Arizona at Arizona State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Arizona logo Arizona Wildcats at Arizona State Sun DevilsArizona State logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Sun Devil Stadium - Tempe, AZ  (Will be played on 11/28 or 11/29)

 
Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 22 - 32 (18 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#105)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)
ARIZ is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Arizona State -19.5   (SP+ ASU -12)
Projected Score: ARIZ: 18 - ASU: 37 (54)
ASU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
ARIZ Travel: 101 miles
Sun Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (34 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#15)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
 
Arizona's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arizona vs Hawai'i-13.053.5
Sat 9/6 Arizona vs Weber State-21.5
Fri 9/12 Arizona vs Kansas State+14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Arizona at Iowa State+15.5
Sat 10/4 Arizona vs Oklahoma State-1.5
Sat 10/11 Arizona vs BYU+6
Sat 10/18 Arizona at Houston+5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Arizona at Colorado+9
Sat 11/8 Arizona vs Kansas+3
Sat 11/15 Arizona at Cincinnati+9
Sat 11/22 Arizona vs Baylor+9
Sat 11/29 Arizona at Arizona State+19.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Arizona State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arizona State vs Northern Arizona-38
Sat 9/6 Arizona State at Mississippi State-11
Sat 9/13 Arizona State vs Texas State-22
Sat 9/20 Arizona State at Baylor-3
Fri 9/26 Arizona State vs TCU-6
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Arizona State at Utah-1.5
Sat 10/18 Arizona State vs Texas Tech-5
Sat 10/25 Arizona State vs Houston-16.5
Sat 11/1 Arizona State at Iowa State-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Arizona State vs West Virginia-18
Sat 11/22 Arizona State at Colorado-8
Sat 11/29 Arizona State vs Arizona-19.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)21.837% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)31.845% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)32.952% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)22.641% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Offense1221.817.838.5%3.531.7193551072483.939%61%37%40%16%.15
ASU Defense1422.622.342.4%3.641.4 - - - - - 45%54%41%44%16%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Defense1231.837.444.6%4.551.2 - - - - - 51%48%45%44%14%.24
ASU Offense1432.933.849.8%4.140.6203951872084.959%41%52%47%12%.31

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona1229:4518.543%42%6.557.61.71.24.81.7027.6
Arizona State1429:5420.447%53%650.10.61.441.3328.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense1239% (127)37% (126)27.4106.73.911 (116).03 (112)2.64 (123)55% (134)9% (59)1.21 (6)
ASU Defense1445% (14)41% (49) - - - - .04 (27)2.97 (61)63% (19)8% (116)1 (76)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense1251% (73)45% (90) - - - - .18 (100)3.32 (115)78% (99)9% (94)1.08 (109)
ASU Offense1459% (14)52% (6)38.11874.928 (25).27 (12)3.35 (19)73% (76)7% (18)0.96 (71)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense1261% (8)40% (91)21.836.4247.96.811.418 (68)13 (103).22 (88)1.6 (44)36% (124)31% (70).33 (71)6% (88)2.1 (35)
ASU Defense1454% (119)44% (106) - - - - - - 15 (18).21 (57)1.4 (18)32% (65)30% (68).14 (5)8% (21)1.9 (27)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense1248% (61)44% (109) - - - - - - 6 (109).31 (103)1.6 (66)31% (88)32% (95).39 (101)5% (93)2.2 (105)
ASU Offense1441% (120)47% (21)14.923.9208.48.71425 (31)5 (6).39 (14)1.6 (43)27% (11)38% (5).45 (21)4% (16)1.9 (115)

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: -4.91 #82
Arizona's Offense Rating: 13.39 #72
Arizona's Defense Rating: 18.30 #90
2025 Talent Rating: 664.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #72
Arizona's 2025 Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4
Arizona's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.7 #60
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #51
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #66

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 767.63
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: -4.91   Arizona State: 17.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 0.7   Arizona State: 12.2




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 17.21 #16
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 24.56 #13
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 7.34 #26
2025 Talent Rating: 828.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #51
Arizona State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Arizona State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.2 #22
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #26
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #27

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 767.63
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31


Arizona Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

Arizona's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona State 37
Arizona 18

Projected Total Points: 54
Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Arizona State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Arizona7Arizona State49Arizona StateArizona State -7.5Arizona State52.5Over
202311/25Arizona State23Arizona59ArizonaArizona -12.5Arizona48.5Over
202211/25Arizona38Arizona State35ArizonaArizona -4Arizona State66.5Over
202111/27Arizona State38Arizona15Arizona StateArizona State -20Arizona State52.5Over
202012/11Arizona7Arizona State70Arizona StateArizona State -9Arizona State57.0Over
201911/30Arizona State24Arizona14Arizona StateArizona State -13.5Arizona60.5Under
201811/24Arizona40Arizona State41Arizona StateArizona State -1.5Arizona66.0Over
201711/25Arizona State42Arizona30Arizona StateArizona -2Arizona State76.0Under
201611/25Arizona56Arizona State35ArizonaArizona State -6Arizona65.0Over
201511/21Arizona State52Arizona37Arizona StateArizona State -7Arizona State66.5Over
201411/28Arizona42Arizona State35ArizonaArizona -2.5Arizona0
201311/30Arizona State58Arizona21Arizona StateArizona State -13.5Arizona State0
201211/23Arizona34Arizona State41Arizona State
201111/19Arizona State27Arizona31Arizona
201012/02Arizona29Arizona State30Arizona State
200911/28Arizona State17Arizona20Arizona
200812/06Arizona31Arizona State10Arizona
200712/01Arizona State20Arizona17Arizona State
200611/25Arizona14Arizona State28Arizona State
200511/25Arizona State23Arizona20Arizona State
200411/26Arizona34Arizona State27Arizona
200311/28Arizona State28Arizona7Arizona State
200111/23Arizona State21Arizona34Arizona
200011/23Arizona17Arizona State30Arizona State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State1578 Overs
Arizona952 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 117 - 54 - 23 - 3
Road Teams11 - 135 - 73 - 32 - 4

(#82) Arizona Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.91 #82
Offense Rating: 13.39 #72
Defense Rating: 18.30 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.7 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #66
Talent Rating: 664.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #72
Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.53 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.55 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Arizona Notes
(5/11) 64% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(3/22) Added 16 players that started LY via portal
(3/22) RB adds Mahdi (Tx St), 3 total portals
(3/22) WR Hunter back, 4 portal adds. Some talent
(3/22) OL 1/5 back, 6 portal adds, need hits
(3/19) QB Fifita regressed LY. Locke (Wisc) added
(3/19) Def bad LY, F7 returns a lot, 4 DB portals
(3/19) New OC/DC. Doege interesting hire.
(3/19) HC Brennan needs to show something TY
Arizona     Ratings Matchup     Arizona State
Power #82
#16
Off #72
#13
Def #90
#26
Talent #77
#35
SP+ #60
#22
SP+ Off #51
#26
SP+ Def #66
#27

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Arizona last year (49-7)
Arizona beat Arizona State in 2023 (59-23)
Arizona beat Arizona State in 2022 (38-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ARIZ | ASU
Depth Chart: ARIZ | ASU
Rosters: ARIZ | ASU
(#16) Arizona State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 17.21 #16
Offense Rating: 24.56 #13
Defense Rating: 7.34 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.2 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #26
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #27
Talent Rating: 828.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #51
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.14 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Arizona State Notes
(6/15) Expecting improved pass rush, 2nd year DLC
(5/23) ASU was 6-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) Least exp'd B12 OL, almost no exp from portals
(5/2) TE Metayer a good reliable target, underrated
(3/20) RBs Udoh (Army) or K. Brown fill in for Skat?
(3/18) QB Leavitt a top QB in CFB, mobile. Depth?
(3/18) WRs Tyson a weapon, who's #2/depth?
(3/18) OL rebuilding with only 2/5 back
(3/18) Def returns a ton, improved a ton LY
(1/1) HC Dillingham new 5 yr deal, top tier B12 #'s


  
Arizona's OC Seth Doege
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Fifita26043061%295818126.9
Braedyn Locke (Tr)16429655%193613106.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ismail Mahdi (Tr)18399145.445
Kedrick Reescano7835914.656
Mike Mitchell (Tr)4715813.418
Luke Wysong (Tr)95506.115
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Wysong (Tr)69840112.253
Kris Hutson (Tr)55691212.659
Chris Hunter3532339.245
Keyan Burnett (Tr)18217112.135

View Arizona's Full Roster
Arizona's DC Danny Gonzales
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalton Johnson785002
Taye Brown644312
Genesis Smith604006
Tre Smith487520
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre Smith487520
Taye Brown644312
Jshawn Frausto-Ramos (Tr)222200
Chase Kennedy174221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Dansby (Tr)371006
Genesis Smith604006
Marquis Groves-Killebrew261104

Arizona State's OC Marcus Arroyo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt21635062%28852468.2
Kanyon Floyd22100%470023.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kanye Udoh (Tr)1791117106.272
Sam Leavitt11044354.040
Kyson Brown7335124.838
Raleek Brown94204.714
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordyn Tyson7511011014.759
Jalen Moss (Tr)49582411.949
Chamon Metayer3230659.629
Kyson Brown13189114.568

View Arizona State's Full Roster
Arizona State's DC Brian Ward
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Rowser984124
Xavion Alford850015
Keyshaun Elliott644221
Jordan Crook574002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah O'Neal285455
Jacob Kongaika105310
Prince Dorbah124331
Clayton Smith3363124
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Abney520019
Nyland Green (Tr)232205
Xavion Alford850015