San Diego State at Northern Illinois - 2025 Matchup Preview
San Diego State logo San Diego State Aztecs at Northern Illinois HuskiesNorthern Illinois logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium - DeKalb, IL

 
Aztecs (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 28 - 18 (13 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Our Line: Northern Illinois -1   (SP+ SDSU -1.5)
Projected Score: SDSU: 20 - NIU: 21 (41)
NIU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
SDSU Travel: 1671 miles, 2 hrs behind
Huskies (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (31 - 38)
Avg Score : 14 - 19 (19 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#60)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
 
San Diego State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 San Diego State vs Stony Brook-19.553.5W 42 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 San Diego State at Washington State+2.046.5L 13 - 36ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 San Diego State vs California+12.548.5
Sat 9/27 San Diego State at Northern Illinois+1
Sat 10/4 San Diego State vs Colorado State-4.5
Sat 10/11 San Diego State at Nevada-9
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 San Diego State at Fresno State+2
Sat 11/1 San Diego State vs Wyoming-2.5
Sat 11/8 San Diego State at Hawai'i-1
Sat 11/15 San Diego State vs Boise State+7.5
Sat 11/22 San Diego State vs San José State-6
Sat 11/29 San Diego State at New Mexico-7

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
Northern Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Northern Illinois vs Holy Cross-13.548.5W 19 - 17UN
Fri 9/5 Northern Illinois at Maryland+17.044.5L 9 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Northern Illinois at Mississippi State+21.549.5
Sat 9/27 Northern Illinois vs San Diego State-1
Sat 10/4 Northern Illinois vs Miami (OH)-8
Sat 10/11 Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan-9
Sat 10/18 Northern Illinois at Ohio+3.5
Sat 10/25 Northern Illinois vs Ball State-18
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Northern Illinois at Toledo+17
Wed 11/12 Northern Illinois at Massachusetts-14.5
Tue 11/18 Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan-13.5
Fri 11/28 Northern Illinois vs Kent State-15.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU#90 (.14)40% (95)27.549% (44)3.25 (43)15531% (126)1854.36 (49)#28 ()33% (21)1838% (66)28% (14)3.78 (77)51.500
NIU#112 (.07)32% (131)1433% (125)2.73 (92)18031% (127)1003.2 (110)#10 (-.1)36% (46)18.535% (39)37% (52)2.09 (16)51.50.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SDSU#108 (.12)37% (120)37% (124)3 (78)12938% (109)2063.44 (107)#103 (.23)46% (113)49% (117)43% (98)4.28 (111)81.80.81
NIU#86 (.16)42% (79)44% (72)3.25 (33)20440% (86)1793.39 (113)#11 (.06)38% (19)41% (52)35% (9)3.08 (12)42.81.21.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Offense227.51340.4%4.360173341551853.754%45%49%31%13%.14
NIU Defense218.51736.1%2.091 - - - - - 43%56%35%37%16%-.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SDSU Defense2183632.8%3.780 - - - - - 46%54%38%28%11%
NIU Offense2141931.7%3.20.5152801801003.865%35%33%31%13%.07

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San Diego State231:091734%50%6.551.50041.5031.7
Northern Illinois233:301532%67%6.551.50.5151127
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense254% (47)49% (44)421553.75 (62).18 (54)3.25 (43)80% (36)6% (27)0.79 (113)
NIU Defense243% (23)35% (39) - - - - -.27 (3)2.11 (17)75% (80)9% (80)0.55 (3)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense246% (39)38% (66) - - - - .01 (51)2.89 (79)62% (39)6% (121)0.81 (38)
NIU Offense265% (8)33% (125)471803.82 (109).11 (81)2.73 (92)89% (16)10% (91)1.24 (25)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense245% (90)31% (126)15.529.5184.56.311.92 (102)0 (1).12 (111)2 (9)32% (92)30% (85).25 (88)6% (96)2.1 (51)
NIU Defense256% (114)37% (52) - - - - - - 1 (87).08 (32)1.5 (75)29% (112)35% (108).58 (122)7% (51)2.5 (126)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense254% (100)28% (14) - - - - - - 0-.01 (20)1.2 (12)34% (61)11% (4)-.1 (9)5% (91)1.7 (35)
NIU Offense235% (129)31% (127)14231004.47.10 (133)1 (23).08 (120)1.5 (69)39% (124)22% (119).29 (81)3% (23)2.5 (16)

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -1.82 #83
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 4.98 #104
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 6.79 #67
2025 Talent Rating: 594.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
San Diego State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5
San Diego State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.9 #95
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.4 #121
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -1.82   Northern Illinois: -4.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -8.9   Northern Illinois: -10.4




Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -4.21 #86
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 1.78 #125
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 4.80 #54
2025 Talent Rating: 526.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Northern Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8
Northern Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #130
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 18 PPG
Defense on Road: 36

San Diego State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Northern Illinois 21
San Diego State 20


Total Points: 41

Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense at Home: 19
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Northern Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201709/30San Diego State34Northern Illinois28San Diego StateSan Diego State -9.5Northern Illinois47.5Over
201609/17Northern Illinois28San Diego State42San Diego StateSan Diego State -8San Diego State48.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northern Illinois012 Overs
San Diego State210 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams1 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#83) San Diego State Info
Power Rating: -1.82 #83
Offense Rating: 4.98 #104
Defense Rating: 6.79 #67
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.9 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.4 #121
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72
Talent Rating: 594.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 6.5 - 5.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.36 PPO
Good Run Success 49%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 33%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Great Pass Def Success 28%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

San Diego State has lost 2 straight
San Diego State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

San Diego State Notes
(8/1) OL 3/5 back, 4 portals, dont love OT on paper
(8/1) Def bad LY, 10 starters back, new DC Aurich
(8/1) Lewis also the OC, offense awful LY, team quit
(8/1) Fast offense, large totals. QB Emanuel key ?
(7/12) WR Kitt-Denton (FCS) avg'd 18.1 ypc at NW St
(5/23) New DC Aurich (DC @ Idaho) an improvement
(5/23) Portals look decent, losses mostly went down
(5/2) RB light, Washington (CCU) decent add.
(5/2) WR Napier back, v good. Some depth
(3/29) QB Dengal (Mich) vs Emanuel Jr (CMU)

San Diego State Highlights
San Diego State has a really good defense (#21)
San Diego State defense does not give up big plays (#10)
San Diego State has a good pass defense (#14)
San Diego State has a great TO Margin (#1)
San Diego State commits very few Penalties (#30)
San Diego State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

San Diego State Deficiencies
San Diego State Can Not Run the Ball (#121)
San Diego State pass game is really bad (#126)
San Diego State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
San Diego State does not Sack the QB (#112)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNIUSDSU
OverallOver#102#39
OffenseOff#105#61
DefenseDef#82#26
Special TeamsST#94#62
PassingPass#102#60
RushingRush#63#52
Run BlockRBLK#111#46
Pass BlockPBLK#108#90
Route RunningWR Rt#98#56
TacklingTkl#50#40
Run DefenseR Def#67#27
Pass Rush DefPRush#67#42
Coverage DefCov#93#40

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SDSU | NIU
Depth Chart: SDSU | NIU
Rosters: SDSU | NIU
(#86) Northern Illinois Info
Power Rating: -4.21 #86
Offense Rating: 1.78 #125
Defense Rating: 4.80 #54
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Talent Rating: 526.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 35%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 32%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.2 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 2.09 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Northern Illinois has lost 2 straight
Northern Illinois has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Northern Illinois Notes
(8/30) Slog W over Holy Cross. 3.7 ypc, 4.5 ypp. Woof
(5/5) Portal QB Proctor (Dart) exciting, joins in summer
(5/5) QB1 Holst won spring, started 3 games LY
(5/5) WR Bryant, Pardridge and Givens top 3 spring
(5/5) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 2 more w/ exp. Lost 5 Srs
(4/27) Staff high on Fr QB Brady Davidson, best croot
(3/26) RB rebuild, Johnson/Poe have exp, some depth
(3/26) Def good LY, replacing all. Only 2 portals, CBs
(3/26) Hammock good, but lost most exp in CFB

Northern Illinois Highlights
Northern Illinois is Undefeated at Home

Northern Illinois defense is really good in red zone (#16)
Northern Illinois Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#12)
Northern Illinois Defensive Line is very good (#17)
Northern Illinois has a great TO Margin (#11)
Northern Illinois commits very few Penalties (#30)

Northern Illinois Deficiencies
Northern Illinois has a really bad Offense
Northern Illinois has a really bad Offense at Home
Northern Illinois Can Not Run the Ball (#106)
Northern Illinois offense is really bad (#131)
Northern Illinois Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#106)
Northern Illinois offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#110)
Northern Illinois run game is really bad (#125)
Northern Illinois pass game is really bad (#127)
Northern Illinois offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Northern Illinois does not Sack the QB (#122)


  
San Diego State's OC Sean Lewis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Denegal (Tr)285551%340206.2
Bert Emanuel Jr. (Tr)3475%29007.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lucky Sutton3818824.920
Christian Washington (Tr)104914.927
Byron Cardwell72804.014
Bert Emanuel Jr. (Tr)62604.310
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Bostick (Tr)6101216.835
Jordan Napier108708.723
Mikey Welsh144044.044
Donovan Brown54308.644

View San Diego State's Full Roster
San Diego State's DC Rob Aurich
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tano Letuli190020
Owen Chambliss152111
Chris Johnson90022
Bryce Phillips80000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
August Salvati (Tr)32200
Owen Chambliss152111
Jared Badie11110
Tano Letuli190020
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalesean Staley61003
Chris Johnson90022
Owen Chambliss152111

Northern Illinois's OC Wesley Beschorner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Holst264065%192014.8
Jackson Proctor (Tr)2633%8001.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Chavon Wright3816714.445
Telly Johnson Jr.3115314.974
Jaylen Poe222011.021
DeAree Rogers122022.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
DeAree Rogers108908.925
Gary Givens III226013.015
Jaylen Poe52404.89
Telly Johnson Jr.31906.317

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster
Northern Illinois's DC Nick Benedetto
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quinton Urwiler201100
Muhammed Jammeh110001
Filip Maciorowski111001
Ty Myles82000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Roy Williams61120
Quinton Urwiler201100
Marc Pretto51100
Trey Porter30000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Muhammed Jammeh110001
Alvin Gulley Jr.00001
Donte Harrison62001