USC at Nebraska - 2025 Matchup Preview
USC logo (#23)USC Trojans at Nebraska CornhuskersNebraska logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
USC -4.5 (59.5) (-185)  Open: -4.5
USC 21 - Nebraska: 17  (Big Ten)

 
Trojans (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (27 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#23)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
NEB 2nd straight Home Game
USC coming off BYE
NEB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: USC -13.5  (SP+ USC -10.5)

Projected Score: USC: 36 - NEB: 22 (58)
USC Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
USC Travel: 1270 miles, 2 hrs behind
Cornhuskers (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Matt Rhule (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (36 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
USC's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 USC vs Missouri State-34.559.5W 73 - 13OY
Sat 9/6 USC vs Georgia Southern-29.061.5W 59 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 USC at Purdue-20.559.5W 33 - 17UN
Sat 9/20 USC vs Michigan State-18.555.5W 45 - 31ON
Sat 9/27 USC at Illinois-6.562.5L 32 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 USC vs Michigan-3.058.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 10/18 USC at Notre Dame+10.560.5L 24 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 USC at Nebraska-4.559.5W 21 - 17UN
Fri 11/7 USC vs Northwestern-14.554.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/15 USC vs Iowa-6.548.5W 26 - 21UN
Sat 11/22 USC at Oregon+10.559.5L 27 - 42ON
Sat 11/29 USC vs UCLA-21.059.0W 29 - 10UN
Tue 12/30 USC vs TCU-4.556.5L 27 - 30ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Nebraska's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Nebraska vs Cincinnati-6.552.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Nebraska vs Akron-34.047.5W 68 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Nebraska vs Houston Christian-48.558.5W 59 - 7OY
Sat 9/20 Nebraska vs Michigan+1.547.5L 27 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Nebraska vs Michigan State-12.548.5W 38 - 27ON
Sat 10/11 Nebraska at Maryland-7.047.5W 34 - 31ON
Fri 10/17 Nebraska at Minnesota-7.047.5L 6 - 24UN
Sat 10/25 Nebraska vs Northwestern-7.544.5W 28 - 21ON
Sat 11/1 Nebraska vs USC+4.559.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 11/8 Nebraska at UCLA+1.545.5W 28 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Nebraska at Penn State+7.545.5L 10 - 37ON
Fri 11/28 Nebraska vs Iowa+5.538.5L 16 - 40ON
Wed 12/31 Nebraska vs Utah+13.551.5L 22 - 44ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC#6 (.35)50% (7)35.848% (18)3.25 (21)16153% (4)2744.72 (8)#59 (.14)45% (121)2347% (122)43% (88)3.37 (42)50.41.11.3
NEB#75 (.16)47% (21)28.748% (19)3.19 (23)13546% (29)2113.91 (51)#85 (.18)42% (73)24.646% (112)37% (21)4.19 (117)40.80.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)52% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)44% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2
NEB#74 (.18)45% (37)48% (22)3.21 (40)12143% (55)2103.38 (114)#44 (.13)40% (50)39% (24)42% (82)3.06 (11)48.91.31.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Offense1335.827.450.3%4.721.1224351612745.448%50%48%53%13%.35
NEB Defense1324.620.942%4.191 - - - - - 55%43%46%37%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Defense132328.845.5%3.371.3 - - - - - 48%50%47%43%16%.14
NEB Offense1328.736.146.9%3.910.8193461352114.349%49%48%46%13%.16

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
USC1327:2322.252%64%5.350.41.11.352.2226.9
Nebraska1328:081945%36%4.240.80.814.61.5232.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Offense1348% (83)48% (18)30160.55.428 (16).21 (24)3.25 (21)79% (24)7% (22)0.95 (76)
NEB Defense1355% (122)46% (112) - - - - .24 (132)3.23 (121)78% (115)10% (49)1.14 (131)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Defense1348% (51)47% (122) - - - - .11 (70)3.27 (125)65% (25)11% (35)0.79 (6)
NEB Offense1349% (70)48% (19)31.4135.54.318 (60).11 (69)3.19 (23)76% (45)9% (54)0.78 (130)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Offense1350% (56)53% (4)20.230274.59.213.625 (22)8 (34).51 (4)1.6 (42)26% (10)38% (10).52 (10)6% (68)2.2 (18)
NEB Defense1343% (11)37% (21) - - - - - - 6 (100).15 (30)1.4 (20)31% (71)33% (114).39 (113)5% (122)1.9 (45)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Defense1350% (89)43% (88) - - - - - - 11 (12).17 (38)1.6 (76)29% (118)32% (100).28 (65)5% (104)2.1 (104)
NEB Offense1349% (71)46% (29)18.826.9210.67.811.222 (14)6 (60).24 (75)1.4 (126)25% (5)33% (41).41 (31)4% (12)2 (82)

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 22.90  #13
USC's Offense Rating: 26.26  #9
USC's Defense Rating: 3.36  #36
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00  #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 40%  #18
USC's 2025 Expected Record: 9.7 - 3.3
USC's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.3  #17
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #11
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5  #35

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
USC: 22.90   Nebraska: 6.555

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 17.3   Nebraska: 6.6




Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 6.555  #64
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 6.53  #83
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 5.02  #46
2025 Talent Rating: 986.00  #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 27  #22
Nebraska's 2025 Expected Record: 7.1 - 5.9
Nebraska's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6  #46
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9  #60
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.3  #39

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.4
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

USC's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
USC 36
Nebraska 22


Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Nebraska 30
USC 28

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Nebraska 29
USC 27

Total Points: 56
Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.9

Nebraska's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Nebraska17USC21USC -4.5Nebraska59.5Under
202411/16USC28Nebraska20USC -6.5USC51.0Under
201412/27USC45Nebraska42USC -7Nebraska63.0Over
200709/15Nebraska31USC49
200609/16USC28Nebraska10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nebraska021 Overs
USC512 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 22 - 11 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 31 - 20 - 11 - 1

(#13) USC at (#64) NEB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSCNEB
Power RatePwr #13 #64
SP+SP+ #17 #46
Perf GradeGrade #33 #35
OffenseOff #18 #43
DefenseDef #79 #60
Spec TeamsST #122 #2
TalentTal #21 #14
Blue ChipsBC% #18 #22
USC Notes
(11/24) ST's unit has been a disaster all season. Cost vs Oregon
(11/22) WR Tanook Hines (Fr) the next great USC WR?
(11/16) Huge W vs Iowa. Learning to B1G at home?
(11/1) Big W @ Neb (vs QB2). Run Off good, Maiava bad
(10/18) Run Def mauled for 300+ by ND, Maiava good, 3 TOs
(10/18) Mauled Mich up front both sides. 224 rush, big win
(10/12) RB1 Waymond Jordan out til mid November
(9/30) Riley is 0-12 vs spread outside of California
(9/30) Def awful vs Ill, all 500 yds, 8 penalties, 2 TOs, bad L
(9/21) Beatup on cupcakes, back to earth vs Purdue/MSU
(9/21) Defense is far from fixed, Sparty cooked DBs
(9/21) WRs are lethal, Maiava has been great so far
USC Injury Report
Nebraska Notes
(12/31) Has lost 30 straight games to ranked opponents.
(12/1) DC John Butler fired after only one season
(11/29) Neb has lost 4+ games every season for 22 years
(11/28) Rhule 2-4 since raise, 7 pt W's vs NW/UCLA. Yikes
(11/28) QB TJ Lateef dreadful vs Iowa. Neb needs portal QB '26
(11/28) Matt Rhule is 2-10 in November at Nebraska
(11/26) QB Raiola threatening portal again. Neb better w/o him
(11/22) Loss to Penn St a huge setback. Program going ?
(11/2) Rhule 0-19 vs top 25, Neb streak is now 0-29
(11/2) QB1 Raiola out for season (broken fibula).
(11/1) Hard L vs USC, Raiola inj, Run Def mauled
(10/29) Rhule signs extension, will remain at Nebraska
Nebraska Injury Report
USC on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
USC OffNEB Def
Perf GradePerf #18 #60
SuccessSuc #7 #73
ExplosiveExp #37 #84
PPAPPA #6 #85
PowerPwr #9 #46
SP+SP+ #11 #39
Pts POPPO #8 #117
HavocHav #34 #98
USC Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
USC OffNEB Def
Run GameRun #22 #68
Run SuccessRSuc #18 #112
Run ExplRExp #76 #131
PPAExp #24 #132
Run BlockR Blk #113 -
OL YdsOLY #21 #121
Stuff RateStuff #32 #107
TackleTak -  #23
USC Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
USC OffNEB Def
Pass GamePass #23 #32
Pass SuccessPSuc #4 #21
Pass ExplPExl #42 #20
PPAExp #4 #30
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #107 #126
F7 HavocF7 #22 #49
DB HavocDB #68 #122
Nebraska on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatNEB OffUSC Def
Perf GradePerf #43 #79
SuccessSuc #21 #121
ExplosiveExp #134 #13
PPAPPA #75 #59
PowerPwr #83 #36
SP+SP+ #60 #35
Pts POPPO #51 #42
HavocHav #25 #63
Nebraska Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
NEB OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #79 #121
Run SuccessRSuc #19 #122
Run ExplRExp #130 #6
PPAExp #69 #70
Run BlockR Blk #22 -
OL YdsOLY #23 #125
Stuff RateStuff #17 #85
TackleTak -  #26
Nebraska Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatNEB OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #93 #21
Pass SuccessPSuc #29 #88
Pass ExplPExl #126 #76
PPAExp #75 #38
Pass Block/RushP Blk #18 #84
F7 HavocF7 #54 #35
DB HavocDB #12 #104
Program Comparison
NEB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 41°
Rematch from Week 10
USC 4.5 (59.5)
USC won at Nebraska this year (21-17)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Nebraska last year (28-20)

  
USC's OC Luke Huard (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Maiava24737366%34312389.2
Husan Longstreet131587%103106.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
King Miller13187376.775
Waymond Jordan8857656.540
Eli Sanders (Tr)4425825.920
Jayden Maiava5115062.921
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Makai Lemon7911561114.674
Ja'Kobi Lane49745415.259
Lake McRee30450415.064
Tanook Hines28398214.251

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC D'Anton Lynn (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desman Stephens II801010
Eric Gentry717312
Christian Pierce582103
Bishop Fitzgerald (Tr)513103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braylan Shelby236530
Kameryn Fountain308400
Jide Abasiri244420
Anthony Lucas374370
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcelles Williams330004
Kevin Longstreet (Tr)40004
Christian Pierce582103

NEB's OC Dana Holgorsen (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Raiola18125072%20001868.0
TJ Lateef599562%722407.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Emmett Johnson2511451125.870
Kwinten Ives1611927.428
TJ Lateef279833.614
Isaiah Mozee198304.421
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nyziah Hunter (Tr)43617514.364
Jacory Barney Jr.43463410.852
Dane Key (Tr)35424512.140
Emmett Johnson4637038.056

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC John Butler (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Javin Wright838223
DeShon Singleton704124
Rex Guthrie602001
Vincent Shavers Jr.528110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Williams Nwaneri (Tr)275351
Dasan Mccullough (Tr)215231
Kade Pietrzak145231
Keona Davis304211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ceyair Wright251105
DeShon Singleton704124
Donovan Jones512004