Iowa at USC - 2025 Matchup Preview
Iowa logo Iowa Hawkeyes at USC Trojans(#25)USC logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum - Los Angeles, CA  (Big Ten)

 
Hawkeyes (2 - 1) (1 - 1 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (204 - 123)
Avg Score : 31 - 10 (13 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
USC 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: USC -14.5   (SP+ USC -9)

Projected Score: IOWA: 21 - USC: 35 (56)
USC Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
IOWA Travel: 1544 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Trojans (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 55 - 17 (66 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.8 - 2.2 (#9)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Iowa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Iowa vs UAlbany-39.548.5W 34 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Iowa at Iowa State+3.043.0L 13 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 Iowa vs Massachusetts-35.544.5W 47 - 7OY
Fri 9/19 Iowa at Rutgers-2.545.5
Sat 9/27 Iowa vs Indiana+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Iowa at Wisconsin-2.5
Sat 10/18 Iowa vs Penn State+14
Sat 10/25 Iowa vs Minnesota-3
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Iowa vs Oregon+13.5
Sat 11/15 Iowa at USC+14.5
Sat 11/22 Iowa vs Michigan State-8
Fri 11/28 Iowa at Nebraska+6.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule
USC's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 USC vs Missouri State-34.559.5W 73 - 13OY
Sat 9/6 USC vs Georgia Southern-29.061.5W 59 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 USC at Purdue-20.559.5W 33 - 17UN
Sat 9/20 USC vs Michigan State-17.555.5
Sat 9/27 USC at Illinois-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 USC vs Michigan-5.5
Sat 10/18 USC at Notre Dame-5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 USC at Nebraska-5.5
Sat 11/8 USC vs Northwestern-28.5
Sat 11/15 USC vs Iowa-14.5
Sat 11/22 USC at Oregon+7
Sat 11/29 USC vs UCLA-35

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for USC's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA#61 (.22)47% (45)31.354% (23)3.82 (8)21434% (114)1224.89 (35)#34 (.03)34% (30)1034% (31)34% (40)3.75 (76)210.70.3
USC#3 (.6)62% (2)5565% (3)4 (2)24059% (7)3645.59 (9)#8 (-.1)36% (43)16.739% (69)35% (42)1.95 (14)80.30.72.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA#100 (.14)42% (72)44% (63)2.92 (89)18540% (94)1213.77 (84)#30 (.11)42% (72)46% (97)39% (51)3.37 (27)26.30.81.8
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)52% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)44% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Offense331.31346.7%4.890.7193362141224.961%39%54%34%10%.22
USC Defense316.716.535.9%1.952.3 - - - - - 34%66%39%35%22%-.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Defense3101634.1%3.750.3 - - - - - 47%53%34%34%18%.03
USC Offense3556661.7%5.590.726604240364751%48%65%59%10%.6

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa333:1619.354%67%2.3210.70.36.32.3133.2
USC330:3625.752%100%7.380.30.72.310.34.7226.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense361% (15)54% (23)442144.96 (49).26 (37)3.82 (8)85% (27)7% (46)0.79 (114)
USC Defense334% (2)39% (69) - - - - .03 (58)2.82 (75)67% (53)17% (6)0.9 (59)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense347% (46)34% (31) - - - - (48)2.81 (74)100% (127)14% (26)0.82 (42)
USC Offense351% (63)65% (3)34.3240712 (3).37 (16)4 (2)89% (16)8% (47)0.79 (111)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense339% (121)34% (114)14.323.7121.75.18.54 (72)1 (23).17 (98)1.5 (88)21% (9)21% (122).03 (122)3% (14)1 (135)
USC Defense366% (135)35% (42) - - - - - - 6 (2)-.18 (8)1.7 (112)38% (18)28% (65).03 (23)5% (80)2.4 (119)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense353% (93)34% (40) - - - - - - 0.05 (28)1 (5)37% (36)15% (13)-.02 (19)5% (99)1.2 (2)
USC Offense348% (74)59% (7)20.328.336412.917.97 (23)0 (1).91 (2)2 (10)20% (7)38% (32).69 (18)3% (26)2.4 (19)

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 16.93 #37
Iowa's Offense Rating: 13.80 #63
Iowa's Defense Rating: -3.13 #14
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Iowa's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Iowa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #34
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #78
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 16.93   USC: 28.345

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 11.0   USC: 19.8




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 28.345 #9
USC's Offense Rating: 29.19 #6
USC's Defense Rating: -4.40 #10
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
USC's 2025 Expected Record: 9.8 - 2.2
USC's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.8 #9
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1 #3
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Iowa Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense on Road: 16

Iowa's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 1
Projected Score
USC 35
Iowa 21


Total Points: 56

USC Scoring
Offense: 55 PPG
Offense at Home: 66
Defense: 16.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.5

USC's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201912/27Iowa49USC24IowaUSC -1.5Iowa54.5Over
200201/02USC38Iowa17USC
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC101 Overs
Iowa110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#37) Iowa Info
Power Rating: 16.93 #37
Offense Rating: 13.80 #63
Defense Rating: -3.13 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #34
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #12
Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 47%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.89 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 34%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Iowa has lost 6 straight
Iowa has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 0 - 1 vs Spread )

Iowa Notes
(9/6) QB Gronowski is shockingly awful. WR are trash
(9/1) Gronowski really bad (44 yds), hiding vs FCS?
(8/28) WR Vaner Zee out about a month (foot)
(6/6) OL 3/5 back. Have options, PFF top 10 OL
(5/27) Warren Ruggiero (Wake OC) is Sr Off Analyst
(5/21) WRs bad LY, only 1 portal add (FCS)? No obv TE
(5/21) LB a big ? this year. Not one has 100 snaps
(5/2) DT Graves/ S Nwankpa both top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OL G L Jones/T G Dunker top 10 via PFF
(3/31) QB Gronowski (SDSU) big add. Surgery ?'s

Iowa Highlights
Iowa has Really Good Running Game (#24)
Iowa has a top Offensive Line (#8)
Iowa offense is good on 3rd downs
Iowa does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#1)

Iowa has a really good defense (#30)
Iowa defense does not give up big plays (#5)
Iowa Front 7 is disruptive (#26)
Iowa has a great TO Margin (#28)
Iowa commits very few Penalties (#1)
Iowa defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Iowa Deficiencies
Iowa offense is not Explosive (#130)
Iowa pass game is really bad (#114)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUSCIOWA
OverallOver#7#16
OffenseOff#11#24
DefenseDef#11#13
Special TeamsST#30#77
PassingPass#30#73
RushingRush#23#46
Run BlockRBLK#45#1
Pass BlockPBLK#18#28
Route RunningWR Rt#4#91
TacklingTkl#11#37
Run DefenseR Def#35#30
Pass Rush DefPRush#41#4
Coverage DefCov#1#46

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: IOWA | USC
Depth Chart: IOWA | USC
Rosters: IOWA | USC
(#9) USC Info
Power Rating: 28.345 #9
Offense Rating: 29.19 #6
Defense Rating: -4.40 #10
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.8 #9
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
Expected Record: 9.8 - 2.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 62%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.59 PPO
Great Run Success 65%
Great Pass Success 59%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 1.95 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 35%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

USC has lost 6 straight
USC has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

USC Notes
(8/22) QB Maiava good at times, but is he a baller?
(8/21) OG DJ Winfield ruled ineligible, blow to OL
(6/5) WR Lemon/Lane a top duo in CFB, 2 portal adds
(6/5) Def lost a lot. 7 Portal adds, 5 DB, 2 DL.
(6/5) New OC Huard (USC QBs), Riley still calling plays
(6/5) F7 very talented but not very productive so far
(6/5) DBs should be much better with 5 portal adds
(5/23) Safeties Ramsey & Fitzgerald a strong duo
(5/13) Caden Chittenden (UNLV) top kicker portal add
(4/4) JUCO RB Waymond Jordan looks great early

USC Highlights
USC in Undefeated
USC is Undefeated at Home
USC is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

USC has Really Good Running Game (#13)
USC offense is efficent (#2)
USC has a top Offensive Line (#2)
USC offense is good in red zone (#9)
USC offense is good on 3rd downs
USC does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#6)

USC Defense Sacks the QB a lot

USC defense is really good in red zone (#14)
USC Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#22)
USC Front 7 is disruptive (#6)
USC has a great TO Margin (#28)
USC defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)

USC Deficiencies
USC Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
USC gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#114)


  
Iowa's OC Tim Lester
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mark Gronowski (Tr)376359%306314.9
Hank Brown (Tr)6875%59107.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Williams2618617.243
Jaziun Patterson2816105.817
Terrell Washington Jr.239504.113
Mark Gronowski (Tr)338832.713
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Phillips (Tr)490022.545
Jacob Gill780011.422
Seth Anderson64026.720
Nathan Mcneil132032.032

View Iowa's Full Roster
Iowa's DC Phil Parker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Harrell191110
Karson Sharar162000
Zach Lutmer152101
Xavier Nwankpa110000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Max Llewellyn64300
Jaden Harrell191110
Zach Lutmer152101
Aaron Graves83120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Hall80003
Luke Gaffney00001
Deshaun Lee90001

USC's OC Luke Huard
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Maiava487069%9896014.1
Husan Longstreet131587%103106.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Waymond Jordan3928637.336
Eli Sanders (Tr)2316027.020
King Miller11152213.875
Husan Longstreet96026.717
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Makai Lemon16311219.474
Ja'Kobi Lane9239126.659
Lake McRee7173124.764
Eli Sanders (Tr)488122.073

View USC's Full Roster
USC's DC D'Anton Lynn
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric Gentry215300
Bishop Fitzgerald (Tr)151001
Christian Pierce112101
Desman Stephens II110000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric Gentry215300
Kameryn Fountain65300
Braylan Shelby94210
Anthony Lucas52210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevin Longstreet (Tr)30002
Devan Thompkins52111
Bishop Fitzgerald (Tr)151001