UTEP at Texas - 2025 Matchup Preview
UTEP logo   UTEP Miners at Texas Longhorns  Texas logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (4:15 PM EDT)
Texas -39.5 (52.5) (0)  Open: 0.0 | 50.5
Texas 27 - UTEP: 10

 
Miners (2 - 10) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Scotty Walden (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (20 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
TEX 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas -34  (SP+ TEX -34)

Projected Score: UTEP: 10 - TEX: 44 (54)
TEX Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%
UTEP Travel: 530 miles, 1 hrs behind
Longhorns (10 - 3) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (36 - 16)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (39 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
UTEP's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UTEP at Utah State+3.559.5L 16 - 28UN
Sat 9/6 UTEP vs UT Martin-7.549.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 UTEP at Texas+39.552.5L 10 - 27UY
Sat 9/20 UTEP vs UL Monroe-5.547.5L 25 - 31ON
Sat 9/27 UTEP vs Louisiana Tech+3.548.5L 11 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 UTEP vs Liberty+1.546.5L 8 - 19UN
Wed 10/15 UTEP vs Sam Houston-3.546.5W 35 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 UTEP at Kennesaw State+12.553.5L 20 - 33UN
Sat 11/8 UTEP vs Jacksonville State+1.546.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 11/15 UTEP at Missouri State+6.547.5L 24 - 38ON
Sat 11/22 UTEP vs New Mexico State-4.044.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 11/29 UTEP at Delaware+4.555.5L 31 - 61ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule
Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas at Ohio State+1.546.5L 7 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Texas vs San José State-37.052.5W 38 - 7UN
Sat 9/13 Texas vs UTEP-39.552.5W 27 - 10UN
Sat 9/20 Texas vs Sam Houston-39.551.5W 55 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas at Florida-4.542.5L 21 - 29ON
Sat 10/11 Texas vs Oklahoma-2.544.5W 23 - 6UY
Sat 10/18 Texas at Kentucky-12.545.5W 16 - 13UN
Sat 10/25 Texas at Mississippi State-8.548.5W 45 - 38ON
Sat 11/1 Texas vs Vanderbilt-3.548.5W 34 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Texas at Georgia+3.550.5L 10 - 35UN
Sat 11/22 Texas vs Arkansas-10.557.5W 52 - 37OY
Fri 11/28 Texas vs Texas A&M+2.554.5W 27 - 17UY
Wed 12/31 Texas vs Michigan-7.050.0W 41 - 27OY

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTEP#121 (.07)37% (124)23.338% (118)2.8 (106)12136% (117)2002.81 (132)#46 (.13)40% (42)30.440% (42)39% (46)3.85 (78)50.91.61.5
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)30.549% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)20.342% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTEP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TEX0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTEP Offense1223.320.237%2.811.6173211212003.352%47%38%36%20%.07
TEX Defense1620.31738%2.571.8 - - - - - 50%50%42%34%21%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTEP Defense1230.437.439.7%3.851.5 - - - - - 54%46%40%39%18%.13
TEX Offense1630.538.846.3%4.031.4203931522414.746%54%49%44%16%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTEP1227:5716.733%30%5.750.91.61.57.12.9227.1
Texas1626:4219.843%54%5.444.31.41.86.22.5131.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTEP Offense1252% (56)38% (118)36.4120.83.39 (125).02 (118)2.8 (106)59% (127)13% (125)0.88 (114)
TEX Defense1650% (59)42% (61) - - - - -.04 (3)2.79 (33)55% (2)14% (8)0.72 (3)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTEP Defense1254% (103)40% (42) - - - - .07 (40)2.85 (44)59% (7)12% (18)1.07 (102)
TEX Offense1646% (98)49% (16)32.6152.24.725 (41).13 (69)2.95 (84)67% (106)11% (97)0.91 (96)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTEP Offense1247% (81)36% (117)18.630.42006.610.815 (98)12 (85).15 (108)1.5 (112)34% (111)23% (128).23 (104)7% (110)2.2 (20)
TEX Defense1650% (79)34% (7) - - - - - - 20 (2).04 (3)1.4 (14)33% (53)28% (35).14 (7)8% (17)1.6 (3)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTEP Defense1246% (36)39% (46) - - - - - - 11 (52).21 (54)1.7 (115)34% (34)30% (56).28 (59)6% (66)2.1 (75)
TEX Offense1654% (34)44% (43)19.629.5240.98.212.335 (3)12 (85).33 (34)1.7 (28)32% (71)38% (9).51 (7)5% (41)2.1 (57)

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -11.55  #107
UTEP's Offense Rating: 3.75  #123
UTEP's Defense Rating: 15.30  #83
2025 Talent Rating: 662.00  #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
UTEP's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
UTEP's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.5  #129
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2  #111
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3  #127

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 500.89
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -11.55   Texas: 19.545

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -17.5   Texas: 16.2




Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 19.545  #14
Texas's Offense Rating: 19.54  #31
Texas's Defense Rating: 1.65  #14
2025 Talent Rating: 1074.00  #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 65  #6
Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.2  #17
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9  #30
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9  #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UTEP Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.2
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

UTEP's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 44
UTEP 10


Projected Total Points: 54
Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Texas27UTEP10Texas -39.5UTEP52.5Under
202009/12Texas59UTEP3Texas -45Texas55.0Over
201609/10Texas41UTEP7Texas -26Texas58.0Under
200909/26Texas64UTEP7
200809/06UTEP13Texas42
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas521 Overs
UTEP012 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 41 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#107) UTEP at (#14) TEX
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTEPTEX
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #107 #14
SP+SP+ #129 #17
Perf GradeGrade #126 #13
OffenseOff #132 #25
DefenseDef #102 #25
Spec TeamsST #101 #41
TalentTal #82 #5
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #6
UTEP Notes
(10/29) Even game w/ Kenn St, St's & 2-16 3rd down killed
(10/8) This offense is pathetic. New OC Mark Cala a disaster
(9/29) QB Nelson benched, Skyler Locklear will take over
(9/28) Off is near worst in CFB. QB Nelson a disaster so far
(9/25) 20 1st Half points in 3 games vs FBS teams
(9/21) Ugly L vs ULM, Run Def mauled, Run Off shit
(9/17) Patchwork OL might be OK once in CUSA play
(9/13) Great fight at Tex, Def played hard, QB OK
(8/30) Run game/Off awful vs USU. QB Nelson bad
(8/21) QB1 M Nelson (BSU) beats Locklear for starter
(8/2) 8 new Def starters, but 3* croots as talent rises
(8/2) Def replaces most, 19 portal adds, better talent
UTEP Injury Report
Texas Notes
(12/18) DC Pete Kwiatkowski fired, Will Muschamp hired
(11/2) Manning getting hot, Run Off awful. Big W vs Vandy
(10/31) QB1 Manning will start vs Vandy, was ?
(10/25) Ryan Niblett best PR in CFB, saving Horns season
(10/18) Off only 179 yds in UK win, OG'd by 200+, lucky W
(10/14) RB2 Jerrick Gibson no longer w/ program
(10/9) RB1 CJ Baxter doubtful for OU game
(10/5) The Run Off is horrific & Arch looks lost. Bad vibes
(9/13) Arch awful vs UTEP. Very concerning now
(8/30) Fr CB Graceson Littleton the real deal
(8/30) Arch bad vs OSU, inconsistent. OL dominated
(6/14) Only P4 w/ same HC, OC, DC, S&C for 5+ year
Texas Injury Report
UTEP on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
UTEP OffTEX Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #132 #25
SuccessSuc #124 #22
ExplosiveExp #125 #1
PPAPPA #121 #3
PowerPwr #123 #14
SP+SP+ #111 #18
Pts POPPO #132 #3
HavocHav #126 #4
UTEP Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
UTEP OffTEX Def
Run GameRun #109 #22
Run SuccessRSuc #118 #61
Run ExplRExp #114 #3
PPAExp #118 #3
Run BlockR Blk #128 -
OL YdsOLY #106 #33
Stuff RateStuff #118 #31
TackleTak -  #16
UTEP Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
UTEP OffTEX Def
Pass GamePass #129 #34
Pass SuccessPSuc #117 #7
Pass ExplPExl #112 #14
PPAExp #108 #3
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #81 #18
F7 HavocF7 #125 #8
DB HavocDB #110 #17
Texas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTEX OffUTEP Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #25 #102
SuccessSuc #27 #42
ExplosiveExp #47 #111
PPAPPA #39 #46
PowerPwr #31 #83
SP+SP+ #30 #127
Pts POPPO #54 #78
HavocHav #77 #34
Texas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TEX OffUTEP Def
Run GameRun #55 #59
Run SuccessRSuc #16 #42
Run ExplRExp #96 #102
PPAExp #69 #40
Run BlockR Blk #27 -
OL YdsOLY #84 #44
Stuff RateStuff #101 #34
TackleTak -  #29
Texas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTEX OffUTEP Def
Pass GamePass #15 #111
Pass SuccessPSuc #43 #46
Pass ExplPExl #28 #115
PPAExp #34 #54
Pass Block/RushP Blk #45 #123
F7 HavocF7 #97 #18
DB HavocDB #41 #66
Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

UTEP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Texas -39.5 (52.5)
Texas won vs UTEP this year (27-10)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat UTEP last year (27-10)

  
UTEP's OC Mark Cala (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Skyler Locklear11721156%141813116.7
Malachi Nelson (Tr)10419055%1163896.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashten Emory11956944.856
Skyler Locklear10339683.863
Hahsaun Wilson (Tr)4622514.994
Kenny Odom135704.413
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wondame Davis Jr.25604624.275
Kenny Odom6258269.474
Eric Willis III27290210.743
Josh Schuchts21232311.064

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC Bobby Daly (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Micah Davey (Tr)1148130
Jayden Wilson (Tr)928160
Xavier Smith602014
Solo Barnes (Tr)592114
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)4110531
Kadarion Johnson5510451
Elijah Baldwin236444
Ashaad Hall (Tr)244371
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Content586016
Xavier Smith602014
Solo Barnes (Tr)592114

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Arch Manning24840461%31632677.8
Matthew Caldwell (Tr)81173%85107.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Wisner13159734.648
Arch Manning92399104.360
Christian Clark5523624.322
CJ Baxter Jr.5419603.618
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Wingo54834715.475
DeAndre Moore Jr.38532414.046
Parker Livingstone29516617.883
Emmett Mosley V (Tr)28408314.640

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Pete Kwiatkowski (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jelani McDonald804013
Michael Taaffe701101
Anthony Hill Jr.707451
Liona Lefau682003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Simmons431612152
Anthony Hill Jr.707451
Brad Spence (Tr)216320
Ethan Burke407321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kade Phillips222006
Graceson Littleton463006
Malik Muhammad303114