UCLA at USC - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 29th 2025 (7:30 PM EST)
USC -21.0 (59.0) (-1800) Open: -21.0 | 60.5
USC 29 - UCLA: 10 (Big Ten)

Bruins (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Tim Skipper (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 33 (17 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 4) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)

USC is playing their 5th straight game
UCLA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: USC -27 (SP+ USC -27)
Projected Score: UCLA: 15 - USC: 42 (58)
USC Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
UCLA Travel: 12 miles

Trojans (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (43 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#23)
Wins: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
UCLA Players
USC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UCLA's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	UCLA vs Utah	+6.5	50.5	L 10 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/6	UCLA at UNLV	-2.5	54.5	L 23 - 30	U	N
Fri 9/12	UCLA vs New Mexico	-15.5	52.5	L 10 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	UCLA at Northwestern	+6.0	45.5	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/4	UCLA vs Penn State	+24.5	48.5	W 42 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/11	UCLA at Michigan State	+7.0	51.5	W 38 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/18	UCLA vs Maryland	-3.5	52.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/25	UCLA at Indiana	+26.5	53.5	L 6 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	UCLA vs Nebraska	-1.5	45.5	L 21 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/15	UCLA at Ohio State	+33.5	46.5	L 10 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/22	UCLA vs Washington	+10.5	51.5	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/29	UCLA at USC	+21.0	59.0	L 10 - 29	U	Y

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 5, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule

USC's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	USC vs Missouri State	-34.5	59.5	W 73 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/6	USC vs Georgia Southern	-29.0	61.5	W 59 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/13	USC at Purdue	-20.5	59.5	W 33 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/20	USC vs Michigan State	-18.5	55.5	W 45 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/27	USC at Illinois	-6.5	62.5	L 32 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	USC vs Michigan	-3.0	58.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/18	USC at Notre Dame	+10.5	60.5	L 24 - 34	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	USC at Nebraska	-4.5	59.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Fri 11/7	USC vs Northwestern	-14.5	54.5	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/15	USC vs Iowa	-6.5	48.5	W 26 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/22	USC at Oregon	+10.5	59.5	L 27 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/29	USC vs UCLA	-21.0	59.0	W 29 - 10	U	N
Tue 12/30	USC vs TCU	-4.5	56.5	L 27 - 30	O	N

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for USC's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA	#97 (.12)	42% (75)	18.2	45% (55)	3.06 (45)	140	40% (95)	180	2.98 (124)	#122 (.25)	50% (135)	33.4	53% (135)	48% (127)	4.61 (133)	65.5	1.1	0.8
USC	#6 (.35)	50% (7)	35.8	48% (18)	3.25 (21)	161	53% (4)	274	4.72 (8)	#59 (.14)	45% (121)	23	47% (122)	43% (88)	3.37 (42)	50.4	1.1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA	#99 (.14)	39% (112)		34% (131)	2.47 (132)	87	43% (56)	242	3.15 (123)	#68 (.16)	46% (110)		45% (83)	47% (120)	4.45 (123)	68.9	1.4	1.1
USC	#41 (.24)	48% (11)		52% (10)	3.49 (9)	138	46% (26)	269	3.76 (85)	#78 (.18)	44% (94)		44% (78)	44% (103)	3.64 (49)	46	1.4	1.2

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Offense	12	18.2	16.8	41.9%	2.98	1.1	17	320	140	180	4.5	47%	51%	45%	40%	16%	.12
USC Defense	13	23	17.9	45.5%	3.37	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	47%	43%	16%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Defense	12	33.4	32.2	50.3%	4.61	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	53%	48%	12%	.25
USC Offense	13	35.8	43	50.3%	4.72	1.1	22	435	161	274	5.4	48%	50%	48%	53%	13%	.35

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UCLA	12	29:11	17.3	37%	48%	7.5	65.5	1.1	0.8	3.3	0.8	0	26.4
USC	13	27:23	22.2	52%	64%	5.3	50.4	1.1	1.3	5	2.2	2	26.9

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Offense	12	47% (89)	45% (55)	31.3	139.6	4.5	8 (107)	.21 (22)	3.06 (45)	65% (112)	9% (64)	1.05 (36)
USC Defense	13	48% (51)	47% (122)	-	-	-	-	.11 (70)	3.27 (125)	65% (25)	11% (35)	0.79 (6)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Defense	12	54% (116)	53% (135)	-	-	-	-	.23 (131)	3.32 (128)	79% (118)	7% (132)	0.89 (30)
USC Offense	13	48% (83)	48% (18)	30	160.5	5.4	28 (16)	.21 (24)	3.25 (21)	79% (24)	7% (22)	0.95 (76)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Offense	12	51% (48)	40% (95)	19.1	30.1	180.3	6	9.5	15 (75)	7 (60)	.09 (126)	1.3 (136)	32% (75)	32% (49)	.28 (80)	7% (94)	1.9 (98)
USC Defense	13	50% (89)	43% (88)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (12)	.17 (38)	1.6 (76)	29% (118)	32% (100)	.28 (65)	5% (104)	2.1 (104)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Defense	12	45% (23)	48% (127)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (132)	.33 (106)	1.4 (15)	26% (135)	40% (135)	.45 (129)	5% (95)	1.8 (10)
USC Offense	13	50% (56)	53% (4)	20.2	30	274.5	9.2	13.6	25 (22)	8 (34)	.51 (4)	1.6 (42)	26% (10)	38% (10)	.52 (10)	6% (68)	2.2 (18)

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 0.61 #68
UCLA's Offense Rating: 11.71 #54
UCLA's Defense Rating: 11.10 #84
2025 Talent Rating: 796.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #37
UCLA's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UCLA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #104
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #106
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #96

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UCLA: 0.61 USC: 22.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCLA: -9.5 USC: 17.3

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 22.6 #13
USC's Offense Rating: 26.26 #9
USC's Defense Rating: 3.36 #36
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
USC's 2025 Expected Record: 9.7 - 3.3
USC's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.3 #17
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #11
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UCLA's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
USC 42
UCLA 15

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
USC 39
UCLA 16

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
USC 36
UCLA 19

Total Points: 55

USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

USC's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	USC	29	UCLA	10	USC -21.0	UCLA	59.0	Under
2024	11/23	UCLA	13	USC	19	USC -5	USC	53.0	Under
2023	11/18	USC	20	UCLA	38	USC -6	UCLA	65.5	Under
2022	11/19	UCLA	45	USC	48	USC -2.5	USC	76.5	Over
2021	11/20	USC	33	UCLA	62	UCLA -4.5	UCLA	66.5	Over
2020	12/12	UCLA	38	USC	43	USC -3.5	USC	64.0	Over
2019	11/23	USC	52	UCLA	35	USC -12.5	USC	66.0	Over
2018	11/17	UCLA	34	USC	27	USC -2.5	UCLA	55.0	Over
2017	11/18	USC	28	UCLA	23	USC -14.5	UCLA	70.5	Under
2016	11/19	UCLA	14	USC	36	USC -10.5	USC	53.0	Under
2015	11/28	USC	40	UCLA	21	USC -3.5	USC	61.0	Push
2014	11/22	UCLA	38	USC	20	UCLA -3	UCLA	0
2013	11/30	USC	14	UCLA	35	USC -3.5	UCLA	0
2012	11/17	UCLA	38	USC	28
2011	11/26	USC	50	UCLA	0
2010	12/04	UCLA	14	USC	28
2009	11/28	USC	28	UCLA	7
2008	12/06	UCLA	7	USC	28
2007	12/01	USC	24	UCLA	7
2006	12/02	UCLA	13	USC	9
2005	12/03	USC	66	UCLA	19
2004	12/04	UCLA	24	USC	29
2003	11/22	USC	47	UCLA	22
2001	11/17	USC	27	UCLA	0
2000	11/17	UCLA	35	USC	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
USC	18	6	5 Overs
UCLA	7	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 11	4 - 9	3 - 4	1 - 5
Road Teams	11 - 14	9 - 4	5 - 1	4 - 3

(#68) UCLA at (#13) USC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UCLA	USC
Power RatePwr	#68	#13
SP+SP+	#104	#17
Perf GradeGrade	#120	#33
OffenseOff	#109	#18
DefenseDef	#123	#79
Spec TeamsST	#41	#122
TalentTal	#54	#21
Blue ChipsBC%	#37	#18

UCLA Notes(12/1) Hired Bob Chesney (JMU), a great hire for UCLA
(11/15) QB1 Nico out vs Ohio St (Concussion)
(10/15) No one left via portal after Foster firing, incredible
(10/12) Back 2 back wins, but Sparty is truly awful esp Def
(10/6) 1st time OC Jerry Neuheisel a revelation, great game
(10/4) Incredible effort, unreal W vs Penn St. Nico 5 TD's
(10/4) OG'd PSU by 100, held ball 40 mins, Run Def good
(9/30) Two score underdogs or more in every game forward
(9/30) OC Sunseri fired 4 games in, Jerry Neuheisel Int
(9/14) HC Foster fired, SA Tim Skipper interim HC
(9/13) Outscored 30-0 in 1st quarter in 1st 3 games
(9/13) NM mauled Bruins Def up front. Run Off sucks
UCLA Injury Report

USC Notes(11/24) ST's unit has been a disaster all season. Cost vs Oregon
(11/22) WR Tanook Hines (Fr) the next great USC WR?
(11/16) Huge W vs Iowa. Learning to B1G at home?
(11/1) Big W @ Neb (vs QB2). Run Off good, Maiava bad
(10/18) Run Def mauled for 300+ by ND, Maiava good, 3 TOs
(10/18) Mauled Mich up front both sides. 224 rush, big win
(10/12) RB1 Waymond Jordan out til mid November
(9/30) Riley is 0-12 vs spread outside of California
(9/30) Def awful vs Ill, all 500 yds, 8 penalties, 2 TOs, bad L
(9/21) Beatup on cupcakes, back to earth vs Purdue/MSU
(9/21) Defense is far from fixed, Sparty cooked DBs
(9/21) WRs are lethal, Maiava has been great so far
USC Injury Report

UCLA on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	UCLA Off	USC Def
Perf GradePerf	#109	#79
SuccessSuc	#75	#121
ExplosiveExp	#117	#13
PPAPPA	#97	#59
PowerPwr	#54	#36
SP+SP+	#106	#35
Pts POPPO	#124	#42
HavocHav	#76	#63

UCLA Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	UCLA Off	USC Def
Run GameRun	#62	#121
Run SuccessRSuc	#55	#122
Run ExplRExp	#36	#6
PPAExp	#22	#70
Run BlockR Blk	#93	-
OL YdsOLY	#45	#125
Stuff RateStuff	#76	#85
TackleTak	-	#26

UCLA Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	UCLA Off	USC Def
Pass GamePass	#84	#21
Pass SuccessPSuc	#95	#88
Pass ExplPExl	#136	#76
PPAExp	#126	#38
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#80	#84
F7 HavocF7	#64	#35
DB HavocDB	#94	#104

USC on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	USC Off	UCLA Def
Perf GradePerf	#18	#123
SuccessSuc	#7	#135
ExplosiveExp	#37	#9
PPAPPA	#6	#122
PowerPwr	#9	#84
SP+SP+	#11	#96
Pts POPPO	#8	#133
HavocHav	#34	#130

USC Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	USC Off	UCLA Def
Run GameRun	#22	#107
Run SuccessRSuc	#18	#135
Run ExplRExp	#76	#30
PPAExp	#24	#131
Run BlockR Blk	#113	-
OL YdsOLY	#21	#128
Stuff RateStuff	#32	#129
TackleTak	-	#64

USC Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	USC Off	UCLA Def
Pass GamePass	#23	#111
Pass SuccessPSuc	#4	#127
Pass ExplPExl	#42	#15
PPAExp	#4	#106
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#107	#136
F7 HavocF7	#22	#132
DB HavocDB	#68	#95

Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

UCLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 61°

Rematch from Week 14
USC -21.0 (59.0)
USC won vs UCLA this year (29-10)

Previous Matchups
USC beat UCLA last year (19-13)
UCLA beat USC in 2023 (38-20)
USC beat UCLA in 2022 (48-45)

UCLA's OC Jerry Neuheisel (Int) (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nico Iamaleava (Tr)	208	323	64%	1928	13	7	6.0
Luke Duncan	21	34	62%	235	2	0	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nico Iamaleava (Tr)	112	505	4	4.5	52
Jalen Berger	81	364	2	4.5	24
Jaivian Thomas (Tr)	82	306	1	3.7	32
Anthony Woods (Tr)	63	294	0	4.7	33

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kwazi Gilmer	50	535	4	10.7	43
Mikey Matthews (Tr)	33	348	2	10.5	37
Titus Mokiao-Atimalala	25	322	3	12.9	34
Rico Flores	26	274	0	10.5	51

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC Kevin Coyle (Int) (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
JonJon Vaughns	107	6	1	0	1
Isaiah Chisom (Tr)	84	3	0	1	1
Key Lawrence (Tr)	70	4	0	1	1
Cole Martin (Tr)	65	4	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen Woods	47	5	2	0	3
Anthony Jones (Tr)	20	3	2	4	1
JonJon Vaughns	107	6	1	0	1
Kechaun Bennett (Tr)	23	3	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Andre Jordan	19	0	10
Rodrick Pleasant (Tr)	36	2	7
Cole Martin (Tr)	65	4	3

USC's OC Luke Huard (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jayden Maiava	247	373	66%	3431	23	8	9.2
Husan Longstreet	13	15	87%	103	1	0	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
King Miller	131	873	7	6.7	75
Waymond Jordan	88	576	5	6.5	40
Eli Sanders (Tr)	44	258	2	5.9	20
Jayden Maiava	51	150	6	2.9	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Makai Lemon	79	1156	11	14.6	74
Ja'Kobi Lane	49	745	4	15.2	59
Lake McRee	30	450	4	15.0	64
Tanook Hines	28	398	2	14.2	51

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC D'Anton Lynn (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Desman Stephens II	80	1	0	1	0
Eric Gentry	71	7	3	1	2
Christian Pierce	58	2	1	0	3
Bishop Fitzgerald (Tr)	51	3	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Braylan Shelby	23	6	5	3
Kameryn Fountain	30	8	4	0
Jide Abasiri	24	4	4	2
Anthony Lucas	37	4	3	7

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Marcelles Williams	33	0	0	4
Kevin Longstreet (Tr)	4	0	0	4
Christian Pierce	58	2	1	3