Iowa at USC Game Matchup
Iowa logo Iowa Hawkeyes at USC TrojansUSC logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum - Los Angeles, CA  (Big Ten)

 
Hawkeyes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (204 - 123)
Avg Score : 28 - 18 (21 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#60)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 7) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
USC 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: USC -2   (SP+ IOWA -0.5)
Projected Score: IOWA: 25 - USC: 27 (50)
USC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
IOWA Travel: 1544 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Trojans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (37 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 4.9 (#50)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
 
Iowa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Iowa vs UAlbany-35
Sat 9/6 Iowa at Iowa State+2
Sat 9/13 Iowa vs Massachusetts-36.5
Sat 9/20 Iowa at Rutgers-2.5
Sat 9/27 Iowa vs Indiana-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Iowa at Wisconsin-1.5
Sat 10/18 Iowa vs Penn State+15
Sat 10/25 Iowa vs Minnesota-4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Iowa vs Oregon+13
Sat 11/15 Iowa at USC+2
Sat 11/22 Iowa vs Michigan State-11
Fri 11/28 Iowa at Nebraska+3

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 7, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 7, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule
USC's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 USC vs Missouri State-32.50.0
Sat 9/6 USC vs Georgia Southern-17
Sat 9/13 USC at Purdue-21
Sat 9/20 USC vs Michigan State-10.5
Sat 9/27 USC at Illinois+5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 USC vs Michigan+8
Sat 10/18 USC at Notre Dame+17.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 USC at Nebraska+3.5
Sat 11/8 USC vs Northwestern-15.5
Sat 11/15 USC vs Iowa-2
Sat 11/22 USC at Oregon+18.5
Sat 11/29 USC vs UCLA-10.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for USC's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA#100 (.14)42% (72)27.744% (63)2.92 (89)18540% (94)1213.77 (84)#30 (.11)42% (72)17.846% (97)39% (51)3.37 (27)26.30.81.8
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)30.252% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)24.144% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Offense1327.720.842.3%3.770.8153061851215.262%37%44%40%13%.14
USC Defense1324.123.843.8%3.641.2 - - - - - 46%53%44%44%14%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Defense1317.822.842%3.371.8 - - - - - 46%54%46%39%17%.11
USC Offense1330.236.848.4%3.761.4214081382695.540%60%52%46%18%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa1327:0515.441%50%2.826.30.81.84.52.1233.6
USC1328:1221.345%47%5.3461.41.23.91.5133.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense1362% (7)44% (63)35.51855.229 (18).13 (71)2.92 (89)62% (120)10% (76)1.02 (47)
USC Defense1346% (22)44% (78) - - - - .18 (96)3.17 (92)76% (81)7% (127)1 (77)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense1346% (17)46% (97) - - - - .07 (38)3.07 (84)84% (126)10% (68)0.68 (1)
USC Offense1340% (126)52% (10)25.2138.45.519 (73).23 (21)3.49 (9)85% (6)8% (24)0.89 (106)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense1337% (129)40% (94)11.518.6121.56.510.69 (128)7 (26).21 (93)1.5 (93)26% (4)28% (99).2 (108)3% (7)2 (72)
USC Defense1353% (113)44% (103) - - - - - - 10 (66).2 (49)1.3 (4)28% (122)27% (27).14 (6)7% (42)1.8 (8)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense1354% (118)39% (51) - - - - - - 16 (10).18 (39)1.5 (36)32% (76)28% (36).24 (39)7% (27)1.8 (7)
USC Offense1360% (9)46% (26)24.138269.27.111.225 (31)12 (85).25 (74)1.5 (108)29% (24)36% (18).4 (36)10% (134)2 (74)

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 11.46 #31
Iowa's Offense Rating: 18.30 #44
Iowa's Defense Rating: 6.84 #25
2025 Talent Rating: 832.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #34
Iowa's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
Iowa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #28
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 11.46   USC: 13.42

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 11.4   USC: 11.0




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 13.42 #34
USC's Offense Rating: 19.36 #39
USC's Defense Rating: 8.52 #30
2025 Talent Rating: 882.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 37 #18
USC's 2025 Expected Record: 7.1 - 4.9
USC's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #30
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #13
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #47

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24


Iowa Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 17.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8

Iowa's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
USC 27
Iowa 25

Projected Total Points: 50
USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

USC's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201912/27Iowa49USC24IowaUSC -1.5Iowa54.5Over
200201/02USC38Iowa17USC
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC101 Overs
Iowa110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#31) Iowa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.46 #31
Offense Rating: 18.30 #44
Defense Rating: 6.84 #25
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #10
Talent Rating: 832.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #34
Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.77 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Good in Scoring Position 3.37 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Iowa Notes
(5/21) WRs bad LY, only 1 portal add (FCS)? No obv TE
(5/21) LB a big ? this year. Not one has 100 snaps
(5/2) DT Graves/ S Nwankpa both top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OL 3/5 back. Good not great LY, have options
(4/4) OL G L Jones/T G Dunker top 10 via PFF
(3/31) QB Gronowski (SDSU) big add. Surgery ?'s
(3/31) TE Ostrenga was hurt LY, but staff high, jump TY?
(3/19) RB replacing Johnson (1.5k), who's next?
(3/19) Def always good, but new LB's needed
(3/19) Talent #'s higher than exp. Ferentz HOF HC
Iowa     Ratings Matchup     USC
Power #31
#34
Off #44
#39
Def #25
#30
Talent #36
#22
SP+ #28
#30
SP+ Off #68
#13
SP+ Def #10
#47

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: IOWA | USC
Depth Chart: IOWA | USC
Rosters: IOWA | USC
(#34) USC Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.42 #34
Offense Rating: 19.36 #39
Defense Rating: 8.52 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #47
Talent Rating: 882.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 37 #18
Expected Record: 7.1 - 4.9

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.76 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Good Pass Success 46%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


USC Notes
(5/23) Safeties Ramsey & Fitzgerald a strong duo
(5/13) Caden Chittenden (UNLV) top kicker portal add
(4/4) JUCO RB Waymond Jordan looks great early
(3/22) Riley was 1-4 in road games LY. Yikes.
(3/20) QB Maiava good down the stretch LY
(3/20) RB rebuild, Sanders (NM), some talent
(3/20) WR Lemon/Lane a top combo. #3/depth?
(3/20) OL 2/5 back. Took 2 portals. Not clear
(3/20) Def better LY, but lacked sacks/picks/havoc
(3/20) Def lost a lot. Portal adds - 3 DB, 2 DL.


  
Iowa's OC Tim Lester
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mark Gronowski (Tr)19432260%25702178.0
Hank Brown (Tr)274363%403639.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamari Moulton8447335.668
Mark Gronowski (Tr)9337684.020
Jaziun Patterson6330924.939
Terrell Washington Jr.123402.89
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Gill35411211.759
Reece Vander Zee14176312.619
Zach Ortwerth11133012.152
Addison Ostrenga1511417.629

View Iowa's Full Roster
Iowa's DC Phil Parker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Hurkett5612720
Deshaun Lee421004
Xavier Nwankpa410001
Jonah Pace (Tr)3411462
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Hurkett5612720
Aaron Graves338623
Max Llewellyn228673
Jonah Pace (Tr)3411462
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshaun Lee421004
Aaron Graves338623
Max Llewellyn228673

USC's OC Luke Huard
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Maiava10116960%12011167.1
Makai Lemon11100%390039.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Sanders (Tr)147106497.275
Bryan Jackson3618815.223
Jayden Maiava204542.313
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Makai Lemon52764314.770
Ja'Kobi Lane435251212.233
Prince Strachan (Tr)25304112.237
Lake McRee24245010.234

View USC's Full Roster
USC's DC D'Anton Lynn
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamari Ramsey606215
D.J. Harvey (Tr)587206
Bishop Fitzgerald (Tr)557028
Eric Gentry337201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braylan Shelby285321
Kamari Ramsey606215
Eric Gentry337201
D.J. Harvey (Tr)587206
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bishop Fitzgerald (Tr)557028
D.J. Harvey (Tr)587206
Kamari Ramsey606215