Wyoming at Colorado - 2025 Matchup Preview
Wyoming logo   Wyoming Cowboys at Colorado Buffaloes  Colorado logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (10:15 PM EDT)
Colorado -12.5 (45.5) (-470)  Open: -15.5
Colorado 37 - Wyoming: 20

 
Cowboys (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (11 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
COLO is playing their 4th straight game
WYO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Colorado -3.5  (SP+ COLO -3)

Projected Score: WYO: 20 - COLO: 24 (44)
COLO Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
WYO Travel: 91 miles
Buffaloes (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (13 - 11)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (24 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 6) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Wyoming's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wyoming at Akron-8.549.5W 10 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Wyoming vs Northern Iowa-14.047.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/13 Wyoming vs Utah+24.547.5L 6 - 31UN
Sat 9/20 Wyoming at Colorado+12.545.5L 20 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wyoming vs UNLV+4.550.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 10/11 Wyoming vs San José State+1.550.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 10/18 Wyoming at Air Force+4.056.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/25 Wyoming vs Colorado State-5.546.5W 28 - 0UY
Sat 11/1 Wyoming at San Diego State+10.042.5L 7 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Wyoming at Fresno State+3.040.5L 3 - 24UN
Sat 11/22 Wyoming vs Nevada-6.039.5L 7 - 13UN
Sat 11/29 Wyoming at Hawai'i+8.545.0L 7 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule
Colorado's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Colorado vs Georgia Tech+4.055.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 9/6 Colorado vs Delaware-23.549.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 9/12 Colorado at Houston+4.045.5L 20 - 36ON
Sat 9/20 Colorado vs Wyoming-12.545.5W 37 - 20OY
Sat 9/27 Colorado vs BYU+6.548.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/4 Colorado at TCU+13.557.5L 21 - 35UN
Sat 10/11 Colorado vs Iowa State+3.052.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Colorado at Utah+14.550.5L 7 - 53ON
Sat 11/1 Colorado vs Arizona+4.052.5L 17 - 52ON
Sat 11/8 Colorado at West Virginia+6.551.5L 22 - 29UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Colorado vs Arizona State+7.047.5L 17 - 42ON
Sat 11/29 Colorado at Kansas State+16.550.5L 14 - 24UY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 7, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#127 (.05)36% (126)1639% (111)2.64 (122)13834% (125)1893.07 (126)#102 (.23)44% (96)20.543% (70)45% (113)3.97 (86)49.61.30.9
COLO#35 (.24)44% (48)20.944% (73)2.76 (110)6645% (34)3024.34 (28)#22 (.09)38% (30)30.540% (43)36% (17)3.3 (21)62.80.91.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
COLO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Offense121611.336.4%3.071.3173271381893.654%46%39%34%17%.05
COLO Defense1330.52738.4%3.31.8 - - - - - 53%47%40%36%20%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Defense1220.522.744%3.970.9 - - - - - 52%48%43%45%15%.23
COLO Offense1320.923.944.5%4.340.920368663022.737%63%44%45%17%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wyoming1230:5217.336%60%5.549.61.30.951.3228
Colorado1326:0319.741%40%7.162.80.91.86.72.8231.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Offense1254% (40)39% (111)38.2138.13.614 (98).02 (117)2.64 (122)62% (121)11% (92)0.94 (83)
COLO Defense1353% (93)40% (43) - - - - .06 (37)2.87 (47)78% (98)12% (19)1.06 (100)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Defense1252% (82)43% (70) - - - - .21 (112)3.09 (85)62% (12)9% (87)1.19 (128)
COLO Offense1337% (133)44% (73)24.2662.715 (96).08 (94)2.76 (110)82% (16)11% (104)0.86 (121)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Offense1246% (93)34% (125)15.128.9188.66.512.511 (122)11 (72).08 (126)1.8 (19)34% (110)25% (118).15 (126)6% (72)2.1 (62)
COLO Defense1347% (46)36% (17) - - - - - - 12 (39).13 (24)1.6 (61)35% (25)29% (50).24 (41)8% (18)1.9 (31)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Defense1248% (55)45% (113) - - - - - - 6 (109).25 (78)1.4 (10)31% (81)32% (85).32 (73)5% (102)1.8 (16)
COLO Offense1363% (2)45% (34)25.935.23028.611.735 (3)8 (40).34 (32)1.6 (53)33% (96)35% (27).47 (18)6% (78)2.1 (54)

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -7.35  #87
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 8.24  #98
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 15.59  #85
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Wyoming's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wyoming's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3  #110
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #129
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 500.89
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -7.35   Colorado: -5.93

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -11.3   Colorado: -8.3




Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -5.93  #94
Colorado's Offense Rating: 10.82  #82
Colorado's Defense Rating: 19.38  #102
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 21  #25
Colorado's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Colorado's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3  #96
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #103
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #88

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.7

Wyoming's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado 24
Wyoming 20


Projected Total Points: 44
Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Colorado's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Colorado37Wyoming20Colorado -12.5Colorado45.5Over
200909/19Colorado24Wyoming0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado211 Overs
Wyoming000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#87) WYO at (#94) COLO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWYOCOLO
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #87 #94
SP+SP+ #110 #96
Perf GradeGrade #109 #118
OffenseOff #126 #114
DefenseDef #51 #110
Spec TeamsST #128 #55
TalentTal #103 #66
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #25
Wyoming Notes
(8/1) OL was awful LY, but 4/5 back. No portals?
(8/1) Def was awful, lost a ton, added 12 portals
(8/1) Back 7 of Def has almost no exp. Pass D awful
(5/2) QB K Anderson likely. JAG- so far, depth??
(5/2) RB Scott back, Kellman (Char) added. Meh
(5/2) WR Sargent electric, Durr back as well. C+
(5/2) HC Sawvel awful 1st year. Doesn't look better TY
(5/2) TE Gyllenborg a nice target w/ 55 career rec
Wyoming Injury Report
Colorado Notes
(12/5) Hired Brennan Marion (Sac St HC) as OC
(12/5) OC Marion runs Go-Go Off, was UNLV OC '23-'24
(11/26) QB1 Fr Lewis will sit vs K St, preserve redshirt
(11/23) 1-6 run after ASU blowout. Future of this program?
(11/5) QB1 now Fr J. Lewis vs WVU. 24-105 last 2 games
(11/5) Brett Bartolone (TE coach) now calling plays
(10/26) Down 43-0 at half vs Utah. Had -18 yards!
(9/18) QB1 back to Salter, Staub bad. Fr Lewis next?
(9/13) Staub not good vs Hou, no run Off, bad Def
(9/9) QB Ryan Saub starting vs Houston
(9/8) QB shuffle, #3 Staub played best vs Del
(8/29) Prime's clock management is an abomination
Colorado Injury Report
Wyoming on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
WYO OffCOLO Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #126 #110
SuccessSuc #126 #30
ExplosiveExp #60 #76
PPAPPA #127 #22
PowerPwr #98 #102
SP+SP+ #129 #88
Pts POPPO #126 #21
HavocHav #86 #13
Wyoming Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
WYO OffCOLO Def
Run GameRun #96 #85
Run SuccessRSuc #111 #43
Run ExplRExp #83 #100
PPAExp #117 #37
Run BlockR Blk #61 -
OL YdsOLY #122 #47
Stuff RateStuff #108 #51
TackleTak -  #112
Wyoming Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
WYO OffCOLO Def
Pass GamePass #124 #133
Pass SuccessPSuc #125 #17
Pass ExplPExl #19 #61
PPAExp #126 #24
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #104 #67
F7 HavocF7 #92 #19
DB HavocDB #72 #18
Colorado on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatCOLO OffWYO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #114 #51
SuccessSuc #48 #96
ExplosiveExp #31 #65
PPAPPA #35 #102
PowerPwr #82 #85
SP+SP+ #103 #55
Pts POPPO #28 #86
HavocHav #97 #92
Colorado Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
COLO OffWYO Def
Run GameRun #132 #55
Run SuccessRSuc #73 #70
Run ExplRExp #121 #128
PPAExp #94 #112
Run BlockR Blk #88 -
OL YdsOLY #110 #85
Stuff RateStuff #106 #58
TackleTak -  #63
Colorado Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatCOLO OffWYO Def
Pass GamePass #114 #39
Pass SuccessPSuc #34 #113
Pass ExplPExl #53 #10
PPAExp #32 #78
Pass Block/RushP Blk #20 #117
F7 HavocF7 #104 #87
DB HavocDB #78 #102
Program Comparison
COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Colorado -12.5 (45.5)
Colorado won vs Wyoming this year (37-20)

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat Wyoming last year (37-20)

  
WYO's OC Jay Johnson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaden Anderson18933656%197112105.9
Mason Drube203853%187014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Samuel Harris10055215.550
Sam Scott8940824.637
Terron Kellman (Tr)6533145.133
Landon Sims159716.537
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Durr Jr.46513411.249
Jaylen Sargent20240012.029
Michael Fitzgerald (Tr)16228314.335
Johnmichael Gyllenborg2421719.024

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Aaron Bohl (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayden Johnson (Tr)745013
Evan Eller627221
Jones Thomas461004
Tyce Westland438242
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Florentine336413
Brayden Wilson (Tr)224210
Tyce Westland438242
Evan Eller627221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desman Hearns (Tr)283005
Tyrese Boss360005
Dainsus Miller253005

COLO's OC Pat Shurmur (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter (Tr)12720462%14141076.9
Julian Lewis529455%589406.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Welch9638444.044
Kaidon Salter (Tr)10435753.435
Dallan Hayden7032614.742
Simeon Price (Tr)2114426.938
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Miller44807818.370
Joseph Williams (Tr)37489413.247
Sincere Brown (Tr)22376217.171
Drelon Miller2115917.632

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Robert Livingston (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tawfiq Byard (Tr)788114
Jeremiah Brown698200
Preston Hodge5230113
Keaten Wade479351
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keaten Wade479351
Arden Walker425351
Jeremiah Brown698200
Brandon Davis-Swain153231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Preston Hodge5230113
Dylahn McKinney341005
Ivan Yates160005