UTEP at Texas - 2025 Matchup Preview
UTEP logo UTEP Miners at Texas Longhorns(#7)Texas logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (4:15 PM EDT)
Texas -39.5 (52.5) (0)  Open: 0.0 | 50.5
Texas 27 - UTEP: 10

 
Miners (2 - 10) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Scotty Walden (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (20 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Temp: 93.9° (35% Hum)
TEX 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Texas -31  (SP+ TEX -31)

Projected Score: UTEP: 11 - TEX: 42 (53)
TEX Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%
UTEP Travel: 530 miles, 1 hrs behind
Longhorns (10 - 3) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (36 - 16)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (39 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
UTEP's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UTEP at Utah State+3.559.5L 16 - 28UN
Sat 9/6 UTEP vs UT Martin-7.549.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 9/13 UTEP at Texas+39.552.5L 10 - 27UY
Sat 9/20 UTEP vs UL Monroe-5.547.5L 25 - 31ON
Sat 9/27 UTEP vs Louisiana Tech+3.548.5L 11 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 UTEP vs Liberty+1.546.5L 8 - 19UN
Wed 10/15 UTEP vs Sam Houston-3.546.5W 35 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 UTEP at Kennesaw State+12.553.5L 20 - 33UN
Sat 11/8 UTEP vs Jacksonville State+1.546.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 11/15 UTEP at Missouri State+6.547.5L 24 - 38ON
Sat 11/22 UTEP vs New Mexico State-4.044.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 11/29 UTEP at Delaware+4.555.5L 31 - 61ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule
Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas at Ohio State+1.546.5L 7 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Texas vs San José State-37.052.5W 38 - 7UN
Sat 9/13 Texas vs UTEP-39.552.5W 27 - 10UN
Sat 9/20 Texas vs Sam Houston-39.551.5W 55 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas at Florida-4.542.5L 21 - 29ON
Sat 10/11 Texas vs Oklahoma-2.544.5W 23 - 6UY
Sat 10/18 Texas at Kentucky-12.545.5W 16 - 13UN
Sat 10/25 Texas at Mississippi State-8.548.5W 45 - 38ON
Sat 11/1 Texas vs Vanderbilt-3.548.5W 34 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Texas at Georgia+3.550.5L 10 - 35UN
Sat 11/22 Texas vs Arkansas-10.557.5W 52 - 37OY
Fri 11/28 Texas vs Texas A&M+2.554.5W 27 - 17UY
Wed 12/31 Texas vs Michigan-7.050.0W 41 - 27OY

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTEP#130 (.02)33% (135)23.336% (129)2.14 (133)11631% (135)2163.42 (95)#45 (.11)39% (42)30.437% (14)42% (75)3.85 (88)57.121
TEX#77 (.16)40% (102)30.542% (90)2.83 (87)12039% (102)2343.4 (97)#44 (.11)40% (47)20.338% (25)41% (63)3.82 (85)61.80.61.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTEP#121 (.07)37% (124)38% (118)2.8 (106)12136% (117)2002.81 (132)#46 (.13)40% (42)40% (42)39% (46)3.85 (78)50.91.61.5
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)49% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)42% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTEP Offense1223.320.233%3.422173321162163.744%54%36%31%19%.02
TEX Defense1320.31739.8%3.821.5 - - - - - 44%55%38%41%18%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTEP Defense1230.437.439.3%3.851 - - - - - 54%45%37%42%16%.11
TEX Offense1330.538.839.9%3.40.617354120234447%51%42%39%16%.16

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTEP1225:3816.830%54%5.957.1216.82.3128.5
Texas1326:2517.240%47%7.461.80.61.55.72.8231.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTEP Offense1244% (113)36% (129)31.3115.63.714 (99).05 (105)2.14 (133)60% (127)11% (106)1.17 (5)
TEX Defense1344% (11)38% (25) - - - - -.02 (11)2.59 (15)50% (2)11% (20)0.82 (9)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTEP Defense1254% (113)37% (14) - - - - .02 (24)2.63 (22)64% (22)11% (33)0.98 (79)
TEX Offense1347% (92)42% (90)30119.9414 (88).06 (97)2.83 (87)67% (102)10% (94)0.88 (106)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTEP Offense1254% (27)31% (135)18.734.2216.36.311.621 (61)20 (136).03 (130)1.7 (17)34% (116)24% (125).21 (103)8% (128)2.1 (31)
TEX Defense1355% (127)41% (63) - - - - - - 13 (12).24 (66)1.5 (37)32% (57)29% (70).27 (64)7% (41)1.8 (21)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTEP Defense1245% (25)42% (75) - - - - - - 5 (123).24 (64)1.4 (22)32% (51)27% (36).12 (10)5% (110)1.5 (1)
TEX Offense1351% (45)39% (102)18.229.7233.77.912.826 (50)7 (60).28 (56)1.8 (10)33% (93)32% (53).4 (32)6% (59)2.2 (19)

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -6.22  #91
UTEP's Offense Rating: 0.12  #128
UTEP's Defense Rating: 6.34  #55
2025 Talent Rating: 662.00  #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
UTEP's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
UTEP's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.6  #129
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3  #112
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3  #125

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -6.22   Texas: 19.445

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -16.6   Texas: 14.8




Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 19.445  #19
Texas's Offense Rating: 16.15  #33
Texas's Defense Rating: -2.94  #22
2025 Talent Rating: 1074.00  #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 65  #6
Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8  #22
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #38
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9  #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UTEP Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.2
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

UTEP's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 42
UTEP 11


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas 35
UTEP 17

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Texas 35
UTEP 20

Total Points: 55
Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Texas27UTEP10Texas -39.5UTEP52.5Under
202009/12Texas59UTEP3Texas -45Texas55.0Over
201609/10Texas41UTEP7Texas -26Texas58.0Under
200909/26Texas64UTEP7
200809/06UTEP13Texas42
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas521 Overs
UTEP012 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 41 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#91) UTEP at (#19) TEX
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTEPTEX
Power RatePwr #91 #19
SP+SP+ #129 #22
Perf GradeGrade #126 #14
OffenseOff #131 #30
DefenseDef #106 #22
Spec TeamsST #110 #42
TalentTal #82 #5
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #6
UTEP Notes
(10/29) Even game w/ Kenn St, St's & 2-16 3rd down killed
(10/8) This offense is pathetic. New OC Mark Cala a disaster
(9/29) QB Nelson benched, Skyler Locklear will take over
(9/28) Off is near worst in CFB. QB Nelson a disaster so far
(9/25) 20 1st Half points in 3 games vs FBS teams
(9/21) Ugly L vs ULM, Run Def mauled, Run Off shit
(9/17) Patchwork OL might be OK once in CUSA play
(9/13) Great fight at Tex, Def played hard, QB OK
(8/30) Run game/Off awful vs USU. QB Nelson bad
(8/21) QB1 M Nelson (BSU) beats Locklear for starter
(8/2) 8 new Def starters, but 3* croots as talent rises
(8/2) Def replaces most, 19 portal adds, better talent
UTEP Injury Report
Texas Notes
(12/18) DC Pete Kwiatkowski fired, Will Muschamp hired
(11/2) Manning getting hot, Run Off awful. Big W vs Vandy
(10/31) QB1 Manning will start vs Vandy, was ?
(10/25) Ryan Niblett best PR in CFB, saving Horns season
(10/18) Off only 179 yds in UK win, OG'd by 200+, lucky W
(10/14) RB2 Jerrick Gibson no longer w/ program
(10/9) RB1 CJ Baxter doubtful for OU game
(10/5) The Run Off is horrific & Arch looks lost. Bad vibes
(9/13) Arch awful vs UTEP. Very concerning now
(8/30) Fr CB Graceson Littleton the real deal
(8/30) Arch bad vs OSU, inconsistent. OL dominated
(6/14) Only P4 w/ same HC, OC, DC, S&C for 5+ year
Texas Injury Report
UTEP on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
UTEP OffTEX Def
Perf GradePerf #131 #22
SuccessSuc #135 #47
ExplosiveExp #2 #27
PPAPPA #130 #44
PowerPwr #128 #22
SP+SP+ #112 #17
Pts POPPO #95 #85
HavocHav #123 #25
UTEP Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
UTEP OffTEX Def
Run GameRun #96 #13
Run SuccessRSuc #129 #25
Run ExplRExp #5 #9
PPAExp #105 #11
Run BlockR Blk #120 -
OL YdsOLY #133 #15
Stuff RateStuff #124 #30
TackleTak -  #18
UTEP Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
UTEP OffTEX Def
Pass GamePass #127 #50
Pass SuccessPSuc #135 #63
Pass ExplPExl #17 #37
PPAExp #130 #66
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #88 #8
F7 HavocF7 #106 #20
DB HavocDB #128 #41
Texas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTEX OffUTEP Def
Perf GradePerf #30 #106
SuccessSuc #102 #42
ExplosiveExp #16 #47
PPAPPA #77 #45
PowerPwr #33 #55
SP+SP+ #38 #125
Pts POPPO #97 #88
HavocHav #73 #67
Texas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TEX OffUTEP Def
Run GameRun #78 #68
Run SuccessRSuc #90 #14
Run ExplRExp #106 #79
PPAExp #97 #24
Run BlockR Blk #27 -
OL YdsOLY #87 #22
Stuff RateStuff #119 #20
TackleTak -  #30
Texas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTEX OffUTEP Def
Pass GamePass #20 #112
Pass SuccessPSuc #102 #75
Pass ExplPExl #10 #22
PPAExp #56 #64
Pass Block/RushP Blk #70 #97
F7 HavocF7 #94 #33
DB HavocDB #59 #110
Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

UTEP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 94° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Texas -39.5 (52.5)
Texas won vs UTEP this year (27-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UTEP's OC Mark Cala (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Skyler Locklear11721156%141813116.7
Malachi Nelson (Tr)10419055%1163896.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashten Emory11956944.856
Skyler Locklear10339683.863
Hahsaun Wilson (Tr)4622514.994
Kenny Odom135704.413
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wondame Davis Jr.25604624.275
Kenny Odom6258269.474
Eric Willis III27290210.743
Josh Schuchts21232311.064

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC Bobby Daly (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Micah Davey (Tr)1148130
Jayden Wilson (Tr)928160
Xavier Smith602014
Solo Barnes (Tr)592114
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)4110531
Kadarion Johnson5510451
Elijah Baldwin236444
Ashaad Hall (Tr)244371
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Content586016
Xavier Smith602014
Solo Barnes (Tr)592114

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Arch Manning22737061%29422478.0
Matthew Caldwell (Tr)81173%85107.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Wisner13159734.648
Arch Manning8324482.936
CJ Baxter Jr.5419603.618
Jerrick Gibson3715214.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Wingo50770715.475
DeAndre Moore Jr.38532414.046
Parker Livingstone26491618.983
Emmett Mosley V (Tr)23357315.540

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Pete Kwiatkowski (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jelani McDonald734013
Michael Taaffe701101
Anthony Hill Jr.707451
Liona Lefau682003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Simmons411411152
Anthony Hill Jr.707451
Brad Spence (Tr)185320
Trey Moore345363
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kade Phillips140005
Graceson Littleton403005
Malik Muhammad303114