UCLA at USC - 2025 Matchup Preview
UCLA logo   UCLA Bruins at USC Trojans  USC logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (7:30 PM EST)
USC -21.0 (59.0) (-1800)  Open: -21.0 | 60.5
USC 29 - UCLA: 10  (Big Ten)

 
Bruins (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach DeShaun Foster (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 18 - 33 (17 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
USC is playing their 5th straight game
UCLA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: USC -21.5  (SP+ USC -26)

Projected Score: UCLA: 18 - USC: 39 (57)
USC Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
UCLA Travel: 12 miles
Trojans (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (43 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#23)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
UCLA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UCLA vs Utah+6.550.5L 10 - 43ON
Sat 9/6 UCLA at UNLV-2.554.5L 23 - 30UN
Fri 9/12 UCLA vs New Mexico-15.552.5L 10 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 UCLA at Northwestern+6.045.5L 14 - 17UY
Sat 10/4 UCLA vs Penn State+24.548.5W 42 - 37OY
Sat 10/11 UCLA at Michigan State+7.051.5W 38 - 13UY
Sat 10/18 UCLA vs Maryland-3.552.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 10/25 UCLA at Indiana+26.553.5L 6 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 UCLA vs Nebraska-1.545.5L 21 - 28ON
Sat 11/15 UCLA at Ohio State+33.546.5L 10 - 48ON
Sat 11/22 UCLA vs Washington+10.551.5L 14 - 48ON
Sat 11/29 UCLA at USC+21.059.0L 10 - 29UY

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 5, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule
USC's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 USC vs Missouri State-34.559.5W 73 - 13OY
Sat 9/6 USC vs Georgia Southern-29.061.5W 59 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 USC at Purdue-20.559.5W 33 - 17UN
Sat 9/20 USC vs Michigan State-18.555.5W 45 - 31ON
Sat 9/27 USC at Illinois-6.562.5L 32 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 USC vs Michigan-3.058.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 10/18 USC at Notre Dame+10.560.5L 24 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 USC at Nebraska-4.559.5W 21 - 17UN
Fri 11/7 USC vs Northwestern-14.554.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/15 USC vs Iowa-6.548.5W 26 - 21UN
Sat 11/22 USC at Oregon+10.559.5L 27 - 42ON
Sat 11/29 USC vs UCLA-21.059.0W 29 - 10UN
Tue 12/30 USC vs TCU-4.556.5L 27 - 30ON

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCLA#99 (.14)39% (112)18.234% (131)2.47 (132)8743% (56)2423.15 (123)#68 (.16)46% (110)33.445% (83)47% (120)4.45 (123)68.91.41.1
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)35.852% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)2344% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCLA Offense1218.216.839%3.151.418329872423.141%59%34%43%17%.14
USC Defense132317.943.8%3.641.2 - - - - - 46%53%44%44%14%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCLA Defense1233.432.245.9%4.451.1 - - - - - 43%57%45%47%18%.16
USC Offense1335.84348.4%3.761.4214081382695.540%60%52%46%18%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCLA1231:071843%50%8.268.91.41.15.31.8227.8
USC1328:1221.345%47%5.3461.41.23.91.5133.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCLA Offense1241% (122)34% (131)2886.93.14 (133)-.05 (129)2.47 (132)70% (87)10% (85)0.94 (84)
USC Defense1346% (22)44% (78) - - - - .18 (96)3.17 (92)76% (81)7% (127)1 (77)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCLA Defense1243% (2)45% (83) - - - - .05 (30)2.92 (52)78% (101)10% (68)0.72 (2)
USC Offense1340% (126)52% (10)25.2138.45.519 (73).23 (21)3.49 (9)85% (6)8% (24)0.89 (106)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCLA Offense1259% (12)43% (56)21.633.2242.27.311.217 (79)11 (72).26 (62)1.5 (95)36% (126)36% (21).42 (30)7% (99)1.9 (102)
USC Defense1353% (113)44% (103) - - - - - - 10 (66).2 (49)1.3 (4)28% (122)27% (27).14 (6)7% (42)1.8 (8)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCLA Defense1257% (132)47% (120) - - - - - - 10 (66).26 (82)1.4 (15)30% (100)33% (106).31 (70)8% (8)2 (53)
USC Offense1360% (9)46% (26)24.138269.27.111.225 (31)12 (85).25 (74)1.5 (108)29% (24)36% (18).4 (36)10% (134)2 (74)

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 1.94  #57
UCLA's Offense Rating: 17.07  #46
UCLA's Defense Rating: 15.13  #80
2025 Talent Rating: 796.00  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 12%  #37
UCLA's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UCLA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7  #98
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #105
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4  #94

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UCLA: 1.94   USC: 17.925

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCLA: -8.7   USC: 16.9




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 17.925  #26
USC's Offense Rating: 23.87  #16
USC's Defense Rating: 9.92  #45
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00  #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 40  #18
USC's 2025 Expected Record: 9.7 - 3.3
USC's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.9  #16
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.9  #9
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0  #36

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UCLA's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
USC 39
UCLA 18


Projected Total Points: 57
USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

USC's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29USC29UCLA10USC -21.0UCLA59.0Under
202411/23UCLA13USC19USC -5USC53.0Under
202311/18USC20UCLA38USC -6UCLA65.5Under
202211/19UCLA45USC48USC -2.5USC76.5Over
202111/20USC33UCLA62UCLA -4.5UCLA66.5Over
202012/12UCLA38USC43USC -3.5USC64.0Over
201911/23USC52UCLA35USC -12.5USC66.0Over
201811/17UCLA34USC27USC -2.5UCLA55.0Over
201711/18USC28UCLA23USC -14.5UCLA70.5Under
201611/19UCLA14USC36USC -10.5USC53.0Under
201511/28USC40UCLA21USC -3.5USC61.0Push
201411/22UCLA38USC20UCLA -3UCLA0
201311/30USC14UCLA35USC -3.5UCLA0
201211/17UCLA38USC28
201111/26USC50UCLA0
201012/04UCLA14USC28
200911/28USC28UCLA7
200812/06UCLA7USC28
200712/01USC24UCLA7
200612/02UCLA13USC9
200512/03USC66UCLA19
200412/04UCLA24USC29
200311/22USC47UCLA22
200111/17USC27UCLA0
200011/17UCLA35USC38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC1865 Overs
UCLA775 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 114 - 93 - 41 - 5
Road Teams11 - 149 - 45 - 14 - 3

(#57) UCLA at (#26) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCLAUSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #57 #26
SP+SP+ #98 #16
Perf GradeGrade #119 #30
OffenseOff #110 #17
DefenseDef #120 #73
Spec TeamsST #38 #124
TalentTal #54 #21
Blue ChipsBC% #37 #18
UCLA Notes
(12/1) Hired Bob Chesney (JMU), a great hire for UCLA
(11/15) QB1 Nico out vs Ohio St (Concussion)
(10/15) No one left via portal after Foster firing, incredible
(10/12) Back 2 back wins, but Sparty is truly awful esp Def
(10/6) 1st time OC Jerry Neuheisel a revelation, great game
(10/4) Incredible effort, unreal W vs Penn St. Nico 5 TD's
(10/4) OG'd PSU by 100, held ball 40 mins, Run Def good
(9/30) Two score underdogs or more in every game forward
(9/30) OC Sunseri fired 4 games in, Jerry Neuheisel Int
(9/14) HC Foster fired, SA Tim Skipper interim HC
(9/13) Outscored 30-0 in 1st quarter in 1st 3 games
(9/13) NM mauled Bruins Def up front. Run Off sucks
UCLA Injury Report
USC Notes
(11/24) ST's unit has been a disaster all season. Cost vs Oregon
(11/22) WR Tanook Hines (Fr) the next great USC WR?
(11/16) Huge W vs Iowa. Learning to B1G at home?
(11/1) Big W @ Neb (vs QB2). Run Off good, Maiava bad
(10/18) Run Def mauled for 300+ by ND, Maiava good, 3 TOs
(10/18) Mauled Mich up front both sides. 224 rush, big win
(10/12) RB1 Waymond Jordan out til mid November
(9/30) Riley is 0-12 vs spread outside of California
(9/30) Def awful vs Ill, all 500 yds, 8 penalties, 2 TOs, bad L
(9/21) Beatup on cupcakes, back to earth vs Purdue/MSU
(9/21) Defense is far from fixed, Sparty cooked DBs
(9/21) WRs are lethal, Maiava has been great so far
USC Injury Report
UCLA on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
UCLA OffUSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #110 #73
SuccessSuc #112 #94
ExplosiveExp #43 #24
PPAPPA #99 #78
PowerPwr #46 #45
SP+SP+ #105 #36
Pts POPPO #123 #49
HavocHav #96 #105
UCLA Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
UCLA OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #66 #127
Run SuccessRSuc #131 #78
Run ExplRExp #84 #77
PPAExp #129 #96
Run BlockR Blk #99 -
OL YdsOLY #132 #92
Stuff RateStuff #122 #120
TackleTak -  #30
UCLA Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
UCLA OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #89 #16
Pass SuccessPSuc #56 #103
Pass ExplPExl #95 #4
PPAExp #62 #49
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #89 #64
F7 HavocF7 #85 #127
DB HavocDB #99 #42
USC on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatUSC OffUCLA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #17 #120
SuccessSuc #11 #110
ExplosiveExp #91 #10
PPAPPA #41 #68
PowerPwr #16 #80
SP+SP+ #9 #94
Pts POPPO #85 #123
HavocHav #101 #37
USC Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
USC OffUCLA Def
Run GameRun #15 #103
Run SuccessRSuc #10 #83
Run ExplRExp #106 #2
PPAExp #21 #30
Run BlockR Blk #110 -
OL YdsOLY #9 #52
Stuff RateStuff #22 #53
TackleTak -  #55
USC Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatUSC OffUCLA Def
Pass GamePass #21 #103
Pass SuccessPSuc #26 #120
Pass ExplPExl #108 #15
PPAExp #74 #82
Pass Block/RushP Blk #99 #136
F7 HavocF7 #24 #68
DB HavocDB #134 #8
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

UCLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
USC -21.0 (59.0)
USC won vs UCLA this year (29-10)

Previous Matchups
USC beat UCLA last year (29-10)
USC beat UCLA in 2024 (19-13)
UCLA beat USC in 2023 (38-20)

  
UCLA's OC Tino Sunseri (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nico Iamaleava (Tr)20832364%19281376.0
Luke Duncan213462%235206.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nico Iamaleava (Tr)11250544.552
Jalen Berger8136424.524
Jaivian Thomas (Tr)8230613.732
Anthony Woods (Tr)6329404.733
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kwazi Gilmer50535410.743
Mikey Matthews (Tr)33348210.537
Titus Mokiao-Atimalala25322312.934
Rico Flores26274010.551

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC Ikaika Malloe (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JonJon Vaughns1076101
Isaiah Chisom (Tr)843011
Key Lawrence (Tr)704011
Cole Martin (Tr)654003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Woods475203
Anthony Jones (Tr)203241
JonJon Vaughns1076101
Kechaun Bennett (Tr)233110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andre Jordan1900010
Rodrick Pleasant (Tr)362007
Cole Martin (Tr)654003

USC's OC Luke Huard (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Maiava26540366%371124109.2
Husan Longstreet131587%103106.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
King Miller15697286.275
Waymond Jordan8857656.540
Eli Sanders (Tr)4425825.920
Jayden Maiava5415762.921
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Makai Lemon7911561114.674
Ja'Kobi Lane49745415.259
Tanook Hines34561216.551
Lake McRee30450415.064

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC D'Anton Lynn (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desman Stephens II863010
Eric Gentry717312
Christian Pierce643103
Bishop Fitzgerald (Tr)513103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameryn Fountain3711610
Braylan Shelby276540
Jide Abasiri264420
Eric Gentry717312
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevin Longstreet (Tr)40004
DeCarlos Nicholson421104
Marcelles Williams370004