Miami (OH) at Akron - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Miami (OH) -11.5 (47.5) (-455) Open: -9.5
Miami (OH) 20 - Akron: 7 (Mid-American)

RedHawks (7 - 7) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (64 - 67)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (20 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 6.5 (#61)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)

M-OH 2nd straight Road Game
AKR 2nd straight Home Game
AKR is playing their 7th straight game
M-OH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -5.5 (SP+ M-OH -10.5)
Projected Score: M-OH: 26 - AKR: 21 (47)
M-OH Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
M-OH Travel: 201 miles

Zips (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Joe Moorhead (8 - 28)
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (28 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)

Matchup
Schedules
M-OH Players
AKR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Miami (OH)'s 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Miami (OH) at Wisconsin	+17.5	40.5	L 0 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Miami (OH) at Rutgers	+15.5	45.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Miami (OH) vs UNLV	+2.5	49.5	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/27	Miami (OH) vs Lindenwood	-22.5	49.5	W 38 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois	-4.5	38.5	W 25 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/11	Miami (OH) at Akron	-11.5	47.5	W 20 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Miami (OH) vs Eastern Michigan	-12.5	47.5	W 44 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/25	Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan	-2.5	40.5	W 26 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4	Miami (OH) at Ohio	+2.5	50.5	L 20 - 24	U	N
Wed 11/12	Miami (OH) vs Toledo	+6.5	44.5	L 3 - 24	U	N
Wed 11/19	Miami (OH) at Buffalo	-2.5	38.5	W 37 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Miami (OH) vs Ball State	-16.5	40.5	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 12/6	Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan	+2.5	44.5	L 13 - 23	U	N
Sat 12/27	Miami (OH) vs Fresno State	+5.0	41.0	L 3 - 18	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Akron's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Akron vs Wyoming	+8.5	49.5	L 0 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/6	Akron at Nebraska	+34.0	47.5	L 0 - 68	O	N
Sat 9/13	Akron at UAB	+12.5	58.5	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Akron vs Duquesne	-10.5	51.0	W 51 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Akron at Toledo	+21.5	50.5	L 3 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/4	Akron vs Central Michigan	+7.0	47.5	W 28 - 22	O	Y
Sat 10/11	Akron vs Miami (OH)	+11.5	47.5	L 7 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/18	Akron at Ball State	-2.5	44.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/25	Akron at Buffalo	+10.0	48.5	W 24 - 16	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4	Akron vs Massachusetts	-12.5	51.5	W 44 - 10	O	Y
Tue 11/11	Akron vs Kent State	-7.5	49.5	L 35 - 42	O	N
Tue 11/18	Akron at Bowling Green	+2.5	47.5	W 19 - 16	U	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for Akron's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH	#95 (.15)	41% (97)	23.5	38% (119)	3.1 (51)	121	44% (48)	204	3.43 (108)	#38 (.12)	44% (92)	21.7	46% (100)	42% (74)	2.91 (6)	38.6	1.1	1.4
AKR	#122 (.07)	39% (114)	22.3	44% (64)	2.82 (103)	101	36% (118)	233	3.26 (120)	#91 (.21)	45% (101)	27.4	41% (55)	49% (126)	4.19 (108)	48.7	1.7	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AKR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Offense	14	23.5	19.8	40.7%	3.43	1.1	16	325	121	204	4.5	45%	55%	38%	44%	18%	.15
AKR Defense	12	27.4	18.5	44.6%	4.19	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	41%	49%	14%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Defense	14	21.7	21.2	43.6%	2.91	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	46%	42%	18%	.12
AKR Offense	12	22.3	27.5	38.8%	3.26	1.7	18	333	101	233	3.5	40%	59%	44%	36%	17%	.07

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Miami (OH)	14	27:07	15.5	33%	40%	4.8	38.6	1.1	1.4	4.9	2.1	0	39.1
Akron	12	28:33	17.9	36%	31%	6.3	48.7	1.7	0.8	5	1.5	2	26.4

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense	14	45% (108)	38% (119)	26.6	120.5	4.5	9 (125)	.1 (90)	3.1 (51)	69% (98)	11% (86)	0.96 (70)
AKR Defense	12	54% (111)	41% (55)	-	-	-	-	.1 (57)	2.95 (58)	65% (24)	9% (95)	0.98 (66)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense	14	47% (36)	46% (100)	-	-	-	-	.13 (74)	3.24 (102)	68% (38)	10% (67)	0.88 (21)
AKR Offense	12	40% (124)	44% (64)	28.5	100.5	3.5	11 (116)	.03 (114)	2.82 (103)	78% (34)	10% (77)	0.91 (93)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense	14	55% (28)	44% (48)	15.1	26.6	204.3	7.7	13.5	23 (41)	12 (85)	.22 (87)	1.5 (90)	33% (99)	30% (83)	.27 (90)	7% (111)	2 (81)
AKR Defense	12	45% (23)	49% (126)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (132)	.37 (122)	1.5 (45)	28% (120)	36% (121)	.45 (114)	5% (90)	2.1 (71)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense	14	52% (102)	42% (74)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.11 (18)	1.2 (1)	30% (99)	30% (61)	.17 (14)	8% (7)	1.6 (4)
AKR Offense	12	59% (13)	36% (118)	19.5	35	232.5	6.6	11.9	16 (87)	10 (63)	.12 (118)	1.6 (54)	35% (121)	25% (120)	.07 (133)	7% (91)	2.1 (36)

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -10.70 #104
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 3.65 #123
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 14.35 #72
2025 Talent Rating: 674.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 6.5
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #82
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #114
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #54

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -10.70 Akron: -12.605

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -3.4 Akron: -13.9

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -12.605 #122
Akron's Offense Rating: 3.83 #121
Akron's Defense Rating: 20.14 #110
2025 Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Akron's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Akron's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #117
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #123
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Miami (OH)'s 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Miami (OH) 26
Akron 21

Projected Total Points: 47

Akron Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

Akron's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Akron	7	Miami (OH)	20	Miami (OH) -11.5	Miami (OH)	47.5	Under
2023	11/08	Miami (OH)	19	Akron	0	Miami (OH) -17.5	Miami (OH)	37.5	Under
2022	10/29	Akron	9	Miami (OH)	27	Miami (OH) -9	Miami (OH)	51.5	Under
2021	10/16	Miami (OH)	34	Akron	21	Miami (OH) -20.0	Akron	51.0	Over
2020	11/28	Akron	7	Miami (OH)	38	Miami (OH) -14	Miami (OH)	55.0	Under
2019	11/20	Miami (OH)	20	Akron	17	Miami (OH) -30.5	Akron	44.5	Under
2018	10/06	Akron	17	Miami (OH)	41	Akron -5	Miami (OH)	47.5	Over
2017	11/07	Miami (OH)	24	Akron	14	Miami (OH) -11.5	Akron	51.0	Under
2016	10/08	Akron	35	Miami (OH)	13	Akron -7.5	Akron	54.0	Under
2015	11/14	Miami (OH)	28	Akron	37	Akron -6	Akron	43.0	Over
2014	10/11	Akron	29	Miami (OH)	19	Akron -13.5	Miami (OH)	0
2013	10/19	Miami (OH)	17	Akron	24	Akron -6	Akron	0
2012	09/29	Akron	49	Miami (OH)	56
2011	11/03	Miami (OH)	35	Akron	3
2010	11/17	Akron	14	Miami (OH)	19
2007	11/14	Miami (OH)	7	Akron	0
2006	10/21	Akron	24	Miami (OH)	13
2005	10/15	Miami (OH)	51	Akron	23
2004	11/20	Akron	27	Miami (OH)	37
2003	10/04	Miami (OH)	45	Akron	20
2002	09/28	Akron	31	Miami (OH)	48
2001	10/13	Miami (OH)	30	Akron	27
2000	09/29	Akron	37	Miami (OH)	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Akron	6	6	3 Overs
Miami (OH)	17	6	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 10	2 - 10	2 - 5	0 - 5
Road Teams	10 - 13	10 - 2	5 - 0	5 - 2

(#104) M-OH at (#122) AKR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	M-OH	AKR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#104	#122
SP+SP+	#82	#117
Perf GradeGrade	#59	#91
OffenseOff	#86	#90
DefenseDef	#35	#59
Spec TeamsST	#61	#102
TalentTal	#81	#122
Blue ChipsBC%	#88	#56

Miami (OH) Notes(11/29) Beat Ball St to make the MAC title game vs WMU
(11/20) QB Thomas Gotkowski better option in W vs Buff
(11/20) Beat Buff due to 3 TOs, even BS. Pass Def torched
(11/14) QB Dequan Finn quit the team.
(11/13) QB2 Hesson cannot play. 11/38 w/ 3 INT vs Tol
(11/4) Can't trust Dequan Finn. Will find a way to lose
(10/31) #2 Off in MAC, best OL, Avg DL, QB Finn meh
(10/31) 5-1 outside of paycheck games, L to UNLV by 3
(10/19) 3-0 in MAC play, undefeated after paycheck games
(10/19) Run heavy Off, QB Finn not good, Def inconsistent
(9/21) Nearly beat UNLV, OG'd 513-396. 1-8 on 3rd down
(8/30) Off awful vs Wisky, Finn cannot play? Def good
Miami (OH) Injury Report

Akron Notes(11/4) Killed UMass, over 430 yds, Def played well
(10/31) Coming off only bye into Nov & last 3 MAC gms
(10/31) QB Ben Finley & RB Jordan Grant can play, OL Avg
(10/31) Could get to 6-6? UMass, Kent, BG to finish
(10/4) QB Finley missed Toledo game, ? for CMU game
(9/24) QB Finley playing better but this Off is terrible
(8/28) Offense somehow worse than anticipated, woof
(8/21) This is not an FBS roster. Bad team
(8/21) No bowl, no real bye, end on Nov 18th
(7/27) WR A Adams was leader WR in '23, injury probs
(5/29) QB Finley & WRs + DBs are only real assets
(5/29) RB awful LY. Limited options, 1 FCS portal add?
Akron Injury Report

Miami (OH) on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	M-OH Off	AKR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#86	#59
SuccessSuc	#97	#101
ExplosiveExp	#61	#54
PPAPPA	#95	#91
PowerPwr	#123	#110
SP+SP+	#114	#87
Pts POPPO	#108	#108
HavocHav	#107	#96

Miami (OH) Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	M-OH Off	AKR Def
Run GameRun	#95	#64
Run SuccessRSuc	#119	#55
Run ExplRExp	#70	#66
PPAExp	#90	#57
Run BlockR Blk	#31	-
OL YdsOLY	#51	#58
Stuff RateStuff	#75	#37
TackleTak	-	#55

Miami (OH) Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	M-OH Off	AKR Def
Pass GamePass	#111	#87
Pass SuccessPSuc	#48	#126
Pass ExplPExl	#90	#45
PPAExp	#87	#122
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#133	#49
F7 HavocF7	#86	#95
DB HavocDB	#111	#90

Akron on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	AKR Off	M-OH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#90	#35
SuccessSuc	#114	#92
ExplosiveExp	#66	#2
PPAPPA	#122	#38
PowerPwr	#121	#72
SP+SP+	#123	#54
Pts POPPO	#120	#6
HavocHav	#85	#35

Akron Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	AKR Off	M-OH Def
Run GameRun	#112	#60
Run SuccessRSuc	#64	#100
Run ExplRExp	#93	#21
PPAExp	#114	#74
Run BlockR Blk	#35	-
OL YdsOLY	#103	#102
Stuff RateStuff	#100	#125
TackleTak	-	#70

Akron Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	AKR Off	M-OH Def
Pass GamePass	#63	#58
Pass SuccessPSuc	#118	#74
Pass ExplPExl	#54	#1
PPAExp	#118	#18
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#119	#11
F7 HavocF7	#77	#67
DB HavocDB	#91	#7

Program Comparison
AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

M-OH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Summa Field at InfoCision Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 63° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Miami (OH) 11.5 (47.5)
Miami (OH) won at Akron this year (20-7)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Akron last year (20-7)
Miami (OH) beat Akron in 2023 (19-0)

M-OH's OC Patrick Welsh (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dequan Finn (Tr)	106	181	59%	1451	9	6	8.0
Henry Hesson	39	98	40%	596	4	3	6.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Brunson	164	767	4	4.7	60
Dequan Finn (Tr)	89	395	4	4.4	39
D'Shawntae Jones	63	277	7	4.4	46
Kenny Tracy	49	272	1	5.6	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kamryn Perry	43	976	6	22.7	66
Cole Weaver	45	642	1	14.3	36
Keith Reynolds (Tr)	36	352	1	9.8	69
Deion Colzie (Tr)	11	178	1	16.2	44

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eli Blakey	118	5	1	3	8
Jackson Kuwatch	101	10	5	1	1
Corban Hondru	84	7	3	7	2
Silas Walters	71	3	1	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Adam Trick	57	12	8	12	4
Jackson Kuwatch	101	10	5	1	1
Nasir Washington	17	6	4	1	0
Bai Jobe (Tr)	15	4	4	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eli Blakey	118	5	1	3	8
Silas Walters	71	3	1	0	7
Kaleb Martin	31	0	0	0	7

AKR's OC Taylor Housewright (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ben Finley	186	362	51%	2475	19	9	6.8
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)	12	23	52%	62	1	0	2.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Gant (Tr)	213	1032	6	4.8	36
Sean Patrick	69	274	1	4.0	25
Ben Finley	69	130	2	1.9	40
Marquese Williams	21	86	0	4.1	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marcel Williams (Tr)	45	641	2	14.2	46
Israel Polk	33	525	8	15.9	75
Kyan Mason	33	481	5	14.6	62
Myles Walker	20	209	0	10.5	24

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Tim Tibesar (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shammond Cooper	66	5	1	1	1
Gage Summers	54	7	2	1	0
DiMarco Johnson	53	1	0	0	3
Malcom DeWalt IV	51	3	0	1	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Julien Laventure	45	11	4	6	0
Bruno Dall	44	8	4	6	6
Cyrus Durham (Tr)	32	9	4	7	0
Ronald Hull	20	3	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malcom DeWalt IV	51	3	0	1	8
Bruno Dall	44	8	4	6	6
Elijah Reed	44	2	1	0	4