Northwestern State at Minnesota - 2025 Matchup Preview

Northwestern State Demons at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Minnesota -43.0 (50.5) (0) Open: -43.0 | 50.5
Minnesota 66 - Northwestern State: 0

Demons (0 - 2) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 0 - 68 (0 - 68 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MINN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Minnesota -15.5 (SP+ MINN -8)
MINN Win prob: 100% | Cover: 30%

Golden Gophers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (57 - 39)
Avg Score : 34 - 12 (45 - 5 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
NWST Players
MINN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northwestern State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6	Northwestern State at Minnesota	+43.0	50.5	L 0 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/13	Northwestern State at Cincinnati	+48.5	55.5	L 0 - 70	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern State's Schedule

Minnesota's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Minnesota vs Buffalo	-16.5	45.5	W 23 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/6	Minnesota vs Northwestern State	-43.0	50.5	W 66 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Minnesota at California	-3.0	41.5	L 14 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Minnesota vs Rutgers	-6
Sat 10/4	Minnesota at Ohio State	+19
Sat 10/11	Minnesota vs Purdue	-20
Sat 10/18	Minnesota vs Nebraska	+2
Sat 10/25	Minnesota at Iowa	+3
Sat 11/1	Minnesota vs Michigan State	-7
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Minnesota at Oregon	+19.5
Sat 11/22	Minnesota vs Northwestern	-11
Sat 11/29	Minnesota vs Wisconsin	-6.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NWST		0%	0	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	68	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MINN	#57 (.23)	46% (50)	34.3	42% (84)	3.24 (44)	180	51% (31)	240	3.57 (93)	#26 (-)	33% (28)	12.3	24% (6)	39% (65)	3.78 (77)	46.7	1.3	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NWST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MINN	#64 (.2)	45% (39)		44% (65)	2.7 (119)	103	46% (29)	204	4.38 (27)	#16 (.08)	39% (35)		36% (8)	42% (80)	3.32 (23)	35.6	0.8	1.5

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NWST Offense	2	0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
MINN Defense	3	12.3	5	33.3%	3.78	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	40%	60%	24%	39%	21%	-

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NWST Defense	2	68	68	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
MINN Offense	3	34.3	44.5	46.2%	3.57	1.3	24	421	180	240	4.3	52%	48%	42%	51%	12%	.23

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northwestern State	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Minnesota	3	35:12	23.7	49%	33%	4.7	46.7	1.3	1.7	6.3	2.3	1	35.3

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NWST Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
MINN Defense	3	40% (11)	24% (6)	-	-	-	-	-.17 (11)	1.94 (9)	80% (107)	16% (10)	0.81 (37)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NWST Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
MINN Offense	3	52% (60)	42% (84)	42.3	180.3	4.3	6 (49)	.06 (94)	3.24 (44)	80% (36)	6% (16)	0.78 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NWST Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
MINN Defense	3	60% (130)	39% (65)	-	-	-	-	-	-	2 (56)	.11 (38)	1.5 (61)	37% (25)	24% (38)	.24 (61)	6% (76)	2.2 (97)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NWST Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
MINN Offense	3	48% (73)	51% (31)	17	28	240.3	8.6	14.1	5 (54)	3 (92)	.42 (41)	1.7 (35)	31% (75)	35% (44)	.34 (65)	7% (104)	1.8 (96)

Northwestern State's Power Ratings
Northwestern State's Power Rating: #NR
Northwestern State's Offense Rating: #NR
Northwestern State's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Northwestern State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Northwestern State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Northwestern State's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Northwestern State's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Southland Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern State: Minnesota: 15.72

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern State: Minnesota: 8.4

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 15.72 #35
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 15.99 #46
Minnesota's Defense Rating: -2.05 #22
2025 Talent Rating: 928.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #44
Minnesota's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Minnesota's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #47
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Northwestern State Scoring
Offense: 0 PPG
Offense on Road: 0
Defense: 68 PPG
Defense on Road: 68

Northwestern State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Minnesota 35
Northwestern State 19

Total Points: 54

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 34.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.5
Defense: 12.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 5

Minnesota's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	Minnesota	66	Northwestern State	0	Minnesota	Minnesota -43.0	Minnesota	50.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Minnesota	1	1	1 Overs
Northwestern State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#NR) Northwestern State Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Record on Road: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Northwestern State Highlights

Northwestern State Deficiencies
Northwestern State has a really bad Offense
Northwestern State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	MINN	NWST
OverallOver	#8	—
OffenseOff	#8	—
DefenseDef	#17	—
Special TeamsST	#4	—
PassingPass	#13	—
RushingRush	#13	—
Run BlockRBLK	#11	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#44	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#35	—
TacklingTkl	#25	—
Run DefenseR Def	#34	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#63	—
Coverage DefCov	#10	—

Rematch from Week 2
Minnesota -43.0 (50.5)
Minnesota won vs Northwestern State this year (66-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NWST | MINN
Depth Chart: NWST | MINN
Rosters: NWST | MINN

(#35) Minnesota Info
Power Rating: 15.72 #35
Offense Rating: 15.99 #46
Defense Rating: -2.05 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #47
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #11
Talent Rating: 928.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #44
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.57 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 51%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 24%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Minnesota has won 1 straight
Minnesota has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Minnesota Notes
(9/13) RB1 D Taylor doubtful for Cal (leg inj)
(8/29) QB Lindsey, RB Taylor as good as advertised
(5/26) Portal DE J Howard (LSU) a pot. gamewrecker
(5/23) Safeties Perich & Brown a top duo in CFB
(5/2) S Koi Perch #2 via PFF, only a Soph, 5 Ints
(4/17) QB RFr Drake Lindsey starter? Pryon in portal
(4/7) OL 2/5 back, bad LY. 3 exp'd P4 portals added
(3/31) RB Taylor back, add Turner (Marsh). Looks great
(3/19) WR rebuild. 3 portal adds. Improved, how much?
(3/19) Def v good and return a lot. New DE/CB needs

Minnesota Highlights
Minnesota is Undefeated at Home

Minnesota offense is good on 3rd downs
Minnesota does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#18)

Minnesota has a really good defense (#28)
Minnesota has a good run defense (#6)
Minnesota Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#24)
Minnesota Defensive Line is very good (#9)
Minnesota Front 7 is disruptive (#10)

Minnesota Deficiencies

Northwestern State's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Abram Johnston	22	40	55%	126	1	3	3.2
Eli Anderson	6	9	67%	15	0	0	1.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	YPC	LONG
Myion Hicks	21	80	3.8	51
Kolbe Burrell	27	78	2.9	32
Abram Johnston	25	53	2.1	20
Zay Davis	9	23	2.6	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kody Finley	2	29	0	14.5	26
Luke Carter (Tr)	3	22	0	7.3	11
Ben Buisson	4	19	0	4.8	9
Ty Moore	1	15	1	15.0	15

View Northwestern State's Full Roster

Northwestern State's DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL
Kaden Mackey	13	0
Kolbe Cage (Tr)	13	0
Danny Sears	10	0
Fernando Washington	9	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Braden Woods	1	1	1
Kaden Mackey	13	0	0
Rahmaan Rinkin	3	0	0
Jecareon Lathan (Tr)	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Preston Hickey	6	1	1
Kaden Mackey	13	0	0
Javian Council	3	0	0

Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drake Lindsey	46	76	61%	634	4	2	8.3
Max Shikenjanski	4	5	80%	80	1	0	16.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Darius Taylor	33	161	0	4.9	18
Fame Ijeboi	23	136	0	5.9	27
Grant Washington	20	126	0	6.3	16
Cameron Davis (Tr)	21	69	2	3.3	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Javon Tracy (Tr)	6	150	1	25.0	45
Lemeke Brockington	10	136	0	13.6	23
Jalen Smith	2	76	1	38.0	60
Kenric Lanier II	2	59	0	29.5	52

View Minnesota's Full Roster

Minnesota's DC Danny Collins

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Maverick Baranowski	18	2	0	0
Devon Williams	18	2	2	1
Koi Perich	10	1	0	0
Aidan Gousby	8	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Smith	7	4	3	0	1
Devon Williams	18	2	2	0	1
Emmanuel Karmo	5	1	1	1	1
Jalen Logan-Redding	4	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
John Nestor (Tr)	6	1	0	2
Devon Williams	18	2	2	1
Anthony Smith	7	4	3	1