San Diego State at Washington State - 2025 Matchup Preview
San Diego State logo San Diego State Aztecs at Washington State CougarsWashington State logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (10:15 PM EDT)
Washington State -2.0 (46.5) (-150)  Open: -3.0 | 45.0
Washington State 36 - San Diego State: 13

 
Aztecs (5 - 1) (5 - 1 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 31 - 12 (21 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.4 - 1.6 (#6)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
WSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: San Diego State -12.5  (SP+ SDSU -9.5)

Projected Score: SDSU: 30 - WSU: 17 (47)
WSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
SDSU Travel: 964 miles
Cougars (3 - 3) (3 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Rogers (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 28 (24 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#90)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
 
San Diego State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 San Diego State vs Stony Brook-19.553.5W 42 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 San Diego State at Washington State+2.046.5L 13 - 36ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 San Diego State vs California+14.047.5W 34 - 0UY
Sat 9/27 San Diego State at Northern Illinois-1.541.5W 6 - 3UY
Fri 10/3 San Diego State vs Colorado State-4.540.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 10/11 San Diego State at Nevada-6.542.5W 44 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 San Diego State at Fresno State-14
Sat 11/1 San Diego State vs Wyoming-17
Sat 11/8 San Diego State at Hawai'i-14
Sat 11/15 San Diego State vs Boise State-11
Sat 11/22 San Diego State vs San José State-22.5
Fri 11/28 San Diego State at New Mexico-14

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
Washington State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Washington State vs Idaho-16.550.5W 13 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 Washington State vs San Diego State-2.046.5W 36 - 13OY
Sat 9/13 Washington State at North Texas+6.557.5L 10 - 59ON
Sat 9/20 Washington State vs Washington+21.051.5L 24 - 59ON
Sat 9/27 Washington State at Colorado State+4.548.5W 20 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Washington State at Ole Miss+33.558.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/18 Washington State at Virginia+17.556.5
Sat 10/25 Washington State vs Toledo+13.5
Sat 11/1 Washington State at Oregon State-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Washington State vs Louisiana Tech-1
Sat 11/22 Washington State at James Madison+14.5
Sat 11/29 Washington State vs Oregon State-6.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU#55 (.22)45% (53)30.747% (47)3.46 (12)18142% (78)1904.5 (37)#3 (-.07)31% (4)12.231% (8)30% (7)2.48 (6)600.31
WSU#105 (.12)42% (82)20.739% (107)2.33 (130)8844% (58)2274.11 (63)#94 (.21)47% (121)2850% (127)44% (94)4.31 (106)46.21.50.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU#108 (.12)37% (120)37% (124)3 (78)12938% (109)2063.44 (107)#103 (.23)46% (113)49% (117)43% (98)4.28 (111)81.80.81
WSU#19 (.29)48% (15)47% (27)3.1 (54)15949% (8)2484.43 (23)#99 (.22)46% (112)51% (129)43% (91)4.18 (107)54.80.81.7



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Offense630.72144.7%4.50.3193681811904.461%39%47%42%13%.22
WSU Defense62827.346.8%4.310.7 - - - - - 55%45%50%44%14%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Defense612.216.330.9%2.481 - - - - - 48%52%31%30%15%-.07
WSU Offense620.724.342.2%4.111.518314882273.143%57%39%44%17%.12

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San Diego State631:3318.537%46%6.3600.314.72.5330
Washington State631:5218.337%80%5.846.21.50.762.3026.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense661% (10)47% (47)40.8180.74.411 (61).16 (54)3.46 (12)72% (75)8% (23)0.81 (120)
WSU Defense655% (113)50% (127) - - - - .18 (112)3.18 (120)71% (73)11% (41)0.93 (59)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense648% (47)31% (8) - - - - -.05 (17)2.87 (71)64% (35)8% (109)0.93 (60)
WSU Offense643% (117)39% (107)28.587.53.14 (125)-.04 (129)2.33 (130)58% (124)11% (102)0.71 (134)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense639% (128)42% (78)14.722.5189.58.412.97 (99)2 (11).33 (42)1.8 (10)27% (21)27% (102).27 (85)6% (64)2 (75)
WSU Defense645% (25)44% (94) - - - - - - 0.26 (78)1.5 (53)29% (108)34% (114).29 (74)3% (135)1.9 (37)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense652% (96)30% (7) - - - - - - 5 (46)-.1 (2)1.5 (58)37% (15)20% (7).05 (11)7% (27)2 (77)
WSU Offense657% (20)44% (58)23.233.8226.76.79.810 (60)5 (77).25 (80)1.3 (126)30% (54)25% (116).03 (133)6% (70)1.6 (131)

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: 13.77  #43
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 11.22  #67
San Diego State's Defense Rating: -2.55  #24
2025 Talent Rating: 594.00  #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
San Diego State's 2025 Expected Record: 10.4 - 1.6
San Diego State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2  #54
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #79
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #32

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: 13.77   Washington State: -2.945

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: 5.2   Washington State: -4.4




Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: -2.945  #99
Washington State's Offense Rating: 5.47  #103
Washington State's Defense Rating: 11.96  #87
2025 Talent Rating: 724.00  #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Washington State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Washington State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4  #82
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.4  #74
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7  #94

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 12.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.3

San Diego State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
San Diego State 30
Washington State 17


Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Washington State 27
San Diego State 21

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
San Diego State 27
Washington State 19

Total Points: 46
Washington State Scoring
Offense: 20.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.3
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Washington State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Washington State36San Diego State13Washington State -2.0Washington State46.5Over
202410/26San Diego State26Washington State29Washington State -17.0San Diego State56.5Under
201109/17San Diego State42Washington State24
200709/08Washington State45San Diego State17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Washington State311 Overs
San Diego State111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 30 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#43) SDSU at (#99) WSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSDSUWSU
Power RatePwr #43 #99
SP+SP+ #54 #82
Perf GradeGrade #6 #102
OffenseOff #33 #94
DefenseDef #5 #109
Spec TeamsST #41 #93
TalentTal #95 #70
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #101

San Diego State Notes
(10/4) Killed CSU, most total yards since '20. 250+ Pass/Run
(9/28) Def great, 3 points in last 2 games. Red Zone D tops
(9/23) CB Chris Johnson a lockdown, #2 Phillips good too
(9/21) Beat the brakes off Cal. Forced 3 TOs, Great win
(9/21) Defense is good, Offense is really bad. QBs bad
(8/1) OL 3/5 back, 4 portals, dont love OT on paper
(8/1) Def bad LY, 10 starters back, new DC Aurich
(8/1) Lewis also the OC, offense awful LY, team quit
(8/1) Fast offense, large totals. QB Emanuel key ?
(7/12) WR Kitt-Denton (FCS) avg'd 18.1 ypc at NW St
(5/23) New DC Aurich (DC @ Idaho) an improvement

Washington State Notes
(10/7) Sched has been sneaky brutal and gets worse in Oct
(9/3) QB1 Potter, but Ekhaus didn't play as #2?
(8/5) QB Dugger (Pitt) very mobile, played bowl vs Tol
(7/31) 18 (of 36) portals from S Dakota w/ staff
(7/31) QB ?, Ekhaus is mobile vs So. Potter
(7/31) RB rebuild, Pulalasi has exp, 3 SDSt portals
(7/31) Moving to a ground & pound offense w/ Rogers
(7/31) 70+ new players, 27 FCS, 1/2 starters via SDSt
(3/22) HC Rogers was 27-3 @ S Dakota
(3/22) WR rebuild, #'s look rough, very young
(3/22) OL returns 3/5, OK LY. Only 1 portal add.
San Diego State on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat
SDSU OffWSU Def
Perf GradePerf #33 #109
SuccessSuc #53 #121
ExplosiveExp #108 #30
PPAPPA #55 #94
PowerPwr #67 #87
SP+SP+ #79 #94
Pts POPPO #37 #106
HavocHav #38 #115
San Diego State Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat
SDSU OffWSU Def
Run GameRun #32 #103
Run SuccessRSuc #47 #127
Run ExplRExp #120 #59
PPAExp #54 #112
Run BlockR Blk #40 -
OL YdsOLY #12 #120
Stuff RateStuff #18 #89
TackleTak -  #135
San Diego State Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat
SDSU OffWSU Def
Pass GamePass #42 #124
Pass SuccessPSuc #78 #94
Pass ExplPExl #10 #53
PPAExp #42 #78
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #69 #45
F7 HavocF7 #23 #41
DB HavocDB #64 #135
Washington State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatWSU OffSDSU Def
Perf GradePerf #94 #5
SuccessSuc #82 #4
ExplosiveExp #131 #52
PPAPPA #105 #3
PowerPwr #103 #24
SP+SP+ #74 #32
Pts POPPO #63 #6
HavocHav #90 #81
Washington State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
WSU OffSDSU Def
Run GameRun #131 #16
Run SuccessRSuc #107 #8
Run ExplRExp #134 #60
PPAExp #129 #17
Run BlockR Blk #101 -
OL YdsOLY #130 #71
Stuff RateStuff #123 #94
TackleTak -  #17
Washington State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatWSU OffSDSU Def
Pass GamePass #64 #1
Pass SuccessPSuc #58 #7
Pass ExplPExl #126 #58
PPAExp #80 #2
Pass Block/RushP Blk #102 #74
F7 HavocF7 #102 #109
DB HavocDB #70 #27
Program Comparison
WSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Martin Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 73° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Washington State -2.0 (46.5)
Washington State won vs San Diego State this year (36-13)

Previous Matchups
Washington State beat San Diego State last year (29-26)

  
SDSU's OC Sean Lewis (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Denegal (Tr)8312666%1100728.7
Bert Emanuel Jr. (Tr)5863%37004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lucky Sutton10452665.120
Byron Cardwell3220216.322
Christian Washington (Tr)4819824.127
Jayden Denegal (Tr)335811.829
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Napier37556215.080
Donovan Brown16198112.445
Jacob Bostick (Tr)11157314.335
Mikey Welsh582016.444

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Rob Aurich (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Owen Chambliss445213
Chris Johnson302025
Dalesean Staley281004
Trey White266471
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey White266471
August Salvati (Tr)54400
Ryan Henderson84330
Niles King132210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Johnson302025
Dalesean Staley281004
Owen Chambliss445213

WSU's OC Danny Freund (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zevi Eckhaus7210569%756627.2
Jaxon Potter679571%604436.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kirby Vorhees (Tr)4824415.146
Leo Pulalasi159706.545
Angel Johnson (Tr)479602.012
Zevi Eckhaus326121.922
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tony Freeman30302110.123
Josh Meredith24285111.948
Jeremiah Noga (Tr)12141111.835
Carter Pabst5108021.643

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jesse Bobbit (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Parker McKenna453100
Anthony Palano (Tr)371101
Caleb Francl (Tr)333110
Tucker Large (Tr)311002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Terrell1710531
Soni Finau (Tr)62200
Buddha Peleti (Tr)82220
Parker McKenna453100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamorri Colson120002
Tucker Large (Tr)311002
Isaac Terrell1710531