Purdue at Minnesota Game Matchup
Purdue logo Purdue Boilermakers at Minnesota Golden GophersMinnesota logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Huntington Bank Stadium - Minneapolis, MN  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 46 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.2 - 9.8 (#135)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Our Line: Minnesota -24.5   (SP+ MINN -16)
Projected Score: PUR: 13 - MINN: 38 (49)
MINN Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
PUR Travel: 448 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Gophers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (57 - 39)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (29 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#41)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
 
Purdue's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Purdue vs Ball State-16.50.0
Sat 9/6 Purdue vs Southern Illinois-11
Sat 9/13 Purdue vs USC+21
Sat 9/20 Purdue at Notre Dame+40.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Purdue vs Illinois+24
Sat 10/11 Purdue at Minnesota+24.5
Sat 10/18 Purdue vs Northwestern+13
Sat 10/25 Purdue vs Rutgers+16.5
Sat 11/1 Purdue at Michigan+36.5
Sat 11/8 Purdue vs Ohio State+41.5
Sat 11/15 Purdue at Washington+23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Purdue vs Indiana+22.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Minnesota's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 Minnesota vs Buffalo-18.50.0
Sat 9/6 Minnesota vs Northwestern State-33
Sat 9/13 Minnesota at California-9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Minnesota vs Rutgers-5.5
Sat 10/4 Minnesota at Ohio State+24
Sat 10/11 Minnesota vs Purdue-24.5
Sat 10/18 Minnesota vs Nebraska-0.5
Sat 10/25 Minnesota at Iowa+4.5
Sat 11/1 Minnesota vs Michigan State-9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Minnesota at Oregon+20
Sat 11/22 Minnesota vs Northwestern-9
Sat 11/29 Minnesota vs Wisconsin-4.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR#112 (.11)41% (96)15.842% (90)3.04 (65)11640% (93)1843.34 (115)#134 (.39)49% (129)39.949% (120)50% (129)4.82 (134)51.81.60.4
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)26.244% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)16.936% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1215.815.540.8%3.341.615299116184446%53%42%40%22%.11
MINN Defense1316.916.638.9%3.321.5 - - - - - 50%50%36%42%19%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense1239.945.849.3%4.820.4 - - - - - 53%47%49%50%12%.39
MINN Offense1326.22944.9%4.380.8193071032043.744%56%44%46%16%.2

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1226:5014.631%28%5.551.81.60.45.21.8026.8
Minnesota1329:1318.545%90%4.535.60.81.54.41.8228.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1246% (94)42% (90)28.8115.549 (125).04 (108)3.04 (65)59% (126)14% (128)0.8 (130)
MINN Defense1350% (63)36% (8) - - - - .02 (19)2.71 (22)74% (69)9% (90)0.95 (50)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1253% (96)49% (120) - - - - .32 (134)3.39 (120)76% (79)8% (109)1.15 (124)
MINN Offense1344% (111)44% (65)28.2102.93.717 (84).11 (80)2.7 (119)73% (69)10% (80)0.88 (113)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1253% (40)40% (93)15.827.4183.96.711.713 (116)9 (48).16 (103)1.5 (92)32% (78)31% (72).49 (14)8% (118)2.1 (29)
MINN Defense1350% (71)42% (80) - - - - - - 16 (10).15 (27)1.3 (6)33% (43)26% (16).15 (10)10% (1)1.8 (20)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1247% (40)50% (129) - - - - - - 4 (125).48 (130)1.6 (88)28% (115)41% (134).63 (134)4% (125)2.1 (90)
MINN Offense1356% (25)46% (29)19.529.2204.1710.518 (68)5 (6).27 (58)1.4 (129)30% (46)31% (80).32 (76)6% (70)2 (75)

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -14.91 #105
Purdue's Offense Rating: 7.84 #106
Purdue's Defense Rating: 22.75 #107
2025 Talent Rating: 740.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Purdue's 2025 Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8
Purdue's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0 #101
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #110
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #90

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -14.91   Minnesota: 12.13

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -10.0   Minnesota: 6.0




Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 12.13 #25
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 19.01 #40
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 5.75 #20
2025 Talent Rating: 894.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #43
Minnesota's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
Minnesota's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.0 #40
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #100
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #14

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.8

Purdue's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 38
Purdue 13

Projected Total Points: 49
Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.6

Minnesota's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Purdue49Minnesota30PurdueMinnesota -1.5Purdue48.5Over
202210/01Minnesota10Purdue20PurdueMinnesota -9.0Purdue53.0Under
202110/02Purdue13Minnesota20MinnesotaPurdue -2Minnesota46.0Under
202011/20Minnesota34Purdue31MinnesotaPurdue -2.5Minnesota60.5Over
201909/28Purdue31Minnesota38MinnesotaPurdue -2Minnesota57.0Over
201811/10Minnesota41Purdue10MinnesotaPurdue -10.5Minnesota58.0Under
201710/07Purdue31Minnesota17PurduePurdue -3.5Purdue45.5Over
201611/05Minnesota44Purdue31MinnesotaMinnesota -16.5Purdue54.0Over
201510/10Purdue13Minnesota41MinnesotaMinnesota -2.5Minnesota47.5Over
201410/18Minnesota39Purdue38MinnesotaMinnesota -14.5Purdue0
201210/27Minnesota44Purdue28Minnesota
201110/08Purdue45Minnesota17Purdue
201010/16Purdue28Minnesota17Purdue
200910/10Minnesota35Purdue20Minnesota
200810/25Purdue6Minnesota17Minnesota
200709/22Minnesota31Purdue45Purdue
200609/23Purdue27Minnesota21Purdue
200509/24Minnesota42Purdue35Minnesota
200209/28Purdue28Minnesota15Purdue
200109/29Minnesota28Purdue35Purdue
200009/22Purdue38Minnesota24Purdue
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Minnesota1156 Overs
Purdue1053 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 74 - 61 - 53 - 1
Road Teams7 - 146 - 41 - 35 - 1

(#105) Purdue Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.91 #105
Offense Rating: 7.84 #106
Defense Rating: 22.75 #107
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #90
Talent Rating: 740.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.34 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.82 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Purdue Notes
(5/11) Least exp'd P4 OL in CFB & 91% exp via portals
(5/7) QB Ryan Browne (NC) starter out of spring
(4/4) QB - Singleton (Ark) is small/shifty runner. Arm?
(3/20) RB Mockobee starter LY, hopefully more TY
(3/20) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds (3 P4/2 G5)
(3/20) OL rebuild 0/5 back. 3 UNLV portals w/ Odom
(3/20) Def awful LY, 11 portals. New DC (UNLV)
(3/20) New OC Henson was USC's OC past 2 yrs
(3/20) New DC Scherer from UNLV w/ Odom
(3/20) Odom is a great HC, but this is a rough job
Purdue     Ratings Matchup     Minnesota
Power #105
#25
Off #106
#40
Def #107
#20
Talent #61
#19
SP+ #101
#40
SP+ Off #110
#100
SP+ Def #90
#14

Previous Matchups
Purdue beat Minnesota in 2023 (49-30)
Purdue beat Minnesota in 2022 (20-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: PUR | MINN
Depth Chart: PUR | MINN
Rosters: PUR | MINN
(#25) Minnesota Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.13 #25
Offense Rating: 19.01 #40
Defense Rating: 5.75 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.0 #40
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #100
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #14
Talent Rating: 894.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #43
Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.32 PPO
Great Run Def Success 36%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Minnesota Notes
(5/26) Portal DE J Howard (LSU) a pot. gamewrecker
(5/23) Safeties Perich & Brown a top duo in CFB
(5/2) S Koi Perch #2 via PFF, only a Soph, 5 Ints
(4/17) QB RFr Drake Lindsey starter? Pryon in portal
(4/7) OL 2/5 back, bad LY. 3 exp'd P4 portals added
(3/31) RB Taylor back, add Turner (Marsh). Looks great
(3/19) WR rebuild. 3 portal adds. Improved, how much?
(3/19) Def v good and return a lot. New DE/CB needs
(3/19) Promoted DC Collins after Hetherman (Mia)
(3/19) Fleck is a good HC. Off could jump in '25


  
Purdue's OC Josh Henson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryan Browne (Tr)437657%532427.0
Malachi Singleton (Tr)212875%3581012.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mockobee13868745.063
Malachi Thomas (Tr)4316513.820
Ryan Browne (Tr)5015503.123
Jaheim Merriweather157715.135
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Smith (Tr)12179214.938
Devin Mockobee17170110.021
De'Nylon Morrissette1110629.619
Chauncey Magwood (Tr)5102020.434

View Purdue's Full Roster
Purdue's DC Michael Scherer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mani Powell (Tr)589440
C.J. Nunnally5512640
Hershey McLaurin (Tr)508113
Chad Brown (Tr)475006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Nunnally5512640
Breylon Charles (Tr)296531
Mani Powell (Tr)589440
Ian Jeffries (Tr)215450
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chad Brown (Tr)475006
Tony Grimes (Tr)200015
Ryan Turner (Tr)132104

Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drake Lindsey4580%501010.0
Darius Taylor11100%101010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor205986104.880
A.J. Turner (Tr)10486468.388
Cameron Davis (Tr)4419004.320
Fame Ijeboi21306.513
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Tracy (Tr)57818714.472
Darius Taylor5435026.522
Logan Loya (Tr)29348412.029
Jameson Geers27286410.623

View Minnesota's Full Roster
Minnesota's DC Danny Collins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maverick Baranowski655112
Kerry Brown633004
Jeff Roberson (Tr)589370
Koi Perich463012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Smith27126101
Jeff Roberson (Tr)589370
Deven Eastern275222
Maverick Baranowski655112
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Za'Quan Bryan191005
Jalen Logan-Redding272054
Kerry Brown633004