Texas at Florida Game Matchup
Texas logo Texas Longhorns at Florida GatorsFlorida logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium - Gainesville, FL  (SEC)

 
Longhorns (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (36 - 16)
Avg Score : 33 - 15 (24 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 2.1 (#9)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
FLA coming off BYE
Our Line: Texas -6.5   (SP+ TEX -9)
Projected Score: TEX: 27 - FLA: 20 (50)
TEX Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
TEX Travel: 921 miles, 1 hrs behind
Gators (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (29 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)
 
Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Texas at Ohio State+3.551.5
Sat 9/6 Texas vs San José State-36
Sat 9/13 Texas vs UTEP-45
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Texas vs Sam Houston-48.5
Sat 10/4 Texas at Florida-6.5
Sat 10/11 Texas vs Oklahoma-12
Sat 10/18 Texas at Kentucky-21
Sat 10/25 Texas at Mississippi State-24.5
Sat 11/1 Texas vs Vanderbilt-25.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Texas at Georgia+1.5
Sat 11/22 Texas vs Arkansas-21.5
Sat 11/29 Texas vs Texas A&M-9

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Florida vs Long Island University-43
Sat 9/6 Florida vs South Florida-21.5
Sat 9/13 Florida at LSU+8.5
Sat 9/20 Florida at Miami+3
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Florida vs Texas+6.5
Sat 10/11 Florida at Texas A&M+5
Sat 10/18 Florida vs Mississippi State-20.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Florida vs Georgia+5.5
Sat 11/8 Florida at Kentucky-12
Sat 11/15 Florida at Ole Miss+1
Sat 11/22 Florida vs Tennessee-5
Sat 11/29 Florida vs Florida State-14.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)3349% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)15.342% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8
FLA#72 (.18)43% (64)28.345% (54)3.04 (66)16441% (82)2264.17 (46)#53 (.14)44% (95)23.149% (118)39% (44)3.12 (14)541.41.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Offense163323.846.3%4.031.4203931522414.746%54%49%44%16%.24
FLA Defense1323.12143.9%3.121.9 - - - - - 51%49%49%39%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Defense1615.313.338%2.571.8 - - - - - 50%50%42%34%21%-.01
FLA Offense1328.329.343%4.171.4193891642264.654%46%45%41%16%.18

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas1626:4219.843%54%5.444.31.41.86.22.5131.4
Florida1328:3519.239%47%5.9541.41.96.43.1130.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Offense1646% (98)49% (16)32.6152.24.725 (41).13 (69)2.95 (84)67% (106)11% (97)0.91 (96)
FLA Defense1351% (71)49% (118) - - - - .13 (73)3.06 (78)67% (29)11% (37)0.84 (10)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Defense1650% (59)42% (61) - - - - -.04 (3)2.79 (33)55% (2)14% (8)0.72 (3)
FLA Offense1354% (42)45% (54)35.4163.74.626 (36).14 (63)3.04 (66)79% (27)9% (56)0.94 (82)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Offense1654% (34)44% (43)19.629.5240.98.212.335 (3)12 (85).33 (34)1.7 (28)32% (71)38% (9).51 (7)5% (41)2.1 (57)
FLA Defense1349% (67)39% (44) - - - - - - 14 (23).16 (34)1.6 (87)31% (86)37% (124).42 (108)7% (43)2 (58)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Defense1650% (79)34% (7) - - - - - - 20 (2).04 (3)1.4 (14)33% (53)28% (35).14 (7)8% (17)1.6 (3)
FLA Offense1346% (91)41% (82)1626.1225.78.714.118 (68)14 (115).25 (73)1.6 (48)31% (54)28% (105).22 (107)7% (90)1.8 (118)

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 30.73 #3
Texas's Offense Rating: 25.37 #12
Texas's Defense Rating: -5.36 #1
2025 Talent Rating: 1094.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 58% #6
Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 9.9 - 2.1
Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.4 #5
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.0 #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: 30.73   Florida: 22.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 26.4   Florida: 17.3




Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 22.115 #12
Florida's Offense Rating: 26.96 #9
Florida's Defense Rating: 5.03 #17
2025 Talent Rating: 970.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 46 #12
Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.3 #14
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Texas Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 15.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.3

Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 27
Florida 20

Projected Total Points: 50
Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Texas49Florida17TexasTexas -24.5Texas48.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida001 Overs
Texas110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#3) Texas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 30.73 #3
Offense Rating: 25.37 #12
Defense Rating: -5.36 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.4 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 9.0 #1
Talent Rating: 1094.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 58% #6
Expected Record: 9.9 - 2.1

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Good Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Texas Notes
(5/19) Added QB Caldwell (Troy) post spring
(5/19) DL added 5 via portal, TE Endries (Cal) big add
(5/11) Least exp'd OL in SEC, only 1/5 starters back
(5/2) CB Muhammad, S Taaffe both top 10 via PFF
(4/30) DE Simmons (PFF #1 DE) dynamic pass rusher
(4/4) LB Anthony Hill #1 LB via PFF
(3/18) RBs Wisner great, Baxter health? Deep
(3/18) WRs lost top 2, lots of talent. Ready?
(3/18) Def great LY, DL rebuild, DB's needed
(1/18) Sark a top coach, ext'd through '31
Texas     Ratings Matchup     Florida
Power #3
#12
Off #12
#9
Def #1
#17
Talent #5
#15
SP+ #5
#14
SP+ Off #16
#16
SP+ Def #1
#21

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Florida last year (49-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TEX | FLA
Depth Chart: TEX | FLA
Rosters: TEX | FLA
(#12) Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 22.115 #12
Offense Rating: 26.96 #9
Defense Rating: 5.03 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.3 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #21
Talent Rating: 970.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 46 #12
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Great in Scoring Position 3.12 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Florida Notes
(5/23) OL 2 starters, 2 w/ exp. Could be top 10 in CFB
(5/6) Proj starting CB D Johnson arrested (serious)
(5/1) Fr WR D Wilson dominated spring ball, will play
(4/4) DE T Sapp/DT C Banks both top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Jake Slaughter the top T via PFF
(3/29) QB Lagway is special, has inj history though
(3/29) WR lost top 2, Wilson fast, Jackson hurt LY
(3/22) DE Sapp a top CFB Edge, great run, good rush
(3/18) RB Jaden Baugh (Fr) a breakout in '24
(3/18) Def improved LY, good returning prod in '25


  
Texas's OC Kyle Flood
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Matthew Caldwell (Tr)14122463%16081387.2
Arch Manning619068%9389210.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Wisner226106454.743
Jerrick Gibson7837744.825
Arch Manning2510844.367
Ryan Wingo5100020.055
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jack Endries (Tr)56623211.157
Emmett Mosley V (Tr)48525610.962
DeAndre Moore Jr.39455711.749
Ryan Wingo27423215.775

View Texas's Full Roster
Texas's DC Pete Kwiatkowski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Hill Jr.11317841
Michael Taaffe7862110
Liona Lefau635202
Jaylon Guilbeau586103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Simmons4814992
Anthony Hill Jr.11317841
Trey Moore3611761
Brad Spence (Tr)556511
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Taaffe7862110
Malik Muhammad361008
Ethan Burke279214

Florida's OC Rob Sale
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Lagway11519260%191512910.0
Aidan Warner215042%228034.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jadan Baugh13367375.155
Ja'Kobi Jackson9350075.420
D.J. Lagway5110102.022
Treyaun Webb219314.414
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
J.Michael Sturdivant (Tr)22315214.345
Eugene Wilson19266114.085
Hayden Hansen15207113.840
Aidan Mizell17202211.943

View Florida's Full Roster
Florida's DC Ron Roberts
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Castell551009
Jaden Robinson524410
Tyreak Sapp4613750
Bryce Thornton412013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyreak Sapp4613750
George Gumbs369642
Caleb Banks217561
Jaden Robinson524410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Castell551009
Bryce Thornton412013
Aaron Gates274013