Eastern Michigan at Kentucky Game Matchup

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Kentucky Wildcats

Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Commonwealth Stadium - Lexington, KY

Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (57 - 75)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (23 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#102)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 11)

UK 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Kentucky -22 (SP+ UK -19)
Projected Score: EMU: 12 - UK: 34 (48)
UK Win prob: 96% | Cover: 52%
EMU Travel: 296 miles

Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (77 - 73)
Avg Score : 21 - 22 (22 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#107)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
EMU Players
UK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Eastern Michigan's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Eastern Michigan at Texas State	+14.0	0.0
Sat 9/6	Eastern Michigan vs Long Island University	-9
Sat 9/13	Eastern Michigan at Kentucky	+22
Sat 9/20	Eastern Michigan vs Louisiana	+5.5
Sat 9/27	Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan	+3.5
Sat 10/4	Eastern Michigan at Buffalo	+9.5
Sat 10/11	Eastern Michigan vs Northern Illinois	+1.5
Sat 10/18	Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH)	+5.5
Sat 10/25	Eastern Michigan vs Ohio	+8
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Eastern Michigan vs Bowling Green	-1.5
Sat 11/15	Eastern Michigan at Ball State	-5.5
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/25	Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan	-5.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule

Kentucky's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Kentucky vs Toledo	-11.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	Kentucky vs Ole Miss	+10.5
Sat 9/13	Kentucky vs Eastern Michigan	-22
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Kentucky at South Carolina	+13.5
Sat 10/4	Kentucky at Georgia	+25
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Kentucky vs Texas	+21
Sat 10/25	Kentucky vs Tennessee	+9.5
Sat 11/1	Kentucky at Auburn	+14.5
Sat 11/8	Kentucky vs Florida	+12
Sat 11/15	Kentucky vs Tennessee Tech	-28.5
Sat 11/22	Kentucky at Vanderbilt	+2.5
Sat 11/29	Kentucky at Louisville	+9.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EMU	#117 (.09)	42% (74)	25.9	43% (87)	2.98 (82)	142	42% (66)	235	3.47 (105)	#83 (.19)	45% (105)	27.9	45% (84)	46% (116)	3.49 (38)	62.4	1.4	1.3
UK	#118 (.09)	41% (89)	20.6	47% (31)	3.02 (71)	146	35% (123)	185	3.49 (104)	#62 (.16)	46% (111)	22.1	49% (122)	42% (75)	3.44 (31)	52.1	1.9	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EMU Offense	12	25.9	23	42.2%	3.47	1.4	21	378	142	235	3.6	47%	53%	43%	42%	19%	.09
UK Defense	12	22.1	17.6	46%	3.44	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	49%	42%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EMU Defense	12	27.9	27.2	45%	3.49	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	45%	46%	19%	.19
UK Offense	12	20.6	21.9	41.5%	3.49	1.9	19	331	146	185	4	54%	46%	47%	35%	19%	.09

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Eastern Michigan	12	31:06	21.3	41%	55%	6.5	62.4	1.4	1.3	5.9	2.1	1	29.2
Kentucky	12	29:32	19.4	34%	44%	6.3	52.1	1.9	1.3	5.6	1.8	2	27

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EMU Offense	12	47% (90)	43% (87)	39.3	142.3	3.6	17 (84)	.01 (119)	2.98 (82)	57% (131)	11% (91)	0.85 (122)
UK Defense	12	58% (129)	49% (122)	-	-	-	-	.14 (75)	3 (67)	78% (101)	12% (32)	0.88 (24)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EMU Defense	12	53% (102)	45% (84)	-	-	-	-	.09 (51)	3.07 (82)	60% (10)	14% (6)	0.9 (34)
UK Offense	12	54% (37)	47% (31)	36.7	146.4	4	11 (116)	.05 (107)	3.02 (71)	73% (71)	13% (120)	0.73 (133)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EMU Offense	12	53% (44)	42% (66)	20.7	34.6	235.3	6.8	11.4	17 (79)	10 (63)	.16 (105)	1.5 (116)	32% (70)	34% (36)	.36 (59)	8% (124)	2 (88)
UK Defense	12	42% (7)	42% (75)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (66)	.19 (46)	1.5 (27)	29% (109)	31% (83)	.3 (68)	5% (95)	2 (61)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EMU Defense	12	46% (31)	46% (116)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.36 (117)	1.7 (100)	28% (119)	34% (112)	.32 (77)	5% (107)	1.8 (23)
UK Offense	12	46% (97)	35% (123)	13.9	26	184.8	7.1	13.3	15 (98)	17 (127)	.13 (117)	1.9 (10)	33% (92)	28% (104)	.18 (114)	7% (103)	2.1 (46)

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -15.01 #106
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 5.44 #121
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 20.45 #99
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #113
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #116
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #111

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -15.01 Kentucky: 7.62

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -14.2 Kentucky: 4.7

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 7.62 #52
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 16.20 #54
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 10.66 #43
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 26 #22
Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4
Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #43
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #79
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 944.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.2

Eastern Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Kentucky 34
Eastern Michigan 12

Projected Total Points: 48

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.9
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	09/07	Kentucky	38	Eastern Michigan	17	Kentucky	Kentucky -15.5	Kentucky	51.5	Over
2017	09/30	Kentucky	24	Eastern Michigan	20	Kentucky	Kentucky -14	Eastern Michigan	50.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kentucky	2	1	1 Overs
Eastern Michigan	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#106) Eastern Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.01 #106
Offense Rating: 5.44 #121
Defense Rating: 20.45 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #111
Talent Rating: 562.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Avg Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Good in Scoring Position 3.49 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Eastern Michigan Notes
(3/26) QB Kim (Coastal) or Edge (MD) portal adds
(3/26) RB rebuild. Some options, 2 portal adds
(3/26) WR Lockett back, Tucker (Ga St) via portal
(3/26) OL bad LY, 3/5 back, only 1 portal
(3/26) Def bad LY, returns some. 7 portals
(3/26) HC Creighton sliding, lost last 5 to miss bowl

Eastern Michigan Ratings Matchup Kentucky

Power #106

#52

Off #121

#54

Def #99

#43

Talent #89

#25

SP+ #113

#43

SP+ Off #116

#79

SP+ Def #111

#31

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: EMU | UK
Depth Chart: EMU | UK
Rosters: EMU | UK

(#52) Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.62 #52
Offense Rating: 16.20 #54
Defense Rating: 10.66 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #43
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31
Talent Rating: 876.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 26 #22
Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.49 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Kentucky Notes
(5/5) UK 2-10 run in SEC home games & 0-7 streak
(4/4) OG Joshua Braun a top G via PFF
(3/24) Portal DL Gusta (WSU)/Grace (S Dak) big
(3/22) Added 13 players that started LY via portal
(3/18) Portal QB Calzada (Inc Word/A&M) can sling
(3/18) RBs Wilcox good, Dowdell (Neb) added
(3/18) WR rebuild, bad LY. 4 Portals. Big jump TY?
(3/18) OL rebuild 1/5 back, 5 portal adds. No clue
(3/18) Def good LY, new DE's. DB's OK LY, better TY?
(3/18) Tons of new faces, portals. Awful QB play LY

Eastern Michigan's OC Mike Piatkowski

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Noah Kim (Tr)	30	56	54%	333	4	1	5.9
Jeremiah Salem	8	11	73%	126	1	1	11.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joey Mattord	29	118	1	4.1	13
Dontae McMillan	23	87	0	3.8	14
James Jointer	12	61	0	5.1	21
Terry Lockett	3	20	0	6.7	11

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terry Lockett	46	660	5	14.3	79
Zyell Griffin	6	151	1	25.2	89
Joey Mattord	10	115	0	11.5	27
J.B. Mitchell	3	37	0	12.3	14

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

Eastern Michigan's DC Ben Needham

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Barry Manning	27	3	0	0	2
Jefferson Adam	26	7	5	0	0
Zach Mowchan	26	1	0	1	0
Jaivian Norman	25	2	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jefferson Adam	26	7	5	0	0
Carter Evans	15	3	1	2	1
Donovan Green	19	2	1	2	0
Sterling Miles	11	2	1	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Barry Manning	27	3	0	2
Jaivian Norman	25	2	1	2
Dramarian McNulty	23	1	0	2

Kentucky's OC Bush Hamdan

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Zach Calzada (Tr)	312	471	66%	3432	32	9	7.3
Cutter Boley	26	53	49%	338	2	4	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Seth McGowan (Tr)	153	813	3	5.3	38
Dante Dowdell (Tr)	143	614	12	4.3	38
Jamarion Wilcox	92	590	2	6.4	50
Zach Calzada (Tr)	83	230	5	2.8	33

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Javian Hester	14	315	1	22.5	90
Jay Maclin	13	313	4	24.1	83
Seth McGowan (Tr)	23	277	3	12.0	43
Troy Stellato (Tr)	26	266	1	10.2	34

View Kentucky's Full Roster

Kentucky's DC Brad White

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Landyn Watson (Tr)	66	4	0	3	0
Jordan Lovett	63	1	0	0	1
Alex Afari Jr.	62	11	2	1	1
J.Q. Hardaway	47	0	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kameron Olds (Tr)	42	7	6	2	1
Alex Afari Jr.	62	11	2	1	1
Sam Greene (Tr)	15	3	1	2	0
David Gusta (Tr)	20	3	1	6	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Terhyon Nichols	10	0	0	0	5
David Gusta (Tr)	20	3	1	6	3
J.Q. Hardaway	47	0	0	0	3