Arkansas at Texas - 2025 Matchup Preview
Arkansas logo   Arkansas Razorbacks at Texas Longhorns  Texas logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (3:30 PM EST)
Texas -10.5 (57.5) (-320)  Open: -10.5 | 56.5
Texas 52 - Arkansas: 37  (SEC)

 
Razorbacks (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (29 - 31)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
ARK 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Texas -12.5  (SP+ TEX -11)

Projected Score: ARK: 23 - TEX: 36 (59)
TEX Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
ARK Travel: 449 miles
Longhorns (10 - 3) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (36 - 16)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (39 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 3.5 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arkansas vs Alabama A&M-45.562.5W 52 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Arkansas vs Arkansas State-23.562.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/13 Arkansas at Ole Miss+3.560.5L 35 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Arkansas at Memphis-7.059.5L 31 - 32ON
Sat 9/27 Arkansas vs Notre Dame+5.564.5L 13 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Arkansas at Tennessee+10.068.5L 31 - 34UY
Sat 10/18 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+7.557.5L 42 - 45OY
Sat 10/25 Arkansas vs Auburn-2.555.5L 24 - 33ON
Sat 11/1 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-5.566.5L 35 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Arkansas at LSU+4.058.5L 22 - 23UY
Sat 11/22 Arkansas at Texas+10.557.5L 37 - 52ON
Sat 11/29 Arkansas vs Missouri+4.554.5L 17 - 31UN

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas at Ohio State+1.546.5L 7 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Texas vs San José State-37.052.5W 38 - 7UN
Sat 9/13 Texas vs UTEP-39.552.5W 27 - 10UN
Sat 9/20 Texas vs Sam Houston-39.551.5W 55 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas at Florida-4.542.5L 21 - 29ON
Sat 10/11 Texas vs Oklahoma-2.544.5W 23 - 6UY
Sat 10/18 Texas at Kentucky-12.545.5W 16 - 13UN
Sat 10/25 Texas at Mississippi State-8.548.5W 45 - 38ON
Sat 11/1 Texas vs Vanderbilt-3.548.5W 34 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Texas at Georgia+3.550.5L 10 - 35UN
Sat 11/22 Texas vs Arkansas-10.557.5W 52 - 37OY
Fri 11/28 Texas vs Texas A&M+2.554.5W 27 - 17UY
Wed 12/31 Texas vs Michigan-7.050.0W 41 - 27OY

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)32.952% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)33.839% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)30.549% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)20.342% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TEX0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Offense1332.931.248.2%3.951.7234161682484.951%48%52%44%19%.25
TEX Defense1620.31738%2.571.8 - - - - - 50%50%42%34%21%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Defense1333.836.441.5%3.311 - - - - - 50%50%39%44%14%.13
TEX Offense1630.538.846.3%4.031.4203931522414.746%54%49%44%16%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas1328:0722.643%59%6.456.31.714.41.9027.3
Texas1626:4219.843%54%5.444.31.41.86.22.5131.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Offense1351% (64)52% (5)34.4167.94.932 (14).21 (29)3.23 (38)82% (13)12% (109)0.97 (67)
TEX Defense1650% (59)42% (61) - - - - -.04 (3)2.79 (33)55% (2)14% (8)0.72 (3)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Defense1350% (64)39% (32) - - - - -.01 (11)2.84 (42)79% (104)8% (123)0.82 (8)
TEX Offense1646% (98)49% (16)32.6152.24.725 (41).13 (69)2.95 (84)67% (106)11% (97)0.91 (96)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Offense1348% (71)44% (41)18.830.2248.48.213.214 (108)9 (48).3 (46)1.6 (42)32% (72)37% (17).43 (25)7% (106)2.2 (25)
TEX Defense1650% (79)34% (7) - - - - - - 20 (2).04 (3)1.4 (14)33% (53)28% (35).14 (7)8% (17)1.6 (3)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Defense1350% (70)44% (100) - - - - - - 8 (93).28 (92)1.5 (43)33% (48)27% (23).2 (25)7% (45)1.9 (37)
TEX Offense1654% (34)44% (43)19.629.5240.98.212.335 (3)12 (85).33 (34)1.7 (28)32% (71)38% (9).51 (7)5% (41)2.1 (57)

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 9.11  #43
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 24.32  #14
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 15.21  #81
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 14%  #33
Arkansas's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Arkansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1  #53
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8  #16
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4  #99

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 9.11   Texas: 19.545

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 5.1   Texas: 16.2




Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 19.545  #14
Texas's Offense Rating: 19.54  #31
Texas's Defense Rating: 1.65  #14
2025 Talent Rating: 1074.00  #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 65  #6
Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 3.5
Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.2  #17
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9  #30
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.9  #18

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.4

Arkansas's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 36
Arkansas 23


Projected Total Points: 59
Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Texas52Arkansas37Texas -10.5Texas57.5Over
202411/16Arkansas10Texas20Texas -13Arkansas57.5Under
202109/11Arkansas40Texas21Texas -6Arkansas57.5Over
201412/29Texas7Arkansas31Arkansas -7Arkansas42.5Under
200809/27Texas52Arkansas10
200409/11Arkansas20Texas22
200309/13Texas28Arkansas38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas412 Overs
Arkansas332 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 43 - 11 - 02 - 1
Road Teams4 - 31 - 31 - 20 - 1

(#43) ARK at (#14) TEX
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARKTEX
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #43 #14
SP+SP+ #53 #17
Perf GradeGrade #77 #13
OffenseOff #42 #25
DefenseDef #112 #25
Spec TeamsST #116 #41
TalentTal #48 #5
Blue ChipsBC% #33 #6
Arkansas Notes
(11/30) Hired Ryan Silverfield (Memphis). Meh hire IMO
(10/22) Defense is worst in CFB in Success Rate, Off great
(10/18) Off great vs A&M, Def torched as usual. 9 flags hurt
(9/30) Def has no players, schematics almost don't matter
(9/30) Pittman fired, Petrino Interim, Def staff fired
(9/27) Damn break vs ND, Def mauled, Off awful. Green bad
(9/23) Have fumbled away 2 straight games, brutal
(9/23) QB Taylen Green leads CFB in total offense (Wk 5)
(9/19) Off hot start, QB Green great, WR Blake weapon
(9/19) Pass Def torched by Ole Miss, Run D held up
(8/17) OC & DC are fighting, nearly physically?
(8/17) Def front 7 biggest issue, pass rush SEC worst
Arkansas Injury Report
Texas Notes
(12/18) DC Pete Kwiatkowski fired, Will Muschamp hired
(11/2) Manning getting hot, Run Off awful. Big W vs Vandy
(10/31) QB1 Manning will start vs Vandy, was ?
(10/25) Ryan Niblett best PR in CFB, saving Horns season
(10/18) Off only 179 yds in UK win, OG'd by 200+, lucky W
(10/14) RB2 Jerrick Gibson no longer w/ program
(10/9) RB1 CJ Baxter doubtful for OU game
(10/5) The Run Off is horrific & Arch looks lost. Bad vibes
(9/13) Arch awful vs UTEP. Very concerning now
(8/30) Fr CB Graceson Littleton the real deal
(8/30) Arch bad vs OSU, inconsistent. OL dominated
(6/14) Only P4 w/ same HC, OC, DC, S&C for 5+ year
Texas Injury Report
Arkansas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
ARK OffTEX Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #42 #25
SuccessSuc #13 #22
ExplosiveExp #80 #1
PPAPPA #27 #3
PowerPwr #14 #14
SP+SP+ #16 #18
Pts POPPO #64 #3
HavocHav #114 #4
Arkansas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
ARK OffTEX Def
Run GameRun #2 #22
Run SuccessRSuc #5 #61
Run ExplRExp #67 #3
PPAExp #29 #3
Run BlockR Blk #70 -
OL YdsOLY #38 #33
Stuff RateStuff #83 #31
TackleTak -  #16
Arkansas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
ARK OffTEX Def
Pass GamePass #67 #34
Pass SuccessPSuc #41 #7
Pass ExplPExl #42 #14
PPAExp #46 #3
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #80 #18
F7 HavocF7 #109 #8
DB HavocDB #106 #17
Texas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTEX OffARK Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #25 #112
SuccessSuc #27 #66
ExplosiveExp #47 #29
PPAPPA #39 #45
PowerPwr #31 #81
SP+SP+ #30 #99
Pts POPPO #54 #22
HavocHav #77 #101
Texas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TEX OffARK Def
Run GameRun #55 #74
Run SuccessRSuc #16 #32
Run ExplRExp #96 #8
PPAExp #69 #11
Run BlockR Blk #27 -
OL YdsOLY #84 #42
Stuff RateStuff #101 #112
TackleTak -  #19
Texas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTEX OffARK Def
Pass GamePass #15 #126
Pass SuccessPSuc #43 #100
Pass ExplPExl #28 #43
PPAExp #34 #92
Pass Block/RushP Blk #45 #69
F7 HavocF7 #97 #123
DB HavocDB #41 #45
Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

ARK 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Texas -10.5 (57.5)
Texas won vs Arkansas this year (52-37)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Arkansas last year (52-37)
Texas beat Arkansas in 2024 (20-10)

  
ARK's OC Bobby Petrino (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green19832661%271419118.3
KJ Jackson335461%441308.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Washington168106886.457
Taylen Green13877985.664
Braylen Russell5528655.223
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)65409.041
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
O'Mega Blake (Tr)57760513.336
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)41592314.458
Rohan Jones (Tr)19519427.362
CJ Brown28319311.426

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Travis Williams (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavian Sorey Jr.818333
Stephen Dix Jr.794100
Larry Worth641001
Caleb Wooden (Tr)593013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Rhodes Jr.4316860
Phillip Lee (Tr)316440
Xavian Sorey Jr.818333
Bradley Shaw505211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kani Walker (Tr)5231011
Julian Neal (Tr)5520010
Jordan Young (Tr)280016

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Arch Manning24840461%31632677.8
Matthew Caldwell (Tr)81173%85107.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Wisner13159734.648
Arch Manning92399104.360
Christian Clark5523624.322
CJ Baxter Jr.5419603.618
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Wingo54834715.475
DeAndre Moore Jr.38532414.046
Parker Livingstone29516617.883
Emmett Mosley V (Tr)28408314.640

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Pete Kwiatkowski (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jelani McDonald804013
Michael Taaffe701101
Anthony Hill Jr.707451
Liona Lefau682003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Simmons431612152
Anthony Hill Jr.707451
Brad Spence (Tr)216320
Ethan Burke407321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kade Phillips222006
Graceson Littleton463006
Malik Muhammad303114