Eastern Michigan at Kentucky - 2025 Matchup Preview
Eastern Michigan logo Eastern Michigan Eagles at Kentucky WildcatsKentucky logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Kentucky -26.5 (49.5) (-4000)  Open: 0.0
Kentucky 48 - Eastern Michigan: 23

 
Eagles (0 - 3) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (57 - 75)
Avg Score : 24 - 43 (25 - 50 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.5 - 8.5 (#124)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
UK 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Kentucky -30   (SP+ UK -31)

Projected Score: EMU: 13 - UK: 43 (56)
UK Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
EMU Travel: 296 miles
Wildcats (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (77 - 73)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (32 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 6) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Eastern Michigan at Texas State+14.058.5L 27 - 52ON
Sat 9/6 Eastern Michigan vs Long Island University-22.554.5L 23 - 28UN
Sat 9/13 Eastern Michigan at Kentucky+26.549.5L 23 - 48OY
Sat 9/20 Eastern Michigan vs Louisiana+2.551.5
Sat 9/27 Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan-1
Sat 10/4 Eastern Michigan at Buffalo+16
Sat 10/11 Eastern Michigan vs Northern Illinois+9
Sat 10/18 Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH)+8.5
Sat 10/25 Eastern Michigan vs Ohio+10
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Eastern Michigan vs Bowling Green+4.5
Sat 11/15 Eastern Michigan at Ball State-1.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/25 Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan-2

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule
Kentucky's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Kentucky vs Toledo-10.048.5W 24 - 16UN
Sat 9/6 Kentucky vs Ole Miss+8.051.5L 23 - 30OY
Sat 9/13 Kentucky vs Eastern Michigan-26.549.5W 48 - 23ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Kentucky at South Carolina+6
Sat 10/4 Kentucky at Georgia+20
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Kentucky vs Texas+12.5
Sat 10/25 Kentucky vs Tennessee+11
Sat 11/1 Kentucky at Auburn+18
Sat 11/8 Kentucky vs Florida+6
Sat 11/15 Kentucky vs Tennessee Tech-32.5
Sat 11/22 Kentucky at Vanderbilt+12
Sat 11/29 Kentucky at Louisville+10

Total: Elite: 7, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 6, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EMU#62 (.22)41% (94)24.340% (96)3.1 (58)13241% (87)2563.89 (72)#132 (.43)50% (126)42.749% (114)52% (126)5.43 (132)31.70.30
UK#77 (.18)44% (65)31.754% (22)3.53 (24)21529% (130)1714.19 (60)#82 (.16)40% (70)2338% (65)41% (79)3.94 (88)49.30.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
EMU#117 (.09)42% (74)43% (87)2.98 (82)14242% (66)2353.47 (105)#83 (.19)45% (105)45% (84)46% (116)3.49 (38)62.41.41.3
UK#118 (.09)41% (89)47% (31)3.02 (71)14635% (123)1853.49 (104)#62 (.16)46% (111)49% (122)42% (75)3.44 (31)52.11.91.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EMU Offense324.32540.6%3.890.3203881322564.544%56%40%41%11%.22
UK Defense3232339.6%3.941.3 - - - - - 51%49%38%41%12%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
EMU Defense342.75050%5.430 - - - - - 61%38%49%52%11%.43
UK Offense331.731.743.9%4.190.7203852151715.159%40%54%29%14%.18

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Eastern Michigan327:0420.337%43%4.331.70.3040.3024.9
Kentucky331:162043%33%5.349.30.71.34.71.7035.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EMU Offense344% (100)40% (96)29.31324.54 (79).18 (51)3.1 (58)50% (124)7% (32)1.18 (33)
UK Defense351% (75)38% (65) - - - - - (46)2.52 (45)69% (66)8% (102)0.94 (71)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
EMU Defense361% (126)49% (114) - - - - .25 (118)3.23 (114)62% (42)6% (121)1.04 (87)
UK Offense359% (20)54% (22)42214.75.19 (17).3 (32)3.53 (24)57% (114)7% (38)0.92 (78)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EMU Offense356% (32)41% (87)2235.3255.77.211.64 (72)1 (23).26 (75)1.4 (94)31% (74)25% (107).39 (56)4% (37)2.3 (29)
UK Defense349% (65)41% (79) - - - - - - 4 (12).32 (104)1.7 (103)33% (62)30% (76).43 (104)4% (102)2.1 (80)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
EMU Defense338% (11)52% (126) - - - - - - 0.65 (132)1.8 (117)28% (115)46% (131).54 (117)5% (94)1.5 (17)
UK Offense340% (118)29% (130)12.725.7170.76.713.52 (102)1 (23).07 (122)1.9 (12)29% (55)20% (124)-.01 (124)7% (102)1.9 (76)

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -14.55 #114
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 8.41 #88
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 22.96 #128
2025 Talent Rating: 630.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 3.5 - 8.5
Eastern Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #131
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #119
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #134

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -14.55   Kentucky: 11.615

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -21.9   Kentucky: 9.1




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 11.615 #57
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
2025 Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 951.5
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 42.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 50

Eastern Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Kentucky 43
Eastern Michigan 13


Total Points: 56

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 31.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Kentucky48Eastern Michigan23KentuckyKentucky -26.5Eastern Michigan49.5Over
201909/07Kentucky38Eastern Michigan17KentuckyKentucky -15.5Kentucky51.5Over
201709/30Kentucky24Eastern Michigan20KentuckyKentucky -14Eastern Michigan50.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky312 Overs
Eastern Michigan021 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 01 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 32 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#114) Eastern Michigan Info
Power Rating: -14.55 #114
Offense Rating: 8.41 #88
Defense Rating: 22.96 #128
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.9 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #134
Talent Rating: 630.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 3.5 - 8.5

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.43 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 52%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Eastern Michigan has lost 2 straight
Eastern Michigan has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Eastern Michigan Notes
(9/8) Run Off is bottom 10, QB Kim entire offense
(9/4) QB Kim good, Def awful esp vs Run vs Tex st
(7/27) WR Lockett back, need to find depth & TEs
(3/26) QB Kim (Coastal) or Edge (MD) portal adds
(3/26) RB rebuild. Some options, 2 portal adds
(3/26) OL bad LY, 3/5 back, only 1 portal
(3/26) Def bad LY, returns some. 7 portals
(3/26) HC Creighton sliding, lost last 5 to miss bowl

Eastern Michigan Highlights
Eastern Michigan has a great TO Margin (#11)
Eastern Michigan commits very few Penalties (#30)
Eastern Michigan defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Eastern Michigan Deficiencies
Eastern Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Eastern Michigan does not Sack the QB (#130)
Eastern Michigan has a bad defense (#126)
Eastern Michigan gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#103)
Eastern Michigan has a bad defensive line (#114)
Eastern Michigan has a bad red zone defense (#132)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUKEMU
OverallOver#37#100
OffenseOff#73#70
DefenseDef#20#110
Special TeamsST#31#69
PassingPass#98#38
RushingRush#33#43
Run BlockRBLK#44#77
Pass BlockPBLK#31#93
Route RunningWR Rt#94#62
TacklingTkl#75#118
Run DefenseR Def#14#102
Pass Rush DefPRush#9#109
Coverage DefCov#80#117

Rematch from Week 3
Kentucky -26.5 (49.5)
Kentucky won vs Eastern Michigan this year (48-23)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: EMU | UK
Depth Chart: EMU | UK
Rosters: EMU | UK
(#57) Kentucky Info
Power Rating: 11.615 #57
Offense Rating: 14.60 #56
Defense Rating: 5.47 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #62
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #29
Talent Rating: 896.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 40%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.19 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Awful Pass Success 29%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Kentucky has lost 1 straight
Kentucky has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 1 (1 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Kentucky Notes
(8/30) Run Off good vs Toledo, but Calzada really bad
(8/13) No NIL $, roster gap getting bigger, harder job
(6/9) AHC Marrow left in June, been w/ UK since '13??
(6/9) Stoops had a great run, but this looks over
(6/8) 6 Def starters from 9 portals, all DL starters
(6/8) 14 proj starters from portal, 8 Off & 6 Def
(6/8) RBs Wilcox good, Dowdell(Neb) + McGowen(NMSU)
(6/8) OL 1/5 back, 7 portal adds. 5 clear starters
(5/11) OL has a lot of exp but 66% comes from portals
(5/5) UK 2-10 run in SEC home games & 0-7 streak

Kentucky Highlights
Kentucky has Really Good Running Game (#22)
Kentucky has a top Offensive Line (#24)
Kentucky does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#28)

Kentucky has a great TO Margin (#28)
Kentucky defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Kentucky Deficiencies
Kentucky pass game is really bad (#130)


  
Eastern Michigan's OC Mike Piatkowski
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Kim (Tr)6610563%767417.3
Terry Lockett010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dontae McMillan3021917.340
Tavierre Dunlap (Tr)267412.819
Noah Kim (Tr)204312.220
Joey Mattord53817.624
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Terry Lockett16230114.464
Joshua Long9108112.025
Dontae McMillan790112.933
Ben Prosper774010.622

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster
Eastern Michigan's DC Ben Needham
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Llewellyn192001
Marco Patierno (Tr)191010
Sterling Miles142011
Barry Manning121000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Messiah Blair61100
Bryce Llewellyn192001
Jaivian Norman41001
Javon Thomas10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Scott110002
Caleb Coley50002
Bryce Llewellyn192001

Kentucky's OC Bush Hamdan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zach Calzada (Tr)255347%234014.4
Cutter Boley132454%2782011.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Seth McGowan (Tr)5127565.418
Dante Dowdell (Tr)3621415.979
Jason Patterson138016.229
Cutter Boley93804.213
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Kattus8112114.034
Jay Maclin4103025.844
Hardley Gilmore IV (Tr)697016.238
Kendrick Law (Tr)86908.623

View Kentucky's Full Roster
Kentucky's DC Brad White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex Afari Jr.263100
Ty Bryant211000
Jordan Lovett192000
Daveren Rayner170010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Steven Soles Jr.52201
Mi'Quise Grace (Tr)82120
Alex Afari Jr.263100
Jaden Williams (Tr)11110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terhyon Nichols61013
Steven Soles Jr.52201
Quay'sheed Scott90001