Nebraska at Minnesota - 2025 Matchup Preview

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Friday, October 17th 2025 (8:00 PM EDT)
Nebraska -7 (47.5) (-258) Open: -5.5
Minnesota 24 - Nebraska: 6 (Big Ten)

Cornhuskers (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Matt Rhule (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (20 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#69)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)

NEB 2nd straight Road Game
MINN 2nd straight Home Game
MINN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Minnesota -0.5 (SP+ NEB -4.5)
Projected Score: NEB: 24 - MINN: 24 (48)
NEB Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
NEB Travel: 337 miles

Golden Gophers (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (57 - 39)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (30 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 5.5 (#61)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
NEB Players
MINN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Nebraska's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Nebraska vs Cincinnati	-6.5	52.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/6	Nebraska vs Akron	-34.0	47.5	W 68 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Nebraska vs Houston Christian	-48.5	58.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Nebraska vs Michigan	+1.5	47.5	L 27 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Nebraska vs Michigan State	-12.5	48.5	W 38 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/11	Nebraska at Maryland	-7.0	47.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Fri 10/17	Nebraska at Minnesota	-7.0	47.5	L 6 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/25	Nebraska vs Northwestern	-7.5	44.5	W 28 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/1	Nebraska vs USC	+4.5	59.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/8	Nebraska at UCLA	+1.5	45.5	W 28 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Nebraska at Penn State	+7.5	45.5	L 10 - 37	O	N
Fri 11/28	Nebraska vs Iowa	+5.5	38.5	L 16 - 40	O	N
Wed 12/31	Nebraska vs Utah	+13.5	51.5	L 22 - 44	O	N

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule

Minnesota's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Minnesota vs Buffalo	-16.5	45.5	W 23 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/6	Minnesota vs Northwestern State	-43.0	50.5	W 66 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Minnesota at California	-3.0	41.5	L 14 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Minnesota vs Rutgers	-3.5	51.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/4	Minnesota at Ohio State	+23.5	42.5	L 3 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/11	Minnesota vs Purdue	-7.5	49.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Fri 10/17	Minnesota vs Nebraska	+7.0	47.5	W 24 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Minnesota at Iowa	+7.5	39.5	L 3 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/1	Minnesota vs Michigan State	-4.5	44.5	W 23 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/14	Minnesota at Oregon	+26.5	45.5	L 13 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/22	Minnesota vs Northwestern	+4.0	41.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Minnesota vs Wisconsin	+2.5	38.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Fri 12/26	Minnesota vs New Mexico	-1.5	44.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEB	#74 (.18)	45% (37)	28.7	48% (22)	3.21 (40)	121	43% (55)	210	3.38 (114)	#44 (.13)	40% (50)	24.6	39% (24)	42% (82)	3.06 (11)	48.9	1.3	1.2
MINN	#64 (.2)	45% (39)	23	44% (65)	2.7 (119)	103	46% (29)	204	4.38 (27)	#16 (.08)	39% (35)	22.9	36% (8)	42% (80)	3.32 (23)	35.6	0.8	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MINN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEB Offense	13	28.7	19.5	45%	3.38	1.3	20	331	121	210	3.8	48%	51%	48%	43%	16%	.18
MINN Defense	13	22.9	13	38.9%	3.32	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	36%	42%	19%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEB Defense	13	24.6	28.3	40.3%	3.06	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	39%	42%	18%	.13
MINN Offense	13	23	30.1	44.9%	4.38	0.8	19	307	103	204	3.7	44%	56%	44%	46%	16%	.2

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Nebraska	13	29:43	20.1	43%	32%	5.7	48.9	1.3	1.2	5.7	2	3	27.2
Minnesota	13	29:13	18.5	45%	90%	4.5	35.6	0.8	1.5	4.4	1.8	2	28.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEB Offense	13	48% (80)	48% (22)	31.7	121.1	3.8	20 (67)	.18 (38)	3.21 (40)	83% (8)	10% (71)	0.89 (105)
MINN Defense	13	50% (63)	36% (8)	-	-	-	-	.02 (19)	2.71 (22)	74% (69)	9% (90)	0.95 (50)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEB Defense	13	47% (29)	39% (24)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (9)	2.72 (26)	69% (40)	12% (33)	0.9 (32)
MINN Offense	13	44% (111)	44% (65)	28.2	102.9	3.7	17 (84)	.11 (80)	2.7 (119)	73% (69)	10% (80)	0.88 (113)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEB Offense	13	51% (57)	43% (55)	20.3	31	209.5	6.8	10.3	12 (118)	11 (72)	.21 (91)	1.4 (132)	28% (18)	34% (45)	.31 (79)	6% (67)	1.8 (125)
MINN Defense	13	50% (71)	42% (80)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (10)	.15 (27)	1.3 (6)	33% (43)	26% (16)	.15 (10)	10% (1)	1.8 (20)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEB Defense	13	52% (101)	42% (82)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.28 (88)	1.6 (89)	33% (52)	31% (80)	.37 (96)	6% (55)	2.2 (98)
MINN Offense	13	56% (25)	46% (29)	19.5	29.2	204.1	7	10.5	18 (68)	5 (6)	.27 (58)	1.4 (129)	30% (46)	31% (80)	.32 (76)	6% (70)	2 (75)

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 0.48 #67
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 11.28 #80
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 10.80 #50
2025 Talent Rating: 986.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 27% #22
Nebraska's 2025 Expected Record: 7.1 - 5.9
Nebraska's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.2 #46
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #56
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #44

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 0.48 Minnesota: 3.73

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 6.2 Minnesota: 1.5

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 3.73 #64
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 14.08 #62
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 13.12 #63
2025 Talent Rating: 928.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #44
Minnesota's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 5.5
Minnesota's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5 #70
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #94
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #33

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.5
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

Nebraska's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Minnesota 24
Nebraska 24

Projected Total Points: 48

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Minnesota's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/17	Minnesota	24	Nebraska	6	Nebraska -7	Minnesota	47.5	Under
2023	08/31	Minnesota	13	Nebraska	10	Minnesota -7.5	Nebraska	43.0	Under
2022	11/05	Nebraska	13	Minnesota	20	Minnesota -14.5	Nebraska	44.5	Under
2021	10/16	Minnesota	30	Nebraska	23	Nebraska -4.5	Minnesota	48.5	Over
2020	12/12	Nebraska	17	Minnesota	24	Nebraska -8.5	Minnesota	61.5	Under
2019	10/12	Minnesota	34	Nebraska	7	Minnesota -7	Minnesota	47.0	Under
2018	10/20	Nebraska	53	Minnesota	28	Nebraska -4.5	Nebraska	54.5	Over
2017	11/11	Minnesota	54	Nebraska	21	Minnesota -1.5	Minnesota	47.5	Over
2016	11/12	Nebraska	24	Minnesota	17	Nebraska -8	Minnesota	48.5	Under
2015	10/17	Minnesota	25	Nebraska	48	Nebraska -1.5	Nebraska	47.0	Over
2014	11/22	Nebraska	24	Minnesota	28	Nebraska -10	Minnesota	0
2013	10/26	Minnesota	34	Nebraska	23	Nebraska -8.5	Minnesota	0
2012	11/17	Nebraska	38	Minnesota	14
2011	10/22	Minnesota	14	Nebraska	41

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Minnesota	9	8	4 Overs
Nebraska	5	4	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 5	7 - 5	3 - 4	4 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 9	5 - 7	1 - 4	4 - 3

(#67) NEB at (#64) MINN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NEB	MINN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#67	#64
SP+SP+	#46	#70
Perf GradeGrade	#40	#60
OffenseOff	#39	#53
DefenseDef	#84	#89
Spec TeamsST	#4	#1
TalentTal	#14	#19
Blue ChipsBC%	#22	#44

Nebraska Notes(12/31) Has lost 30 straight games to ranked opponents.
(12/1) DC John Butler fired after only one season
(11/29) Neb has lost 4+ games every season for 22 years
(11/28) Rhule 2-4 since raise, 7 pt W's vs NW/UCLA. Yikes
(11/28) QB TJ Lateef dreadful vs Iowa. Neb needs portal QB '26
(11/28) Matt Rhule is 2-10 in November at Nebraska
(11/26) QB Raiola threatening portal again. Neb better w/o him
(11/22) Loss to Penn St a huge setback. Program going ?
(11/2) Rhule 0-19 vs top 25, Neb streak is now 0-29
(11/2) QB1 Raiola out for season (broken fibula).
(11/1) Hard L vs USC, Raiola inj, Run Def mauled
(10/29) Rhule signs extension, will remain at Nebraska
Nebraska Injury Report

Minnesota Notes(11/30) CB J Nestor was incredible vs Iowa, Does he return?
(11/22) This program is awful on road. Study why
(11/16) Gophers historically bad road season, L2 at home
(11/2) Outgained & outplayed by Mich St, Def torched
(10/27) Off horrific vs Iowa, 133 yds, 24 rushing, 3 TOs.
(10/18) Def dominated Neb w/ 9 sacks, held to 213 yds
(10/18) RB D Taylor breakout game, 148 yds, 6.2 ypc
(9/14) Rush Off disappointing, Red Zone issues hurt
(9/13) RB1 D Taylor doubtful for Cal (leg inj)
(8/29) QB Lindsey, RB Taylor as good as advertised
(5/26) Portal DE J Howard (LSU) a pot. gamewrecker
(5/23) Safeties Perich & Brown a top duo in CFB
Minnesota Injury Report

Nebraska on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	NEB Off	MINN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#39	#89
SuccessSuc	#37	#35
ExplosiveExp	#129	#19
PPAPPA	#74	#16
PowerPwr	#80	#63
SP+SP+	#56	#33
Pts POPPO	#114	#23
HavocHav	#62	#18

Nebraska Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	NEB Off	MINN Def
Run GameRun	#63	#82
Run SuccessRSuc	#22	#8
Run ExplRExp	#105	#50
PPAExp	#38	#19
Run BlockR Blk	#9	-
OL YdsOLY	#40	#22
Stuff RateStuff	#7	#73
TackleTak	-	#86

Nebraska Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	NEB Off	MINN Def
Pass GamePass	#106	#95
Pass SuccessPSuc	#55	#80
Pass ExplPExl	#132	#6
PPAExp	#91	#27
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#11	#93
F7 HavocF7	#71	#90
DB HavocDB	#67	#1

Minnesota on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat	MINN Off	NEB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#53	#84
SuccessSuc	#39	#50
ExplosiveExp	#122	#89
PPAPPA	#64	#44
PowerPwr	#62	#50
SP+SP+	#94	#44
Pts POPPO	#27	#11
HavocHav	#71	#40

Minnesota Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat	MINN Off	NEB Def
Run GameRun	#66	#77
Run SuccessRSuc	#65	#24
Run ExplRExp	#113	#32
PPAExp	#80	#9
Run BlockR Blk	#41	-
OL YdsOLY	#119	#26
Stuff RateStuff	#91	#24
TackleTak	-	#22

Minnesota Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat	MINN Off	NEB Def
Pass GamePass	#57	#53
Pass SuccessPSuc	#29	#82
Pass ExplPExl	#129	#89
PPAExp	#58	#88
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#54	#129
F7 HavocF7	#80	#33
DB HavocDB	#70	#55

Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

NEB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 62°

Rematch from Week 8
Nebraska 7.0 (47.5)
Minnesota won vs Nebraska this year (24-6)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Nebraska last year (24-6)
Minnesota beat Nebraska in 2023 (13-10)

NEB's OC Dana Holgorsen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dylan Raiola	181	250	72%	2000	18	6	8.0
TJ Lateef	74	123	60%	904	5	1	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Emmett Johnson	251	1451	12	5.8	70
Mekhi Nelson	27	147	2	5.4	38
Kwinten Ives	20	133	2	6.7	28
TJ Lateef	40	120	4	3.0	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nyziah Hunter (Tr)	43	617	5	14.3	64
Jacory Barney Jr.	45	484	5	10.8	52
Dane Key (Tr)	39	452	5	11.6	40
Emmett Johnson	46	370	3	8.0	56

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC John Butler (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Javin Wright	86	9	3	2	4
DeShon Singleton	70	4	1	2	4
Rex Guthrie	63	2	0	0	1
Vincent Shavers Jr.	61	8	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Javin Wright	86	9	3	2	4
Williams Nwaneri (Tr)	27	5	3	5	1
Kade Pietrzak	16	6	2	3	1
Dasan Mccullough (Tr)	21	5	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ceyair Wright	29	1	1	0	5
Donovan Jones	59	2	0	0	5
Javin Wright	86	9	3	2	4

MINN's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr. (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drake Lindsey	246	389	63%	2382	18	6	6.1
Max Shikenjanski	4	5	80%	80	1	0	16.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Darius Taylor	143	670	4	4.7	71
Fame Ijeboi	97	441	2	4.5	49
Grant Washington	21	132	0	6.3	16
Cameron Davis (Tr)	35	111	2	3.2	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lemeke Brockington	46	484	4	10.5	24
Javon Tracy (Tr)	37	454	6	12.3	45
Jalen Smith	28	419	4	15.0	78
Darius Taylor	34	245	0	7.2	40

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Corey Hetherman (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Maverick Baranowski	102	9	3	3	1
Devon Williams	89	9	3	1	1
Koi Perich	82	3	1	0	2
Kerry Brown	56	4	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Smith	38	18	13	7	3
Karter Menz	32	9	7	4	2
Jaxon Howard	29	6	4	1	0
Maverick Baranowski	102	9	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Nestor (Tr)	50	6	0	0	6
Kerry Brown	56	4	0	0	3
Anthony Smith	38	18	13	7	3