Minnesota vs Northwestern Game Matchup
Minnesota logo Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Wrigley Field - Chicago, IL  (Big Ten)

 
Golden Gophers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (57 - 39)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (23 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#41)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
MINN 2nd straight Road Game
NW 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Minnesota -11.5   (SP+ MINN -12)
Projected Score: MINN: 27 - NW: 16 (43)
MINN Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
MINN Travel: 342 miles
Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach David Braun (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 18 - 26 (18 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3 (#124)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
Minnesota's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 Minnesota vs Buffalo-18.50.0
Sat 9/6 Minnesota vs Northwestern State-33
Sat 9/13 Minnesota at California-9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Minnesota vs Rutgers-5.5
Sat 10/4 Minnesota at Ohio State+24
Sat 10/11 Minnesota vs Purdue-24.5
Sat 10/18 Minnesota vs Nebraska-0.5
Sat 10/25 Minnesota at Iowa+4.5
Sat 11/1 Minnesota vs Michigan State-9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Minnesota at Oregon+20
Sat 11/22 Minnesota vs Northwestern-9
Sat 11/29 Minnesota vs Wisconsin-4.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Northwestern's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Northwestern at Tulane+7.00.0
Sat 9/6 Northwestern vs Western Illinois-21.5
Sat 9/13 Northwestern vs Oregon+26.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Northwestern vs UCLA+2.5
Sat 10/4 Northwestern vs UL Monroe-15.5
Sat 10/11 Northwestern at Penn State+33.5
Sat 10/18 Northwestern vs Purdue-13
Sat 10/25 Northwestern at Nebraska+16.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Northwestern at USC+15.5
Sat 11/15 Northwestern vs Michigan+21
Sat 11/22 Northwestern vs Minnesota+9
Sat 11/29 Northwestern at Illinois+18.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)26.244% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)16.936% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)17.839% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)26.344% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense1326.222.644.9%4.380.8193071032043.744%56%44%46%16%.2
NW Defense1226.326.345%3.741.3 - - - - - 47%53%44%46%15%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense1316.918.838.9%3.321.5 - - - - - 50%50%36%42%19%.08
NW Offense1217.817.837.1%3.021.516285991863.445%54%39%36%19%.02

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota1329:1318.545%90%4.535.60.81.54.41.8228.6
Northwestern1229:491633%50%4.838.81.51.34.81.9328
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense1344% (111)44% (65)28.2102.93.717 (84).11 (80)2.7 (119)73% (69)10% (80)0.88 (113)
NW Defense1247% (26)44% (80) - - - - .07 (42)2.99 (63)69% (47)8% (107)0.86 (15)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense1350% (63)36% (8) - - - - .02 (19)2.71 (22)74% (69)9% (90)0.95 (50)
NW Offense1245% (106)39% (113)29.398.63.412 (114).07 (102)2.63 (124)66% (112)11% (98)1.1 (20)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense1356% (25)46% (29)19.529.2204.1710.518 (68)5 (6).27 (58)1.4 (129)30% (46)31% (80).32 (76)6% (70)2 (75)
NW Defense1253% (110)46% (117) - - - - - - 10 (66).25 (77)1.4 (13)27% (128)35% (116).28 (55)7% (33)1.8 (24)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense1350% (71)42% (80) - - - - - - 16 (10).15 (27)1.3 (6)33% (43)26% (16).15 (10)10% (1)1.8 (20)
NW Offense1254% (31)36% (116)17.632.7186.15.710.67 (130)11 (72).02 (132)1.3 (134)35% (119)31% (79).2 (109)8% (121)1.8 (119)

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 13.26 #25
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 19.01 #40
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 5.75 #20
2025 Talent Rating: 894.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #43
Minnesota's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
Minnesota's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.0 #40
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #100
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #14

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 13.26   Northwestern: -2.035

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 6.0   Northwestern: -6.1




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -2.035 #60
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 11.09 #87
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 9.06 #32
2025 Talent Rating: 826.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #61
Northwestern's 2025 Expected Record: 3.7 - 8.3
Northwestern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #87
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #129
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #39

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.6
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.8

Minnesota's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 27
Northwestern 16

Projected Total Points: 43
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3

Northwestern's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Northwestern37Minnesota34NorthwesternMinnesota -11.5Northwestern39.5Over
202211/12Minnesota31Northwestern3MinnesotaMinnesota -17Minnesota40.5Under
202110/30Northwestern14Minnesota41MinnesotaMinnesota -7.5Minnesota43.5Over
201911/23Northwestern22Minnesota38MinnesotaMinnesota -15.5Minnesota41.0Over
201811/17Minnesota14Northwestern24NorthwesternMinnesota -3Northwestern48.5Under
201711/18Northwestern39Minnesota0NorthwesternNorthwestern -7Northwestern40.5Under
201611/19Minnesota29Northwestern12MinnesotaMinnesota -2Minnesota46.0Under
201510/03Northwestern27Minnesota0NorthwesternNorthwestern -6.5Northwestern40.5Under
201410/11Minnesota24Northwestern17MinnesotaMinnesota -3.5Minnesota45.0Under
201310/19Northwestern17Minnesota20MinnesotaNorthwestern -13Minnesota0
201210/13Minnesota13Northwestern21Northwestern
201111/19Northwestern28Minnesota13Northwestern
201010/02Minnesota28Northwestern29Northwestern
200909/26Northwestern24Minnesota35Minnesota
200811/01Minnesota17Northwestern24Northwestern
200710/13Northwestern49Minnesota48Northwestern
200409/25Minnesota43Northwestern17Minnesota
200310/04Northwestern17Minnesota42Minnesota
200210/10Minnesota45Northwestern42Minnesota
200110/13Northwestern23Minnesota17Northwestern
200010/27Minnesota35Northwestern41Northwestern
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern1143 Overs
Minnesota1066 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 106 - 45 - 21 - 2
Road Teams10 - 114 - 62 - 12 - 5

(#25) Minnesota Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.26 #25
Offense Rating: 19.01 #40
Defense Rating: 5.75 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.0 #40
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #100
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #14
Talent Rating: 894.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #43
Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.32 PPO
Great Run Def Success 36%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Minnesota Notes
(5/26) Portal DE J Howard (LSU) a pot. gamewrecker
(5/23) Safeties Perich & Brown a top duo in CFB
(5/2) S Koi Perch #2 via PFF, only a Soph, 5 Ints
(4/17) QB RFr Drake Lindsey starter? Pryon in portal
(4/7) OL 2/5 back, bad LY. 3 exp'd P4 portals added
(3/31) RB Taylor back, add Turner (Marsh). Looks great
(3/19) WR rebuild. 3 portal adds. Improved, how much?
(3/19) Def v good and return a lot. New DE/CB needs
(3/19) Promoted DC Collins after Hetherman (Mia)
(3/19) Fleck is a good HC. Off could jump in '25
Minnesota     Ratings Matchup     Northwestern
Power #25
#60
Off #40
#87
Def #20
#32
Talent #19
#40
SP+ #40
#87
SP+ Off #100
#129
SP+ Def #14
#39

Previous Matchups
Northwestern beat Minnesota in 2023 (37-34)
Minnesota beat Northwestern in 2022 (31-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wrigley Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MINN | NW
Depth Chart: MINN | NW
Rosters: MINN | NW
(#60) Northwestern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.035 #60
Offense Rating: 11.09 #87
Defense Rating: 9.06 #32
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #87
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #129
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #39
Talent Rating: 826.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #61
Expected Record: 3.7 - 8.3

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.02 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.74 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Northwestern Notes
(5/21) Can WR Wilde (FCS SDSU) bring hope?
(5/21) DL is light, but has exp and some pass rush
(5/21) CBs exp'd but avg, Safeties are good though
(5/21) WR complete rebuild. Depth looks meh, huge ?
(5/21) OL 3/5 back, awful LY. 3 portals, OT Tiernan great
(4/4) RB Porter back, some depth. Run game awful LY
(4/4) Def good LY, returns a lot. 3 portal adds
(4/4) HC Braun dropped from 8 to 4 wins in year 2
(3/22) QB likely Stone (SMU), Lausch started LY


  
Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drake Lindsey4580%501010.0
Darius Taylor11100%101010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor205986104.880
A.J. Turner (Tr)10486468.388
Cameron Davis (Tr)4419004.320
Fame Ijeboi21306.513
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Tracy (Tr)57818714.472
Darius Taylor5435026.522
Logan Loya (Tr)29348412.029
Jameson Geers27286410.623

View Minnesota's Full Roster
Minnesota's DC Danny Collins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maverick Baranowski655112
Kerry Brown633004
Jeff Roberson (Tr)589370
Koi Perich463012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Smith27126101
Jeff Roberson (Tr)589370
Deven Eastern275222
Maverick Baranowski655112
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Za'Quan Bryan191005
Jalen Logan-Redding272054
Kerry Brown633004

Northwestern's OC Zach Lujan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Lausch15929654%1714785.8
Preston Stone (Tr)305159%421518.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Porter12650164.044
Joseph Himon II5225724.951
Jack Lausch8721322.429
Caleb Komolafe5013902.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Griffin Wilde (Tr)6410401016.360
Cam Porter2317407.628
Frank Covey IV109809.827
Joseph Himon II159616.422

View Northwestern's Full Roster
Northwestern's DC Tim McGarigle
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Uihlein844201
Yanni Karlaftis (Tr)572121
Robert Fitzgerald461100
Damon Walters424002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aidan Hubbard337671
Anto Saka155440
Michael Kilbane203300
Mac Uihlein844201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Fussell391005
Fred Davis II (Tr)173004
Evan Smith282003