Western Michigan at Miami (OH) - 2025 Matchup Preview
Western Michigan logo Western Michigan Broncos at Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Yager Stadium - Oxford, OH  (Mid-American)

 
Broncos (0 - 3) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 12 - 31 (3 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#115)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
M-OH 2nd straight Home Game
WMU coming off BYE
M-OH is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -7.5   (SP+ M-OH -4)

Projected Score: WMU: 16 - M-OH: 24 (40)
M-OH Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
WMU Travel: 196 miles
RedHawks (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (64 - 67)
Avg Score : 9 - 31 (9 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#99)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
Western Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Western Michigan at Michigan State+18.549.5L 6 - 23UY
Sat 9/6 Western Michigan vs North Texas+12.056.0L 30 - 33OY
Sat 9/13 Western Michigan at Illinois+27.550.5L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/20 Western Michigan vs Toledo+14.051.5
Sat 9/27 Western Michigan vs Rhode Island-6
Sat 10/4 Western Michigan at Massachusetts-4
Sat 10/11 Western Michigan vs Ball State-7
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Western Michigan at Miami (OH)+7.5
Sat 11/1 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan-6.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/11 Western Michigan vs Ohio+9
Tue 11/18 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois+13.5
Tue 11/25 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan+2

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Miami (OH) at Wisconsin+17.540.5L 0 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Miami (OH) at Rutgers+15.545.5L 17 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Miami (OH) vs UNLV+2.548.5
Sat 9/27 Miami (OH) vs Lindenwood-11
Sat 10/4 Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois+8
Sat 10/11 Miami (OH) at Akron-4.5
Sat 10/18 Miami (OH) vs Eastern Michigan-8.5
Sat 10/25 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan-7.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Miami (OH) at Ohio+9
Wed 11/12 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+18
Wed 11/19 Miami (OH) at Buffalo+10
Sat 11/29 Miami (OH) vs Ball State-12

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU#134 (-.08)31% (132)1233% (123)2.48 (113)11928% (132)1221.31 (133)#105 (.21)48% (120)31.354% (130)43% (96)4.89 (119)550.30.7
M-OH#117 (.07)35% (124)8.538% (104)3.12 (57)7634% (115)1673.4 (101)#104 (.2)51% (129)3151% (124)51% (122)4.43 (102)771.50.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)45% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)48% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)38% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)46% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Offense312331.1%1.310.3132411191223.162%37%33%28%19%-.08
M-OH Defense2313150.7%4.430.5 - - - - - 51%48%51%51%12%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Defense331.330.548.4%4.890.7 - - - - - 51%48%54%43%14%.21
M-OH Offense28.58.535.4%3.41.510243761673.443%56%38%34%17%.07

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Michigan328:5513.335%17%6.7550.30.76.33126.5
Miami (OH)220:501018%0%7.5771.50.54.53023.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Offense362% (12)33% (123)38.3119.33.12 (109)-.04 (118)2.48 (113)58% (109)15% (129)1.09 (42)
M-OH Defense251% (86)51% (124) - - - - .21 (109)3.55 (131)79% (105)6% (127)0.85 (48)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Defense351% (76)54% (130) - - - - .25 (117)3.32 (124)75% (80)10% (72)1.04 (88)
M-OH Offense243% (107)38% (104)2275.53.42 (109) (106)3.12 (57)40% (133)11% (103)0.81 (105)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Offense337% (124)28% (132)1223.71225.210.21 (123)1 (23)-.11 (133)1.4 (92)39% (128)27% (101).19 (102)4% (51)1.9 (77)
M-OH Defense248% (51)51% (122) - - - - - - 1 (87).25 (81)1.3 (26)28% (116)42% (127).58 (121)6% (66)1.9 (64)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Defense348% (55)43% (96) - - - - - - 1 (87).2 (63)1.2 (17)28% (120)40% (125).44 (107)4% (108)1.5 (21)
M-OH Offense256% (31)34% (115)11.5201678.414.50 (133)3 (92).2 (93)1.8 (15)33% (95)23% (115).29 (79)6% (91)2.5 (13)

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -18.86 #126
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 2.61 #118
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 21.47 #123
2025 Talent Rating: 558.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Western Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Western Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #122
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #120
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -18.86   Miami (OH): -9.945

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -16.4   Miami (OH): -12.7




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -9.945 #110
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 2.89 #115
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 15.08 #102
2025 Talent Rating: 674.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #115
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #136
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #58

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 12 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.5

Western Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 24
Western Michigan 16


Total Points: 40

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 8.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 8.5
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense at Home: 31

Miami (OH)'s 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/14Western Michigan21Miami (OH)34Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -7.5Miami (OH)46.0Over
202210/22Miami (OH)10Western Michigan16Western MichiganMiami (OH) -7.0Western Michigan44.0Under
201910/12Western Michigan38Miami (OH)16Western MichiganWestern Michigan -12Western Michigan57.5Under
201809/29Miami (OH)39Western Michigan40Western MichiganWestern Michigan -3Miami (OH)52.5Over
201510/24Western Michigan35Miami (OH)13Western MichiganWestern Michigan -20Western Michigan55.0Under
201411/01Miami (OH)10Western Michigan41Western MichiganWestern Michigan -5Western Michigan0
201111/16Miami (OH)21Western Michigan24Western Michigan
200909/19Western Michigan48Miami (OH)26Western Michigan
200611/04Western Michigan27Miami (OH)24Western Michigan
200411/13Western Michigan21Miami (OH)42Miami (OH)
200110/27Miami (OH)25Western Michigan11Miami (OH)
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)322 Overs
Western Michigan843 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 63 - 32 - 11 - 2
Road Teams6 - 53 - 32 - 11 - 2

(#126) Western Michigan Info
Power Rating: -18.86 #126
Offense Rating: 2.61 #118
Defense Rating: 21.47 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #115
Talent Rating: 558.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 31%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.31 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Awful Pass Success 28%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.89 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 54%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Western Michigan has lost 7 straight
Western Michigan has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Western Michigan Notes
(8/30) QB B Jones starter, B Lowry is QB2, both bad
(8/30) Run game alarming bad vs Mich St, 1.2 ypc
(3/26) QB Lowry was backup LY, limited options
(3/26) RB Buckley was co starter LY, limited depth
(3/26) WR rebuild, 3 portal adds. Have depth
(3/26) OL good LY, 2/5 back. 3 P4 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace a lot. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New DC O'Leary was S coach at ND

Western Michigan Highlights
Western Michigan Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Western Michigan has a great TO Margin (#11)

Western Michigan Deficiencies
Western Michigan has a really bad Offense
Western Michigan Can Not Run the Ball (#108)
Western Michigan offense is really bad (#132)
Western Michigan Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#110)
Western Michigan offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#133)
Western Michigan run game is really bad (#123)
Western Michigan pass game is really bad (#132)
Western Michigan offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Western Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Western Michigan has a bad defense (#120)
Western Michigan has a bad defensive line (#124)
Western Michigan has a bad red zone defense (#119)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatM-OHWMU
OverallOver#112#111
OffenseOff#104#109
DefenseDef#111#109
Special TeamsST#90#42
PassingPass#103#110
RushingRush#97#83
Run BlockRBLK#76#108
Pass BlockPBLK#117#92
Route RunningWR Rt#77#101
TacklingTkl#112#84
Run DefenseR Def#111#112
Pass Rush DefPRush#108#55
Coverage DefCov#114#112

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Western Michigan in 2023 (34-21)
Western Michigan beat Miami (OH) in 2022 (16-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WMU | M-OH
Depth Chart: WMU | M-OH
Rosters: WMU | M-OH
(#110) Miami (OH) Info
Power Rating: -9.945 #110
Offense Rating: 2.89 #115
Defense Rating: 15.08 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #115
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #136
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #58
Talent Rating: 674.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Awful OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Poor DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Miami (OH) has lost 7 straight
Miami (OH) has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Miami (OH) Notes
(8/30) Off awful vs Wisky, Finn cannot play? Def good
(7/28) QB Finn + 5 P4 WRs + 3 P4 TEs could be great
(5/11) Least exp'd OL in CFB, and no exp'd portals
(3/26) RB rebuild, Brunson has exp. Some options
(3/26) WR complete rebuild. 5 P4 portal adds
(3/26) OL complete rebuild, 2 w/ lim exp, 3 portals
(3/26) Def good LY, replace a lot. Only 2 portals
(3/26) Martin & staff 20 W's past 2 years. Great job
(3/26) QB Finn was great in MAC, not at Baylor LY

Miami (OH) Highlights
Miami (OH) defense does not give up big plays (#25)

Miami (OH) Deficiencies
Miami (OH) has a really bad Offense
Miami (OH) has a really bad Offense at Home
Miami (OH) Can Not Run the Ball (#135)
Miami (OH) offense is really bad (#124)
Miami (OH) offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#101)
Miami (OH) run game is really bad (#104)
Miami (OH) pass game is really bad (#115)
Miami (OH) offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Miami (OH) has a bad defense (#129)
Miami (OH) Does Not Stuff Runs (#126)
Miami (OH) has a bad defensive line (#131)
Miami (OH) has a bad red zone defense (#102)


  
Western Michigan's OC Walt Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Broc Lowry203656%244106.8
Brady Jones163546%122013.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Buckley4514603.226
Broc Lowry2312525.425
Devin Miles195602.98
Ofa Mataele84605.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Baylin Brooks (Tr)7114016.342
Tailique Williams (Tr)674012.335
Jalen Buckley65819.734
Blake Bosma64908.215

View Western Michigan's Full Roster
Western Michigan's DC Chris O'Leary
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tate Hallock181000
Sefa Saipaia Jr.181100
Jarvarius Sims (Tr)152102
Micah Davis (Tr)140010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nadame Tucker (Tr)105310
Rodney McGraw83300
Jarvarius Sims (Tr)152102
Sefa Saipaia Jr.181100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Franklin50002
Jarvarius Sims (Tr)152102
Kershawn Fisher (Tr)71022

Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn (Tr)234058%334038.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dequan Finn (Tr)239814.339
Kenny Tracy122802.39
D'Shawntae Jones51913.85
Josh Ringer2402.04
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keith Reynolds (Tr)7120017.169
Kamryn Perry4108027.062
Cole Weaver444011.020
Lynel Billups-Williams222011.015

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster
Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eli Blakey181001
Silas Walters151102
Jackson Kuwatch131110
Adam Trick123211
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adam Trick123211
Nasir Washington32100
Jackson Kuwatch131110
Bai Jobe (Tr)11100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Silas Walters151102
Kaleb Martin90002
Eli Blakey181001