Ball State at Miami (OH) - 2025 Matchup Preview
Ball State logo Ball State Cardinals at Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 PM EST)
Miami (OH) -16.5 (40.5) (-900)  Open: -17.5 | 41.5
Miami (OH) 45 - Ball State: 24  (Mid-American)

 
Cardinals (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Uremovich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (10 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Light Snowfall Predicted
BALL 2nd straight Road Game
M-OH is playing their 4th straight game
BALL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -17  (SP+ M-OH -20)

Projected Score: BALL: 14 - M-OH: 31 (45)
M-OH Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
BALL Travel: 60 miles
RedHawks (7 - 7) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (64 - 67)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 6.5 (#61)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Ball State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ball State at Purdue+16.550.5L 0 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Ball State at Auburn+43.052.5L 3 - 42UY
Sat 9/13 Ball State vs New Hampshire-3.046.5W 34 - 29OY
Sat 9/20 Ball State at UConn+21.053.5L 25 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Ball State vs Ohio+14.052.5W 20 - 14UY
Sat 10/11 Ball State at Western Michigan+9.543.5L 0 - 42UN
Sat 10/18 Ball State vs Akron+2.544.5W 42 - 28OY
Sat 10/25 Ball State at Northern Illinois+6.541.5L 7 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Ball State vs Kent State-3.048.5W 17 - 13UY
Sat 11/15 Ball State vs Eastern Michigan+2.548.5L 9 - 24UN
Sat 11/22 Ball State at Toledo+29.545.5L 9 - 38OY
Sat 11/29 Ball State at Miami (OH)+16.540.5L 24 - 45ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Miami (OH) at Wisconsin+17.540.5L 0 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Miami (OH) at Rutgers+15.545.5L 17 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Miami (OH) vs UNLV+2.549.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 9/27 Miami (OH) vs Lindenwood-22.549.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 10/4 Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois-4.538.5W 25 - 14OY
Sat 10/11 Miami (OH) at Akron-11.547.5W 20 - 7UY
Sat 10/18 Miami (OH) vs Eastern Michigan-12.547.5W 44 - 30OY
Sat 10/25 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan-2.540.5W 26 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Miami (OH) at Ohio+2.550.5L 20 - 24UN
Wed 11/12 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+6.544.5L 3 - 24UN
Wed 11/19 Miami (OH) at Buffalo-2.538.5W 37 - 20OY
Sat 11/29 Miami (OH) vs Ball State-16.540.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 12/6 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan+2.544.5L 13 - 23UN
Sat 12/27 Miami (OH) vs Fresno State+5.041.0L 3 - 18UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL#98 (.14)42% (78)15.844% (70)3.06 (61)10341% (72)2453.94 (65)#128 (.32)46% (118)29.846% (103)47% (121)4.81 (133)45.31.21.3
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)23.538% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)21.746% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Offense1215.89.742.1%3.941.2203481032453.442%58%44%41%19%.14
M-OH Defense1421.722.743.6%2.911.4 - - - - - 47%52%46%42%18%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Defense1229.835.746.5%4.811.3 - - - - - 47%52%46%47%13%.32
M-OH Offense1423.532.340.7%3.431.1163251212044.545%55%38%44%18%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ball State1230:5820.342%46%4.945.31.21.34.61.7230.3
Miami (OH)1427:0715.533%40%4.838.61.11.44.92.1039.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Offense1242% (120)44% (70)30.8103.43.410 (122).1 (91)3.06 (61)80% (23)11% (99)0.87 (117)
M-OH Defense1447% (36)46% (100) - - - - .13 (74)3.24 (102)68% (38)10% (67)0.88 (21)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Defense1247% (34)46% (103) - - - - .22 (116)3.17 (90)74% (72)9% (103)1.08 (110)
M-OH Offense1445% (108)38% (119)26.6120.54.59 (125).1 (90)3.1 (51)69% (98)11% (86)0.96 (70)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Offense1258% (16)41% (72)23.336.6244.76.710.526 (26)11 (72).19 (98)1.6 (73)33% (93)28% (101).29 (88)8% (123)2.2 (15)
M-OH Defense1452% (102)42% (74) - - - - - - 11 (52).11 (18)1.2 (1)30% (99)30% (61).17 (14)8% (7)1.6 (4)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Defense1252% (100)47% (121) - - - - - - 8 (93).44 (128)1.8 (119)33% (55)40% (133).57 (131)5% (115)2.2 (115)
M-OH Offense1455% (28)44% (48)15.126.6204.37.713.523 (41)12 (85).22 (87)1.5 (90)33% (99)30% (83).27 (90)7% (111)2 (81)

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -20.23  #131
Ball State's Offense Rating: -1.10  #136
Ball State's Defense Rating: 19.13  #98
2025 Talent Rating: 588.00  #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
Ball State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Ball State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0  #132
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.4  #134
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4  #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -20.23   Miami (OH): -4.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -23.0   Miami (OH): -3.4




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -4.55  #104
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 3.65  #123
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 14.35  #72
2025 Talent Rating: 674.00  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 6.5
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4  #82
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #114
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #54

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.7

Ball State's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 31
Ball State 14


Projected Total Points: 45
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Miami (OH)'s 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Miami (OH)45Ball State24Miami (OH) -16.5Miami (OH)40.5Over
202411/05Ball State21Miami (OH)27Miami (OH) -12.5Ball State48.5Under
202311/25Ball State15Miami (OH)17Miami (OH) -3.5Ball State34.5Under
202211/22Miami (OH)18Ball State17Miami (OH) -2.5Ball State45.0Under
202110/23Ball State17Miami (OH)24Ball State -3.5Miami (OH)53.0Under
202011/04Miami (OH)38Ball State31Ball State -1Miami (OH)56.5Over
201911/29Ball State41Miami (OH)27Ball State -3Ball State55.5Over
201811/20Miami (OH)42Ball State21Miami (OH) -16.5Miami (OH)55.0Over
201711/21Ball State7Miami (OH)28Miami (OH) -17.5Miami (OH)54.5Under
201611/22Miami (OH)21Ball State20Miami (OH) -6Ball State55.0Under
201311/29Ball State55Miami (OH)14Ball State -34Ball State0
201211/23Miami (OH)24Ball State31
200811/11Miami (OH)16Ball State31
200708/30Ball State13Miami (OH)14
200610/28Miami (OH)17Ball State20
200310/18Ball State3Miami (OH)49
200109/29Ball State20Miami (OH)28
200010/06Miami (OH)10Ball State15
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)1254 Overs
Ball State666 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 117 - 44 - 33 - 1
Road Teams11 - 74 - 71 - 33 - 4

(#131) BALL at (#104) M-OH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBALLM-OH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #131 #104
SP+SP+ #132 #82
Perf GradeGrade #133 #59
OffenseOff #133 #86
DefenseDef #123 #35
Spec TeamsST #120 #61
TalentTal #97 #81
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #88
Ball State Notes
(11/5) Uremovich outcoached Carney in Kent St win
(10/31) OL is worst in MAC, DL bad as well. QB Kelly bad
(10/19) Off is awful, RB Qua Ashley is it. W over Ohio baffling
(10/8) Run Def has improved since paycheck games
(8/30) Off abysmal vs Purdue, Run Def good, Pass not
(7/12) OL has size, low key good starting 5 if healthy
(7/12) Overall portal loser both talent & quantity
(3/30) RB rebuild. 2 portals, Ashley (KSU) explosive
(3/26) QB Taylor (CU) via portal. No exp'd options
(3/26) WR rebuild, must like depth only 1 FCS portal
(3/26) OL was OK LY, 2/5 back. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace most. 8 portals, 6 DBs
Ball State Injury Report
Miami (OH) Notes
(11/29) Beat Ball St to make the MAC title game vs WMU
(11/20) QB Thomas Gotkowski better option in W vs Buff
(11/20) Beat Buff due to 3 TOs, even BS. Pass Def torched
(11/14) QB Dequan Finn quit the team.
(11/13) QB2 Hesson cannot play. 11/38 w/ 3 INT vs Tol
(11/4) Can't trust Dequan Finn. Will find a way to lose
(10/31) #2 Off in MAC, best OL, Avg DL, QB Finn meh
(10/31) 5-1 outside of paycheck games, L to UNLV by 3
(10/19) 3-0 in MAC play, undefeated after paycheck games
(10/19) Run heavy Off, QB Finn not good, Def inconsistent
(9/21) Nearly beat UNLV, OG'd 513-396. 1-8 on 3rd down
(8/30) Off awful vs Wisky, Finn cannot play? Def good
Miami (OH) Injury Report
Ball State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
BALL OffM-OH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #133 #35
SuccessSuc #78 #92
ExplosiveExp #81 #2
PPAPPA #98 #38
PowerPwr #136 #72
SP+SP+ #134 #54
Pts POPPO #65 #6
HavocHav #119 #35
Ball State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
BALL OffM-OH Def
Run GameRun #130 #60
Run SuccessRSuc #70 #100
Run ExplRExp #117 #21
PPAExp #91 #74
Run BlockR Blk #106 -
OL YdsOLY #61 #102
Stuff RateStuff #8 #125
TackleTak -  #70
Ball State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
BALL OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePass #132 #58
Pass SuccessPSuc #72 #74
Pass ExplPExl #73 #1
PPAExp #98 #18
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #108 #11
F7 HavocF7 #99 #67
DB HavocDB #123 #7
Miami (OH) on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatM-OH OffBALL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #86 #123
SuccessSuc #97 #118
ExplosiveExp #61 #126
PPAPPA #95 #128
PowerPwr #123 #98
SP+SP+ #114 #115
Pts POPPO #108 #133
HavocHav #107 #116
Miami (OH) Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
M-OH OffBALL Def
Run GameRun #95 #125
Run SuccessRSuc #119 #103
Run ExplRExp #70 #110
PPAExp #90 #116
Run BlockR Blk #31 -
OL YdsOLY #51 #90
Stuff RateStuff #75 #77
TackleTak -  #117
Miami (OH) Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatM-OH OffBALL Def
Pass GamePass #111 #134
Pass SuccessPSuc #48 #121
Pass ExplPExl #90 #119
PPAExp #87 #128
Pass Block/RushP Blk #133 #21
F7 HavocF7 #86 #103
DB HavocDB #111 #115
Program Comparison
M-OH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions: Light Snowfall
Temp: 31° - Wind: 8 mph
Rain: 0.008
Rematch from Week 14
Miami (OH) -16.5 (40.5)
Miami (OH) won vs Ball State this year (45-24)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Ball State last year (45-24)
Miami (OH) beat Ball State in 2024 (27-21)
Miami (OH) beat Ball State in 2023 (17-15)

  
BALL's OC Mike Uremovich (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kiael Kelly15327256%15601085.7
Ty Robinson2367%770025.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kiael Kelly21160852.956
Qua Ashley (Tr)11854744.672
TJ Horton6018003.013
Eric Weatherly (Tr)1311709.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Qian Magwood19320116.853
Donovan Hamilton (Tr)20244012.247
Eric Weatherly (Tr)2923818.235
Koby Gross (Tr)10141114.142

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Jeff Knowles (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alfred Chea (Tr)594015
Nathan Voorhis49161020
Michael Gravely Jr. (Tr)441001
Joey Stemler442021
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nathan Voorhis49161020
DeJuan Echoles276422
Drew Hughes272210
Darin Conley244221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Willizhuan Yates320006
Alfred Chea (Tr)594015
Jahmad Harmon242005

M-OH's OC Patrick Welsh (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn (Tr)10618159%1451968.0
Henry Hesson399840%596436.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Brunson16476744.760
Dequan Finn (Tr)8939544.439
D'Shawntae Jones6327774.446
Kenny Tracy4927215.621
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamryn Perry43976622.766
Cole Weaver45642114.336
Keith Reynolds (Tr)3635219.869
Deion Colzie (Tr)11178116.244

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eli Blakey1185138
Jackson Kuwatch10110511
Corban Hondru847372
Silas Walters713107
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adam Trick57128124
Jackson Kuwatch10110511
Nasir Washington176410
Bai Jobe (Tr)154440
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eli Blakey1185138
Silas Walters713107
Kaleb Martin310007