Northern Arizona at Arizona State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at Arizona State Sun Devils

Saturday, August 30th 2025 (10:00 PM EDT)
Arizona State -29.5 (52.5) (0) Open: -28.5 | 52.5
Arizona State 38 - Northern Arizona: 19

Lumberjacks (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 38 (19 - 38 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Arizona State -10.5 (SP+ ASU -4)
ASU Win prob: 99% | Cover: 51%

Sun Devils (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NAU Players
ASU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northern Arizona's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Northern Arizona at Arizona State	+29.5	52.5	L 19 - 38	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Arizona's Schedule

Arizona State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Arizona State vs Northern Arizona	-29.5	52.5	W 38 - 19	O	N
Sat 9/6	Arizona State at Mississippi State	-6.0	58.5	L 20 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/13	Arizona State vs Texas State	-18.5	61.5	W 34 - 15	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Arizona State at Baylor	+3.0	60.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Fri 9/26	Arizona State vs TCU	-2.5	54.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Arizona State at Utah	+9.5	44.5	L 10 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/18	Arizona State vs Texas Tech	+7.5	52.5	W 26 - 22	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Arizona State vs Houston	-7.0	46.5	L 16 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/1	Arizona State at Iowa State	+7.5	48.5	W 24 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Arizona State vs West Virginia	-10.0	46.5	W 25 - 23	O	N
Sat 11/22	Arizona State at Colorado	-7.0	47.5	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Fri 11/28	Arizona State vs Arizona	+2.0	48.5	L 7 - 23	U	N
Wed 12/31	Arizona State vs Duke	+4.0	49.5	L 39 - 42	O	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NAU		0%	19	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	38	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ASU	#13 (.31)	50% (8)	25.8	52% (6)	3.35 (19)	187	47% (21)	208	4.14 (48)	#36 (.12)	42% (79)	24.5	41% (49)	44% (106)	3.64 (51)	50.1	0.6	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NAU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ASU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NAU Offense	1	19	19	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ASU Defense	14	24.5	21.4	42.4%	3.64	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	41%	44%	16%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NAU Defense	1	38	38	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ASU Offense	14	25.8	24.7	49.8%	4.14	0.6	20	395	187	208	4.9	59%	41%	52%	47%	12%	.31

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northern Arizona	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Arizona State	14	29:54	20.4	47%	53%	6	50.1	0.6	1.4	4	1.3	3	28.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NAU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
ASU Defense	14	45% (14)	41% (49)	-	-	-	-	.04 (27)	2.97 (61)	63% (19)	8% (116)	1 (76)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NAU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
ASU Offense	14	59% (14)	52% (6)	38.1	187	4.9	28 (25)	.27 (12)	3.35 (19)	73% (76)	7% (18)	0.96 (71)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NAU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ASU Defense	14	54% (119)	44% (106)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (18)	.21 (57)	1.4 (18)	32% (65)	30% (68)	.14 (5)	8% (21)	1.9 (27)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NAU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ASU Offense	14	41% (120)	47% (21)	14.9	23.9	208.4	8.7	14	25 (31)	5 (6)	.39 (14)	1.6 (43)	27% (11)	38% (5)	.45 (21)	4% (16)	1.9 (115)

Northern Arizona's Power Ratings
Northern Arizona's Power Rating: NR
Northern Arizona's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Arizona's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northern Arizona's 2025 Expected Record: -
Northern Arizona's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Arizona: Arizona State: 10.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Arizona: Arizona State: 3.9

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 10.37 #34
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 13.54 #66
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 1.70 #15
2025 Talent Rating: 892.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Arizona State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 4.4
Arizona State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 #60
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #59
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #44

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Northern Arizona Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Northern Arizona's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona State 32
Northern Arizona 21

Projected Total Points: 53

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Arizona State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/30	Arizona State	38	Northern Arizona	19	Arizona State -29.5	Northern Arizona	52.5	Over
2022	09/01	Arizona State	40	Northern Arizona	3	Arizona State -25.5	Arizona State	52.5	Under
2016	09/03	Arizona State	44	Northern Arizona	13	Arizona State -26	Arizona State	0
2012	08/30	Arizona State	63	Northern Arizona	6
2010	09/11	Arizona State	41	Northern Arizona	20
2008	08/30	Arizona State	30	Northern Arizona	13
2006	08/31	Arizona State	35	Northern Arizona	14
2003	09/06	Arizona State	34	Northern Arizona	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona State	8	2	1 Overs
Northern Arizona	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 0	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 8	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2

(#) NAU at (#34) ASU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NAU	ASU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#34
SP+SP+	NR	#60
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#88
OffenseOff	NR	#93
DefenseDef	NR	#66
Spec TeamsST	NR	#109
TalentTal	NR	#27
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#49

Northern Arizona Injury Report

Arizona State Notes(11/29) Awful loss to Az to finish. No QB2 cost ASU's season
(11/6) Dillingham staying at ASU, out of coach searches
(10/31) QB Leavitt out for the season. QB2 Sims awful
(10/26) Awful L to Houston, Leavitt inj but came back
(10/22) Lead WR J Tyson out for Houston game
(10/15) RB Kyson Brown now out indefinitely (depth)
(9/27) Huge W over TCU, Run Off good, Leavitt good
(9/27) Outgained TCU 500-271, forced 3 TOs, won by GW FG?
(9/21) Big W @ Baylor, Run Def good, Leavitt great
(6/15) Expecting improved pass rush, 2nd year DLC
(5/23) ASU was 6-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) Least exp'd B12 OL, almost no exp from portals
Arizona State Injury Report

Northern Arizona on Offense


CategoryCat	NAU Off	ASU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#66
SuccessSuc	NR	#79
ExplosiveExp	NR	#55
PPAPPA	NR	#36
PowerPwr	NR	#15
SP+SP+	NR	#44
Pts POPPO	NR	#51
HavocHav	NR	#75

Northern Arizona Run Game


CategoryCat	NAU Off	ASU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#47
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#49
Run ExplRExp	NR	#76
PPAExp	NR	#27
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#61
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#47
TackleTak	-	#79

Northern Arizona Pass Game


CategoryCat	NAU Off	ASU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#36
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#106
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#18
PPAExp	NR	#57
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#133
F7 HavocF7	NR	#116
DB HavocDB	NR	#21

Arizona State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ASU Off	NAU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#93	NR
SuccessSuc	#8	NR
ExplosiveExp	#100	NR
PPAPPA	#13	NR
PowerPwr	#66	NR
SP+SP+	#59	NR
Pts POPPO	#48	NR
HavocHav	#11	NR

Arizona State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ASU Off	NAU Def
Run GameRun	#38	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#6	NR
Run ExplRExp	#71	NR
PPAExp	#12	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#113	-
OL YdsOLY	#19	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#30	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arizona State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ASU Off	NAU Def
Pass GamePass	#82	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#21	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#43	NR
PPAExp	#14	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#33	NR
F7 HavocF7	#18	NR
DB HavocDB	#16	NR

Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

NAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Arizona State -29.5 (52.5)
Arizona State won vs Northern Arizona this year (38-19)

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Northern Arizona last year (38-19)

NAU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ty Pennington	230	350	66%	2705	16	4	7.7
Lathan Boone	6	10	60%	49	0	1	4.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Seth Cromwell	138	559	7	4.1	25
Quran Gossett	69	340	7	4.9	29
Darvon Hubbard	45	206	3	4.6	28
Ty Pennington	80	192	1	2.4	45

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kolbe Katsis	54	881	8	16.3	75
Isaiah Eastman	35	444	1	12.7	47
Jayson Raines (Tr)	31	399	2	12.9	33
Jeter Purdy	27	368	1	13.6	33

View Northern Arizona's Full Roster

NAU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ramere Davis	9	1	1	1	0
Quinlan Popham	5	0	0	0	1
Michael Hurst	4	2	0	0	1
Travis Arena	4	1	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Ramere Davis	9	1	1	1
Travis Arena	4	1	1	0
Braden Kramer	1	0	0	0
Jerry Johnson III	1	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jaylan Wesley	3	0	2
Michael Hurst	4	2	1
Canyon Moses	2	0	1

ASU's OC Marcus Arroyo (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Sam Leavitt	145	239	61%	1628	10	3	6.8
Jeff Sims	105	188	56%	1261	10	6	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Raleek Brown	186	1141	4	6.1	88
Jeff Sims	100	522	5	5.2	88
Sam Leavitt	73	306	5	4.2	52
Kanye Udoh (Tr)	56	240	2	4.3	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordyn Tyson	61	711	8	11.7	57
Malik McClain	31	441	1	14.2	36
Chamon Metayer	38	375	4	9.9	27
Derek Eusebio	22	341	2	15.5	68

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Crook	101	8	2	2	2
Keyshaun Elliott	98	14	7	4	2
Myles Rowser	84	4	0	1	3
Adrian Wilson (Tr)	57	1	0	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keyshaun Elliott	98	14	7	4	2
Justin Wodtly	42	7	7	5	2
Elijah O'Neal	37	9	5	6	1
Prince Dorbah	18	8	4	7	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keith Abney	44	1	1	0	12
Javan Robinson	42	3	0	0	8
Montana Warren	40	2	0	2	8