Wyoming at Colorado - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 20th 2025 (10:15 PM EDT)
Colorado -12.5 (45.5) (-470) Open: -15.5
Colorado 37 - Wyoming: 20

Cowboys (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (11 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)

COLO is playing their 4th straight game
WYO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Wyoming -0.5 (SP+ COLO -3)
Projected Score: WYO: 22 - COLO: 21 (43)
COLO Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
WYO Travel: 91 miles

Buffaloes (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (13 - 11)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (24 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 6) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
WYO Players
COLO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wyoming's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Wyoming at Akron	-8.5	49.5	W 10 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Wyoming vs Northern Iowa	-14.0	47.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Wyoming vs Utah	+24.5	47.5	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/20	Wyoming at Colorado	+12.5	45.5	L 20 - 37	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Wyoming vs UNLV	+4.5	50.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/11	Wyoming vs San José State	+1.5	50.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Wyoming at Air Force	+4.0	56.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Wyoming vs Colorado State	-5.5	46.5	W 28 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/1	Wyoming at San Diego State	+10.0	42.5	L 7 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Wyoming at Fresno State	+3.0	40.5	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/22	Wyoming vs Nevada	-6.0	39.5	L 7 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/29	Wyoming at Hawai'i	+8.5	45.0	L 7 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule

Colorado's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Colorado vs Georgia Tech	+4.0	55.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/6	Colorado vs Delaware	-23.5	49.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Fri 9/12	Colorado at Houston	+4.0	45.5	L 20 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/20	Colorado vs Wyoming	-12.5	45.5	W 37 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Colorado vs BYU	+6.5	48.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Colorado at TCU	+13.5	57.5	L 21 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/11	Colorado vs Iowa State	+3.0	52.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	Colorado at Utah	+14.5	50.5	L 7 - 53	O	N
Sat 11/1	Colorado vs Arizona	+4.0	52.5	L 17 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/8	Colorado at West Virginia	+6.5	51.5	L 22 - 29	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Colorado vs Arizona State	+7.0	47.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/29	Colorado at Kansas State	+16.5	50.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 7, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WYO	#122 (.05)	38% (116)	16	38% (117)	2.74 (109)	132	39% (100)	183	2.9 (127)	#26 (.07)	38% (25)	20.5	40% (46)	37% (22)	2.77 (12)	56.3	1.5	1.3
COLO	#100 (.12)	35% (131)	20.9	35% (131)	2.68 (115)	127	35% (122)	203	3.48 (92)	#106 (.21)	43% (87)	30.5	44% (87)	43% (79)	4.01 (102)	49.9	1.4	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WYO	#127 (.05)	36% (126)		39% (111)	2.64 (122)	138	34% (125)	189	3.07 (126)	#102 (.23)	44% (96)		43% (70)	45% (113)	3.97 (86)	49.6	1.3	0.9
COLO	#35 (.24)	44% (48)		44% (73)	2.76 (110)	66	45% (34)	302	4.34 (28)	#22 (.09)	38% (30)		40% (43)	36% (17)	3.3 (21)	62.8	0.9	1.8

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WYO Offense	12	16	11.3	38.1%	2.9	1.5	18	315	132	183	4.1	47%	51%	38%	39%	19%	.05
COLO Defense	12	30.5	27	43%	4.01	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	44%	43%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WYO Defense	12	20.5	22.7	38%	2.77	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	40%	37%	13%	.07
COLO Offense	12	20.9	23.9	35.2%	3.48	1.4	17	329	127	203	3.6	49%	50%	35%	35%	20%	.12

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wyoming	12	28:31	17.7	34%	52%	6.6	56.3	1.5	1.3	4.4	1.3	3	25.5
Colorado	12	28:49	17.3	38%	33%	5.7	49.9	1.4	1.3	5	1.2	0	28.7

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WYO Offense	12	47% (94)	38% (117)	32.4	131.8	4.1	9 (107)	.02 (119)	2.74 (109)	56% (135)	10% (89)	0.96 (68)
COLO Defense	12	60% (133)	44% (87)	-	-	-	-	.11 (72)	2.97 (82)	67% (37)	9% (78)	1.02 (94)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WYO Defense	12	55% (120)	40% (46)	-	-	-	-	.09 (60)	3 (94)	74% (94)	8% (122)	0.93 (53)
COLO Offense	12	49% (74)	35% (131)	35.3	126.7	3.6	15 (70)	.05 (103)	2.68 (115)	67% (96)	14% (134)	1.08 (28)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WYO Offense	12	51% (50)	39% (100)	17.9	32	183	5.7	10.2	13 (86)	12 (108)	.12 (122)	1.4 (131)	35% (122)	25% (116)	.16 (118)	9% (132)	1.8 (123)
COLO Defense	12	39% (4)	43% (79)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (100)	.41 (126)	1.8 (132)	31% (77)	29% (71)	.32 (77)	6% (73)	2.2 (113)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WYO Defense	12	44% (17)	37% (22)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (75)	.13 (21)	1.6 (93)	34% (27)	27% (25)	.17 (22)	6% (87)	1.9 (43)
COLO Offense	12	50% (59)	35% (122)	17.5	29.7	202.8	6.8	11.6	17 (50)	11 (88)	.22 (85)	1.8 (9)	38% (136)	30% (71)	.32 (63)	6% (73)	2.1 (26)

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -2.63 #80
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 1.98 #115
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 4.61 #43
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Wyoming's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wyoming's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 #131
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -2.63 Colorado: -6.925

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -10.5 Colorado: -7.5

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -6.925 #115
Colorado's Offense Rating: 4.16 #99
Colorado's Defense Rating: 15.51 #113
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #25
Colorado's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Colorado's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #95
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #102
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #87

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.7

Wyoming's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Wyoming 22
Colorado 21

Total Points: 43

Based on Last 4 Games
Colorado 21
Wyoming 14

Total Points: 35

Based on Entire Season
Colorado 22
Wyoming 21

Total Points: 43

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Colorado's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/20	Colorado	37	Wyoming	20	Colorado -12.5	Colorado	45.5	Over
2009	09/19	Colorado	24	Wyoming	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado	2	1	1 Overs
Wyoming	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#80) WYO at (#115) COLO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WYO	COLO
Power RatePwr	#80	#115
SP+SP+	#107	#95
Perf GradeGrade	#117	#122
OffenseOff	#130	#116
DefenseDef	#52	#118
Spec TeamsST	#132	#56
TalentTal	#103	#66
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#25

Wyoming Notes(8/1) OL was awful LY, but 4/5 back. No portals?
(8/1) Def was awful, lost a ton, added 12 portals
(8/1) Back 7 of Def has almost no exp. Pass D awful
(5/2) QB K Anderson likely. JAG- so far, depth??
(5/2) RB Scott back, Kellman (Char) added. Meh
(5/2) WR Sargent electric, Durr back as well. C+
(5/2) HC Sawvel awful 1st year. Doesn't look better TY
(5/2) TE Gyllenborg a nice target w/ 55 career rec
Wyoming Injury Report

Colorado Notes(12/5) Hired Brennan Marion (Sac St HC) as OC
(12/5) OC Marion runs Go-Go Off, was UNLV OC '23-'24
(11/26) QB1 Fr Lewis will sit vs K St, preserve redshirt
(11/23) 1-6 run after ASU blowout. Future of this program?
(11/5) QB1 now Fr J. Lewis vs WVU. 24-105 last 2 games
(11/5) Brett Bartolone (TE coach) now calling plays
(10/26) Down 43-0 at half vs Utah. Had -18 yards!
(9/18) QB1 back to Salter, Staub bad. Fr Lewis next?
(9/13) Staub not good vs Hou, no run Off, bad Def
(9/9) QB Ryan Saub starting vs Houston
(9/8) QB shuffle, #3 Staub played best vs Del
(8/29) Prime's clock management is an abomination
Colorado Injury Report

Wyoming on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	COLO Def
Perf GradePerf	#130	#118
SuccessSuc	#116	#87
ExplosiveExp	#115	#111
PPAPPA	#122	#106
PowerPwr	#115	#113
SP+SP+	#131	#87
Pts POPPO	#127	#102
HavocHav	#124	#79

Wyoming Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	#98	#98
Run SuccessRSuc	#117	#87
Run ExplRExp	#68	#94
PPAExp	#119	#72
Run BlockR Blk	#58	-
OL YdsOLY	#109	#82
Stuff RateStuff	#115	#57
TackleTak	-	#102

Wyoming Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	#133	#133
Pass SuccessPSuc	#100	#79
Pass ExplPExl	#131	#132
PPAExp	#122	#126
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#101	#69
F7 HavocF7	#89	#78
DB HavocDB	#132	#73

Colorado on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	WYO Def
Perf GradePerf	#116	#52
SuccessSuc	#131	#25
ExplosiveExp	#4	#48
PPAPPA	#100	#26
PowerPwr	#99	#43
SP+SP+	#102	#55
Pts POPPO	#92	#12
HavocHav	#129	#119

Colorado Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	WYO Def
Run GameRun	#130	#55
Run SuccessRSuc	#131	#46
Run ExplRExp	#28	#53
PPAExp	#103	#60
Run BlockR Blk	#87	-
OL YdsOLY	#115	#94
Stuff RateStuff	#114	#105
TackleTak	-	#56

Colorado Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	WYO Def
Pass GamePass	#117	#45
Pass SuccessPSuc	#122	#22
Pass ExplPExl	#9	#93
PPAExp	#85	#21
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#25	#112
F7 HavocF7	#134	#122
DB HavocDB	#73	#87

Program Comparison
COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 78° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Colorado -12.5 (45.5)
Colorado won vs Wyoming this year (37-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

WYO's OC Jay Johnson (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kaden Anderson	189	336	56%	1971	12	10	5.9
Mason Drube	20	38	53%	187	0	1	4.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Samuel Harris	100	552	1	5.5	50
Sam Scott	89	408	2	4.6	37
Terron Kellman (Tr)	65	331	4	5.1	33
Landon Sims	15	97	1	6.5	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Durr Jr.	46	513	4	11.2	49
Jaylen Sargent	20	240	0	12.0	29
Michael Fitzgerald (Tr)	16	228	3	14.3	35
Johnmichael Gyllenborg	24	217	1	9.0	24

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Aaron Bohl (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brayden Johnson (Tr)	74	5	0	1	3
Evan Eller	62	7	2	2	1
Jones Thomas	46	1	0	0	4
Tyce Westland	43	8	2	4	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ben Florentine	33	6	4	1	3
Brayden Wilson (Tr)	22	4	2	1	0
Tyce Westland	43	8	2	4	2
Evan Eller	62	7	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Tyrese Boss	36	0	5
Dainsus Miller	25	3	5
Desman Hearns (Tr)	28	3	5

COLO's OC Pat Shurmur (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kaidon Salter (Tr)	127	204	62%	1414	10	7	6.9
Julian Lewis	52	94	55%	589	4	0	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Micah Welch	96	384	4	4.0	44
Kaidon Salter (Tr)	104	357	5	3.4	35
Dallan Hayden	70	326	1	4.7	42
Simeon Price (Tr)	21	144	2	6.9	38

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omarion Miller	44	807	8	18.3	70
Joseph Williams (Tr)	37	489	4	13.2	47
Sincere Brown (Tr)	22	376	2	17.1	71
Drelon Miller	21	159	1	7.6	32

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Robert Livingston (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tawfiq Byard (Tr)	78	8	1	1	4
Jeremiah Brown	69	8	2	0	0
Preston Hodge	52	3	0	1	13
Keaten Wade	47	9	3	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keaten Wade	47	9	3	5	1
Arden Walker	42	5	3	5	1
Jeremiah Brown	69	8	2	0	0
Brandon Davis-Swain	15	3	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Preston Hodge	52	3	1	13
Dylahn McKinney	34	1	0	5
Ivan Yates	16	0	0	5