Rutgers at Minnesota - 2025 Matchup Preview
Rutgers logo Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Minnesota Golden GophersMinnesota logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Huntington Bank Stadium - Minneapolis, MN  (Big Ten)

 
Scarlet Knights (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Greg Schiano (26 - 33)
Avg Score : 46 - 19 (46 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#82)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
MINN coming off BYE
RUTG is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Minnesota -6   (SP+ RUTG -0)

Projected Score: RUTG: 25 - MINN: 31 (56)
MINN Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
RUTG Travel: 997 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Gophers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (57 - 39)
Avg Score : 34 - 12 (45 - 5 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Rutgers's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Rutgers vs Ohio-11.546.5W 34 - 31ON
Sat 9/6 Rutgers vs Miami (OH)-15.545.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 Rutgers vs Norfolk State-44.556.5W 60 - 10OY
Fri 9/19 Rutgers vs Iowa+2.545.5
Sat 9/27 Rutgers at Minnesota+6
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Rutgers at Washington+9
Sat 10/18 Rutgers vs Oregon+17.5
Sat 10/25 Rutgers at Purdue-11.5
Sat 11/1 Rutgers at Illinois+13.5
Sat 11/8 Rutgers vs Maryland-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Rutgers at Ohio State+22.5
Sat 11/29 Rutgers vs Penn State+18

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule
Minnesota's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Minnesota vs Buffalo-16.545.5W 23 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 Minnesota vs Northwestern State-43.050.5W 66 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Minnesota at California-3.041.5L 14 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Minnesota vs Rutgers-6
Sat 10/4 Minnesota at Ohio State+19
Sat 10/11 Minnesota vs Purdue-20
Sat 10/18 Minnesota vs Nebraska+2
Sat 10/25 Minnesota at Iowa+3
Sat 11/1 Minnesota vs Michigan State-7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Minnesota at Oregon+19.5
Sat 11/22 Minnesota vs Northwestern-11
Sat 11/29 Minnesota vs Wisconsin-6.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RUTG#31 (.33)53% (22)46.350% (42)3.09 (59)16556% (14)2963.93 (70)#99 (.19)39% (68)19.336% (46)42% (85)3.92 (85)31.301.3
MINN#57 (.23)46% (50)34.342% (84)3.24 (44)18051% (31)2403.57 (93)#26 (-)33% (28)12.324% (6)39% (65)3.78 (77)46.71.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RUTG#84 (.16)43% (67)44% (69)2.92 (88)16442% (63)1894.19 (44)#106 (.23)43% (85)48% (113)40% (59)4.03 (92)33.80.60.9
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)44% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)36% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RUTG Offense346.346.352.6%3.93029461165296452%48%50%56%8%.33
MINN Defense312.3533.3%3.781.7 - - - - - 40%60%24%39%21%-
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RUTG Defense319.319.339.2%3.921.3 - - - - - 45%54%36%42%14%.19
MINN Offense334.344.546.2%3.571.3244211802404.352%48%42%51%12%.23

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Rutgers335:3829.350%80%431.301.351.3331.2
Minnesota335:1223.749%33%4.746.71.31.76.32.3135.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RUTG Offense352% (59)50% (42)41.3164.746 (49).15 (61)3.09 (59)90% (14)6% (27)0.87 (92)
MINN Defense340% (11)24% (6) - - - - -.17 (11)1.94 (9)80% (107)16% (10)0.81 (37)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RUTG Defense345% (36)36% (46) - - - - .23 (114)3.29 (122)40% (7)9% (85)1.37 (127)
MINN Offense352% (60)42% (84)42.3180.34.36 (49).06 (94)3.24 (44)80% (36)6% (16)0.78 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RUTG Offense348% (75)56% (14)22.331.3296.39.513.39 (13)0 (1).53 (21)1.4 (90)25% (23)44% (16).41 (51)2% (7)1.5 (122)
MINN Defense360% (130)39% (65) - - - - - - 2 (56).11 (38)1.5 (61)37% (25)24% (38).24 (61)6% (76)2.2 (97)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RUTG Defense354% (101)42% (85) - - - - - - 2 (56).25 (80)1.6 (78)41% (5)35% (112).48 (113)5% (85)2.1 (86)
MINN Offense348% (73)51% (31)1728240.38.614.15 (54)3 (92).42 (41)1.7 (35)31% (75)35% (44).34 (65)7% (104)1.8 (96)

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 11.17 #52
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 21.15 #28
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 9.98 #81
2025 Talent Rating: 836.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Rutgers's 2025 Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0
Rutgers's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #46
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #31
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #54

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 11.17   Minnesota: 15.72

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 8.6   Minnesota: 8.4




Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 15.72 #35
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 15.99 #46
Minnesota's Defense Rating: -2.05 #22
2025 Talent Rating: 928.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #44
Minnesota's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #47
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 46.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 46.3
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.3

Rutgers's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 31
Rutgers 25


Total Points: 56

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 34.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.5
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 5

Minnesota's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Rutgers26Minnesota19RutgersMinnesota -6.5Rutgers44.5Over
202210/29Minnesota31Rutgers0MinnesotaMinnesota -14Minnesota40.5Under
201910/19Rutgers7Minnesota42MinnesotaMinnesota -28.5Minnesota46.0Over
201610/22Minnesota34Rutgers32MinnesotaMinnesota -21Rutgers45.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Minnesota323 Overs
Rutgers121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 12 - 21 - 11 - 1
Road Teams1 - 32 - 21 - 11 - 1

(#52) Rutgers Info
Power Rating: 11.17 #52
Offense Rating: 21.15 #28
Defense Rating: 9.98 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #46
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #54
Talent Rating: 836.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 53%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Good Run Success 50%
Great Pass Success 56%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.92 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Rutgers has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Rutgers Notes
(8/21) OT R Langsdale out for season, big loss
(6/10) OL 4/5 back. 5 portal adds, looks pretty good
(6/10) Def not great LY, returns a lot. 9 portal adds
(6/10) OL has top 10 exp, 87% of which returning
(5/15) DL added 5 portals, JMU's best DE & DT
(5/13) Def portals very productive, esp on the DL
(4/24) WR Sheffield big add w Strong/Duff. Very good
(3/29) QB Kaliakmanis back, JAG+. Can run
(3/29) HC Schiano v good. Has bowled last 2 years
(3/21) RB Raymond good FR LY, portal Campbell (FAU)

Rutgers Highlights
Rutgers in Undefeated

Rutgers offense is efficent (#22)
Rutgers offense is good on 3rd downs
Rutgers does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#25)

Rutgers has a great TO Margin (#1)
Rutgers commits very few Penalties (#25)

Rutgers Deficiencies
Rutgers gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#117)
Rutgers has a bad defensive line (#122)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMINNRUTG
OverallOver#8#14
OffenseOff#8#1
DefenseDef#17#87
Special TeamsST#4#89
PassingPass#13#1
RushingRush#13#38
Run BlockRBLK#11#4
Pass BlockPBLK#44#8
Route RunningWR Rt#35#2
TacklingTkl#25#56
Run DefenseR Def#34#87
Pass Rush DefPRush#63#55
Coverage DefCov#10#90

Previous Matchups
Rutgers beat Minnesota last year (26-19)
Minnesota beat Rutgers in 2022 (31-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: RUTG | MINN
Depth Chart: RUTG | MINN
Rosters: RUTG | MINN
(#35) Minnesota Info
Power Rating: 15.72 #35
Offense Rating: 15.99 #46
Defense Rating: -2.05 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #47
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Talent Rating: 928.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #44
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.57 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 51%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 24%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Minnesota has lost 1 straight
Minnesota has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Minnesota Notes
(9/13) RB1 D Taylor doubtful for Cal (leg inj)
(8/29) QB Lindsey, RB Taylor as good as advertised
(5/26) Portal DE J Howard (LSU) a pot. gamewrecker
(5/23) Safeties Perich & Brown a top duo in CFB
(5/2) S Koi Perch #2 via PFF, only a Soph, 5 Ints
(4/17) QB RFr Drake Lindsey starter? Pryon in portal
(4/7) OL 2/5 back, bad LY. 3 exp'd P4 portals added
(3/31) RB Taylor back, add Turner (Marsh). Looks great
(3/19) WR rebuild. 3 portal adds. Improved, how much?
(3/19) Def v good and return a lot. New DE/CB needs

Minnesota Highlights
Minnesota is Undefeated at Home

Minnesota offense is good on 3rd downs
Minnesota does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#18)

Minnesota has a really good defense (#28)
Minnesota has a good run defense (#6)
Minnesota Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#24)
Minnesota Defensive Line is very good (#9)
Minnesota Front 7 is disruptive (#10)

Minnesota Deficiencies


  
Rutgers's OC Kirk Ciarrocca
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Athan Kaliakmanis628573%820709.6
AJ Surace4757%58208.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Antwan Raymond4324855.835
CJ Campbell2211905.422
Ja'shon Benjamin2110214.915
Edd Guerrier72503.69
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
KJ Duff17244214.432
Ian Strong16216213.526
DT Sheffield (Tr)12201216.854
Ben Black356118.737

View Rutgers's Full Roster
Rutgers's DC Robb Smith
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaj Sanders160001
Moses Walker152001
Jett Elad (Tr)141010
Eric O'Neill (Tr)113100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Djibril Abdou Rahman21100
Dariel Djabome101110
Jordan Thompson41100
Eric O'Neill (Tr)113100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bo Mascoe81002
Kaj Sanders160001
Keshon Griffin21011

Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drake Lindsey467661%634428.3
Max Shikenjanski4580%801016.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor3316104.918
Fame Ijeboi2313605.927
Grant Washington2012606.316
Cameron Davis (Tr)216923.314
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Tracy (Tr)6150125.045
Lemeke Brockington10136013.623
Jalen Smith276138.060
Kenric Lanier II259029.552

View Minnesota's Full Roster
Minnesota's DC Danny Collins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maverick Baranowski182000
Devon Williams182201
Koi Perich101000
Aidan Gousby80000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Smith74301
Devon Williams182201
Emmanuel Karmo51111
Jalen Logan-Redding41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Nestor (Tr)61002
Devon Williams182201
Anthony Smith74301