Georgia Southern at USC - 2025 Matchup Preview
Georgia Southern logo Georgia Southern Eagles at USC TrojansUSC logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
USC -29.0 (61.5) (-10000)  Open: -28.0 | 64.0
USC 59 - Georgia Southern: 20

 
Eagles (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Clay Helton (20 - 18)
Avg Score : 25 - 45 (17 - 51 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.3 - 7.7 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
GASO 2nd straight Road Game
USC 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: USC -46   (SP+ USC -33)

Projected Score: GASO: 11 - USC: 57 (67)
USC Win prob: 96% | Cover: 42%
GASO Travel: 2102 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Trojans (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 55 - 17 (66 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.8 - 2.2 (#9)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
 
Georgia Southern's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Georgia Southern at Fresno State+2.554.5L 14 - 42ON
Sat 9/6 Georgia Southern at USC+29.061.5L 20 - 59ON
Sat 9/13 Georgia Southern vs Jacksonville State-3.059.0W 41 - 34OY
Sat 9/20 Georgia Southern vs Maine-5.5
Sat 9/27 Georgia Southern at James Madison+24
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Georgia Southern vs Southern Miss+10.5
Sat 10/18 Georgia Southern vs Georgia State-5
Sat 10/25 Georgia Southern at Arkansas State+5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 Georgia Southern at App State+10.5
Sat 11/15 Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina+1.5
Sat 11/22 Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion+14.5
Sat 11/29 Georgia Southern at Marshall+7

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule
USC's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 USC vs Missouri State-34.559.5W 73 - 13OY
Sat 9/6 USC vs Georgia Southern-29.061.5W 59 - 20OY
Sat 9/13 USC at Purdue-20.559.5W 33 - 17UN
Sat 9/20 USC vs Michigan State-17.555.5
Sat 9/27 USC at Illinois-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 USC vs Michigan-5.5
Sat 10/18 USC at Notre Dame-5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 USC at Nebraska-5.5
Sat 11/8 USC vs Northwestern-28.5
Sat 11/15 USC vs Iowa-14.5
Sat 11/22 USC at Oregon+7
Sat 11/29 USC vs UCLA-35

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for USC's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GASO#125 ()36% (117)2543% (81)3.76 (12)14833% (116)1953.89 (74)#135 (.54)64% (136)4571% (136)59% (135)5.17 (125)4011.7
USC#3 (.6)62% (2)5565% (3)4 (2)24059% (7)3645.59 (9)#8 (-.1)36% (43)16.739% (69)35% (42)1.95 (14)80.30.72.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GASO#68 (.19)43% (65)46% (44)2.84 (101)12840% (85)2384.57 (17)#105 (.23)45% (108)47% (109)44% (102)3.81 (71)48.31.71.5
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)52% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)44% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GASO Offense3251736.2%3.891213431481954.636%62%43%33%15%
USC Defense316.716.535.9%1.952.3 - - - - - 34%66%39%35%22%-.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GASO Defense34550.564.4%5.171.7 - - - - - 54%44%71%59%8%.54
USC Offense3556661.7%5.590.726604240364751%48%65%59%10%.6

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia Southern327:052141%67%3.74011.740.3124
USC330:3625.752%100%7.380.30.72.310.34.7226.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GASO Offense336% (132)43% (81)32148.34.63 (95).11 (82)3.76 (12)100% (1)8% (58)0.64 (131)
USC Defense334% (2)39% (69) - - - - .03 (58)2.82 (75)67% (53)17% (6)0.9 (59)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GASO Defense354% (101)71% (136) - - - - .48 (136)4.49 (136)89% (119)5% (132)0.99 (79)
USC Offense351% (63)65% (3)34.3240712 (3).37 (16)4 (2)89% (16)8% (47)0.79 (111)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GASO Offense362% (7)33% (116)1932.3194.7610.36 (34)2 (60)-.03 (130)1.6 (41)36% (119)24% (114).22 (97)7% (102)2.1 (58)
USC Defense366% (135)35% (42) - - - - - - 6 (2)-.18 (8)1.7 (112)38% (18)28% (65).03 (23)5% (80)2.4 (119)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GASO Defense344% (27)59% (135) - - - - - - 3 (28).8 (134)1.7 (111)17% (136)57% (136).79 (132)3% (116)1.6 (25)
USC Offense348% (74)59% (7)20.328.336412.917.97 (23)0 (1).91 (2)2 (10)20% (7)38% (32).69 (18)3% (26)2.4 (19)

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -22.24 #136
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 6.65 #96
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 31.76 #136
2025 Talent Rating: 586.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Georgia Southern's 2025 Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Georgia Southern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.4 #117
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #88
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #129

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -22.24   USC: 28.345

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -13.4   USC: 19.8




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 28.345 #9
USC's Offense Rating: 29.19 #6
USC's Defense Rating: -4.40 #10
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
USC's 2025 Expected Record: 9.8 - 2.2
USC's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.8 #9
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1 #3
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 45 PPG
Defense on Road: 50.5

Georgia Southern's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
USC 57
Georgia Southern 11


Total Points: 67

USC Scoring
Offense: 55 PPG
Offense at Home: 66
Defense: 16.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.5

USC's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06USC59Georgia Southern20USCUSC -29.0USC61.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC111 Overs
Georgia Southern000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#136) Georgia Southern Info
Power Rating: -22.24 #136
Offense Rating: 6.65 #96
Defense Rating: 31.76 #136
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.4 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #129
Talent Rating: 586.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 36%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Poor DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 64%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.17 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 71%
Awful Pass Def Success 59%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Georgia Southern has lost 1 straight
Georgia Southern has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Georgia Southern Notes
(8/1) Two West coast games to open. Impact?
(8/1) QB French way to many TOs under pressure LY
(8/1) QB/RB/WR combo great potential as tops in SBC
(8/1) DBs could be strong TY but F7 has lots of ?
(7/12) Helton QBs are historically TO prone
(4/7) WR Brown (Aub) impressive. QB as good depth
(3/24) QB French back. Helton (WKU) added
(3/24) RB Arnold, Mbadinga exp'd. Gibbs big croot
(3/24) WR Cobb/Dallas back (2/3 LY). Have depth
(3/24) OL 4/5 back, T Williams also exp'd. Looks good

Georgia Southern Highlights
Georgia Southern has a top Offensive Line (#12)
Georgia Southern commits very few Penalties (#16)
Georgia Southern defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Georgia Southern Deficiencies
Georgia Southern offense is really bad (#117)
Georgia Southern pass game is really bad (#116)
Georgia Southern Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Georgia Southern does not Sack the QB (#130)
Georgia Southern has a bad defense (#136)
Georgia Southern Does Not Stuff Runs (#135)
Georgia Southern has a bad defensive line (#136)
Georgia Southern has a bad red zone defense (#125)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUSCGASO
OverallOver#7#95
OffenseOff#11#58
DefenseDef#11#108
Special TeamsST#30#56
PassingPass#30#54
RushingRush#23#51
Run BlockRBLK#45#41
Pass BlockPBLK#18#23
Route RunningWR Rt#4#89
TacklingTkl#11#101
Run DefenseR Def#35#113
Pass Rush DefPRush#41#111
Coverage DefCov#1#64

Rematch from Week 2
USC -29.0 (61.5)
USC won vs Georgia Southern this year (59-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: GASO | USC
Depth Chart: GASO | USC
Rosters: GASO | USC
(#9) USC Info
Power Rating: 28.345 #9
Offense Rating: 29.19 #6
Defense Rating: -4.40 #10
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.8 #9
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.1 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
Expected Record: 9.8 - 2.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 62%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.59 PPO
Great Run Success 65%
Great Pass Success 59%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 1.95 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 35%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

USC has won 1 straight
USC has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

USC Notes
(8/22) QB Maiava good at times, but is he a baller?
(8/21) OG DJ Winfield ruled ineligible, blow to OL
(6/5) WR Lemon/Lane a top duo in CFB, 2 portal adds
(6/5) Def lost a lot. 7 Portal adds, 5 DB, 2 DL.
(6/5) New OC Huard (USC QBs), Riley still calling plays
(6/5) F7 very talented but not very productive so far
(6/5) DBs should be much better with 5 portal adds
(5/23) Safeties Ramsey & Fitzgerald a strong duo
(5/13) Caden Chittenden (UNLV) top kicker portal add
(4/4) JUCO RB Waymond Jordan looks great early

USC Highlights
USC in Undefeated
USC is Undefeated at Home
USC is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

USC has Really Good Running Game (#13)
USC offense is efficent (#2)
USC has a top Offensive Line (#2)
USC offense is good in red zone (#9)
USC offense is good on 3rd downs
USC does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#6)

USC Defense Sacks the QB a lot

USC defense is really good in red zone (#14)
USC Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#22)
USC Front 7 is disruptive (#6)
USC has a great TO Margin (#28)
USC defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)

USC Deficiencies
USC Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
USC gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#114)


  
Georgia Southern's OC Ryan Aplin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
JC French528760%528526.1
Turner Helton (Tr)4944%24002.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
OJ Arnold3321426.541
David Mbadinga238503.711
Jamarian Samuel772010.336
JC French204612.310
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Camden Brown (Tr)9163418.132
Dalen Cobb15154110.323
Marcus Sanders Jr.784012.018
Josh Dallas86808.517

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster
Georgia Southern's DC Brandon Bailey
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Tyson (Tr)301010
Brendan Harrington (Tr)190000
Jusfin Meyers170001
Ayden Jackson140010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devin Collier81100
Brandon Tyson (Tr)301010
Phillip Gladney20000
Antavious Murphy20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dorrian Smith41002
Jaquari Brown61002
Jusfin Meyers170001

USC's OC Luke Huard
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Maiava487069%9896014.1
Husan Longstreet131587%103106.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Waymond Jordan3928637.336
Eli Sanders (Tr)2316027.020
King Miller11152213.875
Husan Longstreet96026.717
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Makai Lemon16311219.474
Ja'Kobi Lane9239126.659
Lake McRee7173124.764
Eli Sanders (Tr)488122.073

View USC's Full Roster
USC's DC D'Anton Lynn
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric Gentry215300
Bishop Fitzgerald (Tr)151001
Christian Pierce112101
Desman Stephens II110000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric Gentry215300
Kameryn Fountain65300
Braylan Shelby94210
Anthony Lucas52210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevin Longstreet (Tr)30002
Devan Thompkins52111
Bishop Fitzgerald (Tr)151001