Northern Illinois at Miami (OH) - 2024 Matchup Preview
Northern Illinois logo Northern Illinois Huskies at Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) logo
Tuesday, November 19th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
Miami (OH) -1.5 (43.0) (-122)  Open: -3.5
Miami (OH) 20 - Northern Illinois: 9  (Mid-American)

 
Huskies (8 - 5) (5 - 6 - 2)
Coach Thomas Hammock (24 - 33)
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (21 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
M-OH 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Miami (OH) -4.5   (SP+ M-OH -5)

Projected Score: NIU: 19 - M-OH: 24 (43)
M-OH Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
NIU Travel: 270 miles, 1 hrs behind
RedHawks (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (56 - 62)
Avg Score : 24 - 19 (28 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Northern Illinois's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Northern Illinois vs Western Illinois-36.555.5W 54 - 15OY
Sat 9/7 Northern Illinois at Notre Dame+28.546.5W 16 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Northern Illinois vs Buffalo-13.042.5L 20 - 23ON
Sat 9/28 Northern Illinois at NC State+7.046.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/5 Northern Illinois vs Massachusetts-14.041.0W 34 - 20ON
Sat 10/12 Northern Illinois at Bowling Green+3.046.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 10/19 Northern Illinois vs Toledo-3.042.5L 6 - 13UN
Sat 10/26 Northern Illinois at Ball State-13.547.5L 23 - 25ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6 Northern Illinois at Western Michigan-2.551.5W 42 - 28OY
Wed 11/13 Northern Illinois vs Akron-14.043.5W 29 - 16ON
Tue 11/19 Northern Illinois at Miami (OH)+1.543.0L 9 - 20UN
Sat 11/30 Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan-16.541.5W 24 - 16UN
Mon 12/23 Northern Illinois vs Fresno State-2.041.0W 28 - 20OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Miami (OH) vs Northwestern+4.043.0L 6 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati+3.547.5L 16 - 27UN
Sat 9/21 Miami (OH) at Notre Dame+27.544.0L 3 - 28UY
Sat 9/28 Miami (OH) vs Massachusetts-15.544.5W 23 - 20UN
Sat 10/5 Miami (OH) at Toledo+4.544.0L 20 - 30ON
Sat 10/12 Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan-3.045.5W 38 - 14OY
Sat 10/19 Miami (OH) vs Ohio-3.543.5W 30 - 20OY
Sat 10/26 Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan-10.548.5W 46 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5 Miami (OH) at Ball State-12.548.5W 27 - 21UN
Wed 11/13 Miami (OH) vs Kent State-31.047.5W 34 - 7UN
Tue 11/19 Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois-1.543.0W 20 - 9UY
Fri 11/29 Miami (OH) at Bowling Green+3.037.5W 28 - 12OY
Sat 12/7 Miami (OH) vs Ohio-2.543.5L 3 - 38UN
Sat 12/28 Miami (OH) vs Colorado State-1.042.5W 43 - 17OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU#86 (.16)42% (79)24.544% (72)3.25 (33)20440% (86)1793.39 (113)#11 (.06)38% (19)18.541% (52)35% (9)3.08 (12)42.81.21.1
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)24.138% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)18.846% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU#86 (.16)42% (79)44% (72)3.25 (33)20440% (86)1793.39 (113)#11 (.06)38% (19)41% (52)35% (9)3.08 (12)42.81.21.1
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)38% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)46% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Offense1324.520.742.1%3.391.2213832041794.859%41%44%40%15%.16
M-OH Defense1418.81543.6%2.911.4 - - - - - 47%52%46%42%18%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Defense1318.519.737.7%3.081.1 - - - - - 49%51%41%35%17%.06
M-OH Offense1424.128.240.7%3.431.1163251212044.545%55%38%44%18%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northern Illinois1333:2021.542%45%4.242.81.21.15.42.5130.4
Miami (OH)1427:0715.533%40%4.838.61.11.44.92.1039.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Offense1359% (11)44% (72)42.8204.24.822 (55).14 (66)3.25 (33)72% (83)9% (60)1 (54)
M-OH Defense1447% (36)46% (100) - - - - .13 (74)3.24 (102)68% (38)10% (67)0.88 (21)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Defense1349% (44)41% (52) - - - - .08 (45)3.06 (79)74% (73)11% (53)0.9 (33)
M-OH Offense1445% (108)38% (119)26.6120.54.59 (125).1 (90)3.1 (51)69% (98)11% (86)0.96 (70)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Offense1341% (124)40% (86)16.528.5179.16.310.816 (87)8 (40).23 (84)1.6 (58)31% (68)30% (89).17 (117)5% (39)1.9 (116)
M-OH Defense1452% (102)42% (74) - - - - - - 11 (52).11 (18)1.2 (1)30% (99)30% (61).17 (14)8% (7)1.6 (4)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Defense1351% (93)35% (9) - - - - - - 9 (76).04 (4)1.5 (55)36% (15)25% (10).18 (16)7% (37)2 (67)
M-OH Offense1455% (28)44% (48)15.126.6204.37.713.523 (41)12 (85).22 (87)1.5 (90)33% (99)30% (83).27 (90)7% (111)2 (81)

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Northern Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Northern Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -2.77   Miami (OH): 1.435

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -3.5   Miami (OH): 1.3




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: 1.435 #75
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Miami (OH)'s 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 24.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.7

Northern Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 2
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 24
Northern Illinois 19


Total Points: 43

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Miami (OH)'s 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/19Miami (OH)20Northern Illinois9Miami (OH)Miami (OH) -1.5Miami (OH)43.0Under
202211/16Northern Illinois23Miami (OH)29Miami (OH)Northern Illinois -1Miami (OH)44.0Over
201910/19Miami (OH)27Northern Illinois24Miami (OH)Northern Illinois -1.5Miami (OH)48.0Over
201811/14Northern Illinois7Miami (OH)13Miami (OH)Northern Illinois -6.5Miami (OH)48.0Under
201510/17Miami (OH)12Northern Illinois45Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -15.5Northern Illinois54.5Over
201410/18Northern Illinois51Miami (OH)41Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -14.5Miami (OH)0
201012/03Miami (OH)26Northern Illinois21Miami (OH)
200910/24Miami (OH)22Northern Illinois27Northern Illinois
200810/11Northern Illinois17Miami (OH)13Northern Illinois
200610/08Miami (OH)25Northern Illinois28Northern Illinois
200510/05Northern Illinois38Miami (OH)27Northern Illinois
200210/12Miami (OH)41Northern Illinois48Northern Illinois
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)553 Overs
Northern Illinois712 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 62 - 41 - 31 - 1
Road Teams6 - 64 - 21 - 13 - 1

(#73) Northern Illinois Info
Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.39 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Northern Illinois has won 2 straight
Northern Illinois has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (3 - 2 - 1 vs Spread )

Northern Illinois Notes
(11/8) Off healthy & improved. Rgame/QB Hampton good
(11/7) Owned WMU. Big plays, caused TO's, KR TD
(10/20) Near 400 yds and only 6 pts (Tol)? 4-19 3rd bad
(10/18) Def ranks top 25 in 13 diff stats, #4 in ypg (253)
(10/18) Great 3rd down Def 20% (#1) & Off 48% (#22)
(10/18) New QB Holst v mobile, cannot pass from pocket
(10/14) QB Hampton left BG game (concussion)
(10/13) DL mauled BGU. 5 sacks, hurt QB. Great Def
(10/4) Best Def in MAC? Off #'s awful so far, check back
(9/28) Def held NC St to 171 yds but 4 TOs killed them

Northern Illinois Highlights
Northern Illinois has Really Good Running Game (#106)
Northern Illinois does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#106)

Northern Illinois Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Northern Illinois has a really good defense (#46)
Northern Illinois defense is really good in red zone (#16)
Northern Illinois has a good pass defense (#52)
Northern Illinois commits very few Penalties (#30)

Northern Illinois Deficiencies
Northern Illinois offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#110)
Northern Illinois Does Not Stuff Runs (#12)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatM-OHNIU
OverallOver#35#37
OffenseOff#60#65
DefenseDef#26#18
Special TeamsST#35#34
PassingPass#94#87
RushingRush#66#65
Run BlockRBLK#14#18
Pass BlockPBLK#99#53
Route RunningWR Rt#44#102
TacklingTkl#53#3
Run DefenseR Def#42#17
Pass Rush DefPRush#48#64
Coverage DefCov#26#22

Rematch from Week 13
Miami (OH) -1.5 (43.0)
Miami (OH) won vs Northern Illinois this year (20-9)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Northern Illinois last year (20-9)
Miami (OH) beat Northern Illinois in 2022 (29-23)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NIU | M-OH
Depth Chart: NIU | M-OH
Rosters: NIU | M-OH
(#75) Miami (OH) Info
Power Rating: 1.435 #75
Offense Rating: 13.33 #115
Defense Rating: 4.27 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2 #43
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Great in Scoring Position 2.91 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Miami (OH) has won 5 straight
Miami (OH) has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Miami (OH) Notes
(11/18) Rgame great vs Kent, Run Def good, QB meh
(11/8) Rgame bad vs Ball St, Gabbert eff, Run D great TW
(10/31) QB Gabbert hurt vs CMU, returned but monitor
(10/27) Off cookin (P +R) 500+ yds, 7.1 ypc in CMU drilling
(10/20) Gabbert efficient, Def good vs Ohio. 2 INTs
(10/13) Off 400+ yds in blowout of EMU. Def good
(10/4) Managed well but 0-3 vs P4. W vs UMass helps
(9/15) Off stats near last esp Run, worst Red Zone team
(9/1) Good fight vs Nw. Def great, QB meh, Rgame awful
(7/30) Sr QB Gabbert returns, JAG could elevate

Miami (OH) Highlights
Miami (OH) defense does not give up big plays (#25)
Miami (OH) defense is really good in red zone (#102)
Miami (OH) Secondary is very good (#66)

Miami (OH) Deficiencies
Miami (OH) offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#101)
Miami (OH) run game is really bad (#104)
Miami (OH) offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Miami (OH) Does Not Stuff Runs (#126)
Miami (OH) has a bad defensive line (#131)


  
Northern Illinois's OC Wesley Beschorner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Hampton14324558%16081266.6
Josh Holst6511159%593225.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Williams13974945.471
Antario Brown11556744.949
Telly Johnson Jr.10348044.738
Josh Holst4923014.722
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trayvon Rudolph37403110.948
Cam Thompson27388314.454
Grayson Barnes31338410.960
Andrew McElroy (Tr)26264010.242

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster
Northern Illinois's DC Nick Benedetto
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Fuhrman (Tr)614011
Jaden Dolphin613002
Santana Banner542014
Nate Valcarcel532248
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devonte O'Malley3812941
Roy Williams387711
Nevaeh Sanders85520
Skyler Gill-Howard487540
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nate Valcarcel532248
Jacob Finley363108
Santana Banner542014

Miami (OH)'s OC Patrick Welsh
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brett Gabbert21737957%292121117.7
Henry Hesson71741%93105.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Keyon Mozee178109846.274
Kevin Davis5033146.697
Jordan Brunson5329945.675
Dylan Downing (Tr)4415213.515
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Tracy57818714.472
Reginald Virgil41816919.975
Cade McDonald52631312.151
Kevin Davis2923428.135

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster
Miami (OH)'s DC Bill Brechin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Salopek1228123
Silas Walters9530012
Ty Wise8911521
Eli Blakey891002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brian Ugwu59158163
Corey Suttle3686100
Ty Wise8911521
Adam Trick376420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raion Strader5300017
Silas Walters9530012
William Hardrick260004