Stony Brook at San Diego State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Stony Brook Seawolves at San Diego State Aztecs

Thursday, August 28th 2025 (10:00 PM EDT)
San Diego State -19.5 (53.5) (-1000) Open: -18.5 | 53.5
San Diego State 42 - Stony Brook: 0

Seawolves (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 0 - 42 (0 - 42 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: San Diego State -8 (SP+ SDSU -6)
SDSU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%

Aztecs (9 - 4) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (31 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 3.6 (#29)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)

Matchup
Schedules
STON Players
SDSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Stony Brook's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Stony Brook at San Diego State	+19.5	53.5	L 0 - 42	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stony Brook's Schedule

San Diego State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	San Diego State vs Stony Brook	-19.5	53.5	W 42 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/6	San Diego State at Washington State	+2.0	46.5	L 13 - 36	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	San Diego State vs California	+14.0	47.5	W 34 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/27	San Diego State at Northern Illinois	-1.5	41.5	W 6 - 3	U	Y
Fri 10/3	San Diego State vs Colorado State	-4.5	40.5	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/11	San Diego State at Nevada	-6.5	42.5	W 44 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	San Diego State at Fresno State	-3.0	46.5	W 23 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/1	San Diego State vs Wyoming	-10.0	42.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/8	San Diego State at Hawai'i	-6.5	48.5	L 6 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/15	San Diego State vs Boise State	-1.5	41.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/22	San Diego State vs San José State	-10.0	50.5	W 25 - 3	U	Y
Fri 11/28	San Diego State at New Mexico	-1.5	41.5	L 17 - 23	U	N
Sat 12/27	San Diego State vs North Texas	+7.5	55.5	L 47 - 49	O	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STON		0%	0	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	42	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SDSU	#94 (.13)	42% (72)	26.4	46% (40)	3.38 (9)	174	36% (121)	142	3.42 (94)	#4 (-.01)	35% (9)	15.4	38% (19)	33% (4)	2.42 (4)	50	0.9	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STON		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SDSU	#108 (.12)	37% (120)		37% (124)	3 (78)	129	38% (109)	206	3.44 (107)	#103 (.23)	46% (113)		49% (117)	43% (98)	4.28 (111)	81.8	0.8	1

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STON Offense	1	0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
SDSU Defense	13	15.4	6.8	34.8%	2.42	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	38%	33%	15%	-.01

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STON Defense	1	42	42	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
SDSU Offense	13	26.4	31.2	41.9%	3.42	0.9	16	315	174	142	4.6	61%	37%	46%	36%	13%	.13

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Stony Brook	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
San Diego State	13	28:10	16	32%	50%	5.5	50	0.9	1.2	4.6	2.5	4	31.3

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STON Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
SDSU Defense	13	48% (44)	38% (19)	-	-	-	-	.05 (45)	3.03 (98)	62% (12)	8% (113)	0.98 (78)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STON Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
SDSU Offense	13	61% (9)	46% (40)	38.2	173.8	4.6	20 (70)	.16 (44)	3.38 (9)	81% (14)	7% (23)	0.87 (110)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STON Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
SDSU Defense	13	50% (90)	33% (4)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (55)	-.04 (2)	1.4 (16)	35% (17)	23% (7)	.06 (3)	7% (24)	1.8 (13)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STON Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
SDSU Offense	13	37% (128)	36% (121)	11.4	19.5	142.1	7.3	12.5	9 (106)	8 (7)	.09 (127)	1.7 (19)	30% (44)	20% (136)	.04 (133)	6% (50)	1.8 (121)

Stony Brook's Power Ratings
Stony Brook's Power Rating: NR
Stony Brook's Offense Rating: NR
Stony Brook's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Stony Brook's 2025 Expected Record: -
Stony Brook's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Stony Brook's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Stony Brook's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Stony Brook: San Diego State: 7.895

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stony Brook: San Diego State: 6.2

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: 7.895 #54
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 2.04 #114
San Diego State's Defense Rating: -2.55 #24
2025 Talent Rating: 594.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
San Diego State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.4 - 3.6
San Diego State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.2 #50
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #100
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #15

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Stony Brook Scoring
Offense: 0 PPG
Offense on Road: 0
Defense: 42 PPG
Defense on Road: 42

Stony Brook's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
San Diego State 28
Stony Brook 20

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
San Diego State 27
Stony Brook 17

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
San Diego State 35
Stony Brook 6

Total Points: 41

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 6.8

San Diego State's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/28	San Diego State	42	Stony Brook	0	San Diego State -19.5	San Diego State	53.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San Diego State	1	1	0 Overs
Stony Brook	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#NR) STON at (#54) SDSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	STON	SDSU
Power RatePwr	NR	#54
SP+SP+	NR	#50
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#12
OffenseOff	NR	#63
DefenseDef	NR	#8
Spec TeamsST	NR	#43
TalentTal	NR	#95
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#88

Stony Brook Injury Report

San Diego State Notes(11/28) Great season goes thud w/ meltdown in 20T vs N Mex
(10/28) New DC Aurich leading #2 Def in all CFB. 10.4 ppg
(10/22) Top 3 in CFB in scoring opps both Off & Def
(10/4) Killed CSU, most total yards since '20. 250+ Pass/Run
(9/28) Def great, 3 points in last 2 games. Red Zone D tops
(9/23) CB Chris Johnson a lockdown, #2 Phillips good too
(9/21) Beat the brakes off Cal. Forced 3 TOs, Great win
(9/21) Defense is good, Offense is really bad. QBs bad
(8/1) OL 3/5 back, 4 portals, dont love OT on paper
(8/1) Def bad LY, 10 starters back, new DC Aurich
(8/1) Lewis also the OC, offense awful LY, team quit
(8/1) Fast offense, large totals. QB Emanuel key ?
San Diego State Injury Report

Stony Brook on Offense


CategoryCat	STON Off	SDSU Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#8
SuccessSuc	NR	#9
ExplosiveExp	NR	#30
PPAPPA	NR	#4
PowerPwr	NR	#24
SP+SP+	NR	#15
Pts POPPO	NR	#4
HavocHav	NR	#75

Stony Brook Run Game


CategoryCat	STON Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#17
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#19
Run ExplRExp	NR	#78
PPAExp	NR	#45
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#98
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#108
TackleTak	-	#16

Stony Brook Pass Game


CategoryCat	STON Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#8
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#4
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#16
PPAExp	NR	#2
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#35
F7 HavocF7	NR	#113
DB HavocDB	NR	#24

San Diego State on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	SDSU Off	STON Def
Perf GradePerf	#63	NR
SuccessSuc	#72	NR
ExplosiveExp	#123	NR
PPAPPA	#94	NR
PowerPwr	#114	NR
SP+SP+	#100	NR
Pts POPPO	#94	NR
HavocHav	#27	NR

San Diego State Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	SDSU Off	STON Def
Run GameRun	#34	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#40	NR
Run ExplRExp	#110	NR
PPAExp	#44	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#49	-
OL YdsOLY	#9	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#13	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

San Diego State Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	SDSU Off	STON Def
Pass GamePass	#105	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#121	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#19	NR
PPAExp	#127	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#51	NR
F7 HavocF7	#23	NR
DB HavocDB	#50	NR

Program Comparison
SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

STON 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Snapdragon Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 77° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 1
San Diego State -19.5 (53.5)
San Diego State won vs Stony Brook this year (42-0)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

STON's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Quinn Boyd	147	223	66%	1457	8	0	6.5
Christopher Zellous	111	179	62%	1246	7	5	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roland Dempster	228	1037	14	4.5	54
Christopher Zellous	98	402	5	4.1	28
Ikaika Ragsdale (Tr)	62	221	0	3.6	13
Dylan Harris	23	64	2	2.8	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayce Freeman	41	774	8	18.9	65
Marqeese Dietz	66	532	1	8.1	93
Dez Williams	49	529	5	10.8	36
Cole Bunicci	27	315	1	11.7	48

View Stony Brook's Full Roster

STON's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL
Bryson Parker (Tr)	8	0
Shamar Askin	7	0
Rayden Aphayvong	7	0
Franco Milano	5	1

Sacks	Tack	PRESS	PD
Bryson Parker (Tr)	8	0	0
JoJo Garcia	3	1	1
Jayson Allen	1	0	0
Michael Odell	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	PRESS	PD
Miles McGoy	3	0	3
JoJo Garcia	3	1	1
Chayce Chalmers	2	2	1

SDSU's OC Sean Lewis (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jayden Denegal (Tr)	143	244	59%	1810	9	8	7.4
Kyle Crum	14	29	48%	169	1	2	5.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lucky Sutton	253	1292	10	5.1	50
Christian Washington (Tr)	97	560	4	5.8	41
Bert Emanuel Jr. (Tr)	32	273	2	8.5	72
Byron Cardwell	48	267	1	5.6	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Napier	48	632	2	13.2	80
Donovan Brown	33	518	2	15.7	52
Nathan Acevedo (Tr)	16	190	0	11.9	42
Jacob Bostick (Tr)	11	157	3	14.3	35

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Rob Aurich (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Owen Chambliss	90	9	4	4	5
Dalesean Staley	70	1	0	0	8
Dwayne McDougle (Tr)	47	2	0	0	3
Trey White	47	11	7	12	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey White	47	11	7	12	1
Ryan Henderson	21	9	7	4	1
Niles King	29	10	7	2	0
Owen Chambliss	90	9	4	4	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dalesean Staley	70	1	0	0	8
Chris Johnson	47	3	1	2	7
Eric Butler	39	1	0	3	6