San José State at San Diego State - 2025 Matchup Preview
San José State logo San José State Spartans at San Diego State AztecsSan Diego State logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Snapdragon Stadium - San Diego, CA  (Mountain West)

 
Spartans (3 - 5) (4 - 4 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (22 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
SJSU 2nd straight Road Game
SDSU 2nd straight Home Game
SDSU is playing their 5th straight game
SJSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: San Diego State -19.5  (SP+ SDSU -17)

Projected Score: SJSU: 16 - SDSU: 36 (52)
SDSU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
SJSU Travel: 412 miles
Aztecs (7 - 1) (7 - 1 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 29 - 10 (36 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 1.7 (#9)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
San José State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 San José State vs Central Michigan-11.550.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 9/6 San José State at Texas+37.052.5L 7 - 38UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 San José State vs Idaho-14.551.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/27 San José State at Stanford+3.049.5L 29 - 30OY
Fri 10/3 San José State vs New Mexico-1.558.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 10/11 San José State at Wyoming-1.550.5L 28 - 35ON
Fri 10/17 San José State at Utah State+3.063.5L 25 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 San José State vs Hawai'i-2.555.5W 45 - 38OY
Sat 11/8 San José State vs Air Force-3.567.5
Sat 11/15 San José State at Nevada-6
Sat 11/22 San José State at San Diego State+19.5
Sat 11/29 San José State vs Fresno State-1.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
San Diego State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 San Diego State vs Stony Brook-19.553.5W 42 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 San Diego State at Washington State+2.046.5L 13 - 36ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 San Diego State vs California+14.047.5W 34 - 0UY
Sat 9/27 San Diego State at Northern Illinois-1.541.5W 6 - 3UY
Fri 10/3 San Diego State vs Colorado State-4.540.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 10/11 San Diego State at Nevada-6.542.5W 44 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 San Diego State at Fresno State-3.046.5W 23 - 0UY
Sat 11/1 San Diego State vs Wyoming-10.042.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 11/8 San Diego State at Hawai'i-7.050.5
Sat 11/15 San Diego State vs Boise State-9
Sat 11/22 San Diego State vs San José State-19.5
Fri 11/28 San Diego State at New Mexico-11

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU#32 (.25)44% (49)26.845% (54)2.85 (65)12244% (50)3333.21 (114)#112 (.22)43% (91)30.443% (81)44% (95)4.02 (97)54.31.51.4
SDSU#60 (.19)45% (41)28.947% (36)3.49 (6)18642% (72)1823.98 (57)#1 (-.12)29% (2)1028% (1)30% (3)1.73 (2)60.90.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)41% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)42% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2
SDSU#108 (.12)37% (120)37% (124)3 (78)12938% (109)2063.44 (107)#103 (.23)46% (113)49% (117)43% (98)4.28 (111)81.80.81



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Offense826.822.344.4%3.211.5214551223334.738%61%45%44%14%.25
SDSU Defense8107.828.7%1.731.5 - - - - - 47%52%28%30%17%-.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Defense830.433.343.2%4.021.4 - - - - - 46%54%43%44%14%.22
SDSU Offense828.936.344.9%3.980.8193671861824.561%38%47%42%13%.19

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San José State829:0921.446%25%6.454.31.51.44.82027.4
San Diego State831:2718.534%50%6.660.90.81.54.92.4431.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense838% (132)45% (54)261224.711 (107).11 (66)2.85 (65)66% (111)6% (6)1.01 (49)
SDSU Defense847% (35)28% (1) - - - - -.1 (7)2.68 (59)62% (21)9% (96)0.9 (43)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense846% (30)43% (81) - - - - .07 (61)2.48 (38)74% (83)8% (114)0.91 (51)
SDSU Offense861% (8)47% (36)41.41864.514 (70).14 (57)3.49 (6)76% (40)7% (18)0.76 (132)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense861% (5)44% (50)24.842.5332.97.813.517 (30)4 (34).36 (38)1.6 (47)33% (94)34% (39).34 (59)8% (126)1.8 (110)
SDSU Defense852% (102)30% (3) - - - - - - 10 (55)-.11 (1)1.5 (63)39% (4)19% (2)-.05 (2)8% (14)1.9 (52)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense854% (113)44% (95) - - - - - - 6 (38).37 (121)1.7 (128)33% (58)32% (99).46 (125)6% (73)2.2 (126)
SDSU Offense838% (130)42% (72)13.822181.98.313.28 (106)5 (7).31 (51)1.8 (6)27% (19)25% (120).2 (104)6% (73)1.9 (92)

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -7.40  #102
San José State's Offense Rating: 10.00  #60
San José State's Defense Rating: 17.40  #119
2025 Talent Rating: 504.00  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
San José State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
San José State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3  #101
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #69
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7  #116

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: -7.40   San Diego State: 11.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -8.3   San Diego State: 8.2




San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: 11.7  #44
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 7.65  #77
San Diego State's Defense Rating: -2.55  #20
2025 Talent Rating: 594.00  #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
San Diego State's 2025 Expected Record: 10.3 - 1.7
San Diego State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.2  #43
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8  #81
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1  #13

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


San José State Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.3
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.3

San José State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
San Diego State 36
San José State 16


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
San Diego State 33
San José State 21

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
San Diego State 32
San José State 17

Total Points: 49
San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.8

San Diego State's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18San José State24San Diego State13San José State -16.5San Diego State48.5Under
202211/12San Diego State43San José State27San José State -2.5San Diego State41.0Over
202110/15San José State13San Diego State19San Diego State -10San José State41.0Under
202011/06San Diego State17San José State28San Diego State -10San José State49.5Under
201910/19San José State17San Diego State27San Diego State -7.5San Diego State45.5Under
201810/20San Diego State16San José State13San Diego State -25.5San José State44.5Under
201711/04San José State7San Diego State52San Diego State -24San Diego State50.5Over
201610/21San Diego State42San José State3San Diego State -22.5San Diego State48.0Under
201510/17San José State7San Diego State30San José State -2San Diego State48.0Under
201411/29San Diego State38San José State7San Diego State -13.5San Diego State0
201311/09San José State30San Diego State34San José State -6.5San Diego State0
201209/22San Diego State34San José State38
200809/13San José State35San Diego State10
200609/30San José State31San Diego State10
200509/24San Diego State52San José State21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San Diego State1082 Overs
San José State537 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 74 - 72 - 52 - 2
Road Teams7 - 87 - 42 - 25 - 2

(#102) SJSU at (#44) SDSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSJSUSDSU
Power RatePwr #102 #44
SP+SP+ #101 #43
Perf GradeGrade #106 #9
OffenseOff #100 #46
DefenseDef #94 #3
Spec TeamsST #47 #27
TalentTal #117 #95
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #88
San José State Notes
(10/18) Box score W in L @ USU, 534 yds, 8 flags + 1 TO diff
(10/18) Pass Def awful, torched for 300+ in 5 of last 6 games
(10/12) Loss @ Wyoming may end goals. Regressing hard
(9/6) Cannot kick FG, cost them opener vs CMU
(8/30) Off & esp run game awful vs CMU, bad start
(8/1) Top 10 fastest offense to help OL struggles LY
(7/31) RB Chalk back, better depth. More run TY?
(6/6) Spread & Shred Off = most pass heavy @ 63%
(5/4) QB Eget back, gunslinger fun, depth?
(5/4) WR rebuild, Coleman good. 4 portals added
(5/4) TE Jackson Canaan undersized but productive
(5/4) OL 4/5 back, grades are rough. No portals?
San José State Injury Report
San Diego State Notes
(10/28) New DC Aurich leading #2 Def in all CFB. 10.4 ppg
(10/22) Top 3 in CFB in scoring opps both Off & Def
(10/4) Killed CSU, most total yards since '20. 250+ Pass/Run
(9/28) Def great, 3 points in last 2 games. Red Zone D tops
(9/23) CB Chris Johnson a lockdown, #2 Phillips good too
(9/21) Beat the brakes off Cal. Forced 3 TOs, Great win
(9/21) Defense is good, Offense is really bad. QBs bad
(8/1) OL 3/5 back, 4 portals, dont love OT on paper
(8/1) Def bad LY, 10 starters back, new DC Aurich
(8/1) Lewis also the OC, offense awful LY, team quit
(8/1) Fast offense, large totals. QB Emanuel key ?
(7/12) WR Kitt-Denton (FCS) avg'd 18.1 ypc at NW St
San Diego State Injury Report
San José State on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffSDSU Def
Perf GradePerf #100 #3
SuccessSuc #49 #2
ExplosiveExp #18 #61
PPAPPA #32 #1
PowerPwr #60 #20
SP+SP+ #69 #13
Pts POPPO #114 #2
HavocHav #52 #59
San José State Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffSDSU Def
Run GameRun #51 #8
Run SuccessRSuc #54 #1
Run ExplRExp #49 #43
PPAExp #66 #7
Run BlockR Blk #135 -
OL YdsOLY #65 #59
Stuff RateStuff #114 #85
TackleTak -  #21
San José State Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffSDSU Def
Pass GamePass #50 #2
Pass SuccessPSuc #50 #3
Pass ExplPExl #47 #63
PPAExp #38 #1
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #125 #41
F7 HavocF7 #6 #96
DB HavocDB #126 #14
San Diego State on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCatSDSU OffSJSU Def
Perf GradePerf #46 #94
SuccessSuc #41 #91
ExplosiveExp #121 #117
PPAPPA #60 #112
PowerPwr #77 #119
SP+SP+ #81 #116
Pts POPPO #57 #97
HavocHav #38 #103
San Diego State Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat
SDSU OffSJSU Def
Run GameRun #36 #30
Run SuccessRSuc #36 #81
Run ExplRExp #132 #51
PPAExp #57 #61
Run BlockR Blk #54 -
OL YdsOLY #6 #38
Stuff RateStuff #6 #119
TackleTak -  #118
San Diego State Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCatSDSU OffSJSU Def
Pass GamePass #65 #127
Pass SuccessPSuc #72 #95
Pass ExplPExl #6 #128
PPAExp #51 #121
Pass Block/RushP Blk #61 #78
F7 HavocF7 #18 #114
DB HavocDB #73 #73
Program Comparison
SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

SJSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Snapdragon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
San José State beat San Diego State in 2023 (24-13)
San Diego State beat San José State in 2022 (43-27)

  
SJSU's OC Craig Stutzmann (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Walker Eget19032059%26181738.2
Xavier Ward31030%15011.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lamar Radcliffe5729515.230
Steve Chavez-Soto4725165.366
Jabari Bates2719227.187
Floyd Chalk IV3514124.016
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Danny Scudero (Tr)6310911017.372
Kyri Shoels46587212.843
Leland Smith (Tr)28506318.145
Jackson Canaan2322309.744

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Pollard644343
Taniela Latu485112
Jaylen Thomas431006
Noah McNeal-Franklin435132
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vili Taufatofua (Tr)266461
Jordan Pollard644343
Quincy Likio244210
Gafa Faga255250
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Thomas431006
Jalen Apalit-Williams360014
Jalen Bainer331104

SDSU's OC Sean Lewis (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Denegal (Tr)10516763%1418858.5
Bert Emanuel Jr. (Tr)5863%37004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lucky Sutton15381585.350
Byron Cardwell4023215.822
Christian Washington (Tr)5422324.127
Jayden Denegal (Tr)439012.129
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Napier45613213.680
Donovan Brown19260113.745
Jacob Bostick (Tr)11157314.335
Byron Cardwell5108121.654

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Rob Aurich (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Owen Chambliss636214
Dalesean Staley401007
Chris Johnson382025
Trey White308671
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey White308671
Ryan Henderson125441
August Salvati (Tr)64400
Niles King164310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalesean Staley401007
Chris Johnson382025
Owen Chambliss636214