Arizona at Arizona State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Arizona logo (#25)Arizona Wildcats at Arizona State Sun Devils(#20)Arizona State logo
Friday, November 28th 2025 (9:00 PM EST)
Arizona -2.0 (48.5) (-120)  Open: 0.0 | 48.0
Arizona 23 - Arizona State: 7  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (9 - 3) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 33 - 19 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#30)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
ARIZ is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Arizona State -1.5  (SP+ ARIZ -9)

Projected Score: ARIZ: 24 - ASU: 26 (50)
ARIZ Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
ARIZ Travel: 101 miles
Sun Devils (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arizona vs Hawai'i-13.555.5W 40 - 6UY
Sat 9/6 Arizona vs Weber State-31.556.5W 48 - 3UY
Fri 9/12 Arizona vs Kansas State+1.555.5W 23 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Arizona at Iowa State+4.048.5L 14 - 39ON
Sat 10/4 Arizona vs Oklahoma State-21.556.5W 41 - 13UY
Sat 10/11 Arizona vs BYU+2.546.5L 27 - 33ON
Sat 10/18 Arizona at Houston-1.547.5L 28 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Arizona at Colorado-4.052.5W 52 - 17OY
Sat 11/8 Arizona vs Kansas-5.556.5W 24 - 20UN
Sat 11/15 Arizona at Cincinnati+6.556.5W 30 - 24UY
Sat 11/22 Arizona vs Baylor-6.561.5W 41 - 17UY
Fri 11/28 Arizona at Arizona State-2.048.5W 23 - 7UY
Fri 1/2 Arizona vs SMU+1.052.0

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Arizona State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arizona State vs Northern Arizona-29.552.5W 38 - 19ON
Sat 9/6 Arizona State at Mississippi State-6.058.5L 20 - 24UN
Sat 9/13 Arizona State vs Texas State-18.561.5W 34 - 15UY
Sat 9/20 Arizona State at Baylor+3.060.5W 27 - 24UY
Fri 9/26 Arizona State vs TCU-2.554.5W 27 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Arizona State at Utah+9.544.5L 10 - 42ON
Sat 10/18 Arizona State vs Texas Tech+7.552.5W 26 - 22UY
Sat 10/25 Arizona State vs Houston-7.046.5L 16 - 24UN
Sat 11/1 Arizona State at Iowa State+7.548.5W 24 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Arizona State vs West Virginia-10.046.5W 25 - 23ON
Sat 11/22 Arizona State at Colorado-7.047.5W 42 - 17OY
Fri 11/28 Arizona State vs Arizona+2.048.5L 7 - 23UN
Wed 12/31 Arizona State vs Duke+4.049.5L 39 - 42OY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ#49 (.2)43% (63)32.642% (92)3.05 (49)15143% (51)2543.57 (81)#34 (.09)38% (26)18.945% (96)33% (6)3.38 (46)51.612.3
ASU#87 (.14)40% (101)25.843% (71)2.98 (61)17438% (108)1953.32 (109)#32 (.09)40% (48)24.540% (50)39% (45)3.32 (38)55.21.41.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)37% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)45% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)52% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)41% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Offense1232.629.442.5%3.571224051512544.346%54%42%43%15%.2
ASU Defense1324.521.439.8%3.321.1 - - - - - 46%53%40%39%19%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Defense1218.923.638.2%3.382.3 - - - - - 52%46%45%33%21%.09
ASU Offense1325.824.739.9%3.321.419369174195551%47%43%38%17%.14

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona1230:452240%67%5.651.612.36.51.8234.2
Arizona State1329:3019.433%63%6.955.21.41.16.22.5027.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense1246% (100)42% (92)35.3150.84.320 (88).13 (61)3.05 (49)76% (46)9% (64)1.05 (34)
ASU Defense1346% (24)40% (50) - - - - .01 (18)2.68 (27)71% (64)11% (26)0.9 (40)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense1252% (92)45% (96) - - - - .11 (73)2.85 (61)72% (75)11% (20)0.92 (45)
ASU Offense1351% (53)43% (71)35.2174.2516 (78).13 (63)2.98 (61)66% (104)10% (82)0.97 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense1254% (29)43% (51)21.133.7254.47.612.126 (14)7 (88).26 (63)1.5 (90)31% (64)31% (67).41 (30)6% (59)2.1 (40)
ASU Defense1353% (119)39% (45) - - - - - - 7 (55).17 (35)1.5 (47)33% (45)29% (65).22 (36)8% (13)2 (79)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense1246% (35)33% (6) - - - - - - 19 (12).14 (27)1.6 (107)33% (42)24% (13).18 (25)9% (2)2.1 (89)
ASU Offense1347% (88)38% (108)17.230.2194.86.511.317 (86)8 (20).23 (76)1.6 (43)32% (85)27% (98).26 (87)8% (119)1.9 (90)

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 4.09  #55
Arizona's Offense Rating: 10.86  #58
Arizona's Defense Rating: 6.77  #57
2025 Talent Rating: 704.00  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #65
Arizona's 2025 Expected Record: 9.3 - 3.7
Arizona's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.9  #25
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #26
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #24

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 4.09   Arizona State: 10.62

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 13.9   Arizona State: 4.8




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 10.62  #38
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 6.90  #79
Arizona State's Defense Rating: -4.54  #17
2025 Talent Rating: 892.00  #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 6  #49
Arizona State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 4.4
Arizona State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8  #53
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #71
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6  #36

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arizona Scoring
Offense: 32.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Arizona's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona State 26
Arizona 24


Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Arizona 31
Arizona State 22

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Arizona 27
Arizona State 23

Total Points: 50
Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Arizona State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/28Arizona State7Arizona23Arizona -2.0Arizona48.5Under
202411/30Arizona7Arizona State49Arizona State -7.5Arizona State52.5Over
202311/25Arizona State23Arizona59Arizona -12.5Arizona48.5Over
202211/25Arizona38Arizona State35Arizona -4Arizona State66.5Over
202111/27Arizona State38Arizona15Arizona State -20Arizona State52.5Over
202012/11Arizona7Arizona State70Arizona State -9Arizona State57.0Over
201911/30Arizona State24Arizona14Arizona State -13.5Arizona60.5Under
201811/24Arizona40Arizona State41Arizona State -1.5Arizona66.0Over
201711/25Arizona State42Arizona30Arizona -2Arizona State76.0Under
201611/25Arizona56Arizona State35Arizona State -6Arizona65.0Over
201511/21Arizona State52Arizona37Arizona State -7Arizona State66.5Over
201411/28Arizona42Arizona State35Arizona -2.5Arizona0
201311/30Arizona State58Arizona21Arizona State -13.5Arizona State0
201211/23Arizona34Arizona State41
201111/19Arizona State27Arizona31
201012/02Arizona29Arizona State30
200911/28Arizona State17Arizona20
200812/06Arizona31Arizona State10
200712/01Arizona State20Arizona17
200611/25Arizona14Arizona State28
200511/25Arizona State23Arizona20
200411/26Arizona34Arizona State27
200311/28Arizona State28Arizona7
200111/23Arizona State21Arizona34
200011/23Arizona17Arizona State30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State1578 Overs
Arizona1063 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 127 - 64 - 23 - 4
Road Teams12 - 136 - 74 - 32 - 4

(#55) ARIZ at (#38) ASU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARIZASU
Power RatePwr #55 #38
SP+SP+ #25 #53
Perf GradeGrade #37 #89
OffenseOff #59 #93
DefenseDef #18 #63
Spec TeamsST #95 #113
TalentTal #73 #27
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #49
Arizona Notes
(11/29) 5-0 run to finish 9-3. Incredible season by Brennan
(11/23) Brennan was almost fired last year. Now 8-3 & rolling
(11/22) Killed Baylor for 4 straight wins. Great season
(10/18) 2 straight hard L's vs BYU/Hou. Def awful in B12 play
(9/26) Off based on Expl or bust, Success #'s bad
(9/26) Def #'s incredible, but haven't faced good Off yet
(9/13) Def great, Run Off mauled K St. Huge W
(9/13) Fifita looks reborn, balling out, good decisions
(7/30) WR Hunter back, 4 portals. Better talent/depth
(5/11) 64% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(3/22) Added 16 players that started LY via portal
(3/22) RB adds Mahdi (Tx St), 3 total portals
Arizona Injury Report
Arizona State Notes
(11/29) Awful loss to Az to finish. No QB2 cost ASU's season
(11/6) Dillingham staying at ASU, out of coach searches
(10/31) QB Leavitt out for the season. QB2 Sims awful
(10/26) Awful L to Houston, Leavitt inj but came back
(10/22) Lead WR J Tyson out for Houston game
(10/15) RB Kyson Brown now out indefinitely (depth)
(9/27) Huge W over TCU, Run Off good, Leavitt good
(9/27) Outgained TCU 500-271, forced 3 TOs, won by GW FG?
(9/21) Big W @ Baylor, Run Def good, Leavitt great
(6/15) Expecting improved pass rush, 2nd year DLC
(5/23) ASU was 6-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) Least exp'd B12 OL, almost no exp from portals
Arizona State Injury Report
Arizona on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffASU Def
Perf GradePerf #59 #63
SuccessSuc #63 #48
ExplosiveExp #40 #52
PPAPPA #49 #32
PowerPwr #58 #17
SP+SP+ #26 #36
Pts POPPO #81 #38
HavocHav #59 #14
Arizona Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffASU Def
Run GameRun #76 #47
Run SuccessRSuc #92 #50
Run ExplRExp #34 #40
PPAExp #61 #18
Run BlockR Blk #63 -
OL YdsOLY #49 #27
Stuff RateStuff #70 #35
TackleTak -  #42
Arizona Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffASU Def
Pass GamePass #31 #47
Pass SuccessPSuc #51 #45
Pass ExplPExl #90 #47
PPAExp #63 #35
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #42 #117
F7 HavocF7 #64 #26
DB HavocDB #59 #13
Arizona State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatASU OffARIZ Def
Perf GradePerf #93 #18
SuccessSuc #101 #26
ExplosiveExp #66 #42
PPAPPA #87 #34
PowerPwr #79 #57
SP+SP+ #71 #24
Pts POPPO #109 #46
HavocHav #107 #5
Arizona State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ASU OffARIZ Def
Run GameRun #33 #43
Run SuccessRSuc #71 #96
Run ExplRExp #66 #45
PPAExp #63 #73
Run BlockR Blk #98 -
OL YdsOLY #61 #61
Stuff RateStuff #83 #72
TackleTak -  #45
Arizona State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatASU OffARIZ Def
Pass GamePass #96 #3
Pass SuccessPSuc #108 #6
Pass ExplPExl #43 #107
PPAExp #76 #27
Pass Block/RushP Blk #27 #122
F7 HavocF7 #82 #20
DB HavocDB #119 #2
Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 66°
Rematch from Week 14
Arizona 2.0 (48.5)
Arizona won at Arizona State this year (23-7)

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Arizona last year (49-7)
Arizona beat Arizona State in 2023 (59-23)
Arizona beat Arizona State in 2022 (38-35)

  
ARIZ's OC Seth Doege (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Fifita24738664%29632657.7
Braedyn Locke (Tr)51533%68014.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ismail Mahdi (Tr)12278546.468
Kedrick Reescano8339494.750
Quincy Craig (Tr)5533526.154
Noah Fifita10214931.519
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kris Hutson (Tr)57740413.040
Javin Whatley (Tr)38443411.785
Tre Spivey (Tr)21359617.170
Chris Hunter25351214.035

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Danny Gonzales (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalton Johnson972107
Taye Brown849231
Genesis Smith773018
Max Harris (Tr)754051
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chase Kennedy398460
Riley Wilson (Tr)497344
Deshawn McKnight (Tr)2611220
Taye Brown849231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Genesis Smith773018
Ayden Garnes (Tr)341028
Michael Dansby (Tr)171008

ASU's OC Marcus Arroyo (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt14523961%16281036.8
Jeff Sims7815052%886755.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Raleek Brown186114146.188
Jeff Sims9345234.988
Sam Leavitt7330654.252
Kanye Udoh (Tr)5624024.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordyn Tyson61711811.757
Malik McClain22378017.236
Chamon Metayer3837549.927
Derek Eusebio21303214.468

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyshaun Elliott9814742
Jordan Crook928212
Myles Rowser794013
Adrian Wilson (Tr)571016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyshaun Elliott9814742
Justin Wodtly366622
Prince Dorbah188471
Clayton Smith197420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Abney4411012
Javan Robinson423008
Montana Warren352017