Arizona State at Colorado - 2025 Matchup Preview
Arizona State logo (#25)Arizona State Sun Devils at Colorado BuffaloesColorado logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (8:00 PM EST)
Arizona State -7 (47.5) (-265)  Open: -4.5
Arizona State 42 - Colorado: 17  (Big 12)

 
Sun Devils (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
COLO coming off BYE
Our Line: Arizona State -15  (SP+ ASU -12.5)

Projected Score: ASU: 32 - COLO: 17 (49)
ASU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
ASU Travel: 585 miles
Buffaloes (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (13 - 11)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (24 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arizona State vs Northern Arizona-29.552.5W 38 - 19ON
Sat 9/6 Arizona State at Mississippi State-6.058.5L 20 - 24UN
Sat 9/13 Arizona State vs Texas State-18.561.5W 34 - 15UY
Sat 9/20 Arizona State at Baylor+3.060.5W 27 - 24UY
Fri 9/26 Arizona State vs TCU-2.554.5W 27 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Arizona State at Utah+9.544.5L 10 - 42ON
Sat 10/18 Arizona State vs Texas Tech+7.552.5W 26 - 22UY
Sat 10/25 Arizona State vs Houston-7.046.5L 16 - 24UN
Sat 11/1 Arizona State at Iowa State+7.548.5W 24 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Arizona State vs West Virginia-10.046.5W 25 - 23ON
Sat 11/22 Arizona State at Colorado-7.047.5W 42 - 17OY
Fri 11/28 Arizona State vs Arizona+2.048.5L 7 - 23UN
Wed 12/31 Arizona State vs Duke+4.049.5L 39 - 42OY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Colorado's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Colorado vs Georgia Tech+4.055.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 9/6 Colorado vs Delaware-23.549.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 9/12 Colorado at Houston+4.045.5L 20 - 36ON
Sat 9/20 Colorado vs Wyoming-12.545.5W 37 - 20OY
Sat 9/27 Colorado vs BYU+6.548.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/4 Colorado at TCU+13.557.5L 21 - 35UN
Sat 10/11 Colorado vs Iowa State+3.052.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Colorado at Utah+14.550.5L 7 - 53ON
Sat 11/1 Colorado vs Arizona+4.052.5L 17 - 52ON
Sat 11/8 Colorado at West Virginia+6.551.5L 22 - 29UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Colorado vs Arizona State+7.047.5L 17 - 42ON
Sat 11/29 Colorado at Kansas State+16.550.5L 14 - 24UY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU#87 (.14)40% (101)25.843% (71)2.98 (61)17438% (108)1953.32 (109)#32 (.09)40% (48)24.540% (50)39% (45)3.32 (38)55.21.41.1
COLO#100 (.12)35% (131)20.935% (131)2.68 (115)12735% (122)2033.48 (92)#106 (.21)43% (87)30.544% (87)43% (79)4.01 (102)49.91.41.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)52% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)41% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4
COLO#35 (.24)44% (48)44% (73)2.76 (110)6645% (34)3024.34 (28)#22 (.09)38% (30)40% (43)36% (17)3.3 (21)62.80.91.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Offense1325.824.639.9%3.321.419369174195551%47%43%38%17%.14
COLO Defense1230.52743%4.011.3 - - - - - 60%39%44%43%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Defense1324.525.239.8%3.321.1 - - - - - 46%53%40%39%19%.09
COLO Offense1220.923.935.2%3.481.4173291272033.649%50%35%35%20%.12

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona State1329:3019.433%63%6.955.21.41.16.22.5027.5
Colorado1228:4917.338%33%5.749.91.41.351.2028.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Offense1351% (53)43% (71)35.2174.2516 (78).13 (63)2.98 (61)66% (104)10% (82)0.97 (66)
COLO Defense1260% (133)44% (87) - - - - .11 (72)2.97 (82)67% (37)9% (78)1.02 (94)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Defense1346% (24)40% (50) - - - - .01 (18)2.68 (27)71% (64)11% (26)0.9 (40)
COLO Offense1249% (74)35% (131)35.3126.73.615 (70).05 (103)2.68 (115)67% (96)14% (134)1.08 (28)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Offense1347% (88)38% (108)17.230.2194.86.511.317 (86)8 (20).23 (76)1.6 (43)32% (85)27% (98).26 (87)8% (119)1.9 (90)
COLO Defense1239% (4)43% (79) - - - - - - 6 (100).41 (126)1.8 (132)31% (77)29% (71).32 (77)6% (73)2.2 (113)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Defense1353% (119)39% (45) - - - - - - 7 (55).17 (35)1.5 (47)33% (45)29% (65).22 (36)8% (13)2 (79)
COLO Offense1250% (59)35% (122)17.529.7202.86.811.617 (50)11 (88).22 (85)1.8 (9)38% (136)30% (71).32 (63)6% (73)2.1 (26)

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 11.44  #38
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 6.90  #79
Arizona State's Defense Rating: -4.54  #17
2025 Talent Rating: 892.00  #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 6%  #49
Arizona State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 4.4
Arizona State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8  #53
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #71
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6  #36

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 11.44   Colorado: -6.925

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 4.8   Colorado: -7.5




Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -6.925  #115
Colorado's Offense Rating: 4.16  #99
Colorado's Defense Rating: 15.51  #113
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 21  #25
Colorado's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Colorado's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5  #95
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #102
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #87

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Arizona State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona State 32
Colorado 17


Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Arizona State 30
Colorado 20

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Arizona State 27
Colorado 24

Total Points: 51
Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Colorado's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Colorado17Arizona State42Arizona State -7Arizona State47.5Over
202310/07Arizona State24Colorado27Colorado -3NA58.0Under
202210/29Colorado34Arizona State42Arizona State -13Colorado49.0Over
202109/25Arizona State35Colorado13Arizona State -13.5Arizona State45.5Over
201909/21Arizona State31Colorado34Arizona State -7.5Colorado49.0Over
201810/06Colorado28Arizona State21Colorado -2.5Colorado64.0Under
201711/04Arizona State41Colorado30Arizona State -6.5Arizona State58.5Over
201610/15Colorado40Arizona State16Colorado -8Colorado63.0Under
201510/10Arizona State48Colorado23Arizona State -12.5Arizona State57.0Over
201409/13Colorado24Arizona State38Arizona State -13.5Arizona State0
201310/12Arizona State54Colorado13Arizona State -23.5Arizona State0
201210/11Colorado17Arizona State51
201110/29Arizona State48Colorado14
200709/08Arizona State33Colorado14
200609/16Colorado3Arizona State21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado446 Overs
Arizona State1163 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 77 - 36 - 11 - 2
Road Teams7 - 83 - 72 - 11 - 6

(#38) ASU at (#115) COLO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatASUCOLO
Power RatePwr #38 #115
SP+SP+ #53 #95
Perf GradeGrade #89 #122
OffenseOff #93 #116
DefenseDef #63 #118
Spec TeamsST #113 #56
TalentTal #27 #66
Blue ChipsBC% #49 #25
Arizona State Notes
(11/29) Awful loss to Az to finish. No QB2 cost ASU's season
(11/6) Dillingham staying at ASU, out of coach searches
(10/31) QB Leavitt out for the season. QB2 Sims awful
(10/26) Awful L to Houston, Leavitt inj but came back
(10/22) Lead WR J Tyson out for Houston game
(10/15) RB Kyson Brown now out indefinitely (depth)
(9/27) Huge W over TCU, Run Off good, Leavitt good
(9/27) Outgained TCU 500-271, forced 3 TOs, won by GW FG?
(9/21) Big W @ Baylor, Run Def good, Leavitt great
(6/15) Expecting improved pass rush, 2nd year DLC
(5/23) ASU was 6-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) Least exp'd B12 OL, almost no exp from portals
Arizona State Injury Report
Colorado Notes
(12/5) Hired Brennan Marion (Sac St HC) as OC
(12/5) OC Marion runs Go-Go Off, was UNLV OC '23-'24
(11/26) QB1 Fr Lewis will sit vs K St, preserve redshirt
(11/23) 1-6 run after ASU blowout. Future of this program?
(11/5) QB1 now Fr J. Lewis vs WVU. 24-105 last 2 games
(11/5) Brett Bartolone (TE coach) now calling plays
(10/26) Down 43-0 at half vs Utah. Had -18 yards!
(9/18) QB1 back to Salter, Staub bad. Fr Lewis next?
(9/13) Staub not good vs Hou, no run Off, bad Def
(9/9) QB Ryan Saub starting vs Houston
(9/8) QB shuffle, #3 Staub played best vs Del
(8/29) Prime's clock management is an abomination
Colorado Injury Report
Arizona State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ASU OffCOLO Def
Perf GradePerf #93 #118
SuccessSuc #101 #87
ExplosiveExp #66 #111
PPAPPA #87 #106
PowerPwr #79 #113
SP+SP+ #71 #87
Pts POPPO #109 #102
HavocHav #107 #79
Arizona State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ASU OffCOLO Def
Run GameRun #33 #98
Run SuccessRSuc #71 #87
Run ExplRExp #66 #94
PPAExp #63 #72
Run BlockR Blk #98 -
OL YdsOLY #61 #82
Stuff RateStuff #83 #57
TackleTak -  #102
Arizona State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ASU OffCOLO Def
Pass GamePass #96 #133
Pass SuccessPSuc #108 #79
Pass ExplPExl #43 #132
PPAExp #76 #126
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #27 #69
F7 HavocF7 #82 #78
DB HavocDB #119 #73
Colorado on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatCOLO OffASU Def
Perf GradePerf #116 #63
SuccessSuc #131 #48
ExplosiveExp #4 #52
PPAPPA #100 #32
PowerPwr #99 #17
SP+SP+ #102 #36
Pts POPPO #92 #38
HavocHav #129 #14
Colorado Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
COLO OffASU Def
Run GameRun #130 #47
Run SuccessRSuc #131 #50
Run ExplRExp #28 #40
PPAExp #103 #18
Run BlockR Blk #87 -
OL YdsOLY #115 #27
Stuff RateStuff #114 #35
TackleTak -  #42
Colorado Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatCOLO OffASU Def
Pass GamePass #117 #47
Pass SuccessPSuc #122 #45
Pass ExplPExl #9 #47
PPAExp #85 #35
Pass Block/RushP Blk #25 #117
F7 HavocF7 #134 #26
DB HavocDB #73 #13
Program Comparison
COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

ASU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 44°
Rematch from Week 13
Arizona State 7.0 (47.5)
Arizona State won at Colorado this year (42-17)

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat Arizona State in 2023 (27-24)
Arizona State beat Colorado in 2022 (42-34)

  
ASU's OC Marcus Arroyo (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt14523961%16281036.8
Jeff Sims7815052%886755.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Raleek Brown186114146.188
Jeff Sims9345234.988
Sam Leavitt7330654.252
Kanye Udoh (Tr)5624024.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordyn Tyson61711811.757
Malik McClain22378017.236
Chamon Metayer3837549.927
Derek Eusebio21303214.468

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyshaun Elliott9814742
Jordan Crook928212
Myles Rowser794013
Adrian Wilson (Tr)571016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyshaun Elliott9814742
Justin Wodtly366622
Prince Dorbah188471
Clayton Smith197420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Abney4411012
Javan Robinson423008
Montana Warren352017

COLO's OC Pat Shurmur (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter (Tr)12720462%14141076.9
Julian Lewis529455%589406.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Welch9638444.044
Kaidon Salter (Tr)10435753.435
Dallan Hayden7032614.742
Simeon Price (Tr)2114426.938
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Miller44807818.370
Joseph Williams (Tr)37489413.247
Sincere Brown (Tr)22376217.171
Drelon Miller2115917.632

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Robert Livingston (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tawfiq Byard (Tr)788114
Jeremiah Brown698200
Preston Hodge5230113
Keaten Wade479351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keaten Wade479351
Arden Walker425351
Jeremiah Brown698200
Brandon Davis-Swain153231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Preston Hodge5230113
Dylahn McKinney341005
Ivan Yates160005