Wyoming at San Diego State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Wyoming Cowboys at San Diego State Aztecs

Saturday, November 1st 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
San Diego State -10 (42.5) (-375) Open: -10.0
San Diego State 24 - Wyoming: 7 (Mountain West)

Cowboys (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (11 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)

WYO is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: San Diego State -16 (SP+ SDSU -18)
Projected Score: WYO: 12 - SDSU: 28 (41)
SDSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
WYO Travel: 866 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Aztecs (9 - 4) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (31 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 3.6 (#29)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)

Matchup
Schedules
WYO Players
SDSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wyoming's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Wyoming at Akron	-8.5	49.5	W 10 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Wyoming vs Northern Iowa	-14.0	47.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Wyoming vs Utah	+24.5	47.5	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/20	Wyoming at Colorado	+12.5	45.5	L 20 - 37	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Wyoming vs UNLV	+4.5	50.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/11	Wyoming vs San José State	+1.5	50.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Wyoming at Air Force	+4.0	56.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Wyoming vs Colorado State	-5.5	46.5	W 28 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/1	Wyoming at San Diego State	+10.0	42.5	L 7 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Wyoming at Fresno State	+3.0	40.5	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/22	Wyoming vs Nevada	-6.0	39.5	L 7 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/29	Wyoming at Hawai'i	+8.5	45.0	L 7 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule

San Diego State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	San Diego State vs Stony Brook	-19.5	53.5	W 42 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/6	San Diego State at Washington State	+2.0	46.5	L 13 - 36	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	San Diego State vs California	+14.0	47.5	W 34 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/27	San Diego State at Northern Illinois	-1.5	41.5	W 6 - 3	U	Y
Fri 10/3	San Diego State vs Colorado State	-4.5	40.5	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/11	San Diego State at Nevada	-6.5	42.5	W 44 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	San Diego State at Fresno State	-3.0	46.5	W 23 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/1	San Diego State vs Wyoming	-10.0	42.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/8	San Diego State at Hawai'i	-6.5	48.5	L 6 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/15	San Diego State vs Boise State	-1.5	41.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/22	San Diego State vs San José State	-10.0	50.5	W 25 - 3	U	Y
Fri 11/28	San Diego State at New Mexico	-1.5	41.5	L 17 - 23	U	N
Sat 12/27	San Diego State vs North Texas	+7.5	55.5	L 47 - 49	O	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WYO	#127 (.05)	36% (126)	16	39% (111)	2.64 (122)	138	34% (125)	189	3.07 (126)	#102 (.23)	44% (96)	20.5	43% (70)	45% (113)	3.97 (86)	49.6	1.3	0.9
SDSU	#108 (.12)	37% (120)	26.4	37% (124)	3 (78)	129	38% (109)	206	3.44 (107)	#103 (.23)	46% (113)	15.4	49% (117)	43% (98)	4.28 (111)	81.8	0.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WYO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WYO Offense	12	16	11.3	36.4%	3.07	1.3	17	327	138	189	3.6	54%	46%	39%	34%	17%	.05
SDSU Defense	12	15.4	6.8	46.1%	4.28	1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	49%	43%	12%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WYO Defense	12	20.5	22.7	44%	3.97	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	43%	45%	15%	.23
SDSU Offense	12	26.4	31.2	37.4%	3.44	0.8	19	335	129	206	3.7	47%	52%	37%	38%	18%	.12

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wyoming	12	30:52	17.3	36%	60%	5.5	49.6	1.3	0.9	5	1.3	2	28
San Diego State	12	27:08	18.5	36%	53%	9.1	81.8	0.8	1	5.4	2.6	2	31

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WYO Offense	12	54% (40)	39% (111)	38.2	138.1	3.6	14 (98)	.02 (117)	2.64 (122)	62% (121)	11% (92)	0.94 (83)
SDSU Defense	12	55% (117)	49% (117)	-	-	-	-	.21 (113)	3.49 (130)	80% (109)	9% (98)	0.94 (47)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WYO Defense	12	52% (82)	43% (70)	-	-	-	-	.21 (112)	3.09 (85)	62% (12)	9% (87)	1.19 (128)
SDSU Offense	12	47% (87)	37% (124)	35.3	128.9	3.7	13 (105)	.1 (84)	3 (78)	69% (97)	12% (114)	1.06 (37)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WYO Offense	12	46% (93)	34% (125)	15.1	28.9	188.6	6.5	12.5	11 (122)	11 (72)	.08 (126)	1.8 (19)	34% (110)	25% (118)	.15 (126)	6% (72)	2.1 (62)
SDSU Defense	12	44% (17)	43% (98)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (104)	.28 (96)	1.6 (75)	29% (112)	38% (126)	.52 (126)	3% (133)	2.1 (79)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WYO Defense	12	48% (55)	45% (113)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (109)	.25 (78)	1.4 (10)	31% (81)	32% (85)	.32 (73)	5% (102)	1.8 (16)
SDSU Offense	12	52% (45)	38% (109)	19.5	31.3	205.7	6.6	10.6	15 (98)	8 (40)	.15 (107)	1.5 (99)	36% (125)	26% (114)	.29 (87)	6% (61)	2 (77)

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -7.35 #86
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 8.24 #97
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 15.59 #84
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Wyoming's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wyoming's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3 #110
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #129
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 500.89
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -7.35 San Diego State: 6.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -11.3 San Diego State: 6.7

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: 6.7 #60
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 8.16 #98
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 6.46 #29
2025 Talent Rating: 594.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
San Diego State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.4 - 3.6
San Diego State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.7 #43
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #28

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 650.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.7

Wyoming's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
San Diego State 28
Wyoming 12

Projected Total Points: 41

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 6.8

San Diego State's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	San Diego State	24	Wyoming	7	San Diego State -10	San Diego State	42.5	Under
2024	10/12	Wyoming	24	San Diego State	27	Wyoming -1.5	San Diego State	43.0	Over
2019	10/12	San Diego State	26	Wyoming	22	San Diego State -3.5	San Diego State	38.5	Over
2016	11/19	Wyoming	34	San Diego State	33	San Diego State -7.5	Wyoming	54.5	Over
2016	12/03	Wyoming	24	San Diego State	27	San Diego State -7	Wyoming	57.5	Under
2015	11/14	San Diego State	38	Wyoming	3	San Diego State -19	San Diego State	49.0	Under
2012	11/24	Wyoming	28	San Diego State	42
2011	10/29	San Diego State	27	Wyoming	30
2010	10/30	Wyoming	38	San Diego State	48
2009	11/14	San Diego State	27	Wyoming	30
2008	11/01	Wyoming	35	San Diego State	10
2007	11/03	San Diego State	27	Wyoming	24
2006	11/04	Wyoming	27	San Diego State	24
2005	11/19	San Diego State	34	Wyoming	21
2004	10/09	Wyoming	20	San Diego State	10
2003	10/25	San Diego State	25	Wyoming	20
2002	10/19	Wyoming	20	San Diego State	24
2001	11/17	San Diego State	38	Wyoming	16
2000	10/06	Wyoming	0	San Diego State	34

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San Diego State	13	4	3 Overs
Wyoming	6	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 8	5 - 1	3 - 1	2 - 0
Road Teams	8 - 11	1 - 5	0 - 2	1 - 3

(#86) WYO at (#60) SDSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WYO	SDSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#86	#60
SP+SP+	#110	#43
Perf GradeGrade	#109	#20
OffenseOff	#126	#61
DefenseDef	#51	#13
Spec TeamsST	#128	#58
TalentTal	#103	#95
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#88

Wyoming Notes(8/1) OL was awful LY, but 4/5 back. No portals?
(8/1) Def was awful, lost a ton, added 12 portals
(8/1) Back 7 of Def has almost no exp. Pass D awful
(5/2) QB K Anderson likely. JAG- so far, depth??
(5/2) RB Scott back, Kellman (Char) added. Meh
(5/2) WR Sargent electric, Durr back as well. C+
(5/2) HC Sawvel awful 1st year. Doesn't look better TY
(5/2) TE Gyllenborg a nice target w/ 55 career rec
Wyoming Injury Report

San Diego State Notes(11/28) Great season goes thud w/ meltdown in 20T vs N Mex
(10/28) New DC Aurich leading #2 Def in all CFB. 10.4 ppg
(10/22) Top 3 in CFB in scoring opps both Off & Def
(10/4) Killed CSU, most total yards since '20. 250+ Pass/Run
(9/28) Def great, 3 points in last 2 games. Red Zone D tops
(9/23) CB Chris Johnson a lockdown, #2 Phillips good too
(9/21) Beat the brakes off Cal. Forced 3 TOs, Great win
(9/21) Defense is good, Offense is really bad. QBs bad
(8/1) OL 3/5 back, 4 portals, dont love OT on paper
(8/1) Def bad LY, 10 starters back, new DC Aurich
(8/1) Lewis also the OC, offense awful LY, team quit
(8/1) Fast offense, large totals. QB Emanuel key ?
San Diego State Injury Report

Wyoming on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	SDSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#126	#13
SuccessSuc	#126	#113
ExplosiveExp	#60	#44
PPAPPA	#127	#103
PowerPwr	#97	#29
SP+SP+	#129	#28
Pts POPPO	#126	#111
HavocHav	#86	#131

Wyoming Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	#96	#22
Run SuccessRSuc	#111	#117
Run ExplRExp	#83	#47
PPAExp	#117	#113
Run BlockR Blk	#61	-
OL YdsOLY	#122	#130
Stuff RateStuff	#108	#132
TackleTak	-	#53

Wyoming Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	#124	#13
Pass SuccessPSuc	#125	#98
Pass ExplPExl	#19	#75
PPAExp	#126	#96
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#104	#49
F7 HavocF7	#92	#98
DB HavocDB	#72	#133

San Diego State on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	SDSU Off	WYO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#61	#51
SuccessSuc	#120	#96
ExplosiveExp	#51	#65
PPAPPA	#108	#102
PowerPwr	#98	#84
SP+SP+	#90	#55
Pts POPPO	#107	#86
HavocHav	#99	#92

San Diego State Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	SDSU Off	WYO Def
Run GameRun	#31	#55
Run SuccessRSuc	#124	#70
Run ExplRExp	#37	#128
PPAExp	#84	#112
Run BlockR Blk	#48	-
OL YdsOLY	#78	#85
Stuff RateStuff	#35	#58
TackleTak	-	#63

San Diego State Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	SDSU Off	WYO Def
Pass GamePass	#114	#39
Pass SuccessPSuc	#109	#113
Pass ExplPExl	#99	#10
PPAExp	#107	#78
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#47	#117
F7 HavocF7	#114	#87
DB HavocDB	#61	#102

Program Comparison
SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Snapdragon Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 66° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 10
San Diego State -10.0 (42.5)
San Diego State won vs Wyoming this year (24-7)

Previous Matchups
San Diego State beat Wyoming last year (24-7)
San Diego State beat Wyoming in 2024 (27-24)

WYO's OC Jay Johnson (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kaden Anderson	189	336	56%	1971	12	10	5.9
Mason Drube	20	38	53%	187	0	1	4.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Samuel Harris	100	552	1	5.5	50
Sam Scott	89	408	2	4.6	37
Terron Kellman (Tr)	65	331	4	5.1	33
Landon Sims	15	97	1	6.5	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Durr Jr.	46	513	4	11.2	49
Jaylen Sargent	20	240	0	12.0	29
Michael Fitzgerald (Tr)	16	228	3	14.3	35
Johnmichael Gyllenborg	24	217	1	9.0	24

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Aaron Bohl (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brayden Johnson (Tr)	74	5	0	1	3
Evan Eller	62	7	2	2	1
Jones Thomas	46	1	0	0	4
Tyce Westland	43	8	2	4	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ben Florentine	33	6	4	1	3
Brayden Wilson (Tr)	22	4	2	1	0
Tyce Westland	43	8	2	4	2
Evan Eller	62	7	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Desman Hearns (Tr)	28	3	5
Tyrese Boss	36	0	5
Dainsus Miller	25	3	5

SDSU's OC Sean Lewis (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jayden Denegal (Tr)	143	244	59%	1810	9	8	7.4
Kyle Crum	14	29	48%	169	1	2	5.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lucky Sutton	253	1292	10	5.1	50
Christian Washington (Tr)	97	560	4	5.8	41
Bert Emanuel Jr. (Tr)	32	273	2	8.5	72
Byron Cardwell	48	267	1	5.6	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Napier	48	632	2	13.2	80
Donovan Brown	33	518	2	15.7	52
Nathan Acevedo (Tr)	16	190	0	11.9	42
Jacob Bostick (Tr)	11	157	3	14.3	35

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Rob Aurich (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Owen Chambliss	90	9	4	4	5
Dalesean Staley	70	1	0	0	8
Chris Johnson	47	3	1	2	7
Trey White	47	11	7	12	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey White	47	11	7	12	1
Ryan Henderson	21	9	7	4	1
Niles King	29	10	7	2	0
Owen Chambliss	90	9	4	4	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dalesean Staley	70	1	0	0	8
Chris Johnson	47	3	1	2	7
Eric Butler	39	1	0	3	6