Arizona at Arizona State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Arizona logo Arizona Wildcats at Arizona State Sun DevilsArizona State logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Sun Devil Stadium - Tempe, AZ  (Will be played on 11/28 or 11/29)

 
Wildcats (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 37 - 9 (37 - 9 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#49)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
ARIZ is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Arizona State -8.5   (SP+ ARIZ -0.5)

Projected Score: ARIZ: 20 - ASU: 29 (49)
ASU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
ARIZ Travel: 101 miles
Sun Devils (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (36 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arizona vs Hawai'i-13.555.5W 40 - 6UY
Sat 9/6 Arizona vs Weber State-31.556.5W 48 - 3UY
Fri 9/12 Arizona vs Kansas State+1.555.5W 23 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Arizona at Iowa State+8.5
Sat 10/4 Arizona vs Oklahoma State-16.5
Sat 10/11 Arizona vs BYU+1.5
Sat 10/18 Arizona at Houston-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Arizona at Colorado-3
Sat 11/8 Arizona vs Kansas-1
Sat 11/15 Arizona at Cincinnati+7
Sat 11/22 Arizona vs Baylor+0.5
Sat 11/29 Arizona at Arizona State+8.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Arizona State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arizona State vs Northern Arizona-29.552.5W 38 - 19ON
Sat 9/6 Arizona State at Mississippi State-6.058.5L 20 - 24UN
Sat 9/13 Arizona State vs Texas State-18.561.5W 34 - 15UY
Sat 9/20 Arizona State at Baylor+1.560.5
Fri 9/26 Arizona State vs TCU+0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Arizona State at Utah+8
Sat 10/18 Arizona State vs Texas Tech+6
Sat 10/25 Arizona State vs Houston-12.5
Sat 11/1 Arizona State at Iowa State+2
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Arizona State vs West Virginia-10.5
Sat 11/22 Arizona State at Colorado-9
Sat 11/29 Arizona State vs Arizona-8.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ#20 (.39)40% (96)3737% (113)3.44 (30)19045% (60)2482.83 (118)#13 (-.07)30% (11)8.735% (37)27% (11)1 (3)63.30.72.7
ASU#43 (.3)46% (54)30.752% (29)3.62 (19)23338% (99)1764.17 (61)#52 (.08)43% (90)19.344% (96)42% (81)2.86 (46)60.711
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)37% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)45% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)52% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)41% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Offense3373740.2%2.830.7234381902484.956%44%37%45%12%.39
ASU Defense319.31742.7%2.861 - - - - - 43%57%44%42%21%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Defense38.78.729.9%12.7 - - - - - 38%61%35%27%26%-.07
ASU Offense330.73645.7%4.171224092331766.154%46%52%38%15%.3

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona331:1622.741%80%8.363.30.72.78.32.7139.2
Arizona State332:2221.724%67%8.360.71183.7028.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense356% (32)37% (113)38.7189.74.96 (49).4 (10)3.44 (30)71% (67)9% (76)1.62 (1)
ASU Defense343% (22)44% (96) - - - - .02 (55)2.32 (29)69% (63)12% (38)0.88 (55)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense338% (5)35% (37) - - - - -.15 (13)2.24 (24)0% (2)14% (20)0.91 (65)
ASU Offense354% (49)52% (29)382336.16 (49).37 (17)3.62 (19)71% (67)8% (66)1.21 (27)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense344% (98)45% (60)16.328.3248.38.815.26 (34)1 (23).39 (49)1.5 (80)26% (33)30% (76).66 (23)3% (22)2.3 (26)
ASU Defense357% (116)42% (81) - - - - - - 1 (87).15 (52)1.4 (36)32% (75)28% (68).3 (76)9% (20)2.1 (91)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense361% (133)27% (11) - - - - - - 5 (6)-.02 (19)1 (3)35% (45)18% (20).21 (58)11% (4)1.9 (59)
ASU Offense346% (87)38% (99)16.729175.76.110.55 (54)3 (92).23 (80)1.6 (62)33% (98)30% (77).33 (73)6% (100)2 (71)

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 8.82 #58
Arizona's Offense Rating: 12.17 #72
Arizona's Defense Rating: 3.35 #45
2025 Talent Rating: 704.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Arizona's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
Arizona's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #39
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #37

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 8.82   Arizona State: 17.91

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 9.6   Arizona State: 9.0




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 17.91 #27
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 22.18 #27
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 0.36 #29
2025 Talent Rating: 892.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Arizona State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Arizona State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0 #42
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #37

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Arizona Scoring
Offense: 37 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 8.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 8.7

Arizona's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona State 29
Arizona 20


Total Points: 49

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Arizona State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Arizona7Arizona State49Arizona StateArizona State -7.5Arizona State52.5Over
202311/25Arizona State23Arizona59ArizonaArizona -12.5Arizona48.5Over
202211/25Arizona38Arizona State35ArizonaArizona -4Arizona State66.5Over
202111/27Arizona State38Arizona15Arizona StateArizona State -20Arizona State52.5Over
202012/11Arizona7Arizona State70Arizona StateArizona State -9Arizona State57.0Over
201911/30Arizona State24Arizona14Arizona StateArizona State -13.5Arizona60.5Under
201811/24Arizona40Arizona State41Arizona StateArizona State -1.5Arizona66.0Over
201711/25Arizona State42Arizona30Arizona StateArizona -2Arizona State76.0Under
201611/25Arizona56Arizona State35ArizonaArizona State -6Arizona65.0Over
201511/21Arizona State52Arizona37Arizona StateArizona State -7Arizona State66.5Over
201411/28Arizona42Arizona State35ArizonaArizona -2.5Arizona0
201311/30Arizona State58Arizona21Arizona StateArizona State -13.5Arizona State0
201211/23Arizona34Arizona State41Arizona State
201111/19Arizona State27Arizona31Arizona
201012/02Arizona29Arizona State30Arizona State
200911/28Arizona State17Arizona20Arizona
200812/06Arizona31Arizona State10Arizona
200712/01Arizona State20Arizona17Arizona State
200611/25Arizona14Arizona State28Arizona State
200511/25Arizona State23Arizona20Arizona State
200411/26Arizona34Arizona State27Arizona
200311/28Arizona State28Arizona7Arizona State
200111/23Arizona State21Arizona34Arizona
200011/23Arizona17Arizona State30Arizona State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State1578 Overs
Arizona952 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 117 - 54 - 23 - 3
Road Teams11 - 135 - 73 - 32 - 4

(#58) Arizona Info
Power Rating: 8.82 #58
Offense Rating: 12.17 #72
Defense Rating: 3.35 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #39
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #37
Talent Rating: 704.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.83 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 30%
Great in Scoring Position 1 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Great Pass Def Success 27%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Arizona has lost 8 straight
Arizona has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Arizona Notes
(9/13) Fifita looks reborn, balling out, good decisions
(7/30) WR Hunter back, 4 portals. Better talent/depth
(5/11) 64% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(3/22) Added 16 players that started LY via portal
(3/22) RB adds Mahdi (Tx St), 3 total portals
(3/22) OL 1/5 back, 6 portal adds, need hits
(3/19) QB Fifita regressed LY. Locke (Wisc) added
(3/19) Def bad LY, F7 returns a lot, 4 DB portals
(3/19) New OC/DC. Doege interesting hire.
(3/19) HC Brennan needs to show something TY

Arizona Highlights
Arizona is Undefeated vs Spread
Arizona in Undefeated

Arizona offense is explosive (#8)
Arizona has a top Offensive Line (#30)
Arizona has a really good defense (#11)
Arizona defense does not give up big plays (#6)
Arizona defense is really good in red zone (#3)
Arizona has a good pass defense (#11)
Arizona Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#19)
Arizona Defensive Line is very good (#24)
Arizona Front 7 is disruptive (#20)
Arizona Secondary is very good (#4)
Arizona has a great TO Margin (#28)
Arizona defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Arizona Deficiencies
Arizona Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Arizona offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#118)
Arizona run game is really bad (#113)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatASUARIZ
OverallOver#52#26
OffenseOff#54#49
DefenseDef#66#10
Special TeamsST#13#105
PassingPass#80#34
RushingRush#14#26
Run BlockRBLK#51#30
Pass BlockPBLK#17#74
Route RunningWR Rt#81#87
TacklingTkl#36#57
Run DefenseR Def#57#24
Pass Rush DefPRush#56#37
Coverage DefCov#68#5

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Arizona last year (49-7)
Arizona beat Arizona State in 2023 (59-23)
Arizona beat Arizona State in 2022 (38-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ARIZ | ASU
Depth Chart: ARIZ | ASU
Rosters: ARIZ | ASU
(#27) Arizona State Info
Power Rating: 17.91 #27
Offense Rating: 22.18 #27
Defense Rating: 0.36 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #37
Talent Rating: 892.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 2.86 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Arizona State has lost 8 straight
Arizona State has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Arizona State Notes
(6/15) Expecting improved pass rush, 2nd year DLC
(5/23) ASU was 6-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) Least exp'd B12 OL, almost no exp from portals
(5/2) TE Metayer a good reliable target, underrated
(3/20) RBs Udoh (Army) or K. Brown fill in for Skat?
(3/18) QB Leavitt a top QB in CFB, mobile. Depth?
(3/18) WRs Tyson a weapon, who's #2/depth?
(3/18) OL rebuilding with only 2/5 back
(3/18) Def returns a ton, improved a ton LY
(1/1) HC Dillingham new 5 yr deal, top tier B12 #'s

Arizona State Highlights
Arizona State is Undefeated at Home

Arizona State has Really Good Running Game (#15)
Arizona State has a top Offensive Line (#19)
Arizona State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Arizona State Defensive Line is very good (#29)
Arizona State Secondary is very good (#20)

Arizona State Deficiencies
Arizona State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Arizona State offense is bad on 3rd Downs


  
Arizona's OC Seth Doege
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Fifita467859%712609.1
Braedyn Locke (Tr)2450%11002.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ismail Mahdi (Tr)3726317.160
Quincy Craig (Tr)1816519.254
Kedrick Reescano105115.113
Noah Fifita283731.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javin Whatley (Tr)13237218.285
Luke Wysong (Tr)597019.431
Brandon Phelps576115.242
Chris Hunter565013.018

View Arizona's Full Roster
Arizona's DC Danny Gonzales
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Genesis Smith191014
Taye Brown160010
Dalton Johnson160001
Max Harris (Tr)102010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chase Kennedy83230
Jay'Vion Cole (Tr)61101
Deshawn McKnight (Tr)85110
Jabari Mann62110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Genesis Smith191014
Michael Dansby (Tr)81003
Ayden Garnes (Tr)60013

Arizona State's OC Marcus Arroyo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt508658%527536.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Raleek Brown3529228.375
Sam Leavitt2715735.852
Kanye Udoh (Tr)3213814.321
Kyson Brown98409.334
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordyn Tyson24314413.136
Chamon Metayer780111.427
Kyson Brown672012.022
Raleek Brown73404.911

View Arizona State's Full Roster
Arizona State's DC Brian Ward
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Crook245200
Keyshaun Elliott203220
Myles Rowser191001
Martell Hughes140000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clayton Smith125310
Jordan Crook245200
Keyshaun Elliott203220
Albert Smith III21101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Abney111103
Montana Warren121013
Kyndrich Breedlove (Tr)60002