Ball State at Miami (OH) - 2025 Matchup Preview
Ball State logo Ball State Cardinals at Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Yager Stadium - Oxford, OH  (Mid-American)

 
Cardinals (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Mike Uremovich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 12 - 34 (2 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.3 - 8.7 (#125)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
BALL 2nd straight Road Game
M-OH is playing their 4th straight game
BALL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -12   (SP+ M-OH -11)

Projected Score: BALL: 15 - M-OH: 27 (41)
M-OH Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
BALL Travel: 60 miles
RedHawks (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (64 - 67)
Avg Score : 9 - 31 (9 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#99)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
 
Ball State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ball State at Purdue+16.550.5L 0 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Ball State at Auburn+43.052.5L 3 - 42UY
Sat 9/13 Ball State vs New Hampshire-3.046.5W 34 - 29OY
Sat 9/20 Ball State at UConn+21.052.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Ball State vs Ohio+13.5
Sat 10/11 Ball State at Western Michigan+7
Sat 10/18 Ball State vs Akron+0.5
Sat 10/25 Ball State at Northern Illinois+18
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Ball State vs Kent State-0
Sat 11/15 Ball State vs Eastern Michigan+1.5
Sat 11/22 Ball State at Toledo+32.5
Sat 11/29 Ball State at Miami (OH)+12

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Miami (OH) at Wisconsin+17.540.5L 0 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Miami (OH) at Rutgers+15.545.5L 17 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Miami (OH) vs UNLV+2.548.5
Sat 9/27 Miami (OH) vs Lindenwood-11
Sat 10/4 Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois+8
Sat 10/11 Miami (OH) at Akron-4.5
Sat 10/18 Miami (OH) vs Eastern Michigan-8.5
Sat 10/25 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan-7.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Miami (OH) at Ohio+9
Wed 11/12 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+18
Wed 11/19 Miami (OH) at Buffalo+10
Sat 11/29 Miami (OH) vs Ball State-12

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL#107 (.09)35% (126)12.336% (117)2.52 (110)14035% (111)883 (116)#121 (.32)51% (128)3449% (117)52% (125)3.6 (70)43.710.3
M-OH#117 (.07)35% (124)8.538% (104)3.12 (57)7634% (115)1673.4 (101)#104 (.2)51% (129)3151% (124)51% (122)4.43 (102)771.50.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL#98 (.14)42% (78)44% (70)3.06 (61)10341% (72)2453.94 (65)#128 (.32)46% (118)46% (103)47% (121)4.81 (133)45.31.21.3
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)38% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)46% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Offense312.31.535.3%311322814088464%35%36%35%22%.09
M-OH Defense2313150.7%4.430.5 - - - - - 51%48%51%51%12%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Defense33436.550.6%3.60.3 - - - - - 41%59%49%52%20%.32
M-OH Offense28.58.535.4%3.41.510243761673.443%56%38%34%17%.07

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ball State328:3613.332%67%5.343.710.37.33.3024.4
Miami (OH)220:501018%0%7.5771.50.54.53023.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Offense364% (10)36% (117)35140.343 (95).12 (79)2.52 (110)86% (22)19% (134)1.25 (21)
M-OH Defense251% (86)51% (124) - - - - .21 (109)3.55 (131)79% (105)6% (127)0.85 (48)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Defense341% (14)49% (117) - - - - .35 (130)2.94 (85)83% (110)14% (23)1.19 (111)
M-OH Offense243% (107)38% (104)2275.53.42 (109) (106)3.12 (57)40% (133)11% (103)0.81 (105)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Offense335% (128)35% (111)9.715.787.75.69.12 (102)1 (23).1 (116)1.4 (107)36% (118)18% (127).04 (121)3% (16)2 (73)
M-OH Defense248% (51)51% (122) - - - - - - 1 (87).25 (81)1.3 (26)28% (116)42% (127).58 (121)6% (66)1.9 (64)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Defense359% (127)52% (125) - - - - - - 0.29 (100)1.3 (24)30% (99)35% (111).28 (73)6% (66)1.6 (30)
M-OH Offense256% (31)34% (115)11.5201678.414.50 (133)3 (92).2 (93)1.8 (15)33% (95)23% (115).29 (79)6% (91)2.5 (13)

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -20.98 #133
Ball State's Offense Rating: 1.18 #130
Ball State's Defense Rating: 22.48 #127
2025 Talent Rating: 588.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Ball State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.3 - 8.7
Ball State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.2 #134
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #127
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.9 #132

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -20.98   Miami (OH): -9.945

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -23.2   Miami (OH): -12.7




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -9.945 #110
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 2.89 #115
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 15.08 #102
2025 Talent Rating: 674.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #115
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #136
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #58

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Ball State Scoring
Offense: 12.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 1.5
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Ball State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 27
Ball State 15


Total Points: 41

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 8.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 8.5
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense at Home: 31

Miami (OH)'s 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/05Ball State21Miami (OH)27Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -12.5Ball State48.5Under
202311/25Ball State15Miami (OH)17Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -3.5Ball State34.5Under
202211/22Miami (OH)18Ball State17Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -2.5Ball State45.0Under
202110/23Ball State17Miami (OH)24Miami (OH)Ball State -3.5Miami (OH)53.0Under
202011/04Miami (OH)38Ball State31Miami (OH)Ball State -1Miami (OH)56.5Over
201911/29Ball State41Miami (OH)27Ball StateBall State -3Ball State55.5Over
201811/20Miami (OH)42Ball State21Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -16.5Miami (OH)55.0Over
201711/21Ball State7Miami (OH)28Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -17.5Miami (OH)54.5Under
201611/22Miami (OH)21Ball State20Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -6Ball State55.0Under
201311/29Ball State55Miami (OH)14Ball StateBall State -34Ball State0
201211/23Miami (OH)24Ball State31Ball State
200811/11Miami (OH)16Ball State31Ball State
200708/30Ball State13Miami (OH)14Miami (OH)
200610/28Miami (OH)17Ball State20Ball State
200310/18Ball State3Miami (OH)49Miami (OH)
200109/29Ball State20Miami (OH)28Miami (OH)
200010/06Miami (OH)10Ball State15Ball State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)1143 Overs
Ball State666 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 116 - 43 - 33 - 1
Road Teams11 - 64 - 61 - 33 - 3

(#133) Ball State Info
Power Rating: -20.98 #133
Offense Rating: 1.18 #130
Defense Rating: 22.48 #127
Overall SP+ Rating: -23.2 #134
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #127
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.9 #132
Talent Rating: 588.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 3.3 - 8.7

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 35%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 52%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Ball State has lost 8 straight
Ball State has lost 6 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Ball State Notes
(8/30) Off abysmal vs Purdue, Run Def good, Pass not
(7/12) OL has size, low key good starting 5 if healthy
(7/12) Overall portal loser both talent & quantity
(3/30) RB rebuild. 2 portals, Ashley (KSU) explosive
(3/26) QB Taylor (CU) via portal. No exp'd options
(3/26) WR rebuild, must like depth only 1 FCS portal
(3/26) OL was OK LY, 2/5 back. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace most. 8 portals, 6 DBs
(3/26) New HC Uremovich 23-11 @ Butler
(3/26) OC Harmon a HS coach recently, history w/ HC

Ball State Highlights
Ball State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Ball State Front 7 is disruptive (#23)
Ball State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Ball State Deficiencies
Ball State has a really bad Offense
Ball State offense is really bad (#126)
Ball State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#120)
Ball State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#116)
Ball State run game is really bad (#117)
Ball State pass game is really bad (#111)
Ball State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Ball State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Ball State has a bad defense (#128)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatM-OHBALL
OverallOver#112#107
OffenseOff#104#106
DefenseDef#111#99
Special TeamsST#90#92
PassingPass#103#109
RushingRush#97#51
Run BlockRBLK#76#112
Pass BlockPBLK#117#77
Route RunningWR Rt#77#100
TacklingTkl#112#93
Run DefenseR Def#111#109
Pass Rush DefPRush#108#15
Coverage DefCov#114#103

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Ball State last year (27-21)
Miami (OH) beat Ball State in 2023 (17-15)
Miami (OH) beat Ball State in 2022 (18-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BALL | M-OH
Depth Chart: BALL | M-OH
Rosters: BALL | M-OH
(#110) Miami (OH) Info
Power Rating: -9.945 #110
Offense Rating: 2.89 #115
Defense Rating: 15.08 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #115
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #136
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #58
Talent Rating: 674.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Awful OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Poor DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Miami (OH) has lost 11 straight
Miami (OH) has lost 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Miami (OH) Notes
(8/30) Off awful vs Wisky, Finn cannot play? Def good
(7/28) QB Finn + 5 P4 WRs + 3 P4 TEs could be great
(5/11) Least exp'd OL in CFB, and no exp'd portals
(3/26) RB rebuild, Brunson has exp. Some options
(3/26) WR complete rebuild. 5 P4 portal adds
(3/26) OL complete rebuild, 2 w/ lim exp, 3 portals
(3/26) Def good LY, replace a lot. Only 2 portals
(3/26) Martin & staff 20 W's past 2 years. Great job
(3/26) QB Finn was great in MAC, not at Baylor LY

Miami (OH) Highlights
Miami (OH) defense does not give up big plays (#25)

Miami (OH) Deficiencies
Miami (OH) has a really bad Offense
Miami (OH) has a really bad Offense at Home
Miami (OH) Can Not Run the Ball (#135)
Miami (OH) offense is really bad (#124)
Miami (OH) offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#101)
Miami (OH) run game is really bad (#104)
Miami (OH) pass game is really bad (#115)
Miami (OH) offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Miami (OH) has a bad defense (#129)
Miami (OH) Does Not Stuff Runs (#126)
Miami (OH) has a bad defensive line (#131)
Miami (OH) has a bad red zone defense (#102)


  
Ball State's OC Craig Harmon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kiael Kelly294762%263215.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Qua Ashley (Tr)3420926.172
Kiael Kelly5014312.940
TJ Horton113303.08
Eric Weatherly (Tr)32107.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Weatherly (Tr)76008.616
Elijah Jackson (Tr)137037.037
Qua Ashley (Tr)73314.727
TJ Horton32809.314

View Ball State's Full Roster
Ball State's DC Jeff Knowles
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Whitner (Tr)132000
Willizhuan Yates130004
Alfred Chea (Tr)132000
Jack Beebe120000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeJuan Echoles115301
Nathan Voorhis104300
Drew Hughes82200
Caden Johnson92100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Willizhuan Yates130004
Jahmad Harmon71004
Jackson Wiegold60002

Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn (Tr)234058%334038.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dequan Finn (Tr)239814.339
Kenny Tracy122802.39
D'Shawntae Jones51913.85
Josh Ringer2402.04
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keith Reynolds (Tr)7120017.169
Kamryn Perry4108027.062
Cole Weaver444011.020
Lynel Billups-Williams222011.015

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster
Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eli Blakey181001
Silas Walters151102
Jackson Kuwatch131110
Adam Trick123211
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adam Trick123211
Nasir Washington32100
Jackson Kuwatch131110
Bai Jobe (Tr)11100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Silas Walters151102
Kaleb Martin90002
Eli Blakey181001