Miami (OH) at Rutgers - 2025 Matchup Preview
Miami (OH) logo   Miami (OH) RedHawks at Rutgers Scarlet Knights  Rutgers logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Rutgers -15.5 (45.5) (-585)  Open: -14.0 | 48.0
Rutgers 45 - Miami (OH): 17

 
RedHawks (7 - 7) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (64 - 67)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (20 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 6.5 (#61)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
M-OH 2nd straight Road Game
RUTG 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Rutgers -14.5  (SP+ RUTG -4)

Projected Score: M-OH: 18 - RUTG: 32 (50)
RUTG Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
M-OH Travel: 6752 miles
Scarlet Knights (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Greg Schiano (26 - 33)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (35 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Miami (OH) at Wisconsin+17.540.5L 0 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Miami (OH) at Rutgers+15.545.5L 17 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Miami (OH) vs UNLV+2.549.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 9/27 Miami (OH) vs Lindenwood-22.549.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 10/4 Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois-4.538.5W 25 - 14OY
Sat 10/11 Miami (OH) at Akron-11.547.5W 20 - 7UY
Sat 10/18 Miami (OH) vs Eastern Michigan-12.547.5W 44 - 30OY
Sat 10/25 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan-2.540.5W 26 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Miami (OH) at Ohio+2.550.5L 20 - 24UN
Wed 11/12 Miami (OH) vs Toledo+6.544.5L 3 - 24UN
Wed 11/19 Miami (OH) at Buffalo-2.538.5W 37 - 20OY
Sat 11/29 Miami (OH) vs Ball State-16.540.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 12/6 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan+2.544.5L 13 - 23UN
Sat 12/27 Miami (OH) vs Fresno State+5.041.0L 3 - 18UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Rutgers's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Rutgers vs Ohio-11.546.5W 34 - 31ON
Sat 9/6 Rutgers vs Miami (OH)-15.545.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 Rutgers vs Norfolk State-44.556.5W 60 - 10OY
Fri 9/19 Rutgers vs Iowa+2.546.5L 28 - 38ON
Sat 9/27 Rutgers at Minnesota+3.551.5L 28 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/10 Rutgers at Washington+9.562.5L 19 - 38UN
Sat 10/18 Rutgers vs Oregon+17.562.5L 10 - 56ON
Sat 10/25 Rutgers at Purdue+2.560.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/1 Rutgers at Illinois+13.563.5L 13 - 35UN
Sat 11/8 Rutgers vs Maryland-1.556.5W 35 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Rutgers at Ohio State+29.054.0L 9 - 42UN
Sat 11/29 Rutgers vs Penn State+14.555.5L 36 - 40OY

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)23.538% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)21.746% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4
RUTG#84 (.16)43% (67)28.744% (69)2.92 (88)16442% (63)1894.19 (44)#106 (.23)43% (85)31.848% (113)40% (59)4.03 (92)33.80.60.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
RUTG0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Offense1423.519.840.7%3.431.1163251212044.545%55%38%44%18%.15
RUTG Defense1331.830.343.3%4.030.9 - - - - - 46%54%48%40%15%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Defense1421.721.243.6%2.911.4 - - - - - 47%52%46%42%18%.12
RUTG Offense1328.735.442.9%4.190.6213531641894.553%47%44%42%14%.16

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami (OH)1427:0715.533%40%4.838.61.11.44.92.1039.1
Rutgers1329:302143%48%3.933.80.60.93.71.5129.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense1445% (108)38% (119)26.6120.54.59 (125).1 (90)3.1 (51)69% (98)11% (86)0.96 (70)
RUTG Defense1346% (18)48% (113) - - - - .26 (126)3.2 (99)82% (123)8% (115)1.07 (104)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense1447% (36)46% (100) - - - - .13 (74)3.24 (102)68% (38)10% (67)0.88 (21)
RUTG Offense1353% (51)44% (69)36.8163.84.524 (45).1 (87)2.92 (88)76% (52)7% (11)0.91 (97)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense1455% (28)44% (48)15.126.6204.37.713.523 (41)12 (85).22 (87)1.5 (90)33% (99)30% (83).27 (90)7% (111)2 (81)
RUTG Defense1354% (117)40% (59) - - - - - - 7 (104).23 (69)1.6 (82)33% (50)31% (75).32 (76)7% (49)2.2 (101)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense1452% (102)42% (74) - - - - - - 11 (52).11 (18)1.2 (1)30% (99)30% (61).17 (14)8% (7)1.6 (4)
RUTG Offense1347% (88)42% (63)15.327.9189.26.812.417 (79)6 (10).25 (75)1.6 (63)30% (42)34% (37).42 (32)7% (108)2 (69)

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -10.70  #105
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 3.65  #124
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 14.35  #73
2025 Talent Rating: 674.00  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 6.5
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4  #82
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #114
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #54

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -10.70   Rutgers: 7.465

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -3.4   Rutgers: 1.0




Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 7.465  #44
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 25.92  #9
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 16.99  #94
2025 Talent Rating: 836.00  #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Rutgers's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Rutgers's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0  #72
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #39
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7  #95

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Miami (OH)'s 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Rutgers 32
Miami (OH) 18


Projected Total Points: 50
Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.4
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Rutgers's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Rutgers45Miami (OH)17Rutgers -15.5Rutgers45.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Rutgers111 Overs
Miami (OH)000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#105) M-OH at (#44) RUTG
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatM-OHRUTG
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #105 #44
SP+SP+ #82 #72
Perf GradeGrade #59 #47
OffenseOff #86 #6
DefenseDef #35 #133
Spec TeamsST #61 #111
TalentTal #81 #45
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #65
Miami (OH) Notes
(11/29) Beat Ball St to make the MAC title game vs WMU
(11/20) QB Thomas Gotkowski better option in W vs Buff
(11/20) Beat Buff due to 3 TOs, even BS. Pass Def torched
(11/14) QB Dequan Finn quit the team.
(11/13) QB2 Hesson cannot play. 11/38 w/ 3 INT vs Tol
(11/4) Can't trust Dequan Finn. Will find a way to lose
(10/31) #2 Off in MAC, best OL, Avg DL, QB Finn meh
(10/31) 5-1 outside of paycheck games, L to UNLV by 3
(10/19) 3-0 in MAC play, undefeated after paycheck games
(10/19) Run heavy Off, QB Finn not good, Def inconsistent
(9/21) Nearly beat UNLV, OG'd 513-396. 1-8 on 3rd down
(8/30) Off awful vs Wisky, Finn cannot play? Def good
Miami (OH) Injury Report
Rutgers Notes
(12/5) Fired DC Robb Smith after 1 season, also Co-DC out
(9/23) Kaliakmanis leads CFB in big time throws vs TWP
(9/19) Pass Off & Kaliakmanis good but inconsistent
(9/19) WR have 3 solid weapons, RB Raymond good
(9/19) Defense torn to shreds by Iowa. Yes, Iowa
(8/29) Run Def alarmingly bad vs Ohio, lucky to win
(8/21) OT R Langsdale out for season, big loss
(6/10) OL 4/5 back. 5 portal adds, looks pretty good
(6/10) Def not great LY, returns a lot. 9 portal adds
(6/10) OL has top 10 exp, 87% of which returning
(5/15) DL added 5 portals, JMU's best DE & DT
(5/13) Def portals very productive, esp on the DL
Rutgers Injury Report
Miami (OH) on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
M-OH OffRUTG Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #86 #133
SuccessSuc #97 #85
ExplosiveExp #61 #105
PPAPPA #95 #106
PowerPwr #124 #94
SP+SP+ #114 #95
Pts POPPO #108 #92
HavocHav #107 #85
Miami (OH) Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
M-OH OffRUTG Def
Run GameRun #95 #133
Run SuccessRSuc #119 #113
Run ExplRExp #70 #104
PPAExp #90 #126
Run BlockR Blk #31 -
OL YdsOLY #51 #99
Stuff RateStuff #75 #78
TackleTak -  #73
Miami (OH) Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
M-OH OffRUTG Def
Pass GamePass #111 #117
Pass SuccessPSuc #48 #59
Pass ExplPExl #90 #82
PPAExp #87 #69
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #133 #105
F7 HavocF7 #86 #115
DB HavocDB #111 #49
Rutgers on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatRUTG OffM-OH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #6 #35
SuccessSuc #67 #92
ExplosiveExp #103 #2
PPAPPA #84 #38
PowerPwr #9 #73
SP+SP+ #39 #54
Pts POPPO #44 #6
HavocHav #38 #35
Rutgers Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
RUTG OffM-OH Def
Run GameRun #49 #60
Run SuccessRSuc #69 #100
Run ExplRExp #97 #21
PPAExp #87 #74
Run BlockR Blk #6 -
OL YdsOLY #88 #102
Stuff RateStuff #70 #125
TackleTak -  #70
Rutgers Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatRUTG OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePass #7 #58
Pass SuccessPSuc #63 #74
Pass ExplPExl #63 #1
PPAExp #75 #18
Pass Block/RushP Blk #71 #11
F7 HavocF7 #11 #67
DB HavocDB #108 #7
Program Comparison
RUTG 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

M-OH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in SHI Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Rutgers -15.5 (45.5)
Rutgers won vs Miami (OH) this year (45-17)

Previous Matchups
Rutgers beat Miami (OH) last year (45-17)

  
M-OH's OC Patrick Welsh (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn (Tr)10618159%1451968.0
Henry Hesson399840%596436.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Brunson16476744.760
Dequan Finn (Tr)8939544.439
D'Shawntae Jones6327774.446
Kenny Tracy4927215.621
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamryn Perry43976622.766
Cole Weaver45642114.336
Keith Reynolds (Tr)3635219.869
Deion Colzie (Tr)11178116.244

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eli Blakey1185138
Jackson Kuwatch10110511
Corban Hondru847372
Silas Walters713107
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adam Trick57128124
Jackson Kuwatch10110511
Nasir Washington176410
Bai Jobe (Tr)154440
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eli Blakey1185138
Silas Walters713107
Kaleb Martin310007

RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Athan Kaliakmanis22936862%31242078.5
AJ Surace4944%58206.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Antwan Raymond2441241135.151
Ja'shon Benjamin6832824.819
CJ Campbell2211905.422
Samuel Brown V163802.49
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
KJ Duff601084718.172
Ian Strong52762514.745
DT Sheffield (Tr)44577513.154
Kenny Fletcher2623609.139

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Robb Smith (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jett Elad (Tr)773011
Dariel Djabome676220
Kaj Sanders640001
Abram Wright531012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bradley Weaver (Tr)287331
Eric O'Neill (Tr)37103101
Dariel Djabome676220
Cam Miller (Tr)432105
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam Miller (Tr)432105
Bo Mascoe482004
Jacobie Henderson (Tr)393003