Nevada at Wyoming - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (2:00 PM EST)
Wyoming -6 (39.5) (-230) Open: -10.0
Nevada 13 - Wyoming: 7 (Mountain West)

Wolf Pack (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jeff Choate (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (16 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)

Our Line: Wyoming -12 (SP+ WYO -4)
Projected Score: NEV: 14 - WYO: 26 (40)
WYO Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
NEV Travel: 758 miles, 1 hrs behind

Cowboys (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (21 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
NEV Players
WYO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Nevada's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Nevada at Penn State	+45.5	58.5	L 11 - 46	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Nevada vs Sacramento State	-8.0	56.0	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/13	Nevada vs Middle Tennessee	-9.0	50.0	L 13 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/20	Nevada at Western Kentucky	+8.5	54.5	L 16 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Nevada at Fresno State	+12.5	45.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Nevada vs San Diego State	+6.5	42.5	L 10 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/18	Nevada at New Mexico	+14.0	49.5	L 22 - 24	U	Y
Fri 10/24	Nevada vs Boise State	+20.5	51.5	L 3 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Nevada at Utah State	+10.0	52.5	L 14 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/15	Nevada vs San José State	+10.0	49.5	W 55 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/22	Nevada at Wyoming	+6.0	39.5	W 13 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Nevada vs UNLV	+7.5	53.0	L 17 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 3

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule

Wyoming's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Wyoming at Akron	-8.5	49.5	W 10 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Wyoming vs Northern Iowa	-14.0	47.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Wyoming vs Utah	+24.5	47.5	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/20	Wyoming at Colorado	+12.5	45.5	L 20 - 37	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Wyoming vs UNLV	+4.5	50.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/11	Wyoming vs San José State	+1.5	50.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Wyoming at Air Force	+4.0	56.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Wyoming vs Colorado State	-5.5	46.5	W 28 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/1	Wyoming at San Diego State	+10.0	42.5	L 7 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Wyoming at Fresno State	+3.0	40.5	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/22	Wyoming vs Nevada	-6.0	39.5	L 7 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/29	Wyoming at Hawai'i	+8.5	45.0	L 7 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 1

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEV	#129 (.02)	37% (124)	17.6	37% (122)	2.83 (89)	155	36% (117)	147	2.67 (133)	#92 (.19)	44% (92)	27.5	44% (83)	43% (93)	4.15 (108)	45.2	2.3	1.3
WYO	#122 (.05)	38% (116)	16	38% (117)	2.74 (110)	132	39% (101)	183	2.9 (127)	#23 (.07)	38% (23)	20.5	40% (46)	37% (26)	2.77 (12)	56.3	1.5	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEV	#55 (.21)	45% (46)		47% (33)	3.06 (59)	164	42% (65)	213	3.88 (73)	#110 (.24)	46% (117)		49% (121)	43% (92)	4.33 (114)	73.1	1.2	1
WYO	#127 (.05)	36% (126)		39% (111)	2.64 (122)	138	34% (125)	189	3.07 (126)	#102 (.23)	44% (96)		43% (70)	45% (113)	3.97 (86)	49.6	1.3	0.9

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEV Offense	12	17.6	15.5	36.6%	2.67	2.3	17	302	155	147	4.5	56%	42%	37%	36%	17%	.02
WYO Defense	12	20.5	18.3	38%	2.77	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	40%	37%	13%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEV Defense	12	27.5	29.8	43.5%	4.15	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	44%	43%	14%	.19
WYO Offense	12	16	20.7	38.1%	2.9	1.5	18	315	132	183	4.1	47%	51%	38%	39%	19%	.05

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Nevada	12	30:19	17.3	32%	54%	5.3	45.2	2.3	1.3	5.3	1.6	3	30.4
Wyoming	12	28:31	17.7	34%	52%	6.6	56.3	1.5	1.3	4.4	1.3	3	25.5

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEV Offense	12	56% (23)	37% (122)	34.6	155.3	4.5	9 (132)	.07 (92)	2.83 (89)	72% (70)	11% (116)	1.04 (38)
WYO Defense	12	55% (121)	40% (46)	-	-	-	-	.09 (59)	3 (94)	74% (96)	8% (123)	0.93 (55)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEV Defense	12	50% (66)	44% (83)	-	-	-	-	.22 (124)	3.08 (104)	72% (76)	9% (94)	1.05 (112)
WYO Offense	12	47% (94)	38% (117)	32.4	131.8	4.1	9 (107)	.02 (118)	2.74 (110)	56% (135)	10% (90)	0.96 (68)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEV Offense	12	42% (113)	36% (117)	15.2	25.7	147.2	5.7	9.7	10 (121)	17 (134)	-.02 (135)	1.4 (120)	34% (109)	24% (130)	-.05 (136)	6% (87)	1.6 (136)
WYO Defense	12	44% (17)	37% (26)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (75)	.13 (21)	1.6 (93)	34% (26)	27% (30)	.17 (23)	6% (86)	1.9 (44)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEV Defense	12	48% (73)	43% (93)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (75)	.18 (41)	1.3 (2)	32% (66)	28% (41)	.26 (57)	6% (86)	1.8 (16)
WYO Offense	12	51% (50)	39% (101)	17.9	32	183	5.7	10.2	13 (86)	12 (108)	.12 (122)	1.4 (130)	35% (122)	25% (116)	.16 (119)	9% (131)	1.8 (121)

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -18.11 #132
Nevada's Offense Rating: -0.20 #131
Nevada's Defense Rating: 17.91 #124
2025 Talent Rating: 486.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Nevada's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Nevada's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.1 #118
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #133
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #78

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -18.11 Wyoming: -4.14

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -14.1 Wyoming: -10.5

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -4.14 #80
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 1.98 #115
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 4.76 #43
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Wyoming's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wyoming's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #131
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Nevada's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Wyoming 26
Nevada 14

Total Points: 40

Based on Last 4 Games
Wyoming 27
Nevada 15

Total Points: 42

Based on Entire Season
Wyoming 24
Nevada 18

Total Points: 42

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.7
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wyoming's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Wyoming	7	Nevada	13	Wyoming -6	Nevada	39.5	Under
2023	11/25	Nevada	6	Wyoming	42	Wyoming -11	Wyoming	42.0	Over
2020	10/24	Nevada	37	Wyoming	34	Wyoming -3	Nevada	54.0	Over
2019	10/26	Wyoming	31	Nevada	3	Wyoming -12	Wyoming	44.5	Under
2016	10/22	Nevada	34	Wyoming	42	Wyoming -3	Wyoming	53.0	Over
2015	10/17	Wyoming	28	Nevada	21	Nevada -7	Wyoming	55.5	Under
2012	10/06	Nevada	35	Wyoming	28
2000	09/22	Wyoming	28	Nevada	35

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wyoming	4	4	3 Overs
Nevada	4	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 4	3 - 3	1 - 1	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 4	3 - 3	2 - 2	1 - 1

(#132) NEV at (#80) WYO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NEV	WYO
Power RatePwr	#132	#80
SP+SP+	#118	#107
Perf GradeGrade	#97	#117
OffenseOff	#112	#130
DefenseDef	#45	#52
Spec TeamsST	#119	#132
TalentTal	#119	#103
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#101

Nevada Notes(12/1) OC David Gilbertson fired after only one season
(10/22) Bottom 5 in CFB in scoring opps both Off & Def
(10/12) Team does nothing well and likely worst in MWC
(10/9) QB Purdy (1 TD/8 INT) benched for Fr Carter Jones
(10/9) Def is fighting but the Off is one of CFBs worst
(10/9) Run heavy 60% but #112 in Rush Success. Little hope
(10/9) 1-10 in last 11 games, 4-14 under HC Choate
(8/1) Def ugly LY, return 1 starter. 14 portals. Yikes
(8/1) 0-6 finish, Def abysmal esp vs run. Bad vibes
(8/1) One of most penalized teams LY, 950+ yds
(4/9) RBs meh. Some options, Turner (USU) added
(4/9) WR Smith/Bellon good. 3 portal adds. Impressive
Nevada Injury Report

Wyoming Notes(8/1) OL was awful LY, but 4/5 back. No portals?
(8/1) Def was awful, lost a ton, added 12 portals
(8/1) Back 7 of Def has almost no exp. Pass D awful
(5/2) QB K Anderson likely. JAG- so far, depth??
(5/2) RB Scott back, Kellman (Char) added. Meh
(5/2) WR Sargent electric, Durr back as well. C+
(5/2) HC Sawvel awful 1st year. Doesn't look better TY
(5/2) TE Gyllenborg a nice target w/ 55 career rec
Wyoming Injury Report

Nevada on Offense

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	NEV Off	WYO Def
Perf GradePerf	#112	#52
SuccessSuc	#124	#23
ExplosiveExp	#104	#49
PPAPPA	#129	#23
PowerPwr	#131	#43
SP+SP+	#133	#55
Pts POPPO	#133	#12
HavocHav	#107	#118

Nevada Run Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	NEV Off	WYO Def
Run GameRun	#126	#55
Run SuccessRSuc	#122	#46
Run ExplRExp	#38	#55
PPAExp	#92	#59
Run BlockR Blk	#24	-
OL YdsOLY	#89	#94
Stuff RateStuff	#83	#106
TackleTak	-	#56

Nevada Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	NEV Off	WYO Def
Pass GamePass	#131	#45
Pass SuccessPSuc	#117	#26
Pass ExplPExl	#120	#93
PPAExp	#135	#21
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#77	#112
F7 HavocF7	#116	#123
DB HavocDB	#87	#86

Wyoming on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	NEV Def
Perf GradePerf	#130	#45
SuccessSuc	#116	#92
ExplosiveExp	#114	#38
PPAPPA	#122	#92
PowerPwr	#115	#124
SP+SP+	#131	#78
Pts POPPO	#127	#108
HavocHav	#125	#95

Wyoming Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	NEV Def
Run GameRun	#98	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	#117	#83
Run ExplRExp	#68	#112
PPAExp	#118	#124
Run BlockR Blk	#58	-
OL YdsOLY	#110	#104
Stuff RateStuff	#117	#113
TackleTak	-	#68

Wyoming Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	NEV Def
Pass GamePass	#133	#73
Pass SuccessPSuc	#101	#93
Pass ExplPExl	#130	#2
PPAExp	#122	#41
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#101	#14
F7 HavocF7	#90	#94
DB HavocDB	#131	#86

Program Comparison
WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

NEV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Wyoming -6.0 (39.5)
Nevada won at Wyoming this year (13-7)

Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat Nevada in 2023 (42-6)

NEV's OC David Gilbertson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carter Jones	111	173	64%	1001	6	8	5.8
Chubba Purdy	44	86	51%	577	3	8	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caleb Ramseur	139	683	5	4.9	32
Chubba Purdy	100	530	3	5.3	58
Herschel Turner (Tr)	69	353	0	5.1	64
Ky Woods	19	103	0	5.4	28

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jett Carpenter	35	374	2	10.7	44
Dakota Thomas (Tr)	26	268	1	10.3	25
Marcus Bellon	25	242	1	9.7	43
Caleb Ramseur	18	191	3	10.6	41

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC Kane Ioane (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dylan Labarbera	88	17	7	3	0
Stone Combs	72	5	1	1	1
Murvin Kenion III (Tr)	59	5	1	0	2
Nakian Jackson (Tr)	51	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dylan Labarbera	88	17	7	3	0
Jonathan Maldonado	38	9	5	1	4
Nelson Ropati	22	4	2	0	0
Myles Williams (Tr)	3	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
A.J. Odums	49	1	7
Edward Rhambo (Tr)	34	1	6
Bryson Snelling	14	0	4

WYO's OC Jay Johnson (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kaden Anderson	189	336	56%	1971	12	10	5.9
Mason Drube	20	38	53%	187	0	1	4.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Samuel Harris	100	552	1	5.5	50
Sam Scott	89	408	2	4.6	37
Terron Kellman (Tr)	65	331	4	5.1	33
Landon Sims	15	97	1	6.5	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Durr Jr.	46	513	4	11.2	49
Jaylen Sargent	20	240	0	12.0	29
Michael Fitzgerald (Tr)	16	228	3	14.3	35
Johnmichael Gyllenborg	24	217	1	9.0	24

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Aaron Bohl (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brayden Johnson (Tr)	74	5	0	1	3
Evan Eller	62	7	2	2	1
Jones Thomas	46	1	0	0	4
Andrew Johnson	43	2	1	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ben Florentine	33	6	4	1	3
Brayden Wilson (Tr)	22	4	2	1	0
Tyce Westland	43	8	2	4	2
Evan Eller	62	7	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Desman Hearns (Tr)	28	3	5
Tyrese Boss	36	0	5
Dainsus Miller	25	3	5