Miami (OH) at Rutgers - 2025 Matchup Preview

Miami (OH) RedHawks at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Saturday, September 6th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Rutgers -15.5 (45.5) (-585) Open: -14.0 | 48.0
Rutgers 45 - Miami (OH): 17

RedHawks (7 - 7) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (64 - 67)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (20 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 6.5 (#61)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)

Temp: 90.5° (39% Hum)
M-OH 2nd straight Road Game
RUTG 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Rutgers -6.5 (SP+ RUTG -2)
Projected Score: M-OH: 21 - RUTG: 27 (48)
RUTG Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
M-OH Travel: 547 miles

Scarlet Knights (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Greg Schiano (26 - 33)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (35 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
M-OH Players
RUTG Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Miami (OH)'s 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Miami (OH) at Wisconsin	+17.5	40.5	L 0 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Miami (OH) at Rutgers	+15.5	45.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Miami (OH) vs UNLV	+2.5	49.5	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/27	Miami (OH) vs Lindenwood	-22.5	49.5	W 38 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois	-4.5	38.5	W 25 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/11	Miami (OH) at Akron	-11.5	47.5	W 20 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Miami (OH) vs Eastern Michigan	-12.5	47.5	W 44 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/25	Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan	-2.5	40.5	W 26 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4	Miami (OH) at Ohio	+2.5	50.5	L 20 - 24	U	N
Wed 11/12	Miami (OH) vs Toledo	+6.5	44.5	L 3 - 24	U	N
Wed 11/19	Miami (OH) at Buffalo	-2.5	38.5	W 37 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Miami (OH) vs Ball State	-16.5	40.5	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 12/6	Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan	+2.5	44.5	L 13 - 23	U	N
Sat 12/27	Miami (OH) vs Fresno State	+5.0	41.0	L 3 - 18	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Rutgers's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Rutgers vs Ohio	-11.5	46.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/6	Rutgers vs Miami (OH)	-15.5	45.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Rutgers vs Norfolk State	-44.5	56.5	W 60 - 10	O	Y
Fri 9/19	Rutgers vs Iowa	+2.5	46.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/27	Rutgers at Minnesota	+3.5	51.5	L 28 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/10	Rutgers at Washington	+9.5	62.5	L 19 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/18	Rutgers vs Oregon	+17.5	62.5	L 10 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/25	Rutgers at Purdue	+2.5	60.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/1	Rutgers at Illinois	+13.5	63.5	L 13 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/8	Rutgers vs Maryland	-1.5	56.5	W 35 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Rutgers at Ohio State	+29.0	54.0	L 9 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/29	Rutgers vs Penn State	+14.5	55.5	L 36 - 40	O	Y

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH	#108 (.1)	39% (107)	23.5	43% (82)	3.14 (35)	142	36% (119)	182	3.34 (105)	#29 (.08)	39% (37)	21.7	39% (33)	40% (51)	3.39 (47)	46.4	0.9	1.4
RUTG	#38 (.21)	47% (23)	28.7	46% (41)	3.03 (54)	142	47% (18)	266	3.38 (102)	#134 (.31)	47% (128)	31.8	47% (116)	49% (132)	4.45 (131)	32.6	0.9	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH	#95 (.15)	41% (97)		38% (119)	3.1 (51)	121	44% (48)	204	3.43 (108)	#38 (.12)	44% (92)		46% (100)	42% (74)	2.91 (6)	38.6	1.1	1.4
RUTG	#84 (.16)	43% (67)		44% (69)	2.92 (88)	164	42% (63)	189	4.19 (44)	#106 (.23)	43% (85)		48% (113)	40% (59)	4.03 (92)	33.8	0.6	0.9

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Offense	14	23.5	19.8	39.1%	3.34	0.9	17	324	142	182	4.3	52%	47%	43%	36%	14%	.1
RUTG Defense	12	31.8	30.3	47.4%	4.45	1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	47%	49%	12%	.31

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Defense	14	21.7	21.2	39.1%	3.39	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	39%	40%	18%	.08
RUTG Offense	12	28.7	35.4	46.8%	3.38	0.9	23	408	142	266	3.7	49%	50%	46%	47%	16%	.21

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Miami (OH)	14	28:16	16.8	35%	46%	5.3	46.4	0.9	1.4	5.5	2.9	3	31.4
Rutgers	12	32:31	23.3	43%	62%	4.1	32.6	0.9	1	3.9	0.9	3	28.1

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense	14	52% (49)	43% (82)	33.3	142.2	4.3	17 (78)	.07 (90)	3.14 (35)	66% (108)	7% (15)	0.87 (113)
RUTG Defense	12	50% (65)	47% (116)	-	-	-	-	.26 (134)	3.15 (110)	66% (29)	9% (106)	1.13 (129)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense	14	49% (56)	39% (33)	-	-	-	-	.05 (43)	2.71 (31)	73% (85)	11% (35)	0.92 (49)
RUTG Offense	12	49% (73)	46% (41)	38.8	141.5	3.7	19 (49)	.09 (80)	3.03 (54)	75% (48)	9% (46)	0.86 (117)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense	14	47% (89)	36% (119)	12.6	24.7	182.1	7.4	14.4	17 (86)	10 (88)	.17 (108)	1.7 (27)	32% (80)	28% (94)	.2 (110)	6% (84)	1.9 (103)
RUTG Defense	12	49% (74)	49% (132)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (100)	.44 (134)	1.6 (66)	30% (95)	34% (118)	.36 (100)	4% (133)	2.1 (93)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense	14	49% (79)	40% (51)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (12)	.19 (45)	1.5 (28)	34% (31)	28% (47)	.22 (41)	7% (24)	2 (59)
RUTG Offense	12	50% (61)	47% (18)	19.5	31.5	266.1	8.5	13.7	22 (42)	7 (60)	.34 (38)	1.5 (88)	29% (36)	36% (19)	.33 (58)	7% (110)	1.8 (129)

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -3.96 #86
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 3.22 #106
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 7.18 #63
2025 Talent Rating: 674.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 6.5
Miami (OH)'s 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.6 #79
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #104
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 24.9 #53

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -3.96 Rutgers: 3.695

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -1.6 Rutgers: 0.0

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 3.695 #59
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 20.13 #18
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 17.74 #123
2025 Talent Rating: 836.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Rutgers's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Rutgers's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.0 #73
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #43
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #98

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Miami (OH)'s 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Rutgers 27
Miami (OH) 21

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Rutgers 26
Miami (OH) 21

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Miami (OH) 27
Rutgers 27

Total Points: 54

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.4
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Rutgers's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	Rutgers	45	Miami (OH)	17	Rutgers -15.5	Rutgers	45.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rutgers	1	1	1 Overs
Miami (OH)	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#86) M-OH at (#59) RUTG

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	M-OH	RUTG
Power RatePwr	#86	#59
SP+SP+	#79	#73
Perf GradeGrade	#43	#53
OffenseOff	#69	#7
DefenseDef	#33	#134
Spec TeamsST	#34	#106
TalentTal	#81	#45
Blue ChipsBC%	#88	#65

Miami (OH) Notes(11/29) Beat Ball St to make the MAC title game vs WMU
(11/20) QB Thomas Gotkowski better option in W vs Buff
(11/20) Beat Buff due to 3 TOs, even BS. Pass Def torched
(11/14) QB Dequan Finn quit the team.
(11/13) QB2 Hesson cannot play. 11/38 w/ 3 INT vs Tol
(11/4) Can't trust Dequan Finn. Will find a way to lose
(10/31) #2 Off in MAC, best OL, Avg DL, QB Finn meh
(10/31) 5-1 outside of paycheck games, L to UNLV by 3
(10/19) 3-0 in MAC play, undefeated after paycheck games
(10/19) Run heavy Off, QB Finn not good, Def inconsistent
(9/21) Nearly beat UNLV, OG'd 513-396. 1-8 on 3rd down
(8/30) Off awful vs Wisky, Finn cannot play? Def good
Miami (OH) Injury Report

Rutgers Notes(12/5) Fired DC Robb Smith after 1 season, also Co-DC out
(9/23) Kaliakmanis leads CFB in big time throws vs TWP
(9/19) Pass Off & Kaliakmanis good but inconsistent
(9/19) WR have 3 solid weapons, RB Raymond good
(9/19) Defense torn to shreds by Iowa. Yes, Iowa
(8/29) Run Def alarmingly bad vs Ohio, lucky to win
(8/21) OT R Langsdale out for season, big loss
(6/10) OL 4/5 back. 5 portal adds, looks pretty good
(6/10) Def not great LY, returns a lot. 9 portal adds
(6/10) OL has top 10 exp, 87% of which returning
(5/15) DL added 5 portals, JMU's best DE & DT
(5/13) Def portals very productive, esp on the DL
Rutgers Injury Report

Miami (OH) on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	M-OH Off	RUTG Def
Perf GradePerf	#69	#134
SuccessSuc	#107	#128
ExplosiveExp	#88	#114
PPAPPA	#108	#134
PowerPwr	#106	#123
SP+SP+	#104	#98
Pts POPPO	#105	#131
HavocHav	#38	#126

Miami (OH) Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	M-OH Off	RUTG Def
Run GameRun	#100	#133
Run SuccessRSuc	#82	#116
Run ExplRExp	#113	#129
PPAExp	#90	#134
Run BlockR Blk	#51	-
OL YdsOLY	#35	#110
Stuff RateStuff	#48	#62
TackleTak	-	#70

Miami (OH) Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	M-OH Off	RUTG Def
Pass GamePass	#67	#119
Pass SuccessPSuc	#119	#132
Pass ExplPExl	#27	#66
PPAExp	#108	#134
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#120	#120
F7 HavocF7	#15	#106
DB HavocDB	#84	#133

Rutgers on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	M-OH Def
Perf GradePerf	#7	#33
SuccessSuc	#23	#37
ExplosiveExp	#90	#32
PPAPPA	#38	#29
PowerPwr	#18	#63
SP+SP+	#43	#53
Pts POPPO	#102	#47
HavocHav	#76	#26

Rutgers Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	M-OH Def
Run GameRun	#39	#84
Run SuccessRSuc	#41	#33
Run ExplRExp	#117	#49
PPAExp	#80	#43
Run BlockR Blk	#3	-
OL YdsOLY	#54	#31
Stuff RateStuff	#21	#48
TackleTak	-	#83

Rutgers Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	M-OH Def
Pass GamePass	#12	#42
Pass SuccessPSuc	#18	#51
Pass ExplPExl	#88	#28
PPAExp	#38	#45
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#73	#5
F7 HavocF7	#46	#35
DB HavocDB	#110	#24

Program Comparison
RUTG 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

M-OH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in SHI Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 91° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 2
Rutgers -15.5 (45.5)
Rutgers won vs Miami (OH) this year (45-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

M-OH's OC Patrick Welsh (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dequan Finn (Tr)	106	181	59%	1451	9	6	8.0
Henry Hesson	39	98	40%	596	4	3	6.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Brunson	164	767	4	4.7	60
Dequan Finn (Tr)	89	395	4	4.4	39
D'Shawntae Jones	63	277	7	4.4	46
Kenny Tracy	49	272	1	5.6	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kamryn Perry	43	976	6	22.7	66
Cole Weaver	45	642	1	14.3	36
Keith Reynolds (Tr)	36	352	1	9.8	69
Deion Colzie (Tr)	11	178	1	16.2	44

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eli Blakey	118	5	1	3	8
Jackson Kuwatch	101	10	5	1	1
Corban Hondru	84	7	3	7	2
Silas Walters	71	3	1	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Adam Trick	57	12	8	12	4
Jackson Kuwatch	101	10	5	1	1
Nasir Washington	17	6	4	1	0
Bai Jobe (Tr)	15	4	4	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eli Blakey	118	5	1	3	8
Silas Walters	71	3	1	0	7
Kaleb Martin	31	0	0	0	7

RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Athan Kaliakmanis	229	368	62%	3124	20	7	8.5
AJ Surace	4	9	44%	58	2	0	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Antwan Raymond	244	1241	13	5.1	51
Ja'shon Benjamin	68	328	2	4.8	19
CJ Campbell	22	119	0	5.4	22
Samuel Brown V	16	38	0	2.4	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
KJ Duff	60	1084	7	18.1	72
Ian Strong	52	762	5	14.7	45
DT Sheffield (Tr)	44	577	5	13.1	54
Kenny Fletcher	26	236	0	9.1	39

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Robb Smith (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jett Elad (Tr)	77	3	0	1	1
Dariel Djabome	67	6	2	2	0
Kaj Sanders	64	0	0	0	1
Abram Wright	53	1	0	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bradley Weaver (Tr)	28	7	3	3	1
Eric O'Neill (Tr)	37	10	3	10	1
Dariel Djabome	67	6	2	2	0
Cam Miller (Tr)	43	2	1	0	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Cam Miller (Tr)	43	2	1	5
Bo Mascoe	48	2	0	4
Jacobie Henderson (Tr)	39	3	0	3