Wisconsin at Minnesota - 2025 Matchup Preview
Wisconsin logo Wisconsin Badgers at Minnesota Golden GophersMinnesota logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Huntington Bank Stadium - Minneapolis, MN  (Big Ten)

 
Badgers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (13 - 13)
Avg Score : 24 - 16 (14 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
WIS is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Minnesota -6.5   (SP+ MINN -2)

Projected Score: WIS: 20 - MINN: 27 (47)
MINN Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
WIS Travel: 231 miles
Golden Gophers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (57 - 39)
Avg Score : 34 - 12 (45 - 5 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Wisconsin's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wisconsin vs Miami (OH)-17.540.5W 17 - 0UN
Sat 9/6 Wisconsin vs Middle Tennessee-28.545.5W 42 - 10OY
Sat 9/13 Wisconsin at Alabama+17.545.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/20 Wisconsin vs Maryland-9.543.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wisconsin at Michigan+16
Sat 10/11 Wisconsin vs Iowa+2.5
Sat 10/18 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+18
Sat 10/25 Wisconsin at Oregon+23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Wisconsin vs Washington+5
Sat 11/15 Wisconsin at Indiana+14
Sat 11/22 Wisconsin vs Illinois+9
Sat 11/29 Wisconsin at Minnesota+6.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Minnesota's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Minnesota vs Buffalo-16.545.5W 23 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 Minnesota vs Northwestern State-43.050.5W 66 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Minnesota at California-3.041.5L 14 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Minnesota vs Rutgers-6
Sat 10/4 Minnesota at Ohio State+19
Sat 10/11 Minnesota vs Purdue-20
Sat 10/18 Minnesota vs Nebraska+2
Sat 10/25 Minnesota at Iowa+3
Sat 11/1 Minnesota vs Michigan State-7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Minnesota at Oregon+19.5
Sat 11/22 Minnesota vs Northwestern-11
Sat 11/29 Minnesota vs Wisconsin-6.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS#66 (.21)46% (51)24.343% (81)3.6 (22)14351% (30)1963.17 (112)#101 (.2)43% (97)1638% (60)48% (115)1.82 (11)351.31
MINN#57 (.23)46% (50)34.342% (84)3.24 (44)18051% (31)2403.57 (93)#26 (-)33% (28)12.324% (6)39% (65)3.78 (77)46.71.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS#97 (.14)42% (73)46% (39)3.16 (46)15438% (107)1974.02 (57)#80 (.18)43% (88)45% (86)42% (81)4.17 (105)37.51.51
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)44% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)36% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Offense324.31446.2%3.171.3193391431964.153%46%43%51%14%.21
MINN Defense312.3533.3%3.781.7 - - - - - 40%60%24%39%21%-
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Defense3163843.2%1.821 - - - - - 43%55%38%48%11%.2
MINN Offense334.344.546.2%3.571.3244211802404.352%48%42%51%12%.23

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wisconsin333:4419.350%80%3.7351.314.33127.7
Minnesota335:1223.749%33%4.746.71.31.76.32.3135.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Offense353% (53)43% (81)35.3143.34.14 (79).25 (40)3.6 (22)79% (40)8% (58)1 (56)
MINN Defense340% (11)24% (6) - - - - -.17 (11)1.94 (9)80% (107)16% (10)0.81 (37)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Defense343% (21)38% (60) - - - - -.1 (18)2.8 (72)57% (28)7% (110)0.86 (50)
MINN Offense352% (60)42% (84)42.3180.34.36 (49).06 (94)3.24 (44)80% (36)6% (16)0.78 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Offense346% (85)51% (30)17.325.31967.711.35 (54)4 (121).23 (79)1.4 (91)32% (89)33% (54).48 (44)6% (89)2 (59)
MINN Defense360% (130)39% (65) - - - - - - 2 (56).11 (38)1.5 (61)37% (25)24% (38).24 (61)6% (76)2.2 (97)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Defense355% (106)48% (115) - - - - - - 3 (28).48 (118)1.7 (97)30% (95)37% (119).66 (129)4% (108)2.3 (115)
MINN Offense348% (73)51% (31)1728240.38.614.15 (54)3 (92).42 (41)1.7 (35)31% (75)35% (44).34 (65)7% (104)1.8 (96)

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 11.56 #49
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 15.92 #47
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.35 #53
2025 Talent Rating: 866.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #24
Wisconsin's 2025 Expected Record: 4.5 - 7.5
Wisconsin's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #79
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #26

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 11.56   Minnesota: 15.72

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 6.8   Minnesota: 8.4




Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 15.72 #35
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 15.99 #46
Minnesota's Defense Rating: -2.05 #22
2025 Talent Rating: 928.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #44
Minnesota's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #47
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 16 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Wisconsin's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 27
Wisconsin 20


Total Points: 47

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 34.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.5
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 5

Minnesota's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/29Wisconsin7Minnesota24MinnesotaMinnesota -1.5Minnesota40.5Under
202311/25Minnesota14Wisconsin28WisconsinWisconsin -1.5Wisconsin42.0Push
202211/26Wisconsin16Minnesota23MinnesotaWisconsin -3Minnesota37.0Over
202111/27Minnesota23Wisconsin13MinnesotaWisconsin -7Minnesota39.0Under
202012/19Wisconsin20Minnesota17WisconsinWisconsin -10Minnesota47.0Under
201911/30Minnesota17Wisconsin38WisconsinWisconsin -3Wisconsin45.0Over
201811/24Wisconsin15Minnesota37MinnesotaWisconsin -10.5Minnesota53.0Under
201711/25Minnesota0Wisconsin31WisconsinWisconsin -18.5Wisconsin43.5Under
201611/26Wisconsin31Minnesota17WisconsinWisconsin -14Push42.5Over
201511/28Minnesota21Wisconsin31WisconsinWisconsin -2.5Wisconsin44.5Over
201411/29Wisconsin34Minnesota24WisconsinWisconsin -12.5Minnesota0
201311/23Minnesota7Wisconsin20WisconsinWisconsin -14.5Minnesota0
201210/20Wisconsin38Minnesota13Wisconsin
201111/12Minnesota13Wisconsin42Wisconsin
201010/09Wisconsin41Minnesota23Wisconsin
200910/03Minnesota28Wisconsin31Wisconsin
200811/15Wisconsin35Minnesota32Wisconsin
200711/17Minnesota34Wisconsin41Wisconsin
200610/14Wisconsin48Minnesota12Wisconsin
200510/15Minnesota34Wisconsin38Wisconsin
200411/06Wisconsin38Minnesota14Wisconsin
200311/08Minnesota37Wisconsin34Minnesota
200111/24Minnesota42Wisconsin31Minnesota
200011/03Wisconsin41Minnesota20Wisconsin
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Minnesota674 Overs
Wisconsin1845 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 122 - 90 - 42 - 5
Road Teams12 - 129 - 25 - 24 - 0

(#49) Wisconsin Info
Power Rating: 11.56 #49
Offense Rating: 15.92 #47
Defense Rating: 4.35 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #26
Talent Rating: 866.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #24
Expected Record: 4.5 - 7.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.17 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Good Pass Success 51%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Great in Scoring Position 1.82 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Wisconsin has lost 9 straight
Wisconsin has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Wisconsin Notes
(8/30) Run game bad vs M-OH, QBs bad, Def great
(5/17) DL was portal focus, 7 adds, DE big need
(5/15) LT Heywood out for season (ACL), big loss
(5/15) DB looks light on bodies, CB could be 2 portals?
(4/18) RBs Dupree & rFr Jones decent combo, depth?
(4/4) OT Riley Mahlman a top OT via PFF past 2 yrs
(3/31) QB portals Edwards (MD)/O'Neil (SDSU) meh
(3/31) Def was decent, return a lot. 13 portals, 7 DL
(3/31) 0-5 finish LY, scored over 13 pts only once.
(3/24) Portal WR Hamper (Idaho) great find/weapon

Wisconsin Highlights
Wisconsin has a top Offensive Line (#22)
Wisconsin offense is good on 3rd downs
Wisconsin does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#20)

Wisconsin Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Wisconsin defense is really good in red zone (#11)
Wisconsin Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#27)
Wisconsin commits very few Penalties (#16)
Wisconsin defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Wisconsin Deficiencies
Wisconsin throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Wisconsin offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#112)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMINNWIS
OverallOver#8#40
OffenseOff#8#53
DefenseDef#17#31
Special TeamsST#4#22
PassingPass#13#100
RushingRush#13#69
Run BlockRBLK#11#54
Pass BlockPBLK#44#65
Route RunningWR Rt#35#11
TacklingTkl#25#45
Run DefenseR Def#34#12
Pass Rush DefPRush#63#20
Coverage DefCov#10#77

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Wisconsin last year (24-7)
Wisconsin beat Minnesota in 2023 (28-14)
Minnesota beat Wisconsin in 2022 (23-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WIS | MINN
Depth Chart: WIS | MINN
Rosters: WIS | MINN
(#35) Minnesota Info
Power Rating: 15.72 #35
Offense Rating: 15.99 #46
Defense Rating: -2.05 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #47
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Talent Rating: 928.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #44
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.57 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 51%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 24%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Minnesota has lost 9 straight
Minnesota has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Minnesota Notes
(9/13) RB1 D Taylor doubtful for Cal (leg inj)
(8/29) QB Lindsey, RB Taylor as good as advertised
(5/26) Portal DE J Howard (LSU) a pot. gamewrecker
(5/23) Safeties Perich & Brown a top duo in CFB
(5/2) S Koi Perch #2 via PFF, only a Soph, 5 Ints
(4/17) QB RFr Drake Lindsey starter? Pryon in portal
(4/7) OL 2/5 back, bad LY. 3 exp'd P4 portals added
(3/31) RB Taylor back, add Turner (Marsh). Looks great
(3/19) WR rebuild. 3 portal adds. Improved, how much?
(3/19) Def v good and return a lot. New DE/CB needs

Minnesota Highlights
Minnesota is Undefeated at Home

Minnesota offense is good on 3rd downs
Minnesota does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#18)

Minnesota has a really good defense (#28)
Minnesota has a good run defense (#6)
Minnesota Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#24)
Minnesota Defensive Line is very good (#9)
Minnesota Front 7 is disruptive (#10)

Minnesota Deficiencies


  
Wisconsin's OC Jeff Grimes
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Danny O'Neil (Tr)466373%520548.3
Billy Edwards61346%68005.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dilin Jones2913414.613
Darrion Dupree219204.414
Trech Kekahuna572114.461
Cade Yacamelli145604.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Ballard (Tr)6141223.558
Lance Mason (Tr)9132114.734
Vinny Anthony9115112.831
Trech Kekahuna64607.722

View Wisconsin's Full Roster
Wisconsin's DC Mike Tressel
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Alliegro124200
Tackett Curtis101101
Mason Reiger (Tr)81120
Sebastian Cheeks72100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Alliegro124200
Brandon Lane32200
Sebastian Cheeks72100
Darryl Peterson41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ricardo Hallman40002
Austin Brown30001
Tackett Curtis101101

Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drake Lindsey467661%634428.3
Max Shikenjanski4580%801016.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor3316104.918
Fame Ijeboi2313605.927
Grant Washington2012606.316
Cameron Davis (Tr)216923.314
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Tracy (Tr)6150125.045
Lemeke Brockington10136013.623
Jalen Smith276138.060
Kenric Lanier II259029.552

View Minnesota's Full Roster
Minnesota's DC Danny Collins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maverick Baranowski182000
Devon Williams182201
Koi Perich101000
Aidan Gousby80000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Smith74301
Devon Williams182201
Emmanuel Karmo51111
Jalen Logan-Redding41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Nestor (Tr)61002
Devon Williams182201
Anthony Smith74301