BYU at Colorado - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 27th 2025 (10:15 PM EDT)
BYU -6.5 (48.5) (-250) Open: -4.0
BYU 24 - Colorado: 21 (Big 12)

Cougars (12 - 2) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (71 - 43)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.7 - 2.3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)

BYU 2nd straight Road Game
COLO 2nd straight Home Game
COLO is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: BYU -25.5 (SP+ BYU -25.5)
Projected Score: BYU: 37 - COLO: 12 (49)
BYU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
BYU Travel: 338 miles

Buffaloes (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (13 - 11)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (24 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BYU Players
COLO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

BYU's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	BYU vs Portland State	-43.5	61.5	W 69 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/6	BYU vs Stanford	-20.5	44.5	W 27 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	BYU at East Carolina	-6.5	49.5	W 34 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/27	BYU at Colorado	-6.5	48.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Fri 10/3	BYU vs West Virginia	-19.5	46.5	W 38 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/11	BYU at Arizona	-2.5	46.5	W 33 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/18	BYU vs Utah	+4.0	49.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/25	BYU at Iowa State	+2.5	48.5	W 41 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	BYU at Texas Tech	+13.5	50.5	L 7 - 29	U	N
Sat 11/15	BYU vs TCU	-3.0	51.5	W 44 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/22	BYU at Cincinnati	-2.5	56.5	W 26 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/29	BYU vs UCF	-17.5	46.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/6	BYU vs Texas Tech	+12.5	50.5	L 7 - 34	U	N
Sat 12/27	BYU vs Georgia Tech	-3.5	55.0	W 25 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for BYU's Schedule

Colorado's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Colorado vs Georgia Tech	+4.0	55.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/6	Colorado vs Delaware	-23.5	49.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Fri 9/12	Colorado at Houston	+4.0	45.5	L 20 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/20	Colorado vs Wyoming	-12.5	45.5	W 37 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Colorado vs BYU	+6.5	48.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Colorado at TCU	+13.5	57.5	L 21 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/11	Colorado vs Iowa State	+3.0	52.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	Colorado at Utah	+14.5	50.5	L 7 - 53	O	N
Sat 11/1	Colorado vs Arizona	+4.0	52.5	L 17 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/8	Colorado at West Virginia	+6.5	51.5	L 22 - 29	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Colorado vs Arizona State	+7.0	47.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/29	Colorado at Kansas State	+16.5	50.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BYU	#36 (.22)	46% (33)	31.4	47% (33)	3 (56)	172	44% (48)	198	4.03 (39)	#31 (.09)	39% (38)	19.1	39% (30)	41% (61)	3.29 (37)	41.9	1	1.6
COLO	#100 (.12)	35% (131)	20.9	35% (131)	2.68 (115)	127	35% (122)	203	3.48 (92)	#106 (.21)	43% (87)	30.5	44% (87)	43% (79)	4.01 (102)	49.9	1.4	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BYU	#51 (.22)	45% (44)		47% (30)	3.23 (37)	148	43% (59)	216	3.73 (88)	#41 (.13)	41% (65)		46% (99)	37% (28)	3.79 (68)	37	1.4	2.1
COLO	#35 (.24)	44% (48)		44% (73)	2.76 (110)	66	45% (34)	302	4.34 (28)	#22 (.09)	38% (30)		40% (43)	36% (17)	3.3 (21)	62.8	0.9	1.8

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BYU Offense	14	31.4	27.5	45.5%	4.03	1	20	370	172	198	4.8	53%	45%	47%	44%	14%	.22
COLO Defense	12	30.5	27	43%	4.01	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	44%	43%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BYU Defense	14	19.1	21.8	39.1%	3.29	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	39%	41%	16%	.09
COLO Offense	12	20.9	23.9	35.2%	3.48	1.4	17	329	127	203	3.6	49%	50%	35%	35%	20%	.12

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
BYU	14	30:28	20	41%	60%	5.1	41.9	1	1.6	5.1	2.1	4	28.8
Colorado	12	28:49	17.3	38%	33%	5.7	49.9	1.4	1.3	5	1.2	0	28.7

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BYU Offense	14	53% (37)	47% (33)	36	172	4.8	31 (16)	.2 (30)	3 (56)	82% (7)	8% (27)	0.95 (77)
COLO Defense	12	60% (133)	44% (87)	-	-	-	-	.11 (72)	2.97 (82)	67% (37)	9% (78)	1.02 (94)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BYU Defense	14	47% (35)	39% (30)	-	-	-	-	.05 (39)	2.76 (49)	75% (98)	10% (68)	0.97 (71)
COLO Offense	12	49% (74)	35% (131)	35.3	126.7	3.6	15 (70)	.05 (103)	2.68 (115)	67% (96)	14% (134)	1.08 (28)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BYU Offense	14	45% (101)	44% (48)	16.4	26	197.9	7.6	12.1	14 (86)	6 (20)	.28 (53)	1.5 (93)	30% (42)	30% (76)	.34 (54)	6% (68)	2.1 (47)
COLO Defense	12	39% (4)	43% (79)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (100)	.41 (126)	1.8 (132)	31% (77)	29% (71)	.32 (77)	6% (73)	2.2 (113)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BYU Defense	14	52% (104)	41% (61)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (12)	.18 (41)	1.5 (25)	34% (35)	26% (22)	.15 (14)	6% (54)	1.9 (24)
COLO Offense	12	50% (59)	35% (122)	17.5	29.7	202.8	6.8	11.6	17 (50)	11 (88)	.22 (85)	1.8 (9)	38% (136)	30% (71)	.32 (63)	6% (73)	2.1 (26)

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 18.53 #21
BYU's Offense Rating: 14.49 #43
BYU's Defense Rating: -4.04 #19
2025 Talent Rating: 686.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
BYU's 2025 Expected Record: 11.7 - 2.3
BYU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.2 #14
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #20
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #20

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU: 18.53 Colorado: -6.925

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: 18.2 Colorado: -7.5

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -6.925 #115
Colorado's Offense Rating: 4.16 #99
Colorado's Defense Rating: 15.51 #113
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #25
Colorado's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Colorado's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #95
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #102
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #87

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 19.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

BYU's 2025 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
BYU 37
Colorado 12

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
BYU 28
Colorado 20

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
BYU 29
Colorado 21

Total Points: 50

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Colorado's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Colorado	21	BYU	24	BYU -6.5	Colorado	48.5	Under
2024	12/28	Colorado	14	BYU	36	Colorado -3	BYU	55.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado	0	1	0 Overs
BYU	2	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 0	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

(#21) BYU at (#115) COLO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BYU	COLO
Power RatePwr	#21	#115
SP+SP+	#14	#95
Perf GradeGrade	#20	#122
OffenseOff	#24	#116
DefenseDef	#47	#118
Spec TeamsST	#4	#56
TalentTal	#79	#66
Blue ChipsBC%	#56	#25

BYU Notes(11/16) Have taken advantage of bad B12 mids. Def good
(8/16) QB1 - Fr Bear Bachmeier looks like starter
(7/30) Def good LY, but lost 8 starters, most of DL
(6/29) QB Retzlaff left after legal trouble, honor code
(6/29) QB huge ? into fall camp, Hillstead early leader
(5/29) DL added 6 portals + 1 meh LB and 1 S
(5/29) WR serious hit with #2 Lassiter denied '25
(5/29) OL returns 3/5, need new T's. 2 portal add
(3/20) RB Martin returns, need #2/depth
(3/20) Sitake & staff incredible job in '24. Tough team
BYU Injury Report

Colorado Notes(12/5) Hired Brennan Marion (Sac St HC) as OC
(12/5) OC Marion runs Go-Go Off, was UNLV OC '23-'24
(11/26) QB1 Fr Lewis will sit vs K St, preserve redshirt
(11/23) 1-6 run after ASU blowout. Future of this program?
(11/5) QB1 now Fr J. Lewis vs WVU. 24-105 last 2 games
(11/5) Brett Bartolone (TE coach) now calling plays
(10/26) Down 43-0 at half vs Utah. Had -18 yards!
(9/18) QB1 back to Salter, Staub bad. Fr Lewis next?
(9/13) Staub not good vs Hou, no run Off, bad Def
(9/9) QB Ryan Saub starting vs Houston
(9/8) QB shuffle, #3 Staub played best vs Del
(8/29) Prime's clock management is an abomination
Colorado Injury Report

BYU on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	BYU Off	COLO Def
Perf GradePerf	#24	#118
SuccessSuc	#33	#87
ExplosiveExp	#107	#111
PPAPPA	#36	#106
PowerPwr	#43	#113
SP+SP+	#20	#87
Pts POPPO	#39	#102
HavocHav	#41	#79

BYU Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	BYU Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	#43	#98
Run SuccessRSuc	#33	#87
Run ExplRExp	#77	#94
PPAExp	#30	#72
Run BlockR Blk	#10	-
OL YdsOLY	#56	#82
Stuff RateStuff	#38	#57
TackleTak	-	#102

BYU Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	BYU Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	#39	#133
Pass SuccessPSuc	#48	#79
Pass ExplPExl	#93	#132
PPAExp	#53	#126
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#39	#69
F7 HavocF7	#27	#78
DB HavocDB	#68	#73

Colorado on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	BYU Def
Perf GradePerf	#116	#47
SuccessSuc	#131	#38
ExplosiveExp	#4	#54
PPAPPA	#100	#31
PowerPwr	#99	#19
SP+SP+	#102	#20
Pts POPPO	#92	#37
HavocHav	#129	#63

Colorado Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	BYU Def
Run GameRun	#130	#71
Run SuccessRSuc	#131	#30
Run ExplRExp	#28	#71
PPAExp	#103	#39
Run BlockR Blk	#87	-
OL YdsOLY	#115	#49
Stuff RateStuff	#114	#36
TackleTak	-	#99

Colorado Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	BYU Def
Pass GamePass	#117	#44
Pass SuccessPSuc	#122	#61
Pass ExplPExl	#9	#25
PPAExp	#85	#41
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#25	#74
F7 HavocF7	#134	#68
DB HavocDB	#73	#54

Program Comparison
COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

BYU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 64°

Rematch from Week 5
BYU 6.5 (48.5)
BYU won at Colorado this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Colorado last year (36-14)

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bear Bachmeier (Tr)	251	387	65%	3033	15	7	7.8
Parker Kingston	1	6	17%	22	0	0	3.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LJ Martin	236	1305	12	5.5	49
Bear Bachmeier (Tr)	147	527	11	3.6	22
Parker Kingston	26	123	3	4.7	20
Jovesa Damuni	19	111	1	5.8	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Parker Kingston	66	924	5	14.0	75
Chase Roberts	54	802	6	14.9	85
Carsen Ryan (Tr)	45	620	3	13.8	43
LJ Martin	36	255	0	7.1	26

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Jay Hill (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Faletau Satuala	79	8	1	1	4
Tanner Wall	64	1	0	0	0
Isaiah Glasker	63	9	3	9	1
Jack Kelly	52	14	10	7	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Kelly	52	14	10	7	1
Isaiah Glasker	63	9	3	9	1
Bodie Schoonover	33	5	3	3	3
Anisi Purcell (Tr)	11	2	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Evan Johnson	42	2	1	0	7
Logan Lutui	50	5	0	4	5
Therrian Alexander	31	3	1	2	5

COLO's OC Pat Shurmur (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kaidon Salter (Tr)	127	204	62%	1414	10	7	6.9
Julian Lewis	52	94	55%	589	4	0	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Micah Welch	96	384	4	4.0	44
Kaidon Salter (Tr)	104	357	5	3.4	35
Dallan Hayden	70	326	1	4.7	42
Simeon Price (Tr)	21	144	2	6.9	38

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omarion Miller	44	807	8	18.3	70
Joseph Williams (Tr)	37	489	4	13.2	47
Sincere Brown (Tr)	22	376	2	17.1	71
Drelon Miller	21	159	1	7.6	32

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Robert Livingston (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tawfiq Byard (Tr)	78	8	1	1	4
Jeremiah Brown	69	8	2	0	0
Preston Hodge	52	3	0	1	13
Keaten Wade	47	9	3	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keaten Wade	47	9	3	5	1
Arden Walker	42	5	3	5	1
Jeremiah Brown	69	8	2	0	0
Brandon Davis-Swain	15	3	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Preston Hodge	52	3	1	13
Dylahn McKinney	34	1	0	5
Ivan Yates	16	0	0	5