Minnesota at Northwestern - 2025 Matchup Preview
Minnesota logo Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 PM EST)
Northwestern -4.0 (41.0) (-185)  Open: -5.5 | 40.5
Northwestern 38 - Minnesota: 35  (Big Ten)

 
Golden Gophers (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (57 - 39)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (8 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 5.5 (#61)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
MINN 2nd straight Road Game
NW 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Northwestern -2.5  (SP+ NW -1)

Projected Score: MINN: 19 - NW: 22 (41)
NW Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MINN Travel: 342 miles
Wildcats (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach David Braun (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (27 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#71)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
Minnesota's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Minnesota vs Buffalo-16.545.5W 23 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 Minnesota vs Northwestern State-43.050.5W 66 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Minnesota at California-3.041.5L 14 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Minnesota vs Rutgers-3.551.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 10/4 Minnesota at Ohio State+23.542.5L 3 - 42ON
Sat 10/11 Minnesota vs Purdue-7.549.5W 27 - 20UN
Fri 10/17 Minnesota vs Nebraska+7.047.5W 24 - 6UY
Sat 10/25 Minnesota at Iowa+7.539.5L 3 - 41ON
Sat 11/1 Minnesota vs Michigan State-4.544.5W 23 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/14 Minnesota at Oregon+26.545.5L 13 - 42ON
Sat 11/22 Minnesota vs Northwestern+4.041.0L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/29 Minnesota vs Wisconsin+2.538.5W 17 - 7UY
Fri 12/26 Minnesota vs New Mexico-1.544.5W 20 - 17UY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Northwestern's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Northwestern at Tulane+6.547.5L 3 - 23UN
Fri 9/5 Northwestern vs Western Illinois-30.548.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 9/13 Northwestern vs Oregon+25.550.5L 14 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Northwestern vs UCLA-6.045.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/4 Northwestern vs UL Monroe-12.543.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 10/11 Northwestern at Penn State+20.546.5W 22 - 21UY
Sat 10/18 Northwestern vs Purdue-3.047.5W 19 - 0UY
Sat 10/25 Northwestern at Nebraska+7.544.5L 21 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/7 Northwestern at USC+14.554.5L 17 - 38ON
Sat 11/15 Northwestern vs Michigan+10.041.5L 22 - 24OY
Sat 11/22 Northwestern vs Minnesota-4.041.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 11/29 Northwestern at Illinois+7.044.5L 13 - 20UY
Fri 12/26 Northwestern vs Central Michigan-13.543.5W 34 - 7UY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN#95 (.13)40% (100)2339% (111)2.62 (124)9541% (77)1793.79 (60)#96 (.2)45% (115)22.943% (79)47% (124)3.84 (87)24.30.61.2
NW#83 (.15)43% (59)23.446% (48)2.97 (65)15542% (68)1683.21 (114)#73 (.17)45% (117)19.847% (121)44% (100)3.37 (43)32.31.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)44% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)36% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense13238.339.9%3.790.616274951793.641%57%39%41%16%.13
NW Defense1319.812.445.3%3.371.2 - - - - - 52%46%47%44%15%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense1322.93845.2%3.841.2 - - - - - 46%53%43%47%18%.2
NW Offense1323.426.843.1%3.211.5183231551684.851%47%46%42%17%.15

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota1327:0715.839%42%3.124.30.61.26.52.7230.7
Northwestern1330:1218.344%63%4.132.31.51.23.61.4028.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense1341% (126)39% (111)26.495.43.614 (88).02 (115)2.62 (124)73% (63)9% (46)0.89 (102)
NW Defense1352% (93)47% (121) - - - - .18 (109)3.16 (113)71% (62)9% (94)0.99 (86)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense1346% (19)43% (79) - - - - .14 (91)2.86 (63)73% (80)13% (6)0.98 (84)
NW Offense1351% (59)46% (48)32.51554.815 (99).14 (57)2.97 (65)76% (41)8% (34)0.91 (91)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense1357% (11)41% (77)17.928.5178.66.31017 (61)7 (34).22 (83)1.4 (120)33% (96)28% (92).2 (108)7% (114)1.8 (125)
NW Defense1346% (37)44% (100) - - - - - - 8 (75).24 (62)1.4 (7)28% (121)34% (120).32 (82)6% (64)1.8 (19)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense1353% (118)47% (124) - - - - - - 8 (38).25 (74)1.5 (35)30% (100)36% (129).42 (123)5% (122)2 (56)
NW Offense1347% (81)42% (68)15.726.4167.86.410.714 (75)12 (108).21 (88)1.5 (96)30% (49)33% (37).31 (68)9% (131)1.8 (128)

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: -2.21  #77
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 8.86  #68
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 11.07  #83
2025 Talent Rating: 928.00  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8%  #44
Minnesota's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 5.5
Minnesota's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4  #70
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #92
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9  #44

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: -2.21   Northwestern: 1.49

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 0.4   Northwestern: 1.8




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 1.49  #66
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 8.13  #73
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 6.95  #60
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Northwestern's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 6.3
Northwestern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8  #63
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4  #97
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.3  #39

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.3
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Minnesota's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 22
Minnesota 19


Total Points: 41

Based on Last 4 Games
Northwestern 27
Minnesota 12

Total Points: 38

Based on Entire Season
Northwestern 28
Minnesota 16

Total Points: 44
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.4

Northwestern's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Northwestern38Minnesota35Northwestern -4.0Minnesota41.0Over
202309/23Northwestern37Minnesota34Minnesota -11.5Northwestern39.5Over
202211/12Minnesota31Northwestern3Minnesota -17Minnesota40.5Under
202110/30Northwestern14Minnesota41Minnesota -7.5Minnesota43.5Over
201911/23Northwestern22Minnesota38Minnesota -15.5Minnesota41.0Over
201811/17Minnesota14Northwestern24Minnesota -3Northwestern48.5Under
201711/18Northwestern39Minnesota0Northwestern -7Northwestern40.5Under
201611/19Minnesota29Northwestern12Minnesota -2Minnesota46.0Under
201510/03Northwestern27Minnesota0Northwestern -6.5Northwestern40.5Under
201410/11Minnesota24Northwestern17Minnesota -3.5Minnesota45.0Under
201310/19Northwestern17Minnesota20Northwestern -13Minnesota0
201210/13Minnesota13Northwestern21
201111/19Northwestern28Minnesota13
201010/02Minnesota28Northwestern29
200909/26Northwestern24Minnesota35
200811/01Minnesota17Northwestern24
200710/13Northwestern49Minnesota48
200409/25Minnesota43Northwestern17
200310/04Northwestern17Minnesota42
200210/10Minnesota45Northwestern42
200110/13Northwestern23Minnesota17
200010/27Minnesota35Northwestern41
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern1244 Overs
Minnesota1076 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 106 - 55 - 31 - 2
Road Teams10 - 125 - 62 - 13 - 5

(#77) MINN at (#66) NW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMINNNW
Power RatePwr #77 #66
SP+SP+ #70 #63
Perf GradeGrade #60 #51
OffenseOff #48 #35
DefenseDef #110 #86
Spec TeamsST #1 #108
TalentTal #19 #41
Blue ChipsBC% #44 #65
Minnesota Notes
(11/30) CB J Nestor was incredible vs Iowa, Does he return?
(11/22) This program is awful on road. Study why
(11/16) Gophers historically bad road season, L2 at home
(11/2) Outgained & outplayed by Mich St, Def torched
(10/27) Off horrific vs Iowa, 133 yds, 24 rushing, 3 TOs.
(10/18) Def dominated Neb w/ 9 sacks, held to 213 yds
(10/18) RB D Taylor breakout game, 148 yds, 6.2 ypc
(9/14) Rush Off disappointing, Red Zone issues hurt
(9/13) RB1 D Taylor doubtful for Cal (leg inj)
(8/29) QB Lindsey, RB Taylor as good as advertised
(5/26) Portal DE J Howard (LSU) a pot. gamewrecker
(5/23) Safeties Perich & Brown a top duo in CFB
Minnesota Injury Report
Northwestern Notes
(11/22) Braun gets NW back to bowl. Great job & rebound
(11/16) Lost 3 straight but competitive in most. Improving
(10/19) Have now won 4 straight, 3 in B1G play. Improving
(10/19) Def shut out Purdue, Run Off great, Run Def good
(10/19) QB Stone has been JAG- though, must game control
(9/14) Good fight w/ Ducks but Off has zero expl
(9/9) Top RB Cam Porter out for the season, ouch
(8/30) Stone 4 Int vs Tulane, Run Off & Run Def awful
(7/23) QB is Stone (SMU), no depth, Lausch retired
(5/21) Can WR Wilde (FCS SDSU) bring hope?
(5/21) DL is light, but has exp and some pass rush
(5/21) CBs exp'd but avg, Safeties are good though
Northwestern Injury Report
Minnesota on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat
MINN OffNW Def
Perf GradePerf #48 #86
SuccessSuc #100 #117
ExplosiveExp #99 #12
PPAPPA #95 #73
PowerPwr #68 #60
SP+SP+ #92 #39
Pts POPPO #60 #43
HavocHav #73 #82
Minnesota Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat
MINN OffNW Def
Run GameRun #53 #91
Run SuccessRSuc #111 #121
Run ExplRExp #102 #86
PPAExp #115 #109
Run BlockR Blk #27 -
OL YdsOLY #124 #113
Stuff RateStuff #95 #118
TackleTak -  #99
Minnesota Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat
MINN OffNW Def
Pass GamePass #44 #88
Pass SuccessPSuc #77 #100
Pass ExplPExl #120 #7
PPAExp #83 #62
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #50 #55
F7 HavocF7 #46 #94
DB HavocDB #114 #64
Northwestern on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatNW OffMINN Def
Perf GradePerf #35 #110
SuccessSuc #59 #115
ExplosiveExp #109 #74
PPAPPA #83 #96
PowerPwr #73 #83
SP+SP+ #97 #44
Pts POPPO #114 #87
HavocHav #95 #31
Northwestern Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
NW OffMINN Def
Run GameRun #46 #104
Run SuccessRSuc #48 #79
Run ExplRExp #91 #84
PPAExp #57 #91
Run BlockR Blk #20 -
OL YdsOLY #65 #63
Stuff RateStuff #49 #54
TackleTak -  #86
Northwestern Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatNW OffMINN Def
Pass GamePass #82 #107
Pass SuccessPSuc #68 #124
Pass ExplPExl #96 #35
PPAExp #88 #74
Pass Block/RushP Blk #7 #98
F7 HavocF7 #34 #6
DB HavocDB #131 #122
Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

MINN 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wrigley Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 46° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Northwestern -4.0 (41.0)
Northwestern won vs Minnesota this year (38-35)

Previous Matchups
Northwestern beat Minnesota in 2023 (37-34)
Minnesota beat Northwestern in 2022 (31-3)

  
MINN's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr. (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drake Lindsey22836163%22351666.2
Max Shikenjanski4580%801016.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor11955434.771
Fame Ijeboi9744124.549
Grant Washington2113206.316
Cameron Davis (Tr)3410923.214
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lemeke Brockington46484410.524
Javon Tracy (Tr)35439612.545
Jalen Smith22355216.178
Darius Taylor3022207.440

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Danny Collins (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maverick Baranowski858231
Devon Williams828311
Koi Perich773102
Kerry Brown554003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Smith32141171
Karter Menz278640
Jaxon Howard266410
Devon Williams828311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Nestor (Tr)476006
Kerry Brown554003
Za'Quan Bryan371013

NW's OC Zach Lujan (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Preston Stone (Tr)22237060%240017126.5
Ryan Boe2729%17012.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Komolafe190941115.056
Joseph Himon II9948614.937
Dashun Reeder22222110.179
Robby Preckel4214903.514
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Griffin Wilde (Tr)71880812.449
Hayden Eligon Ii37521314.138
Hunter Welcing28296210.636
Ricky Ahumaraeze10200020.035

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC Tim McGarigle (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Fitzgerald1066014
Mac Uihlein894000
Braydon Brus815344
Braden Turner522012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aidan Hubbard2610850
Michael Kilbane428481
Anto Saka134320
Carmine Bastone244341
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Fussell291009
Fred Davis II (Tr)221006
Ore Adeyi201005