Minnesota at Iowa - 2025 Matchup Preview
Minnesota logo   Minnesota Golden Gophers at Iowa Hawkeyes  Iowa logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Iowa -7.5 (39.5) (-300)  Open: -8.5 | 38.5
Iowa 41 - Minnesota: 3  (Big Ten)

 
Golden Gophers (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (57 - 39)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (8 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 5.5 (#61)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
IOWA 2nd straight Home Game
MINN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Iowa -18.5  (SP+ IOWA -18)

Projected Score: MINN: 12 - IOWA: 31 (43)
IOWA Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
MINN Travel: 244 miles
Hawkeyes (9 - 4) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (204 - 123)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (28 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#50)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Minnesota's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Minnesota vs Buffalo-16.545.5W 23 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 Minnesota vs Northwestern State-43.050.5W 66 - 0OY
Sat 9/13 Minnesota at California-3.041.5L 14 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Minnesota vs Rutgers-3.551.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 10/4 Minnesota at Ohio State+23.542.5L 3 - 42ON
Sat 10/11 Minnesota vs Purdue-7.549.5W 27 - 20UN
Fri 10/17 Minnesota vs Nebraska+7.047.5W 24 - 6UY
Sat 10/25 Minnesota at Iowa+7.539.5L 3 - 41ON
Sat 11/1 Minnesota vs Michigan State-4.544.5W 23 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/14 Minnesota at Oregon+26.545.5L 13 - 42ON
Sat 11/22 Minnesota vs Northwestern+4.041.0L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/29 Minnesota vs Wisconsin+2.538.5W 17 - 7UY
Fri 12/26 Minnesota vs New Mexico-1.544.5W 20 - 17UY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Iowa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Iowa vs UAlbany-39.548.5W 34 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Iowa at Iowa State+3.043.0L 13 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 Iowa vs Massachusetts-35.544.5W 47 - 7OY
Fri 9/19 Iowa at Rutgers-2.546.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 9/27 Iowa vs Indiana+9.547.5L 15 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Iowa at Wisconsin-5.537.5W 37 - 0UY
Sat 10/18 Iowa vs Penn State-3.541.5W 25 - 24ON
Sat 10/25 Iowa vs Minnesota-7.539.5W 41 - 3OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Iowa vs Oregon+4.541.5L 16 - 18UY
Sat 11/15 Iowa at USC+6.548.5L 21 - 26UY
Sat 11/22 Iowa vs Michigan State-17.543.0W 20 - 17UN
Fri 11/28 Iowa at Nebraska-5.538.5W 40 - 16OY
Wed 12/31 Iowa vs Vanderbilt+3.047.5W 34 - 27OY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)2344% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)22.936% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5
IOWA#100 (.14)42% (72)29.344% (63)2.92 (89)18540% (94)1213.77 (84)#30 (.11)42% (72)16.146% (97)39% (51)3.37 (27)26.30.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
IOWA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense13238.344.9%4.380.8193071032043.744%56%44%46%16%.2
IOWA Defense1316.113.742%3.371.8 - - - - - 46%54%46%39%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense1322.93838.9%3.321.5 - - - - - 50%50%36%42%19%.08
IOWA Offense1329.328.342.3%3.770.8153061851215.262%37%44%40%13%.14

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota1329:1318.545%90%4.535.60.81.54.41.8228.6
Iowa1327:0515.441%50%2.826.30.81.84.52.1233.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense1344% (111)44% (65)28.2102.93.717 (84).11 (80)2.7 (119)73% (69)10% (80)0.88 (113)
IOWA Defense1346% (17)46% (97) - - - - .07 (38)3.07 (84)84% (126)10% (68)0.68 (1)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense1350% (63)36% (8) - - - - .02 (19)2.71 (22)74% (69)9% (90)0.95 (50)
IOWA Offense1362% (7)44% (63)35.51855.229 (18).13 (71)2.92 (89)62% (120)10% (76)1.02 (47)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense1356% (25)46% (29)19.529.2204.1710.518 (68)5 (6).27 (58)1.4 (129)30% (46)31% (80).32 (76)6% (70)2 (75)
IOWA Defense1354% (118)39% (51) - - - - - - 16 (10).18 (39)1.5 (36)32% (76)28% (36).24 (39)7% (27)1.8 (7)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense1350% (71)42% (80) - - - - - - 16 (10).15 (27)1.3 (6)33% (43)26% (16).15 (10)10% (1)1.8 (20)
IOWA Offense1337% (129)40% (94)11.518.6121.56.510.69 (128)7 (26).21 (93)1.5 (93)26% (4)28% (99).2 (108)3% (7)2 (72)

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 0.96  #65
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 14.08  #62
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 13.12  #64
2025 Talent Rating: 928.00  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8%  #44
Minnesota's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 5.5
Minnesota's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5  #70
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #94
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8  #33

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 0.96   Iowa: 19.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 1.5   Iowa: 19.7




Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 19.9  #22
Iowa's Offense Rating: 19.71  #29
Iowa's Defense Rating: 4.61  #23
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14  #33
Iowa's 2025 Expected Record: 8.4 - 4.6
Iowa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.7  #12
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1  #37
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.2  #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.3
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Minnesota's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa 31
Minnesota 12


Projected Total Points: 43
Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Iowa's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Iowa41Minnesota3Iowa -7.5Iowa39.5Over
202409/21Minnesota14Iowa31Iowa -3Iowa34.5Over
202310/21Iowa10Minnesota12Iowa -3.0Minnesota30.5Under
202211/19Minnesota10Iowa13Minnesota -2Iowa31.5Under
202111/13Iowa27Minnesota22Iowa -4Iowa37.5Over
202011/13Minnesota7Iowa35Iowa -3Iowa58.0Under
201911/16Iowa23Minnesota19Iowa -3Iowa44.5Under
201810/06Minnesota31Iowa48Iowa -7Iowa41.5Over
201710/28Iowa17Minnesota10Iowa -7Push43.0Under
201610/08Minnesota7Iowa14Iowa -1.5Iowa50.0Under
201511/14Iowa40Minnesota35Iowa -11Minnesota47.0Over
201411/08Minnesota51Iowa14Minnesota -1Minnesota0
201309/28Minnesota7Iowa23Minnesota -3.5Iowa0
201209/29Iowa31Minnesota13
201110/29Minnesota22Iowa21
201011/27Minnesota27Iowa24
200911/21Iowa12Minnesota0
200811/22Minnesota0Iowa55
200711/10Iowa21Minnesota16
200611/18Minnesota34Iowa24
200511/19Iowa52Minnesota28
200411/13Minnesota27Iowa29
200311/15Iowa40Minnesota22
200211/16Minnesota21Iowa45
200111/17Iowa42Minnesota24
200011/17Minnesota27Iowa24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa2095 Overs
Minnesota636 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 104 - 84 - 40 - 4
Road Teams10 - 168 - 44 - 04 - 4

(#65) MINN at (#22) IOWA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMINNIOWA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #65 #22
SP+SP+ #70 #12
Perf GradeGrade #60 #8
OffenseOff #53 #9
DefenseDef #89 #21
Spec TeamsST #1 #8
TalentTal #19 #41
Blue ChipsBC% #44 #33
Minnesota Notes
(11/30) CB J Nestor was incredible vs Iowa, Does he return?
(11/22) This program is awful on road. Study why
(11/16) Gophers historically bad road season, L2 at home
(11/2) Outgained & outplayed by Mich St, Def torched
(10/27) Off horrific vs Iowa, 133 yds, 24 rushing, 3 TOs.
(10/18) Def dominated Neb w/ 9 sacks, held to 213 yds
(10/18) RB D Taylor breakout game, 148 yds, 6.2 ypc
(9/14) Rush Off disappointing, Red Zone issues hurt
(9/13) RB1 D Taylor doubtful for Cal (leg inj)
(8/29) QB Lindsey, RB Taylor as good as advertised
(5/26) Portal DE J Howard (LSU) a pot. gamewrecker
(5/23) Safeties Perich & Brown a top duo in CFB
Minnesota Injury Report
Iowa Notes
(11/28) Killed Neb to finish 8-4, 6-3 in B1G. Good season
(11/22) Stop L streak with comeback vs MSU. Found a way
(11/16) 2 hard L's to Ducks/USC. 6-4 feels crossroad-ish
(10/27) 41 pts on < 300 yds vs Minn. Def was incredible
(10/22) Least penalized team in CFB, both for & against
(10/19) Tired Off, beat PSU by 1 w/ backup QB. Def good
(10/8) QB Gronowski trending towards playing vs Wisc
(9/29) Off awful vs IU, sub 300 yds. Run Def great, Off bad
(9/29) Lost 11 straight vs ranked opps thru IU game
(9/19) QB Gronowski limited but improving. WR suck
(9/19) If refs call Def holding these CB's are cooked
(9/10) Starting TE Ostrenga out for the season
Iowa Injury Report
Minnesota on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat
MINN OffIOWA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #53 #21
SuccessSuc #39 #72
ExplosiveExp #122 #4
PPAPPA #64 #30
PowerPwr #62 #23
SP+SP+ #94 #6
Pts POPPO #27 #27
HavocHav #71 #51
Minnesota Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat
MINN OffIOWA Def
Run GameRun #66 #63
Run SuccessRSuc #65 #97
Run ExplRExp #113 #1
PPAExp #80 #38
Run BlockR Blk #41 -
OL YdsOLY #119 #84
Stuff RateStuff #91 #115
TackleTak -  #84
Minnesota Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat
MINN OffIOWA Def
Pass GamePass #57 #30
Pass SuccessPSuc #29 #51
Pass ExplPExl #129 #36
PPAExp #58 #39
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #54 #5
F7 HavocF7 #80 #68
DB HavocDB #70 #27
Iowa on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCatIOWA OffMINN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #9 #89
SuccessSuc #72 #35
ExplosiveExp #110 #19
PPAPPA #100 #16
PowerPwr #29 #64
SP+SP+ #37 #33
Pts POPPO #84 #23
HavocHav #31 #18
Iowa Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat
IOWA OffMINN Def
Run GameRun #26 #82
Run SuccessRSuc #63 #8
Run ExplRExp #47 #50
PPAExp #71 #19
Run BlockR Blk #2 -
OL YdsOLY #89 #22
Stuff RateStuff #110 #73
TackleTak -  #86
Iowa Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCatIOWA OffMINN Def
Pass GamePass #44 #95
Pass SuccessPSuc #94 #80
Pass ExplPExl #93 #6
PPAExp #93 #27
Pass Block/RushP Blk #3 #93
F7 HavocF7 #76 #90
DB HavocDB #7 #1
Program Comparison
IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

MINN 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Iowa -7.5 (39.5)
Iowa won vs Minnesota this year (41-3)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Minnesota last year (41-3)
Iowa beat Minnesota in 2024 (31-14)
Minnesota beat Iowa in 2023 (12-10)

  
MINN's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr. (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drake Lindsey24638963%23821866.1
Max Shikenjanski4580%801016.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor14367044.771
Fame Ijeboi9744124.549
Grant Washington2113206.316
Cameron Davis (Tr)3511123.214
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lemeke Brockington46484410.524
Javon Tracy (Tr)37454612.345
Jalen Smith28419415.078
Darius Taylor3424507.240

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Danny Collins (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maverick Baranowski1029331
Devon Williams899311
Koi Perich823102
Kerry Brown564003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Smith38181373
Karter Menz329742
Jaxon Howard296410
Maverick Baranowski1029331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Nestor (Tr)506006
Kerry Brown564003
Anthony Smith38181373

IOWA's OC Tim Lester (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mark Gronowski (Tr)16626263%17411076.6
Hank Brown (Tr)112152%107115.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamari Moulton17087855.234
Mark Gronowski (Tr)130545164.267
Jaziun Patterson6029604.917
Xavier Williams4928535.843
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Vonnahme29434315.051
Jacob Gill24278111.644
Sam Phillips (Tr)16261016.345
Reece Vander Zee15219214.629

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Karson Sharar8312461
Xavier Nwankpa761010
Koen Entringer734013
Zach Lutmer716107
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Hurkett3510820
Max Llewellyn259685
Aaron Graves377531
Karson Sharar8312461
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Hall4700010
Zach Lutmer716107
Deshaun Lee341006