Arizona at Colorado - 2025 Matchup Preview
Arizona logo Arizona Wildcats at Colorado BuffaloesColorado logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Arizona -4 (52.5) (-185)  Open: -4.5
Arizona 52 - Colorado: 17  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (9 - 3) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 33 - 19 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#30)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
ARIZ coming off BYE
Our Line: Arizona -16  (SP+ ARIZ -21.5)

Projected Score: ARIZ: 34 - COLO: 18 (52)
ARIZ Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ARIZ Travel: 624 miles
Buffaloes (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (13 - 11)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (24 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
Arizona's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arizona vs Hawai'i-13.555.5W 40 - 6UY
Sat 9/6 Arizona vs Weber State-31.556.5W 48 - 3UY
Fri 9/12 Arizona vs Kansas State+1.555.5W 23 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Arizona at Iowa State+4.048.5L 14 - 39ON
Sat 10/4 Arizona vs Oklahoma State-21.556.5W 41 - 13UY
Sat 10/11 Arizona vs BYU+2.546.5L 27 - 33ON
Sat 10/18 Arizona at Houston-1.547.5L 28 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Arizona at Colorado-4.052.5W 52 - 17OY
Sat 11/8 Arizona vs Kansas-5.556.5W 24 - 20UN
Sat 11/15 Arizona at Cincinnati+6.556.5W 30 - 24UY
Sat 11/22 Arizona vs Baylor-6.561.5W 41 - 17UY
Fri 11/28 Arizona at Arizona State-2.048.5W 23 - 7UY
Fri 1/2 Arizona vs SMU+1.052.0

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Colorado's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Colorado vs Georgia Tech+4.055.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 9/6 Colorado vs Delaware-23.549.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 9/12 Colorado at Houston+4.045.5L 20 - 36ON
Sat 9/20 Colorado vs Wyoming-12.545.5W 37 - 20OY
Sat 9/27 Colorado vs BYU+6.548.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/4 Colorado at TCU+13.557.5L 21 - 35UN
Sat 10/11 Colorado vs Iowa State+3.052.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Colorado at Utah+14.550.5L 7 - 53ON
Sat 11/1 Colorado vs Arizona+4.052.5L 17 - 52ON
Sat 11/8 Colorado at West Virginia+6.551.5L 22 - 29UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Colorado vs Arizona State+7.047.5L 17 - 42ON
Sat 11/29 Colorado at Kansas State+16.550.5L 14 - 24UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ#49 (.2)43% (63)32.642% (92)3.05 (49)15143% (51)2543.57 (81)#34 (.09)38% (26)18.945% (96)33% (6)3.38 (46)51.612.3
COLO#100 (.12)35% (131)20.935% (131)2.68 (115)12735% (122)2033.48 (92)#106 (.21)43% (87)30.544% (87)43% (79)4.01 (102)49.91.41.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)37% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)45% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2
COLO#35 (.24)44% (48)44% (73)2.76 (110)6645% (34)3024.34 (28)#22 (.09)38% (30)40% (43)36% (17)3.3 (21)62.80.91.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Offense1232.629.442.5%3.571224051512544.346%54%42%43%15%.2
COLO Defense1230.52743%4.011.3 - - - - - 60%39%44%43%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Defense1218.923.638.2%3.382.3 - - - - - 52%46%45%33%21%.09
COLO Offense1220.923.935.2%3.481.4173291272033.649%50%35%35%20%.12

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona1230:452240%67%5.651.612.36.51.8234.2
Colorado1228:4917.338%33%5.749.91.41.351.2028.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense1246% (100)42% (92)35.3150.84.320 (88).13 (61)3.05 (49)76% (46)9% (64)1.05 (34)
COLO Defense1260% (133)44% (87) - - - - .11 (72)2.97 (82)67% (37)9% (78)1.02 (94)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense1252% (92)45% (96) - - - - .11 (73)2.85 (61)72% (75)11% (20)0.92 (45)
COLO Offense1249% (74)35% (131)35.3126.73.615 (70).05 (103)2.68 (115)67% (96)14% (134)1.08 (28)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense1254% (29)43% (51)21.133.7254.47.612.126 (14)7 (88).26 (63)1.5 (90)31% (64)31% (67).41 (30)6% (59)2.1 (40)
COLO Defense1239% (4)43% (79) - - - - - - 6 (100).41 (126)1.8 (132)31% (77)29% (71).32 (77)6% (73)2.2 (113)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense1246% (35)33% (6) - - - - - - 19 (12).14 (27)1.6 (107)33% (42)24% (13).18 (25)9% (2)2.1 (89)
COLO Offense1250% (59)35% (122)17.529.7202.86.811.617 (50)11 (88).22 (85)1.8 (9)38% (136)30% (71).32 (63)6% (73)2.1 (26)

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 4.09  #55
Arizona's Offense Rating: 10.86  #58
Arizona's Defense Rating: 6.77  #57
2025 Talent Rating: 704.00  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #65
Arizona's 2025 Expected Record: 9.3 - 3.7
Arizona's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.9  #25
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #26
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.6  #24

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 4.09   Colorado: -6.925

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 13.9   Colorado: -7.5




Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -6.925  #115
Colorado's Offense Rating: 4.16  #99
Colorado's Defense Rating: 15.51  #113
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 21  #25
Colorado's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Colorado's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5  #95
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #102
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #87

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arizona Scoring
Offense: 32.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Arizona's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona 34
Colorado 18


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Colorado 26
Arizona 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Arizona 30
Colorado 22

Total Points: 52
Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Colorado's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Colorado17Arizona52Arizona -4Arizona52.5Over
202410/19Arizona7Colorado34Arizona -2.5Colorado57.5Under
202311/11Colorado31Arizona34Arizona -6Colorado55.5Over
202210/01Arizona43Colorado20Arizona -17.5Arizona57.5Over
202110/16Colorado34Arizona0Colorado -6.0Colorado46.5Under
202012/05Arizona13Colorado24Colorado -9.5Colorado57.0Under
201910/05Colorado30Arizona35Colorado -2.5Arizona63.5Over
201811/02Arizona42Colorado34Arizona -3Arizona57.0Over
201710/07Colorado42Arizona45Colorado -7Arizona58.5Over
201611/12Arizona24Colorado49Colorado -16.5Colorado61.0Over
201510/17Colorado31Arizona38Arizona -7NA67.5Over
201411/08Arizona38Colorado20Arizona -15.5Arizona0
201310/26Colorado20Arizona44Arizona -16.5Arizona0
201211/10Arizona56Colorado31
201111/12Colorado48Arizona29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado558 Overs
Arizona1073 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 95 - 74 - 31 - 4
Road Teams9 - 67 - 54 - 13 - 4

(#55) ARIZ at (#115) COLO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARIZCOLO
Power RatePwr #55 #115
SP+SP+ #25 #95
Perf GradeGrade #37 #122
OffenseOff #59 #116
DefenseDef #18 #118
Spec TeamsST #95 #56
TalentTal #73 #66
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #25
Arizona Notes
(11/29) 5-0 run to finish 9-3. Incredible season by Brennan
(11/23) Brennan was almost fired last year. Now 8-3 & rolling
(11/22) Killed Baylor for 4 straight wins. Great season
(10/18) 2 straight hard L's vs BYU/Hou. Def awful in B12 play
(9/26) Off based on Expl or bust, Success #'s bad
(9/26) Def #'s incredible, but haven't faced good Off yet
(9/13) Def great, Run Off mauled K St. Huge W
(9/13) Fifita looks reborn, balling out, good decisions
(7/30) WR Hunter back, 4 portals. Better talent/depth
(5/11) 64% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(3/22) Added 16 players that started LY via portal
(3/22) RB adds Mahdi (Tx St), 3 total portals
Arizona Injury Report
Colorado Notes
(12/5) Hired Brennan Marion (Sac St HC) as OC
(12/5) OC Marion runs Go-Go Off, was UNLV OC '23-'24
(11/26) QB1 Fr Lewis will sit vs K St, preserve redshirt
(11/23) 1-6 run after ASU blowout. Future of this program?
(11/5) QB1 now Fr J. Lewis vs WVU. 24-105 last 2 games
(11/5) Brett Bartolone (TE coach) now calling plays
(10/26) Down 43-0 at half vs Utah. Had -18 yards!
(9/18) QB1 back to Salter, Staub bad. Fr Lewis next?
(9/13) Staub not good vs Hou, no run Off, bad Def
(9/9) QB Ryan Saub starting vs Houston
(9/8) QB shuffle, #3 Staub played best vs Del
(8/29) Prime's clock management is an abomination
Colorado Injury Report
Arizona on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffCOLO Def
Perf GradePerf #59 #118
SuccessSuc #63 #87
ExplosiveExp #40 #111
PPAPPA #49 #106
PowerPwr #58 #113
SP+SP+ #26 #87
Pts POPPO #81 #102
HavocHav #59 #79
Arizona Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffCOLO Def
Run GameRun #76 #98
Run SuccessRSuc #92 #87
Run ExplRExp #34 #94
PPAExp #61 #72
Run BlockR Blk #63 -
OL YdsOLY #49 #82
Stuff RateStuff #70 #57
TackleTak -  #102
Arizona Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffCOLO Def
Pass GamePass #31 #133
Pass SuccessPSuc #51 #79
Pass ExplPExl #90 #132
PPAExp #63 #126
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #42 #69
F7 HavocF7 #64 #78
DB HavocDB #59 #73
Colorado on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatCOLO OffARIZ Def
Perf GradePerf #116 #18
SuccessSuc #131 #26
ExplosiveExp #4 #42
PPAPPA #100 #34
PowerPwr #99 #57
SP+SP+ #102 #24
Pts POPPO #92 #46
HavocHav #129 #5
Colorado Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
COLO OffARIZ Def
Run GameRun #130 #43
Run SuccessRSuc #131 #96
Run ExplRExp #28 #45
PPAExp #103 #73
Run BlockR Blk #87 -
OL YdsOLY #115 #61
Stuff RateStuff #114 #72
TackleTak -  #45
Colorado Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatCOLO OffARIZ Def
Pass GamePass #117 #3
Pass SuccessPSuc #122 #6
Pass ExplPExl #9 #107
PPAExp #85 #27
Pass Block/RushP Blk #25 #122
F7 HavocF7 #134 #20
DB HavocDB #73 #2
Program Comparison
COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 62°
Rematch from Week 10
Arizona 4.0 (52.5)
Arizona won at Colorado this year (52-17)

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat Arizona last year (34-7)
Arizona beat Colorado in 2023 (34-31)
Arizona beat Colorado in 2022 (43-20)

  
ARIZ's OC Seth Doege (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Fifita24738664%29632657.7
Braedyn Locke (Tr)51533%68014.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ismail Mahdi (Tr)12278546.468
Kedrick Reescano8339494.750
Quincy Craig (Tr)5533526.154
Noah Fifita10214931.519
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kris Hutson (Tr)57740413.040
Javin Whatley (Tr)38443411.785
Tre Spivey (Tr)21359617.170
Chris Hunter25351214.035

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Danny Gonzales (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalton Johnson972107
Taye Brown849231
Genesis Smith773018
Max Harris (Tr)754051
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chase Kennedy398460
Riley Wilson (Tr)497344
Deshawn McKnight (Tr)2611220
Taye Brown849231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Genesis Smith773018
Ayden Garnes (Tr)341028
Michael Dansby (Tr)171008

COLO's OC Pat Shurmur (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter (Tr)12720462%14141076.9
Julian Lewis529455%589406.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Welch9638444.044
Kaidon Salter (Tr)10435753.435
Dallan Hayden7032614.742
Simeon Price (Tr)2114426.938
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Miller44807818.370
Joseph Williams (Tr)37489413.247
Sincere Brown (Tr)22376217.171
Drelon Miller2115917.632

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Robert Livingston (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tawfiq Byard (Tr)788114
Jeremiah Brown698200
Preston Hodge5230113
Keaten Wade479351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keaten Wade479351
Arden Walker425351
Jeremiah Brown698200
Brandon Davis-Swain153231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Preston Hodge5230113
Dylahn McKinney341005
Ivan Yates160005