San José State at Texas Game Matchup
San José State logo San José State Spartans at Texas LonghornsTexas logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium - Austin, TX

 
Spartans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (25 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#30)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
Our Line: Texas -36   (SP+ TEX -32)
Projected Score: SJSU: 9 - TEX: 45 (52)
TEX Win prob: 97% | Cover: 58%
SJSU Travel: 1464 miles, 2 hrs behind
Longhorns (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (36 - 16)
Avg Score : 33 - 15 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 2.1 (#9)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
 
San José State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 San José State vs Central Michigan-10.50.0
Sat 9/6 San José State at Texas+36
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 San José State vs Idaho-18.5
Sat 9/27 San José State at Stanford+1.5
Sat 10/4 San José State vs New Mexico-14
Sat 10/11 San José State at Wyoming-6
Sat 10/18 San José State at Utah State-8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 San José State vs Hawai'i-9
Sat 11/8 San José State vs Air Force-9.5
Sat 11/15 San José State at Nevada-10
Sat 11/22 San José State at San Diego State-5
Sat 11/29 San José State vs Fresno State-4

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Texas at Ohio State+3.551.5
Sat 9/6 Texas vs San José State-36
Sat 9/13 Texas vs UTEP-45
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Texas vs Sam Houston-48.5
Sat 10/4 Texas at Florida-6.5
Sat 10/11 Texas vs Oklahoma-12
Sat 10/18 Texas at Kentucky-21
Sat 10/25 Texas at Mississippi State-24.5
Sat 11/1 Texas vs Vanderbilt-25.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Texas at Georgia+1.5
Sat 11/22 Texas vs Arkansas-21.5
Sat 11/29 Texas vs Texas A&M-9

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)28.441% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)27.542% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)3349% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)15.342% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TEX0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Offense1328.425.443.9%3.62.222410883223.637%63%41%46%18%.18
TEX Defense1615.313.538%2.571.8 - - - - - 50%50%42%34%21%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Defense1327.527.640.8%3.582.2 - - - - - 53%47%42%39%17%.1
TEX Offense163340.946.3%4.031.4203931522414.746%54%49%44%16%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San José State1326:2321.740%53%761.52.22.27.21.9228.5
Texas1626:4219.843%54%5.444.31.41.86.22.5131.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense1337% (131)41% (98)24.687.93.613 (105)-.06 (131)2.27 (133)70% (91)9% (57)0.81 (127)
TEX Defense1650% (59)42% (61) - - - - -.04 (3)2.79 (33)55% (2)14% (8)0.72 (3)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense1353% (94)42% (66) - - - - .03 (21)2.71 (23)77% (96)11% (41)0.86 (16)
TEX Offense1646% (98)49% (16)32.6152.24.725 (41).13 (69)2.95 (84)67% (106)11% (97)0.91 (96)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense1363% (3)46% (28)24.342.3321.87.613.231 (6)16 (124).33 (39)1.6 (74)30% (53)34% (46).38 (49)9% (131)2.1 (65)
TEX Defense1650% (79)34% (7) - - - - - - 20 (2).04 (3)1.4 (14)33% (53)28% (35).14 (7)8% (17)1.6 (3)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense1347% (43)39% (47) - - - - - - 21 (1).19 (48)1.7 (105)34% (36)29% (45).24 (38)6% (56)2.1 (87)
TEX Offense1654% (34)44% (43)19.629.5240.98.212.335 (3)12 (85).33 (34)1.7 (28)32% (71)38% (9).51 (7)5% (41)2.1 (57)

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -4.60 #80
San José State's Offense Rating: 11.40 #83
San José State's Defense Rating: 16.00 #77
2025 Talent Rating: 492.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
San José State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
San José State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #83
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #81
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #92

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 505.83
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: -4.60   Texas: 31.065

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -5.2   Texas: 26.4




Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 31.065 #3
Texas's Offense Rating: 25.37 #12
Texas's Defense Rating: -5.36 #1
2025 Talent Rating: 1094.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 58 #6
Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 9.9 - 2.1
Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.4 #5
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.0 #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


San José State Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.4
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

San José State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 45
San José State 9


Projected Total Points: 52
Texas Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.9
Defense: 15.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.5

Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201709/09Texas56San José State0TexasTexas -26.5Texas63.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas110 Overs
San José State001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#80) San José State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.60 #80
Offense Rating: 11.40 #83
Defense Rating: 16.00 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #81
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #92
Talent Rating: 492.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 46%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


San José State Notes
(5/4) QB Eget back, gunslinger fun, depth?
(5/4) RB Chalk back, some depth. Better TY?
(5/4) WR rebuild, Coleman good. 4 portals added
(5/4) TE Jackson Canaan undersized but productive
(5/4) OL 4/5 back, grades are rough. No portals?
(5/4) Def bad LY, 5 portals, LB Pollard a machine
(5/4) Great job by Niumatalolo & staff with 8 W's
(5/4) One of CFB's most pass heavy teams @ 63%
San José State     Ratings Matchup     Texas
Power #80
#3
Off #83
#12
Def #77
#1
Talent #107
#5
SP+ #83
#5
SP+ Off #81
#16
SP+ Def #92
#1

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: SJSU | TEX
Depth Chart: SJSU | TEX
Rosters: SJSU | TEX
(#3) Texas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 31.065 #3
Offense Rating: 25.37 #12
Defense Rating: -5.36 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.4 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 9.0 #1
Talent Rating: 1094.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 58 #6
Expected Record: 9.9 - 2.1

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Good Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Texas Notes
(5/19) Added QB Caldwell (Troy) post spring
(5/19) DL added 5 via portal, TE Endries (Cal) big add
(5/11) Least exp'd OL in SEC, only 1/5 starters back
(5/2) CB Muhammad, S Taaffe both top 10 via PFF
(4/30) DE Simmons (PFF #1 DE) dynamic pass rusher
(4/4) LB Anthony Hill #1 LB via PFF
(3/18) RBs Wisner great, Baxter health? Deep
(3/18) WRs lost top 2, lots of talent. Ready?
(3/18) Def great LY, DL rebuild, DB's needed
(1/18) Sark a top coach, ext'd through '31


  
San José State's OC Craig Stutzmann
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Walker Eget18832857%250413107.6
Xavier Ward1333%16015.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Floyd Chalk IV154721104.766
Jabari Bates5925414.331
Lamar Radcliffe3314114.318
Walker Eget299903.432
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Matthew Coleman34401211.833
Jackson Canaan28314211.258
Cooper Hoch107607.617
Leland Smith (Tr)672212.031

View San José State's Full Roster
San José State's DC Derrick Odum
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Pollard11514223
Isiah Revis716125
Taniela Latu717132
Noah McNeal-Franklin534120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Ward467341
Jordan Pollard11514223
Justin Stearns284220
Taniela Latu717132
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isiah Revis716125
Jordan Pollard11514223
Ethan Powell446133

Texas's OC Kyle Flood
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Matthew Caldwell (Tr)14122463%16081387.2
Arch Manning619068%9389210.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Wisner226106454.743
Jerrick Gibson7837744.825
Arch Manning2510844.367
Ryan Wingo5100020.055
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jack Endries (Tr)56623211.157
Emmett Mosley V (Tr)48525610.962
DeAndre Moore Jr.39455711.749
Ryan Wingo27423215.775

View Texas's Full Roster
Texas's DC Pete Kwiatkowski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Hill Jr.11317841
Michael Taaffe7862110
Liona Lefau635202
Jaylon Guilbeau586103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Simmons4814992
Anthony Hill Jr.11317841
Trey Moore3611761
Brad Spence (Tr)556511
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Taaffe7862110
Malik Muhammad361008
Ethan Burke279214