Iowa State at Colorado - 2025 Matchup Preview
Iowa State logo (#12)Iowa State Cyclones at Colorado BuffaloesColorado logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Folsom Field - Boulder, CO  (Big 12)

 
Cyclones (4 - 0) (2 - 1 - 1)
Coach Matt Campbell (63 - 51)
Avg Score : 30 - 14 (24 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#18)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
ISU 2nd straight Road Game
COLO is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Iowa State -8.5   (SP+ ISU -14)

Projected Score: ISU: 26 - COLO: 18 (44)
ISU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
ISU Travel: 622 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Buffaloes (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (13 - 11)
Avg Score : 24 - 23 (26 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#115)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 6) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Iowa State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Iowa State vs Kansas State+2.551.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 8/30 Iowa State vs South Dakota-16.547.5W 55 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Iowa State vs Iowa-3.043.0W 16 - 13UN
Sat 9/13 Iowa State at Arkansas State-21.055.5W 24 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Iowa State vs Arizona-8.5
Sat 10/4 Iowa State at Cincinnati+1.5
Sat 10/11 Iowa State at Colorado-8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Iowa State vs BYU-4
Sat 11/1 Iowa State vs Arizona State-2
Sat 11/8 Iowa State at TCU+6
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Iowa State vs Kansas-6.5
Sat 11/29 Iowa State at Oklahoma State-17.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Colorado's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Colorado vs Georgia Tech+4.055.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 9/6 Colorado vs Delaware-23.549.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 9/12 Colorado at Houston+4.045.5L 20 - 36ON
Sat 9/20 Colorado vs Wyoming-12.544.5
Sat 9/27 Colorado vs BYU+7
Sat 10/4 Colorado at TCU+17
Sat 10/11 Colorado vs Iowa State+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Colorado at Utah+19.5
Sat 11/1 Colorado vs Arizona+3
Sat 11/8 Colorado at West Virginia+6
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Colorado vs Arizona State+9
Sat 11/29 Colorado at Kansas State+5.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 7, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#45 (.29)45% (56)29.840% (94)2.87 (82)16151% (28)2224.14 (63)#41 (.05)36% (48)14.340% (75)33% (35)3 (50)2711.5
COLO#65 (.21)37% (113)23.736% (118)2.73 (93)12638% (103)2105.42 (17)#95 (.18)47% (114)23.348% (110)44% (100)3.5 (68)41.70.72
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)40% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)46% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5
COLO#35 (.24)44% (48)44% (73)2.76 (110)6645% (34)3024.34 (28)#22 (.09)38% (30)40% (43)36% (17)3.3 (21)62.80.91.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Offense429.82445.5%4.141203831612224.254%46%40%51%14%.29
COLO Defense323.31746.6%3.52 - - - - - 64%36%48%44%13%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Defense414.31636.4%31.5 - - - - - 50%50%40%33%19%.05
COLO Offense323.725.537%5.420.7183361262104.242%58%36%38%17%.21

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa State430:5020.350%100%32711.561.8031.5
Colorado327:5618.337%75%4.741.70.7241.7028.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Offense454% (50)40% (94)381614.27 (38).12 (76)2.87 (82)71% (67)8% (53)0.95 (70)
COLO Defense364% (133)48% (110) - - - - .07 (71)3.12 (104)75% (80)8% (102)0.99 (78)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Defense450% (67)40% (75) - - - - -.03 (39)2.75 (66)69% (63)12% (44)0.7 (15)
COLO Offense342% (118)36% (118)30125.74.25 (62).24 (41)2.73 (93)67% (86)12% (113)1.53 (6)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Offense446% (84)51% (28)17.326.32228.512.97 (23)1 (23).48 (26)1.4 (93)29% (51)30% (77).35 (63)6% (95)1.9 (87)
COLO Defense336% (6)44% (100) - - - - - - 2 (56).37 (111)1.7 (106)28% (117)31% (84).2 (57)5% (84)1.8 (43)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Defense450% (71)33% (35) - - - - - - 4 (12).12 (42)1.8 (116)35% (43)27% (50).12 (36)7% (38)1.7 (36)
COLO Offense358% (18)38% (103)19.331.32106.710.94 (72)2 (60).2 (91)1.5 (75)39% (123)39% (28).55 (31)5% (60)2.2 (43)

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 15.62 #38
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 18.04 #36
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 2.42 #41
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Iowa State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Iowa State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #43
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 15.62   Colorado: 6.46

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 14.3   Colorado: 0.4




Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: 6.46 #62
Colorado's Offense Rating: 15.81 #49
Colorado's Defense Rating: 8.29 #74
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #25
Colorado's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Colorado's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #63
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 14.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16

Iowa State's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 26
Colorado 18


Total Points: 44

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.5
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Colorado's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201011/13Colorado34Iowa State14Colorado
200911/14Iowa State17Colorado10Iowa State
200811/08Colorado28Iowa State24Colorado
200711/10Iowa State31Colorado28Iowa State
200611/11Colorado33Iowa State16Colorado
200511/12Iowa State30Colorado16Iowa State
200410/16Colorado19Iowa State14Colorado
200311/15Iowa State10Colorado44Colorado
200111/10Iowa State27Colorado40Colorado
200011/10Colorado27Iowa State35Iowa State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado600 Overs
Iowa State400 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 30 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams3 - 70 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#38) Iowa State Info
Power Rating: 15.62 #38
Offense Rating: 18.04 #36
Defense Rating: 2.42 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #43
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.7 #15
Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.14 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 51%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Good Pass Def Success 33%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Iowa State has lost 2 straight
Iowa State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Iowa State Notes
(8/30) Run game improved, Becht a tough gamer
(7/30) Fewest portal adds in Big 12 (8), good sign
(5/23) ISU was 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(4/4) CB Jontez Williams a top 10 CB via PFF
(4/4) DT D. Orange a top 10 DT via PFF
(3/20) QB Becht returns, dynamic & clutch
(3/20) RB Hansen/Sama return, v good combo
(3/20) WR rebuild, portal Sowell (ECU) helps a lot
(3/20) OL 3/5 back, 2 w/ good exp. Must improve TY
(3/20) Def exposed LY, need new DE's & more

Iowa State Highlights
Iowa State in Undefeated

Iowa State has Really Good Running Game (#22)
Iowa State offense is good on 3rd downs
Iowa State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Iowa State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Iowa State Deficiencies
Iowa State Fumbles a Lot (#113)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatCOLOISU
OverallOver#83#19
OffenseOff#98#19
DefenseDef#74#53
Special TeamsST#43#14
PassingPass#108#10
RushingRush#88#48
Run BlockRBLK#78#32
Pass BlockPBLK#9#58
Route RunningWR Rt#93#31
TacklingTkl#62#72
Run DefenseR Def#74#43
Pass Rush DefPRush#44#91
Coverage DefCov#96#42

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ISU | COLO
Depth Chart: ISU | COLO
Rosters: ISU | COLO
(#62) Colorado Info
Power Rating: 6.46 #62
Offense Rating: 15.81 #49
Defense Rating: 8.29 #74
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #25
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.42 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.5 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 48%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Colorado has lost 4 straight
Colorado has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Colorado Notes
(9/9) QB Ryan Saub starting vs Houston
(9/8) QB shuffle, #3 Staub played best vs Del
(8/29) Prime's clock management is an abomination
(8/29) Salter OK, run off better, run defense mauled
(8/26) QB1 Kaidon Salter starter, Fr. Lewis backup
(7/22) Very quiet, Prime health issues. Bad signs
(5/1) Watch Fr WR Q Gibson, will play early and KR
(4/11) RB Augustave no longer on team, led RB LY
(4/4) So. Jordan Seaton (OT) a top OT via PFF
(3/19) RBs bad LY in passing Off. Any ballers?

Colorado Highlights
Colorado offense is explosive (#12)
Colorado offense is good in red zone (#17)
Colorado has a great TO Margin (#28)

Colorado Deficiencies
Colorado offense is really bad (#113)
Colorado run game is really bad (#118)
Colorado pass game is really bad (#103)
Colorado has a bad defense (#114)
Colorado has a bad defensive line (#104)


  
Iowa State's OC Taylor Mouser
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht6510065%860718.6
Alex Manske4580%28005.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Carson Hansen5425204.738
Abu Sama III3818224.844
Dylan Lee138116.228
Rocco Becht274821.810
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brett Eskildsen7162123.166
Gabe Burkle10149114.944
Xavier Townsend (Tr)7132018.944
Benjamin Brahmer1410937.821

View Iowa State's Full Roster
Iowa State's DC Jon Heacock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Neal295101
Jamison Patton210001
Caleb Bacon193020
Kooper Ebel182110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tamatoa McDonough (Tr)83220
Marcus Neal295101
Kooper Ebel182110
Ikenna Ezeogu43141
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Cooper92003
Ta'Shawn James80003
Jontez Williams122002

Colorado's OC Pat Shurmur
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryan Staub264558%361328.0
Kaidon Salter (Tr)304468%261105.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Simeon Price (Tr)1913617.238
Micah Welch237613.322
Kaidon Salter (Tr)226823.121
Dekalon Taylor (Tr)106106.123
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sincere Brown (Tr)6135122.571
Joseph Williams (Tr)8117114.637
Dekalon Taylor (Tr)10106210.622
Omarion Miller493023.339

View Colorado's Full Roster
Colorado's DC Robert Livingston
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tawfiq Byard (Tr)182101
Reginald Hughes (Tr)160020
Martavius French (Tr)153100
Carter Stoutmire130003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Martavius French (Tr)153100
Keaten Wade113120
Quency Wiggins21120
Tawfiq Byard (Tr)182101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carter Stoutmire130003
Preston Hodge100002
Tawfiq Byard (Tr)182101