Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois - 2025 Matchup Preview
Miami (OH) logo Miami (OH) RedHawks at Northern Illinois HuskiesNorthern Illinois logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium - DeKalb, IL  (Mid-American)

 
RedHawks (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (64 - 67)
Avg Score : 9 - 31 (9 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#99)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
NIU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Northern Illinois -8   (SP+ NIU -2)

Projected Score: M-OH: 15 - NIU: 23 (37)
NIU Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
M-OH Travel: 270 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Huskies (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (31 - 38)
Avg Score : 14 - 19 (19 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#60)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
 
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Miami (OH) at Wisconsin+17.540.5L 0 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Miami (OH) at Rutgers+15.545.5L 17 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Miami (OH) vs UNLV+2.548.5
Sat 9/27 Miami (OH) vs Lindenwood-11
Sat 10/4 Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois+8
Sat 10/11 Miami (OH) at Akron-4.5
Sat 10/18 Miami (OH) vs Eastern Michigan-8.5
Sat 10/25 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan-7.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Miami (OH) at Ohio+9
Wed 11/12 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+18
Wed 11/19 Miami (OH) at Buffalo+10
Sat 11/29 Miami (OH) vs Ball State-12

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Northern Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Northern Illinois vs Holy Cross-13.548.5W 19 - 17UN
Fri 9/5 Northern Illinois at Maryland+17.044.5L 9 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Northern Illinois at Mississippi State+21.549.5
Sat 9/27 Northern Illinois vs San Diego State-1
Sat 10/4 Northern Illinois vs Miami (OH)-8
Sat 10/11 Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan-9
Sat 10/18 Northern Illinois at Ohio+3.5
Sat 10/25 Northern Illinois vs Ball State-18
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Northern Illinois at Toledo+17
Wed 11/12 Northern Illinois at Massachusetts-14.5
Tue 11/18 Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan-13.5
Fri 11/28 Northern Illinois vs Kent State-15.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH#117 (.07)35% (124)8.538% (104)3.12 (57)7634% (115)1673.4 (101)#104 (.2)51% (129)3151% (124)51% (122)4.43 (102)771.50.5
NIU#112 (.07)32% (131)1433% (125)2.73 (92)18031% (127)1003.2 (110)#10 (-.1)36% (46)18.535% (39)37% (52)2.09 (16)51.50.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)38% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)46% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4
NIU#86 (.16)42% (79)44% (72)3.25 (33)20440% (86)1793.39 (113)#11 (.06)38% (19)41% (52)35% (9)3.08 (12)42.81.21.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Offense28.58.535.4%3.41.510243761673.443%56%38%34%17%.07
NIU Defense218.51736.1%2.091 - - - - - 43%56%35%37%16%-.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Defense2313150.7%4.430.5 - - - - - 51%48%51%51%12%.2
NIU Offense2141931.7%3.20.5152801801003.865%35%33%31%13%.07

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami (OH)220:501018%0%7.5771.50.54.53023.1
Northern Illinois233:301532%67%6.551.50.5151127
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense243% (107)38% (104)2275.53.42 (109) (106)3.12 (57)40% (133)11% (103)0.81 (105)
NIU Defense243% (23)35% (39) - - - - -.27 (3)2.11 (17)75% (80)9% (80)0.55 (3)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense251% (86)51% (124) - - - - .21 (109)3.55 (131)79% (105)6% (127)0.85 (48)
NIU Offense265% (8)33% (125)471803.82 (109).11 (81)2.73 (92)89% (16)10% (91)1.24 (25)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense256% (31)34% (115)11.5201678.414.50 (133)3 (92).2 (93)1.8 (15)33% (95)23% (115).29 (79)6% (91)2.5 (13)
NIU Defense256% (114)37% (52) - - - - - - 1 (87).08 (32)1.5 (75)29% (112)35% (108).58 (122)7% (51)2.5 (126)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense248% (51)51% (122) - - - - - - 1 (87).25 (81)1.3 (26)28% (116)42% (127).58 (121)6% (66)1.9 (64)
NIU Offense235% (129)31% (127)14231004.47.10 (133)1 (23).08 (120)1.5 (69)39% (124)22% (119).29 (81)3% (23)2.5 (16)

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -12.19 #110
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 2.89 #115
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 15.08 #102
2025 Talent Rating: 674.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #115
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #136
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #58

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -12.19   Northern Illinois: -4.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -12.7   Northern Illinois: -10.4




Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -4.21 #86
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 1.78 #125
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 4.80 #54
2025 Talent Rating: 526.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Northern Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8
Northern Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #130
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 8.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.5
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Miami (OH)'s 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Northern Illinois 23
Miami (OH) 15


Total Points: 37

Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense at Home: 19
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Northern Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/19Miami (OH)20Northern Illinois9Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -1.5Miami (OH)43.0Under
202211/16Northern Illinois23Miami (OH)29Miami (OH)Northern Illinois -1Miami (OH)44.0Over
201910/19Miami (OH)27Northern Illinois24Miami (OH)Northern Illinois -1.5Miami (OH)48.0Over
201811/14Northern Illinois7Miami (OH)13Miami (OH)Northern Illinois -6.5Miami (OH)48.0Under
201510/17Miami (OH)12Northern Illinois45Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -15.5Northern Illinois54.5Over
201410/18Northern Illinois51Miami (OH)41Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -14.5Miami (OH)0
201012/03Miami (OH)26Northern Illinois21Miami (OH)
200910/24Miami (OH)22Northern Illinois27Northern Illinois
200810/11Northern Illinois17Miami (OH)13Northern Illinois
200610/08Miami (OH)25Northern Illinois28Northern Illinois
200510/05Northern Illinois38Miami (OH)27Northern Illinois
200210/12Miami (OH)41Northern Illinois48Northern Illinois
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northern Illinois713 Overs
Miami (OH)552 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 62 - 41 - 31 - 1
Road Teams6 - 64 - 21 - 13 - 1

(#110) Miami (OH) Info
Power Rating: -12.19 #110
Offense Rating: 2.89 #115
Defense Rating: 15.08 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #115
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #136
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #58
Talent Rating: 674.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Awful OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Poor DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Miami (OH) has lost 4 straight
Miami (OH) has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Miami (OH) Notes
(8/30) Off awful vs Wisky, Finn cannot play? Def good
(7/28) QB Finn + 5 P4 WRs + 3 P4 TEs could be great
(5/11) Least exp'd OL in CFB, and no exp'd portals
(3/26) RB rebuild, Brunson has exp. Some options
(3/26) WR complete rebuild. 5 P4 portal adds
(3/26) OL complete rebuild, 2 w/ lim exp, 3 portals
(3/26) Def good LY, replace a lot. Only 2 portals
(3/26) Martin & staff 20 W's past 2 years. Great job
(3/26) QB Finn was great in MAC, not at Baylor LY

Miami (OH) Highlights
Miami (OH) defense does not give up big plays (#25)

Miami (OH) Deficiencies
Miami (OH) has a really bad Offense
Miami (OH) Can Not Run the Ball (#135)
Miami (OH) offense is really bad (#124)
Miami (OH) offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#101)
Miami (OH) run game is really bad (#104)
Miami (OH) pass game is really bad (#115)
Miami (OH) offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Miami (OH) has a bad defense (#129)
Miami (OH) Does Not Stuff Runs (#126)
Miami (OH) has a bad defensive line (#131)
Miami (OH) has a bad red zone defense (#102)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNIUM-OH
OverallOver#102#112
OffenseOff#105#104
DefenseDef#82#111
Special TeamsST#94#90
PassingPass#102#103
RushingRush#63#97
Run BlockRBLK#111#76
Pass BlockPBLK#108#117
Route RunningWR Rt#98#77
TacklingTkl#50#112
Run DefenseR Def#67#111
Pass Rush DefPRush#67#108
Coverage DefCov#93#114

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Northern Illinois last year (20-9)
Miami (OH) beat Northern Illinois in 2022 (29-23)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: M-OH | NIU
Depth Chart: M-OH | NIU
Rosters: M-OH | NIU
(#86) Northern Illinois Info
Power Rating: -4.21 #86
Offense Rating: 1.78 #125
Defense Rating: 4.80 #54
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Talent Rating: 526.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 35%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 32%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.2 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 2.09 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Northern Illinois has lost 3 straight
Northern Illinois has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Northern Illinois Notes
(8/30) Slog W over Holy Cross. 3.7 ypc, 4.5 ypp. Woof
(5/5) Portal QB Proctor (Dart) exciting, joins in summer
(5/5) QB1 Holst won spring, started 3 games LY
(5/5) WR Bryant, Pardridge and Givens top 3 spring
(5/5) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 2 more w/ exp. Lost 5 Srs
(4/27) Staff high on Fr QB Brady Davidson, best croot
(3/26) RB rebuild, Johnson/Poe have exp, some depth
(3/26) Def good LY, replacing all. Only 2 portals, CBs
(3/26) Hammock good, but lost most exp in CFB

Northern Illinois Highlights
Northern Illinois is Undefeated at Home

Northern Illinois defense is really good in red zone (#16)
Northern Illinois Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#12)
Northern Illinois Defensive Line is very good (#17)
Northern Illinois has a great TO Margin (#11)
Northern Illinois commits very few Penalties (#30)

Northern Illinois Deficiencies
Northern Illinois has a really bad Offense
Northern Illinois has a really bad Offense at Home
Northern Illinois Can Not Run the Ball (#106)
Northern Illinois offense is really bad (#131)
Northern Illinois Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#106)
Northern Illinois offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#110)
Northern Illinois run game is really bad (#125)
Northern Illinois pass game is really bad (#127)
Northern Illinois offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Northern Illinois does not Sack the QB (#122)


  
Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn (Tr)234058%334038.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dequan Finn (Tr)239814.339
Kenny Tracy122802.39
D'Shawntae Jones51913.85
Josh Ringer2402.04
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keith Reynolds (Tr)7120017.169
Kamryn Perry4108027.062
Cole Weaver444011.020
Lynel Billups-Williams222011.015

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster
Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eli Blakey181001
Silas Walters151102
Jackson Kuwatch131110
Adam Trick123211
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adam Trick123211
Nasir Washington32100
Jackson Kuwatch131110
Bai Jobe (Tr)11100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Silas Walters151102
Kaleb Martin90002
Eli Blakey181001

Northern Illinois's OC Wesley Beschorner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Holst264065%192014.8
Jackson Proctor (Tr)2633%8001.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Chavon Wright3816714.445
Telly Johnson Jr.3115314.974
Jaylen Poe222011.021
DeAree Rogers122022.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
DeAree Rogers108908.925
Gary Givens III226013.015
Jaylen Poe52404.89
Telly Johnson Jr.31906.317

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster
Northern Illinois's DC Nick Benedetto
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quinton Urwiler201100
Muhammed Jammeh110001
Filip Maciorowski111001
Ty Myles82000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Roy Williams61120
Quinton Urwiler201100
Marc Pretto51100
Trey Porter30000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Muhammed Jammeh110001
Alvin Gulley Jr.00001
Donte Harrison62001