San José State at San Diego State - 2025 Matchup Preview
San José State logo San José State Spartans at San Diego State AztecsSan Diego State logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (10:30 PM EST)
San Diego State -10 (50.5) (-380)  Open: -12.5
San Diego State 25 - San José State: 3  (Mountain West)

 
Spartans (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (17 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
SJSU 2nd straight Road Game
SDSU 2nd straight Home Game
SDSU is playing their 5th straight game
SJSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: San Diego State -19.5  (SP+ SDSU -20)

Projected Score: SJSU: 14 - SDSU: 34 (48)
SDSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
SJSU Travel: 412 miles
Aztecs (9 - 4) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (31 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 3.6 (#29)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
San José State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 San José State vs Central Michigan-11.550.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 9/6 San José State at Texas+37.052.5L 7 - 38UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 San José State vs Idaho-14.551.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/27 San José State at Stanford+3.049.5L 29 - 30OY
Fri 10/3 San José State vs New Mexico-1.558.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 10/11 San José State at Wyoming-1.550.5L 28 - 35ON
Fri 10/17 San José State at Utah State+3.063.5L 25 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 San José State vs Hawai'i-2.555.5W 45 - 38OY
Sat 11/8 San José State vs Air Force-6.067.5L 16 - 26UN
Sat 11/15 San José State at Nevada-10.049.5L 10 - 55ON
Sat 11/22 San José State at San Diego State+10.050.5L 3 - 25UN
Sat 11/29 San José State vs Fresno State+3.546.0L 14 - 41ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 4

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
San Diego State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 San Diego State vs Stony Brook-19.553.5W 42 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 San Diego State at Washington State+2.046.5L 13 - 36ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 San Diego State vs California+14.047.5W 34 - 0UY
Sat 9/27 San Diego State at Northern Illinois-1.541.5W 6 - 3UY
Fri 10/3 San Diego State vs Colorado State-4.540.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 10/11 San Diego State at Nevada-6.542.5W 44 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 San Diego State at Fresno State-3.046.5W 23 - 0UY
Sat 11/1 San Diego State vs Wyoming-10.042.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 11/8 San Diego State at Hawai'i-6.548.5L 6 - 38UN
Sat 11/15 San Diego State vs Boise State-1.541.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 11/22 San Diego State vs San José State-10.050.5W 25 - 3UY
Fri 11/28 San Diego State at New Mexico-1.541.5L 17 - 23UN
Sat 12/27 San Diego State vs North Texas+7.555.5L 47 - 49OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU#66 (.18)44% (55)21.447% (29)3.06 (44)12041% (73)2832.77 (130)#98 (.2)42% (78)32.542% (66)43% (82)4.04 (106)54.82.31.2
SDSU#94 (.13)42% (72)26.446% (40)3.38 (9)17436% (121)1423.42 (94)#4 (-.01)35% (9)15.438% (19)33% (4)2.42 (4)500.91.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)41% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)42% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2
SDSU#108 (.12)37% (120)37% (124)3 (78)12938% (109)2063.44 (107)#103 (.23)46% (113)49% (117)43% (98)4.28 (111)81.80.81



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Offense1221.41743.5%2.772.3204031202834.638%60%47%41%15%.18
SDSU Defense1315.46.834.8%2.421.2 - - - - - 48%50%38%33%15%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Defense1232.535.542.1%4.041.2 - - - - - 54%44%42%43%12%.2
SDSU Offense1326.431.241.9%3.420.9163151741424.661%37%46%36%13%.13

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San José State1227:4720.143%26%5.854.82.31.24.31.5127.2
San Diego State1328:101632%50%5.5500.91.24.62.5431.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense1238% (132)47% (29)26.1120.14.614 (107).12 (66)3.06 (44)71% (78)6% (2)0.94 (78)
SDSU Defense1348% (44)38% (19) - - - - .05 (45)3.03 (98)62% (12)8% (113)0.98 (78)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense1254% (117)42% (66) - - - - .11 (69)3.02 (97)80% (121)8% (123)0.9 (37)
SDSU Offense1361% (9)46% (40)38.2173.84.620 (70).16 (44)3.38 (9)81% (14)7% (23)0.87 (110)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense1260% (5)41% (73)22.840.6283.2712.517 (30)17 (34).22 (82)1.5 (106)32% (86)32% (47).29 (72)9% (135)1.8 (124)
SDSU Defense1350% (90)33% (4) - - - - - - 13 (55)-.04 (2)1.4 (16)35% (17)23% (7).06 (3)7% (24)1.8 (13)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense1244% (21)43% (82) - - - - - - 7 (38).34 (110)1.8 (128)31% (85)28% (54).32 (84)5% (119)2.1 (111)
SDSU Offense1337% (128)36% (121)11.419.5142.17.312.59 (106)8 (7).09 (127)1.7 (19)30% (44)20% (136).04 (133)6% (50)1.8 (121)

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -9.28  #106
San José State's Offense Rating: 4.69  #91
San José State's Defense Rating: 13.97  #104
2025 Talent Rating: 504.00  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
San José State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
San José State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5  #116
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8  #107
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7  #115

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: -9.28   San Diego State: 7.895

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -13.5   San Diego State: 6.2




San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: 7.895  #54
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 2.04  #114
San Diego State's Defense Rating: -2.55  #24
2025 Talent Rating: 594.00  #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
San Diego State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.4 - 3.6
San Diego State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.2  #50
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1  #100
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6  #15

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

San José State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
San Diego State 34
San José State 14


Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
San Diego State 29
San José State 15

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
San Diego State 32
San José State 15

Total Points: 47
San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 6.8

San Diego State's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22San Diego State25San José State3San Diego State -10San Diego State50.5Under
202311/18San José State24San Diego State13San José State -16.5San Diego State48.5Under
202211/12San Diego State43San José State27San José State -2.5San Diego State41.0Over
202110/15San José State13San Diego State19San Diego State -10San José State41.0Under
202011/06San Diego State17San José State28San Diego State -10San José State49.5Under
201910/19San José State17San Diego State27San Diego State -7.5San Diego State45.5Under
201810/20San Diego State16San José State13San Diego State -25.5San José State44.5Under
201711/04San José State7San Diego State52San Diego State -24San Diego State50.5Over
201610/21San Diego State42San José State3San Diego State -22.5San Diego State48.0Under
201510/17San José State7San Diego State30San José State -2San Diego State48.0Under
201411/29San Diego State38San José State7San Diego State -13.5San Diego State0
201311/09San José State30San Diego State34San José State -6.5San Diego State0
201209/22San Diego State34San José State38
200809/13San José State35San Diego State10
200609/30San José State31San Diego State10
200509/24San Diego State52San José State21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San Diego State1192 Overs
San José State538 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 75 - 73 - 52 - 2
Road Teams7 - 97 - 52 - 25 - 3

(#106) SJSU at (#54) SDSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSJSUSDSU
Power RatePwr #106 #54
SP+SP+ #116 #50
Perf GradeGrade #109 #12
OffenseOff #115 #63
DefenseDef #74 #8
Spec TeamsST #29 #43
TalentTal #117 #95
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #88
San José State Notes
(11/21) DC Derrick Odum fired after Nevada blowout
(10/18) Box score W in L @ USU, 534 yds, 8 flags + 1 TO diff
(10/18) Pass Def awful, torched for 300+ in 5 of last 6 games
(10/12) Loss @ Wyoming may end goals. Regressing hard
(9/6) Cannot kick FG, cost them opener vs CMU
(8/30) Off & esp run game awful vs CMU, bad start
(8/1) Top 10 fastest offense to help OL struggles LY
(7/31) RB Chalk back, better depth. More run TY?
(6/6) Spread & Shred Off = most pass heavy @ 63%
(5/4) QB Eget back, gunslinger fun, depth?
(5/4) WR rebuild, Coleman good. 4 portals added
(5/4) TE Jackson Canaan undersized but productive
San José State Injury Report
San Diego State Notes
(11/28) Great season goes thud w/ meltdown in 20T vs N Mex
(10/28) New DC Aurich leading #2 Def in all CFB. 10.4 ppg
(10/22) Top 3 in CFB in scoring opps both Off & Def
(10/4) Killed CSU, most total yards since '20. 250+ Pass/Run
(9/28) Def great, 3 points in last 2 games. Red Zone D tops
(9/23) CB Chris Johnson a lockdown, #2 Phillips good too
(9/21) Beat the brakes off Cal. Forced 3 TOs, Great win
(9/21) Defense is good, Offense is really bad. QBs bad
(8/1) OL 3/5 back, 4 portals, dont love OT on paper
(8/1) Def bad LY, 10 starters back, new DC Aurich
(8/1) Lewis also the OC, offense awful LY, team quit
(8/1) Fast offense, large totals. QB Emanuel key ?
San Diego State Injury Report
San José State on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffSDSU Def
Perf GradePerf #115 #8
SuccessSuc #55 #9
ExplosiveExp #59 #30
PPAPPA #66 #4
PowerPwr #91 #24
SP+SP+ #107 #15
Pts POPPO #130 #4
HavocHav #69 #75
San José State Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffSDSU Def
Run GameRun #61 #17
Run SuccessRSuc #29 #19
Run ExplRExp #78 #78
PPAExp #66 #45
Run BlockR Blk #122 -
OL YdsOLY #44 #98
Stuff RateStuff #84 #108
TackleTak -  #16
San José State Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffSDSU Def
Pass GamePass #100 #8
Pass SuccessPSuc #73 #4
Pass ExplPExl #106 #16
PPAExp #82 #2
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #128 #35
F7 HavocF7 #2 #113
DB HavocDB #135 #24
San Diego State on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCatSDSU OffSJSU Def
Perf GradePerf #63 #74
SuccessSuc #72 #78
ExplosiveExp #123 #100
PPAPPA #94 #98
PowerPwr #114 #104
SP+SP+ #100 #115
Pts POPPO #94 #106
HavocHav #27 #129
San Diego State Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat
SDSU OffSJSU Def
Run GameRun #34 #27
Run SuccessRSuc #40 #66
Run ExplRExp #110 #37
PPAExp #44 #69
Run BlockR Blk #49 -
OL YdsOLY #9 #97
Stuff RateStuff #13 #128
TackleTak -  #81
San Diego State Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCatSDSU OffSJSU Def
Pass GamePass #105 #121
Pass SuccessPSuc #121 #82
Pass ExplPExl #19 #128
PPAExp #127 #110
Pass Block/RushP Blk #51 #84
F7 HavocF7 #23 #123
DB HavocDB #50 #119
Program Comparison
SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

SJSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Snapdragon Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 57°
Rematch from Week 13
San Diego State -10.0 (50.5)
San Diego State won vs San José State this year (25-3)

Previous Matchups
San José State beat San Diego State in 2023 (24-13)
San Diego State beat San José State in 2022 (43-27)

  
SJSU's OC Craig Stutzmann (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Walker Eget23239359%30581797.8
Tama Amisone265052%205034.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Steve Chavez-Soto8744875.166
Lamar Radcliffe6634015.230
Jabari Bates2719227.187
Tama Amisone3416014.723
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Danny Scudero (Tr)8812971014.772
Kyri Shoels59768213.043
Leland Smith (Tr)43695316.245
Jackson Canaan3331509.544

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Bojay Filimoeatu (Int) (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Pollard1085344
Taniela Latu656113
Noah McNeal-Franklin636132
Jaylen Thomas591006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vili Taufatofua (Tr)347471
Gafa Faga476350
Jordan Pollard1085344
Quincy Likio415210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Thomas591006
Jalen Bainer441105
Jordan Pollard1085344

SDSU's OC Sean Lewis (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Denegal (Tr)14324459%1810987.4
Kyle Crum142948%169125.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lucky Sutton2531292105.150
Christian Washington (Tr)9756045.841
Bert Emanuel Jr. (Tr)3227328.572
Byron Cardwell4826715.622
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Napier48632213.280
Donovan Brown33518215.752
Nathan Acevedo (Tr)16190011.942
Jacob Bostick (Tr)11157314.335

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Rob Aurich (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Owen Chambliss909445
Dalesean Staley701008
Dwayne McDougle (Tr)472003
Trey White47117121
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey White47117121
Ryan Henderson219741
Niles King2910720
Owen Chambliss909445
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalesean Staley701008
Chris Johnson473127
Eric Butler391036