Toledo at Miami (OH) Game Matchup
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets at Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) logo
Wednesday, November 12th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Yager Stadium - Oxford, OH  (Mid-American)

 
Rockets (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (72 - 40)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (22 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 2.4 (#12)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 11)
Our Line: Toledo -7.5   (SP+ TOL -6)
Projected Score: TOL: 26 - M-OH: 19 (48)
TOL Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
TOL Travel: 159 miles
RedHawks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (64 - 67)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (28 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
 
Toledo's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Toledo at Kentucky+11.50.0
Sat 9/6 Toledo vs Western Kentucky-13
Sat 9/13 Toledo vs Morgan State-22
Sat 9/20 Toledo at Western Michigan-13.5
Sat 9/27 Toledo vs Akron-20.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Toledo at Bowling Green-9.5
Sat 10/18 Toledo vs Kent State-27.5
Sat 10/25 Toledo at Washington State-6
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-12
Wed 11/12 Toledo at Miami (OH)-7.5
Sat 11/22 Toledo vs Ball State-23.5
Sat 11/29 Toledo at Central Michigan-9.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 10
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 10
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 Miami (OH) at Wisconsin+17.50.0
Sat 9/6 Miami (OH) at Rutgers+20.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Miami (OH) vs UNLV+4
Sat 9/27 Miami (OH) vs Lindenwood-12
Sat 10/4 Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois+3.5
Sat 10/11 Miami (OH) at Akron-5.5
Sat 10/18 Miami (OH) vs Eastern Michigan-5.5
Sat 10/25 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan-8.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Miami (OH) at Ohio+10
Wed 11/12 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+7.5
Wed 11/19 Miami (OH) at Buffalo+6.5
Sat 11/29 Miami (OH) vs Ball State-13.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)28.338% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)23.242% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)24.138% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)18.846% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1328.322.240.8%3.551.3183391112273.546%53%38%44%16%.11
M-OH Defense1418.81543.6%2.911.4 - - - - - 47%52%46%42%18%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1323.221.339.8%3.871.3 - - - - - 52%48%42%38%19%.09
M-OH Offense1424.128.240.7%3.431.1163251212044.545%55%38%44%18%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1325:0618.436%50%5.446.71.31.36.22.1231.4
Miami (OH)1427:0715.533%40%4.838.61.11.44.92.1039.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1346% (96)38% (120)31.5111.33.512 (114)-.04 (127)2.66 (121)57% (130)10% (74)0.83 (125)
M-OH Defense1447% (36)46% (100) - - - - .13 (74)3.24 (102)68% (38)10% (67)0.88 (21)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1352% (83)42% (60) - - - - .11 (66)3.01 (69)77% (89)12% (31)0.95 (48)
M-OH Offense1445% (108)38% (119)26.6120.54.59 (125).1 (90)3.1 (51)69% (98)11% (86)0.96 (70)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1353% (41)44% (46)19.231227.27.311.826 (26)7 (26).26 (67)1.6 (61)31% (65)27% (108).18 (115)6% (76)2 (68)
M-OH Defense1452% (102)42% (74) - - - - - - 11 (52).11 (18)1.2 (1)30% (99)30% (61).17 (14)8% (7)1.6 (4)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1348% (51)38% (35) - - - - - - 10 (66).08 (11)1.5 (29)34% (38)29% (39).22 (34)7% (35)2 (43)
M-OH Offense1455% (28)44% (48)15.126.6204.37.713.523 (41)12 (85).22 (87)1.5 (90)33% (99)30% (83).27 (90)7% (111)2 (81)

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: -1.41 #68
Toledo's Offense Rating: 13.54 #72
Toledo's Defense Rating: 14.95 #68
2025 Talent Rating: 678.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #62
Toledo's 2025 Expected Record: 9.6 - 2.4
Toledo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #77
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #63

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -1.41   Miami (OH): -9.055

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: -1.4   Miami (OH): -7.6




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -9.055 #111
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 1.30 #132
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 16.81 #83
2025 Talent Rating: 662.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.6 #96
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #135
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5 #35

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.3

Toledo's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 26
Miami (OH) 19

Projected Total Points: 48
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Miami (OH)'s 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Toledo30Miami (OH)20ToledoToledo -4.5Toledo44.0Over
202310/21Miami (OH)17Toledo21ToledoToledo -2Toledo46.5Under
202312/02Toledo14Miami (OH)23Miami (OH)Toledo -8.5Miami (OH)46.0Under
201110/22Toledo49Miami (OH)28Toledo
200910/31Miami (OH)31Toledo24Miami (OH)
200811/21Toledo42Miami (OH)14Toledo
200412/02Miami (OH)27Toledo35Toledo
200411/02Miami (OH)23Toledo16Miami (OH)
200210/26Toledo13Miami (OH)27Miami (OH)
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)411 Overs
Toledo522 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 41 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams4 - 52 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#68) Toledo Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.41 #68
Offense Rating: 13.54 #72
Defense Rating: 14.95 #68
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #63
Talent Rating: 678.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #62
Expected Record: 9.6 - 2.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.55 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Toledo Notes
(5/11) One of CFB's most exp'd OLs, 95% is returning
(5/2) WR Vandeross a weapon, have decent depth
(3/22) QB Gleason 2nd yr starter. Good, but TO prone
(3/22) RBs Walendzak back, Trayanum (UK) nice add
(3/22) OL 5/5 back. Poss best G5 line, best MAC
(3/22) Candle good HC, but drops bad games a lot
(3/22) Class of the MAC TY, OC/DC both vet's.
Toledo     Ratings Matchup     Miami (OH)
Power #68
#111
Off #72
#132
Def #68
#83
Talent #76
#78
SP+ #71
#96
SP+ Off #77
#135
SP+ Def #63
#35

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Miami (OH) last year (30-20)
Miami (OH) beat Toledo in 2023 (23-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TOL | M-OH
Depth Chart: TOL | M-OH
Rosters: TOL | M-OH
(#111) Miami (OH) Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.055 #111
Offense Rating: 1.30 #132
Defense Rating: 16.81 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.6 #96
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #135
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5 #35
Talent Rating: 662.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Great in Scoring Position 2.91 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Miami (OH) Notes
(5/11) Least exp'd OL in CFB, and no exp'd portals
(3/26) RB rebuild, Brunson has exp. Some options
(3/26) WR complete rebuild. 5 P4 portal adds
(3/26) OL complete rebuild, 2 w/ lim exp, 3 portals
(3/26) Def good LY, replace a lot. Only 2 portals
(3/26) Martin & staff 20 W's past 2 years. Great job
(3/26) QB Finn was great in MAC, not at Baylor LY


  
Toledo's OC Mike Hallett
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tucker Gleason20733562%24572277.3
John Alan Richter436764%497407.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Connor Walendzak12245713.732
Tucker Gleason8833063.835
Willie Shaw III4619034.113
Trayvon Rudolph (Tr)14179212.860
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Junior Vandeross73763410.573
Trayvon Rudolph (Tr)37403110.948
Thomas Zsiros12148112.325
Eric Holley1412609.040

View Toledo's Full Roster
Toledo's DC Vince Kehres
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braden Awls673107
Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren612104
Avery Smith5010013
Louce Julien (Tr)437411
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Dunn257420
Louce Julien (Tr)437411
Malachi Davis194210
Esean Carter162100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avery Smith5010013
Braden Awls673107
Nasir Bowers352004

Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn (Tr)234354%307327.1
Henry Hesson71741%93105.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Brunson5329945.675
Dequan Finn (Tr)216623.139
Henry Hesson71702.49
Nate Milanowski4802.08
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamryn Perry10166016.640
Darion Williamson (Tr)571014.235
Deion Colzie (Tr)54118.215
Cole Weaver238119.024

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster
Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Silas Walters9530012
Eli Blakey891002
Corban Hondru704221
Oscar McWood516130
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adam Trick376420
Corban Hondru704221
Christian Mckinney31100
Roosevelt Andrews III61100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Silas Walters9530012
Luke Evans311003
Mychal Yharbrough230002