Stony Brook at San Diego State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Stony Brook Seawolves at San Diego State Aztecs

Thursday, August 28th 2025 (10:00 PM EDT)
San Diego State -19.5 (53.5) (-1000) Open: -18.5 | 53.5
San Diego State 42 - Stony Brook: 0

Seawolves (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 0 - 42 (0 - 42 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -3 (SP+ SDSU -9)
SDSU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%

Aztecs (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 28 - 18 (42 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)

Matchup
Schedules
STON Players
SDSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Stony Brook's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Stony Brook at San Diego State	+19.5	53.5	L 0 - 42	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stony Brook's Schedule

San Diego State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	San Diego State vs Stony Brook	-19.5	53.5	W 42 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/6	San Diego State at Washington State	+2.0	46.5	L 13 - 36	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	San Diego State vs California	+12.5	48.5
Sat 9/27	San Diego State at Northern Illinois	+1
Sat 10/4	San Diego State vs Colorado State	-4.5
Sat 10/11	San Diego State at Nevada	-9
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	San Diego State at Fresno State	+2
Sat 11/1	San Diego State vs Wyoming	-2.5
Sat 11/8	San Diego State at Hawai'i	-1
Sat 11/15	San Diego State vs Boise State	+7.5
Sat 11/22	San Diego State vs San José State	-6
Sat 11/29	San Diego State at New Mexico	-7

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STON		0%	0	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	42	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SDSU	#90 (.14)	40% (95)	27.5	49% (44)	3.25 (43)	155	31% (126)	185	4.36 (49)	#28 ()	33% (21)	18	38% (66)	28% (14)	3.78 (77)	51.5	0	0

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STON		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SDSU	#108 (.12)	37% (120)		37% (124)	3 (78)	129	38% (109)	206	3.44 (107)	#103 (.23)	46% (113)		49% (117)	43% (98)	4.28 (111)	81.8	0.8	1

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STON Offense	1	0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
SDSU Defense	2	18	18	32.8%	3.78	0	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	38%	28%	11%

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STON Defense	1	42	42	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
SDSU Offense	2	27.5	42	40.4%	4.36	0	17	334	155	185	3.7	54%	45%	49%	31%	13%	.14

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Stony Brook	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
San Diego State	2	31:09	17	34%	50%	6.5	51.5	0	0	4	1.5	0	31.7

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STON Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
SDSU Defense	2	46% (39)	38% (66)	-	-	-	-	.01 (51)	2.89 (79)	62% (39)	6% (121)	0.81 (38)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STON Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
SDSU Offense	2	54% (47)	49% (44)	42	155	3.7	5 (62)	.18 (54)	3.25 (43)	80% (36)	6% (27)	0.79 (113)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STON Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
SDSU Defense	2	54% (100)	28% (14)	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-.01 (20)	1.2 (12)	34% (61)	11% (4)	-.1 (9)	5% (91)	1.7 (35)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STON Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
SDSU Offense	2	45% (90)	31% (126)	15.5	29.5	184.5	6.3	11.9	2 (102)	0 (1)	.12 (111)	2 (9)	32% (92)	30% (85)	.25 (88)	6% (96)	2.1 (51)

Stony Brook's Power Ratings
Stony Brook's Power Rating: #NR
Stony Brook's Offense Rating: #NR
Stony Brook's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Stony Brook's 2025 Expected Record: -
Stony Brook's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Stony Brook's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Stony Brook's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Stony Brook: San Diego State: -2.86

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stony Brook: San Diego State: -8.9

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -2.86 #83
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 4.98 #104
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 6.79 #67
2025 Talent Rating: 594.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
San Diego State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5
San Diego State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.9 #95
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.4 #121
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Stony Brook Scoring
Offense: 0 PPG
Offense on Road: 0
Defense: 42 PPG
Defense on Road: 42

Stony Brook's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
San Diego State 39
Stony Brook 9

Total Points: 48

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 42
Defense: 18 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

San Diego State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/28	San Diego State	42	Stony Brook	0	San Diego State	San Diego State -19.5	San Diego State	53.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San Diego State	1	1	0 Overs
Stony Brook	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#NR) Stony Brook Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Stony Brook Highlights

Stony Brook Deficiencies
Stony Brook has a really bad Offense
Stony Brook Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	SDSU	STON
OverallOver	#39	—
OffenseOff	#61	—
DefenseDef	#26	—
Special TeamsST	#62	—
PassingPass	#60	—
RushingRush	#52	—
Run BlockRBLK	#46	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#90	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#56	—
TacklingTkl	#40	—
Run DefenseR Def	#27	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#42	—
Coverage DefCov	#40	—

Rematch from Week 1
San Diego State -19.5 (53.5)
San Diego State won vs Stony Brook this year (42-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Snapdragon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: STON | SDSU
Depth Chart: STON | SDSU
Rosters: STON | SDSU

(#83) San Diego State Info
Power Rating: -2.86 #83
Offense Rating: 4.98 #104
Defense Rating: 6.79 #67
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.9 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.4 #121
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
Talent Rating: 594.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.36 PPO
Good Run Success 49%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 33%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Great Pass Def Success 28%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

San Diego State Notes
(8/1) OL 3/5 back, 4 portals, dont love OT on paper
(8/1) Def bad LY, 10 starters back, new DC Aurich
(8/1) Lewis also the OC, offense awful LY, team quit
(8/1) Fast offense, large totals. QB Emanuel key ?
(7/12) WR Kitt-Denton (FCS) avg'd 18.1 ypc at NW St
(5/23) New DC Aurich (DC @ Idaho) an improvement
(5/23) Portals look decent, losses mostly went down
(5/2) RB light, Washington (CCU) decent add.
(5/2) WR Napier back, v good. Some depth
(3/29) QB Dengal (Mich) vs Emanuel Jr (CMU)

San Diego State Highlights
San Diego State is Undefeated at Home
San Diego State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

San Diego State has a really good defense (#21)
San Diego State defense does not give up big plays (#10)
San Diego State has a good pass defense (#14)
San Diego State has a great TO Margin (#1)
San Diego State commits very few Penalties (#30)
San Diego State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

San Diego State Deficiencies
San Diego State Can Not Run the Ball (#121)
San Diego State pass game is really bad (#126)
San Diego State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
San Diego State does not Sack the QB (#112)

Stony Brook's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Christopher Zellous	38	63	60%	418	3	2	6.6
Casey Case	4	10	40%	25	0	0	2.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roland Dempster	59	310	1	5.3	54
Christopher Zellous	38	133	2	3.5	13
Ikaika Ragsdale (Tr)	15	51	0	3.4	10
Marqeese Dietz	1	7	0	7.0	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marqeese Dietz	12	156	1	13.0	93
Cole Bunicci	6	98	0	16.3	48
Jayce Freeman	5	55	2	11.0	19
Dez Williams	8	52	0	6.5	17

View Stony Brook's Full Roster

Stony Brook's DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL
Bryson Parker (Tr)	8	0
Rayden Aphayvong	7	0
Shamar Askin	7	0
Franco Milano	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryson Parker (Tr)	8	0	0	0	0
Aidan Kaler (Tr)	3	0	0	0	0
Jayce Freeman	1	0	0	0	0
Michael Odell	1	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	PRESS	PD
Miles McGoy	3	0	3
Chayce Chalmers	2	2	1
JoJo Garcia	3	1	1

San Diego State's OC Sean Lewis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jayden Denegal (Tr)	28	55	51%	340	2	0	6.2
Bert Emanuel Jr. (Tr)	3	4	75%	29	0	0	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lucky Sutton	38	188	2	4.9	20
Christian Washington (Tr)	10	49	1	4.9	27
Byron Cardwell	7	28	0	4.0	14
Bert Emanuel Jr. (Tr)	6	26	0	4.3	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacob Bostick (Tr)	6	101	2	16.8	35
Jordan Napier	10	87	0	8.7	23
Mikey Welsh	1	44	0	44.0	44
Donovan Brown	5	43	0	8.6	44

View San Diego State's Full Roster

San Diego State's DC Rob Aurich

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tano Letuli	19	0	0	2	0
Owen Chambliss	15	2	1	1	1
Chris Johnson	9	0	0	2	2
Bryce Phillips	8	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
August Salvati (Tr)	3	2	2	0	0
Owen Chambliss	15	2	1	1	1
Jared Badie	1	1	1	1	0
Tano Letuli	19	0	0	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dalesean Staley	6	1	0	0	3
Chris Johnson	9	0	0	2	2
Owen Chambliss	15	2	1	1	1