Minnesota at Northwestern - 2025 Matchup Preview
Minnesota logo Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Wrigley Field - Chicago, IL  (Big Ten)

 
Golden Gophers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (57 - 39)
Avg Score : 34 - 12 (14 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
MINN 2nd straight Road Game
NW 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Minnesota -13.5   (SP+ MINN -12.5)

Projected Score: MINN: 29 - NW: 16 (45)
MINN Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
MINN Travel: 342 miles
Wildcats (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach David Braun (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 20 - 21 (28 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.6 - 8.4 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Minnesota's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Minnesota vs Buffalo-16.545.5W 23 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 Minnesota vs Northwestern State-43.050.5W 66 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Minnesota at California-3.041.5L 14 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Minnesota vs Rutgers-6
Sat 10/4 Minnesota at Ohio State+19
Sat 10/11 Minnesota vs Purdue-20
Sat 10/18 Minnesota vs Nebraska+2
Sat 10/25 Minnesota at Iowa+3
Sat 11/1 Minnesota vs Michigan State-7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Minnesota at Oregon+19.5
Sat 11/22 Minnesota vs Northwestern-11
Sat 11/29 Minnesota vs Wisconsin-6.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Northwestern's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Northwestern at Tulane+6.547.5L 3 - 23UN
Fri 9/5 Northwestern vs Western Illinois-30.548.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 9/13 Northwestern vs Oregon+25.550.5L 14 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Northwestern vs UCLA-8.5
Sat 10/4 Northwestern vs UL Monroe-22.5
Sat 10/11 Northwestern at Penn State+33
Sat 10/18 Northwestern vs Purdue-6.5
Sat 10/25 Northwestern at Nebraska+20.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Northwestern at USC+28.5
Sat 11/15 Northwestern vs Michigan+20.5
Sat 11/22 Northwestern vs Minnesota+11
Sat 11/29 Northwestern at Illinois+23.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN#57 (.23)46% (50)34.342% (84)3.24 (44)18051% (31)2403.57 (93)#26 (-)33% (28)12.324% (6)39% (65)3.78 (77)46.71.31.7
NW#124 (.03)44% (69)19.747% (53)2.79 (88)17844% (70)1800.3 (135)#53 (.08)38% (55)21.347% (103)28% (15)2 (15)33.32.70.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)44% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)36% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense334.31446.2%3.571.3244211802404.352%48%42%51%12%.23
NW Defense321.320.537.5%20.7 - - - - - 52%47%47%28%15%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense312.32733.3%3.781.7 - - - - - 40%60%24%39%21%0
NW Offense319.72843.7%0.32.7193591781805.143%54%47%44%19%.03

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota335:1223.749%33%4.746.71.31.76.32.3135.3
Northwestern331:3719.341%43%4.733.32.70.73.31026.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense352% (60)42% (84)42.3180.34.36 (49).06 (94)3.24 (44)80% (36)6% (16)0.78 (115)
NW Defense352% (89)47% (103) - - - - .28 (123)3.6 (133)75% (80)5% (131)1.1 (99)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense340% (11)24% (6) - - - - -.17 (11)1.94 (9)80% (107)16% (10)0.81 (37)
NW Offense343% (109)47% (53)35178.35.14 (79).06 (92)2.79 (88)71% (67)10% (88)0.87 (93)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense348% (73)51% (31)1728240.38.614.15 (54)3 (92).42 (41)1.7 (35)31% (75)35% (44).34 (65)7% (104)1.8 (96)
NW Defense347% (46)28% (15) - - - - - - 2 (56)-.03 (18)1.4 (42)33% (66)32% (91).33 (85)11% (6)1.9 (61)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense360% (130)39% (65) - - - - - - 2 (56).11 (38)1.5 (61)37% (25)24% (38).24 (61)6% (76)2.2 (97)
NW Offense354% (41)44% (70)1729180.36.210.63 (90)6 (132).14 (104)1.2 (120)25% (26)20% (124).12 (113)9% (131)1.6 (116)

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 18.04 #35
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 15.99 #46
Minnesota's Defense Rating: -2.05 #22
2025 Talent Rating: 928.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
Minnesota's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #47
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 18.04   Northwestern: -0.27

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 8.4   Northwestern: -4.3




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -0.27 #69
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 2.81 #116
Northwestern's Defense Rating: -0.96 #25
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Northwestern's 2025 Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4
Northwestern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #83
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #124
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #41

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 34.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

Minnesota's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 29
Northwestern 16


Total Points: 45

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 19.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.5

Northwestern's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Northwestern37Minnesota34NorthwesternMinnesota -11.5Northwestern39.5Over
202211/12Minnesota31Northwestern3MinnesotaMinnesota -17Minnesota40.5Under
202110/30Northwestern14Minnesota41MinnesotaMinnesota -7.5Minnesota43.5Over
201911/23Northwestern22Minnesota38MinnesotaMinnesota -15.5Minnesota41.0Over
201811/17Minnesota14Northwestern24NorthwesternMinnesota -3Northwestern48.5Under
201711/18Northwestern39Minnesota0NorthwesternNorthwestern -7Northwestern40.5Under
201611/19Minnesota29Northwestern12MinnesotaMinnesota -2Minnesota46.0Under
201510/03Northwestern27Minnesota0NorthwesternNorthwestern -6.5Northwestern40.5Under
201410/11Minnesota24Northwestern17MinnesotaMinnesota -3.5Minnesota45.0Under
201310/19Northwestern17Minnesota20MinnesotaNorthwestern -13Minnesota0
201210/13Minnesota13Northwestern21Northwestern
201111/19Northwestern28Minnesota13Northwestern
201010/02Minnesota28Northwestern29Northwestern
200909/26Northwestern24Minnesota35Minnesota
200811/01Minnesota17Northwestern24Northwestern
200710/13Northwestern49Minnesota48Northwestern
200409/25Minnesota43Northwestern17Minnesota
200310/04Northwestern17Minnesota42Minnesota
200210/10Minnesota45Northwestern42Minnesota
200110/13Northwestern23Minnesota17Northwestern
200010/27Minnesota35Northwestern41Northwestern
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern1143 Overs
Minnesota1066 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 106 - 45 - 21 - 2
Road Teams10 - 114 - 62 - 12 - 5

(#35) Minnesota Info
Power Rating: 18.04 #35
Offense Rating: 15.99 #46
Defense Rating: -2.05 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #47
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Talent Rating: 928.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.57 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 51%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 24%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Minnesota has lost 8 straight
Minnesota has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Minnesota Notes
(9/13) RB1 D Taylor doubtful for Cal (leg inj)
(8/29) QB Lindsey, RB Taylor as good as advertised
(5/26) Portal DE J Howard (LSU) a pot. gamewrecker
(5/23) Safeties Perich & Brown a top duo in CFB
(5/2) S Koi Perch #2 via PFF, only a Soph, 5 Ints
(4/17) QB RFr Drake Lindsey starter? Pryon in portal
(4/7) OL 2/5 back, bad LY. 3 exp'd P4 portals added
(3/31) RB Taylor back, add Turner (Marsh). Looks great
(3/19) WR rebuild. 3 portal adds. Improved, how much?
(3/19) Def v good and return a lot. New DE/CB needs

Minnesota Highlights
Minnesota offense is good on 3rd downs
Minnesota does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#18)

Minnesota has a really good defense (#28)
Minnesota has a good run defense (#6)
Minnesota Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#24)
Minnesota Defensive Line is very good (#9)
Minnesota Front 7 is disruptive (#10)

Minnesota Deficiencies
Minnesota has a really bad Offense Away from Home
Minnesota Defense Gives up a Lot of Points Away from home

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNWMINN
OverallOver#72#8
OffenseOff#45#8
DefenseDef#97#17
Special TeamsST#98#4
PassingPass#111#13
RushingRush#29#13
Run BlockRBLK#2#11
Pass BlockPBLK#62#44
Route RunningWR Rt#84#35
TacklingTkl#115#25
Run DefenseR Def#101#34
Pass Rush DefPRush#56#63
Coverage DefCov#82#10

Previous Matchups
Northwestern beat Minnesota in 2023 (37-34)
Minnesota beat Northwestern in 2022 (31-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wrigley Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MINN | NW
Depth Chart: MINN | NW
Rosters: MINN | NW
(#69) Northwestern Info
Power Rating: -0.27 #69
Offense Rating: 2.81 #116
Defense Rating: -0.96 #25
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.9 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #41
Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 44%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 0.3 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 2 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Great Pass Def Success 28%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Northwestern has lost 8 straight
Northwestern has lost 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Northwestern Notes
(9/9) Top RB Cam Porter out for the season, ouch
(8/30) Stone 4 Int vs Tulane, Run Off & Run Def awful
(7/23) QB is Stone (SMU), no depth, Lausch retired
(5/21) Can WR Wilde (FCS SDSU) bring hope?
(5/21) DL is light, but has exp and some pass rush
(5/21) CBs exp'd but avg, Safeties are good though
(5/21) WR complete rebuild. Depth looks meh, huge ?
(5/21) OL 3/5 back, awful LY. 3 portals, OT Tiernan great
(4/4) RB Porter back, some depth. Run game awful LY
(4/4) Def good LY, returns a lot. 3 portal adds

Northwestern Highlights
Northwestern defense is really good in red zone (#15)
Northwestern has a good pass defense (#15)
Northwestern Secondary is very good (#6)

Northwestern Deficiencies
Northwestern has a really bad Offense
Northwestern has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Northwestern throws a Lot of Interceptions (#132)
Northwestern offense is not Explosive (#115)
Northwestern offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#135)
Northwestern does not Sack the QB (#112)
Northwestern Does Not Stuff Runs (#130)
Northwestern has a bad defensive line (#133)


  
Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drake Lindsey467661%634428.3
Max Shikenjanski4580%801016.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor3316104.918
Fame Ijeboi2313605.927
Grant Washington2012606.316
Cameron Davis (Tr)216923.314
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Tracy (Tr)6150125.045
Lemeke Brockington10136013.623
Jalen Smith276138.060
Kenric Lanier II259029.552

View Minnesota's Full Roster
Minnesota's DC Danny Collins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maverick Baranowski182000
Devon Williams182201
Koi Perich101000
Aidan Gousby80000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Smith74301
Devon Williams182201
Emmanuel Karmo51111
Jalen Logan-Redding41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Nestor (Tr)61002
Devon Williams182201
Anthony Smith74301

Northwestern's OC Zach Lujan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Preston Stone (Tr)518659%541366.3
Frank Covey IV010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Komolafe3615014.224
Joseph Himon II2813704.916
Cam Porter1813717.643
Dashun Reeder492123.079
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Griffin Wilde (Tr)15213014.246
Ricky Ahumaraeze473018.321
Joseph Himon II75908.414
Hunter Welcing555111.028

View Northwestern's Full Roster
Northwestern's DC Tim McGarigle
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Fitzgerald271000
Mac Uihlein212000
Braydon Brus120002
Garner Wallace90001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carmine Bastone92201
Aidan Hubbard92120
Michael Kilbane72110
Robert Fitzgerald271000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Fussell40004
Fred Davis II (Tr)60003
Braydon Brus120002