Toledo Rockets at Kentucky Wildcats
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (12:45 PM EDT)
Kentucky -10 (48.5) (-345) Open: -10.0 | 48.5
Kentucky 24 - Toledo: 16
Rockets (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (72 - 40)
Avg Score : 40 - 15 (16 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 1.4 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
Coach Jason Candle (72 - 40)
Avg Score : 40 - 15 (16 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 1.4 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
Our Line: Kentucky -3.5 (SP+ UK -5)
Projected Score: TOL: 23 - UK: 27 (50)
UK Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
TOL Travel: 256 miles
Projected Score: TOL: 23 - UK: 27 (50)
UK Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
TOL Travel: 256 miles
Wildcats (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (77 - 73)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Coach Mark Stoops (77 - 73)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 7) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
| Toledo's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Toledo at Kentucky | +10.0 | 48.5 | L 16 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Toledo vs Western Kentucky | -8.5 | 57.5 | W 45 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Toledo vs Morgan State | -33.5 | 54.5 | W 60 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Toledo at Western Michigan | -14.0 | 51.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Toledo vs Akron | -30 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/11 | Toledo at Bowling Green | -17 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Toledo vs Kent State | -30 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Toledo at Washington State | -13 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 11/5 | Toledo vs Northern Illinois | -17 | |||||
| Wed 11/12 | Toledo at Miami (OH) | -18 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Toledo vs Ball State | -32.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Toledo at Central Michigan | -27 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Kentucky's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Kentucky vs Toledo | -10.0 | 48.5 | W 24 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Kentucky vs Ole Miss | +8.0 | 51.5 | L 23 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Kentucky vs Eastern Michigan | -26.5 | 49.5 | W 48 - 23 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Kentucky at South Carolina | +6 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Kentucky at Georgia | +20 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Kentucky vs Texas | +12.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Kentucky vs Tennessee | +11 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Kentucky at Auburn | +18 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Kentucky vs Florida | +6 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Kentucky vs Tennessee Tech | -32.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Kentucky at Vanderbilt | +12 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Kentucky at Louisville | +10 | |||||
Total: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | #42 (.3) | 43% (71) | 40.3 | 45% (63) | 2.74 (91) | 209 | 43% (71) | 256 | 5.11 (28) | #12 (-.08) | 38% (59) | 15 | 50% (118) | 25% (7) | 3.17 (57) | 78.7 | 1 | 1.7 |
| UK | #77 (.18) | 44% (65) | 31.7 | 54% (22) | 3.53 (24) | 215 | 29% (130) | 171 | 4.19 (60) | #82 (.16) | 40% (70) | 23 | 38% (65) | 41% (79) | 3.94 (88) | 49.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | #111 (.11) | 41% (95) | 38% (120) | 2.66 (121) | 111 | 44% (46) | 227 | 3.55 (99) | #20 (.09) | 40% (43) | 42% (60) | 38% (35) | 3.87 (79) | 46.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | ||
| UK | #118 (.09) | 41% (89) | 47% (31) | 3.02 (71) | 146 | 35% (123) | 185 | 3.49 (104) | #62 (.16) | 46% (111) | 49% (122) | 42% (75) | 3.44 (31) | 52.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Offense | 3 | 40.3 | 16 | 43.3% | 5.11 | 1 | 23 | 465 | 209 | 256 | 5.3 | 49% | 50% | 45% | 43% | 10% | .3 |
| UK Defense | 3 | 23 | 23 | 39.6% | 3.94 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 38% | 41% | 12% | .16 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Defense | 3 | 15 | 24 | 37.8% | 3.17 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 46% | 50% | 25% | 19% | -.08 |
| UK Offense | 3 | 31.7 | 31.7 | 43.9% | 4.19 | 0.7 | 20 | 385 | 215 | 171 | 5.1 | 59% | 40% | 54% | 29% | 14% | .18 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 3 | 31:54 | 23 | 44% | 17% | 9 | 78.7 | 1 | 1.7 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 29.3 |
| Kentucky | 3 | 31:16 | 20 | 43% | 33% | 5.3 | 49.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 35.7 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Offense | 3 | 49% (79) | 45% (63) | 39.3 | 208.7 | 5.3 | 8 (26) | .15 (63) | 2.74 (91) | 78% (41) | 8% (47) | 0.96 (68) |
| UK Defense | 3 | 51% (75) | 38% (65) | - | - | - | - | - (46) | 2.52 (45) | 69% (66) | 8% (102) | 0.94 (71) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Defense | 3 | 52% (91) | 50% (118) | - | - | - | - | .1 (87) | 2.79 (71) | 63% (43) | 13% (29) | 0.74 (23) |
| UK Offense | 3 | 59% (20) | 54% (22) | 42 | 214.7 | 5.1 | 9 (17) | .3 (32) | 3.53 (24) | 57% (114) | 7% (38) | 0.92 (78) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Offense | 3 | 50% (65) | 43% (71) | 20.7 | 32.7 | 256 | 7.8 | 12.4 | 7 (23) | 2 (60) | .47 (31) | 1.8 (20) | 33% (99) | 28% (96) | .26 (85) | 2% (12) | 1.8 (94) |
| UK Defense | 3 | 49% (65) | 41% (79) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .32 (104) | 1.7 (103) | 33% (62) | 30% (76) | .43 (104) | 4% (102) | 2.1 (80) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL Defense | 3 | 46% (39) | 25% (7) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | -.21 (5) | 1.7 (99) | 30% (100) | 16% (14) | -.19 (5) | 6% (73) | 2.1 (89) |
| UK Offense | 3 | 40% (118) | 29% (130) | 12.7 | 25.7 | 170.7 | 6.7 | 13.5 | 2 (102) | 1 (23) | .07 (122) | 1.9 (12) | 29% (55) | 20% (124) | -.01 (124) | 7% (102) | 1.9 (76) |
Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 11.65 #48
Toledo's Offense Rating: 14.08 #61
Toledo's Defense Rating: 2.43 #42
2025 Talent Rating: 718.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Toledo's 2025 Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4
Toledo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #60
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #59
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #53
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Toledo's Power Rating: 11.65 #48
Toledo's Offense Rating: 14.08 #61
Toledo's Defense Rating: 2.43 #42
2025 Talent Rating: 718.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Toledo's 2025 Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4
Toledo's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #60
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #59
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #53
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 11.65 Kentucky: 11.615
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 4.3 Kentucky: 9.1
Toledo: 11.65 Kentucky: 11.615
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 4.3 Kentucky: 9.1
Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 11.615 #57
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
2025 Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Kentucky's Power Rating: 11.615 #57
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
2025 Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 15 PPG
Defense on Road: 24
Toledo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 15 PPG
Defense on Road: 24
Toledo's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Kentucky 27
Toledo 23
Total Points: 50
Kentucky 27
Toledo 23
Total Points: 50
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 31.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 23
Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 31.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 23
Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 08/30 | Kentucky | 24 | Toledo | 16 | Kentucky | Kentucky -10 | Toledo | 48.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 08/31 | Kentucky | 38 | Toledo | 24 | Kentucky | Kentucky -9.5 | Kentucky | 60.5 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | 2 | 1 | 1 Overs |
| Toledo | 0 | 1 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 0 | 1 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 2 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 1 |
(#48) Toledo Info
Power Rating: 11.65 #48
Offense Rating: 14.08 #61
Defense Rating: 2.43 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #59
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #53
Talent Rating: 718.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.17 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Great Pass Def Success 25%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Toledo Notes
(8/20) CB A. Smith a true shutdown & NFL prospect
(7/28) OL 5/5 back. Best in MAC, top 3 in the G5
(7/28) Def added 9 portals, some key pieces at DE/LB
(7/28) Secondary should be really good, great CBs
(7/27) WR Vandeross a weapon, Rudolph (NIU) big add
(5/11) One of CFB's most exp'd OLs, 95% is returning
(3/22) QB Gleason 2nd yr starter. Good, but TO prone
(3/22) RBs Walendzak back, Trayanum (UK) nice add
(3/22) Candle good HC, but drops bad games a lot
(3/22) Class of the MAC TY, OC/DC both vet's.
Toledo Highlights
Toledo is Undefeated vs Spread
Toledo has Really Good Running Game (#28)
Toledo offense is good in red zone (#28)
Toledo defense does not give up big plays (#16)
Toledo has a good pass defense (#7)
Toledo Front 7 is disruptive (#29)
Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
Power Rating: 11.65 #48
Offense Rating: 14.08 #61
Defense Rating: 2.43 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #59
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #53
Talent Rating: 718.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.17 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Great Pass Def Success 25%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Toledo Notes
(8/20) CB A. Smith a true shutdown & NFL prospect
(7/28) OL 5/5 back. Best in MAC, top 3 in the G5
(7/28) Def added 9 portals, some key pieces at DE/LB
(7/28) Secondary should be really good, great CBs
(7/27) WR Vandeross a weapon, Rudolph (NIU) big add
(5/11) One of CFB's most exp'd OLs, 95% is returning
(3/22) QB Gleason 2nd yr starter. Good, but TO prone
(3/22) RBs Walendzak back, Trayanum (UK) nice add
(3/22) Candle good HC, but drops bad games a lot
(3/22) Class of the MAC TY, OC/DC both vet's.
Toledo Highlights
Toledo is Undefeated vs Spread
Toledo has Really Good Running Game (#28)
Toledo offense is good in red zone (#28)
Toledo defense does not give up big plays (#16)
Toledo has a good pass defense (#7)
Toledo Front 7 is disruptive (#29)
Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Commits a Lot of Penalties (#129)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UK | TOL |
| OverallOver | #37 | #32 |
| OffenseOff | #73 | #42 |
| DefenseDef | #20 | #25 |
| Special TeamsST | #31 | #82 |
| PassingPass | #98 | #12 |
| RushingRush | #33 | #38 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #44 | #53 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #31 | #78 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #94 | #56 |
| TacklingTkl | #75 | #43 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #14 | #22 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #9 | #54 |
| Coverage DefCov | #80 | #38 |
(#57) Kentucky Info
Power Rating: 11.615 #57
Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29
Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 40%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.19 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Awful Pass Success 29%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Record at home: 2 - 1 (1 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Kentucky Notes
(8/30) Run Off good vs Toledo, but Calzada really bad
(8/13) No NIL $, roster gap getting bigger, harder job
(6/9) AHC Marrow left in June, been w/ UK since '13??
(6/9) Stoops had a great run, but this looks over
(6/8) 6 Def starters from 9 portals, all DL starters
(6/8) 14 proj starters from portal, 8 Off & 6 Def
(6/8) RBs Wilcox good, Dowdell(Neb) + McGowen(NMSU)
(6/8) OL 1/5 back, 7 portal adds. 5 clear starters
(5/11) OL has a lot of exp but 66% comes from portals
(5/5) UK 2-10 run in SEC home games & 0-7 streak
Kentucky Highlights
Kentucky has Really Good Running Game (#22)
Kentucky has a top Offensive Line (#24)
Kentucky does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#28)
Kentucky has a great TO Margin (#28)
Kentucky defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Kentucky Deficiencies
Kentucky pass game is really bad (#130)
Power Rating: 11.615 #57
Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29
Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 40%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.19 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Awful Pass Success 29%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Record at home: 2 - 1 (1 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Kentucky Notes
(8/30) Run Off good vs Toledo, but Calzada really bad
(8/13) No NIL $, roster gap getting bigger, harder job
(6/9) AHC Marrow left in June, been w/ UK since '13??
(6/9) Stoops had a great run, but this looks over
(6/8) 6 Def starters from 9 portals, all DL starters
(6/8) 14 proj starters from portal, 8 Off & 6 Def
(6/8) RBs Wilcox good, Dowdell(Neb) + McGowen(NMSU)
(6/8) OL 1/5 back, 7 portal adds. 5 clear starters
(5/11) OL has a lot of exp but 66% comes from portals
(5/5) UK 2-10 run in SEC home games & 0-7 streak
Kentucky Highlights
Kentucky has Really Good Running Game (#22)
Kentucky has a top Offensive Line (#24)
Kentucky does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#28)
Kentucky has a great TO Margin (#28)
Kentucky defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Kentucky Deficiencies
Kentucky pass game is really bad (#130)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Gleason | 43 | 69 | 62% | 599 | 4 | 1 | 8.7 |
| John Alan Richter | 15 | 23 | 65% | 139 | 3 | 1 | 6.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeaMonte Trayanum | 39 | 248 | 4 | 6.4 | 75 |
| Kenji Christian (Tr) | 23 | 139 | 2 | 6.0 | 33 |
| Willie Shaw III | 8 | 49 | 0 | 6.1 | 20 |
| Kalieb Osborne | 7 | 49 | 1 | 7.0 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Vandeross | 18 | 255 | 4 | 14.2 | 71 |
| Javon Brown | 6 | 133 | 0 | 22.2 | 46 |
| Jacob Petersen (Tr) | 5 | 82 | 0 | 16.4 | 26 |
| Trayvon Rudolph (Tr) | 7 | 77 | 0 | 11.0 | 20 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K'Von Sherman | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Emmanuel Mcneil-Warren | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Braden Awls | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Anthony Dunn | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doran Ray | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| K'Von Sherman | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Louce Julien (Tr) | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jeremiah Peters | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Fuller | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Braden Awls | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Anthony Dunn | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Calzada (Tr) | 25 | 53 | 47% | 234 | 0 | 1 | 4.4 |
| Cutter Boley | 13 | 24 | 54% | 278 | 2 | 0 | 11.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth McGowan (Tr) | 51 | 275 | 6 | 5.4 | 18 |
| Dante Dowdell (Tr) | 36 | 214 | 1 | 5.9 | 79 |
| Jason Patterson | 13 | 80 | 1 | 6.2 | 29 |
| Cutter Boley | 9 | 38 | 0 | 4.2 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Kattus | 8 | 112 | 1 | 14.0 | 34 |
| Jay Maclin | 4 | 103 | 0 | 25.8 | 44 |
| Hardley Gilmore IV (Tr) | 6 | 97 | 0 | 16.2 | 38 |
| Kendrick Law (Tr) | 8 | 69 | 0 | 8.6 | 23 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Afari Jr. | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ty Bryant | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Lovett | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daveren Rayner | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Soles Jr. | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Mi'Quise Grace (Tr) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Alex Afari Jr. | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaden Williams (Tr) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terhyon Nichols | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Steven Soles Jr. | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Quay'sheed Scott | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |