 25.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Army's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 30
Army 20


Total Points: 50

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 37 PPG
Offense at Home: 56
Defense: 9 PPG
Defense at Home: 3

East Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Army45East Carolina28ArmyArmy -17.5East Carolina54.0Over
200410/30East Carolina38Army28East Carolina
200310/18Army32East Carolina38East Carolina
200210/05East Carolina59Army24East Carolina
200110/13Army26East Carolina49East Carolina
200010/13East Carolina42Army21East Carolina
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina511 Overs
Army100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 41 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#113) Army Info
Power Rating: -13.90 #113
Offense Rating: 3.07 #114
Defense Rating: 16.97 #106
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #50
Talent Rating: 146.00 #135
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 5.6 - 6.4

Team Profile
Option Offense 84%, Pass: 16%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Poor Run Success 39%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 36%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.63 PPO
Great Run Def Success 31%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Army has lost 1 straight
Army has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Army Notes
(8/30) Off decent, Def meh, mistakes in bad L vs Tar St
(8/24) QB1 D Coleman starter after E Washington inj
(5/19) QB Coleman, Hellums or Washington?
(5/17) Def returns a lot, but offense replacing most
(3/24) QB rebuild, Coleman some exp
(3/24) RB rebuild, Udoh gone (ASU). Have options
(3/24) WR rebuild, 3 career Rec. return.
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, depth some exp. Great LY
(3/24) Def was great LY, returns a lot. DL some size
(3/24) HC Monken incredible, 12 wins, AAC champs LY

Army Highlights
Army has a good run defense (#17)
Army Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#17)
Army Secondary is very good (#10)
Army commits very few Penalties (#1)

Army Deficiencies
Army run game is really bad (#102)
Army does not Sack the QB (#122)
Army gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#101)
Army has a bad red zone defense (#111)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatECUARMY
OverallOver#46#78
OffenseOff#57#64
DefenseDef#40#85
Special TeamsST#46#96
PassingPass#18#86
RushingRush#73#88
Run BlockRBLK#101#48
Pass BlockPBLK#85#53
Route RunningWR Rt#34#36
TacklingTkl#111#8
Run DefenseR Def#28#90
Pass Rush DefPRush#56#105
Coverage DefCov#29#69

Previous Matchups
Army beat East Carolina last year (45-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ARMY | ECU
Depth Chart: ARMY | ECU
Rosters: ARMY | ECU
(#73) East Carolina Info
Power Rating: 4.21 #73
Offense Rating: 11.17 #77
Defense Rating: 8.15 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #74
Talent Rating: 690.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Awful Run Success 30%
Good Pass Success 53%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Great in Scoring Position 2.22 PPO
Good Run Def Success 36%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

East Carolina has lost 1 straight
East Carolina has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

East Carolina Notes
(8/29) QB Houser baller vs NC St, Pass Def bad in L
(7/25) WR duo A Smith & Y Smith good, 3 good portals
(7/12) QB Houser starting exp, beat Garcia (fo to Mich)
(7/12) RBs v strong, Montgomery/Gunn exp'd & deep
(3/23) OL 4/5 back, avg LY. 2 portals. Better TY
(3/23) Def awful LY, rebuild. 4 DL/4 DB portal adds
(3/23) New DC Aldridge 1st time. Exp w/ Aub/Lib
(3/23) HC Harrell won job w/ 4-1 finish LY.

East Carolina Highlights
East Carolina is Undefeated vs Spread
East Carolina is Undefeated at Home
East Carolina is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

East Carolina offense is good on 3rd downs
East Carolina defense is really good in red zone (#20)
East Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#5)
East Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#15)
East Carolina Front 7 is disruptive (#3)
East Carolina has a great TO Margin (#11)
East Carolina defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

East Carolina Deficiencies
East Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#127)
East Carolina run game is really bad (#132)


  
Army's OC Cody Worley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cale Hellums81553%45103.0
Dewayne Coleman71258%1290210.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cale Hellums4916133.316
Noah Short2110405.017
Dewayne Coleman2410014.226
Hayden Reed249814.137
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Bradyn Anderson499124.852
Noah Short896012.027
Samari Howard31605.38
Brady Mott115015.015

View Army's Full Roster
Army's DC Nate Woody
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andon Thomas231010
Casey Larkin140010
Collin Matteson131013
Kalib Fortner94110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kalib Fortner94110
Eric Ford82101
Andon Thomas231010
Cole Searight20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Matteson131013
Jaydan Mayes40002
Jaxon Hammond20001

East Carolina's OC John David Baker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser8311672%973518.4
Mike Wright (Tr)3560%13002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery3010823.610
Parker Jenkins (Tr)237823.417
TJ Engleman116716.118
Mike Wright (Tr)85016.318
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Smith23241010.531
Brock Spalding13221117.055
Jayvontay Conner7162123.179
Yannick Smith1413629.725

View East Carolina's Full Roster
East Carolina's DC Josh Aldridge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle140003
Samuel Dankah122011
Ryheem Craig101111
Teagan Wilk (Tr)91000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jasiyah Robinson42210
Kendrick DuJour (Tr)72201
J.D. Lampley53111
Preston Carr82100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marley Riddle140003
Kevon Merrell31012
Chance Graves (Tr)10001