Arizona State at Iowa State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Arizona State logo   Arizona State Sun Devils at Iowa State Cyclones  Iowa State logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (1:00 PM EDT)
Iowa State -7.5 (48.5) (-290)  Open: -3.0
Arizona State 24 - Iowa State: 19  (Big 12)

 
Sun Devils (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
ISU 2nd straight Home Game
ASU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Iowa State -4  (SP+ ISU -6)

Projected Score: ASU: 22 - ISU: 26 (49)
ISU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ASU Travel: 1159 miles, 1 hrs behind
Cyclones (8 - 4) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Matt Campbell (63 - 51)
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (32 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Arizona State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arizona State vs Northern Arizona-29.552.5W 38 - 19ON
Sat 9/6 Arizona State at Mississippi State-6.058.5L 20 - 24UN
Sat 9/13 Arizona State vs Texas State-18.561.5W 34 - 15UY
Sat 9/20 Arizona State at Baylor+3.060.5W 27 - 24UY
Fri 9/26 Arizona State vs TCU-2.554.5W 27 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Arizona State at Utah+9.544.5L 10 - 42ON
Sat 10/18 Arizona State vs Texas Tech+7.552.5W 26 - 22UY
Sat 10/25 Arizona State vs Houston-7.046.5L 16 - 24UN
Sat 11/1 Arizona State at Iowa State+7.548.5W 24 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Arizona State vs West Virginia-10.046.5W 25 - 23ON
Sat 11/22 Arizona State at Colorado-7.047.5W 42 - 17OY
Fri 11/28 Arizona State vs Arizona+2.048.5L 7 - 23UN
Wed 12/31 Arizona State vs Duke+4.049.5L 39 - 42OY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Iowa State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Iowa State vs Kansas State+2.551.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 8/30 Iowa State vs South Dakota-16.547.5W 55 - 7OY
Sat 9/6 Iowa State vs Iowa-3.043.0W 16 - 13UN
Sat 9/13 Iowa State at Arkansas State-21.055.5W 24 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Iowa State vs Arizona-4.048.5W 39 - 14OY
Sat 10/4 Iowa State at Cincinnati+1.555.5L 30 - 38ON
Sat 10/11 Iowa State at Colorado-3.052.5L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Iowa State vs BYU-2.548.5L 27 - 41ON
Sat 11/1 Iowa State vs Arizona State-7.548.5L 19 - 24UN
Sat 11/8 Iowa State at TCU+7.558.5W 20 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Iowa State vs Kansas-3.055.5W 38 - 14UY
Sat 11/29 Iowa State at Oklahoma State-13.547.5W 20 - 13UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)25.852% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)24.541% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)27.440% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)20.246% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ISU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Offense1425.824.649.8%4.140.6203951872084.959%41%52%47%12%.31
ISU Defense1420.218.842.6%3.441.5 - - - - - 55%45%46%38%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Defense1424.525.242.4%3.641.4 - - - - - 45%54%41%44%16%.12
ISU Offense1427.432.340.4%4.231.1213871502364.451%49%40%41%14%.2

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona State1429:5420.447%53%650.10.61.441.3328.6
Iowa State1430:0020.942%81%3.625.91.11.54.71.1130
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Offense1459% (14)52% (6)38.11874.928 (25).27 (12)3.35 (19)73% (76)7% (18)0.96 (71)
ISU Defense1455% (114)46% (101) - - - - .22 (114)3.05 (76)76% (81)9% (85)1.08 (112)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Defense1445% (14)41% (49) - - - - .04 (27)2.97 (61)63% (19)8% (116)1 (76)
ISU Offense1451% (68)40% (106)34.4150.24.424 (45).12 (74)2.83 (102)70% (88)8% (22)1.1 (19)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Offense1441% (120)47% (21)14.923.9208.48.71425 (31)5 (6).39 (14)1.6 (43)27% (11)38% (5).45 (21)4% (16)1.9 (115)
ISU Defense1445% (21)38% (41) - - - - - - 14 (23).17 (36)1.6 (73)32% (63)32% (86).32 (78)5% (86)2 (48)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Defense1454% (119)44% (106) - - - - - - 15 (18).21 (57)1.4 (18)32% (65)30% (68).14 (5)8% (21)1.9 (27)
ISU Offense1449% (67)41% (77)18.331.1236.47.612.922 (46)10 (63).29 (49)1.7 (27)30% (52)35% (29).39 (41)7% (94)2 (70)

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 11.84  #34
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 13.54  #66
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 1.70  #15
2025 Talent Rating: 892.00  #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 6%  #49
Arizona State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 4.4
Arizona State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9  #60
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #59
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.7  #44

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 11.84   Iowa State: 12.11

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 3.9   Iowa State: 9.9




Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 12.11  #41
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 19.26  #32
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 9.94  #46
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Iowa State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Iowa State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9  #33
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.1  #63
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.5  #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Arizona State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 26
Arizona State 22


Projected Total Points: 49
Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Iowa State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Iowa State19Arizona State24Iowa State -7.5Arizona State48.5Under
202412/07Arizona State45Iowa State19Iowa State -1.5Arizona State51.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa State001 Overs
Arizona State221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#34) ASU at (#41) ISU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatASUISU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #34 #41
SP+SP+ #60 #33
Perf GradeGrade #88 #56
OffenseOff #93 #45
DefenseDef #66 #83
Spec TeamsST #109 #107
TalentTal #27 #66
Blue ChipsBC% #49 #65
Arizona State Notes
(11/29) Awful loss to Az to finish. No QB2 cost ASU's season
(11/6) Dillingham staying at ASU, out of coach searches
(10/31) QB Leavitt out for the season. QB2 Sims awful
(10/26) Awful L to Houston, Leavitt inj but came back
(10/22) Lead WR J Tyson out for Houston game
(10/15) RB Kyson Brown now out indefinitely (depth)
(9/27) Huge W over TCU, Run Off good, Leavitt good
(9/27) Outgained TCU 500-271, forced 3 TOs, won by GW FG?
(9/21) Big W @ Baylor, Run Def good, Leavitt great
(6/15) Expecting improved pass rush, 2nd year DLC
(5/23) ASU was 6-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) Least exp'd B12 OL, almost no exp from portals
Arizona State Injury Report
Iowa State Notes
(12/7) Declined bowl game. 2025 season is over.
(12/5) HC Matt Campbell going to Penn State
(12/5) Hired HC Jimmy Rogers, Wazzu HC (S Dak St too)
(10/25) DT D Orange will play vs BYU, big add
(10/4) Def torched by Cincy, Becht was tough but Def sucks
(10/3) CB2 J. Cooper out for the season (knee). Down top 2
(10/1) CB1 J Williams out for the season (ACL) - big loss
(10/1) Backup kicker J Gilbert also hurt, Fr kicking now
(9/26) Kicker K. Konrardy is hurt, Fr C. Smith kicking
(9/15) Keep winning 1 score games, Run Succ ?
(8/30) Run game improved, Becht a tough gamer
(7/30) Fewest portal adds in Big 12 (8), good sign
Iowa State Injury Report
Arizona State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ASU OffISU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #93 #83
SuccessSuc #8 #81
ExplosiveExp #100 #83
PPAPPA #13 #79
PowerPwr #66 #46
SP+SP+ #59 #25
Pts POPPO #48 #29
HavocHav #11 #84
Arizona State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ASU OffISU Def
Run GameRun #38 #108
Run SuccessRSuc #6 #101
Run ExplRExp #71 #112
PPAExp #12 #114
Run BlockR Blk #113 -
OL YdsOLY #19 #76
Stuff RateStuff #30 #43
TackleTak -  #126
Arizona State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ASU OffISU Def
Pass GamePass #82 #32
Pass SuccessPSuc #21 #41
Pass ExplPExl #43 #73
PPAExp #14 #36
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #33 #128
F7 HavocF7 #18 #85
DB HavocDB #16 #86
Iowa State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatISU OffASU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #45 #66
SuccessSuc #99 #79
ExplosiveExp #7 #55
PPAPPA #62 #36
PowerPwr #32 #15
SP+SP+ #63 #44
Pts POPPO #37 #51
HavocHav #40 #75
Iowa State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
ISU OffASU Def
Run GameRun #39 #47
Run SuccessRSuc #106 #49
Run ExplRExp #19 #76
PPAExp #74 #27
Run BlockR Blk #64 -
OL YdsOLY #102 #61
Stuff RateStuff #115 #47
TackleTak -  #79
Iowa State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatISU OffASU Def
Pass GamePass #24 #36
Pass SuccessPSuc #77 #106
Pass ExplPExl #27 #18
PPAExp #49 #57
Pass Block/RushP Blk #92 #133
F7 HavocF7 #22 #116
DB HavocDB #94 #21
Program Comparison
ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

ASU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Iowa State -7.5 (48.5)
Arizona State won at Iowa State this year (24-19)

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Iowa State last year (24-19)
Arizona State beat Iowa State in 2024 (45-19)

  
ASU's OC Marcus Arroyo (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt14523961%16281036.8
Jeff Sims10518856%12611066.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Raleek Brown186114146.188
Jeff Sims10052255.288
Sam Leavitt7330654.252
Kanye Udoh (Tr)5624024.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordyn Tyson61711811.757
Malik McClain31441114.236
Chamon Metayer3837549.927
Derek Eusebio22341215.568

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Crook1018222
Keyshaun Elliott9814742
Myles Rowser844013
Adrian Wilson (Tr)571016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyshaun Elliott9814742
Justin Wodtly427752
Elijah O'Neal379561
Prince Dorbah188471
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Abney4411012
Javan Robinson423008
Montana Warren402028

ISU's OC Taylor Mouser (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht20433761%25651697.6
Alex Manske4580%28005.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Carson Hansen18795065.165
Abu Sama III14173255.244
Dylan Lee2511714.728
Rocco Becht8711181.325
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brett Eskildsen30526517.575
Chase Sowell (Tr)32500215.652
Benjamin Brahmer37446612.127
Gabe Burkle26302111.644

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kooper Ebel778153
Marcus Neal7711133
Caleb Bacon6810343
Jamison Patton481003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Bacon6810343
Tamatoa McDonough (Tr)264240
Will McLaughlin132201
Kooper Ebel778153
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ta'Shawn James330005
Quentin Taylor Jr.272005
Kooper Ebel778153