Northern Arizona at Arizona State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at Arizona State Sun Devils(#11)

Saturday, August 30th 2025 (10:00 PM EDT)
Arizona State -29.5 (52.5) (0) Open: -28.5 | 52.5
Arizona State 38 - Northern Arizona: 19

Lumberjacks (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 38 (19 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Arizona State -18 (SP+ ASU -9)
ASU Win prob: 99% | Cover: 51%

Sun Devils (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (36 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
NAU Players
ASU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northern Arizona's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Northern Arizona at Arizona State	+29.5	52.5	L 19 - 38	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Arizona's Schedule

Arizona State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Arizona State vs Northern Arizona	-29.5	52.5	W 38 - 19	O	N
Sat 9/6	Arizona State at Mississippi State	-6.0	58.5	L 20 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/13	Arizona State vs Texas State	-18.5	61.5	W 34 - 15	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Arizona State at Baylor	+2.5	60.5
Fri 9/26	Arizona State vs TCU	+0.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Arizona State at Utah	+8
Sat 10/18	Arizona State vs Texas Tech	+6
Sat 10/25	Arizona State vs Houston	-12.5
Sat 11/1	Arizona State at Iowa State	+2
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Arizona State vs West Virginia	-10.5
Sat 11/22	Arizona State at Colorado	-9
Sat 11/29	Arizona State vs Arizona	-8.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NAU		0%	19	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	38	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ASU	#43 (.3)	46% (54)	30.7	52% (29)	3.62 (19)	233	38% (99)	176	4.17 (61)	#52 (.08)	43% (90)	19.3	44% (96)	42% (81)	2.86 (46)	60.7	1	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NAU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ASU	#13 (.31)	50% (8)		52% (6)	3.35 (19)	187	47% (21)	208	4.14 (48)	#36 (.12)	42% (79)		41% (49)	44% (106)	3.64 (51)	50.1	0.6	1.4

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NAU Offense	1	19	19	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ASU Defense	3	19.3	17	42.7%	2.86	1	-	-	-	-	-	43%	57%	44%	42%	21%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NAU Defense	1	38	38	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ASU Offense	3	30.7	36	45.7%	4.17	1	22	409	233	176	6.1	54%	46%	52%	38%	15%	.3

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northern Arizona	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Arizona State	3	32:22	21.7	24%	67%	8.3	60.7	1	1	8	3.7	0	28.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NAU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
ASU Defense	3	43% (22)	44% (96)	-	-	-	-	.02 (55)	2.32 (29)	69% (63)	12% (38)	0.88 (55)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NAU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
ASU Offense	3	54% (49)	52% (29)	38	233	6.1	6 (49)	.37 (17)	3.62 (19)	71% (67)	8% (66)	1.21 (27)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NAU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ASU Defense	3	57% (116)	42% (81)	-	-	-	-	-	-	1 (87)	.15 (52)	1.4 (36)	32% (75)	28% (68)	.3 (76)	9% (20)	2.1 (91)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NAU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ASU Offense	3	46% (87)	38% (99)	16.7	29	175.7	6.1	10.5	5 (54)	3 (92)	.23 (80)	1.6 (62)	33% (98)	30% (77)	.33 (73)	6% (100)	2 (71)

Northern Arizona's Power Ratings
Northern Arizona's Power Rating: #NR
Northern Arizona's Offense Rating: #NR
Northern Arizona's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Northern Arizona's 2025 Expected Record: -
Northern Arizona's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Northern Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Northern Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Arizona: Arizona State: 17.91

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Arizona: Arizona State: 9.0

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 17.91 #27
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 22.18 #27
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 0.36 #29
2025 Talent Rating: 892.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Arizona State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Arizona State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0 #42
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #37

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Northern Arizona Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Northern Arizona's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona State 36
Northern Arizona 18

Total Points: 54

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Arizona State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/30	Arizona State	38	Northern Arizona	19	Arizona State	Arizona State -29.5	Northern Arizona	52.5	Over
2022	09/01	Arizona State	40	Northern Arizona	3	Arizona State	Arizona State -25.5	Arizona State	52.5	Under
2016	09/03	Arizona State	44	Northern Arizona	13	Arizona State	Arizona State -26	Arizona State	0
2012	08/30	Arizona State	63	Northern Arizona	6	Arizona State
2010	09/11	Arizona State	41	Northern Arizona	20	Arizona State
2008	08/30	Arizona State	30	Northern Arizona	13	Arizona State
2006	08/31	Arizona State	35	Northern Arizona	14	Arizona State
2003	09/06	Arizona State	34	Northern Arizona	14	Arizona State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona State	8	2	1 Overs
Northern Arizona	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 0	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 8	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2

(#NR) Northern Arizona Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Northern Arizona Highlights
Northern Arizona is Undefeated vs Spread

Northern Arizona Deficiencies
Northern Arizona has a really bad Offense
Northern Arizona Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	ASU	NAU
OverallOver	#52	—
OffenseOff	#54	—
DefenseDef	#66	—
Special TeamsST	#13	—
PassingPass	#80	—
RushingRush	#14	—
Run BlockRBLK	#51	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#17	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#81	—
TacklingTkl	#36	—
Run DefenseR Def	#57	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#56	—
Coverage DefCov	#68	—

Rematch from Week 1
Arizona State -29.5 (52.5)
Arizona State won vs Northern Arizona this year (38-19)

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Northern Arizona in 2022 (40-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NAU | ASU
Depth Chart: NAU | ASU
Rosters: NAU | ASU

(#27) Arizona State Info
Power Rating: 17.91 #27
Offense Rating: 22.18 #27
Defense Rating: 0.36 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #37
Talent Rating: 892.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 2.86 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Arizona State Notes
(6/15) Expecting improved pass rush, 2nd year DLC
(5/23) ASU was 6-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) Least exp'd B12 OL, almost no exp from portals
(5/2) TE Metayer a good reliable target, underrated
(3/20) RBs Udoh (Army) or K. Brown fill in for Skat?
(3/18) QB Leavitt a top QB in CFB, mobile. Depth?
(3/18) WRs Tyson a weapon, who's #2/depth?
(3/18) OL rebuilding with only 2/5 back
(3/18) Def returns a ton, improved a ton LY
(1/1) HC Dillingham new 5 yr deal, top tier B12 #'s

Arizona State Highlights
Arizona State is Undefeated at Home

Arizona State has Really Good Running Game (#15)
Arizona State has a top Offensive Line (#19)
Arizona State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Arizona State Defensive Line is very good (#29)
Arizona State Secondary is very good (#20)

Arizona State Deficiencies
Arizona State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Arizona State offense is bad on 3rd Downs

Northern Arizona's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ty Pennington	43	63	68%	433	2	1	6.9
Lathan Boone	4	7	57%	38	0	1	5.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Seth Cromwell	21	75	2	3.6	24
Ty Pennington	13	47	1	3.6	20
Darvon Hubbard	13	39	1	3.0	8
Kenveon Stone	3	35	1	11.7	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kolbe Katsis	9	158	1	17.6	49
Jayson Raines (Tr)	6	78	0	13.0	23
Joey Stout	8	60	0	7.5	17
Isaiah Eastman	2	48	0	24.0	28

View Northern Arizona's Full Roster

Northern Arizona's DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ramere Davis	9	1	1	1	0
Quinlan Popham	5	0	0	0	1
Travis Arena	4	1	1	0	0
Michael Hurst	4	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Ramere Davis	9	1	1	1
Travis Arena	4	1	1	0
Quentin Moten	1	0	0	0
Bobby Nivens	1	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jaylan Wesley	3	0	2
Michael Hurst	4	2	1
Canyon Moses	2	0	1

Arizona State's OC Marcus Arroyo

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Sam Leavitt	50	86	58%	527	5	3	6.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Raleek Brown	35	292	2	8.3	75
Sam Leavitt	27	157	3	5.8	52
Kanye Udoh (Tr)	32	138	1	4.3	21
Kyson Brown	9	84	0	9.3	34

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordyn Tyson	24	314	4	13.1	36
Chamon Metayer	7	80	1	11.4	27
Kyson Brown	6	72	0	12.0	22
Raleek Brown	7	34	0	4.9	11

View Arizona State's Full Roster

Arizona State's DC Brian Ward

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Crook	24	5	2	0	0
Keyshaun Elliott	20	3	2	2	0
Myles Rowser	19	1	0	0	1
Martell Hughes	14	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Clayton Smith	12	5	3	1	0
Jordan Crook	24	5	2	0	0
Keyshaun Elliott	20	3	2	2	0
Albert Smith III	2	1	1	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keith Abney	11	1	1	0	3
Montana Warren	12	1	0	1	3
Kyndrich Breedlove (Tr)	6	0	0	0	2