Colorado at West Virginia - 2025 Matchup Preview
Colorado logo Colorado Buffaloes at West Virginia MountaineersWest Virginia logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 PM EST)
West Virginia -6.5 (51.5) (-240)  Open: -5.5 | 53.5
West Virginia 29 - Colorado: 22  (Big 12)

 
Buffaloes (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (13 - 11)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (17 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
WVU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: West Virginia -7  (SP+ WVU -0)

Projected Score: COLO: 23 - WVU: 30 (52)
WVU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
COLO Travel: 1339 miles, 2 hrs behind
Mountaineers (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (60 - 26)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (23 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Colorado's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Colorado vs Georgia Tech+4.055.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 9/6 Colorado vs Delaware-23.549.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 9/12 Colorado at Houston+4.045.5L 20 - 36ON
Sat 9/20 Colorado vs Wyoming-12.545.5W 37 - 20OY
Sat 9/27 Colorado vs BYU+6.548.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/4 Colorado at TCU+13.557.5L 21 - 35UN
Sat 10/11 Colorado vs Iowa State+3.052.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Colorado at Utah+14.550.5L 7 - 53ON
Sat 11/1 Colorado vs Arizona+4.052.5L 17 - 52ON
Sat 11/8 Colorado at West Virginia+6.551.5L 22 - 29UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Colorado vs Arizona State+7.047.5L 17 - 42ON
Sat 11/29 Colorado at Kansas State+16.550.5L 14 - 24UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
West Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 West Virginia vs Robert Morris-40.056.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 West Virginia at Ohio-3.558.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/13 West Virginia vs Pittsburgh+6.554.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 9/20 West Virginia at Kansas+12.554.5L 10 - 41UN
Sat 9/27 West Virginia vs Utah+13.546.5L 14 - 48ON
Fri 10/3 West Virginia at BYU+19.546.5L 24 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 West Virginia at UCF+6.546.5L 13 - 45ON
Sat 10/25 West Virginia vs TCU+16.555.5L 17 - 23UY
Sat 11/1 West Virginia at Houston+13.548.5W 45 - 35OY
Sat 11/8 West Virginia vs Colorado-6.551.5W 29 - 22UY
Sat 11/15 West Virginia at Arizona State+10.046.5L 23 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 West Virginia vs Texas Tech+24.553.5L 0 - 49UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO#100 (.12)35% (131)20.935% (131)2.68 (115)12735% (122)2033.48 (92)#106 (.21)43% (87)30.544% (87)43% (79)4.01 (102)49.91.41.3
WVU#119 (.07)37% (122)21.839% (114)2.66 (117)16134% (130)1893.53 (85)#64 (.16)40% (54)30.839% (34)43% (81)3.9 (94)561.51.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO#35 (.24)44% (48)44% (73)2.76 (110)6645% (34)3024.34 (28)#22 (.09)38% (30)40% (43)36% (17)3.3 (21)62.80.91.8
WVU#63 (.2)43% (69)44% (75)3.05 (64)19641% (73)2104.6 (16)#124 (.3)45% (103)41% (46)49% (128)4.74 (131)33.91.51.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Offense1220.916.835.2%3.481.4173291272033.649%50%35%35%20%.12
WVU Defense1230.828.240.5%3.91.7 - - - - - 49%49%39%43%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Defense1230.535.443%4.011.3 - - - - - 60%39%44%43%15%.21
WVU Offense1221.822.736.8%3.531.5193501611893.757%42%39%34%16%.07

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado1228:4917.338%33%5.749.91.41.351.2028.7
West Virginia1226:1818.830%45%5.8561.51.76.72.4128.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Offense1249% (74)35% (131)35.3126.73.615 (70).05 (103)2.68 (115)67% (96)14% (134)1.08 (28)
WVU Defense1249% (58)39% (34) - - - - .02 (26)2.42 (8)73% (80)12% (14)0.95 (67)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Defense1260% (133)44% (87) - - - - .11 (72)2.97 (82)67% (37)9% (78)1.02 (94)
WVU Offense1257% (20)39% (114)43.6160.73.722 (36)-.02 (126)2.66 (117)62% (121)10% (103)0.89 (98)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Offense1250% (59)35% (122)17.529.7202.86.811.617 (50)11 (88).22 (85)1.8 (9)38% (136)30% (71).32 (63)6% (73)2.1 (26)
WVU Defense1249% (82)43% (81) - - - - - - 11 (22).33 (105)1.7 (125)34% (28)33% (113).42 (122)6% (70)2.1 (109)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Defense1239% (4)43% (79) - - - - - - 6 (100).41 (126)1.8 (132)31% (77)29% (71).32 (77)6% (73)2.2 (113)
WVU Offense1242% (116)34% (130)1627.3188.96.911.810 (128)11 (88).2 (98)1.7 (23)30% (54)26% (114).21 (98)6% (59)2.1 (51)

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -11.35  #115
Colorado's Offense Rating: 4.16  #99
Colorado's Defense Rating: 15.51  #113
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 21%  #25
Colorado's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Colorado's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5  #95
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #102
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #87

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -11.35   West Virginia: -2.49

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -7.5   West Virginia: -7.2




West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: -2.49  #81
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 3.22  #106
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 6.00  #51
2025 Talent Rating: 808.00  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #56
West Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
West Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2  #93
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #102
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3  #90

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Colorado's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
West Virginia 30
Colorado 23


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
West Virginia 31
Colorado 22

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
West Virginia 28
Colorado 24

Total Points: 52
West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.7
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.2

West Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08West Virginia29Colorado22West Virginia -6.5West Virginia51.5Under
200910/01West Virginia35Colorado24
200809/18Colorado17West Virginia14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
West Virginia210 Overs
Colorado101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 30 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#115) COLO at (#81) WVU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCOLOWVU
Power RatePwr #115 #81
SP+SP+ #95 #93
Perf GradeGrade #122 #130
OffenseOff #116 #132
DefenseDef #118 #121
Spec TeamsST #56 #59
TalentTal #66 #50
Blue ChipsBC% #25 #56
Colorado Notes
(12/5) Hired Brennan Marion (Sac St HC) as OC
(12/5) OC Marion runs Go-Go Off, was UNLV OC '23-'24
(11/26) QB1 Fr Lewis will sit vs K St, preserve redshirt
(11/23) 1-6 run after ASU blowout. Future of this program?
(11/5) QB1 now Fr J. Lewis vs WVU. 24-105 last 2 games
(11/5) Brett Bartolone (TE coach) now calling plays
(10/26) Down 43-0 at half vs Utah. Had -18 yards!
(9/18) QB1 back to Salter, Staub bad. Fr Lewis next?
(9/13) Staub not good vs Hou, no run Off, bad Def
(9/9) QB Ryan Saub starting vs Houston
(9/8) QB shuffle, #3 Staub played best vs Del
(8/29) Prime's clock management is an abomination
Colorado Injury Report
West Virginia Notes
(10/27) Def spirited vs TCU, Fox 300 yds, but can't run
(10/18) Getting real bad, killed by UCF. Just too many injuries
(10/18) Outgained 550+ to 200 yds vs UCF? Coming unglued
(10/4) QB1 is Fr Khalil Wilkins, mobile and not ready. Woof
(10/1) Starting QB Marchiol redshirting & transferring
(9/20) Killed by KU, just don't have Off weapons or QB
(9/14) Gutsy comeback W vs Pitt. Plays hard for staff
(9/8) Star RB Jahiem White out for season (knee)
(9/8) Starting WR J Bray out for season (leg)
(8/30) Ran for nearly 400< Marchiol efficient vs RMU
(8/20) DE/LB Robinson likely academically ineligible
(6/11) RB White a top B12 RB, Edwards (FCS) 1k LY
West Virginia Injury Report
Colorado on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
COLO OffWVU Def
Perf GradePerf #116 #121
SuccessSuc #131 #54
ExplosiveExp #4 #125
PPAPPA #100 #64
PowerPwr #99 #51
SP+SP+ #102 #90
Pts POPPO #92 #94
HavocHav #129 #28
Colorado Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
COLO OffWVU Def
Run GameRun #130 #92
Run SuccessRSuc #131 #34
Run ExplRExp #28 #67
PPAExp #103 #26
Run BlockR Blk #87 -
OL YdsOLY #115 #8
Stuff RateStuff #114 #17
TackleTak -  #119
Colorado Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
COLO OffWVU Def
Pass GamePass #117 #125
Pass SuccessPSuc #122 #81
Pass ExplPExl #9 #125
PPAExp #85 #105
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #25 #102
F7 HavocF7 #134 #14
DB HavocDB #73 #70
West Virginia on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatWVU OffCOLO Def
Perf GradePerf #132 #118
SuccessSuc #122 #87
ExplosiveExp #81 #111
PPAPPA #119 #106
PowerPwr #106 #113
SP+SP+ #102 #87
Pts POPPO #85 #102
HavocHav #79 #79
West Virginia Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WVU OffCOLO Def
Run GameRun #132 #98
Run SuccessRSuc #114 #87
Run ExplRExp #98 #94
PPAExp #126 #72
Run BlockR Blk #129 -
OL YdsOLY #117 #82
Stuff RateStuff #106 #57
TackleTak -  #102
West Virginia Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatWVU OffCOLO Def
Pass GamePass #127 #133
Pass SuccessPSuc #130 #79
Pass ExplPExl #23 #132
PPAExp #98 #126
Pass Block/RushP Blk #58 #69
F7 HavocF7 #103 #78
DB HavocDB #59 #73
Program Comparison
WVU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 63° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 11
West Virginia -6.5 (51.5)
West Virginia won vs Colorado this year (29-22)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
COLO's OC Pat Shurmur (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter (Tr)12720462%14141076.9
Julian Lewis529455%589406.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Welch9638444.044
Kaidon Salter (Tr)10435753.435
Dallan Hayden7032614.742
Simeon Price (Tr)2114426.938
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Miller44807818.370
Joseph Williams (Tr)37489413.247
Sincere Brown (Tr)22376217.171
Drelon Miller2115917.632

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Robert Livingston (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tawfiq Byard (Tr)788114
Jeremiah Brown698200
Preston Hodge5230113
Keaten Wade479351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keaten Wade479351
Arden Walker425351
Jeremiah Brown698200
Brandon Davis-Swain153231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Preston Hodge5230113
Dylahn McKinney341005
Ivan Yates160005

WVU's OC Rich Rodriguez (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Scotty Fox Jr.10117059%1276767.5
Nicco Marchiol669867%720227.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diore Hubbard9633543.529
Cyncir Bowers6324924.026
Khalil Wilkins5824324.222
Scotty Fox Jr.8420132.459
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Vaughn (Tr)35540415.446
Jeff Weimer (Tr)21383218.275
Rodney Gallagher2824308.726
Grayson Barnes (Tr)21232211.034

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fred Perry (Tr)7810323
Darrian Lewis (Tr)751010
Reid Carrico698551
Chase Wilson (Tr)465312
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reid Carrico698551
Fred Perry (Tr)7810323
Chase Wilson (Tr)465312
Devin Grant (Tr)205301
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Coats Jr. (Tr)302007
Jason Chambers (Tr)343004
Derek Carter (Tr)312004