Western Michigan at Miami (OH) - 2025 Matchup Preview
Western Michigan logo Western Michigan Broncos at Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Miami (OH) -2.5 (40.5) (-125)  Open: -3.5
Miami (OH) 26 - Western Michigan: 17  (Mid-American)

 
Broncos (10 - 4) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Lance Taylor (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (18 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 4.5 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
M-OH 2nd straight Home Game
WMU coming off BYE
M-OH is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -2.5  (SP+ WMU -2)

Projected Score: WMU: 20 - M-OH: 23 (43)
M-OH Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
WMU Travel: 196 miles
RedHawks (7 - 7) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (64 - 67)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 6.5 (#61)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
 
Western Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Western Michigan at Michigan State+18.549.5L 6 - 23UY
Sat 9/6 Western Michigan vs North Texas+12.056.0L 30 - 33OY
Sat 9/13 Western Michigan at Illinois+27.550.5L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/20 Western Michigan vs Toledo+13.548.5W 14 - 13UY
Sat 9/27 Western Michigan vs Rhode Island-7.545.5W 47 - 14OY
Sat 10/4 Western Michigan at Massachusetts-12.546.5W 21 - 3UY
Sat 10/11 Western Michigan vs Ball State-9.543.5W 42 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Western Michigan at Miami (OH)+2.540.5L 17 - 26ON
Sat 11/1 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan-6.043.5W 24 - 21ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/11 Western Michigan vs Ohio-1.546.5W 17 - 13UY
Tue 11/18 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois-7.039.5W 35 - 19OY
Tue 11/25 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan-10.049.0W 31 - 21ON
Sat 12/6 Western Michigan vs Miami (OH)-2.544.5W 23 - 13UY
Fri 12/19 Western Michigan vs Kennesaw State-3.047.0W 41 - 6UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Miami (OH) at Wisconsin+17.540.5L 0 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Miami (OH) at Rutgers+15.545.5L 17 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Miami (OH) vs UNLV+2.549.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 9/27 Miami (OH) vs Lindenwood-22.549.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 10/4 Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois-4.538.5W 25 - 14OY
Sat 10/11 Miami (OH) at Akron-11.547.5W 20 - 7UY
Sat 10/18 Miami (OH) vs Eastern Michigan-12.547.5W 44 - 30OY
Sat 10/25 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan-2.540.5W 26 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Miami (OH) at Ohio+2.550.5L 20 - 24UN
Wed 11/12 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+6.544.5L 3 - 24UN
Wed 11/19 Miami (OH) at Buffalo-2.538.5W 37 - 20OY
Sat 11/29 Miami (OH) vs Ball State-16.540.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 12/6 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan+2.544.5L 13 - 23UN
Sat 12/27 Miami (OH) vs Fresno State+5.041.0L 3 - 18UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)24.945% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)17.448% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)23.538% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)21.746% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Offense1324.918.345.2%4.11119371184187555%45%45%46%15%.24
M-OH Defense1421.722.743.6%2.911.4 - - - - - 47%52%46%42%18%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Defense1317.421.749.1%4.381.6 - - - - - 56%44%48%51%18%.29
M-OH Offense1423.532.340.7%3.431.1163251212044.545%55%38%44%18%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Michigan1329:5819.535%59%4.139.211.64.21.5131.3
Miami (OH)1427:0715.533%40%4.838.61.11.44.92.1039.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Offense1355% (35)45% (59)36.8184.2528 (25).18 (43)3.05 (62)75% (53)10% (64)1.07 (33)
M-OH Defense1447% (36)46% (100) - - - - .13 (74)3.24 (102)68% (38)10% (67)0.88 (21)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Defense1356% (123)48% (115) - - - - .19 (105)3.18 (96)76% (84)10% (66)1.01 (81)
M-OH Offense1445% (108)38% (119)26.6120.54.59 (125).1 (90)3.1 (51)69% (98)11% (86)0.96 (70)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Offense1345% (100)46% (27)16.324.91877.511.518 (68)9 (48).32 (40)1.5 (98)28% (16)31% (71).27 (91)6% (59)1.9 (108)
M-OH Defense1452% (102)42% (74) - - - - - - 11 (52).11 (18)1.2 (1)30% (99)30% (61).17 (14)8% (7)1.6 (4)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Defense1344% (12)51% (132) - - - - - - 8 (93).44 (127)1.5 (31)27% (125)33% (103).33 (81)8% (19)1.9 (39)
M-OH Offense1455% (28)44% (48)15.126.6204.37.713.523 (41)12 (85).22 (87)1.5 (90)33% (99)30% (83).27 (90)7% (111)2 (81)

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -12.46  #109
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 3.31  #124
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 15.77  #85
2025 Talent Rating: 558.00  #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
Western Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 4.5
Western Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4  #78
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #105
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8  #42

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -12.46   Miami (OH): -4.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -1.4   Miami (OH): -3.4




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -4.55  #104
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 3.65  #123
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 14.35  #72
2025 Talent Rating: 674.00  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 6.5
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4  #82
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #114
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #54

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.3
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

Western Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 23
Western Michigan 20


Projected Total Points: 43
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Miami (OH)'s 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Miami (OH)26Western Michigan17Miami (OH) -2.5Miami (OH)40.5Over
202512/06Western Michigan23Miami (OH)13Western Michigan -2.5Western Michigan44.5Under
202310/14Western Michigan21Miami (OH)34Miami (OH) -7.5Miami (OH)46.0Over
202210/22Miami (OH)10Western Michigan16Miami (OH) -7.0Western Michigan44.0Under
201910/12Western Michigan38Miami (OH)16Western Michigan -12Western Michigan57.5Under
201809/29Miami (OH)39Western Michigan40Western Michigan -3Miami (OH)52.5Over
201510/24Western Michigan35Miami (OH)13Western Michigan -20Western Michigan55.0Under
201411/01Miami (OH)10Western Michigan41Western Michigan -5Western Michigan0
201111/16Miami (OH)21Western Michigan24
200909/19Western Michigan48Miami (OH)26
200611/04Western Michigan27Miami (OH)24
200411/13Western Michigan21Miami (OH)42
200110/27Miami (OH)25Western Michigan11
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)433 Overs
Western Michigan954 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 65 - 34 - 11 - 2
Road Teams6 - 73 - 52 - 11 - 4

(#109) WMU at (#104) M-OH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWMUM-OH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #109 #104
SP+SP+ #78 #82
Perf GradeGrade #53 #59
OffenseOff #54 #86
DefenseDef #46 #35
Spec TeamsST #37 #61
TalentTal #106 #81
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #88
Western Michigan Notes
(11/29) Beat EMU, will play Miami OH in MAC Championship
(11/20) Control MAC w/ W over N Ill. 361 rush, 32 pass!
(11/13) Great W over Ohio, leaders of the MAC now
(11/13) Def shut down Navarro, Run Off 210+. 5.0 ypc
(10/31) QB Lowry a weapon, JAG arm, only real rush threat
(10/31) Def meh vs Mia OH, all 400+ but good on 3rd D's
(10/22) DL is one of best in CFB, best in G5 statistically
(10/8) Def has improved a lot, red zone defense especially
(9/20) Off is terrible, esp Run Off. QB Lowry meh
(9/20) Huge win vs Toledo. Def held 5-18 3rd down, 3 TO
(8/30) QB B Jones starter, B Lowry is QB2, both bad
(8/30) Run game alarming bad vs Mich St, 1.2 ypc
Western Michigan Injury Report
Miami (OH) Notes
(11/29) Beat Ball St to make the MAC title game vs WMU
(11/20) QB Thomas Gotkowski better option in W vs Buff
(11/20) Beat Buff due to 3 TOs, even BS. Pass Def torched
(11/14) QB Dequan Finn quit the team.
(11/13) QB2 Hesson cannot play. 11/38 w/ 3 INT vs Tol
(11/4) Can't trust Dequan Finn. Will find a way to lose
(10/31) #2 Off in MAC, best OL, Avg DL, QB Finn meh
(10/31) 5-1 outside of paycheck games, L to UNLV by 3
(10/19) 3-0 in MAC play, undefeated after paycheck games
(10/19) Run heavy Off, QB Finn not good, Def inconsistent
(9/21) Nearly beat UNLV, OG'd 513-396. 1-8 on 3rd down
(8/30) Off awful vs Wisky, Finn cannot play? Def good
Miami (OH) Injury Report
Western Michigan on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
WMU OffM-OH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #54 #35
SuccessSuc #33 #92
ExplosiveExp #74 #2
PPAPPA #43 #38
PowerPwr #124 #72
SP+SP+ #105 #54
Pts POPPO #49 #6
HavocHav #55 #35
Western Michigan Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
WMU OffM-OH Def
Run GameRun #42 #60
Run SuccessRSuc #59 #100
Run ExplRExp #33 #21
PPAExp #43 #74
Run BlockR Blk #57 -
OL YdsOLY #62 #102
Stuff RateStuff #67 #125
TackleTak -  #70
Western Michigan Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
WMU OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePass #65 #58
Pass SuccessPSuc #27 #74
Pass ExplPExl #98 #1
PPAExp #40 #18
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #113 #11
F7 HavocF7 #64 #67
DB HavocDB #59 #7
Miami (OH) on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatM-OH OffWMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #86 #46
SuccessSuc #97 #128
ExplosiveExp #61 #45
PPAPPA #95 #122
PowerPwr #123 #85
SP+SP+ #114 #42
Pts POPPO #108 #119
HavocHav #107 #44
Miami (OH) Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
M-OH OffWMU Def
Run GameRun #95 #88
Run SuccessRSuc #119 #115
Run ExplRExp #70 #81
PPAExp #90 #105
Run BlockR Blk #31 -
OL YdsOLY #51 #96
Stuff RateStuff #75 #99
TackleTak -  #93
Miami (OH) Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatM-OH OffWMU Def
Pass GamePass #111 #51
Pass SuccessPSuc #48 #132
Pass ExplPExl #90 #31
PPAExp #87 #127
Pass Block/RushP Blk #133 #12
F7 HavocF7 #86 #66
DB HavocDB #111 #19
Program Comparison
M-OH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

WMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 56°
Rematch from Week 15
Western Michigan -2.5 (44.5)
Western Michigan won at Miami (OH) this year (23-13)

Previous Matchups
Western Michigan beat Miami (OH) last year (23-13)
Miami (OH) beat Western Michigan in 2023 (34-21)

  
WMU's OC Walt Bell (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Broc Lowry16626263%1803936.9
Brady Jones194048%136133.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Buckley179100395.667
Broc Lowry203963144.737
Devin Miles9942534.332
Ofa Mataele5725234.422
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tailique Williams (Tr)35478213.771
Baylin Brooks (Tr)27372013.842
Aveion Chenault23277212.045
Blake Bosma2725119.324

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Scott Power (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Camden855410
Sefa Saipaia Jr.776250
Tate Hallock672142
Jarvarius Sims (Tr)612104
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nadame Tucker (Tr)552215161
Rodney McGraw4297101
James Camden855410
Tyson Lee153330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Franklin5362110
Aaron Wofford331008
Jarvarius Sims (Tr)612104

M-OH's OC Patrick Welsh (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn (Tr)10618159%1451968.0
Henry Hesson399840%596436.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Brunson16476744.760
Dequan Finn (Tr)8939544.439
D'Shawntae Jones6327774.446
Kenny Tracy4927215.621
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamryn Perry43976622.766
Cole Weaver45642114.336
Keith Reynolds (Tr)3635219.869
Deion Colzie (Tr)11178116.244

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eli Blakey1185138
Jackson Kuwatch10110511
Corban Hondru847372
Silas Walters713107
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adam Trick57128124
Jackson Kuwatch10110511
Nasir Washington176410
Bai Jobe (Tr)154440
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eli Blakey1185138
Silas Walters713107
Kaleb Martin310007