Arkansas at Texas - 2025 Matchup Preview
Arkansas logo Arkansas Razorbacks at Texas Longhorns(#10)Texas logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium - Austin, TX  (FLEX: 3:30 - 4:30pm OR 6 - 8pm ET start)

 
Razorbacks (2 - 7) (3 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bobby Petrino (Int) (34 - 15)
Avg Score : 35 - 33 (32 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#125)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
ARK 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Texas -12  (SP+ TEX -9)

Projected Score: ARK: 25 - TEX: 37 (61)
TEX Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
ARK Travel: 449 miles
Longhorns (7 - 2) (2 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (36 - 16)
Avg Score : 30 - 16 (39 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 3.3 (#30)
Wins: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arkansas vs Alabama A&M-45.562.5W 52 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Arkansas vs Arkansas State-23.562.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/13 Arkansas at Ole Miss+3.560.5L 35 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Arkansas at Memphis-7.059.5L 31 - 32ON
Sat 9/27 Arkansas vs Notre Dame+5.564.5L 13 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Arkansas at Tennessee+10.068.5L 31 - 34UY
Sat 10/18 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+7.557.5L 42 - 45OY
Sat 10/25 Arkansas vs Auburn-2.555.5L 24 - 33ON
Sat 11/1 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-5.566.5L 35 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Arkansas at LSU+6.057.5
Sat 11/22 Arkansas at Texas+12
Sat 11/29 Arkansas vs Missouri+2.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas at Ohio State+1.546.5L 7 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Texas vs San José State-37.052.5W 38 - 7UN
Sat 9/13 Texas vs UTEP-39.552.5W 27 - 10UN
Sat 9/20 Texas vs Sam Houston-39.551.5W 55 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas at Florida-4.542.5L 21 - 29ON
Sat 10/11 Texas vs Oklahoma-2.544.5W 23 - 6UY
Sat 10/18 Texas at Kentucky-12.545.5W 16 - 13UN
Sat 10/25 Texas at Mississippi State-8.548.5W 45 - 38ON
Sat 11/1 Texas vs Vanderbilt-3.548.5W 34 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Texas at Georgia+6.549.5
Sat 11/22 Texas vs Arkansas-12
Fri 11/28 Texas vs Texas A&M+2.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#4 (.37)51% (5)35.456% (1)3.49 (6)20948% (27)2764.55 (22)#131 (.3)49% (132)33.351% (133)47% (118)4.43 (125)62.61.70.9
TEX#95 (.14)40% (104)29.642% (82)2.91 (74)13638% (108)2463.23 (110)#21 (.06)38% (27)16.436% (17)40% (58)3.29 (36)66.10.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)52% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)39% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)49% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)42% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Offense935.432.351.4%4.551.724485209276650%50%56%48%16%.37
TEX Defense916.41238.5%3.291.7 - - - - - 44%55%36%40%19%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Defense933.335.748.6%4.430.9 - - - - - 53%46%51%47%16%.3
TEX Offense929.638.540%3.230.8193821362463.948%51%42%38%15%.14

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas929:1224.352%45%6.962.61.70.95.61.8127
Texas929:2818.641%42%8.166.10.81.76.73.6231.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Offense950% (73)56% (1)34.7209.1620 (30).33 (3)3.49 (6)76% (49)9% (58)1.05 (37)
TEX Defense944% (11)36% (17) - - - - -.1 (4)2.34 (7)41% (1)13% (10)0.71 (1)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Defense953% (109)51% (133) - - - - .24 (129)3.11 (110)76% (99)9% (79)0.98 (80)
TEX Offense948% (87)42% (82)34.4135.73.911 (88).05 (100)2.91 (74)68% (103)10% (89)0.84 (119)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Offense950% (59)48% (27)19.731.4275.78.81420 (8)8 (60).43 (22)1.7 (26)29% (34)43% (3).71 (2)7% (92)2.3 (8)
TEX Defense955% (128)40% (58) - - - - - - 9 (12).21 (56)1.5 (44)33% (53)27% (36).18 (28)7% (46)1.7 (13)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Defense946% (27)47% (118) - - - - - - 6 (75).42 (126)1.6 (102)30% (104)38% (132).45 (127)7% (31)2 (63)
TEX Offense951% (54)38% (108)19.731.2246.17.912.519 (50)6 (60).23 (77)1.7 (22)32% (76)31% (59).39 (43)5% (38)2.1 (41)

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 12.06  #39
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 27.06  #11
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 15.00  #109
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 14%  #33
Arkansas's 2025 Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
Arkansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3  #38
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.7  #7
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.9  #98

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 12.06   Texas: 22.52

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 9.3   Texas: 18.3




Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 22.52  #17
Texas's Offense Rating: 14.45  #42
Texas's Defense Rating: -7.29  #8
2025 Talent Rating: 1074.00  #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 65  #6
Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 8.7 - 3.3
Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.3  #13
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.7  #42
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7  #7

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.3
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.7

Arkansas's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 37
Arkansas 25


Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas 34
Arkansas 29

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Texas 35
Arkansas 24

Total Points: 59
Texas Scoring
Offense: 29.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.5
Defense: 16.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 12

Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Arkansas10Texas20Texas -13Arkansas57.5Under
202109/11Arkansas40Texas21Texas -6Arkansas57.5Over
201412/29Texas7Arkansas31Arkansas -7Arkansas42.5Under
200809/27Texas52Arkansas10
200409/11Arkansas20Texas22
200309/13Texas28Arkansas38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas301 Overs
Arkansas332 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 42 - 10 - 02 - 1
Road Teams4 - 21 - 21 - 20 - 0

(#39) ARK at (#17) TEX
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARKTEX
Power RatePwr #39 #17
SP+SP+ #38 #13
Perf GradeGrade #46 #12
OffenseOff #23 #39
DefenseDef #98 #10
Spec TeamsST #108 #44
TalentTal #48 #5
Blue ChipsBC% #33 #6
Arkansas Notes
(10/22) Defense is worst in CFB in Success Rate, Off great
(10/18) Off great vs A&M, Def torched as usual. 9 flags hurt
(9/30) Def has no players, schematics almost don't matter
(9/30) Pittman fired, Petrino Interim, Def staff fired
(9/27) Damn break vs ND, Def mauled, Off awful. Green bad
(9/23) Have fumbled away 2 straight games, brutal
(9/23) QB Taylen Green leads CFB in total offense (Wk 5)
(9/19) Off hot start, QB Green great, WR Blake weapon
(9/19) Pass Def torched by Ole Miss, Run D held up
(8/17) OC & DC are fighting, nearly physically?
(8/17) Def front 7 biggest issue, pass rush SEC worst
(5/23) Hogs getting picked clean by portal, NIL bad
Arkansas Injury Report
Texas Notes
(11/2) Manning getting hot, Run Off awful. Big W vs Vandy
(10/31) QB1 Manning will start vs Vandy, was ?
(10/25) Ryan Niblett best PR in CFB, saving Horns season
(10/18) Off only 179 yds in UK win, OG'd by 200+, lucky W
(10/14) RB2 Jerrick Gibson no longer w/ program
(10/9) RB1 CJ Baxter doubtful for OU game
(10/5) The Run Off is horrific & Arch looks lost. Bad vibes
(9/13) Arch awful vs UTEP. Very concerning now
(8/30) Fr CB Graceson Littleton the real deal
(8/30) Arch bad vs OSU, inconsistent. OL dominated
(6/14) Only P4 w/ same HC, OC, DC, S&C for 5+ year
(6/6) WRs lost top 2, lots of talent. Top 10 via PFF?
Texas Injury Report
Arkansas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
ARK OffTEX Def
Perf GradePerf #23 #10
SuccessSuc #5 #27
ExplosiveExp #29 #19
PPAPPA #4 #21
PowerPwr #11 #8
SP+SP+ #7 #7
Pts POPPO #22 #36
HavocHav #73 #12
Arkansas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
ARK OffTEX Def
Run GameRun #1 #6
Run SuccessRSuc #1 #17
Run ExplRExp #37 #1
PPAExp #3 #4
Run BlockR Blk #68 -
OL YdsOLY #6 #7
Stuff RateStuff #71 #16
TackleTak -  #15
Arkansas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
ARK OffTEX Def
Pass GamePass #37 #46
Pass SuccessPSuc #27 #58
Pass ExplPExl #26 #44
PPAExp #22 #56
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #38 #4
F7 HavocF7 #58 #10
DB HavocDB #92 #46
Texas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatTEX OffARK Def
Perf GradePerf #39 #98
SuccessSuc #104 #132
ExplosiveExp #50 #80
PPAPPA #95 #131
PowerPwr #42 #109
SP+SP+ #42 #98
Pts POPPO #110 #125
HavocHav #63 #64
Texas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
TEX OffARK Def
Run GameRun #71 #64
Run SuccessRSuc #82 #133
Run ExplRExp #119 #80
PPAExp #100 #129
Run BlockR Blk #31 -
OL YdsOLY #74 #110
Stuff RateStuff #110 #63
TackleTak -  #12
Texas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatTEX OffARK Def
Pass GamePass #22 #113
Pass SuccessPSuc #108 #118
Pass ExplPExl #22 #102
PPAExp #77 #126
Pass Block/RushP Blk #78 #54
F7 HavocF7 #89 #79
DB HavocDB #38 #31
Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

ARK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Texas beat Arkansas last year (20-10)

  
ARK's OC Bobby Petrino (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green17127462%23721988.7
KJ Jackson6875%1091013.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Washington12782866.557
Taylen Green10764966.164
Braylen Russell5528655.223
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)141041.041
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
O'Mega Blake (Tr)50661413.236
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)30427314.258
Rohan Jones (Tr)13411431.662
CJ Brown23251310.926

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Chris Wilson (Int) (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavian Sorey Jr.645233
Stephen Dix Jr.623000
Larry Worth501001
Julian Neal (Tr)492008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Rhodes Jr.3714840
Phillip Lee (Tr)246440
Xavian Sorey Jr.645233
Miguel Mitchell421101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kani Walker (Tr)3810010
Julian Neal (Tr)492008
Jordan Young (Tr)200015

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Arch Manning16826863%21231867.9
Matthew Caldwell (Tr)81173%85107.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Wisner8833833.837
Arch Manning6920362.936
CJ Baxter Jr.4015904.018
Jerrick Gibson3715214.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Wingo31593519.175
DeAndre Moore Jr.29379113.142
Parker Livingstone21351516.783
Emmett Mosley V (Tr)15201313.431

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Pete Kwiatkowski (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Hill Jr.646451
Jelani McDonald553013
Michael Taaffe511100
Liona Lefau502003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Simmons3010881
Anthony Hill Jr.646451
Brad Spence (Tr)145320
Ethan Burke257310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malik Muhammad202114
Jelani McDonald553013
Liona Lefau502003