UCLA at USC - 2025 Matchup Preview
UCLA logo UCLA Bruins at USC Trojans(#25)USC logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum - Los Angeles, CA  (Big Ten)

 
Bruins (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Tim Skipper (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (23 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0.8 - 11.2 (#136)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
USC is playing their 5th straight game
UCLA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: USC -35   (SP+ USC -24)

Projected Score: UCLA: 15 - USC: 50 (65)
USC Win prob: 99% | Cover: 47%
UCLA Travel: 12 miles
Trojans (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 55 - 17 (66 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.8 - 2.2 (#9)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
UCLA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UCLA vs Utah+6.550.5L 10 - 43ON
Sat 9/6 UCLA at UNLV-2.554.5L 23 - 30UN
Fri 9/12 UCLA vs New Mexico-15.552.5L 10 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 UCLA vs Northwestern+8.5
Sat 10/4 UCLA vs Penn State+34.5
Sat 10/11 UCLA at Michigan State+17.5
Sat 10/18 UCLA vs Maryland+14.5
Sat 10/25 UCLA at Indiana+29.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 UCLA vs Nebraska+21.5
Sat 11/15 UCLA at Ohio State+39
Sat 11/22 UCLA vs Washington+20.5
Sat 11/29 UCLA at USC+35

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule
USC's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 USC vs Missouri State-34.559.5W 73 - 13OY
Sat 9/6 USC vs Georgia Southern-29.061.5W 59 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 USC at Purdue-20.559.5W 33 - 17UN
Sat 9/20 USC vs Michigan State-17.555.5
Sat 9/27 USC at Illinois-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 USC vs Michigan-5.5
Sat 10/18 USC at Notre Dame-5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 USC at Nebraska-5.5
Sat 11/8 USC vs Northwestern-28.5
Sat 11/15 USC vs Iowa-14.5
Sat 11/22 USC at Oregon+7
Sat 11/29 USC vs UCLA-35

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for USC's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCLA#69 (.2)43% (70)14.343% (81)3.27 (38)12244% (62)2033.67 (86)#129 (.4)57% (134)3655% (131)61% (136)5.62 (133)91.71.30.7
USC#3 (.6)62% (2)5565% (3)4 (2)24059% (7)3645.59 (9)#8 (-.1)36% (43)16.739% (69)35% (42)1.95 (14)80.30.72.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCLA#99 (.14)39% (112)34% (131)2.47 (132)8743% (56)2423.15 (123)#68 (.16)46% (110)45% (83)47% (120)4.45 (123)68.91.41.1
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)52% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)44% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCLA Offense314.32343.4%3.671.3193251222034.643%56%43%44%15%.2
USC Defense316.716.535.9%1.952.3 - - - - - 34%66%39%35%22%-.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCLA Defense3363057.4%5.620.7 - - - - - 60%40%55%61%7%.4
USC Offense3556661.7%5.590.726604240364751%48%65%59%10%.6

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCLA325:4618.723%70%1091.71.30.71.70.7024.9
USC330:3625.752%100%7.380.30.72.310.34.7226.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCLA Offense343% (106)43% (81)26.71224.61 (127).3 (30)3.27 (38)53% (123)9% (76)1.38 (12)
USC Defense334% (2)39% (69) - - - - .03 (58)2.82 (75)67% (53)17% (6)0.9 (59)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCLA Defense360% (123)55% (131) - - - - .24 (116)3.51 (129)92% (124)5% (130)0.77 (28)
USC Offense351% (63)65% (3)34.3240712 (3).37 (16)4 (2)89% (16)8% (47)0.79 (111)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCLA Offense356% (30)44% (62)20.732.3202.76.39.83 (90)3 (92).19 (94)1.2 (127)25% (22)32% (64).08 (119)6% (86)1.5 (124)
USC Defense366% (135)35% (42) - - - - - - 6 (2)-.18 (8)1.7 (112)38% (18)28% (65).03 (23)5% (80)2.4 (119)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCLA Defense340% (14)61% (136) - - - - - - 0.62 (131)1.4 (35)20% (135)44% (130).5 (114)2% (136)1.3 (5)
USC Offense348% (74)59% (7)20.328.336412.917.97 (23)0 (1).91 (2)2 (10)20% (7)38% (32).69 (18)3% (26)2.4 (19)

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: -8.32 #102
UCLA's Offense Rating: 13.35 #65
UCLA's Defense Rating: 21.67 #125
2025 Talent Rating: 796.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #37
UCLA's 2025 Expected Record: 0.8 - 11.2
UCLA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #85
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #89
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
UCLA: -8.32   USC: 28.345

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCLA: -4.6   USC: 19.8




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 28.345 #9
USC's Offense Rating: 29.19 #6
USC's Defense Rating: -4.40 #10
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
USC's 2025 Expected Record: 9.8 - 2.2
USC's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.8 #9
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1 #3
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


UCLA Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 36 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

UCLA's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
USC 50
UCLA 15


Total Points: 65

USC Scoring
Offense: 55 PPG
Offense at Home: 66
Defense: 16.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.5

USC's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23UCLA13USC19USCUSC -5USC53.0Under
202311/18USC20UCLA38UCLAUSC -6UCLA65.5Under
202211/19UCLA45USC48USCUSC -2.5USC76.5Over
202111/20USC33UCLA62UCLAUCLA -4.5UCLA66.5Over
202012/12UCLA38USC43USCUSC -3.5USC64.0Over
201911/23USC52UCLA35USCUSC -12.5USC66.0Over
201811/17UCLA34USC27UCLAUSC -2.5UCLA55.0Over
201711/18USC28UCLA23USCUSC -14.5UCLA70.5Under
201611/19UCLA14USC36USCUSC -10.5USC53.0Under
201511/28USC40UCLA21USCUSC -3.5USC61.0Push
201411/22UCLA38USC20UCLAUCLA -3UCLA0
201311/30USC14UCLA35UCLAUSC -3.5UCLA0
201211/17UCLA38USC28UCLA
201111/26USC50UCLA0USC
201012/04UCLA14USC28USC
200911/28USC28UCLA7USC
200812/06UCLA7USC28USC
200712/01USC24UCLA7USC
200612/02UCLA13USC9UCLA
200512/03USC66UCLA19USC
200412/04UCLA24USC29USC
200311/22USC47UCLA22USC
200111/17USC27UCLA0USC
200011/17UCLA35USC38USC
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC1765 Overs
UCLA764 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 114 - 83 - 31 - 5
Road Teams11 - 138 - 45 - 13 - 3

(#102) UCLA Info
Power Rating: -8.32 #102
Offense Rating: 13.35 #65
Defense Rating: 21.67 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Talent Rating: 796.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #37
Expected Record: 0.8 - 11.2

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.67 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 57%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 55%
Awful Pass Def Success 61%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

UCLA has lost 11 straight
UCLA has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

UCLA Notes
(9/13) Outscored 30-0 in 1st quarter in 1st 3 games
(9/13) NM mauled Bruins Def up front. Run Off sucks
(9/13) 1st team on quit watch. 0-12 very much in play
(9/8) QB2 Clarkson arrested (9/8) serious charges
(8/27) Def lost top 11 tacklers and every DB starter
(8/22) Off will score points, but Def looks really meh
(8/22) New OC Sunseri (IU) a massive upgrade
(8/21) WR Kaedin Robinson ruled ineligible, big blow?
(6/6) WR 3 portals + Gilmer & Atimalala. Stock up
(6/6) DB added 9 portals. Will find CBs with sheer #'s

UCLA Highlights
UCLA defense does not give up big plays (#15)
UCLA defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

UCLA Deficiencies
UCLA has a really bad Offense
UCLA Can Not Run the Ball (#102)
UCLA Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
UCLA offense is bad on 3rd Downs
UCLA Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UCLA does not Sack the QB (#122)
UCLA has a bad defense (#134)
UCLA Does Not Stuff Runs (#134)
UCLA has a bad defensive line (#129)
UCLA has a bad red zone defense (#133)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUSCUCLA
OverallOver#7#94
OffenseOff#11#93
DefenseDef#11#96
Special TeamsST#30#75
PassingPass#30#46
RushingRush#23#73
Run BlockRBLK#45#92
Pass BlockPBLK#18#114
Route RunningWR Rt#4#73
TacklingTkl#11#92
Run DefenseR Def#35#83
Pass Rush DefPRush#41#86
Coverage DefCov#1#108

Previous Matchups
USC beat UCLA last year (19-13)
UCLA beat USC in 2023 (38-20)
USC beat UCLA in 2022 (48-45)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UCLA | USC
Depth Chart: UCLA | USC
Rosters: UCLA | USC
(#9) USC Info
Power Rating: 28.345 #9
Offense Rating: 29.19 #6
Defense Rating: -4.40 #10
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.8 #9
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
Expected Record: 9.8 - 2.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 62%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.59 PPO
Great Run Success 65%
Great Pass Success 59%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 1.95 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 35%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

USC has lost 8 straight
USC has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

USC Notes
(8/22) QB Maiava good at times, but is he a baller?
(8/21) OG DJ Winfield ruled ineligible, blow to OL
(6/5) WR Lemon/Lane a top duo in CFB, 2 portal adds
(6/5) Def lost a lot. 7 Portal adds, 5 DB, 2 DL.
(6/5) New OC Huard (USC QBs), Riley still calling plays
(6/5) F7 very talented but not very productive so far
(6/5) DBs should be much better with 5 portal adds
(5/23) Safeties Ramsey & Fitzgerald a strong duo
(5/13) Caden Chittenden (UNLV) top kicker portal add
(4/4) JUCO RB Waymond Jordan looks great early

USC Highlights
USC in Undefeated
USC is Undefeated at Home
USC is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

USC has Really Good Running Game (#13)
USC offense is efficent (#2)
USC has a top Offensive Line (#2)
USC offense is good in red zone (#9)
USC offense is good on 3rd downs
USC does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#6)

USC Defense Sacks the QB a lot

USC defense is really good in red zone (#14)
USC Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#22)
USC Front 7 is disruptive (#6)
USC has a great TO Margin (#28)
USC defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)

USC Deficiencies
USC Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
USC gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#114)


  
UCLA's OC Tino Sunseri
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nico Iamaleava (Tr)629764%608336.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nico Iamaleava (Tr)3013914.630
Anthony Woods (Tr)2111705.633
Jaivian Thomas (Tr)167404.632
Jalen Berger133602.820
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kwazi Gilmer16174010.921
Mikey Matthews (Tr)10123012.332
Anthony Woods (Tr)109119.119
Titus Mokiao-Atimalala557111.415

View UCLA's Full Roster
UCLA's DC Ikaika Malloe
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Chisom (Tr)372010
JonJon Vaughns351000
Key Lawrence (Tr)190010
Cole Martin (Tr)170002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kechaun Bennett (Tr)91110
Anthony Jones (Tr)82100
Isaiah Chisom (Tr)372010
A.J. Fuimaono40000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cole Martin (Tr)170002
Kanye Clark70001
Rodrick Pleasant (Tr)70001

USC's OC Luke Huard
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Maiava487069%9896014.1
Husan Longstreet131587%103106.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Waymond Jordan3928637.336
Eli Sanders (Tr)2316027.020
King Miller11152213.875
Husan Longstreet96026.717
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Makai Lemon16311219.474
Ja'Kobi Lane9239126.659
Lake McRee7173124.764
Eli Sanders (Tr)488122.073

View USC's Full Roster
USC's DC D'Anton Lynn
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric Gentry215300
Bishop Fitzgerald (Tr)151001
Christian Pierce112101
Desman Stephens II110000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric Gentry215300
Kameryn Fountain65300
Braylan Shelby94210
Anthony Lucas52210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevin Longstreet (Tr)30002
Devan Thompkins52111
Bishop Fitzgerald (Tr)151001