Arizona State at Utah - 2025 Matchup Preview
Arizona State logo   Arizona State Sun Devils at Utah Utes  Utah logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (10:15 PM EDT)
Utah -9.5 (44.5) (-355)  Open: -2.5
Utah 42 - Arizona State: 10  (Big 12)

 
Sun Devils (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)
ASU coming off BYE
UTAH coming off BYE
Our Line: Utah -13.5  (SP+ UTAH -18)

Projected Score: ASU: 18 - UTAH: 32 (50)
UTAH Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
ASU Travel: 507 miles
Utes (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (167 - 86)
Avg Score : 41 - 19 (44 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 2.1 (#13)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
 
Arizona State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arizona State vs Northern Arizona-29.552.5W 38 - 19ON
Sat 9/6 Arizona State at Mississippi State-6.058.5L 20 - 24UN
Sat 9/13 Arizona State vs Texas State-18.561.5W 34 - 15UY
Sat 9/20 Arizona State at Baylor+3.060.5W 27 - 24UY
Fri 9/26 Arizona State vs TCU-2.554.5W 27 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Arizona State at Utah+9.544.5L 10 - 42ON
Sat 10/18 Arizona State vs Texas Tech+7.552.5W 26 - 22UY
Sat 10/25 Arizona State vs Houston-7.046.5L 16 - 24UN
Sat 11/1 Arizona State at Iowa State+7.548.5W 24 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Arizona State vs West Virginia-10.046.5W 25 - 23ON
Sat 11/22 Arizona State at Colorado-7.047.5W 42 - 17OY
Fri 11/28 Arizona State vs Arizona+2.048.5L 7 - 23UN
Wed 12/31 Arizona State vs Duke+4.049.5L 39 - 42OY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Utah's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Utah at UCLA-6.550.5W 43 - 10OY
Sat 9/6 Utah vs Cal Poly-42.553.5W 63 - 9OY
Sat 9/13 Utah at Wyoming-24.547.5W 31 - 6UY
Sat 9/20 Utah vs Texas Tech-3.558.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 9/27 Utah at West Virginia-13.546.5W 48 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Utah vs Arizona State-9.544.5W 42 - 10OY
Sat 10/18 Utah at BYU-4.049.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/25 Utah vs Colorado-14.550.5W 53 - 7OY
Sat 11/1 Utah vs Cincinnati-11.557.5W 45 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Utah at Baylor-9.560.5W 55 - 28OY
Sat 11/22 Utah vs Kansas State-18.552.5W 51 - 47ON
Fri 11/28 Utah at Kansas-10.559.5W 31 - 21UN
Wed 12/31 Utah vs Nebraska-13.551.5W 44 - 22OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)25.852% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)24.541% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4
UTAH#120 (.08)37% (125)41.338% (116)2.73 (114)13035% (119)1993.4 (111)#7 (.05)35% (4)18.937% (10)34% (6)3.13 (15)46.31.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UTAH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Offense1425.824.649.8%4.140.6203951872084.959%41%52%47%12%.31
UTAH Defense1218.920.235.3%3.131.5 - - - - - 48%51%37%34%20%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Defense1424.525.242.4%3.641.4 - - - - - 45%54%41%44%16%.12
UTAH Offense1241.34436.7%3.41.8173301301993.949%51%38%35%19%.08

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona State1429:5420.447%53%650.10.61.441.3328.6
Utah1232:0616.633%45%5.446.31.81.56.41.9430.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Offense1459% (14)52% (6)38.11874.928 (25).27 (12)3.35 (19)73% (76)7% (18)0.96 (71)
UTAH Defense1248% (41)37% (10) - - - - .04 (25)2.53 (9)64% (22)12% (34)1.07 (105)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Defense1445% (14)41% (49) - - - - .04 (27)2.97 (61)63% (19)8% (116)1 (76)
UTAH Offense1249% (76)38% (116)33.6130.43.97 (131) (123)2.73 (114)66% (113)12% (117)0.88 (111)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Offense1441% (120)47% (21)14.923.9208.48.71425 (31)5 (6).39 (14)1.6 (43)27% (11)38% (5).45 (21)4% (16)1.9 (115)
UTAH Defense1251% (92)34% (6) - - - - - - 12 (39).09 (15)1.6 (74)37% (4)25% (8).09 (1)8% (4)2 (59)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Defense1454% (119)44% (106) - - - - - - 15 (18).21 (57)1.4 (18)32% (65)30% (68).14 (5)8% (21)1.9 (27)
UTAH Offense1251% (58)35% (119)16.629.8199.46.71220 (58)17 (127).16 (106)1.7 (23)36% (127)24% (127).2 (110)7% (107)2.2 (22)

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 11.84  #34
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 13.54  #66
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 1.70  #15
2025 Talent Rating: 892.00  #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 6%  #49
Arizona State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 4.4
Arizona State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9  #60
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #59
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.7  #44

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 11.84   Utah: 21.43

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 3.9   Utah: 22.2




Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 21.43  #19
Utah's Offense Rating: 24.77  #11
Utah's Defense Rating: 9.11  #39
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 13  #36
Utah's 2025 Expected Record: 10.9 - 2.1
Utah's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.2  #8
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.7  #6
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.5  #17

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Arizona State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Utah 32
Arizona State 18


Projected Total Points: 50
Utah Scoring
Offense: 41.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.2

Utah's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Utah42Arizona State10Utah -9.5Utah44.5Over
202410/11Arizona State27Utah19Utah -6Arizona State46.5Under
202311/04Utah55Arizona State3Utah -11Utah40.5Over
202209/24Arizona State13Utah34Utah -16.5Utah54.0Under
202110/16Utah35Arizona State21Utah -1Utah51.0Over
201910/19Utah21Arizona State3Utah -16Utah46.0Under
201811/03Arizona State38Utah20Utah -7.5Arizona State54.0Over
201710/21Utah10Arizona State30Utah -10Arizona State54.5Under
201611/10Arizona State26Utah49Utah -5.5Utah56.0Over
201510/17Utah34Arizona State18Utah -6.5Utah51.5Over
201411/01Arizona State19Utah16Arizona State -2.5Arizona State0
201311/09Utah19Arizona State20Arizona State -7Utah0
201209/22Arizona State37Utah7
201110/08Utah14Arizona State35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah786 Overs
Arizona State744 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 59 - 36 - 13 - 2
Road Teams5 - 93 - 92 - 31 - 6

(#34) ASU at (#19) UTAH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatASUUTAH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #34 #19
SP+SP+ #60 #8
Perf GradeGrade #88 #18
OffenseOff #93 #18
DefenseDef #66 #50
Spec TeamsST #109 #27
TalentTal #27 #66
Blue ChipsBC% #49 #36
Arizona State Notes
(11/29) Awful loss to Az to finish. No QB2 cost ASU's season
(11/6) Dillingham staying at ASU, out of coach searches
(10/31) QB Leavitt out for the season. QB2 Sims awful
(10/26) Awful L to Houston, Leavitt inj but came back
(10/22) Lead WR J Tyson out for Houston game
(10/15) RB Kyson Brown now out indefinitely (depth)
(9/27) Huge W over TCU, Run Off good, Leavitt good
(9/27) Outgained TCU 500-271, forced 3 TOs, won by GW FG?
(9/21) Big W @ Baylor, Run Def good, Leavitt great
(6/15) Expecting improved pass rush, 2nd year DLC
(5/23) ASU was 6-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) Least exp'd B12 OL, almost no exp from portals
Arizona State Injury Report
Utah Notes
(10/29) QB Devon Dampier will play vs Cincy
(10/26) QB Byrd Ficklin (Fr) ran wild on Col, pass meh
(9/20) Killed by T Tech, Off awful, Dampier worse. Ugly
(9/20) Is Off any good or feasted on cupcakes early?
(7/22) RBs Parker (WSU) good, leads 4 portal adds
(7/22) WR rebuild. Top 2 from NM LY, 6 portal adds
(7/20) LB L Damuni has 4 years starting exp, hurt LY
(6/6) OL returns all 5 starters, top 5 unit in CFB
(5/27) QB Dampier (NM) full control of OC Beck's Off
(5/12) QB Dampier forced 54 missed tackles LY
(4/15) New OC Beck (NM) big improvement. Fun Off?
(4/4) OT Spencer Fano the #1 OT via PFF
Utah Injury Report
Arizona State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ASU OffUTAH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #93 #50
SuccessSuc #8 #4
ExplosiveExp #100 #104
PPAPPA #13 #7
PowerPwr #66 #39
SP+SP+ #59 #17
Pts POPPO #48 #15
HavocHav #11 #12
Arizona State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ASU OffUTAH Def
Run GameRun #38 #87
Run SuccessRSuc #6 #10
Run ExplRExp #71 #105
PPAExp #12 #25
Run BlockR Blk #113 -
OL YdsOLY #19 #9
Stuff RateStuff #30 #3
TackleTak -  #113
Arizona State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ASU OffUTAH Def
Pass GamePass #82 #47
Pass SuccessPSuc #21 #6
Pass ExplPExl #43 #74
PPAExp #14 #15
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #33 #42
F7 HavocF7 #18 #34
DB HavocDB #16 #4
Utah on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatUTAH OffASU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #18 #66
SuccessSuc #125 #79
ExplosiveExp #55 #55
PPAPPA #120 #36
PowerPwr #11 #15
SP+SP+ #6 #44
Pts POPPO #111 #51
HavocHav #120 #75
Utah Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
UTAH OffASU Def
Run GameRun #12 #47
Run SuccessRSuc #116 #49
Run ExplRExp #111 #76
PPAExp #123 #27
Run BlockR Blk #59 -
OL YdsOLY #114 #61
Stuff RateStuff #123 #47
TackleTak -  #79
Utah Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatUTAH OffASU Def
Pass GamePass #31 #36
Pass SuccessPSuc #119 #106
Pass ExplPExl #23 #18
PPAExp #106 #57
Pass Block/RushP Blk #8 #133
F7 HavocF7 #117 #116
DB HavocDB #107 #21
Program Comparison
UTAH 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

ASU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice-Eccles Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Utah -9.5 (44.5)
Utah won vs Arizona State this year (42-10)

Previous Matchups
Utah beat Arizona State last year (42-10)
Arizona State beat Utah in 2024 (27-19)
Utah beat Arizona State in 2023 (55-3)

  
ASU's OC Marcus Arroyo (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt14523961%16281036.8
Jeff Sims10518856%12611066.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Raleek Brown186114146.188
Jeff Sims10052255.288
Sam Leavitt7330654.252
Kanye Udoh (Tr)5624024.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordyn Tyson61711811.757
Malik McClain31441114.236
Chamon Metayer3837549.927
Derek Eusebio22341215.568

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Crook1018222
Keyshaun Elliott9814742
Myles Rowser844013
Adrian Wilson (Tr)571016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyshaun Elliott9814742
Justin Wodtly427752
Elijah O'Neal379561
Prince Dorbah188471
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Abney4411012
Javan Robinson423008
Montana Warren402028

UTAH's OC Jason Beck (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devon Dampier (Tr)21233464%24902457.5
Byrd Ficklin213560%301308.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Wayshawn Parker (Tr)14998166.664
Devon Dampier (Tr)146835105.759
Byrd Ficklin61513108.474
NaQuari Rogers (Tr)98387113.923
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Davis (Tr)62725411.756
Dallen Bentley48620612.945
JJ Buchanan26427516.460
Larry Simmons (Tr)15280618.748

View Utah's Full Roster

UTAH's DC Morgan Scalley (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnathan Hall636314
Jackson Bennee624125
Lander Barton514221
Tao Johnson503004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Henry Daley45181201
Logan Fano438532
Kash Dillon325410
Johnathan Hall636314
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Smith Snowden372009
Blake Cotton (Tr)272007
Jackson Bennee624125