Wyoming at San Diego State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Wyoming logo Wyoming Cowboys at San Diego State AztecsSan Diego State logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
San Diego State -10 (42.5) (-375)  Open: -10.0
San Diego State 24 - Wyoming: 7  (Mountain West)

 
Cowboys (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (11 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
WYO is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: San Diego State -14.5  (SP+ SDSU -17)

Projected Score: WYO: 14 - SDSU: 29 (43)
SDSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
WYO Travel: 866 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Aztecs (9 - 3) (9 - 3 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 25 - 13 (31 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#22)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
 
Wyoming's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wyoming at Akron-8.549.5W 10 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Wyoming vs Northern Iowa-14.047.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/13 Wyoming vs Utah+24.547.5L 6 - 31UN
Sat 9/20 Wyoming at Colorado+12.545.5L 20 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wyoming vs UNLV+4.550.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 10/11 Wyoming vs San José State+1.550.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 10/18 Wyoming at Air Force+4.056.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/25 Wyoming vs Colorado State-5.546.5W 28 - 0UY
Sat 11/1 Wyoming at San Diego State+10.042.5L 7 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Wyoming at Fresno State+3.040.5L 3 - 24UN
Sat 11/22 Wyoming vs Nevada-6.039.5L 7 - 13UN
Sat 11/29 Wyoming at Hawai'i+8.545.0L 7 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule
San Diego State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 San Diego State vs Stony Brook-19.553.5W 42 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 San Diego State at Washington State+2.046.5L 13 - 36ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 San Diego State vs California+14.047.5W 34 - 0UY
Sat 9/27 San Diego State at Northern Illinois-1.541.5W 6 - 3UY
Fri 10/3 San Diego State vs Colorado State-4.540.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 10/11 San Diego State at Nevada-6.542.5W 44 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 San Diego State at Fresno State-3.046.5W 23 - 0UY
Sat 11/1 San Diego State vs Wyoming-10.042.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 11/8 San Diego State at Hawai'i-6.548.5L 6 - 38UN
Sat 11/15 San Diego State vs Boise State-1.541.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 11/22 San Diego State vs San José State-10.050.5W 25 - 3UY
Fri 11/28 San Diego State at New Mexico-1.541.5L 17 - 23UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#122 (.05)38% (116)1638% (117)2.74 (110)13239% (101)1832.9 (127)#23 (.07)38% (23)20.540% (46)37% (26)2.77 (12)56.31.51.3
SDSU#102 (.12)42% (76)24.746% (48)3.37 (11)18836% (118)1543.41 (98)#4 (-.04)33% (6)12.636% (8)31% (4)2.06 (2)54.211.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#127 (.05)36% (126)39% (111)2.64 (122)13834% (125)1893.07 (126)#102 (.23)44% (96)43% (70)45% (113)3.97 (86)49.61.30.9
SDSU#108 (.12)37% (120)37% (124)3 (78)12938% (109)2063.44 (107)#103 (.23)46% (113)49% (117)43% (98)4.28 (111)81.80.81



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Offense121611.338.1%2.91.5183151321834.147%51%38%39%19%.05
SDSU Defense1212.66.833.3%2.061.3 - - - - - 47%51%36%31%16%-.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Defense1220.522.738%2.771.3 - - - - - 55%44%40%37%13%.07
SDSU Offense1224.731.241.9%3.411173411881544.662%37%46%36%13%.12

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wyoming1228:3117.734%52%6.656.31.51.34.41.3325.5
San Diego State1230:3117.332%50%654.211.352.7431.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Offense1247% (94)38% (117)32.4131.84.19 (107).02 (118)2.74 (110)56% (135)10% (90)0.96 (68)
SDSU Defense1247% (42)36% (8) - - - - -.01 (16)2.92 (75)62% (14)9% (95)0.88 (25)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Defense1255% (121)40% (46) - - - - .09 (59)3 (94)74% (96)8% (123)0.93 (55)
SDSU Offense1262% (9)46% (48)41.4188.34.620 (70).14 (54)3.37 (11)81% (11)8% (28)0.84 (118)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Offense1251% (50)39% (101)17.9321835.710.213 (86)12 (108).12 (122)1.4 (130)35% (122)25% (116).16 (119)9% (131)1.8 (121)
SDSU Defense1251% (93)31% (4) - - - - - - 13 (55)-.05 (2)1.5 (29)37% (11)22% (4).06 (4)7% (26)1.8 (15)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Defense1244% (17)37% (26) - - - - - - 10 (75).13 (21)1.6 (93)34% (26)27% (30).17 (23)6% (86)1.9 (44)
SDSU Offense1237% (128)36% (118)12.321.2153.97.312.59 (106)8 (7).08 (127)1.7 (15)30% (51)20% (136).06 (132)5% (44)1.9 (95)

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -2.78  #80
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 1.98  #115
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 4.76  #43
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Wyoming's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wyoming's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5  #107
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #131
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -2.78   San Diego State: 7.895

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -10.5   San Diego State: 6.2




San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: 7.895  #54
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 2.04  #113
San Diego State's Defense Rating: -2.55  #24
2025 Talent Rating: 594.00  #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
San Diego State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
San Diego State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.2  #50
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1  #100
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6  #15

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.7

Wyoming's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
San Diego State 29
Wyoming 14


Total Points: 43

Based on Last 4 Games
San Diego State 30
Wyoming 20

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
San Diego State 25
Wyoming 12

Total Points: 37
San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 24.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 12.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 6.8

San Diego State's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01San Diego State24Wyoming7San Diego State -10San Diego State42.5Under
202410/12Wyoming24San Diego State27Wyoming -1.5San Diego State43.0Over
201910/12San Diego State26Wyoming22San Diego State -3.5San Diego State38.5Over
201611/19Wyoming34San Diego State33San Diego State -7.5Wyoming54.5Over
201612/03Wyoming24San Diego State27San Diego State -7Wyoming57.5Under
201511/14San Diego State38Wyoming3San Diego State -19San Diego State49.0Under
201211/24Wyoming28San Diego State42
201110/29San Diego State27Wyoming30
201010/30Wyoming38San Diego State48
200911/14San Diego State27Wyoming30
200811/01Wyoming35San Diego State10
200711/03San Diego State27Wyoming24
200611/04Wyoming27San Diego State24
200511/19San Diego State34Wyoming21
200410/09Wyoming20San Diego State10
200310/25San Diego State25Wyoming20
200210/19Wyoming20San Diego State24
200111/17San Diego State38Wyoming16
200010/06Wyoming0San Diego State34
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San Diego State1343 Overs
Wyoming623 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 85 - 13 - 12 - 0
Road Teams8 - 111 - 50 - 21 - 3

(#80) WYO at (#54) SDSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWYOSDSU
Power RatePwr #80 #54
SP+SP+ #107 #50
Perf GradeGrade #117 #12
OffenseOff #130 #63
DefenseDef #52 #8
Spec TeamsST #132 #43
TalentTal #103 #95
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #88
Wyoming Notes
(8/1) OL was awful LY, but 4/5 back. No portals?
(8/1) Def was awful, lost a ton, added 12 portals
(8/1) Back 7 of Def has almost no exp. Pass D awful
(5/2) QB K Anderson likely. JAG- so far, depth??
(5/2) RB Scott back, Kellman (Char) added. Meh
(5/2) WR Sargent electric, Durr back as well. C+
(5/2) HC Sawvel awful 1st year. Doesn't look better TY
(5/2) TE Gyllenborg a nice target w/ 55 career rec
Wyoming Injury Report
San Diego State Notes
(11/28) Great season goes thud w/ meltdown in 20T vs N Mex
(10/28) New DC Aurich leading #2 Def in all CFB. 10.4 ppg
(10/22) Top 3 in CFB in scoring opps both Off & Def
(10/4) Killed CSU, most total yards since '20. 250+ Pass/Run
(9/28) Def great, 3 points in last 2 games. Red Zone D tops
(9/23) CB Chris Johnson a lockdown, #2 Phillips good too
(9/21) Beat the brakes off Cal. Forced 3 TOs, Great win
(9/21) Defense is good, Offense is really bad. QBs bad
(8/1) OL 3/5 back, 4 portals, dont love OT on paper
(8/1) Def bad LY, 10 starters back, new DC Aurich
(8/1) Lewis also the OC, offense awful LY, team quit
(8/1) Fast offense, large totals. QB Emanuel key ?
San Diego State Injury Report
Wyoming on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
WYO OffSDSU Def
Perf GradePerf #130 #8
SuccessSuc #116 #6
ExplosiveExp #114 #11
PPAPPA #122 #4
PowerPwr #115 #24
SP+SP+ #131 #15
Pts POPPO #127 #2
HavocHav #125 #65
Wyoming Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
WYO OffSDSU Def
Run GameRun #98 #17
Run SuccessRSuc #117 #8
Run ExplRExp #68 #25
PPAExp #118 #16
Run BlockR Blk #58 -
OL YdsOLY #110 #75
Stuff RateStuff #117 #88
TackleTak -  #16
Wyoming Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
WYO OffSDSU Def
Pass GamePass #133 #8
Pass SuccessPSuc #101 #4
Pass ExplPExl #130 #29
PPAExp #122 #2
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #101 #35
F7 HavocF7 #90 #95
DB HavocDB #131 #26
San Diego State on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCatSDSU OffWYO Def
Perf GradePerf #63 #52
SuccessSuc #76 #23
ExplosiveExp #124 #49
PPAPPA #102 #23
PowerPwr #113 #43
SP+SP+ #100 #55
Pts POPPO #98 #12
HavocHav #27 #118
San Diego State Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat
SDSU OffWYO Def
Run GameRun #34 #55
Run SuccessRSuc #48 #46
Run ExplRExp #118 #55
PPAExp #54 #59
Run BlockR Blk #49 -
OL YdsOLY #11 #94
Stuff RateStuff #13 #106
TackleTak -  #56
San Diego State Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCatSDSU OffWYO Def
Pass GamePass #105 #45
Pass SuccessPSuc #118 #26
Pass ExplPExl #15 #93
PPAExp #127 #21
Pass Block/RushP Blk #51 #112
F7 HavocF7 #28 #123
DB HavocDB #44 #86
Program Comparison
SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Snapdragon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
San Diego State -10.0 (42.5)
San Diego State won vs Wyoming this year (24-7)

Previous Matchups
San Diego State beat Wyoming last year (27-24)

  
WYO's OC Jay Johnson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaden Anderson18933656%197112105.9
Mason Drube203853%187014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Samuel Harris10055215.550
Sam Scott8940824.637
Terron Kellman (Tr)6533145.133
Landon Sims159716.537
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Durr Jr.46513411.249
Jaylen Sargent20240012.029
Michael Fitzgerald (Tr)16228314.335
Johnmichael Gyllenborg2421719.024

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Aaron Bohl (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayden Johnson (Tr)745013
Evan Eller627221
Jones Thomas461004
Andrew Johnson432101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Florentine336413
Brayden Wilson (Tr)224210
Tyce Westland438242
Evan Eller627221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desman Hearns (Tr)283005
Tyrese Boss360005
Dainsus Miller253005

SDSU's OC Sean Lewis (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Denegal (Tr)14324459%1810987.4
Bert Emanuel Jr. (Tr)5956%37004.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lucky Sutton2381232105.250
Christian Washington (Tr)8748335.641
Byron Cardwell4726115.622
Jayden Denegal (Tr)6710341.529
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Napier48632213.280
Donovan Brown30475215.852
Jacob Bostick (Tr)11157314.335
Nathan Acevedo (Tr)12129010.826

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Rob Aurich (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Owen Chambliss869445
Dalesean Staley571007
Chris Johnson473127
Mister Williams432012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey White43117111
Ryan Henderson209741
Niles King2610720
Owen Chambliss869445
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalesean Staley571007
Chris Johnson473127
Eric Butler371035