Iowa State at Colorado - 2025 Matchup Preview
Iowa State logo (#22)Iowa State Cyclones at Colorado BuffaloesColorado logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Iowa State -3 (52.5) (-148)  Open: -4.5
Colorado 24 - Iowa State: 17  (Big 12)

 
Cyclones (8 - 4) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Matt Campbell (63 - 51)
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (22 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
ISU 2nd straight Road Game
COLO is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Iowa State -17.5  (SP+ ISU -17)

Projected Score: ISU: 35 - COLO: 17 (52)
ISU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
ISU Travel: 622 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Buffaloes (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (13 - 11)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (24 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
 
Iowa State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Iowa State vs Kansas State+2.551.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 8/30 Iowa State vs South Dakota-16.547.5W 55 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Iowa State vs Iowa-3.043.0W 16 - 13UN
Sat 9/13 Iowa State at Arkansas State-21.055.5W 24 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Iowa State vs Arizona-4.048.5W 39 - 14OY
Sat 10/4 Iowa State at Cincinnati+1.555.5L 30 - 38ON
Sat 10/11 Iowa State at Colorado-3.052.5L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Iowa State vs BYU-2.548.5L 27 - 41ON
Sat 11/1 Iowa State vs Arizona State-7.548.5L 19 - 24UN
Sat 11/8 Iowa State at TCU+7.558.5W 20 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Iowa State vs Kansas-3.055.5W 38 - 14UY
Sat 11/29 Iowa State at Oklahoma State-13.547.5W 20 - 13UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Colorado's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Colorado vs Georgia Tech+4.055.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 9/6 Colorado vs Delaware-23.549.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 9/12 Colorado at Houston+4.045.5L 20 - 36ON
Sat 9/20 Colorado vs Wyoming-12.545.5W 37 - 20OY
Sat 9/27 Colorado vs BYU+6.548.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/4 Colorado at TCU+13.557.5L 21 - 35UN
Sat 10/11 Colorado vs Iowa State+3.052.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Colorado at Utah+14.550.5L 7 - 53ON
Sat 11/1 Colorado vs Arizona+4.052.5L 17 - 52ON
Sat 11/8 Colorado at West Virginia+6.551.5L 22 - 29UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Colorado vs Arizona State+7.047.5L 17 - 42ON
Sat 11/29 Colorado at Kansas State+16.550.5L 14 - 24UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#61 (.19)45% (44)27.446% (47)3 (57)17444% (42)2213.54 (83)#36 (.09)39% (43)20.240% (40)40% (53)3.06 (23)401.21.5
COLO#100 (.12)35% (131)20.935% (131)2.68 (115)12735% (122)2033.48 (92)#106 (.21)43% (87)30.544% (87)43% (79)4.01 (102)49.91.41.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)40% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)46% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5
COLO#35 (.24)44% (48)44% (73)2.76 (110)6645% (34)3024.34 (28)#22 (.09)38% (30)40% (43)36% (17)3.3 (21)62.80.91.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Offense1227.422.244.7%3.541.2213961742214.454%45%46%44%15%.19
COLO Defense1230.52743%4.011.3 - - - - - 60%39%44%43%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Defense1220.221.639.4%3.061.5 - - - - - 47%50%40%40%17%.09
COLO Offense1220.923.935.2%3.481.4173291272033.649%50%35%35%20%.12

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa State1231:3421.140%68%4.6401.21.551.1129.9
Colorado1228:4917.338%33%5.749.91.41.351.2028.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Offense1254% (36)46% (47)39.8174.24.423 (30).15 (50)3 (57)69% (89)8% (38)0.93 (82)
COLO Defense1260% (133)44% (87) - - - - .11 (72)2.97 (82)67% (37)9% (78)1.02 (94)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Defense1247% (43)40% (40) - - - - .01 (20)2.79 (51)70% (55)10% (65)0.83 (13)
COLO Offense1249% (74)35% (131)35.3126.73.615 (70).05 (103)2.68 (115)67% (96)14% (134)1.08 (28)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Offense1245% (100)44% (42)17.528.8221.47.712.716 (86)9 (20).29 (51)1.6 (56)30% (48)31% (69).21 (100)6% (81)2.1 (42)
COLO Defense1239% (4)43% (79) - - - - - - 6 (100).41 (126)1.8 (132)31% (77)29% (71).32 (77)6% (73)2.2 (113)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Defense1250% (91)40% (53) - - - - - - 11 (38).24 (67)1.6 (74)33% (44)29% (60).23 (48)7% (30)1.7 (3)
COLO Offense1250% (59)35% (122)17.529.7202.86.811.617 (50)11 (88).22 (85)1.8 (9)38% (136)30% (71).32 (63)6% (73)2.1 (26)

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 11.71  #36
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 14.61  #42
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 2.90  #35
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #65
Iowa State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Iowa State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4  #35
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #62
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #27

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 11.71   Colorado: -6.925

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 9.4   Colorado: -7.5




Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -6.925  #115
Colorado's Offense Rating: 4.16  #99
Colorado's Defense Rating: 15.51  #113
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 21  #25
Colorado's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Colorado's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5  #95
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #102
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #87

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.6

Iowa State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 35
Colorado 17


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Iowa State 26
Colorado 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Iowa State 27
Colorado 22

Total Points: 49
Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Colorado's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Colorado24Iowa State17Iowa State -3Colorado52.5Under
201011/13Colorado34Iowa State14
200911/14Iowa State17Colorado10
200811/08Colorado28Iowa State24
200711/10Iowa State31Colorado28
200611/11Colorado33Iowa State16
200511/12Iowa State30Colorado16
200410/16Colorado19Iowa State14
200311/15Iowa State10Colorado44
200111/10Iowa State27Colorado40
200011/10Colorado27Iowa State35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado710 Overs
Iowa State401 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 31 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams3 - 80 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#36) ISU at (#115) COLO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatISUCOLO
Power RatePwr #36 #115
SP+SP+ #35 #95
Perf GradeGrade #61 #122
OffenseOff #49 #116
DefenseDef #91 #118
Spec TeamsST #105 #56
TalentTal #66 #66
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #25
Iowa State Notes
(12/7) Declined bowl game. 2025 season is over.
(12/5) HC Matt Campbell going to Penn State
(12/5) Hired HC Jimmy Rogers, Wazzu HC (S Dak St too)
(10/25) DT D Orange will play vs BYU, big add
(10/4) Def torched by Cincy, Becht was tough but Def sucks
(10/3) CB2 J. Cooper out for the season (knee). Down top 2
(10/1) CB1 J Williams out for the season (ACL) - big loss
(10/1) Backup kicker J Gilbert also hurt, Fr kicking now
(9/26) Kicker K. Konrardy is hurt, Fr C. Smith kicking
(9/15) Keep winning 1 score games, Run Succ ?
(8/30) Run game improved, Becht a tough gamer
(7/30) Fewest portal adds in Big 12 (8), good sign
Iowa State Injury Report
Colorado Notes
(12/5) Hired Brennan Marion (Sac St HC) as OC
(12/5) OC Marion runs Go-Go Off, was UNLV OC '23-'24
(11/26) QB1 Fr Lewis will sit vs K St, preserve redshirt
(11/23) 1-6 run after ASU blowout. Future of this program?
(11/5) QB1 now Fr J. Lewis vs WVU. 24-105 last 2 games
(11/5) Brett Bartolone (TE coach) now calling plays
(10/26) Down 43-0 at half vs Utah. Had -18 yards!
(9/18) QB1 back to Salter, Staub bad. Fr Lewis next?
(9/13) Staub not good vs Hou, no run Off, bad Def
(9/9) QB Ryan Saub starting vs Houston
(9/8) QB shuffle, #3 Staub played best vs Del
(8/29) Prime's clock management is an abomination
Colorado Injury Report
Iowa State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ISU OffCOLO Def
Perf GradePerf #49 #118
SuccessSuc #44 #87
ExplosiveExp #91 #111
PPAPPA #61 #106
PowerPwr #42 #113
SP+SP+ #62 #87
Pts POPPO #83 #102
HavocHav #55 #79
Iowa State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ISU OffCOLO Def
Run GameRun #59 #98
Run SuccessRSuc #47 #87
Run ExplRExp #82 #94
PPAExp #50 #72
Run BlockR Blk #66 -
OL YdsOLY #57 #82
Stuff RateStuff #58 #57
TackleTak -  #102
Iowa State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ISU OffCOLO Def
Pass GamePass #26 #133
Pass SuccessPSuc #42 #79
Pass ExplPExl #56 #132
PPAExp #51 #126
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #94 #69
F7 HavocF7 #38 #78
DB HavocDB #81 #73
Colorado on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatCOLO OffISU Def
Perf GradePerf #116 #91
SuccessSuc #131 #43
ExplosiveExp #4 #51
PPAPPA #100 #36
PowerPwr #99 #35
SP+SP+ #102 #27
Pts POPPO #92 #23
HavocHav #129 #48
Colorado Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
COLO OffISU Def
Run GameRun #130 #103
Run SuccessRSuc #131 #40
Run ExplRExp #28 #13
PPAExp #103 #20
Run BlockR Blk #87 -
OL YdsOLY #115 #51
Stuff RateStuff #114 #37
TackleTak -  #124
Colorado Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatCOLO OffISU Def
Pass GamePass #117 #53
Pass SuccessPSuc #122 #53
Pass ExplPExl #9 #74
PPAExp #85 #67
Pass Block/RushP Blk #25 #114
F7 HavocF7 #134 #65
DB HavocDB #73 #30
Program Comparison
COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 61°
Rematch from Week 7
Iowa State 3.0 (52.5)
Colorado won vs Iowa State this year (24-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ISU's OC Taylor Mouser (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht20433761%25651697.6
Alex Manske4580%28005.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Carson Hansen18795065.165
Abu Sama III14173255.244
Dylan Lee2511714.728
Rocco Becht8711181.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brett Eskildsen30526517.575
Chase Sowell (Tr)32500215.652
Benjamin Brahmer37446612.127
Gabe Burkle26302111.644

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kooper Ebel778153
Marcus Neal7711133
Caleb Bacon6810343
Jamison Patton481003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Bacon6810343
Tamatoa McDonough (Tr)264240
Will McLaughlin132201
Jace J. Gilbert183110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ta'Shawn James330005
Quentin Taylor Jr.272005
Kooper Ebel778153

COLO's OC Pat Shurmur (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter (Tr)12720462%14141076.9
Julian Lewis529455%589406.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Welch9638444.044
Kaidon Salter (Tr)10435753.435
Dallan Hayden7032614.742
Simeon Price (Tr)2114426.938
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Miller44807818.370
Joseph Williams (Tr)37489413.247
Sincere Brown (Tr)22376217.171
Drelon Miller2115917.632

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Robert Livingston (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tawfiq Byard (Tr)788114
Jeremiah Brown698200
Preston Hodge5230113
Keaten Wade479351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keaten Wade479351
Arden Walker425351
Jeremiah Brown698200
Brandon Davis-Swain153231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Preston Hodge5230113
Dylahn McKinney341005
Ivan Yates160005