Wisconsin at Minnesota - 2025 Matchup Preview
Wisconsin logo   Wisconsin Badgers at Minnesota Golden Gophers  Minnesota logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (3:30 PM EST)
Wisconsin -2.5 (38.5) (-130)  Open: -2.0 | 37.5
Minnesota 17 - Wisconsin: 7  (Big Ten)

 
Badgers (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (13 - 13)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (9 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
WIS is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Minnesota -4.5  (SP+ MINN -6)

Projected Score: WIS: 17 - MINN: 22 (39)
WIS Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
WIS Travel: 231 miles
Golden Gophers (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (57 - 39)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (30 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 5.5 (#61)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Wisconsin's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wisconsin vs Miami (OH)-17.540.5W 17 - 0UN
Sat 9/6 Wisconsin vs Middle Tennessee-28.545.5W 42 - 10OY
Sat 9/13 Wisconsin at Alabama+17.545.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/20 Wisconsin vs Maryland-10.544.5L 10 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wisconsin at Michigan+17.542.5L 10 - 24UY
Sat 10/11 Wisconsin vs Iowa+5.537.5L 0 - 37UN
Sat 10/18 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+24.541.5L 0 - 34UN
Sat 10/25 Wisconsin at Oregon+31.544.5L 7 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Wisconsin vs Washington+10.544.5W 13 - 10UY
Sat 11/15 Wisconsin at Indiana+28.543.5L 7 - 31UY
Sat 11/22 Wisconsin vs Illinois+8.542.5W 27 - 10UY
Sat 11/29 Wisconsin at Minnesota-2.538.5L 7 - 17UN

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 7, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 6, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Minnesota's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Minnesota vs Buffalo-16.545.5W 23 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 Minnesota vs Northwestern State-43.050.5W 66 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Minnesota at California-3.041.5L 14 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Minnesota vs Rutgers-3.551.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 10/4 Minnesota at Ohio State+23.542.5L 3 - 42ON
Sat 10/11 Minnesota vs Purdue-7.549.5W 27 - 20UN
Fri 10/17 Minnesota vs Nebraska+7.047.5W 24 - 6UY
Sat 10/25 Minnesota at Iowa+7.539.5L 3 - 41ON
Sat 11/1 Minnesota vs Michigan State-4.544.5W 23 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/14 Minnesota at Oregon+26.545.5L 13 - 42ON
Sat 11/22 Minnesota vs Northwestern+4.041.0L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/29 Minnesota vs Wisconsin+2.538.5W 17 - 7UY
Fri 12/26 Minnesota vs New Mexico-1.544.5W 20 - 17UY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS#97 (.14)42% (73)12.846% (39)3.16 (46)15438% (107)1974.02 (57)#80 (.18)43% (88)21.645% (86)42% (81)4.17 (105)37.51.51
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)2344% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)22.936% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Offense1212.8942.2%4.021.5193511541974.451%49%46%38%17%.14
MINN Defense1322.91338.9%3.321.5 - - - - - 50%50%36%42%19%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Defense1221.626.243.4%4.171 - - - - - 54%45%45%42%12%.18
MINN Offense132330.144.9%4.380.8193071032043.744%56%44%46%16%.2

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wisconsin1229:2118.836%60%5.337.51.513.51.4027.7
Minnesota1329:1318.545%90%4.535.60.81.54.41.8228.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Offense1251% (70)46% (39)34.9154.14.419 (73).12 (75)3.16 (46)75% (58)8% (37)0.8 (129)
MINN Defense1350% (63)36% (8) - - - - .02 (19)2.71 (22)74% (69)9% (90)0.95 (50)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Defense1254% (110)45% (86) - - - - .15 (81)3.27 (105)68% (36)7% (130)0.97 (60)
MINN Offense1344% (111)44% (65)28.2102.93.717 (84).11 (80)2.7 (119)73% (69)10% (80)0.88 (113)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Offense1249% (65)38% (107)17.330.4196.76.511.414 (108)10 (63).16 (102)1.5 (100)30% (34)27% (111).15 (128)9% (132)1.8 (122)
MINN Defense1350% (71)42% (80) - - - - - - 16 (10).15 (27)1.3 (6)33% (43)26% (16).15 (10)10% (1)1.8 (20)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Defense1245% (22)42% (81) - - - - - - 4 (125).25 (76)1.3 (5)28% (123)28% (32).24 (42)5% (92)1.8 (19)
MINN Offense1356% (25)46% (29)19.529.2204.1710.518 (68)5 (6).27 (58)1.4 (129)30% (46)31% (80).32 (76)6% (70)2 (75)

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 2.89  #55
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 10.00  #87
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 7.11  #31
2025 Talent Rating: 866.00  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24%  #24
Wisconsin's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wisconsin's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4  #85
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #122
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #34

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 2.89   Minnesota: 3.73

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: -4.4   Minnesota: 1.5




Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 3.73  #65
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 14.08  #62
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 13.12  #64
2025 Talent Rating: 928.00  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8  #44
Minnesota's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 5.5
Minnesota's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5  #70
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #94
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8  #33

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

Wisconsin's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 22
Wisconsin 17


Projected Total Points: 39
Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Minnesota's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Minnesota17Wisconsin7Wisconsin -2.5Minnesota38.5Under
202411/29Wisconsin7Minnesota24Minnesota -1.5Minnesota40.5Under
202311/25Minnesota14Wisconsin28Wisconsin -1.5Wisconsin42.0Push
202211/26Wisconsin16Minnesota23Wisconsin -3Minnesota37.0Over
202111/27Minnesota23Wisconsin13Wisconsin -7Minnesota39.0Under
202012/19Wisconsin20Minnesota17Wisconsin -10Minnesota47.0Under
201911/30Minnesota17Wisconsin38Wisconsin -3Wisconsin45.0Over
201811/24Wisconsin15Minnesota37Wisconsin -10.5Minnesota53.0Under
201711/25Minnesota0Wisconsin31Wisconsin -18.5Wisconsin43.5Under
201611/26Wisconsin31Minnesota17Wisconsin -14Push42.5Over
201511/28Minnesota21Wisconsin31Wisconsin -2.5Wisconsin44.5Over
201411/29Wisconsin34Minnesota24Wisconsin -12.5Minnesota0
201311/23Minnesota7Wisconsin20Wisconsin -14.5Minnesota0
201210/20Wisconsin38Minnesota13
201111/12Minnesota13Wisconsin42
201010/09Wisconsin41Minnesota23
200910/03Minnesota28Wisconsin31
200811/15Wisconsin35Minnesota32
200711/17Minnesota34Wisconsin41
200610/14Wisconsin48Minnesota12
200510/15Minnesota34Wisconsin38
200411/06Wisconsin38Minnesota14
200311/08Minnesota37Wisconsin34
200111/24Minnesota42Wisconsin31
200011/03Wisconsin41Minnesota20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Minnesota784 Overs
Wisconsin1846 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 123 - 90 - 43 - 5
Road Teams12 - 139 - 35 - 34 - 0

(#55) WIS at (#65) MINN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWISMINN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #55 #65
SP+SP+ #85 #70
Perf GradeGrade #101 #60
OffenseOff #125 #53
DefenseDef #43 #89
Spec TeamsST #22 #1
TalentTal #35 #19
Blue ChipsBC% #24 #44
Wisconsin Notes
(11/10) Fr LB Mason Posa was unreal vs Wash. Big future
(11/6) Fickell will return in '26. NIL $ coming
(10/12) Tire fire. Off has scored 34 pts vs four P4 teams
(10/8) QB O'Neil 3rd string now? Edwards (inj), Simmons #2
(10/4) QB1 is now Hunter Simmons, looks better than others
(9/20) Run Off pitiful, Pass Def bad vs MD. Bad loss
(9/18) QB1 Edwards game time decision for MD
(8/30) Run game bad vs M-OH, QBs bad, Def great
(5/17) DL was portal focus, 7 adds, DE big need
(5/15) LT Heywood out for season (ACL), big loss
(5/15) DB looks light on bodies, CB could be 2 portals?
(4/18) RBs Dupree & rFr Jones decent combo, depth?
Wisconsin Injury Report
Minnesota Notes
(11/30) CB J Nestor was incredible vs Iowa, Does he return?
(11/22) This program is awful on road. Study why
(11/16) Gophers historically bad road season, L2 at home
(11/2) Outgained & outplayed by Mich St, Def torched
(10/27) Off horrific vs Iowa, 133 yds, 24 rushing, 3 TOs.
(10/18) Def dominated Neb w/ 9 sacks, held to 213 yds
(10/18) RB D Taylor breakout game, 148 yds, 6.2 ypc
(9/14) Rush Off disappointing, Red Zone issues hurt
(9/13) RB1 D Taylor doubtful for Cal (leg inj)
(8/29) QB Lindsey, RB Taylor as good as advertised
(5/26) Portal DE J Howard (LSU) a pot. gamewrecker
(5/23) Safeties Perich & Brown a top duo in CFB
Minnesota Injury Report
Wisconsin on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WIS OffMINN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #125 #89
SuccessSuc #73 #35
ExplosiveExp #130 #19
PPAPPA #97 #16
PowerPwr #87 #64
SP+SP+ #122 #33
Pts POPPO #57 #23
HavocHav #90 #18
Wisconsin Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WIS OffMINN Def
Run GameRun #122 #82
Run SuccessRSuc #39 #8
Run ExplRExp #129 #50
PPAExp #75 #19
Run BlockR Blk #100 -
OL YdsOLY #46 #22
Stuff RateStuff #43 #73
TackleTak -  #86
Wisconsin Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WIS OffMINN Def
Pass GamePass #135 #95
Pass SuccessPSuc #107 #80
Pass ExplPExl #100 #6
PPAExp #102 #27
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #84 #93
F7 HavocF7 #37 #90
DB HavocDB #132 #1
Minnesota on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
CategoryCatMINN OffWIS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #53 #43
SuccessSuc #39 #88
ExplosiveExp #122 #11
PPAPPA #64 #80
PowerPwr #62 #31
SP+SP+ #94 #34
Pts POPPO #27 #105
HavocHav #71 #124
Minnesota Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat
MINN OffWIS Def
Run GameRun #66 #38
Run SuccessRSuc #65 #86
Run ExplRExp #113 #60
PPAExp #80 #81
Run BlockR Blk #41 -
OL YdsOLY #119 #105
Stuff RateStuff #91 #86
TackleTak -  #66
Minnesota Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
CategoryCatMINN OffWIS Def
Pass GamePass #57 #100
Pass SuccessPSuc #29 #81
Pass ExplPExl #129 #5
PPAExp #58 #76
Pass Block/RushP Blk #54 #36
F7 HavocF7 #80 #130
DB HavocDB #70 #92
Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

WIS 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
Wisconsin 2.5 (38.5)
Minnesota won vs Wisconsin this year (17-7)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Wisconsin last year (17-7)
Minnesota beat Wisconsin in 2024 (24-7)
Wisconsin beat Minnesota in 2023 (28-14)

  
WIS's OC Jeff Grimes (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hunter Simmons6211853%664275.6
Danny O'Neil (Tr)619068%635557.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darrion Dupree8336324.484
Dilin Jones7630023.916
Gideon Ituka6025504.318
Trech Kekahuna1412919.261
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lance Mason (Tr)30398413.345
Vinny Anthony31391112.667
Trech Kekahuna2621108.145
Jayden Ballard (Tr)7150221.458

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Mike Tressel (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Posa574424
Cooper Catalano565111
Matthew Jung491000
Christian Alliegro488401
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darryl Peterson3312733
Mason Reiger (Tr)326541
Mason Posa574424
Christian Alliegro488401
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ricardo Hallman271005
Mason Posa574424
Austin Brown410003

MINN's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr. (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drake Lindsey24638963%23821866.1
Max Shikenjanski4580%801016.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor14367044.771
Fame Ijeboi9744124.549
Grant Washington2113206.316
Cameron Davis (Tr)3511123.214
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lemeke Brockington46484410.524
Javon Tracy (Tr)37454612.345
Jalen Smith28419415.078
Darius Taylor3424507.240

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Danny Collins (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maverick Baranowski1029331
Devon Williams899311
Koi Perich823102
Kerry Brown564003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Smith38181373
Karter Menz329742
Jaxon Howard296410
Maverick Baranowski1029331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Nestor (Tr)506006
Kerry Brown564003
Anthony Smith38181373