Colorado State at San Diego State Game Matchup
Colorado State logo Colorado State Rams at San Diego State AztecsSan Diego State logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Snapdragon Stadium - San Diego, CA  (Mountain West)

 
Rams (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (16 - 20)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (22 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#78)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Our Line: Colorado State -0   (SP+ CSU -2)
Projected Score: CSU: 25 - SDSU: 25 (51)
CSU Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
CSU Travel: 855 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Aztecs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sean Lewis (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (22 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#85)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
 
Colorado State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Colorado State at Washington+18.50.0
Sat 9/6 Colorado State vs Northern Colorado-14
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Colorado State vs UTSA+8
Sat 9/27 Colorado State vs Washington State-3
Sat 10/4 Colorado State at San Diego State-0
Sat 10/11 Colorado State vs Fresno State+1
Sat 10/18 Colorado State vs Hawai'i-4
Sat 10/25 Colorado State at Wyoming-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Colorado State vs UNLV+2
Sat 11/15 Colorado State at New Mexico-4
Sat 11/22 Colorado State at Boise State+21.5
Sat 11/29 Colorado State vs Air Force-4.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
San Diego State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 San Diego State vs Stony Brook-11
Sat 9/6 San Diego State at Washington State+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 San Diego State vs California+7.5
Sat 9/27 San Diego State at Northern Illinois+4
Sat 10/4 San Diego State vs Colorado State+0
Sat 10/11 San Diego State at Nevada-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 San Diego State at Fresno State+8.5
Sat 11/1 San Diego State vs Wyoming-3.5
Sat 11/8 San Diego State at Hawai'i+3.5
Sat 11/15 San Diego State vs Boise State+19.5
Sat 11/22 San Diego State vs San José State+5
Sat 11/29 San Diego State at New Mexico-1.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU#90 (.16)42% (76)24.443% (80)2.88 (96)16241% (81)1923.56 (98)#61 (.16)42% (78)25.842% (59)43% (94)4 (88)47.31.21.5
SDSU#108 (.12)37% (120)21.337% (124)3 (78)12938% (109)2063.44 (107)#103 (.23)46% (113)29.649% (117)43% (98)4.28 (111)81.80.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SDSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Offense1324.422.442.2%3.561.2163541621924.955%45%43%41%15%.16
SDSU Defense1229.623.346.1%4.281 - - - - - 55%44%49%43%12%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Defense1325.830.642.4%41.5 - - - - - 49%51%42%43%17%.16
SDSU Offense1221.322.337.4%3.440.8193351292063.747%52%37%38%18%.12

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado State1328:4416.535%64%5.847.31.21.54.21.1227.8
San Diego State1227:0818.536%53%9.181.80.815.42.6231
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Offense1355% (30)43% (80)33.4161.84.919 (73).03 (115)2.88 (96)55% (133)9% (46)0.92 (87)
SDSU Defense1255% (117)49% (117) - - - - .21 (113)3.49 (130)80% (109)9% (98)0.94 (47)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Defense1349% (51)42% (59) - - - - .1 (55)3.01 (70)69% (45)9% (91)1.02 (88)
SDSU Offense1247% (87)37% (124)35.3128.93.713 (105).1 (84)3 (78)69% (97)12% (114)1.06 (37)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Offense1345% (102)41% (81)16.226.4191.87.311.815 (98)8 (40).31 (43)1.7 (25)32% (75)34% (37).42 (33)7% (98)2 (92)
SDSU Defense1244% (17)43% (98) - - - - - - 7 (104).28 (96)1.6 (75)29% (112)38% (126).52 (126)3% (133)2.1 (79)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Defense1351% (85)43% (94) - - - - - - 10 (66).22 (59)1.4 (16)30% (105)30% (64).27 (49)8% (22)1.9 (35)
SDSU Offense1252% (45)38% (109)19.531.3205.76.610.615 (98)8 (40).15 (107)1.5 (99)36% (125)26% (114).29 (87)6% (61)2 (77)

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -11.10 #96
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 11.27 #86
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 22.37 #106
2025 Talent Rating: 534.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Colorado State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Colorado State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #97
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #95
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #98

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 506.67
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -11.10   San Diego State: -9.77

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -8.3   San Diego State: -10.1




San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -9.77 #104
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 4.38 #123
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 18.82 #95
2025 Talent Rating: 600.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
San Diego State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
San Diego State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.1 #102
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #125
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #65

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 506.67
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.6

Colorado State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado State 25
San Diego State 25

Projected Total Points: 51
San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

San Diego State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Colorado State22San Diego State19Colorado StateColorado State -3.5San Diego State46.5Under
202012/05San Diego State29Colorado State17San Diego StateSan Diego State -7.5San Diego State45.0Over
201910/05Colorado State10San Diego State24San Diego StateSan Diego State -7.5San Diego State49.0Under
201611/26San Diego State31Colorado State63Colorado StateSan Diego State -12.5Colorado State53.5Over
201510/31Colorado State17San Diego State41San Diego StateSan Diego State -2San Diego State52.0Over
201210/13San Diego State38Colorado State14San Diego State
201111/12Colorado State15San Diego State18San Diego State
201011/06San Diego State24Colorado State19San Diego State
200910/24Colorado State28San Diego State42San Diego State
200810/25San Diego State34Colorado State38Colorado State
200710/06Colorado State20San Diego State24San Diego State
200612/02San Diego State17Colorado State6San Diego State
200511/12Colorado State10San Diego State30San Diego State
200410/16San Diego State17Colorado State21Colorado State
200311/15Colorado State21San Diego State6Colorado State
200109/22Colorado State7San Diego State14San Diego State
200010/27San Diego State22Colorado State34Colorado State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San Diego State1143 Overs
Colorado State612 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 111 - 41 - 20 - 2
Road Teams11 - 64 - 12 - 02 - 1

(#96) Colorado State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.10 #96
Offense Rating: 11.27 #86
Defense Rating: 22.37 #106
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #97
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #98
Talent Rating: 534.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.56 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Colorado State Notes
(4/29) WR rebuild, so far not much here. TE decent
(3/24) QB F-Nicolosi exp'd, JAG+. Depth inexp'd
(3/24) RB Marshall good #2 LY. Depth looks v light
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, decent LY. No portal adds
(3/24) Def bad LY, replacing a ton. 8 portal adds
(3/24) New DC Summers from WKU (DC), HC exp
Colorado State     Ratings Matchup     San Diego State
Power #96
#104
Off #86
#123
Def #106
#95
Talent #102
#83
SP+ #97
#102
SP+ Off #95
#125
SP+ Def #98
#65

Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat San Diego State in 2023 (22-19)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Snapdragon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CSU | SDSU
Depth Chart: CSU | SDSU
Rosters: CSU | SDSU
(#104) San Diego State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.77 #104
Offense Rating: 4.38 #123
Defense Rating: 18.82 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.1 #102
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #125
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #65
Talent Rating: 600.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.28 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


San Diego State Notes
(5/23) New DC Aurich (DC @ Idaho) an improvement
(5/23) Portals look decent, losses mostly went down
(5/2) RB light, Washington (CCU) decent add.
(5/2) WR Napier back, v good. Some depth
(5/2) OL 3/5 back, 2 portals. OK last year, could flash
(5/2) Def bad LY, not much portal help, new DC Aurich
(3/29) QB Dengal (Mich) vs Emanuel Jr (CMU)


  
Colorado State's OC Matt Mumme
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi22737461%27551487.4
Jackson Brousseau3650%15012.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Marshall15676744.942
Lloyd Avant (Tr)7625913.416
Keegan Holles159716.518
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi438041.923
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Armani Winfield3834129.062
Petey Tucker (Tr)30324010.829
Jordan Ross15218114.536
Tommy Maher499124.853

View Colorado State's Full Roster
Colorado State's DC Tyson Summers
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Owen Long441002
Jacob Ellis (Tr)415120
Ayden Hector405206
Mukendi Wa-Kalonji356351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mukendi Wa-Kalonji356351
Ayden Hector405206
Kennedy McDowell82220
Jacob Ellis (Tr)415120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ayden Hector405206
Dylan Phelps240004
Jahari Rogers (Tr)30003

San Diego State's OC Sean Lewis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bert Emanuel Jr. (Tr)4667%992016.5
Jordan Napier1250%271013.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Christian Washington (Tr)10253755.368
Bert Emanuel Jr. (Tr)2812834.620
Lucky Sutton53507.017
Trey White1404.04
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Napier43440410.253
Christian Washington (Tr)43609.024
Jacob Bostick (Tr)114014.014
Owen Chambliss110010.010

View San Diego State's Full Roster
San Diego State's DC Rob Aurich
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tano Letuli674220
Chris Johnson590013
Trey White56191351
Dalesean Staley550000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey White56191351
Malachi Finau (Tr)194310
Ryan Henderson123320
Krishna Clay424210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshawn McCuin262115
Jelani Whitmore100003
Eric Butler443003