Arizona at Colorado - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 1st 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Arizona -4 (52.5) (-185) Open: -4.5
Arizona 52 - Colorado: 17 (Big 12)

Wildcats (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#30)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)

ARIZ coming off BYE
Our Line: Arizona -14.5 (SP+ ARIZ -20.5)
Projected Score: ARIZ: 33 - COLO: 19 (52)
ARIZ Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ARIZ Travel: 624 miles

Buffaloes (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (13 - 11)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (24 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
ARIZ Players
COLO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arizona's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Arizona vs Hawai'i	-13.5	55.5	W 40 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Arizona vs Weber State	-31.5	56.5	W 48 - 3	U	Y
Fri 9/12	Arizona vs Kansas State	+1.5	55.5	W 23 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Arizona at Iowa State	+4.0	48.5	L 14 - 39	O	N
Sat 10/4	Arizona vs Oklahoma State	-21.5	56.5	W 41 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Arizona vs BYU	+2.5	46.5	L 27 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/18	Arizona at Houston	-1.5	47.5	L 28 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	Arizona at Colorado	-4.0	52.5	W 52 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/8	Arizona vs Kansas	-5.5	56.5	W 24 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/15	Arizona at Cincinnati	+6.5	56.5	W 30 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Arizona vs Baylor	-6.5	61.5	W 41 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/28	Arizona at Arizona State	-2.0	48.5	W 23 - 7	U	Y
Fri 1/2	Arizona vs SMU	+2.5	55.5	L 19 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule

Colorado's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Colorado vs Georgia Tech	+4.0	55.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/6	Colorado vs Delaware	-23.5	49.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Fri 9/12	Colorado at Houston	+4.0	45.5	L 20 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/20	Colorado vs Wyoming	-12.5	45.5	W 37 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Colorado vs BYU	+6.5	48.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Colorado at TCU	+13.5	57.5	L 21 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/11	Colorado vs Iowa State	+3.0	52.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	Colorado at Utah	+14.5	50.5	L 7 - 53	O	N
Sat 11/1	Colorado vs Arizona	+4.0	52.5	L 17 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/8	Colorado at West Virginia	+6.5	51.5	L 22 - 29	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Colorado vs Arizona State	+7.0	47.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/29	Colorado at Kansas State	+16.5	50.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ	#93 (.15)	39% (117)	31.5	37% (126)	2.64 (123)	107	40% (91)	248	3.53 (101)	#109 (.24)	45% (100)	19.3	45% (90)	44% (109)	4.55 (125)	57.6	1.7	1.2
COLO	#35 (.24)	44% (48)	20.9	44% (73)	2.76 (110)	66	45% (34)	302	4.34 (28)	#22 (.09)	38% (30)	30.5	40% (43)	36% (17)	3.3 (21)	62.8	0.9	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Offense	12	31.5	29.4	38.5%	3.53	1.7	19	355	107	248	3.9	39%	61%	37%	40%	16%	.15
COLO Defense	13	30.5	27	38.4%	3.3	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	40%	36%	20%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Defense	12	19.3	23.6	44.6%	4.55	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	45%	44%	14%	.24
COLO Offense	13	20.9	23.9	44.5%	4.34	0.9	20	368	66	302	2.7	37%	63%	44%	45%	17%	.24

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arizona	12	29:45	18.5	43%	42%	6.5	57.6	1.7	1.2	4.8	1.7	0	27.6
Colorado	13	26:03	19.7	41%	40%	7.1	62.8	0.9	1.8	6.7	2.8	2	31.4

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense	12	39% (127)	37% (126)	27.4	106.7	3.9	11 (116)	.03 (112)	2.64 (123)	55% (134)	9% (59)	1.21 (6)
COLO Defense	13	53% (93)	40% (43)	-	-	-	-	.06 (37)	2.87 (47)	78% (98)	12% (19)	1.06 (100)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense	12	51% (73)	45% (90)	-	-	-	-	.18 (100)	3.32 (115)	78% (99)	9% (94)	1.08 (109)
COLO Offense	13	37% (133)	44% (73)	24.2	66	2.7	15 (96)	.08 (94)	2.76 (110)	82% (16)	11% (104)	0.86 (121)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense	12	61% (8)	40% (91)	21.8	36.4	247.9	6.8	11.4	18 (68)	13 (103)	.22 (88)	1.6 (44)	36% (124)	31% (70)	.33 (71)	6% (88)	2.1 (35)
COLO Defense	13	47% (46)	36% (17)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.13 (24)	1.6 (61)	35% (25)	29% (50)	.24 (41)	8% (18)	1.9 (31)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense	12	48% (61)	44% (109)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (109)	.31 (103)	1.6 (66)	31% (88)	32% (95)	.39 (101)	5% (93)	2.2 (105)
COLO Offense	13	63% (2)	45% (34)	25.9	35.2	302	8.6	11.7	35 (3)	8 (40)	.34 (32)	1.6 (53)	33% (96)	35% (27)	.47 (18)	6% (78)	2.1 (54)

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 4.99 #50
Arizona's Offense Rating: 17.18 #45
Arizona's Defense Rating: 12.19 #57
2025 Talent Rating: 704.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Arizona's 2025 Expected Record: 9.3 - 3.7
Arizona's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.0 #28
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #29
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 4.99 Colorado: -5.93

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 12.0 Colorado: -8.3

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -5.93 #94
Colorado's Offense Rating: 10.82 #82
Colorado's Defense Rating: 19.38 #102
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #25
Colorado's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Colorado's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #96
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #103
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #88

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Arizona's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona 33
Colorado 19

Projected Total Points: 52

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Colorado's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Colorado	17	Arizona	52	Arizona -4	Arizona	52.5	Over
2024	10/19	Arizona	7	Colorado	34	Arizona -2.5	Colorado	57.5	Under
2023	11/11	Colorado	31	Arizona	34	Arizona -6	Colorado	55.5	Over
2022	10/01	Arizona	43	Colorado	20	Arizona -17.5	Arizona	57.5	Over
2021	10/16	Colorado	34	Arizona	0	Colorado -6.0	Colorado	46.5	Under
2020	12/05	Arizona	13	Colorado	24	Colorado -9.5	Colorado	57.0	Under
2019	10/05	Colorado	30	Arizona	35	Colorado -2.5	Arizona	63.5	Over
2018	11/02	Arizona	42	Colorado	34	Arizona -3	Arizona	57.0	Over
2017	10/07	Colorado	42	Arizona	45	Colorado -7	Arizona	58.5	Over
2016	11/12	Arizona	24	Colorado	49	Colorado -16.5	Colorado	61.0	Over
2015	10/17	Colorado	31	Arizona	38	Arizona -7	NA	67.5	Over
2014	11/08	Arizona	38	Colorado	20	Arizona -15.5	Arizona	0
2013	10/26	Colorado	20	Arizona	44	Arizona -16.5	Arizona	0
2012	11/10	Arizona	56	Colorado	31
2011	11/12	Colorado	48	Arizona	29

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado	5	5	8 Overs
Arizona	10	7	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 9	5 - 7	4 - 3	1 - 4
Road Teams	9 - 6	7 - 5	4 - 1	3 - 4

(#50) ARIZ at (#94) COLO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARIZ	COLO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#50	#94
SP+SP+	#28	#96
Perf GradeGrade	#31	#118
OffenseOff	#55	#114
DefenseDef	#13	#110
Spec TeamsST	#88	#55
TalentTal	#73	#66
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#25

Arizona Notes(11/29) 5-0 run to finish 9-3. Incredible season by Brennan
(11/23) Brennan was almost fired last year. Now 8-3 & rolling
(11/22) Killed Baylor for 4 straight wins. Great season
(10/18) 2 straight hard L's vs BYU/Hou. Def awful in B12 play
(9/26) Off based on Expl or bust, Success #'s bad
(9/26) Def #'s incredible, but haven't faced good Off yet
(9/13) Def great, Run Off mauled K St. Huge W
(9/13) Fifita looks reborn, balling out, good decisions
(7/30) WR Hunter back, 4 portals. Better talent/depth
(5/11) 64% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(3/22) Added 16 players that started LY via portal
(3/22) RB adds Mahdi (Tx St), 3 total portals
Arizona Injury Report

Colorado Notes(12/5) Hired Brennan Marion (Sac St HC) as OC
(12/5) OC Marion runs Go-Go Off, was UNLV OC '23-'24
(11/26) QB1 Fr Lewis will sit vs K St, preserve redshirt
(11/23) 1-6 run after ASU blowout. Future of this program?
(11/5) QB1 now Fr J. Lewis vs WVU. 24-105 last 2 games
(11/5) Brett Bartolone (TE coach) now calling plays
(10/26) Down 43-0 at half vs Utah. Had -18 yards!
(9/18) QB1 back to Salter, Staub bad. Fr Lewis next?
(9/13) Staub not good vs Hou, no run Off, bad Def
(9/9) QB Ryan Saub starting vs Houston
(9/8) QB shuffle, #3 Staub played best vs Del
(8/29) Prime's clock management is an abomination
Colorado Injury Report

Arizona on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	COLO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#55	#110
SuccessSuc	#117	#30
ExplosiveExp	#3	#76
PPAPPA	#93	#22
PowerPwr	#45	#102
SP+SP+	#29	#88
Pts POPPO	#101	#21
HavocHav	#65	#13

Arizona Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	#73	#85
Run SuccessRSuc	#126	#43
Run ExplRExp	#6	#100
PPAExp	#112	#37
Run BlockR Blk	#68	-
OL YdsOLY	#123	#47
Stuff RateStuff	#133	#51
TackleTak	-	#112

Arizona Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	#28	#133
Pass SuccessPSuc	#91	#17
Pass ExplPExl	#44	#61
PPAExp	#88	#24
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#54	#67
F7 HavocF7	#59	#19
DB HavocDB	#88	#18

Colorado on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	ARIZ Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#114	#13
SuccessSuc	#48	#100
ExplosiveExp	#31	#96
PPAPPA	#35	#109
PowerPwr	#82	#57
SP+SP+	#103	#25
Pts POPPO	#28	#125
HavocHav	#97	#99

Colorado Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	ARIZ Def
Run GameRun	#132	#43
Run SuccessRSuc	#73	#90
Run ExplRExp	#121	#109
PPAExp	#94	#100
Run BlockR Blk	#88	-
OL YdsOLY	#110	#115
Stuff RateStuff	#106	#102
TackleTak	-	#47

Colorado Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	ARIZ Def
Pass GamePass	#114	#2
Pass SuccessPSuc	#34	#109
Pass ExplPExl	#53	#66
PPAExp	#32	#103
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#20	#111
F7 HavocF7	#104	#94
DB HavocDB	#78	#93

Program Comparison
COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Arizona 4.0 (52.5)
Arizona won at Colorado this year (52-17)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Colorado last year (52-17)
Colorado beat Arizona in 2024 (34-7)
Arizona beat Colorado in 2023 (34-31)

ARIZ's OC Seth Doege (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Noah Fifita	275	429	64%	3228	29	6	7.5
Braedyn Locke (Tr)	5	15	33%	68	0	1	4.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ismail Mahdi (Tr)	133	853	4	6.4	68
Kedrick Reescano	84	396	9	4.7	50
Quincy Craig (Tr)	65	364	2	5.6	54
Noah Fifita	115	222	3	1.9	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kris Hutson (Tr)	60	764	4	12.7	40
Javin Whatley (Tr)	41	490	5	12.0	85
Tre Spivey (Tr)	23	381	7	16.6	70
Chris Hunter	27	372	2	13.8	35

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Danny Gonzales (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dalton Johnson	97	2	1	0	7
Taye Brown	93	9	2	3	1
Max Harris (Tr)	78	4	0	7	1
Genesis Smith	77	3	0	1	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chase Kennedy	42	8	4	7	0
Riley Wilson (Tr)	51	8	3	5	4
Deshawn McKnight (Tr)	26	11	2	2	0
Taye Brown	93	9	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Michael Dansby (Tr)	19	1	0	10
Ayden Garnes (Tr)	43	2	2	8
Genesis Smith	77	3	1	8

COLO's OC Pat Shurmur (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kaidon Salter (Tr)	127	204	62%	1414	10	7	6.9
Julian Lewis	52	94	55%	589	4	0	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Micah Welch	96	384	4	4.0	44
Kaidon Salter (Tr)	104	357	5	3.4	35
Dallan Hayden	70	326	1	4.7	42
Simeon Price (Tr)	21	144	2	6.9	38

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omarion Miller	44	807	8	18.3	70
Joseph Williams (Tr)	37	489	4	13.2	47
Sincere Brown (Tr)	22	376	2	17.1	71
Drelon Miller	21	159	1	7.6	32

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Robert Livingston (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tawfiq Byard (Tr)	78	8	1	1	4
Jeremiah Brown	69	8	2	0	0
Preston Hodge	52	3	0	1	13
Keaten Wade	47	9	3	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keaten Wade	47	9	3	5	1
Arden Walker	42	5	3	5	1
Jeremiah Brown	69	8	2	0	0
Brandon Davis-Swain	15	3	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Preston Hodge	52	3	1	13
Dylahn McKinney	34	1	0	5
Ivan Yates	16	0	0	5