Miami (OH) at Western Michigan - 2025 Matchup Preview

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Western Michigan Broncos

Saturday, December 6th 2025 (12:00 PM EST)
Western Michigan -2.5 (44.5) (-142) Open: 0.0 | 43.5
Western Michigan 23 - Miami (OH): 13 (MAC Championship)

RedHawks (7 - 7) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (64 - 67)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (20 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 6.5 (#61)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)

WMU is playing their 4th straight game
M-OH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Western Michigan -0 (SP+ WMU -2)
Projected Score: M-OH: 22 - WMU: 22 (44)
WMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
M-OH Travel: 214 miles

Broncos (10 - 4) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Lance Taylor (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (29 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 4.5 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
M-OH Players
WMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Miami (OH)'s 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Miami (OH) at Wisconsin	+17.5	40.5	L 0 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Miami (OH) at Rutgers	+15.5	45.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Miami (OH) vs UNLV	+2.5	49.5	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/27	Miami (OH) vs Lindenwood	-22.5	49.5	W 38 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois	-4.5	38.5	W 25 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/11	Miami (OH) at Akron	-11.5	47.5	W 20 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Miami (OH) vs Eastern Michigan	-12.5	47.5	W 44 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/25	Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan	-2.5	40.5	W 26 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4	Miami (OH) at Ohio	+2.5	50.5	L 20 - 24	U	N
Wed 11/12	Miami (OH) vs Toledo	+6.5	44.5	L 3 - 24	U	N
Wed 11/19	Miami (OH) at Buffalo	-2.5	38.5	W 37 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Miami (OH) vs Ball State	-16.5	40.5	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 12/6	Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan	+2.5	44.5	L 13 - 23	U	N
Sat 12/27	Miami (OH) vs Fresno State	+5.0	41.0	L 3 - 18	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Western Michigan's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Western Michigan at Michigan State	+18.5	49.5	L 6 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Western Michigan vs North Texas	+12.0	56.0	L 30 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Western Michigan at Illinois	+27.5	50.5	L 0 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/20	Western Michigan vs Toledo	+13.5	48.5	W 14 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Western Michigan vs Rhode Island	-7.5	45.5	W 47 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/4	Western Michigan at Massachusetts	-12.5	46.5	W 21 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Western Michigan vs Ball State	-9.5	43.5	W 42 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	Western Michigan at Miami (OH)	+2.5	40.5	L 17 - 26	O	N
Sat 11/1	Western Michigan vs Central Michigan	-6.0	43.5	W 24 - 21	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/11	Western Michigan vs Ohio	-1.5	46.5	W 17 - 13	U	Y
Tue 11/18	Western Michigan at Northern Illinois	-7.0	39.5	W 35 - 19	O	Y
Tue 11/25	Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan	-10.0	49.0	W 31 - 21	O	N
Sat 12/6	Western Michigan vs Miami (OH)	-2.5	44.5	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Fri 12/19	Western Michigan vs Kennesaw State	-3.0	47.0	W 41 - 6	U	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH	#95 (.15)	41% (97)	23.5	38% (119)	3.1 (51)	121	44% (48)	204	3.43 (108)	#38 (.12)	44% (92)	21.7	46% (100)	42% (74)	2.91 (6)	38.6	1.1	1.4
WMU	#43 (.24)	45% (33)	24.9	45% (59)	3.05 (62)	184	46% (27)	187	4.11 (49)	#122 (.29)	49% (128)	17.4	48% (115)	51% (132)	4.38 (119)	39.2	1	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Offense	14	23.5	19.8	40.7%	3.43	1.1	16	325	121	204	4.5	45%	55%	38%	44%	18%	.15
WMU Defense	13	17.4	15.7	49.1%	4.38	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	48%	51%	18%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Defense	14	21.7	21.2	43.6%	2.91	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	46%	42%	18%	.12
WMU Offense	13	24.9	29	45.2%	4.11	1	19	371	184	187	5	55%	45%	45%	46%	15%	.24

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Miami (OH)	14	27:07	15.5	33%	40%	4.8	38.6	1.1	1.4	4.9	2.1	0	39.1
Western Michigan	13	29:58	19.5	35%	59%	4.1	39.2	1	1.6	4.2	1.5	1	31.3

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense	14	45% (108)	38% (119)	26.6	120.5	4.5	9 (125)	.1 (90)	3.1 (51)	69% (98)	11% (86)	0.96 (70)
WMU Defense	13	56% (123)	48% (115)	-	-	-	-	.19 (105)	3.18 (96)	76% (84)	10% (66)	1.01 (81)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense	14	47% (36)	46% (100)	-	-	-	-	.13 (74)	3.24 (102)	68% (38)	10% (67)	0.88 (21)
WMU Offense	13	55% (35)	45% (59)	36.8	184.2	5	28 (25)	.18 (43)	3.05 (62)	75% (53)	10% (64)	1.07 (33)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense	14	55% (28)	44% (48)	15.1	26.6	204.3	7.7	13.5	23 (41)	12 (85)	.22 (87)	1.5 (90)	33% (99)	30% (83)	.27 (90)	7% (111)	2 (81)
WMU Defense	13	44% (12)	51% (132)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.44 (127)	1.5 (31)	27% (125)	33% (103)	.33 (81)	8% (19)	1.9 (39)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense	14	52% (102)	42% (74)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.11 (18)	1.2 (1)	30% (99)	30% (61)	.17 (14)	8% (7)	1.6 (4)
WMU Offense	13	45% (100)	46% (27)	16.3	24.9	187	7.5	11.5	18 (68)	9 (48)	.32 (40)	1.5 (98)	28% (16)	31% (71)	.27 (91)	6% (59)	1.9 (108)

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -10.70 #105
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 3.65 #124
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 14.35 #73
2025 Talent Rating: 674.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 6.5
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #82
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #114
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #54

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -10.70 Western Michigan: -6.93

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -3.4 Western Michigan: -1.4

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -6.93 #110
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 3.31 #125
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 15.77 #86
2025 Talent Rating: 558.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Western Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 4.5
Western Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 #78
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #105
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #42

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Miami (OH)'s 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Miami (OH) 22
Western Michigan 22

Projected Total Points: 44

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

Western Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Miami (OH)	26	Western Michigan	17	Miami (OH) -2.5	Miami (OH)	40.5	Over
2025	12/06	Western Michigan	23	Miami (OH)	13	Western Michigan -2.5	Western Michigan	44.5	Under
2023	10/14	Western Michigan	21	Miami (OH)	34	Miami (OH) -7.5	Miami (OH)	46.0	Over
2022	10/22	Miami (OH)	10	Western Michigan	16	Miami (OH) -7.0	Western Michigan	44.0	Under
2019	10/12	Western Michigan	38	Miami (OH)	16	Western Michigan -12	Western Michigan	57.5	Under
2018	09/29	Miami (OH)	39	Western Michigan	40	Western Michigan -3	Miami (OH)	52.5	Over
2015	10/24	Western Michigan	35	Miami (OH)	13	Western Michigan -20	Western Michigan	55.0	Under
2014	11/01	Miami (OH)	10	Western Michigan	41	Western Michigan -5	Western Michigan	0
2011	11/16	Miami (OH)	21	Western Michigan	24
2009	09/19	Western Michigan	48	Miami (OH)	26
2006	11/04	Western Michigan	27	Miami (OH)	24
2004	11/13	Western Michigan	21	Miami (OH)	42
2001	10/27	Miami (OH)	25	Western Michigan	11

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Michigan	9	5	3 Overs
Miami (OH)	4	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 6	5 - 3	4 - 1	1 - 2
Road Teams	6 - 7	3 - 5	2 - 1	1 - 4

(#105) M-OH at (#110) WMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	M-OH	WMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#105	#110
SP+SP+	#82	#78
Perf GradeGrade	#59	#53
OffenseOff	#86	#54
DefenseDef	#35	#46
Spec TeamsST	#61	#37
TalentTal	#81	#106
Blue ChipsBC%	#88	#88

Miami (OH) Notes(11/29) Beat Ball St to make the MAC title game vs WMU
(11/20) QB Thomas Gotkowski better option in W vs Buff
(11/20) Beat Buff due to 3 TOs, even BS. Pass Def torched
(11/14) QB Dequan Finn quit the team.
(11/13) QB2 Hesson cannot play. 11/38 w/ 3 INT vs Tol
(11/4) Can't trust Dequan Finn. Will find a way to lose
(10/31) #2 Off in MAC, best OL, Avg DL, QB Finn meh
(10/31) 5-1 outside of paycheck games, L to UNLV by 3
(10/19) 3-0 in MAC play, undefeated after paycheck games
(10/19) Run heavy Off, QB Finn not good, Def inconsistent
(9/21) Nearly beat UNLV, OG'd 513-396. 1-8 on 3rd down
(8/30) Off awful vs Wisky, Finn cannot play? Def good
Miami (OH) Injury Report

Western Michigan Notes(11/29) Beat EMU, will play Miami OH in MAC Championship
(11/20) Control MAC w/ W over N Ill. 361 rush, 32 pass!
(11/13) Great W over Ohio, leaders of the MAC now
(11/13) Def shut down Navarro, Run Off 210+. 5.0 ypc
(10/31) QB Lowry a weapon, JAG arm, only real rush threat
(10/31) Def meh vs Mia OH, all 400+ but good on 3rd D's
(10/22) DL is one of best in CFB, best in G5 statistically
(10/8) Def has improved a lot, red zone defense especially
(9/20) Off is terrible, esp Run Off. QB Lowry meh
(9/20) Huge win vs Toledo. Def held 5-18 3rd down, 3 TO
(8/30) QB B Jones starter, B Lowry is QB2, both bad
(8/30) Run game alarming bad vs Mich St, 1.2 ypc
Western Michigan Injury Report

Miami (OH) on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	M-OH Off	WMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#86	#46
SuccessSuc	#97	#128
ExplosiveExp	#61	#45
PPAPPA	#95	#122
PowerPwr	#124	#86
SP+SP+	#114	#42
Pts POPPO	#108	#119
HavocHav	#107	#44

Miami (OH) Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	M-OH Off	WMU Def
Run GameRun	#95	#88
Run SuccessRSuc	#119	#115
Run ExplRExp	#70	#81
PPAExp	#90	#105
Run BlockR Blk	#31	-
OL YdsOLY	#51	#96
Stuff RateStuff	#75	#99
TackleTak	-	#93

Miami (OH) Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	M-OH Off	WMU Def
Pass GamePass	#111	#51
Pass SuccessPSuc	#48	#132
Pass ExplPExl	#90	#31
PPAExp	#87	#127
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#133	#12
F7 HavocF7	#86	#66
DB HavocDB	#111	#19

Western Michigan on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat	WMU Off	M-OH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#54	#35
SuccessSuc	#33	#92
ExplosiveExp	#74	#2
PPAPPA	#43	#38
PowerPwr	#125	#73
SP+SP+	#105	#54
Pts POPPO	#49	#6
HavocHav	#55	#35

Western Michigan Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat	WMU Off	M-OH Def
Run GameRun	#42	#60
Run SuccessRSuc	#59	#100
Run ExplRExp	#33	#21
PPAExp	#43	#74
Run BlockR Blk	#57	-
OL YdsOLY	#62	#102
Stuff RateStuff	#67	#125
TackleTak	-	#70

Western Michigan Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat	WMU Off	M-OH Def
Pass GamePass	#65	#58
Pass SuccessPSuc	#27	#74
Pass ExplPExl	#98	#1
PPAExp	#40	#18
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#113	#11
F7 HavocF7	#64	#67
DB HavocDB	#59	#7

Program Comparison
WMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

M-OH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ford Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 15
Western Michigan -2.5 (44.5)
Western Michigan won vs Miami (OH) this year (23-13)

Previous Matchups
Western Michigan beat Miami (OH) last year (23-13)
Miami (OH) beat Western Michigan in 2023 (34-21)

M-OH's OC Patrick Welsh (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dequan Finn (Tr)	106	181	59%	1451	9	6	8.0
Henry Hesson	39	98	40%	596	4	3	6.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Brunson	164	767	4	4.7	60
Dequan Finn (Tr)	89	395	4	4.4	39
D'Shawntae Jones	63	277	7	4.4	46
Kenny Tracy	49	272	1	5.6	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kamryn Perry	43	976	6	22.7	66
Cole Weaver	45	642	1	14.3	36
Keith Reynolds (Tr)	36	352	1	9.8	69
Deion Colzie (Tr)	11	178	1	16.2	44

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eli Blakey	118	5	1	3	8
Jackson Kuwatch	101	10	5	1	1
Corban Hondru	84	7	3	7	2
Silas Walters	71	3	1	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Adam Trick	57	12	8	12	4
Jackson Kuwatch	101	10	5	1	1
Nasir Washington	17	6	4	1	0
Bai Jobe (Tr)	15	4	4	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eli Blakey	118	5	1	3	8
Silas Walters	71	3	1	0	7
Kaleb Martin	31	0	0	0	7

WMU's OC Walt Bell (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Broc Lowry	166	262	63%	1803	9	3	6.9
Brady Jones	19	40	48%	136	1	3	3.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Buckley	179	1003	9	5.6	67
Broc Lowry	203	963	14	4.7	37
Devin Miles	99	425	3	4.3	32
Ofa Mataele	57	252	3	4.4	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tailique Williams (Tr)	35	478	2	13.7	71
Baylin Brooks (Tr)	27	372	0	13.8	42
Aveion Chenault	23	277	2	12.0	45
Blake Bosma	27	251	1	9.3	24

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Chris O'Leary (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Camden	85	5	4	1	0
Sefa Saipaia Jr.	77	6	2	5	0
Tate Hallock	67	2	1	4	2
Jarvarius Sims (Tr)	61	2	1	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nadame Tucker (Tr)	55	22	15	16	1
Rodney McGraw	42	9	7	10	1
James Camden	85	5	4	1	0
Tyson Lee	15	3	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joshua Franklin	53	6	2	1	10
Aaron Wofford	33	1	0	0	8
Jarvarius Sims (Tr)	61	2	1	0	4