(#8)Texas Longhorns at Kentucky Wildcats
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Commonwealth Stadium - Lexington, KY (SEC)
Longhorns (2 - 1) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (36 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 10 (7 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 3.8 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (36 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 10 (7 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 3.8 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
UK coming off BYE
Our Line: Texas -12.5 (SP+ TEX -9.5)
Projected Score: TEX: 27 - UK: 15 (42)
TEX Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
TEX Travel: 925 miles, 1 hrs behind
Our Line: Texas -12.5 (SP+ TEX -9.5)
Projected Score: TEX: 27 - UK: 15 (42)
TEX Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
TEX Travel: 925 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (77 - 73)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Mark Stoops (77 - 73)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
| Texas's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Texas at Ohio State | +1.5 | 46.5 | L 7 - 14 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Texas vs San José State | -37.0 | 52.5 | W 38 - 7 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Texas vs UTEP | -39.5 | 52.5 | W 27 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Texas vs Sam Houston | -40.5 | 51.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Texas at Florida | -4 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Texas vs Oklahoma | +0 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Texas at Kentucky | -12.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Texas at Mississippi State | -7 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Texas vs Vanderbilt | -8.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Texas at Georgia | +5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Texas vs Arkansas | -11 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Texas vs Texas A&M | -3.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Kentucky's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Kentucky vs Toledo | -10.0 | 48.5 | W 24 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Kentucky vs Ole Miss | +8.0 | 51.5 | L 23 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Kentucky vs Eastern Michigan | -26.5 | 49.5 | W 48 - 23 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Kentucky at South Carolina | +6 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Kentucky at Georgia | +20 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Kentucky vs Texas | +12.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Kentucky vs Tennessee | +11 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Kentucky at Auburn | +18 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Kentucky vs Florida | +6 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Kentucky vs Tennessee Tech | -32.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Kentucky at Vanderbilt | +12 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Kentucky at Louisville | +10 | |||||
Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | #130 (-.01) | 42% (86) | 24 | 49% (44) | 3.25 (40) | 182 | 32% (122) | 200 | 3.25 (107) | #11 (-.09) | 33% (25) | 10.3 | 35% (38) | 31% (24) | 2.58 (38) | 81 | 1.3 | 2 |
| UK | #77 (.18) | 44% (65) | 31.7 | 54% (22) | 3.53 (24) | 215 | 29% (130) | 171 | 4.19 (60) | #82 (.16) | 40% (70) | 23 | 38% (65) | 41% (79) | 3.94 (88) | 49.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | #39 (.24) | 46% (27) | 49% (16) | 2.95 (84) | 152 | 44% (43) | 241 | 4.03 (54) | #3 (-.01) | 38% (22) | 42% (61) | 34% (7) | 2.57 (3) | 44.3 | 1.4 | 1.8 | ||
| UK | #118 (.09) | 41% (89) | 47% (31) | 3.02 (71) | 146 | 35% (123) | 185 | 3.49 (104) | #62 (.16) | 46% (111) | 49% (122) | 42% (75) | 3.44 (31) | 52.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX Offense | 3 | 24 | 7 | 41.6% | 3.25 | 1.3 | 19 | 383 | 182 | 200 | 4.4 | 58% | 41% | 49% | 32% | 10% | -.01 |
| UK Defense | 3 | 23 | 23 | 39.6% | 3.94 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 38% | 41% | 12% | .16 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX Defense | 3 | 10.3 | 14 | 33.1% | 2.58 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 35% | 31% | 15% | -.09 |
| UK Offense | 3 | 31.7 | 31.7 | 43.9% | 4.19 | 0.7 | 20 | 385 | 215 | 171 | 5.1 | 59% | 40% | 54% | 29% | 14% | .18 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | 3 | 31:39 | 19 | 29% | 42% | 8.3 | 81 | 1.3 | 2 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0 | 35.9 |
| Kentucky | 3 | 31:16 | 20 | 43% | 33% | 5.3 | 49.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 35.7 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX Offense | 3 | 58% (23) | 49% (44) | 41.7 | 182.3 | 4.4 | 3 (95) | .1 (86) | 3.25 (40) | 68% (84) | 6% (16) | 0.72 (125) |
| UK Defense | 3 | 51% (75) | 38% (65) | - | - | - | - | - (46) | 2.52 (45) | 69% (66) | 8% (102) | 0.94 (71) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX Defense | 3 | 47% (49) | 35% (38) | - | - | - | - | -.19 (8) | 2.11 (16) | 45% (17) | 7% (110) | 0.44 (2) |
| UK Offense | 3 | 59% (20) | 54% (22) | 42 | 214.7 | 5.1 | 9 (17) | .3 (32) | 3.53 (24) | 57% (114) | 7% (38) | 0.92 (78) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX Offense | 3 | 41% (114) | 32% (122) | 16.3 | 29.3 | 200.3 | 6.8 | 12.3 | 6 (34) | 3 (92) | -.11 (132) | 1.5 (78) | 27% (38) | 21% (121) | .13 (111) | 5% (57) | 1.8 (100) |
| UK Defense | 3 | 49% (65) | 41% (79) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .32 (104) | 1.7 (103) | 33% (62) | 30% (76) | .43 (104) | 4% (102) | 2.1 (80) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX Defense | 3 | 53% (90) | 31% (24) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | - (21) | 1.2 (14) | 31% (88) | 13% (7) | -.13 (7) | 8% (26) | 1.2 (1) |
| UK Offense | 3 | 40% (118) | 29% (130) | 12.7 | 25.7 | 170.7 | 6.7 | 13.5 | 2 (102) | 1 (23) | .07 (122) | 1.9 (12) | 29% (55) | 20% (124) | -.01 (124) | 7% (102) | 1.9 (76) |
Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 29.65 #11
Texas's Offense Rating: 15.74 #50
Texas's Defense Rating: -13.92 #1
2025 Talent Rating: 1074.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #6
Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.9 #1
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Texas's Power Rating: 29.65 #11
Texas's Offense Rating: 15.74 #50
Texas's Defense Rating: -13.92 #1
2025 Talent Rating: 1074.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #6
Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.9 #1
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: 29.65 Kentucky: 11.615
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 18.8 Kentucky: 9.1
Texas: 29.65 Kentucky: 11.615
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 18.8 Kentucky: 9.1
Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 11.615 #57
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
2025 Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Kentucky's Power Rating: 11.615 #57
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
2025 Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Texas Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 10.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 14
Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 10.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 14
Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 27
Kentucky 15
Total Points: 42
Texas 27
Kentucky 15
Total Points: 42
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 31.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 23
Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 2 - 0
Offense: 31.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 23
Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/23 | Texas | 31 | Kentucky | 14 | Texas | Texas -18.5 | Kentucky | 47.0 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | 0 | 1 | 0 Overs |
| Texas | 1 | 0 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 0 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
(#11) Texas Info
Power Rating: 29.65 #11
Offense Rating: 15.74 #50
Defense Rating: -13.92 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
Defense SP+ Rating: 10.9 #1
Talent Rating: 1074.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #6
Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.25 PPO
Good Run Success 49%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Good in Scoring Position 2.58 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Good Pass Def Success 31%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas has lost 3 straight
Texas has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Texas Notes
(9/13) Arch awful vs UTEP. Very concerning now
(8/30) Fr CB Graceson Littleton the real deal
(8/30) Arch bad vs OSU, inconsistent. OL dominated
(6/14) Only P4 w/ same HC, OC, DC, S&C for 5+ year
(6/6) WRs lost top 2, lots of talent. Top 10 via PFF?
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
(5/19) Added QB Caldwell (Troy) post spring
(5/19) DL added 5 via portal, TE Endries (Cal) big add
(5/11) Least exp'd OL in SEC, only 1/5 starters back
(5/2) CB Muhammad, S Taaffe both top 10 via PFF
Texas Highlights
Texas has a really good defense (#25)
Texas defense does not give up big plays (#2)
Texas has a good pass defense (#24)
Texas Defensive Line is very good (#16)
Texas Secondary is very good (#26)
Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Texas Deficiencies
Texas Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Texas offense is not Explosive (#132)
Texas offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#107)
Texas pass game is really bad (#122)
Texas offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: 29.65 #11
Offense Rating: 15.74 #50
Defense Rating: -13.92 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.8 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
Defense SP+ Rating: 10.9 #1
Talent Rating: 1074.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #6
Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.25 PPO
Good Run Success 49%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Good in Scoring Position 2.58 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Good Pass Def Success 31%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Texas has lost 3 straight
Texas has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Texas Notes
(9/13) Arch awful vs UTEP. Very concerning now
(8/30) Fr CB Graceson Littleton the real deal
(8/30) Arch bad vs OSU, inconsistent. OL dominated
(6/14) Only P4 w/ same HC, OC, DC, S&C for 5+ year
(6/6) WRs lost top 2, lots of talent. Top 10 via PFF?
(5/23) Secondary top 3 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
(5/19) Added QB Caldwell (Troy) post spring
(5/19) DL added 5 via portal, TE Endries (Cal) big add
(5/11) Least exp'd OL in SEC, only 1/5 starters back
(5/2) CB Muhammad, S Taaffe both top 10 via PFF
Texas Highlights
Texas has a really good defense (#25)
Texas defense does not give up big plays (#2)
Texas has a good pass defense (#24)
Texas Defensive Line is very good (#16)
Texas Secondary is very good (#26)
Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Texas Deficiencies
Texas Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Texas offense is not Explosive (#132)
Texas offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#107)
Texas pass game is really bad (#122)
Texas offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UK | TEX |
| OverallOver | #37 | #29 |
| OffenseOff | #73 | #66 |
| DefenseDef | #20 | #6 |
| Special TeamsST | #31 | #58 |
| PassingPass | #98 | #56 |
| RushingRush | #33 | #45 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #44 | #59 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #31 | #54 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #94 | #74 |
| TacklingTkl | #75 | #24 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #14 | #8 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #9 | #5 |
| Coverage DefCov | #80 | #18 |
(#57) Kentucky Info
Power Rating: 11.615 #57
Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29
Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 40%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.19 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Awful Pass Success 29%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Kentucky has lost 2 straight
Kentucky has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 1 (1 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Kentucky Notes
(8/30) Run Off good vs Toledo, but Calzada really bad
(8/13) No NIL $, roster gap getting bigger, harder job
(6/9) AHC Marrow left in June, been w/ UK since '13??
(6/9) Stoops had a great run, but this looks over
(6/8) 6 Def starters from 9 portals, all DL starters
(6/8) 14 proj starters from portal, 8 Off & 6 Def
(6/8) RBs Wilcox good, Dowdell(Neb) + McGowen(NMSU)
(6/8) OL 1/5 back, 7 portal adds. 5 clear starters
(5/11) OL has a lot of exp but 66% comes from portals
(5/5) UK 2-10 run in SEC home games & 0-7 streak
Kentucky Highlights
Kentucky is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Kentucky has Really Good Running Game (#22)
Kentucky has a top Offensive Line (#24)
Kentucky does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#28)
Kentucky has a great TO Margin (#28)
Kentucky defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Kentucky Deficiencies
Kentucky pass game is really bad (#130)
Power Rating: 11.615 #57
Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29
Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 40%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.19 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Awful Pass Success 29%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Kentucky has lost 2 straight
Kentucky has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 1 (1 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Kentucky Notes
(8/30) Run Off good vs Toledo, but Calzada really bad
(8/13) No NIL $, roster gap getting bigger, harder job
(6/9) AHC Marrow left in June, been w/ UK since '13??
(6/9) Stoops had a great run, but this looks over
(6/8) 6 Def starters from 9 portals, all DL starters
(6/8) 14 proj starters from portal, 8 Off & 6 Def
(6/8) RBs Wilcox good, Dowdell(Neb) + McGowen(NMSU)
(6/8) OL 1/5 back, 7 portal adds. 5 clear starters
(5/11) OL has a lot of exp but 66% comes from portals
(5/5) UK 2-10 run in SEC home games & 0-7 streak
Kentucky Highlights
Kentucky is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Kentucky has Really Good Running Game (#22)
Kentucky has a top Offensive Line (#24)
Kentucky does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#28)
Kentucky has a great TO Margin (#28)
Kentucky defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Kentucky Deficiencies
Kentucky pass game is really bad (#130)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arch Manning | 47 | 85 | 55% | 579 | 6 | 3 | 6.8 |
| Matthew Caldwell (Tr) | 2 | 3 | 67% | 22 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arch Manning | 23 | 112 | 3 | 4.9 | 20 |
| CJ Baxter Jr. | 24 | 110 | 0 | 4.6 | 18 |
| Jerrick Gibson | 25 | 102 | 0 | 4.1 | 14 |
| Tre Wisner | 16 | 80 | 0 | 5.0 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Livingstone | 8 | 198 | 3 | 24.8 | 83 |
| Jack Endries (Tr) | 7 | 106 | 2 | 15.1 | 36 |
| Ryan Wingo | 9 | 97 | 1 | 10.8 | 28 |
| DeAndre Moore Jr. | 6 | 36 | 0 | 6.0 | 17 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Taaffe | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liona Lefau | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Anthony Hill Jr. | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ty'Anthony Smith | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maraad Watson (Tr) | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Zina Umeozulu | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Hero Kanu (Tr) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Colin Simmons | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Muhammad | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Xavier Filsaime | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Liona Lefau | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Calzada (Tr) | 25 | 53 | 47% | 234 | 0 | 1 | 4.4 |
| Cutter Boley | 13 | 24 | 54% | 278 | 2 | 0 | 11.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth McGowan (Tr) | 51 | 275 | 6 | 5.4 | 18 |
| Dante Dowdell (Tr) | 36 | 214 | 1 | 5.9 | 79 |
| Jason Patterson | 13 | 80 | 1 | 6.2 | 29 |
| Cutter Boley | 9 | 38 | 0 | 4.2 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Kattus | 8 | 112 | 1 | 14.0 | 34 |
| Jay Maclin | 4 | 103 | 0 | 25.8 | 44 |
| Hardley Gilmore IV (Tr) | 6 | 97 | 0 | 16.2 | 38 |
| Kendrick Law (Tr) | 8 | 69 | 0 | 8.6 | 23 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Afari Jr. | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ty Bryant | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Lovett | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daveren Rayner | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Soles Jr. | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Mi'Quise Grace (Tr) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Alex Afari Jr. | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaden Williams (Tr) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terhyon Nichols | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Steven Soles Jr. | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Quay'sheed Scott | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |