Minnesota at Iowa - 2025 Matchup Preview
Minnesota logo Minnesota Golden Gophers at Iowa HawkeyesIowa logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Kinnick Stadium - Iowa City, IA  (Big Ten)

 
Golden Gophers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (57 - 39)
Avg Score : 34 - 12 (14 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
IOWA 2nd straight Home Game
MINN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Iowa -3   (SP+ IOWA -3)

Projected Score: MINN: 21 - IOWA: 24 (44)
IOWA Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
MINN Travel: 244 miles
Hawkeyes (2 - 1) (1 - 1 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (204 - 123)
Avg Score : 31 - 10 (41 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Minnesota's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Minnesota vs Buffalo-16.545.5W 23 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 Minnesota vs Northwestern State-43.050.5W 66 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Minnesota at California-3.041.5L 14 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Minnesota vs Rutgers-6
Sat 10/4 Minnesota at Ohio State+19
Sat 10/11 Minnesota vs Purdue-20
Sat 10/18 Minnesota vs Nebraska+2
Sat 10/25 Minnesota at Iowa+3
Sat 11/1 Minnesota vs Michigan State-7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Minnesota at Oregon+19.5
Sat 11/22 Minnesota vs Northwestern-11
Sat 11/29 Minnesota vs Wisconsin-6.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Iowa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Iowa vs UAlbany-39.548.5W 34 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Iowa at Iowa State+3.043.0L 13 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 Iowa vs Massachusetts-35.544.5W 47 - 7OY
Fri 9/19 Iowa at Rutgers-2.545.5
Sat 9/27 Iowa vs Indiana+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Iowa at Wisconsin-2.5
Sat 10/18 Iowa vs Penn State+14
Sat 10/25 Iowa vs Minnesota-3
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Iowa vs Oregon+13.5
Sat 11/15 Iowa at USC+14.5
Sat 11/22 Iowa vs Michigan State-8
Fri 11/28 Iowa at Nebraska+6.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN#57 (.23)46% (50)34.342% (84)3.24 (44)18051% (31)2403.57 (93)#26 (-)33% (28)12.324% (6)39% (65)3.78 (77)46.71.31.7
IOWA#61 (.22)47% (45)31.354% (23)3.82 (8)21434% (114)1224.89 (35)#34 (.03)34% (30)1034% (31)34% (40)3.75 (76)210.70.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)44% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)36% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5
IOWA#100 (.14)42% (72)44% (63)2.92 (89)18540% (94)1213.77 (84)#30 (.11)42% (72)46% (97)39% (51)3.37 (27)26.30.81.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense334.31446.2%3.571.3244211802404.352%48%42%51%12%.23
IOWA Defense310734.1%3.750.3 - - - - - 47%53%34%34%18%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense312.32733.3%3.781.7 - - - - - 40%60%24%39%21%0
IOWA Offense331.340.546.7%4.890.7193362141224.961%39%54%34%10%.22

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota335:1223.749%33%4.746.71.31.76.32.3135.3
Iowa333:1619.354%67%2.3210.70.36.32.3133.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense352% (60)42% (84)42.3180.34.36 (49).06 (94)3.24 (44)80% (36)6% (16)0.78 (115)
IOWA Defense347% (46)34% (31) - - - - (48)2.81 (74)100% (127)14% (26)0.82 (42)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense340% (11)24% (6) - - - - -.17 (11)1.94 (9)80% (107)16% (10)0.81 (37)
IOWA Offense361% (15)54% (23)442144.96 (49).26 (37)3.82 (8)85% (27)7% (46)0.79 (114)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense348% (73)51% (31)1728240.38.614.15 (54)3 (92).42 (41)1.7 (35)31% (75)35% (44).34 (65)7% (104)1.8 (96)
IOWA Defense353% (93)34% (40) - - - - - - 0.05 (28)1 (5)37% (36)15% (13)-.02 (19)5% (99)1.2 (2)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense360% (130)39% (65) - - - - - - 2 (56).11 (38)1.5 (61)37% (25)24% (38).24 (61)6% (76)2.2 (97)
IOWA Offense339% (121)34% (114)14.323.7121.75.18.54 (72)1 (23).17 (98)1.5 (88)21% (9)21% (122).03 (122)3% (14)1 (135)

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 18.04 #35
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 15.99 #46
Minnesota's Defense Rating: -2.05 #22
2025 Talent Rating: 928.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
Minnesota's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #47
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 18.04   Iowa: 16.465

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 8.4   Iowa: 11.0




Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 16.465 #37
Iowa's Offense Rating: 13.80 #63
Iowa's Defense Rating: -3.13 #14
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Iowa's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Iowa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #34
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #78
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 34.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

Minnesota's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa 24
Minnesota 21


Total Points: 44

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.5
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense at Home: 7

Iowa's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Minnesota14Iowa31IowaIowa -3Iowa34.5Over
202310/21Iowa10Minnesota12MinnesotaIowa -3.0Minnesota30.5Under
202211/19Minnesota10Iowa13IowaMinnesota -2Iowa31.5Under
202111/13Iowa27Minnesota22IowaIowa -4Iowa37.5Over
202011/13Minnesota7Iowa35IowaIowa -3Iowa58.0Under
201911/16Iowa23Minnesota19IowaIowa -3Iowa44.5Under
201810/06Minnesota31Iowa48IowaIowa -7Iowa41.5Over
201710/28Iowa17Minnesota10IowaIowa -7Push43.0Under
201610/08Minnesota7Iowa14IowaIowa -1.5Iowa50.0Under
201511/14Iowa40Minnesota35IowaIowa -11Minnesota47.0Over
201411/08Minnesota51Iowa14MinnesotaMinnesota -1Minnesota0
201309/28Minnesota7Iowa23IowaMinnesota -3.5Iowa0
201209/29Iowa31Minnesota13Iowa
201110/29Minnesota22Iowa21Minnesota
201011/27Minnesota27Iowa24Minnesota
200911/21Iowa12Minnesota0Iowa
200811/22Minnesota0Iowa55Iowa
200711/10Iowa21Minnesota16Iowa
200611/18Minnesota34Iowa24Minnesota
200511/19Iowa52Minnesota28Iowa
200411/13Minnesota27Iowa29Iowa
200311/15Iowa40Minnesota22Iowa
200211/16Minnesota21Iowa45Iowa
200111/17Iowa42Minnesota24Iowa
200011/17Minnesota27Iowa24Minnesota
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa1984 Overs
Minnesota636 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 103 - 83 - 40 - 4
Road Teams10 - 158 - 34 - 04 - 3

(#35) Minnesota Info
Power Rating: 18.04 #35
Offense Rating: 15.99 #46
Defense Rating: -2.05 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #47
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Talent Rating: 928.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #44
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.57 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 51%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 24%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Minnesota has lost 5 straight
Minnesota has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Minnesota Notes
(9/13) RB1 D Taylor doubtful for Cal (leg inj)
(8/29) QB Lindsey, RB Taylor as good as advertised
(5/26) Portal DE J Howard (LSU) a pot. gamewrecker
(5/23) Safeties Perich & Brown a top duo in CFB
(5/2) S Koi Perch #2 via PFF, only a Soph, 5 Ints
(4/17) QB RFr Drake Lindsey starter? Pryon in portal
(4/7) OL 2/5 back, bad LY. 3 exp'd P4 portals added
(3/31) RB Taylor back, add Turner (Marsh). Looks great
(3/19) WR rebuild. 3 portal adds. Improved, how much?
(3/19) Def v good and return a lot. New DE/CB needs

Minnesota Highlights
Minnesota offense is good on 3rd downs
Minnesota does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#18)

Minnesota has a really good defense (#28)
Minnesota has a good run defense (#6)
Minnesota Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#24)
Minnesota Defensive Line is very good (#9)
Minnesota Front 7 is disruptive (#10)

Minnesota Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatIOWAMINN
OverallOver#16#8
OffenseOff#24#8
DefenseDef#13#17
Special TeamsST#77#4
PassingPass#73#13
RushingRush#46#13
Run BlockRBLK#1#11
Pass BlockPBLK#28#44
Route RunningWR Rt#91#35
TacklingTkl#37#25
Run DefenseR Def#30#34
Pass Rush DefPRush#4#63
Coverage DefCov#46#10

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Minnesota last year (31-14)
Minnesota beat Iowa in 2023 (12-10)
Iowa beat Minnesota in 2022 (13-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MINN | IOWA
Depth Chart: MINN | IOWA
Rosters: MINN | IOWA
(#37) Iowa Info
Power Rating: 16.465 #37
Offense Rating: 13.80 #63
Defense Rating: -3.13 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #34
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #12
Talent Rating: 840.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 47%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.89 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 34%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Iowa has lost 4 straight
Iowa has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Iowa Notes
(9/6) QB Gronowski is shockingly awful. WR are trash
(9/1) Gronowski really bad (44 yds), hiding vs FCS?
(8/28) WR Vaner Zee out about a month (foot)
(6/6) OL 3/5 back. Have options, PFF top 10 OL
(5/27) Warren Ruggiero (Wake OC) is Sr Off Analyst
(5/21) WRs bad LY, only 1 portal add (FCS)? No obv TE
(5/21) LB a big ? this year. Not one has 100 snaps
(5/2) DT Graves/ S Nwankpa both top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OL G L Jones/T G Dunker top 10 via PFF
(3/31) QB Gronowski (SDSU) big add. Surgery ?'s

Iowa Highlights
Iowa is Undefeated at Home

Iowa has Really Good Running Game (#24)
Iowa has a top Offensive Line (#8)
Iowa offense is good on 3rd downs
Iowa does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#1)

Iowa has a really good defense (#30)
Iowa defense does not give up big plays (#5)
Iowa Front 7 is disruptive (#26)
Iowa has a great TO Margin (#28)
Iowa commits very few Penalties (#1)
Iowa defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Iowa Deficiencies
Iowa offense is not Explosive (#130)
Iowa pass game is really bad (#114)


  
Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drake Lindsey467661%634428.3
Max Shikenjanski4580%801016.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor3316104.918
Fame Ijeboi2313605.927
Grant Washington2012606.316
Cameron Davis (Tr)216923.314
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Tracy (Tr)6150125.045
Lemeke Brockington10136013.623
Jalen Smith276138.060
Kenric Lanier II259029.552

View Minnesota's Full Roster
Minnesota's DC Danny Collins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maverick Baranowski182000
Devon Williams182201
Koi Perich101000
Aidan Gousby80000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Smith74301
Devon Williams182201
Emmanuel Karmo51111
Jalen Logan-Redding41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Nestor (Tr)61002
Devon Williams182201
Anthony Smith74301

Iowa's OC Tim Lester
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mark Gronowski (Tr)376359%306314.9
Hank Brown (Tr)6875%59107.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Williams2618617.243
Jaziun Patterson2816105.817
Terrell Washington Jr.239504.113
Mark Gronowski (Tr)338832.713
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Phillips (Tr)490022.545
Jacob Gill780011.422
Seth Anderson64026.720
Nathan Mcneil132032.032

View Iowa's Full Roster
Iowa's DC Phil Parker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Harrell191110
Karson Sharar162000
Zach Lutmer152101
Xavier Nwankpa110000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Max Llewellyn64300
Jaden Harrell191110
Zach Lutmer152101
Aaron Graves83120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Hall80003
Luke Gaffney00001
Deshaun Lee90001