Colorado at Kansas State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Colorado logo Colorado Buffaloes at Kansas State WildcatsKansas State logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 PM EST)
Kansas State -16.5 (50.5) (-1000)  Open: -17.5 | 51.5
Kansas State 24 - Colorado: 14  (Big 12)

 
Buffaloes (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (13 - 11)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (17 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Kansas State -19  (SP+ KSU -14)
Projected Score: COLO: 17 - KSU: 36 (53)
KSU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
COLO Travel: 465 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (6 - 6) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (47 - 28)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (30 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#82)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Colorado's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Colorado vs Georgia Tech+4.055.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 9/6 Colorado vs Delaware-23.549.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 9/12 Colorado at Houston+4.045.5L 20 - 36ON
Sat 9/20 Colorado vs Wyoming-12.545.5W 37 - 20OY
Sat 9/27 Colorado vs BYU+6.548.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/4 Colorado at TCU+13.557.5L 21 - 35UN
Sat 10/11 Colorado vs Iowa State+3.052.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Colorado at Utah+14.550.5L 7 - 53ON
Sat 11/1 Colorado vs Arizona+4.052.5L 17 - 52ON
Sat 11/8 Colorado at West Virginia+6.551.5L 22 - 29UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Colorado vs Arizona State+7.047.5L 17 - 42ON
Sat 11/29 Colorado at Kansas State+16.550.5L 14 - 24UY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
Kansas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Kansas State vs Iowa State-2.551.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 8/30 Kansas State vs North Dakota-27.555.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 9/6 Kansas State vs Army-17.048.5L 21 - 24UN
Fri 9/12 Kansas State at Arizona-1.555.5L 17 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Kansas State vs UCF-5.548.5W 34 - 20OY
Sat 10/4 Kansas State at Baylor+4.559.5L 34 - 35OY
Sat 10/11 Kansas State vs TCU+3.054.5W 41 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Kansas State at Kansas+3.555.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 11/1 Kansas State vs Texas Tech+7.551.5L 20 - 43ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Kansas State at Oklahoma State-19.550.5W 14 - 6UN
Sat 11/22 Kansas State at Utah+18.552.5L 47 - 51OY
Sat 11/29 Kansas State vs Colorado-16.550.5W 24 - 14UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO#100 (.12)35% (131)20.935% (131)2.68 (115)12735% (122)2033.48 (92)#106 (.21)43% (87)30.544% (87)43% (79)4.01 (102)49.91.41.3
KSU#46 (.2)41% (92)29.441% (94)2.82 (96)17241% (82)1984.15 (33)#57 (.13)39% (44)26.741% (61)38% (35)3.45 (52)38.31.32.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO#35 (.24)44% (48)44% (73)2.76 (110)6645% (34)3024.34 (28)#22 (.09)38% (30)40% (43)36% (17)3.3 (21)62.80.91.8
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)46% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)34% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Offense1220.916.835.2%3.481.4173291272033.649%50%35%35%20%.12
KSU Defense1226.727.339.5%3.452.2 - - - - - 52%47%41%38%17%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Defense1230.535.443%4.011.3 - - - - - 60%39%44%43%15%.21
KSU Offense1229.429.740.8%4.151.3173711721985.251%47%41%41%18%.2

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado1228:4917.338%33%5.749.91.41.351.2028.7
Kansas State1229:0017.237%56%4.138.31.32.262.3230.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Offense1249% (74)35% (131)35.3126.73.615 (70).05 (103)2.68 (115)67% (96)14% (134)1.08 (28)
KSU Defense1252% (94)41% (61) - - - - .12 (79)2.73 (38)70% (55)10% (49)1.12 (127)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Defense1260% (133)44% (87) - - - - .11 (72)2.97 (82)67% (37)9% (78)1.02 (94)
KSU Offense1251% (51)41% (94)33.2172.35.223 (88).18 (41)2.82 (96)67% (101)11% (115)1.2 (3)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Offense1250% (59)35% (122)17.529.7202.86.811.617 (50)11 (88).22 (85)1.8 (9)38% (136)30% (71).32 (63)6% (73)2.1 (26)
KSU Defense1247% (53)38% (35) - - - - - - 13 (38).15 (31)1.6 (87)33% (38)28% (52).24 (51)7% (37)2.1 (96)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Defense1239% (4)43% (79) - - - - - - 6 (100).41 (126)1.8 (132)31% (77)29% (71).32 (77)6% (73)2.2 (113)
KSU Offense1247% (86)41% (82)1728.5198.3711.718 (42)7 (20).25 (66)1.6 (39)34% (120)31% (66).28 (79)7% (91)1.8 (118)

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -11.35  #115
Colorado's Offense Rating: 4.16  #99
Colorado's Defense Rating: 15.51  #113
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 21%  #25
Colorado's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Colorado's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5  #95
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #102
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #87

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -11.35   Kansas State: 9.795

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -7.5   Kansas State: 6.5




Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 9.795  #49
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 11.85  #52
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 3.76  #39
2025 Talent Rating: 830.00  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #56
Kansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0
Kansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5  #47
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #45
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3  #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Colorado's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas State 36
Colorado 17


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Kansas State 34
Colorado 26

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Kansas State 31
Colorado 23

Total Points: 54
Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Kansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Kansas State24Colorado14Kansas State -16.5Colorado50.5Under
202410/12Colorado28Kansas State31Kansas State -3.5Colorado54.5Over
201011/20Colorado44Kansas State36
200910/24Kansas State20Colorado6
200810/18Colorado14Kansas State13
200710/13Kansas State47Colorado20
200611/04Colorado21Kansas State34
200510/29Kansas State20Colorado23
200411/13Colorado38Kansas State31
200310/18Kansas State49Colorado20
200210/05Colorado35Kansas State31
200110/06Kansas State6Colorado16
200009/29Colorado21Kansas State44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas State701 Overs
Colorado621 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 51 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams5 - 81 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#115) COLO at (#49) KSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCOLOKSU
Power RatePwr #115 #49
SP+SP+ #95 #47
Perf GradeGrade #122 #67
OffenseOff #116 #67
DefenseDef #118 #84
Spec TeamsST #56 #14
TalentTal #66 #46
Blue ChipsBC% #25 #56
Colorado Notes
(12/5) Hired Brennan Marion (Sac St HC) as OC
(12/5) OC Marion runs Go-Go Off, was UNLV OC '23-'24
(11/26) QB1 Fr Lewis will sit vs K St, preserve redshirt
(11/23) 1-6 run after ASU blowout. Future of this program?
(11/5) QB1 now Fr J. Lewis vs WVU. 24-105 last 2 games
(11/5) Brett Bartolone (TE coach) now calling plays
(10/26) Down 43-0 at half vs Utah. Had -18 yards!
(9/18) QB1 back to Salter, Staub bad. Fr Lewis next?
(9/13) Staub not good vs Hou, no run Off, bad Def
(9/9) QB Ryan Saub starting vs Houston
(9/8) QB shuffle, #3 Staub played best vs Del
(8/29) Prime's clock management is an abomination
Colorado Injury Report
Kansas State Notes
(12/11) OC Matt Wells was a disaster hire for K St
(12/3) HC Klieman retiring. A&M OC Colin Klen new HC
(11/24) RB Joe Jackson torched Utah for 293 yds, still lost
(10/22) RB Dylan Edwards out again vs Kansas, shocker...
(10/12) Off mat W over TCU, forced 3 TOs. Still not good
(10/5) Blew 14 pt 4Q lead @ Baylor. Season turner/ender?
(10/4) QB2 Blake Barnett is clearly not ready
(9/13) Broken team, QB Johnson unplayable, Off awful
(9/13) Offense is terrible, can't run, throw, block
(9/10) OT George Fitzpatrick out until mid Oct
(7/30) S Maldonado (Az, inj LY) was captain, big add
(6/6) LB unit ranked top 10 via PFF, have depth
Kansas State Injury Report
Colorado on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
COLO OffKSU Def
Perf GradePerf #116 #84
SuccessSuc #131 #44
ExplosiveExp #4 #113
PPAPPA #100 #57
PowerPwr #99 #39
SP+SP+ #102 #58
Pts POPPO #92 #52
HavocHav #129 #48
Colorado Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
COLO OffKSU Def
Run GameRun #130 #67
Run SuccessRSuc #131 #61
Run ExplRExp #28 #127
PPAExp #103 #79
Run BlockR Blk #87 -
OL YdsOLY #115 #38
Stuff RateStuff #114 #56
TackleTak -  #103
Colorado Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
COLO OffKSU Def
Pass GamePass #117 #76
Pass SuccessPSuc #122 #35
Pass ExplPExl #9 #87
PPAExp #85 #31
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #25 #100
F7 HavocF7 #134 #49
DB HavocDB #73 #37
Kansas State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatKSU OffCOLO Def
Perf GradePerf #67 #118
SuccessSuc #92 #87
ExplosiveExp #8 #111
PPAPPA #46 #106
PowerPwr #52 #113
SP+SP+ #45 #87
Pts POPPO #33 #102
HavocHav #109 #79
Kansas State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KSU OffCOLO Def
Run GameRun #102 #98
Run SuccessRSuc #94 #87
Run ExplRExp #3 #94
PPAExp #41 #72
Run BlockR Blk #27 -
OL YdsOLY #96 #82
Stuff RateStuff #118 #57
TackleTak -  #102
Kansas State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatKSU OffCOLO Def
Pass GamePass #62 #133
Pass SuccessPSuc #82 #79
Pass ExplPExl #39 #132
PPAExp #66 #126
Pass Block/RushP Blk #62 #69
F7 HavocF7 #115 #78
DB HavocDB #91 #73
Program Comparison
KSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 30° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 14
Kansas State -16.5 (50.5)
Kansas State won vs Colorado this year (24-14)

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat Colorado last year (31-28)

  
COLO's OC Pat Shurmur (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter (Tr)12720462%14141076.9
Julian Lewis529455%589406.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Welch9638444.044
Kaidon Salter (Tr)10435753.435
Dallan Hayden7032614.742
Simeon Price (Tr)2114426.938
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Miller44807818.370
Joseph Williams (Tr)37489413.247
Sincere Brown (Tr)22376217.171
Drelon Miller2115917.632

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Robert Livingston (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tawfiq Byard (Tr)788114
Jeremiah Brown698200
Preston Hodge5230113
Keaten Wade479351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keaten Wade479351
Arden Walker425351
Jeremiah Brown698200
Brandon Davis-Swain153231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Preston Hodge5230113
Dylahn McKinney341005
Ivan Yates160005

KSU's OC Matt Wells (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Avery Johnson20434160%23801867.0
Linkon Cure010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joe Jackson16991185.480
Avery Johnson10947784.458
Dylan Edwards3420526.075
Antonio Martin1912916.837
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayce Brown41712517.478
Jaron Tibbs (Tr)47595312.738
Garrett Oakley38389610.235
Jerand Bradley (Tr)13184214.265

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desmond Purnell729464
Austin Romaine667172
VJ Payne593003
Zashon Rich5731010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cody Stufflebean225550
Ryan Davis146414
Tobi Osunsanmi206420
Desmond Purnell729464
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zashon Rich5731010
Desmond Purnell729464
Donovan McIntosh330004