San Diego State at Hawai'i Game Matchup
San Diego State logo San Diego State Aztecs at Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsHawai
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex - Honolulu, HI  (Mountain West)

 
Aztecs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (20 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#85)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
Our Line: Hawai'i -3.5   (SP+ SDSU -1.5)
Projected Score: SDSU: 24 - HAW: 27 (50)
HAW Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
SDSU Travel: 2609 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Rainbow Warriors (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (13 - 25)
Avg Score : 22 - 26 (27 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#74)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 11)
 
San Diego State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 San Diego State vs Stony Brook-11
Sat 9/6 San Diego State at Washington State+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 San Diego State vs California+7.5
Sat 9/27 San Diego State at Northern Illinois+4
Sat 10/4 San Diego State vs Colorado State+0
Sat 10/11 San Diego State at Nevada-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 San Diego State at Fresno State+8.5
Sat 11/1 San Diego State vs Wyoming-3.5
Sat 11/8 San Diego State at Hawai'i+3.5
Sat 11/15 San Diego State vs Boise State+19.5
Sat 11/22 San Diego State vs San José State+5
Sat 11/29 San Diego State at New Mexico-1.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
Hawai'i's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/22 Hawai'i vs Stanford+2.50.0
Fri 8/29 Hawai'i at Arizona+10.50.0
Sat 9/6 Hawai'i vs Sam Houston-8.5
Sat 9/13 Hawai'i vs Portland State-12.5
Sat 9/20 Hawai'i vs Fresno State+2.5
Sat 9/27 Hawai'i at Air Force+2
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Hawai'i vs Utah State-7
Sat 10/18 Hawai'i at Colorado State+4
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Hawai'i at San José State+9
Sat 11/8 Hawai'i vs San Diego State-3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Hawai'i at UNLV+8.5
Sat 11/29 Hawai'i vs Wyoming-4.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU#108 (.12)37% (120)21.337% (124)3 (78)12938% (109)2063.44 (107)#103 (.23)46% (113)29.649% (117)43% (98)4.28 (111)81.80.81
HAW#82 (.17)44% (52)22.346% (45)3.29 (26)9944% (50)2683.81 (81)#81 (.19)42% (71)2645% (85)40% (58)4.15 (103)70.31.60.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
HAW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Offense1221.320.337.4%3.440.8193351292063.747%52%37%38%18%.12
HAW Defense122619.642%4.150.9 - - - - - 50%50%45%40%16%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Defense1229.635.846.1%4.281 - - - - - 55%44%49%43%12%.23
HAW Offense1222.327.144.2%3.811.621367992683.636%64%46%44%19%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San Diego State1227:0818.536%53%9.181.80.815.42.6231
Hawai'i1230:1920.837%55%870.31.60.95.72.3125.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense1247% (87)37% (124)35.3128.93.713 (105).1 (84)3 (78)69% (97)12% (114)1.06 (37)
HAW Defense1250% (57)45% (85) - - - - .16 (90)3.27 (108)79% (103)10% (74)0.97 (62)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense1255% (117)49% (117) - - - - .21 (113)3.49 (130)80% (109)9% (98)0.94 (47)
HAW Offense1236% (134)46% (45)27.8993.67 (131).13 (68)3.29 (26)80% (23)11% (88)0.83 (124)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense1252% (45)38% (109)19.531.3205.76.610.615 (98)8 (40).15 (107)1.5 (99)36% (125)26% (114).29 (87)6% (61)2 (77)
HAW Defense1250% (79)40% (58) - - - - - - 6 (109).22 (58)1.4 (19)31% (82)30% (63).31 (72)6% (73)1.8 (13)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense1244% (17)43% (98) - - - - - - 7 (104).28 (96)1.6 (75)29% (112)38% (126).52 (126)3% (133)2.1 (79)
HAW Offense1264% (1)44% (50)23.840.1268.26.711.325 (31)15 (123).21 (92)1.4 (130)32% (80)33% (49).31 (81)8% (127)2 (94)

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -14.44 #104
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 4.38 #123
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 18.82 #95
2025 Talent Rating: 600.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
San Diego State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
San Diego State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.1 #102
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #125
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #65

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 506.67
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -14.44   Hawai'i: -8.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -10.1   Hawai'i: -11.5




Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -8.7 #95
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 8.82 #100
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 19.72 #96
2025 Talent Rating: 416.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Hawai'i's 2025 Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0
Hawai'i's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.5 #108
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #120
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #87

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 506.67
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

San Diego State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Hawai'i 27
San Diego State 24


Projected Total Points: 50
Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.1
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Hawai'i's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05San Diego State27Hawai'i24San Diego StateSan Diego State -1.5San Diego State47.5Over
202310/14Hawai'i34San Diego State41San Diego StateSan Diego State -6San Diego State51.5Over
202210/08San Diego State16Hawai'i14San Diego StateSan Diego State -23.5Hawai'i48.5Under
202111/06Hawai'i10San Diego State17San Diego StateSan Diego State -7NA45.0Under
202011/14San Diego State34Hawai'i10San Diego StateSan Diego State -9.5San Diego State51.0Under
201911/23Hawai'i14San Diego State11Hawai'iHawai'i -1Hawai'i47.0Under
201811/24San Diego State30Hawai'i31Hawai'iSan Diego State -18Hawai'i54.0Over
201710/28Hawai'i7San Diego State28San Diego StateSan Diego State -8San Diego State54.0Under
201611/05San Diego State55Hawai'i0San Diego StateSan Diego State -19.5San Diego State50.5Over
201510/10Hawai'i14San Diego State28San Diego StateSan Diego State -2San Diego State47.0Under
201410/18San Diego State20Hawai'i10San Diego StateSan Diego State -10.5Hawai'i0
201311/16Hawai'i21San Diego State28San Diego StateSan Diego State -5San Diego State0
201210/06San Diego State52Hawai'i14San Diego State
200512/03Hawai'i49San Diego State38Hawai'i
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Hawai'i344 Overs
San Diego State1176 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 64 - 74 - 30 - 4
Road Teams6 - 87 - 44 - 03 - 4

(#104) San Diego State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.44 #104
Offense Rating: 4.38 #123
Defense Rating: 18.82 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.1 #102
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #65
Talent Rating: 600.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


San Diego State Notes
(5/23) New DC Aurich (DC @ Idaho) an improvement
(5/23) Portals look decent, losses mostly went down
(5/2) RB light, Washington (CCU) decent add.
(5/2) WR Napier back, v good. Some depth
(5/2) OL 3/5 back, 2 portals. OK last year, could flash
(5/2) Def bad LY, not much portal help, new DC Aurich
(3/29) QB Dengal (Mich) vs Emanuel Jr (CMU)
San Diego State     Ratings Matchup     Hawai'i
Power #104
#95
Off #123
#100
Def #95
#96
Talent #83
#124
SP+ #102
#108
SP+ Off #125
#120
SP+ Def #65
#87

Previous Matchups
San Diego State beat Hawai'i last year (27-24)
San Diego State beat Hawai'i in 2023 (41-34)
San Diego State beat Hawai'i in 2022 (16-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SDSU | HAW
Depth Chart: SDSU | HAW
Rosters: SDSU | HAW
(#95) Hawai'i Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.7 #95
Offense Rating: 8.82 #100
Defense Rating: 19.72 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.5 #108
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #87
Talent Rating: 416.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 36%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Hawai'i Notes
(4/7) New QB SO. Micah Alejado has good command
(4/7) RB no used much, JAGs at best
(4/7) WR good, Ashlock/Cenacle/Crowdus back.
(4/7) Portal WR Harris (Stan) may take #2 job
(4/7) OL 4/5 back, good LY, some size/depth
(4/7) Def bad LY, returns some. 4 portal DL added
(4/7) HC Chang slow build, needs a good year, bowl
(4/7) Offense could jump TY, can Def improve?


  
San Diego State's OC Sean Lewis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bert Emanuel Jr. (Tr)4667%992016.5
Jordan Napier1250%271013.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Christian Washington (Tr)10253755.368
Bert Emanuel Jr. (Tr)2812834.620
Lucky Sutton53507.017
Trey White1404.04
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Napier43440410.253
Christian Washington (Tr)43609.024
Jacob Bostick (Tr)114014.014
Owen Chambliss110010.010

View San Diego State's Full Roster
San Diego State's DC Rob Aurich
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tano Letuli674220
Chris Johnson590013
Trey White56191351
Dalesean Staley550000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey White56191351
Malachi Finau (Tr)194310
Ryan Henderson123320
Krishna Clay424210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshawn McCuin262115
Jelani Whitmore100003
Eric Butler443003

Hawai'i's OC Timmy Chang
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Micah Alejado497070%585608.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Landon Sims7135114.929
Cam Barfield3315804.821
Christian Vaughn1710906.430
Micah Alejado195903.119
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nicholas Cenacle63721611.462
Pofele Ashlock61629610.330
Landon Sims13153011.852
Karsyn Pupunu680013.325

View Hawai'i's Full Roster
Hawai'i's DC Dennis Thurman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamih Otis555220
Logan Taylor521000
Elijah Robinson5111510
Peter Manuma430003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackie Johnson III205550
Elijah Robinson5111510
Wynden Ho'Ohuli144231
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina133200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Palmer325005
Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen331004
Jaheim Wilson-Jones161003