Miami (OH) at Wisconsin - 2025 Matchup Preview
Miami (OH) logo Miami (OH) RedHawks at Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin logo
Thursday, August 28th 2025 (9:00 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -17.5 (40.5) (-1100)  Open: -17.5 | 40.5
Wisconsin 17 - Miami (OH): 0

 
RedHawks (7 - 7) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (64 - 67)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (20 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 6.5 (#61)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
Our Line: Wisconsin -2.5  (SP+ M-OH -3)
Projected Score: M-OH: 19 - WIS: 21 (40)
WIS Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
M-OH Travel: 345 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Badgers (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (13 - 13)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (16 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Miami (OH) at Wisconsin+17.540.5L 0 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Miami (OH) at Rutgers+15.545.5L 17 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Miami (OH) vs UNLV+2.549.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 9/27 Miami (OH) vs Lindenwood-22.549.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 10/4 Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois-4.538.5W 25 - 14OY
Sat 10/11 Miami (OH) at Akron-11.547.5W 20 - 7UY
Sat 10/18 Miami (OH) vs Eastern Michigan-12.547.5W 44 - 30OY
Sat 10/25 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan-2.540.5W 26 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Miami (OH) at Ohio+2.550.5L 20 - 24UN
Wed 11/12 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+6.544.5L 3 - 24UN
Wed 11/19 Miami (OH) at Buffalo-2.538.5W 37 - 20OY
Sat 11/29 Miami (OH) vs Ball State-16.540.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 12/6 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan+2.544.5L 13 - 23UN
Sat 12/27 Miami (OH) vs Fresno State+5.041.0L 3 - 18UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Wisconsin's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wisconsin vs Miami (OH)-17.540.5W 17 - 0UN
Sat 9/6 Wisconsin vs Middle Tennessee-28.545.5W 42 - 10OY
Sat 9/13 Wisconsin at Alabama+17.545.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/20 Wisconsin vs Maryland-10.544.5L 10 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wisconsin at Michigan+17.542.5L 10 - 24UY
Sat 10/11 Wisconsin vs Iowa+5.537.5L 0 - 37UN
Sat 10/18 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+24.541.5L 0 - 34UN
Sat 10/25 Wisconsin at Oregon+31.544.5L 7 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Wisconsin vs Washington+10.544.5W 13 - 10UY
Sat 11/15 Wisconsin at Indiana+28.543.5L 7 - 31UY
Sat 11/22 Wisconsin vs Illinois+8.542.5W 27 - 10UY
Sat 11/29 Wisconsin at Minnesota-2.538.5L 7 - 17UN

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH#108 (.1)39% (107)23.543% (82)3.14 (35)14236% (119)1823.34 (105)#29 (.08)39% (37)21.739% (33)40% (51)3.39 (47)46.40.91.4
WIS#132 (.01)35% (130)12.834% (132)2.82 (94)11838% (109)1362.28 (135)#88 (.19)45% (112)21.644% (91)46% (119)3.13 (26)30.11.30.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)38% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)46% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4
WIS#97 (.14)42% (73)46% (39)3.16 (46)15438% (107)1974.02 (57)#80 (.18)43% (88)45% (86)42% (81)4.17 (105)37.51.51



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Offense1423.519.839.1%3.340.9173241421824.352%47%43%36%14%.1
WIS Defense1221.618.344.8%3.130.5 - - - - - 47%51%44%46%13%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Defense1421.721.239.1%3.391.4 - - - - - 49%49%39%40%18%.08
WIS Offense1212.815.635.4%2.281.3142551181363.456%42%34%38%18%.01

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami (OH)1428:1616.835%46%5.346.40.91.45.52.9331.4
Wisconsin1230:3714.132%67%3.630.11.30.55.12.6128.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense1452% (49)43% (82)33.3142.24.317 (78).07 (90)3.14 (35)66% (108)7% (15)0.87 (113)
WIS Defense1247% (34)44% (91) - - - - .06 (46)2.75 (44)71% (69)9% (89)0.86 (17)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense1449% (56)39% (33) - - - - .05 (43)2.71 (31)73% (85)11% (35)0.92 (49)
WIS Offense1256% (26)34% (132)35.1118.33.49 (122).04 (107)2.82 (94)66% (105)12% (122)1.05 (37)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense1447% (89)36% (119)12.624.7182.17.414.417 (86)10 (88).17 (108)1.7 (27)32% (80)28% (94).2 (110)6% (84)1.9 (103)
WIS Defense1251% (100)46% (119) - - - - - - 5 (75).33 (107)1.4 (12)30% (96)29% (67).34 (91)4% (133)2 (72)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense1449% (79)40% (51) - - - - - - 14 (12).19 (45)1.5 (28)34% (31)28% (47).22 (41)7% (24)2 (59)
WIS Offense1242% (113)38% (109)13.122.7136.4610.49 (114)13 (119).03 (131)1.5 (105)33% (101)25% (119).2 (107)7% (94)2.1 (48)

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -3.96  #86
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 3.22  #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 7.18  #63
2025 Talent Rating: 674.00  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 6.5
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.6  #79
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #104
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 24.9  #53

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -3.96   Wisconsin: -0.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -1.6   Wisconsin: -4.6




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: -0.53  #75
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 1.15  #121
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 2.61  #34
2025 Talent Rating: 866.00  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24  #24
Wisconsin's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wisconsin's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6  #87
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.6  #122
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8  #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Miami (OH)'s 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Wisconsin 21
Miami (OH) 19


Total Points: 40

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami (OH) 25
Wisconsin 13

Total Points: 38

Based on Entire Season
Miami (OH) 21
Wisconsin 18

Total Points: 39
Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wisconsin's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/28Wisconsin17Miami (OH)0Wisconsin -17.5Miami (OH)40.5Under
201509/12Wisconsin58Miami (OH)0Wisconsin -33Wisconsin52.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin211 Overs
Miami (OH)011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#86) M-OH at (#75) WIS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatM-OHWIS
Power RatePwr #86 #75
SP+SP+ #79 #87
Perf GradeGrade #43 #108
OffenseOff #69 #128
DefenseDef #33 #56
Spec TeamsST #34 #51
TalentTal #81 #35
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #24
Miami (OH) Notes
(11/29) Beat Ball St to make the MAC title game vs WMU
(11/20) QB Thomas Gotkowski better option in W vs Buff
(11/20) Beat Buff due to 3 TOs, even BS. Pass Def torched
(11/14) QB Dequan Finn quit the team.
(11/13) QB2 Hesson cannot play. 11/38 w/ 3 INT vs Tol
(11/4) Can't trust Dequan Finn. Will find a way to lose
(10/31) #2 Off in MAC, best OL, Avg DL, QB Finn meh
(10/31) 5-1 outside of paycheck games, L to UNLV by 3
(10/19) 3-0 in MAC play, undefeated after paycheck games
(10/19) Run heavy Off, QB Finn not good, Def inconsistent
(9/21) Nearly beat UNLV, OG'd 513-396. 1-8 on 3rd down
(8/30) Off awful vs Wisky, Finn cannot play? Def good
Miami (OH) Injury Report
Wisconsin Notes
(11/10) Fr LB Mason Posa was unreal vs Wash. Big future
(11/6) Fickell will return in '26. NIL $ coming
(10/12) Tire fire. Off has scored 34 pts vs four P4 teams
(10/8) QB O'Neil 3rd string now? Edwards (inj), Simmons #2
(10/4) QB1 is now Hunter Simmons, looks better than others
(9/20) Run Off pitiful, Pass Def bad vs MD. Bad loss
(9/18) QB1 Edwards game time decision for MD
(8/30) Run game bad vs M-OH, QBs bad, Def great
(5/17) DL was portal focus, 7 adds, DE big need
(5/15) LT Heywood out for season (ACL), big loss
(5/15) DB looks light on bodies, CB could be 2 portals?
(4/18) RBs Dupree & rFr Jones decent combo, depth?
Wisconsin Injury Report
Miami (OH) on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
M-OH OffWIS Def
Perf GradePerf #69 #56
SuccessSuc #107 #112
ExplosiveExp #88 #18
PPAPPA #108 #88
PowerPwr #106 #34
SP+SP+ #104 #37
Pts POPPO #105 #26
HavocHav #38 #120
Miami (OH) Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
M-OH OffWIS Def
Run GameRun #100 #51
Run SuccessRSuc #82 #91
Run ExplRExp #113 #17
PPAExp #90 #46
Run BlockR Blk #51 -
OL YdsOLY #35 #44
Stuff RateStuff #48 #24
TackleTak -  #76
Miami (OH) Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
M-OH OffWIS Def
Pass GamePass #67 #106
Pass SuccessPSuc #119 #119
Pass ExplPExl #27 #12
PPAExp #108 #107
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #120 #34
F7 HavocF7 #15 #89
DB HavocDB #84 #133
Wisconsin on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatWIS OffM-OH Def
Perf GradePerf #128 #33
SuccessSuc #130 #37
ExplosiveExp #76 #32
PPAPPA #132 #29
PowerPwr #121 #63
SP+SP+ #122 #53
Pts POPPO #135 #47
HavocHav #119 #26
Wisconsin Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WIS OffM-OH Def
Run GameRun #125 #84
Run SuccessRSuc #132 #33
Run ExplRExp #37 #49
PPAExp #107 #43
Run BlockR Blk #106 -
OL YdsOLY #94 #31
Stuff RateStuff #72 #48
TackleTak -  #83
Wisconsin Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatWIS OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePass #135 #42
Pass SuccessPSuc #109 #51
Pass ExplPExl #105 #28
PPAExp #131 #45
Pass Block/RushP Blk #83 #5
F7 HavocF7 #122 #35
DB HavocDB #94 #24
Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

M-OH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 65° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Wisconsin -17.5 (40.5)
Wisconsin won vs Miami (OH) this year (17-0)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
M-OH's OC Patrick Welsh (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn (Tr)10618159%1451968.0
Henry Hesson399840%596436.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Brunson16476744.760
Dequan Finn (Tr)8939544.439
D'Shawntae Jones6327774.446
Kenny Tracy4927215.621
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamryn Perry43976622.766
Cole Weaver45642114.336
Keith Reynolds (Tr)3635219.869
Deion Colzie (Tr)11178116.244

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eli Blakey1185138
Jackson Kuwatch10110511
Corban Hondru847372
Silas Walters713107
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adam Trick57128124
Jackson Kuwatch10110511
Nasir Washington176410
Bai Jobe (Tr)154440
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eli Blakey1185138
Silas Walters713107
Kaleb Martin310007

WIS's OC Jeff Grimes (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hunter Simmons6211853%664275.6
Danny O'Neil (Tr)619068%635557.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darrion Dupree8336324.484
Dilin Jones7630023.916
Gideon Ituka6025504.318
Trech Kekahuna1412919.261
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lance Mason (Tr)30398413.345
Vinny Anthony31391112.667
Trech Kekahuna2621108.145
Jayden Ballard (Tr)7150221.458

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Mike Tressel (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Posa574424
Cooper Catalano565111
Matthew Jung491000
Christian Alliegro488401
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darryl Peterson3312733
Mason Reiger (Tr)326541
Mason Posa574424
Christian Alliegro488401
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ricardo Hallman271005
Mason Posa574424
Austin Brown410003